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Empire Co Cl A NV (TSE:EMP.A)
TSX:EMP.A

Empire Co Cl A NV (EMP.A) AI Stock Analysis

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Empire Co Cl A NV

(TSX:EMP.A)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
Empire Co Cl A NV demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and effective cash flow management. Technical indicators suggest positive momentum, although caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The company is fairly valued with a steady dividend yield. Recent earnings call and corporate events point to a well-managed company prepared for future challenges, though economic uncertainties remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Earnings
The company plans to open 24 new store locations, which is expected to contribute to sales growth.
Financial Performance
Empire Co Cl A Nv is expected to report a fourth consecutive quarter of improving same-store sales.
Stock Valuation
Empire Co Cl A Nv continues to trade at a discount compared to Loblaw and Metro, offering potential value for investors.
Negative Factors
Market Trends
There is concern that the 'Buy Canadian' trend may be subsiding, which could affect future sales.
Operating Expenses
Operating expenses, specifically SG&A, are anticipated to grow year-over-year due to increased stock-based compensation.
Sales Growth
There is hesitation to assume further sequential acceleration in same-store sales due to lapping stronger comparisons.

Empire Co Cl A NV (EMP.A) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Empire Co Cl A NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEmpire Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the food retail and related real estate businesses in Canada. It operates through two segments, Food Retailing, and Investments and Other Operations. The company owns, affiliates, and franchises approximately 1,600 retail stores under various retail banners, including Sobeys, Safeway, IGA, Foodland, FreshCo, Thrifty Foods, Farm Boy, Longo's, and Lawtons Drugs; and approximately 350 retail fuel locations, as well as operates grocery e-commerce stores under the banners, such as Voilà, Grocery Gateway, IGA.net, and ThriftyFoods.com. It also owns interest in the Crombie Real Estate Investment Trust, an open-ended real estate investment trust to own, operate, and develop a portfolio of grocery and pharmacy-anchored shopping centers, freestanding stores, and mixed-use developments; and various equity accounted interests in Genstar partnerships that develop residential real estate properties in Ontario, Western Canada, and the United States. The company was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Stellarton, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyEmpire Company Limited makes money primarily through its grocery retail operations, which generate revenue from the sale of food, pharmacy products, and other consumer goods. The company benefits from a diverse portfolio of store banners catering to different market segments, enabling it to capture a wide customer base. Additionally, Empire's real estate investments provide steady rental income and capital appreciation potential. The company's strategic partnerships, such as those with suppliers and technology providers, enhance its supply chain efficiency and customer experience, further contributing to its earnings. Empire also generates revenue through its pharmacy operations, offering prescription and non-prescription health products.

Empire Co Cl A NV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 19, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Empire reported strong financial performance with significant EPS and same-store sales growth. The company has effectively managed inflation and capital allocation. However, increased SG&A expenses due to non-cash compensation costs were a notable concern.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong EPS Growth
Empire delivered an EPS of $0.74 in Q4, translating to a 17.5% year-over-year growth. Adjusted EPS grew by 8.8% annually, within the long-term framework of 8% to 11% growth.
Same-Store Sales Growth
The company reported a strong same-store sales growth of 3.8%, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of sequential growth.
Market Share Gains
Empire gained market share, with increased customer behavior trends favoring Canadian retailers over U.S. ones.
Dividend Increase
Empire announced a 10% increase in its quarterly dividend per share, marking the 30th consecutive year of dividend growth.
Canadian Product Preference
Empire's focus on Canadian products has resonated with customers, contributing to increased sales of Canadian products.
Negative Updates
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses were elevated due to higher share-based compensation expenses, mostly driven by an increase in share price, impacting EPS by $0.15.
High Non-Cash Compensation Costs
A significant increase in total compensation expenses of $49 million compared to last year due to non-cash accounting related to stock price growth.
Company Guidance
During the Empire Fourth Quarter 2025 Conference Call, several key metrics were highlighted, showcasing the company's strong performance. Empire reported an EPS of $0.74 for the quarter, marking a substantial 17.5% year-over-year growth. The company achieved a same-store sales growth of 3.8%, driven by the strengthened performance of both Full-Service and discount banners. Empire also demonstrated effective gross margin management, with an improvement of 32 basis points, exceeding the medium-term expectations of a 10 to 20 basis point increase per year. The company's adjusted EPS for the fiscal year grew by 8.8%, aligning with its financial framework goal of 8% to 11% growth annually. Additionally, Empire announced a 10% increase in its quarterly dividend, maintaining a consistent 10.8% CAGR over five years, and renewed its NCIB to repurchase up to 11.5 million shares in fiscal 2026. The company plans to invest $850 million in capital expenditure, focusing on expanding its store network with 24 new stores projected for fiscal 2026.

Empire Co Cl A NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Empire Co Cl A NV maintains a strong financial position with steady revenue growth and profitability. The company demonstrates effective debt management and strong cash flow generation. However, there are slight dips in EBIT and net income, indicating a need for improved operational efficiencies.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Empire Co Cl A NV shows a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth, evident from a 1.04% increase in TTM revenue compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin is stable at approximately 26.67%, and the net profit margin stands at a healthy 2.18%. However, there is a slight dip in EBIT and net income compared to the previous year, indicating a need to manage operational efficiencies to maintain profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.4, reflecting a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is commendable at 12.58%, showcasing effective use of shareholder equity. The equity ratio of 32.09% indicates a stable equity base, but the company should monitor its debt levels closely to ensure long-term financial health.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Empire Co Cl A NV demonstrates robust cash flow management with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.96, indicating strong cash generation from operations. The free cash flow has decreased by 12.22% in TTM, suggesting a need to control capital expenditures to preserve cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 1.66, highlighting effective cash utilization.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue31.05B30.73B30.48B30.16B28.27B26.59B
Gross Profit8.28B8.07B7.79B7.66B7.20B6.63B
EBITDA2.39B2.40B2.28B2.35B2.17B1.92B
Net Income676.20M725.20M686.00M745.80M701.50M583.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.75B16.79B16.48B16.59B15.17B14.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments190.70M259.60M221.30M812.30M890.50M1.01B
Total Debt7.55B7.36B7.27B7.46B7.13B6.94B
Total Liabilities11.24B11.32B11.15B11.46B10.68B10.62B
Stockholders Equity5.38B5.34B5.20B4.99B4.37B3.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.12B1.28B847.60M1.33B1.20B1.47B
Operating Cash Flow2.00B2.07B1.61B2.11B1.86B2.09B
Investing Cash Flow-696.90M-608.50M-684.70M-891.40M-502.30M-376.30M
Financing Cash Flow-1.36B-1.43B-1.51B-1.29B-1.48B-1.26B

Empire Co Cl A NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price55.80
Price Trends
50DMA
52.28
Positive
100DMA
48.87
Positive
200DMA
45.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.22
Negative
RSI
62.95
Neutral
STOCH
50.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EMP.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 55.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.93, above the 50-day MA of 52.28, and above the 200-day MA of 45.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:EMP.A.

Empire Co Cl A NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$12.82B18.7713.02%1.45%1.05%-6.94%
68
Neutral
¥197.78B21.088.29%2.34%4.99%3.05%
$48.38B30.9720.10%1.01%
TSMRU
80
Outperform
C$22.63B23.1614.26%1.43%2.31%4.45%
TSWN
76
Outperform
C$34.23B30.0219.58%1.34%2.36%-6.97%
TSNWC
72
Outperform
C$2.30B16.7018.85%3.36%4.19%2.56%
TSSAP
60
Neutral
C$11.43B42.30-2.51%2.78%9.20%-147.37%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EMP.A
Empire Co Cl A NV
55.80
21.09
60.76%
LBLCF
Loblaw Companies
164.21
44.73
37.44%
TSE:MRU
Metro Inc.
105.44
28.00
36.16%
TSE:NWC
North West
47.99
7.69
19.08%
TSE:SAP
Saputo Inc.
27.63
-2.41
-8.02%
TSE:WN
George Weston
270.89
67.19
32.98%

Empire Co Cl A NV Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Empire CEO Michael Medline to Retire in 2026
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

Empire Company Limited announced that Michael Medline, its President and CEO, will retire in May 2026. Medline’s leadership since 2017 has been pivotal in transforming Empire into a top performer on the TSX, with significant growth in earnings and share price. Under his guidance, the company has implemented strategic changes, expanded its market presence, and invested in e-commerce and loyalty programs. Medline’s focus on Environmental, Social, and Governance practices has also fostered a diverse and sustainable work environment, benefiting Canadian communities.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Empire Company Limited Announces CFO Transition
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

Empire Company Limited has announced the retirement of its CFO, Matt Reindel, effective in May, with Constantine (Costa) Pefanis set to take over the role. Pefanis brings extensive experience in capital and public markets, having previously served as CFO at Green Infrastructure Partners and Leon’s Furniture Limited. This leadership transition is expected to support Empire’s continued growth and operational success, following Reindel’s significant contributions during challenging economic conditions.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Empire Company Limited Reports Strong Q3 Results with Strategic Investments in Store Network
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

Empire Company Limited reported a 3.1% increase in sales for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with earnings per share rising to $0.62 from $0.54 in the previous year. The company continues to prioritize enhancing its data capabilities and customer understanding, aiming for long-term growth in adjusted EPS through net earnings growth and share repurchases. Empire is also investing significantly in its store network, with plans to renovate 20% to 25% of its stores by fiscal 2026, focusing on sustainability and energy efficiency.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 25, 2025