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Magellan Aerospace (TSE:MAL)
TSX:MAL
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Magellan Aerospace (MAL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MAL

Magellan Aerospace

(TSX:MAL)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
C$35.00
▲(42.28% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/29/26
The score is driven primarily by improving profitability and a very low-leverage balance sheet, offset by weak/volatile free cash flow. Technically, the uptrend is strong but looks overbought, and the high P/E with a low dividend yield weighs on the valuation component.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage Balance Sheet
Extremely low debt provides durable financial flexibility, enabling Magellan to fund working capital, invest in facilities or absorb program timing shocks without refinancing risk. This conservative structure supports long-term contract performance and strategic optionality through cycles.
Negative Factors
Weak & Volatile Free Cash Flow
Near‑breakeven and volatile free cash flow limits the firm's ability to self‑fund growth, raise dividends, or absorb program overruns. Persistent working‑capital swings or higher reinvestment needs could force external financing or curtail strategic spending over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low Leverage Balance Sheet
Extremely low debt provides durable financial flexibility, enabling Magellan to fund working capital, invest in facilities or absorb program timing shocks without refinancing risk. This conservative structure supports long-term contract performance and strategic optionality through cycles.
Read all positive factors

Magellan Aerospace (MAL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Magellan Aerospace Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Magellan Aerospace Corporation, through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells aero engine and structure components for the aerospace markets in Canada, the United States, Europe, and Asia. It offers aero engine products, su...
How the Company Makes Money
Magellan primarily makes money by supplying aerospace parts, assemblies, and services under long-term production and support contracts. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Civil aerospace production: manufacturing and delivering aerostructu...

Magellan Aerospace Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Earnings have recovered meaningfully with steady revenue (~$1.07B TTM) and improved profitability (EBIT margin ~7.4%, net margin ~4.2%), supported by a very conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.08). The main weakness is cash flow quality: free cash flow is near breakeven (~$0.9M TTM) and has been volatile, reducing confidence in earnings-to-cash conversion.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.07B1.04B942.37M879.62M764.58M688.36M
Gross Profit151.69M140.72M107.89M88.99M35.06M48.33M
EBITDA115.01M126.89M96.39M71.01M31.54M56.41M
Net Income45.09M39.44M35.49M9.25M-21.69M-977.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.23B1.17B1.15B1.03B1.01B1.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments51.27M64.05M56.44M1.49M40.94M32.48M
Total Debt96.12M88.61M86.42M73.45M63.34M67.77M
Total Liabilities391.03M340.00M343.44M287.66M279.16M237.99M
Stockholders Equity838.73M822.45M799.44M734.04M728.35M762.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow870.00K27.61M63.19M-41.56M34.08M-9.79M
Operating Cash Flow55.26M78.60M99.29M-17.30M58.54M12.53M
Investing Cash Flow-57.38M-55.09M-35.10M-23.69M-23.86M-20.80M
Financing Cash Flow-1.74M-15.45M-17.62M1.01M-26.27M-73.01M

Magellan Aerospace Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price24.60
Price Trends
50DMA
25.27
Positive
100DMA
23.65
Positive
200DMA
20.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.78
Negative
RSI
75.28
Negative
STOCH
87.37
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MAL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.51, below the 50-day MA of 25.27, and above the 200-day MA of 20.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.28 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.37 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:MAL.

Magellan Aerospace Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
C$626.31M48.5514.24%15.55%-0.75%
69
Neutral
C$8.89B81.917.24%42.91%2.84%
66
Neutral
C$1.70B41.224.83%0.93%10.42%12.81%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
C$10.99B36.356.12%4.38%-23.21%
54
Neutral
C$336.86M-13.84-29.13%25.32%68.42%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MAL
Magellan Aerospace
32.69
15.58
91.11%
TSE:CAE
CAE
35.69
0.36
1.02%
TSE:FTG
Firan Tech
26.28
16.55
170.09%
TSE:DPRO
Draganfly
10.37
7.99
335.71%
TSE:MDA
MDA Space Ltd
61.48
33.09
116.56%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 29, 2026