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Draganfly (TSE:DPRO)
:DPRO

Draganfly (DPRO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DPRO

Draganfly

(DPRO)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
C$12.00
▼(-6.83% Downside)
Draganfly's overall stock score reflects a challenging financial situation with persistent losses and cash flow issues. However, strategic partnerships and recent corporate events in the defense sector provide a positive outlook. The technical analysis and valuation suggest caution, but the company's strong cash position and growth initiatives offer potential for future improvement.
Positive Factors
Military Partnerships & U.S. Army Order
Securing a U.S. Army order and partnerships with defense-focused vendors creates durable revenue channels and institutional validation. Defense contracts typically have multi-year procurement cycles and higher barriers to entry, supporting more predictable backlog, specialized R&D funding, and deeper integration into defense supply chains.
Large Cash Balance
A near-$70M cash reserve provides meaningful runway to fund expansion, R&D, and defense program execution without immediate capital raises. This liquidity reduces short-term solvency risk, enables production scaling for awarded contracts, and supports strategic investments that can drive long-term competitiveness.
Manufacturing Expansion & Strategic Partnerships
Quadrupling U.S. manufacturing capacity plus distribution and industry partnerships materially improves scale, shortened lead times, and domestic supply compliance for defense work. Greater production scale and partner channels can lower unit costs, support larger contracts, and strengthen long-term market position.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses and Weak Profitability
Sustained operating losses and a severely negative net margin indicate structural profitability challenges. Without durable margin recovery, the company may struggle to self-fund growth, attract stable commercial customers, and sustain long-term competitiveness in capital-intensive aerospace and defense markets.
Operating Cash Flow Weakness
Negative operating cash conversion shows revenues are not reliably generating cash, creating reliance on financing or liquidity reserves. Even with FCF growth, weak operating cash flow signals working capital or collection issues that threaten sustainable funding of production and long-term contracts without improved cash conversion.
Inefficient Use of Equity Despite Low Leverage
Very low financial leverage reduces solvency risk but coupled with a deeply negative ROE indicates the company is failing to convert shareholder capital into positive returns. This inefficiency can erode equity value over time and may necessitate dilution or structural changes if profitability is not restored.

Draganfly (DPRO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Draganfly Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDraganfly Inc. manufactures and sells commercial unmanned aerial vehicles worldwide. Its products include quadcopters, fixed wing aircrafts, ground based robots, and handheld controllers, as well as software used for tracking, live streaming, flight training, and data collection. The company also offers custom engineering and training, simulation consulting, and flight training services, as well as wireless video systems. It serves public safety, agriculture, industrial inspections, security, and mapping and surveying markets. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyDraganfly generates revenue through multiple streams, including the sale of UAVs and related accessories, software licensing, and service contracts. The company earns income from direct sales of its drone systems to various industries, including agriculture for crop monitoring, public safety for surveillance and search-and-rescue operations, and infrastructure for inspections and monitoring. Additionally, Draganfly offers subscription-based software solutions that provide access to advanced data analytics and imaging capabilities. Key partnerships with organizations in critical sectors also contribute to its revenue, enabling joint ventures and collaborative projects that enhance product offerings and expand market reach.

Draganfly Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth, strategic military partnerships, and a strong cash position, despite challenges with decreased gross margins and increased comprehensive loss. The development of new products and expansion of manufacturing capacity indicate positive future prospects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Q3 2025 revenue was $2.155 million, an increase of 14.4% year-over-year.
Strategic Developments in Military Segment
Draganfly bolstered military capabilities with new appointments and collaborations, including a deal with Paladin AI and a notable order from the U.S. Army.
New Drone Launch
The Outrider Southern Border drone was unveiled, scheduled for live operation at Cochise County.
Partnerships and Market Expansion
Draganfly announced partnerships with Drone Nerds, Global Ordinance, and a Fortune 50 telecom company, enhancing market presence and distribution.
Increased Manufacturing Capacity
Plans for seven new plants to quadruple manufacturing capacity in the U.S. are underway.
Strong Cash Position
Cash balance at the end of September 2025 was $69.9 million, a significant increase from $6.3 million at the end of December 2024.
Negative Updates
Decreased Gross Margin
Gross margin for Q3 2025 was 19.5%, down from 32.7% year-over-year.
Comprehensive Loss
Total comprehensive loss for the quarter was $5.4 million, increased from $364,000 in the same quarter last year.
Inventory Write-Down
A onetime noncash inventory write-down of $43,000 impacted gross profit.
Company Guidance
In the Draganfly 2025 Q3 Earnings Call, key financial metrics were highlighted, including a 14.4% year-over-year increase in revenue to $2.155 million, comprising $1.6 million from product sales and $530,000 from services. The gross profit stood at $420,000, while the cash balance as of September 30, 2025, was nearly $70 million. The company reported a comprehensive loss of $5.4 million for the quarter. Notably, Draganfly is enhancing its military and defense capabilities, unveiling the Outrider Southern Border drone, and expanding its manufacturing capacity with seven new plants in the U.S. The company is also collaborating with Paladin AI and has secured a significant order from the U.S. Army, reflecting its strategic focus on border security and defense sectors.

Draganfly Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Draganfly faces significant financial challenges with persistent losses and cash flow issues. Despite a low debt level, the company struggles with profitability and cash management, raising concerns about financial sustainability.
Income Statement
Draganfly's income statement reveals a challenging financial position with consistent negative net income and EBIT margins, indicating ongoing operational losses. Despite a modest revenue growth rate of 3.78% in the TTM, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -183.05% and a declining gross profit margin. The aerospace and defense industry typically requires significant capital, which may be contributing to these financial pressures.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.015, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is significantly negative at -156.78%, reflecting substantial losses relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a solid asset base, but the negative ROE highlights the company's inability to generate returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
Draganfly's cash flow statement indicates a challenging cash position, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting that cash flow is somewhat aligned with reported losses. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting inefficiencies in converting sales into cash. Despite a 12.31% growth in free cash flow, the overall cash flow situation remains strained.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.43M6.56M6.55M7.61M7.05M4.36M
Gross Profit1.45M1.40M2.06M790.67K2.64M1.76M
EBITDA-17.33M-13.30M-22.06M-26.88M-18.97M-7.87M
Net Income-18.08M-13.88M-23.61M-29.16M-13.16M-9.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.08M10.20M8.33M14.64M42.11M7.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.88M6.25M3.09M7.89M23.08M1.98M
Total Debt313.85K428.02K875.08K465.21K582.44K256.04K
Total Liabilities6.65M5.58M7.92M3.60M7.19M3.25M
Stockholders Equity70.43M4.62M407.72K11.04M34.93M3.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-16.89M-12.00M-19.26M-16.43M-22.22M-5.16M
Operating Cash Flow-16.37M-11.83M-18.77M-16.35M-22.00M-5.14M
Investing Cash Flow-429.76K-23.31K-379.58K768.65K-3.31M516.42K
Financing Cash Flow81.65M15.03M14.45M-48.10K46.27M4.17M

Draganfly Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.88
Price Trends
50DMA
10.68
Positive
100DMA
10.19
Positive
200DMA
7.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Negative
RSI
62.81
Neutral
STOCH
83.46
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DPRO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.19, above the 50-day MA of 10.68, and above the 200-day MA of 7.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:DPRO.

Draganfly Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$305.60M21.6217.40%15.09%31.55%
72
Outperform
C$1.11B25.945.64%0.93%8.84%131.58%
70
Outperform
C$3.65B32.458.88%57.77%57.55%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
52
Neutral
C$299.60M-4.96-48.13%26.74%53.14%
45
Neutral
C$6.58M-0.09-208.64%166.43%75.12%
42
Neutral
C$7.44M-3.23-45.86%36.73%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DPRO
Draganfly
12.88
7.89
158.12%
TSE:FTG
Firan Tech
12.14
4.87
66.99%
TSE:MAL
Magellan Aerospace
19.45
9.43
94.11%
TSE:SNA
Star Navigation Systems
0.01
0.00
0.00%
TSE:DFSC
DEFSEC Technologies
3.30
-16.23
-83.10%
TSE:MDA
MDA Space Ltd
28.92
1.48
5.39%

Draganfly Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Draganfly Partners with Babcock and CiTech for Asia-Pacific Defense Expansion
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

Draganfly Inc. has entered into a collaborative framework with Babcock International Group and Critical Infrastructure Technologies to enhance defense and security capabilities in the Asia-Pacific region. This partnership leverages the strengths of each company, aiming to address regional priorities such as defense modernization and security resilience, positioning Draganfly to expand its influence in the growing Asia-Pacific defense market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPRO) stock is a Hold with a C$10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Draganfly stock, see the TSE:DPRO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Draganfly Secures Key Military Order for Commander 3XL Drones
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

Draganfly Inc. has secured a significant international military order for its Commander 3XL drone systems, marking a milestone in its global defense operations. This order, placed through a defense contractor, highlights the growing demand for secure, adaptable unmanned systems and positions Draganfly as a key player in the military drone market, potentially leading to further deployments and expansion in the Asia Pacific region.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPRO) stock is a Hold with a C$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Draganfly stock, see the TSE:DPRO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Draganfly’s Outrider™ Drone Demonstrates Success at Border Security Summit
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

Draganfly Inc. successfully demonstrated its Outrider™ Border Drone in live missions at the Cochise County Drone Summit, showcasing its capabilities in surveillance and border security operations. The event attracted significant interest from multiple agencies, reinforcing Draganfly’s position as a leading domestic supplier of UAS technology and highlighting its strategic advantage in the growing U.S. homeland-security drone market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPRO) stock is a Hold with a C$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Draganfly stock, see the TSE:DPRO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Draganfly to Host Shareholder Update Call on November 12, 2025
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

Draganfly Inc. announced it will host a shareholder update call on November 12, 2025, led by CEO Cameron Chell and CFO Paul Sun, to discuss the company’s key milestones, strategic initiatives, and third-quarter financial performance. The call aims to engage shareholders and provide insights into Draganfly’s operations and future direction, with the formal release of Q3 2025 financial results scheduled for the same day.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPRO) stock is a Buy with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Draganfly stock, see the TSE:DPRO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Draganfly to Debut Outrider Drone at Exclusive Border Security Summit
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Draganfly Inc. is set to unveil its new Outrider Drone at the Cochise County Border Drone Summit, an exclusive event aimed at demonstrating the drone’s capabilities in real-world conditions. The Outrider Drone is designed for long-endurance surveillance and logistics missions, integrating advanced imaging and secure communications to enhance border security, emergency response, and defense operations. This unveiling marks a significant step in Draganfly’s efforts to position itself as a leader in drone-enabled security solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPRO) stock is a Hold with a C$11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Draganfly stock, see the TSE:DPRO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Draganfly Enhances Defense Strategy with Key Appointments
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

Draganfly Inc. has strengthened its military and defense capabilities by appointing veterans Victor Meyer and Keith Kimmel to its Military Board of Advisors. This strategic move aims to enhance the company’s defense strategy, ensuring its technologies continue to deliver innovation and reliability in defense and government applications. The new advisors bring extensive military and corporate experience, which will be crucial in expanding Draganfly’s defense capabilities and ensuring its solutions meet the needs of defense and security organizations worldwide.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPRO) stock is a Buy with a C$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Draganfly stock, see the TSE:DPRO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Draganfly and Palladyne AI Collaborate to Enhance UAV Autonomy
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

Draganfly Inc. and Palladyne AI Corp. have announced a collaboration to integrate Palladyne’s advanced AI software into Draganfly’s UAV platforms. This partnership aims to enhance the autonomous capabilities of Draganfly’s drones, enabling advanced swarm operations and improving efficiency for government, defense, and commercial users. By incorporating Palladyne’s AI, Draganfly’s systems will gain expanded mission capabilities, reducing operator workload and extending the effectiveness of their drone solutions in complex scenarios.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPRO) stock is a Buy with a C$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Draganfly stock, see the TSE:DPRO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Draganfly Partners with Drone Nerds to Expand NDAA-Compliant Drone Reach
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Draganfly Inc. has appointed Drone Nerds as an official value-added reseller for its NDAA-compliant drone systems, enhancing its market reach in the U.S. and allied markets. This partnership, showcased at the ElevateUAV 2025 conference, is expected to bolster Draganfly’s presence in public safety and enterprise sectors, leveraging Drone Nerds’ extensive distribution and support infrastructure to meet the evolving needs of advanced drone users.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPRO) stock is a Buy with a C$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Draganfly stock, see the TSE:DPRO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025