Cardinal Energy (CJ) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$1.23B
• Dividend Yield: 9.52%
• Average Volume (3M): 897.55K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 13.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.92
• Revenue Growth: -9.20%
• EPS Growth: -25.28%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 177
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.10
• Shares Outstanding: 161,022,920
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,053,157
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 897,546
• PEG Ratio: 3.14
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.12
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.69
• P/FCF Ratio: 7.14
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$8.31
• Price Target Upside: 6.54% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 77 Outperform
• Price Target: C$9.00 ▲(15.38% Upside)

Cardinal Energy's solid financial performance, characterized by strong revenue growth and efficient cash flow, is the primary driver of its stock score. The technical indicators suggest a positive trend, while the valuation is attractive with a reasonable P/E ratio and high dividend yield. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data does not impact the overall score.

Positive Factors

Strong Cash Flow Generation

Cardinal Energy's robust cash flow generation indicates operational efficiency and financial health, supporting sustainable growth and investment capacity.

Stable Financial Position

A strong balance sheet with low leverage enhances Cardinal's financial stability, providing resilience against market fluctuations and capacity for strategic investments.

Strategic Project Advancements

Advancement of strategic projects like the SAGD enhances production capabilities and long-term growth potential, aligning with Cardinal's sustainable development goals.

Negative Factors

Decline in Revenue Growth

A decline in revenue growth could signal challenges in market expansion or product demand, potentially impacting future profitability and market position.

Rising Net Debt

Increasing net debt may strain Cardinal's financial flexibility and cash flows, potentially limiting its ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns.

Profitability Challenges

Lower net profit margins indicate potential inefficiencies or cost pressures, which could hinder Cardinal's ability to maximize shareholder returns and compete effectively.

Cardinal Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cardinal Energy Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and production of low decline light, medium, and heavy quality oil, and natural gas in Western Canada. It has operations in the provinces of Alberta and Saskatchewan. As of February 24, 2022, the company had total proved plus probable oil and gas reserves are 110,391 thousand barrels of oil equivalent. Cardinal Energy Ltd. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Cardinal Energy generates revenue primarily through the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. The company's core revenue streams consist of the sale of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. Cardinal leverages its extensive asset base and operational efficiency to optimize production levels and reduce costs, thereby enhancing profitability. The company also benefits from various partnerships and joint ventures that provide access to additional resources and markets. Additionally, fluctuations in commodity prices significantly impact its revenue, thus Cardinal employs hedging strategies to mitigate price volatility risks and stabilize cash flows.

Cardinal Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cardinal Energy exhibits strong revenue growth and effective cost management, with a robust balance sheet and efficient cash flow generation. However, there is room for improvement in profitability metrics.

Income Statement

Cardinal Energy has shown robust revenue growth with a 27% increase from the previous year. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 64.2%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin stands at 17.7%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The absence of EBIT in 2024 affects the comprehensive margin analysis.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a healthy equity ratio of 70.8%, showcasing financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.10, reflecting conservative leverage. Return on equity is modest at 11.8%, indicating steady profitability relative to shareholder's equity.

Cash Flow

Cardinal Energy has achieved a 14.6% growth in free cash flow, supported by a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.28, signifying efficient cash generation. Despite this, free cash flow to net income ratio at 1.33 suggests potential for optimizing capital expenditures.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	578.20M	611.12M	481.12M	741.84M	448.75M	226.46M
Gross Profit	311.01M	392.29M	265.00M	489.37M	286.82M	126.13M
EBITDA	225.95M	252.94M	253.64M	410.56M	385.95M	-171.31M
Net Income	87.87M	108.35M	103.60M	302.69M	284.42M	-363.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.38B	1.30B	1.19B	1.16B	1.08B	749.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	0.00	4.88M	4.09M	3.73M	3.51M	2.88M
Total Debt	198.95M	90.31M	50.10M	35.77M	157.59M	239.13M
Total Liabilities	479.01M	378.72M	267.16M	229.64M	356.60M	376.29M
Stockholders Equity	903.00M	918.26M	920.69M	925.37M	719.23M	372.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	162.20M	144.26M	125.83M	216.61M	68.72M	12.02M
Operating Cash Flow	244.55M	247.54M	230.26M	337.26M	125.12M	43.52M
Investing Cash Flow	-243.03M	-163.97M	-114.64M	-116.18M	-46.57M	-50.75M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.52M	-83.57M	-115.63M	-221.08M	-78.55M	7.22M

Cardinal Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 7.80
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CJ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.87, above the 50-day MA of 7.54, and above the 200-day MA of 6.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CJ.

Cardinal Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CJ	77 Outperform	C$1.23B	13.86	9.64%	9.52%	-9.20%	-25.28%
PXT	76 Outperform	$1.71B	9.89	6.62%	8.64%	-20.60%	-56.33%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
KEL	64 Neutral	$1.21B	16.36	6.73%	―	6.97%	9.34%
KEC	61 Neutral	C$997.76M	7.62	17.11%	―	21.85%	526.56%
VET	54 Neutral	$1.56B	―	4.40%	5.03%	-1.60%	76.21%
MER	45 Neutral	C$1.16B	―	-26.19%	6.08%	―	-523.86%

Cardinal Energy Corporate Events

Cardinal Energy Declares October Dividend

Cardinal Energy Ltd. has announced a monthly dividend of $0.06 per common share for October, payable on November 17, 2025, to shareholders of record as of October 31, 2025. This move underscores Cardinal’s commitment to providing shareholder value and maintaining its position in the energy sector, particularly in the context of its sustainable oil production operations in Western Canada.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJ) stock is a Hold with a C$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cardinal Energy stock, see the TSE:CJ Stock Forecast page.

Cardinal Energy Unveils Reford SAGD Project in Saskatchewan

Cardinal Energy Ltd. announced the opening of its Reford SAGD oil project in Saskatchewan, marking a significant milestone for the company and the province. The project is expected to provide long-term benefits by creating jobs, boosting local economic activity, and generating substantial royalty revenue for Saskatchewan. This development positions Cardinal as a leader in sustainable energy production and supports the province’s goal of increasing oil production. The Reford project enhances Cardinal’s production capacity, cash flow, and financial stability, offering resilience against fluctuating oil prices and contributing to the company’s long-term growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJ) stock is a Hold with a C$8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cardinal Energy stock, see the TSE:CJ Stock Forecast page.

Cardinal Energy Announces Dividend and Advances Reford Thermal Project

Cardinal Energy Ltd. announced the payment of a $0.06 per share dividend for September, to be distributed in October. Additionally, the company has begun steam injection at its Reford Thermal Project in Saskatchewan, marking the completion of the construction phase. This project is expected to significantly boost Cardinal’s production capacity, with a target of 6,000 barrels per day by early 2026. The company anticipates a 30% increase in production in the first quarter of 2026 and is preparing to sanction additional projects as market conditions permit.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJ) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cardinal Energy stock, see the TSE:CJ Stock Forecast page.

Cardinal Energy Declares August Dividend

Cardinal Energy Ltd. has announced a monthly dividend of $0.06 per common share for August, payable on September 15, 2025, to shareholders of record on August 29, 2025. This dividend, declared by the Board of Directors, is designated as an ‘eligible dividend’ for Canadian income tax purposes, reflecting the company’s commitment to providing shareholder value and its stable financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJ) stock is a Hold with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cardinal Energy stock, see the TSE:CJ Stock Forecast page.

Cardinal Energy Reports Increased Production and Progress on SAGD Project

Cardinal Energy Ltd. reported a 3% increase in production for the second quarter of 2025, achieving 21,184 boe/d despite limited drilling activities. The company directed $49.4 million in adjusted funds flow towards its Reford SAGD project and dividends. Cardinal’s net operating expenses decreased by 5%, while net debt rose to $227.1 million. The Reford project is on track for completion, with first steam expected in the third quarter, and the company maintained its dividend payout strategy, returning $28.9 million to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJ) stock is a Hold with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cardinal Energy stock, see the TSE:CJ Stock Forecast page.