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Parex Resources (TSE:PXT)
TSX:PXT

Parex Resources (PXT) AI Stock Analysis

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Parex Resources

(TSX:PXT)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
C$15.00
▲(10.54%Upside)
The overall score is driven by strong earnings call and corporate events, highlighting robust financial performance and strategic advancements. The attractive valuation with a high dividend yield further supports the score. However, mixed technical indicators and declining revenue in financial statements slightly temper the positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings Guidance
With Q4 earnings, the company reaffirmed 2025 guidance, allowing investors to move forward with confidence.
Production Guidance
The company's 2025 production guidance is slightly ahead of Street expectations, which should help build confidence that production has found a base.
Valuation
Current valuation appears quite attractive and should bring in new investors as the company reiterates consistent results.
Negative Factors
Geopolitical Risks
Colombia hasn't been kind to Canadian-listed E&P names. Government regulation, drilling exploration risk, and social unrest have historically warranted caution.
Past Performance
Underwhelming production results this past summer had upended multiple successful years.
Production Results
Underwhelming production results this past summer had upended multiple successful years for Parex.

Parex Resources (PXT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Parex Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionParex Resources Inc. (PXT) is a Canada-based oil and gas company focused on the exploration, development, and production of hydrocarbons. The company operates primarily in Colombia, where it holds a diversified portfolio of assets across multiple basins. Parex Resources is engaged in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas, contributing to the energy sector with its sustainable and efficient operations.
How the Company Makes MoneyParex Resources generates revenue primarily through the exploration, extraction, and sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of produced hydrocarbons, which are marketed and distributed to various domestic and international markets. Parex Resources leverages strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its exploration capabilities and maximize output. The company benefits from its focus on operational efficiency and cost management, which contributes to its profitability. Additionally, Parex Resources' earnings are influenced by global oil prices, production volumes, and its ability to optimize its asset portfolio.

Parex Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 28.50%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call outlined a strong financial and operational performance with significant progress in reserves and strategic initiatives. Tax and pricing improvements, alongside a robust plan for shareholder returns, further contribute to a positive outlook. Despite a minor decrease in PDP reserves, the overall sentiment is optimistic.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Generated $275 million in free funds flow, the third highest in the company's history, and $141 million in funds flow provided by operations for the quarter.
Positive Reserves Report
Grew 1P and 2P reserves per share in 2024, with strategic application of technology leading to increased recovery factors in key assets like LLA-34 and Cabrestero.
Operational Progress
Production averaged 45,297 BOE per day, meeting the revised guidance. Significant progress in waterflood and polymer activities and gas exploration plans.
Tax and Pricing Improvements
Achieved a $6 million current tax recovery, with an expected lower effective tax rate of 3% to 6% in 2025. Vasconia differential improved to below $2 per barrel.
Shareholder Returns
Returned C$1.5 billion to shareholders over the past five years, more than the current market cap, with plans to continue strengthening returns.
Best Safety Performance
2024 marked the company's best safety performance, highlighting employee dedication.
Negative Updates
Slight Decrease in PDP Reserves
While 1P and 2P reserves per share grew, PDP reserves per share decreased slightly.
Company Guidance
During Parex Resources' 2024 year-end conference call, the company reported robust financial and operational performance despite facing headwinds throughout the year. Key metrics highlighted include generating $275 million in free funds flow, achieving a quarterly funds flow of $141 million, and maintaining a production average of 45,297 BOE per day. Their 2024 results also saw a growth in 1P and 2P reserves per share, although PDP per share decreased slightly. Operational efforts included advancing waterflood and polymer injection techniques at key blocks, contributing to improved recovery factors. The company anticipates a reduced effective tax rate of 3% to 6% for 2025 at $70 per barrel Brent, alongside a Vasconia differential currently below $2 per barrel, down from the 2024 average of $5 per barrel. Looking forward, Parex plans to ramp up to four rigs in the second quarter of 2025 and focus on low-risk activities to enhance shareholder returns, which have amounted to C$1.5 billion over the past five years.

Parex Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Parex Resources exhibits a stable financial position with strong operational efficiency, evidenced by favorable EBIT and EBITDA margins. The company's balance sheet is robust with minimal leverage and high equity coverage. Cash flow management is efficient, although there's a slight decline in free cash flow growth. The primary concern is the declining revenue, which needs addressing to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Parex Resources has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. While the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is healthy at 54.9%, the net profit margin is relatively lower at 7.3%. The revenue growth rate from the previous year to the TTM period is -13.6%, indicating a decline in sales. However, the EBIT margin remains strong at 36.2%, reflecting efficient operational management. The EBITDA margin is also robust at 43.4%.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, indicating minimal leverage. The return on equity (ROE) for the TTM period is moderate at 4.3%, reflecting modest returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio stands at an impressive 85.5%, suggesting a solid capital structure and high asset coverage by equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Parex Resources demonstrates strong cash flow management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 6.9, underscoring substantial cash inflows relative to net income. The free cash flow growth rate from the previous year is -1.6%, indicating a slight decline. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is significant at 4.2, showcasing effective cash generation.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.11B1.29B1.17B1.31B900.20M531.87M
Gross Profit
610.70M549.07M889.83M1.11B728.57M357.20M
EBIT
403.01M469.43M454.24M803.17M503.81M173.35M
EBITDA
482.61M529.40M659.18M957.67M628.62M290.71M
Net Income Common Stockholders
81.22M60.68M459.31M611.37M303.11M99.32M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
81.03M98.02M140.35M419.00M378.34M330.56M
Total Assets
2.20B2.16B2.42B2.31B1.78B1.54B
Total Debt
54.51M64.62M95.74M6.08M4.51M1.82M
Net Debt
-26.52M-33.40M-44.62M-412.92M-373.83M-328.74M
Total Liabilities
317.43M323.74M459.90M599.38M390.53M200.60M
Stockholders Equity
1.88B1.83B1.96B1.71B1.39B1.34B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
338.47M343.89M26.11M453.36M322.15M173.10M
Operating Cash Flow
560.12M569.91M376.47M983.60M534.30M290.02M
Investing Cash Flow
-357.32M-392.24M-535.51M-638.10M-229.04M-179.80M
Financing Cash Flow
-182.98M-214.90M-130.63M-291.98M-252.35M-168.44M

Parex Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.57
Price Trends
50DMA
12.26
Positive
100DMA
12.97
Positive
200DMA
13.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.47
Negative
RSI
67.24
Neutral
STOCH
87.22
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PXT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.43, above the 50-day MA of 12.26, and above the 200-day MA of 13.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PXT.

Parex Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSPXT
81
Outperform
$1.33B11.854.22%11.26%-9.92%-78.49%
TSCJ
78
Outperform
C$1.02B8.6612.42%11.71%3.79%3.87%
TSHWX
76
Outperform
$1.48B7.4029.87%6.59%20.48%21.66%
TSKEL
62
Neutral
$1.33B24.994.98%0.73%-36.49%
57
Neutral
$7.07B2.93-3.47%5.76%0.66%-50.70%
TSVET
54
Neutral
$1.42B-1.19%5.49%1.04%94.48%
TSMER
45
Neutral
$1.25B-25.82%4.83%-438.52%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PXT
Parex Resources
13.57
-5.72
-29.64%
TSE:HWX
Headwater Exploration
6.24
-0.51
-7.50%
TSE:KEL
Kelt Exploration
6.68
0.62
10.23%
TSE:MER
Africa Oil
1.80
-0.56
-23.63%
TSE:VET
Vermilion Energy
8.96
-6.48
-41.96%
TSE:CJ
Cardinal Energy
6.15
0.15
2.50%

Parex Resources Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Parex Resources Secures Shareholder Approval at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 8, 2025

Parex Resources Inc. announced the successful approval of all matters presented at its annual general meeting of shareholders, including the election of nine directors and a non-binding advisory resolution on executive compensation. This approval reflects strong shareholder support and positions the company to continue its strategic focus on sustainable oil and gas production in Colombia.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Parex Resources Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results and Declares Q2 Dividend
Positive
May 8, 2025

Parex Resources reported its Q1 2025 financial results, highlighting a funds flow of $122 million and a net income of $81 million. The company announced a Q2 2025 dividend of C$0.385 per share and provided an operational update, including increased drilling activity and a strategic acquisition to boost production. Parex is on track to meet its 2025 production guidance and is closely monitoring commodity prices to optimize shareholder value.

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Parex Resources Reports Strong 2024 Results and Strategic Advancements
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

Parex Resources announced its 2024 financial results, highlighting a strong performance with $622 million in funds flow and a net income of $61 million. The company declared a Q1 2025 dividend and appointed a new CFO, Cameron Grainger. Parex achieved strategic milestones, including successful waterflood implementations and polymer injection pilots, and expanded its exploration activities in the Llanos Foothills. The company aims to maintain steady production and shareholder returns while preparing for future exploration opportunities.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.