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Maxim Power Corp. (TSE:MXG)
TSX:MXG
Canadian Market

Maxim Power (MXG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MXG

Maxim Power

(TSX:MXG)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
C$5.00
▲(12.61% Upside)
The score is primarily supported by an exceptionally strong, low-debt balance sheet and positive profitability/cash generation. It is held back by uneven earnings and free-cash-flow consistency versus 2024, and neutral technical momentum with a mid-range P/E and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant increase in revenue indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, contributing to long-term growth prospects.
Balance Sheet Health
A low debt-to-equity ratio and high equity position provide financial stability and flexibility, supporting sustainable operations and growth.
Cash Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities, reduce debt, and improve shareholder value over time.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue growth rate suggests potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact future profitability and market position.
Earnings Volatility
Significant volatility in earnings per share growth indicates potential instability in profit generation, which may affect investor confidence and valuation.
Profitability Concerns
While profitability has improved, the recent positive net income follows a period of losses, highlighting the need for consistent profit generation to ensure long-term financial health.

Maxim Power (MXG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Maxim Power Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMaxim Power Corp., an independent power producer, engages in the development, ownership, and operation of power generation facilities in Canada. Its core asset is Milner 2 power plant, a 204 megawatt natural gas-fired turbine generator located in Grande Cache, Alberta. Maxim Power Corp. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMaxim Power generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity produced by its power generation facilities. The company operates in various markets, including wholesale power markets, where it sells electricity to utilities and large industrial customers. Additionally, Maxim Power may benefit from long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) that provide stable revenue streams. The company also explores opportunities in renewable energy, allowing it to diversify its revenue sources. Strategic partnerships with other energy companies and participation in energy trading markets can further enhance its earnings potential.

Maxim Power Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet with effectively negligible debt (very low financial risk) and positive profitability supported by solid TTM margins. Offsetting this, revenue/margins and free cash flow have been volatile, with TTM earnings power and free cash flow weaker than 2024 and cash conversion only moderate.
Income Statement
64
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) profitability remains solid (about 67% gross margin and ~15% net margin), but earnings power is down versus 2024 as margins compressed and revenue declined from the 2024 annual level. The multi-year revenue path is volatile (large swings from year to year), which is typical for the sector but still reduces earnings visibility. Positives include consistently positive net income in the periods shown and strong margins in the best years (2021–2022), while the key weakness is the uneven operating trend and lower recent profitability versus peak levels.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a major strength: debt is effectively negligible in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and also very low in 2024, resulting in minimal financial risk and high flexibility. Equity is substantial relative to assets (TTM equity of ~$331M vs. assets of ~$375M), and returns on equity are positive, though they have moderated versus earlier years. The primary drawback is that returns are not consistently high year-to-year (reflecting earnings volatility), but overall leverage and solvency profile are exceptionally strong.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Cash generation is healthy in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with positive operating cash flow (~$27M) and positive free cash flow (~$14M). However, free cash flow declined versus the prior annual period (negative growth), and free cash flow is only about half of net income in TTM, suggesting earnings are not fully translating into free cash after investment needs. Historically, cash flow has been choppy (including negative free cash flow in several years), but 2024 was very strong and the company remains free-cash-flow positive in the latest TTM period.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue92.95M101.48M38.47M141.26M156.01M46.73M
Gross Profit62.64M42.83M-9.94M53.50M77.94M6.18M
EBITDA31.43M51.10M55.45M70.81M113.48M11.93M
Net Income13.93M21.95M28.30M42.28M78.51M9.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets375.28M359.10M425.84M382.11M312.44M239.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.03M30.07M32.26M51.38M13.55M12.26M
Total Debt0.0077.00K81.31M82.81M53.85M66.98M
Total Liabilities44.43M43.08M128.09M113.45M85.25M91.40M
Stockholders Equity330.85M316.02M297.75M268.65M227.18M147.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.24M76.88M-3.58M-4.68M16.64M-13.21M
Operating Cash Flow27.39M84.07M23.84M76.41M105.22M6.96M
Investing Cash Flow11.36M7.30M-32.09M-57.79M-85.31M-25.89M
Financing Cash Flow-84.76M-93.64M-10.86M19.28M-18.60M10.35M

Maxim Power Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.44
Price Trends
50DMA
4.41
Positive
100DMA
4.49
Negative
200DMA
4.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
47.95
Neutral
STOCH
51.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MXG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.45, above the 50-day MA of 4.41, and above the 200-day MA of 4.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:MXG.

Maxim Power Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
C$281.07M20.214.47%-28.65%-73.50%
65
Neutral
C$5.96B15.409.32%3.62%7.75%11.25%
64
Neutral
C$9.32B21.229.40%4.44%-2.99%-32.11%
53
Neutral
$4.91B-17.24-7.06%6.80%-4.86%-86.64%
49
Neutral
C$5.16B-26.79-8.42%1.46%-11.00%-227.07%
47
Neutral
C$2.59B-112.77-1.47%2.62%-11.91%-132.41%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MXG
Maxim Power
4.42
-1.44
-24.57%
TSE:TA
TransAlta
17.40
1.51
9.48%
TSE:ACO.X
ATCO Ltd Cl I NV
59.12
14.89
33.67%
TSE:BLX
Boralex Inc Cl A
25.25
1.28
5.34%
TSE:CPX
Capital Power
59.75
9.26
18.34%
TSE:NPI
Northland Power
18.77
3.28
21.15%

Maxim Power Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Maxim Power Corp. Reports Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Negative
Nov 6, 2025

Maxim Power Corp. reported its third-quarter financial results for 2025, showing an increase in revenue compared to 2024 due to higher realized power prices, despite a decrease in generation volumes. However, the company’s net income remained comparable to the previous year, while Adjusted EBITDA decreased due to lower net realized gains on commodity swaps. Over the first nine months of 2025, both revenue and net income saw a decline, attributed to lower power prices and generation volumes, as well as unrealized losses on commodity swaps.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MXG) stock is a Hold with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Maxim Power stock, see the TSE:MXG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026