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KP Tissue Inc. (TSE:KPT)
TSX:KPT
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KP Tissue (KPT) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:KPT

KP Tissue

(TSX:KPT)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
KP Tissue's overall stock score reflects a mix of strengths and challenges. The strong balance sheet and positive earnings call outlook are significant positives, enhancing stability and growth potential. However, profitability issues, high P/E ratio, and mixed technical indicators present cautionary elements. The attractive dividend yield provides some valuation support, but overall, the stock's performance hinges on continued operational improvements and strategic execution amid external challenges.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Achieving record revenue reflects strong market demand and effective sales strategies, indicating a robust growth trajectory for the company.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with no leverage enhances financial stability and provides flexibility for future investments and growth opportunities.
Market Share Expansion
Increasing market share in the facial tissue category strengthens competitive positioning and supports long-term revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges can hinder reinvestment in growth initiatives and impact long-term financial health.
Tariff Exposure
Significant tariff exposure poses a risk to cost structures and pricing strategies, potentially affecting margins and profitability.
Decline in Consumer EBITDA Margin
A declining EBITDA margin in the consumer segment suggests pressure on cost management and pricing power, impacting overall profitability.

KP Tissue (KPT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

KP Tissue Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKP Tissue Inc. (KPT) is a Canadian company that focuses on managing its interest in Kruger Products L.P., a leading manufacturer and distributor of quality tissue products for both consumer and away-from-home markets. The company operates primarily in the consumer goods sector, providing a wide array of products such as bathroom tissue, facial tissue, paper towels, and napkins under popular brands like Cashmere, Purex, Scotties, and SpongeTowels.
How the Company Makes MoneyKP Tissue makes money through its equity interest in Kruger Products L.P., which generates revenue by manufacturing and distributing tissue products across North America. The company earns money by selling these products to major retailers, wholesalers, and commercial clients. Key revenue streams include sales from branded consumer products and private label offerings. Additionally, Kruger Products L.P. engages in strategic partnerships and has a robust distribution network that enhances its market reach, thereby contributing to its earnings.

KP Tissue Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with significant growth in adjusted EBITDA and revenue, successful debt reduction, and recognition for sustainability efforts. However, the decrease in net income and higher operating costs were notable concerns. The announcement of a new tissue plant indicates positive future growth potential.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 30.4% year-over-year to $85.7 million on revenue of $561.1 million. Revenue growth of nearly 8% was driven by higher sales volume, favorable selling prices, and a positive foreign exchange impact.
Consumer Business Growth
Consumer share gains in the paper towel and facial tissue categories were reported, with U.S. sales growing 8.8% year-over-year. Kruger Products branded market share in Canada showed strong growth in the paper towel category.
Successful Debt Reduction
Reduced net debt by $87.9 million, bringing the leverage ratio down to 3.4x from 4.0x in Q2 2025.
Recognition for Sustainability
Bonterra brand was named the most sustainable brand in Canada in 2025 by Kantar BrandZ, reflecting strong sustainability efforts.
New Tissue Plant Announcement
Announced the construction of a new state-of-the-art tissue plant in the Western United States, scheduled to start up in 2028, to enhance serving capabilities for the U.S. market.
Negative Updates
Decreased Net Income
Net income decreased to $14.6 million in Q3 2025 compared to $18 million in Q3 2024 due to an FX loss variation, higher income tax expenses, depreciation, and increased interest and other finance costs.
Higher Operating Costs
Adjusted EBITDA was partially offset by higher manufacturing overhead costs, elevated warehousing costs, and increased SG&A expenses.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal 2025, KP Tissue reported robust financial performance, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $85.7 million, marking a year-over-year increase of 30.4%. This growth was supported by revenue of $561.1 million, which grew by nearly 8% due to higher sales volumes, favorable selling prices, and positive foreign exchange impacts. The company's consumer segment experienced a 9.1% revenue increase to $468.3 million, while the Away-From-Home segment saw a 1% rise to $92.8 million. Notably, U.S. sales surged by 8.8%, and Canadian revenue grew 6.8% year-over-year. Cost efficiencies were achieved through lower pulp prices and reduced freight expenses, though higher manufacturing overhead costs partially offset these gains. Looking ahead, KP Tissue anticipates maintaining strong financial results and announced plans for a new tissue plant in the Western U.S., expected to be operational by 2028, which will enhance their production capacity by approximately 75,000 metric tons annually.

KP Tissue Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KP Tissue's financial performance is mixed. The balance sheet is robust with no leverage, enhancing stability and scoring high. However, the income statement reveals profitability issues with historical losses, and cash flow analysis shows variability, indicating potential instability. The overall financial picture is cautiously optimistic but with significant challenges.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
The income statement shows consistent challenges with profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT in most periods. The company managed a positive net income in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) but has faced historical losses. Revenue data is missing, making margin analysis impossible.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong with zero debt, reflected in a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is high, indicating a stable financial structure. The company has maintained healthy stockholders' equity over the years.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows variability, with operating cash flow improving in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Free cash flow was positive in the latest period, but historical fluctuations suggest potential instability in cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates some operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA76.09M264.78M238.61M115.99M153.43M197.84M
Net Income4.43M2.43M-4.94M-10.25M1.24M-1.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets70.52M71.31M70.61M81.71M80.72M71.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities1.80M1.80M2.25M7.68M4.85M4.99M
Stockholders Equity68.72M69.52M68.36M74.03M75.87M66.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.000.006.98M6.62M1.15M-2.44M
Operating Cash Flow0.000.006.98M6.62M1.15M-2.44M
Investing Cash Flow6.97M6.97M6.98M6.62M5.56M5.59M
Financing Cash Flow-5.23M-6.97M-6.98M-6.62M-5.56M-5.59M

KP Tissue Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.36
Price Trends
50DMA
9.60
Positive
100DMA
9.39
Positive
200DMA
8.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Negative
RSI
78.46
Negative
STOCH
92.86
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:KPT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.90, below the 50-day MA of 9.60, and above the 200-day MA of 8.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.46 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:KPT.

KP Tissue Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$20.12B20.2314.48%1.48%3.71%12.40%
70
Outperform
C$11.24B16.3012.97%1.65%1.96%9.26%
70
Outperform
C$791.75M11.4114.63%6.09%6.57%8.61%
67
Neutral
C$3.28B18.2211.72%3.04%-0.03%497.79%
67
Neutral
C$4.27B45.493.86%3.44%13.05%-33.72%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
59
Neutral
C$94.28M21.265.55%6.86%-39.19%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:KPT
KP Tissue
10.50
2.94
38.89%
TSE:EMP.A
Empire Co Cl A NV
50.84
8.27
19.43%
TSE:MFI
Maple Leaf Foods
25.21
5.80
29.88%
TSE:MRU
Metro Inc.
99.88
8.08
8.80%
TSE:PBH
Premium Brands
98.94
20.32
25.85%
TSE:RSI
Rogers Sugar
5.91
0.03
0.51%

KP Tissue Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
KP Tissue Declares Quarterly Dividend and Offers Reinvestment Plan
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

KP Tissue Inc. announced a quarterly dividend of $0.18 per common share, payable on April 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of March 31, 2025. This dividend declaration aligns with a corresponding distribution by Kruger Products Inc., in which KPT holds a limited partnership interest. Additionally, KP Tissue offers a Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) for Canadian shareholders, allowing them to reinvest cash dividends into additional common shares. This announcement underscores KPT’s commitment to providing shareholder value and maintaining its strategic investment in Kruger Products, a key player in the North American tissue market.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
KP Tissue Achieves Record Revenue in 2024 Amid Expansion Plans
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

KP Tissue Inc. reported record revenue exceeding $2 billion for 2024, with strong Adjusted EBITDA across all quarters, despite challenges like volatile pulp prices. The company is exploring the construction of a new manufacturing facility to enhance its market share and product offerings in North America. Additionally, KP Tissue is preparing contingency plans to address potential U.S. tariffs and is leveraging patriotic consumer sentiment in Canada through marketing campaigns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 02, 2025