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Empire Co Cl A NV (TSE:EMP.A)
TSX:EMP.A

Empire Co Cl A NV (EMP.A) AI Stock Analysis

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Empire Co Cl A NV

(TSX:EMP.A)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:―
Empire Co Cl A NV demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and effective cash flow management. Technical indicators suggest positive momentum, although caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The company is fairly valued with a steady dividend yield. Recent earnings call and corporate events point to a well-managed company prepared for future challenges, though economic uncertainties remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Empire Co Cl A Nv is expected to report a fourth consecutive quarter of improving same-store sales.
Growth Strategy
Management indicated new store openings will double next year, reflecting growth with more net new FreshCo sites in Western Canada.
Stock Valuation
Empire Co Cl A Nv continues to trade at a discount compared to Loblaw and Metro, offering potential value for investors.
Negative Factors
Market Concerns
There is concern that the 'Buy Canadian' trend may be subsiding, which could affect future sales.
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses, specifically SG&A, are anticipated to grow year-over-year due to increased stock-based compensation.
Same-Store Sales
A good part of the SSS catch-up trade may have already played out, limiting future gains from this factor.

Empire Co Cl A NV (EMP.A) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Empire Co Cl A NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEmpire Company Limited (EMP.A) is a Canadian conglomerate primarily engaged in the food retailing sector. The company operates a network of supermarkets, grocery stores, and related retail formats across Canada under various banners, including Sobeys, Safeway, IGA, Foodland, FreshCo, Thrifty Foods, and Lawtons Drugs. Empire also has real estate interests through a subsidiary, Crombie REIT, which invests in retail and commercial properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyEmpire Company Limited makes money primarily through its grocery retail operations, which generate revenue from the sale of food, pharmacy products, and other consumer goods. The company benefits from a diverse portfolio of store banners catering to different market segments, enabling it to capture a wide customer base. Additionally, Empire's real estate investments provide steady rental income and capital appreciation potential. The company's strategic partnerships, such as those with suppliers and technology providers, enhance its supply chain efficiency and customer experience, further contributing to its earnings. Empire also generates revenue through its pharmacy operations, offering prescription and non-prescription health products.

Empire Co Cl A NV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 17.13%|
Next Earnings Date:Jun 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a solid performance with notable growth in same-store sales and e-commerce, alongside improvements in gross margin. However, increased SG&A expenses and economic uncertainties due to tariffs pose challenges. Overall, the positive factors slightly outweigh the negatives, indicating a strong position despite external challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Same Store Sales Growth
Same store sales increased by 2.6% this quarter, supported by stronger top-line performance in full-service banners and continued performance in the discount banner.
E-commerce Expansion
E-commerce sales grew by 72%, driven by strong growth in Voilà and successful partnerships with Instacart and Uber Eats.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margin improved by 43 basis points, driven by operating efficiencies and a focus on store execution.
Fresh Department Growth
Outsized growth in the fresh department indicates customers are trading up from non-fresh to fresh products.
Adjusted EPS Consistency
Delivered adjusted EPS of $0.62, consistent with the prior year, indicating strong core operations.
Negative Updates
SG&A Increase
SG&A expenses grew by 4.2%, mainly due to accounting for share-based long-term incentive programs.
Tariff and Economic Uncertainty
Uncertainty due to political shifts and tariffs in the US, posing potential threats to the Canadian economy.
Other Income Decline
Other income and share of earnings from equity investments were $11 million lower than last year.
Company Guidance
During the Empire Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on several financial metrics and market trends. Empire reported a 3.1% increase in food sales, with same-store sales growing by 2.6%. Gross margins improved by 43 basis points, attributed to operating efficiencies and a focus on store execution. Despite a slight increase in SG&A expenses, driven by long-term share-based incentives, the company maintained strong financial performance with an adjusted EPS of $0.62, consistent with the previous year. E-commerce sales surged by 72%, bolstered by partnerships with Instacart and Uber Eats, and strong growth from the Voilà service. Empire emphasized its strategic shift towards Canadian products amid volatile market conditions, including potential impacts from tariffs and currency fluctuations. The company is optimistic about its ability to navigate these challenges, citing strong customer engagement and a diversified supply chain strategy.

Empire Co Cl A NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Empire Co Cl A NV maintains a strong financial position with steady revenue growth and profitability. The company demonstrates effective debt management and strong cash flow generation. However, there are slight dips in EBIT and net income, indicating a need for improved operational efficiencies.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Empire Co Cl A NV shows a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth, evident from a 1.04% increase in TTM revenue compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin is stable at approximately 26.67%, and the net profit margin stands at a healthy 2.18%. However, there is a slight dip in EBIT and net income compared to the previous year, indicating a need to manage operational efficiencies to maintain profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.4, reflecting a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is commendable at 12.58%, showcasing effective use of shareholder equity. The equity ratio of 32.09% indicates a stable equity base, but the company should monitor its debt levels closely to ensure long-term financial health.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Empire Co Cl A NV demonstrates robust cash flow management with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.96, indicating strong cash generation from operations. The free cash flow has decreased by 12.22% in TTM, suggesting a need to control capital expenditures to preserve cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 1.66, highlighting effective cash utilization.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
31.05B30.73B30.48B30.16B28.27B26.59B
Gross Profit
8.28B8.07B7.79B7.66B7.20B6.63B
EBIT
1.27B1.31B1.23B1.36B1.30B1.11B
EBITDA
2.39B2.40B2.28B2.35B2.17B1.92B
Net Income Common Stockholders
676.20M725.20M686.00M745.80M701.50M583.50M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
190.70M259.60M221.30M812.30M890.50M1.01B
Total Assets
16.75B16.79B16.48B16.59B15.17B14.63B
Total Debt
7.55B7.36B7.27B7.46B7.13B6.94B
Net Debt
7.36B7.10B7.05B6.65B6.24B5.93B
Total Liabilities
11.24B11.32B11.15B11.46B10.68B10.62B
Stockholders Equity
5.38B5.34B5.20B4.99B4.37B3.92B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.12B1.28B847.60M1.33B1.20B1.47B
Operating Cash Flow
2.00B2.07B1.61B2.11B1.86B2.09B
Investing Cash Flow
-696.90M-608.50M-684.70M-891.40M-502.30M-376.30M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.36B-1.43B-1.51B-1.29B-1.48B-1.26B

Empire Co Cl A NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price51.84
Price Trends
50DMA
50.32
Positive
100DMA
47.18
Positive
200DMA
44.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.47
Positive
RSI
52.85
Neutral
STOCH
26.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EMP.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 51.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.93, above the 50-day MA of 50.32, and above the 200-day MA of 44.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:EMP.A.

Empire Co Cl A NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$11.98B18.2912.64%1.53%1.05%-6.94%
TSL
78
Outperform
$66.83B30.6420.10%1.00%2.42%7.04%
TSMRU
77
Outperform
C$22.76B23.2914.26%1.41%2.31%4.45%
TSWN
76
Outperform
C$34.13B29.8619.58%1.33%2.36%-6.97%
TSNWC
72
Outperform
C$2.41B17.3518.85%3.18%4.19%2.56%
65
Neutral
$8.89B14.914.67%6.16%3.60%-2.89%
TSSAP
60
Neutral
C$11.26B42.30-2.51%2.77%9.20%-147.37%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EMP.A
Empire Co Cl A NV
51.84
20.74
66.69%
TSE:L
Loblaw Companies
222.31
66.93
43.07%
TSE:MRU
Metro Inc.
104.34
31.69
43.62%
TSE:WN
George Weston
267.61
79.81
42.50%
TSE:NWC
North West
49.95
8.83
21.47%
TSE:SAP
Saputo Inc.
26.52
-2.17
-7.56%

Empire Co Cl A NV Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Empire CEO Michael Medline to Retire in 2026
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

Empire Company Limited announced that Michael Medline, its President and CEO, will retire in May 2026. Medline’s leadership since 2017 has been pivotal in transforming Empire into a top performer on the TSX, with significant growth in earnings and share price. Under his guidance, the company has implemented strategic changes, expanded its market presence, and invested in e-commerce and loyalty programs. Medline’s focus on Environmental, Social, and Governance practices has also fostered a diverse and sustainable work environment, benefiting Canadian communities.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Empire Company Limited Announces CFO Transition
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

Empire Company Limited has announced the retirement of its CFO, Matt Reindel, effective in May, with Constantine (Costa) Pefanis set to take over the role. Pefanis brings extensive experience in capital and public markets, having previously served as CFO at Green Infrastructure Partners and Leon’s Furniture Limited. This leadership transition is expected to support Empire’s continued growth and operational success, following Reindel’s significant contributions during challenging economic conditions.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Empire Company Limited Reports Strong Q3 Results with Strategic Investments in Store Network
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

Empire Company Limited reported a 3.1% increase in sales for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with earnings per share rising to $0.62 from $0.54 in the previous year. The company continues to prioritize enhancing its data capabilities and customer understanding, aiming for long-term growth in adjusted EPS through net earnings growth and share repurchases. Empire is also investing significantly in its store network, with plans to renovate 20% to 25% of its stores by fiscal 2026, focusing on sustainability and energy efficiency.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.