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CAE Inc (TSE:CAE)
TSX:CAE
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CAE (CAE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CAE

CAE

(TSX:CAE)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$42.00
▲(13.98% Upside)
CAE's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a balanced outlook from the latest earnings call. The company's robust revenue growth and profitability are key strengths, but challenges in cash flow and valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio limit the score. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, adding caution to the outlook.
Positive Factors
Civil Services Growth
Civil’s services revenue grew approximately 11% year-over-year, driven by enduring business jet training demand.
Defense Segment Performance
Margins in the Defense segment held at high single digit and show improvement from CAE’s performance.
Leadership Changes
Mathew Bromberg officially began his role as CAE’s new President and CEO, and the changes are viewed favorably with positive feedback from discussions with clients.
Negative Factors
Civil Aviation Revenue
Civil Aviation posted muted revenue growth, weaker simulator utilization, and a book-to-bill of 0.84x.
US Pilot Hiring
US commercial hiring is down 40% year-over-year, reflecting a significant slowdown in the recruitment of new pilots.
US Training Center Utilization
Traffic at CAE's US training centers fell 4% year-over-year, suggesting a utilization rate of 72%, which is below estimates.

CAE (CAE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

CAE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCAE Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides simulation training and critical operations support solutions worldwide. It operates through three segments: Civil Aviation, Defense and Security, and Healthcare. The Civil Aviation segment provides training solutions for flight, cabin, maintenance, and ground personnel in commercial, business, and helicopter aviation; flight simulation training devices; and ab initio pilot training and crew sourcing services, as well as end to end digitally enabled crew management, training operations solutions, and optimization software. The Defense and Security segment offers training and mission support solutions for defense forces across multi-domain operations, OEMs, government agencies and public safety organizations. The Healthcare segment provides integrated education and training solutions, including interventional and imaging simulations, curricula, audiovisual debriefing solutions, center management platforms, and patient simulators for healthcare students and clinical professionals, hospital and university simulation centers, medical and nursing schools, paramedic organizations, defense forces, medical societies, public health agencies and OEMs. The company was formerly known as CAE Industries Ltd. and changed its name to CAE Inc. in 1993. CAE Inc. was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Saint-Laurent, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCAE generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by offering simulation-based training solutions and services to airlines, military organizations, and healthcare providers. Key revenue streams include the sale of flight simulators and training devices, training services provided to pilots and crew members, and maintenance services for simulation equipment. Additionally, CAE partners with various airlines and defense organizations to deliver customized training programs, further enhancing its revenue potential. The company's contracts with government agencies and commercial entities also contribute significantly to its earnings, ensuring a steady flow of income from long-term agreements and service contracts.

CAE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflected a balanced outlook, with strong performance in the Defense segment and promising developments in business aviation. However, challenges in the Civil segment, particularly the temporary pause in commercial pilot hiring and negative free cash flow, offset some of the positive momentum. The company remains optimistic about future growth opportunities, especially in Defense, but recognizes the need for operational efficiencies and capital allocation improvements.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Defense Segment Performance
Defense delivered strong year-over-year growth in adjusted segment operating income with an 8.2% margin, driven by improved execution and disciplined program management. The segment achieved a book-to-sales ratio of 1.25x, contributing to $11 billion in Defense adjusted backlog, up 7% year-over-year.
Business Aviation Success
Market conditions for business aviation remain strong, accounting for about half of Civil's profit. CAE opened its first dedicated training center in Central Europe, enhancing customer support with new full-flight simulators.
Continued Investment and Expansion
Capital expenditures totaled $106.9 million this quarter, with approximately 75% invested in growth. This includes simulators deployed to support U.S. Army helicopter training in Alabama.
Strong Order Intake
Overall order intake was $1.1 billion, with notable orders in Defense, including the continuation of flight training services for the U.S. Air Force and collaboration with Sikorsky for anti-submarine warfare capabilities.
Negative Updates
Commercial Pilot Hiring Pause
There was an extension of the temporary pause in pilot hiring, particularly in the U.S., leading to lower utilization and fewer full-flight simulator orders in the quarter. Training center utilization fell to 71%, down from 76% in the prior year period.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative $36.2 million compared to negative $25.3 million in the first quarter last year, mainly due to higher investment in noncash working capital.
Lower Civil Segment Growth Guidance
Civil segment growth guidance was revised to the lower end of the prior outlook, with expected annual adjusted segment operating income growth in the mid-single-digit percentage range.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, CAE provided guidance on several key financial metrics and strategic priorities. The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.21 and an adjusted order intake of $1.1 billion. CAE is targeting a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of approximately 2.5x by the fiscal year-end, indicating a focus on deleveraging the balance sheet. The company also highlighted a 71% training center utilization rate and a total Civil adjusted backlog of $8.4 billion, up 27% year-over-year. In Defense, the adjusted segment operating income increased by 45% to $40.2 million, reflecting margin expansion and improved program execution. Overall, CAE emphasized a focus on enhancing free cash flow conversion, improving returns on invested capital, and considering shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases. The company expressed optimism about long-term growth opportunities, driven by favorable market dynamics in both civil aviation and defense sectors.

CAE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CAE has shown strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, improved profitability metrics, and robust cash flow generation. The balance sheet is stable with a balanced leverage approach, enhancing financial flexibility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
CAE has demonstrated robust financial performance with a consistent increase in total revenue over the years, reaching CAD 4.71 billion in 2025, marking a solid revenue growth rate of 9.92% from 2024 to 2025. The company achieved a gross profit margin of 27.61% and a significant improvement in net profit margin from negative to 8.61%. Additionally, the EBIT margin improved to 15.49%, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. This reflects a strong recovery and growth trajectory in its financial health.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet showcases a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.71, suggesting a balanced approach to leverage. The return on equity (ROE) improved significantly to 8.29%, showcasing effective utilization of equity. The equity ratio stands at 43.61%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets. While the debt levels are manageable, continuous monitoring is essential to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow performance is strong, with the operating cash flow increasing to CAD 896.5 million, supporting robust free cash flow growth. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.12, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.21 further underscores the company's ability to convert income into cash. The upward trend in free cash flow demonstrates effective capital management and operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.73B4.71B4.28B4.20B3.37B2.98B
Gross Profit1.33B1.30B1.15B1.17B955.50M765.00M
EBITDA1.17B1.12B117.70M747.00M548.10M351.00M
Net Income414.20M405.30M-304.00M222.70M141.70M-47.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.88B11.21B9.83B10.44B9.58B8.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments171.20M293.70M160.10M217.60M346.10M926.10M
Total Debt3.41B3.47B3.07B3.25B3.05B2.35B
Total Liabilities5.89B6.24B5.53B5.85B5.49B5.54B
Stockholders Equity4.91B4.89B4.22B4.51B4.01B3.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow441.90M452.40M126.30M-16.90M55.40M203.00M
Operating Cash Flow894.10M896.50M566.90M408.40M418.20M366.60M
Investing Cash Flow-744.30M-732.30M-215.40M-400.70M-2.24B-343.40M
Financing Cash Flow-132.10M-49.80M-395.30M-152.60M1.26B-21.30M

CAE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price36.85
Price Trends
50DMA
38.86
Negative
100DMA
36.96
Negative
200DMA
35.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.58
Positive
RSI
38.90
Neutral
STOCH
29.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CAE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 36.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.95, below the 50-day MA of 38.86, and above the 200-day MA of 35.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CAE.

CAE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$5.47B46.569.64%57.21%136.79%
71
Outperform
$11.82B28.428.73%8.04%
64
Neutral
$10.73B15.657.61%2.01%2.80%-14.92%
$11.39B24.90
77
Outperform
C$301.45M21.0618.05%17.52%54.86%
63
Neutral
C$15.72B24.76-23.10%6.69%64.89%
56
Neutral
C$897.65M23.674.85%0.79%6.58%121.23%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CAE
CAE
36.85
12.99
54.44%
BDRBF
Bombardier
112.27
50.61
82.08%
TSE:BBD.A
Bombardier Cl A MV
156.16
72.50
86.66%
TSE:FTG
Firan Tech
11.95
6.19
107.47%
TSE:MAL
Magellan Aerospace
16.10
7.06
78.10%
TSE:MDA
MDA Space Ltd
44.21
29.38
198.11%

CAE Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
CAE Announces 2025 Board of Directors Election Results
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

CAE announced the election results for its Board of Directors at the 2025 Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders, with 13 nominees successfully elected. This outcome reinforces CAE’s leadership structure as it continues to focus on delivering excellence in training and simulation solutions, thereby strengthening its position in the aviation and defense industries.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CAE) stock is a Buy with a C$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CAE stock, see the TSE:CAE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CAE Inc. Reports Strong Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results and Announces Leadership Transition
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

CAE Inc. reported a solid first quarter for fiscal 2026, with revenue of $1,098.6 million and an EPS of $0.18, reflecting growth from the previous year. The company announced leadership changes with Matthew Bromberg set to succeed Marc Parent as President and CEO, and Calin Rovinescu becoming Executive Chairman. The results highlight CAE’s strong performance in both civil and defense sectors, and the company is poised to capitalize on future opportunities with a focus on operational excellence and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CAE) stock is a Buy with a C$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CAE stock, see the TSE:CAE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
CAE Appoints Matthew Bromberg as New CEO Amid Leadership Transition
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

CAE Inc. has announced the appointment of Matthew Bromberg as its new President and CEO, effective August 13, 2025. This leadership change is part of an orderly transition following the departure of Marc Parent, who has significantly transformed CAE into a world leader in aviation training solutions. The company also appointed Calin Rovinescu as Executive Chairman and Sophie Brochu as Lead Independent Director, emphasizing CAE’s commitment to strong governance. Bromberg brings extensive experience in aerospace and defense, having held executive roles at Northrop Grumman and RTX Corp. His leadership is expected to drive CAE’s strategic growth and innovation.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CAE) stock is a Buy with a C$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CAE stock, see the TSE:CAE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025