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Magellan Aerospace (TSE:MAL)
TSX:MAL

Magellan Aerospace (MAL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MAL

Magellan Aerospace

(TSX:MAL)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
C$23.50
▲(2.93% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/30/26
The score is supported by improving financial performance and a low-debt balance sheet, but is held back by inconsistent cash generation (notably weaker free cash flow in 2025) and bearish technical signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is reasonable but not particularly compelling given the low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Margin Improvement
Sustained revenue growth coupled with meaningful margin recovery indicates improving program mix, pricing or cost control that should persist as production programs normalize. Higher gross and EBIT margins provide a stronger earnings base that supports reinvestment and resiliency across cycles.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Volatility
Inconsistent cash conversion undermines financial durability—sharp declines in free cash flow limit the company's ability to self-fund growth, sustain dividends, reduce debt, or absorb program delays. Persistent volatility raises refinancing and investment-risk considerations over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & Margin Improvement
Sustained revenue growth coupled with meaningful margin recovery indicates improving program mix, pricing or cost control that should persist as production programs normalize. Higher gross and EBIT margins provide a stronger earnings base that supports reinvestment and resiliency across cycles.
Read all positive factors

Magellan Aerospace (MAL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Magellan Aerospace Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Magellan Aerospace Corporation, through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells aero engine and structure components for the aerospace markets in Canada, the United States, Europe, and Asia. It offers aero engine products, su...
How the Company Makes Money
Magellan Aerospace makes money primarily by manufacturing and supplying aerospace components, subassemblies, and systems to aircraft and engine manufacturers and their supply chains, with revenue largely tied to long-term production programs and a...

Magellan Aerospace Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are improving: revenue has grown steadily (2023–2025) and profitability strengthened meaningfully (gross margin ~13.5% and EBIT margin ~7.6% in 2025). The balance sheet is conservative with low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.11) and rising equity. The main drag is cash-flow volatility—free cash flow dropped sharply in 2025 and was negative in 2023, raising durability concerns.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B942.37M879.62M764.58M688.36M
Gross Profit140.72M107.89M88.99M35.06M48.33M
EBITDA126.89M96.39M71.01M31.54M56.41M
Net Income39.44M35.49M9.25M-21.69M-977.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.17B1.15B1.03B1.01B1.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.05M56.44M1.49M40.94M32.48M
Total Debt88.61M86.42M73.45M63.34M67.77M
Total Liabilities340.00M343.44M287.66M279.16M237.99M
Stockholders Equity822.45M799.44M734.04M728.35M762.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow27.61M63.19M-41.56M34.08M-9.79M
Operating Cash Flow78.60M99.29M-17.30M58.54M12.53M
Investing Cash Flow-55.09M-35.10M-23.69M-23.86M-20.80M
Financing Cash Flow-15.45M-17.62M1.01M-26.27M-73.01M

Magellan Aerospace Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.83
Price Trends
50DMA
22.03
Positive
100DMA
20.18
Positive
200DMA
18.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.26
Positive
RSI
54.43
Neutral
STOCH
75.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MAL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.40, above the 50-day MA of 22.03, and above the 200-day MA of 18.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:MAL.

Magellan Aerospace Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$523.61M21.6614.42%15.09%31.55%
71
Outperform
C$4.79B30.518.88%57.77%57.55%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
C$11.82B30.697.50%9.12%
62
Neutral
C$1.30B26.824.83%0.93%8.84%131.58%
46
Neutral
C$274.81M-6.53-48.00%26.74%53.14%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MAL
Magellan Aerospace
22.83
11.57
102.70%
TSE:CAE
CAE
36.73
6.70
22.31%
TSE:FTG
Firan Tech
20.80
13.94
203.21%
TSE:DPRO
Draganfly
7.53
4.49
147.70%
TSE:MDA
MDA Space Ltd
37.85
13.97
58.50%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 30, 2026