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Firan Tech (TSE:FTG)
TSX:FTG

Firan Tech (FTG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FTG

Firan Tech

(TSX:FTG)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
C$23.50
▲(16.57% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/21/26
The score is driven by solid underlying financial performance (growth with improving profitability, though with margin/cash-conversion and leverage-trend risks) and strong bullish technicals. This is partially offset by a less attractive valuation (P/E ~31) and near-term execution/cost headwinds noted on the earnings call (tariffs, integration SG&A, and capacity ramp constraints).
Positive Factors
Strong bookings & backlog
A large, high-conversion backlog provides durable revenue visibility and supports capacity planning. With ~80% of $148.5M backlog expected to convert in 2026, FTG can better schedule ramp, secure supply lines, and reduce near-term revenue cyclicality, improving predictability for 12–24 months.
Improving profitability and margins
Material margin expansion and EBITDA growth indicate stronger unit economics and pricing or mix improvements. Sustained operating leverage across growing revenue can fund reinvestment, support higher free cash generation over time, and validate competitive positioning in high-reliability PCB niches.
Defense program wins & tailwinds
Defense qualifications create multi-year, higher-barrier contracts with sticky demand. Combined with rising NATO/U.S./Canadian defense budgets and OEM ramp plans, these programs provide structural revenue upside and diversification away from commercial cyclicality, improving long-term utilization.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage trend
Debt increased materially due to acquisition activity, raising leverage and reducing financial flexibility. While absolute leverage remains moderate versus EBITDA, the upward trend heightens sensitivity to integration hiccups, tariff shocks, or cash-conversion setbacks, constraining strategic optionality.
Moderate cash conversion & FCF dip
Subpar cash conversion and a decline in free cash flow signal working-capital drag and timing risks. Persistent gaps between accounting earnings and cash reduce internal funding for capex, acquisitions or debt paydown, increasing reliance on external liquidity during multi-year growth and ramp periods.
Tariff and acquisition-related cost pressure
Persistent tariff exposure plus higher SG&A from acquisitions and start-up sites compress margins structurally until cost pass-through or operational synergies are realized. This raises the breakeven for new sites and slows margin normalization across the medium term.

Firan Tech (FTG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Firan Tech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFiran Technology Group Corporation manufactures and sells printed circuit boards, illuminated cockpit display panels, and keyboards primarily in Canada, the United States, Asia, Europe, and rest of Americas. It operates in two segments, FTG Circuits and FTG Aerospace. The company offers printed circuit boards, standard rigid, high-density interconnect, RF circuitry, thermal management, and rigid flex and assembly products. It also provides avionic sub-system hardware products, such as backlit control panels and assemblies, integrated switch panels, MCDU keyboards, primary display bezels, cursor control devices, and advanced control panel assemblies/line replaceable units. The company was formerly known as Circuit World Corporation and changed its name to Firan Technology Group Corporation in May 2004. Firan Technology Group Corporation was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFiran Tech generates revenue primarily through the sale of its high-reliability printed circuit boards and related electronic manufacturing services. The company's revenue model relies on multiple key streams, including direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and subcontracting services for larger defense and aerospace projects. Significant partnerships with major players in the aerospace and defense industries contribute to consistent revenue through long-term contracts and repeat business. Additionally, FTG benefits from a reputation for quality and reliability, allowing it to command premium pricing for its specialized products.

Firan Tech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 15, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasizes multiple positive operating and financial developments: record revenue, backlog, improved gross margins (+430 bps), strong adjusted EBITDA growth (+27%), progress integrating FLYHT with product certifications and initial deliveries, geographic diversification, and defense program qualifications with expected ramping revenue in 2026–2027. Offsetting items include tariff-driven input cost headwinds (expected in the millions in 2026), Q4 operational disruption at Toronto, higher SG&A from acquisitions (Aero‑Calgary), increased net debt from the acquisition, and near‑term ramp and hiring constraints (Minnetonka and new India site). Overall, the positives (strong top‑line and margin gains, backlog, cash flow, and strategic wins) materially outweigh the manageable operational and cost challenges described.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Bookings Growth
Full-year revenue of $191.0M, up 18% vs 2024; bookings of $209.9M for the year, up 14% vs 2024; year-end backlog of $148.5M, up 21% vs 2024 with ~80% expected to convert to revenue in 2026.
Strong Profitability and Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA of $32.7M (17.1% of sales), up 27% vs 2024; gross margin improved to $60.6M or 31.7% of sales (up 430 bps vs 27.3% in 2024). Revenue per employee rose 6% to $254K.
Earnings Improvement (Adjusted and GAAP)
Adjusted net earnings of $13.5M in 2025 (CEO figure, +31% vs 2024). GAAP net earnings of $13.1M ($0.52 diluted), up 15.6% vs $10.8M in 2024.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Strength
Operating cash flow of $18.1M (up $3.6M vs 2024); capital expenditures reduced to $4.6M from $7.2M; primary sources of liquidity of $78M (working capital $58M + $20M unused credit). Net debt of $8.3M equals ~0.3x trailing 12‑month EBITDA.
Aerospace & FLYHT Integration Progress
Aerospace sales up 43% in 2025 (≈90% from FLYHT acquisition). Obtained multiple STCs for AFIRS Edge+ (B737, A320 across jurisdictions), first in‑house AFIRS Edge+ deliveries to an Asian airline, renamed FLYHT to FTG Aerospace Calgary and began licensing revenue on SATCOM radio.
Commercial and Geographic Diversification
Circuits sales up 6% (organic). U.S. customer revenue share fell to 69.9% from 78.3% in 2024; sales outside U.S. grew from $35M to >$57M. Top 5 customer concentration improved to 51.7% from 58.4%.
Defense Program Wins and Market Tailwinds
FTG Circuits qualified for two significant classified defense programs with deliveries expected to start in 2026 and ramp through 2027. Company positioned to benefit from rising NATO, U.S. and Canadian defense budgets and multiple large OEM ramp plans (Airbus, Boeing).
Operational Investments and Global Expansion
Toronto capacity expansion planned (targeting at least +30% capacity), new aerospace facility in Hyderabad, India under construction (expected Q2 2026, estimated investment ≈$2M), and manufacturing shifts (Edge+ manufacturing in Tianjin; Chatsworth manufacturing plans) to capture margins.
Negative Updates
Tariff and Input Cost Pressure
U.S. tariffs and supply chain routing increased input costs for circuit-board manufacturing; company estimates the cost impact will be 'in the millions' in 2026 and is negotiating cost pass-through with customers.
Q4 Operational Disruption and Margin Impact
Partial production shutdown at Circuits Toronto for nearly two weeks in Q4 due to water contamination, which reduced Q4 revenue and suppressed profits. Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin declined to 15.4% from 16.7% in Q4 2024 (though adjusted EBITDA dollars grew).
Acquisition-Related SG&A and Short‑Term Earnings Drag
Full-year SG&A rose to $26.7M (14% of sales) from $20.4M (12.6% prior year), driven mainly by Aero‑Calgary (acquisition impact ~$4.7M), Hyderabad start-up costs and restructuring/acquisition expenses. Aero‑Calgary initially essentially broke even, diluting adjusted EBITDA margin percentage.
Increased Net Debt from Acquisition
Net debt increased from $0.7M at Q4 2024 to $8.3M at Q4 2025 as a result of the FLYHT acquisition, creating higher leverage though still low relative to EBITDA (~0.3x).
R&D and Inventory Trends
R&D increased to $10.9M (5.7% of sales) from $7.0M (4.3% of sales). Inventory days rose to 105 from 96 year-over-year, tying up working capital.
Uncertainty Around Tax Loss Utilization
Significant Canadian tax loss carryforwards were acquired with FLYHT, but utilization depends on CRA pre‑ruling and proof of 'same or similar' business; recognition of tax asset is not yet recorded and timing of any benefit is uncertain.
Staffing and Capacity Ramp Constraints
Capacity expansion is often constrained by hiring/training timelines (Minnetonka limited by workforce ramp and training; most sites require adding/training people with a ~6‑month productivity ramp). India facility expected to contribute negligible revenue in 2026 as it ramps.
Near-Term Risks: Union Renewal and FX Volatility
Toronto union contract comes up for renewal mid‑2026 (potential disruption risk). FX swung from a gain in 2024 to a loss in 2025 (impact ~$0.8M in Q4), though CAD weakness is generally estimated to increase pretax earnings roughly $0.8M per 1% weakening.
Company Guidance
FTG entered 2026 with record bookings of ~$210.0M and a year‑end backlog of $148.5M, of which management expects ~80% to convert to revenue in 2026; key guidance items include defense program deliveries beginning in 2026 and ramping through 2027 (program demand described in the “millions to tens of millions”), continued commercial aerospace/FLYHT ramp (Aero‑Calgary/STC activity and Edge+/SATCOM/WVSS product rollouts), and a target to scale Aero‑Calgary to profitability while mitigating U.S. tariff risk by growing non‑U.S. sales and adding international sales staff. Financial and operating targets/context cited: 2025 revenue $191M (+18%), adjusted EBITDA $32.7M (17.1% of sales, +27%), adjusted net earnings ~$13.5M, gross margin $60.6M (31.7%, +430 bps), revenue per employee $254k, net debt $8.3M (0.3x trailing‑12‑month EBITDA, incl. $11.2M government loans), operating cash flow less lease payments ~$13.7M (cash from operations $18.1M), year‑end liquidity $78M (working capital $58M + $20M unused facilities), capex $4.6M in 2025 with a long‑term target of ~3% of revenue, and working‑capital metrics AR 55 days / inventory 105 days / AP 58 days; management also expects Hyderabad aerospace site ready around Q2 2026 with ~ $2M investment and negligible 2026 revenue while pursuing continued backlog conversion and operational efficiencies.

Firan Tech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and sustainably positive profitability, but tempered by margin compression from 2023 to 2025, rising leverage trend, and only moderate cash conversion with a dip in 2025 free-cash-flow growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has expanded strongly since 2022, with 2025 revenue up meaningfully versus 2024 and well above prior years. Profitability has also improved materially from the near-break-even period in 2021–2022 to solid results in 2023–2025 (2025 net margin ~6.9% and operating margin ~9.9%). The main weakness is some margin compression from 2023 to 2025 (gross margin down from ~33.9% in 2023 to ~30.2% in 2025, and net margin down from ~8.6% to ~6.9%), suggesting costs/pricing pressure despite growth.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The company has built a larger equity base over time (equity rising from ~C$48M in 2022 to ~C$96M in 2025), supporting a bigger asset base. Leverage remains moderate, with debt at ~0.55x equity in 2025 (up from ~0.49x in 2024 and ~0.28x in 2022), indicating increased reliance on debt as the business scaled. While not excessive, the upward leverage trend is the key balance-sheet risk to monitor.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Cash generation is positive, with operating cash flow improving from ~C$11.3M (2023) to ~C$17.5M (2025) and free cash flow positive in 2023–2025. However, cash conversion is only moderate: in 2025, free cash flow is about 0.74x net income, and operating cash flow is less than half of net income (similar pattern in prior years), which can signal working-capital or timing drag. Free cash flow growth also turned negative in 2025 (down ~10%), after strong gains in 2023–2024.
BreakdownNov 2025Nov 2024Nov 2023Nov 2022Nov 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue189.04M162.10M135.20M89.62M79.36M
Gross Profit57.01M44.18M45.83M21.31M17.13M
EBITDA29.48M25.73M22.26M7.92M8.42M
Net Income13.08M10.81M11.62M698.00K170.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets172.81M134.98M125.71M83.75M79.45M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.25M9.96M6.62M15.67M20.20M
Total Debt52.96M35.31M35.18M13.59M12.94M
Total Liabilities75.78M62.14M65.38M34.45M28.41M
Stockholders Equity96.47M72.15M59.53M48.33M50.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.88M6.88M4.77M-1.05M4.73M
Operating Cash Flow17.48M14.13M11.30M11.26M7.63M
Investing Cash Flow-10.87M-7.24M-23.77M-12.02M-2.95M
Financing Cash Flow-6.54M-4.34M3.57M-1.73M-2.70M

Firan Tech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.16
Price Trends
50DMA
14.98
Positive
100DMA
12.92
Positive
200DMA
12.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.80
Negative
RSI
67.22
Neutral
STOCH
82.58
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FTG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.62, above the 50-day MA of 14.98, and above the 200-day MA of 12.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.58 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FTG.

Firan Tech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$507.50M21.6617.40%15.09%31.55%
72
Outperform
C$1.45B18.445.64%0.93%8.84%131.58%
70
Outperform
C$5.12B44.558.88%57.77%57.55%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
C$26.76B18.126.60%-1.71%
57
Neutral
C$12.98B30.697.63%9.12%
52
Neutral
C$215.16M-11.28-48.12%26.74%53.14%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FTG
Firan Tech
20.37
13.04
177.90%
TSE:CAE
CAE
42.13
6.76
19.11%
TSE:BBD.A
Bombardier Cl A MV
279.44
192.84
222.68%
TSE:MAL
Magellan Aerospace
25.32
15.34
153.68%
TSE:DPRO
Draganfly
9.25
6.24
207.31%
TSE:MDA
MDA Space Ltd
42.91
19.82
85.84%

Firan Tech Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Firan Technology Group Posts Strong 2025 Growth as Aerospace and Defence Programs Ramp Up
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

Firan Technology Group reported strong 2025 results, with revenue up 18% to $191 million, bookings rising 14% to $209.9 million, and backlog increasing 21% to $148.5 million, reflecting robust demand across its programs. Profitability also improved, as adjusted EBITDA grew 27% to $32.7 million and adjusted net earnings rose 31% to $13.5 million, while the company maintained a solid balance sheet with modest net debt.

Fourth-quarter revenue climbed 14.2% to $51.7 million and gross margin reached 30.5%, though adjusted net earnings slipped slightly due to higher amortization from the FLYHT acquisition and foreign exchange losses. Operationally, FTG advanced key strategic initiatives, including qualifying for major classified defence programs, ramping deliveries for the C919 and DHC-515 aircraft, bringing FLYHT’s AFIRS Edge+ into in-house production, and strengthening its leadership and board, positioning the company for continued growth in aerospace and defence markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FTG) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Firan Tech stock, see the TSE:FTG Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Firan Technology Group Sets February 18 Date for 2025 Year-End Results
Neutral
Feb 5, 2026

Firan Technology Group Corporation will release its full-year and fourth-quarter 2025 financial results on February 18, 2026, after markets close, underscoring the company’s continued communication with investors as it navigates the aerospace and defence electronics markets. Management will discuss the results on a conference call the following morning, with a replay available by phone and on the company’s website, giving shareholders and analysts structured access to insight on performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FTG) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Firan Tech stock, see the TSE:FTG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026