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KP Tissue Inc. (TSE:KPT)
TSX:KPT
Canadian Market

KP Tissue (KPT) AI Stock Analysis

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KP Tissue

(TSX:KPT)

59Neutral
KP Tissue's overall stock score reflects a mix of strengths and challenges. The strong balance sheet and positive earnings call outlook are significant positives, enhancing stability and growth potential. However, profitability issues, high P/E ratio, and mixed technical indicators present cautionary elements. The attractive dividend yield provides some valuation support, but overall, the stock's performance hinges on continued operational improvements and strategic execution amid external challenges.

KP Tissue (KPT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

KP Tissue Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKP Tissue Inc. (KPT) is a Canadian company that focuses on managing its interest in Kruger Products L.P., a leading manufacturer and distributor of quality tissue products for both consumer and away-from-home markets. The company operates primarily in the consumer goods sector, providing a wide array of products such as bathroom tissue, facial tissue, paper towels, and napkins under popular brands like Cashmere, Purex, Scotties, and SpongeTowels.
How the Company Makes MoneyKP Tissue makes money through its equity interest in Kruger Products L.P., which generates revenue by manufacturing and distributing tissue products across North America. The company earns money by selling these products to major retailers, wholesalers, and commercial clients. Key revenue streams include sales from branded consumer products and private label offerings. Additionally, Kruger Products L.P. engages in strategic partnerships and has a robust distribution network that enhances its market reach, thereby contributing to its earnings.

KP Tissue Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KP Tissue presents a mixed financial picture. The strong balance sheet with zero debt enhances stability and contributes positively. However, challenges in profitability as indicated by the income statement and cash flow volatility offset this strength.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
The income statement shows consistent challenges with profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT in most periods. The company managed a positive net income in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) but has faced historical losses. Revenue data is missing, making margin analysis impossible.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong with zero debt, reflected in a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is high, indicating a stable financial structure. The company has maintained healthy stockholders' equity over the years.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows variability, with operating cash flow improving in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Free cash flow was positive in the latest period, but historical fluctuations suggest potential instability in cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates some operational efficiency.
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
0.000.000.000.000.00
EBIT
0.00-12.55M-321.00K-634.00K-574.00K
EBITDA
238.61M752.00K153.43M197.84M145.04M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-4.94M-10.25M1.24M-1.95M-6.53M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Assets
70.61M81.71M80.72M71.31M83.03M
Total Debt
0.000.000.000.000.00
Net Debt
0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities
2.25M7.68M4.85M4.99M5.92M
Stockholders Equity
68.36M74.03M75.87M66.33M77.12M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
6.98M6.62M1.15M-2.44M-6.91M
Operating Cash Flow
6.98M6.62M1.15M-2.44M-6.91M
Investing Cash Flow
6.98M6.62M5.56M5.59M4.98M
Financing Cash Flow
-6.98M-6.62M-5.56M-5.59M-4.98M

KP Tissue Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.02
Price Trends
50DMA
7.85
Positive
100DMA
7.86
Positive
200DMA
7.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
55.74
Neutral
STOCH
44.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:KPT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.92, above the 50-day MA of 7.85, and above the 200-day MA of 7.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:KPT.

KP Tissue Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$9.24B14.614.31%185.59%3.94%5.78%
TSKPT
59
Neutral
C$79.85M32.763.53%8.97%
TSCFP
51
Neutral
$1.59B-18.83%-3.20%-107.88%
TSCFX
49
Neutral
C$45.66M-63.11%-8.78%-68.46%
TSIFP
48
Neutral
$705.95M-18.73%-8.81%-13.99%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:KPT
KP Tissue
8.02
0.49
6.51%
TSE:IFP
Interfor
13.62
-3.85
-22.04%
TSE:CFP
Canfor
13.16
-1.35
-9.30%
TSE:CFX
Canfor Pulp Products
0.78
-0.74
-48.68%

KP Tissue Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 05, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 2.43%|
Next Earnings Date:May 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive outlook with record revenue and significant growth in both revenue and EBITDA for fiscal 2024. However, challenges such as a net loss in the fourth quarter, tariff exposure risks, and a decrease in consumer EBITDA margin were notable lowlights. Overall, the strong financial performance and strategic initiatives highlight a resilient and adaptable business, positioning KP Tissue well despite external challenges.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue in 2024
KP Tissue achieved record revenue of more than $2 billion in fiscal 2024 with strong adjusted EBITDA across all four quarters.
Fourth Quarter Revenue Growth
Revenue growth of 11.9% in Q4 2024, driven by higher sales volume in the U.S., favorable selling prices in Canada, and a positive foreign exchange impact.
Full Year Revenue and EBITDA Growth
KP Tissue reported full-year revenue growth of 9.4% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 11% in fiscal 2024.
Successful Start-up at Sherbrooke
The start-up of a new paper machine and facial tissue line at Sherbrooke exceeded production targets for the year.
Market Share in Facial Tissue
Incremental gains in the Facial Tissue category with total market share reaching 45% by the end of the year.
Marketing Achievements
Kruger Products received several industry awards for marketing excellence including Brand of the Year and a bronze FE Award.
Negative Updates
Net Loss in Fourth Quarter
Net loss of $13.7 million in Q4 2024 compared to a net income of $16.5 million in Q4 2023, attributed to higher foreign exchange losses and greater depreciation and interest expenses.
Impact of Tariff Exposure
Concerns about exposure to tariffs with approximately CAD 600-700 million of revenue at risk, leading to potential pass-through costs to customers.
Challenges in Away-From-Home Segment
A slight decrease in sales volumes year-over-year in the Away-From-Home segment, affected by challenges in paper supply and order fulfillment.
Decline in Consumer EBITDA Margin
Consumer adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 14.1% in Q4 2024 from 14.9% in Q4 2023.
Company Guidance
During KP Tissue's Fourth Quarter 2024 Results Conference Call, the company reported strong financial performance, achieving record revenue of over $2 billion for the fiscal year and demonstrating a solid adjusted EBITDA across all quarters. In Q4 2024, the company experienced a revenue growth of 11.9% year-over-year, largely driven by a 19.7% increase in U.S. sales and a 6% rise in Canadian revenues. The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter grew by 9.2% to $66.8 million, benefiting from higher sales volumes, increased selling prices, and reduced marketing and SG&A expenses, though offset by higher pulp prices. For the full year 2024, revenue grew by 9.4%, while adjusted EBITDA increased by 11%. The company is closely monitoring the North American trade environment, with 2024 seeing pulp prices rise 32.1% for NBSK and 22.9% for BEK year-over-year. Kruger Products also reported robust operations with their Sherbrooke facility exceeding production targets and plans to evaluate a new state-of-the-art TAD paper machine. The company's strategic initiatives include a focus on their "Made in Canada" marketing campaign and rebranding their Away-From-Home segment to Kruger Pro. Despite the uncertain economic climate, KP Tissue is poised for continued sales growth in 2025, although the company refrained from providing profit guidance for Q1 2025.

KP Tissue Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
KP Tissue Declares Quarterly Dividend and Offers Reinvestment Plan
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

KP Tissue Inc. announced a quarterly dividend of $0.18 per common share, payable on April 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of March 31, 2025. This dividend declaration aligns with a corresponding distribution by Kruger Products Inc., in which KPT holds a limited partnership interest. Additionally, KP Tissue offers a Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRIP) for Canadian shareholders, allowing them to reinvest cash dividends into additional common shares. This announcement underscores KPT’s commitment to providing shareholder value and maintaining its strategic investment in Kruger Products, a key player in the North American tissue market.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
KP Tissue Achieves Record Revenue in 2024 Amid Expansion Plans
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

KP Tissue Inc. reported record revenue exceeding $2 billion for 2024, with strong Adjusted EBITDA across all quarters, despite challenges like volatile pulp prices. The company is exploring the construction of a new manufacturing facility to enhance its market share and product offerings in North America. Additionally, KP Tissue is preparing contingency plans to address potential U.S. tariffs and is leveraging patriotic consumer sentiment in Canada through marketing campaigns.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.