MDA Space Ltd (MDA) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$5.52B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 613.53K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 46.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.96
• Revenue Growth: 57.21%
• EPS Growth: 136.79%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 3,400
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 74
• Industry: Aerospace & Defense
• EPS (TTM): 0.38
• Shares Outstanding: 124,872,250
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 576,683
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 613,528
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$54.00
• Price Target Upside: 22.14% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6

• Rating: 79 Outperform
• Price Target: C$51.00 ▲(15.36% Upside)

MDA Ltd's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, although the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. The absence of a dividend yield further impacts the valuation.

Positive Factors

Contract Wins

The strength in Satellite Systems is benefiting from the ramp of Telesat Lightspeed and the recent Globalstar contract award.

Guidance

FY2025 guidance for revenue and EBITDA is well above consensus, indicating strong expected growth.

Valuation

The stock's valuation is considered attractive given MDA's strong backlog and pipeline.

Negative Factors

Tariffs Impact

The potential impact of U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports remains uncertain, but is considered manageable due to MDA's non-U.S. backlog and other mitigating factors.

MDA Space Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

MDA Ltd. designs, manufactures, and services space robotics, satellite systems and components, and intelligence systems in Canada, the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and internationally. It offers geointelligence solutions that provide satellite-generated imagery and analytic services to deliver critical and value-added insights in the areas of national security, climate change monitoring, and maritime surveillance. The company also provides robotics and space operations that enable humanity's exploration by providing autonomous robotics and vision sensors that operate in space and on the surfaces of the moon and mars. In addition, it offers satellite systems and spacecraft to enable space-based services, including space-based broadband internet connectivity from low earth orbit satellite constellations. Further, the company provides products and services of defense intelligence systems. It serves government agencies, prime contractors, and space companies. The company was formerly known as Neptune Acquisition Holdings Inc. and changed its name to MDA Ltd. in March 2021. MDA Ltd. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Brampton, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

MDA Ltd generates revenue through a diverse range of channels, primarily from the sale of its advanced technology solutions and services. Key revenue streams include contracts with government agencies for space exploration and defense projects, commercial sales of satellite systems and geospatial data services, and partnerships with international organizations. The company benefits from long-term contracts and strategic alliances that provide a steady income flow, while continued innovation and investment in R&D help maintain its competitive edge and expand its market reach.

MDA Space Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

MDA Ltd shows strong financial health with robust revenue growth and stable profitability. The balance sheet reflects balanced leverage and effective equity utilization. Despite challenges in free cash flow growth, the company maintains solid cash generation capability.

Income Statement

MDA Ltd has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 10.75% increase in the TTM period, indicating robust demand and market presence. The gross profit margin of 24.54% and net profit margin of 8.48% reflect solid profitability, although slightly lower than previous periods. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 13.29% and 20.43% respectively, showcasing efficient operational management. Overall, the income statement reflects a positive growth trajectory and stable profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity (ROE) of 9.53% is commendable, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 40.62%, suggesting a solid equity base. While the company maintains a stable financial position, the increase in total debt over previous periods warrants monitoring.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 15.21%, which could indicate potential cash management challenges. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.75 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.74 suggest that the company is generating sufficient cash relative to its net income. Despite the recent decline in free cash flow, the overall cash flow position remains relatively strong.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.35B	1.08B	807.60M	641.20M	476.90M	295.60M
Gross Profit	332.10M	281.70M	244.00M	228.40M	167.80M	33.80M
EBITDA	276.50M	230.00M	154.00M	150.80M	124.00M	43.60M
Net Income	114.70M	79.40M	48.80M	26.30M	2.90M	-17.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.16B	2.60B	2.16B	1.75B	1.53B	1.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	665.90M	166.70M	22.50M	39.30M	83.60M	78.60M
Total Debt	391.10M	136.80M	525.00M	251.90M	160.40M	580.20M
Total Liabilities	1.87B	1.42B	1.10B	750.20M	572.90M	997.80M
Stockholders Equity	1.28B	1.18B	1.06B	1.00B	961.70M	457.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	708.50M	614.80M	-179.70M	-123.10M	-22.50M	43.10M
Operating Cash Flow	961.70M	815.60M	13.50M	57.00M	72.10M	56.40M
Investing Cash Flow	-226.60M	-229.90M	-217.60M	-180.10M	-98.80M	-1.01B
Financing Cash Flow	-110.70M	-436.10M	187.40M	78.80M	30.60M	1.03B

MDA Space Ltd Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 44.21
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MDA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 44.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.14, above the 50-day MA of 41.51, and above the 200-day MA of 30.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:MDA.

MDA Space Ltd Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MDA	79 Outperform	C$5.52B	46.92	9.64%	―	57.21%	136.79%
Sector *	64 Neutral	$10.73B	15.74	7.64%	2.01%	2.76%	-15.10%
CAE	―	$8.56B	28.85	8.73%	―	―	―
BDRBF	―	$11.28B	24.69		―	―	―
FTG	77 Outperform	C$301.45M	21.06	18.05%	―	17.52%	54.86%
MAL	64 Neutral	C$919.93M	24.26	4.85%	0.78%	6.58%	121.23%
BBD.A	63 Neutral	C$15.58B	24.62	-23.10%	―	6.69%	64.89%

MDA Space Ltd Corporate Events

MDA Space Ltd Reports Robust Q2 2025 Results and Strategic Expansions

MDA Space Ltd reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, with a 54% increase in revenue and a 57% rise in adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous year. The company secured a significant $1.8 billion contract with EchoStar for a LEO satellite constellation, enhancing its leadership in the non-terrestrial network market. Additionally, MDA announced the acquisition of SatixFy Communications and an agreement with the Canadian Space Agency to manage the David Florida Laboratory, further solidifying its position in the space industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDA) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MDA Ltd stock, see the TSE:MDA Stock Forecast page.

MDA Space Secures Major Contract for EchoStar’s Pioneering LEO Satellite Constellation

EchoStar Corporation has selected MDA Space Ltd. as the prime contractor for its groundbreaking low Earth orbit (LEO) direct-to-device (D2D) satellite constellation, marking a significant advancement in non-terrestrial network technology. The contract, initially valued at approximately US$1.3 billion, involves the production of over 100 software-defined satellites, with potential expansion to over 200 satellites, ultimately enhancing global connectivity for 5G devices. This collaboration positions MDA Space as a leader in the NTN market, with the project expected to extend connectivity to underserved areas and integrate seamlessly with terrestrial networks, reinforcing EchoStar’s market presence and service capabilities in the U.S., Europe, and beyond.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDA) stock is a Buy with a C$34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MDA Ltd stock, see the TSE:MDA Stock Forecast page.

MDA Space to Lead Study for Canada’s Lunar Utility Vehicle

MDA Space Ltd. has been selected by the Canadian Space Agency to lead an early-phase study for Canada’s proposed Lunar Utility Vehicle (LUV). This collaboration involves Canadian expertise from the Centre de Technologies Avancées BRP and the University of Toronto Institute for Aerospace Studies, focusing on mission architecture and technology development for future lunar logistics. The study aims to ensure technologies are mission-ready, building on a successful autonomous lunar demonstration. This initiative positions MDA Space as a key player in shaping Canada’s role in lunar exploration, potentially impacting long-term human presence on the Moon.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDA) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MDA Ltd stock, see the TSE:MDA Stock Forecast page.

MDA Space Appoints Rob Singh as VP of Strategic Solutions

MDA Space has appointed Rabindra (Rob) Singh as Vice President of Strategic Solutions, a new role aimed at driving strategic customer solutions and growth opportunities. With over 30 years of experience in the space industry, Singh’s appointment is expected to enhance MDA’s ability to meet customer demand and expand its presence in the global space economy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDA) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MDA Ltd stock, see the TSE:MDA Stock Forecast page.

MDA Space to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results on August 7

MDA Space announced it will release its second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025, before the market opens. The company will hold a conference call and webcast to discuss these results, providing stakeholders with insights into its financial performance and strategic direction. The webcast will be available on the MDA Space Investor Relations website for a year, allowing stakeholders to access the information at their convenience.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDA) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MDA Ltd stock, see the TSE:MDA Stock Forecast page.

MDA Space Ltd. Leads SkyPhi Mission for 5G Satellite Communications

MDA Space Ltd. announced its leadership role in the SkyPhi mission, funded by the European Space Agency and the UK Space Agency, to develop regenerative 5G direct-to-device satellite communications from low Earth orbit. This initiative, part of the ARTES program, highlights the UK’s leadership in satellite innovation and involves collaboration with UK-based partners CGI and Open Cosmos. The project aims to enhance the UK’s competitive edge in the space sector by advancing satellite-enabled 5G services and strengthening the industrial base of the UK space industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDA) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MDA Ltd stock, see the TSE:MDA Stock Forecast page.

MDA Space Completes Acquisition of SatixFy Communications

MDA Space Ltd. has completed its acquisition of SatixFy Communications Ltd., a company specializing in next-generation satellite communication solutions. This acquisition enhances MDA Space’s satellite systems strategy and strengthens its competitive edge as the demand for digital satellite solutions grows. The integration of SatixFy’s operations and technology into MDA’s Satellite Systems business is expected to bolster the company’s offerings in the rapidly expanding global space market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDA) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MDA Ltd stock, see the TSE:MDA Stock Forecast page.

MDA Space Extends Maritime Surveillance Contract with Canadian Government

MDA Space Ltd. has announced an extension of its contract with Fisheries and Oceans Canada to provide satellite surveillance data and analytics for maritime security. This extension supports Canada’s leadership in maritime safety and aligns with international commitments to combat illegal fishing. The contract includes future use of MDA’s upcoming Earth observation constellation, CHORUS, enhancing Canada’s capabilities in monitoring and intercepting illegal maritime activities, thereby strengthening its Indo-Pacific Strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDA) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MDA Ltd stock, see the TSE:MDA Stock Forecast page.

MDA Space Secures $60 Million Contract for River-class Destroyer Program

MDA Space Ltd has secured a $60 million contract for the next phase of the River-class Destroyer program, focusing on the delivery and integration of sensor systems for the first three ships. These systems are designed to enhance situational awareness and protect against laser and optical guided threats, supporting the Royal Canadian Navy’s missions. The project is part of Canada’s National Shipbuilding Strategy, with Irving Shipbuilding Inc. constructing the ships and Lockheed Martin Canada leading the combat management system design.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDA) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MDA Ltd stock, see the TSE:MDA Stock Forecast page.

MDA Space and SatixFy Amend Merger Agreement with Increased Offer

MDA Space Ltd. and SatixFy Communications Ltd. have amended their merger agreement, increasing the all-cash transaction offer to US$3.00 per ordinary share, valuing SatixFy at approximately US$280 million. This decision followed a competitive ‘go-shop’ process where SatixFy received a higher offer from a third party, leading to negotiations with MDA. The increased offer was deemed the best value for shareholders, with 57% of SatixFy shareholders already committed to supporting the revised merger agreement. The shareholder meeting to approve the merger has been postponed to allow for proper disclosure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDA) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MDA Ltd stock, see the TSE:MDA Stock Forecast page.