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Paramount Resources Ltd (TSE:POU)
TSX:POU

Paramount Resources (POU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:POU

Paramount Resources

(TSX:POU)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$33.00
▲(16.57% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/06/26
The score is led by very attractive valuation (low P/E) and strong solvency/low leverage, while the main offsets are weak and volatile free cash flow recently and technical signals showing an overbought condition despite a clear uptrend.
Positive Factors
High profitability & ROE
A 46.77% ROE indicates the company converts equity into profits very effectively. Persistently high ROE suggests durable operational leverage and disciplined capital allocation, enabling reinvestment or shareholder returns even amid cyclical commodity markets.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue growth
Sustained revenue contraction undermines the sustainability of margins and limits cash available for reinvestment. For an E&P company, falling top-line can reflect lower production or price realizations, constraining ability to fund capex, dividends, or deleveraging over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High profitability & ROE
A 46.77% ROE indicates the company converts equity into profits very effectively. Persistently high ROE suggests durable operational leverage and disciplined capital allocation, enabling reinvestment or shareholder returns even amid cyclical commodity markets.
Read all positive factors

Paramount Resources (POU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Paramount Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Paramount Resources Ltd., an independent energy company, explores for, develops, produces, and markets natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids in Canada. The company's principal properties are the Montney and Duvernay developments located ...
How the Company Makes Money
Paramount Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company monetizes its production by selling these resources to various customers, including refiners, marketers, and other ene...

Paramount Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength and very low leverage support a higher score, but it is offset by volatile revenue/margins, 2025 earnings quality concerns (net income unusually high vs. sales), and notably negative free cash flow in 2024–2025 despite positive operating cash flow.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue965.70M2.08B1.80B2.52B1.38B
Gross Profit162.80M991.80M960.90M1.46B841.00M
EBITDA296.00M876.90M988.20M1.20B841.90M
Net Income1.29B335.90M470.20M680.60M236.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.59B4.76B4.39B4.34B3.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments730.80M2.40M48.90M2.50M1.70M
Total Debt25.50M201.90M29.20M177.40M398.90M
Total Liabilities875.40M1.06B889.50M959.20M1.28B
Stockholders Equity2.71B3.70B3.50B3.38B2.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-458.80M-41.20M126.90M248.80M202.10M
Operating Cash Flow417.30M815.30M938.20M1.05B482.10M
Investing Cash Flow2.91B-762.40M-376.70M-654.00M-51.70M
Financing Cash Flow-2.60B-99.40M-514.90M-393.20M-433.30M

Paramount Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price28.31
Price Trends
50DMA
27.34
Positive
100DMA
25.62
Positive
200DMA
23.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Positive
RSI
46.75
Neutral
STOCH
26.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:POU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 28.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.46, above the 50-day MA of 27.34, and above the 200-day MA of 23.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:POU.

Paramount Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
C$5.18B14.3227.19%3.04%115.77%
73
Outperform
C$4.09B2.7048.07%2.84%-32.36%282.99%
68
Neutral
C$5.43B-110.02-1.84%1.91%-1.36%-149.45%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
C$4.38B-1.00-16.22%2.07%-8.89%
60
Neutral
C$4.07B70.083.12%-9.12%-70.87%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:POU
Paramount Resources
28.31
12.97
84.51%
TSE:BTE
Baytex Energy
5.92
3.65
160.45%
TSE:ATH
Athabasca Oil
10.80
6.34
142.15%
TSE:TVE
Tamarack Valley Energy
11.19
7.69
219.53%
TSE:IPCO
International Petroleum Corporation
36.29
18.86
108.20%

Paramount Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Paramount Resources Posts Strong 2025 Results, Lifts 2026 Outlook After Asset Shift
Positive
Mar 3, 2026
Paramount Resources reported fourth-quarter 2025 sales volumes of 46,973 Boe/d, with 53% liquids, and annual volumes of 42,238 Boe/d that exceeded guidance, supported by strong performance at its wholly owned Alhambra Plant in Willesden Green. The...
Dividends
Paramount Resources Declares February Cash Dividend of $0.05 Per Share
Positive
Feb 2, 2026
Paramount Resources Ltd. has declared a cash dividend of $0.05 per common share, payable on February 27, 2026 to shareholders of record as of February 13, 2026, and designated this payout as an eligible dividend for Canadian income tax purposes. T...
Dividends
Paramount Resources Declares February Cash Dividend
Positive
Feb 2, 2026
Paramount Resources Ltd. has declared a cash dividend of $0.05 per common share, payable on February 27, 2026 to shareholders of record on February 13, 2026, and designated it as an eligible dividend for Canadian income tax purposes. The announcem...
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Paramount Resources Declares January Cash Dividend and Flags Potential Variability
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026
Paramount Resources Ltd. has declared a cash dividend of $0.05 per common share, payable on January 30, 2026, to shareholders of record as of January 15, 2026, and designated it as an eligible dividend for Canadian income tax purposes. The announc...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Paramount Resources Strengthens Financial Position and Advances Key Developments
Positive
Dec 16, 2025
Paramount Resources Ltd. has secured a $250 million term loan facility and extended its $500 million credit facility, enhancing its financial position to advance its Willesden Green and Sinclair developments. The company has also sold its remainin...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Paramount Resources Strengthens Financial Position and Advances Key Developments
Positive
Dec 16, 2025
Paramount Resources Ltd. has secured a $250 million term loan facility with Export Development Canada and extended its $500 million senior secured revolving bank credit facility. The company has also sold its remaining investment in NuVista Energy...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 06, 2026