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Metro Inc. (TSE:MRU)
:MRU
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Metro Inc. (MRU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MRU

Metro Inc.

(TSX:MRU)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
C$111.00
â–²(8.72% Upside)
Metro Inc.'s overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, indicating robust growth and resilience in a competitive market. However, technical analysis suggests bearish momentum, and valuation metrics imply potential overvaluation, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
Leading SSS and EPS growth should deliver share price increase.
Strategic Positioning
Investor Day reflects strategic consistency.
Negative Factors
Stock Performance
MRU's closed down 6%, which appears too punitive, in our view.

Metro Inc. (MRU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Metro Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMetro Inc. operates as a retailer, franchisor, distributor, and manufacturer in the food and pharmaceutical sectors in Canada. It operates supermarkets and discount stores that provide fresh and grocery products, baked goods, prepared foods, meats, dairy products, fruits and vegetables, frozen foods, bakery products, and pastries, as well as Mediterranean and Middle Eastern products. As of September 25, 2021, the company operated a network of approximately 963 food stores under various banners, including Metro, Metro Plus, Super C, and Food Basics, Adonis, and Premiere Moisson as well as approximately 649 drugstores primarily under the Jean Coutu, Brunet, Metro Pharmacy, and Food Basics Pharmacy banners. It also manufactures generic drugs; and provides online grocery shopping services. Metro Inc. was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Montréal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMetro Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of food and pharmaceutical products across its extensive retail network. The company operates through various store formats, including conventional supermarkets, discount stores, and drugstores, which cater to different market segments and customer preferences. Revenue streams include the direct sale of goods to consumers, as well as income from private label products, which often offer higher margins. Additionally, Metro Inc. benefits from its loyalty programs and promotional activities that drive customer engagement and repeat business. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and a focus on operational efficiency also contribute to the company's profitability, allowing it to maintain competitive pricing and enhance its value proposition to customers.

Metro Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.71%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive financial performance for Metro Inc. with significant growth in sales, earnings, and online expansion. However, the company faced challenges such as intensified competition and inflationary pressures, along with some operational hurdles in distribution centers.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Overall Revenue Growth
Total sales reached $6.9 billion, marking an increase of 3.3% compared to the third quarter last year.
Pharmacy Sales Performance
Pharmacy same-store sales grew by 5.5%, supported by a 6.2% growth in prescription sales and a 4% growth in front-end sales.
EBITDA Improvement
EBITDA for the quarter totaled $656 million, up 5.7% year-over-year, with EBITDA as a percentage of sales at 9.5%, an increase of 20 basis points over Q3 2024.
Adjusted Net Earnings Growth
Adjusted net earnings were $332 million, an increase of 8.8% from last year, with adjusted net earnings per share up 12.6% year-over-year.
Online Sales Expansion
Online sales grew by 14% for the quarter, driven by the expansion of click-and-collect services and home delivery partnerships with DoorDash, Instacart, and Uber.
Successful Store Expansions
Five new stores were opened in the quarter with plans to open six more in the fourth quarter, including the launch of a new Adonis store in Ontario.
Negative Updates
Competitive Market Pressures
The competitive environment intensified with increased promotional activity and new store openings, impacting market share dynamics.
Inflationary Pressures
Inflationary pressures were noted, particularly in commodity prices like meat, alongside increased fees related to online sales partnerships.
Distribution Center Challenges
The Toronto Fresh Phase 2 distribution center faced challenges in achieving desired automation efficiency, affecting overall productivity gains.
Company Guidance
During the Metro Inc. 2025 Third Quarter Results Conference Call, various financial metrics were discussed, highlighting a strong quarter. Total sales reached $6.9 billion, marking a 3.3% increase from the previous year, with food same-store sales up by 1.9% and pharmacy same-store sales growing by 5.5%. Notably, EBITDA increased by 5.7% to $656 million, representing 9.5% of sales. Gross margin improved slightly to 19.8% of sales, attributed to productivity gains in food distribution centers. Operating expenses stood at $702 million, maintaining a steady 10.2% of sales. Adjusted net earnings showed an 8.8% rise to $332 million, with adjusted net earnings per share up by 12.6% to $1.52. The company engaged in share repurchases, buying back 5.7 million shares for $562 million. Capital expenditures were $146 million, reflecting a decline due to the completion of distribution centers. Online sales grew by 14%, driven by enhanced delivery services. The effective tax rate was reduced to 24.1%, and the company plans to open additional stores in the coming quarter. Overall, Metro Inc. emphasized delivering value amid a competitive environment and inflationary pressures.

Metro Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Metro Inc. demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability and a stable balance sheet. The company shows consistent revenue growth and efficient equity utilization. While the slight decline in EBIT margin and free cash flow growth warrants attention, the overall financial position remains solid and competitive within the grocery industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Metro Inc. shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 18.94% and a net profit margin of 4.59% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The company exhibits consistent revenue growth, with a 1.87% increase in the latest TTM period. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT margin from the previous year, indicating some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63, suggesting a balanced leverage position. Return on equity stands at 14.04%, reflecting efficient use of shareholders' equity. The equity ratio of 49.65% indicates a stable financial structure, though slightly lower leverage could be beneficial.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Metro Inc. maintains healthy cash flows, with a stable operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.56 and a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.03. There is a slight decrease in free cash flow growth of -7.09% in the TTM period, which could be an area of concern if it persists.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.62B21.22B20.72B18.89B18.28B18.00B
Gross Profit4.09B4.18B4.08B3.78B3.65B3.58B
EBITDA2.02B1.99B2.00B1.79B1.74B1.69B
Net Income993.00M928.80M1.01B846.10M823.00M795.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.25B14.14B13.87B13.40B13.59B13.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.60M29.40M29.50M13.40M445.80M441.50M
Total Debt4.48B4.31B4.32B4.12B4.56B4.70B
Total Liabilities7.16B7.10B7.05B6.78B7.18B7.27B
Stockholders Equity7.07B7.02B6.80B6.60B6.40B6.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.02B1.10B883.60M840.30M984.00M963.40M
Operating Cash Flow1.55B1.68B1.56B1.46B1.58B1.47B
Investing Cash Flow-418.90M-456.40M-572.50M-477.80M-471.60M-444.10M
Financing Cash Flow-1.15B-1.22B-974.90M-1.42B-1.11B-861.90M

Metro Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price102.10
Price Trends
50DMA
104.49
Negative
100DMA
103.84
Negative
200DMA
97.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.08
Positive
RSI
44.86
Neutral
STOCH
44.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MRU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 102.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 103.88, below the 50-day MA of 104.49, and above the 200-day MA of 97.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:MRU.

Metro Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$69.76B28.8221.77%0.89%3.26%22.10%
79
Outperform
C$13.38B19.6413.02%1.43%1.77%0.77%
69
Neutral
C$22.09B21.9114.60%1.38%2.26%12.56%
67
Neutral
C$2.49B18.0918.85%3.09%4.19%2.56%
65
Neutral
C$34.79B34.6217.72%1.23%3.21%-12.20%
63
Neutral
C$13.65B42.30-2.20%2.28%7.58%-155.93%
63
Neutral
$20.95B14.50-4.08%3.12%2.72%-11.24%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MRU
Metro Inc.
102.10
19.39
23.44%
TSE:L
Loblaw Companies
58.77
16.01
37.43%
TSE:WN
George Weston
91.94
19.75
27.36%
TSE:EMP.A
Empire Co Cl A NV
55.74
18.48
49.60%
TSE:NWC
North West
51.46
7.58
17.27%
TSE:SAP
Saputo Inc.
33.86
3.91
13.06%

Metro Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Metro Inc. Achieves Strong Q3 Growth with Strategic Expansions
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

Metro Inc. reported a strong performance in the third quarter of Fiscal 2025, with sales reaching $6,871.0 million, a 3.3% increase from the previous year. The company saw significant growth in both food and pharmacy same-store sales and successfully opened five new food stores, aligning with its strategy to expand its discount banners. This growth is attributed to effective cost control, productivity gains, and strategic investments in its retail network and supply chain, which are expected to drive long-term shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MRU) stock is a Hold with a C$86.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metro Inc. stock, see the TSE:MRU Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
METRO Inc. to Announce Q3 Fiscal 2025 Results
Neutral
Jul 14, 2025

METRO Inc. has announced that it will release its third quarter fiscal 2025 results on August 13, 2025, followed by a conference call led by President & CEO Eric R. La Flèche and Executive Vice President & CFO Nicolas Amyot. This announcement is significant for investors and financial analysts as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic positioning. The conference call will allow analysts and institutional investors to engage directly with the company’s leadership, while the general public can listen in, reflecting METRO Inc.’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MRU) stock is a Hold with a C$86.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metro Inc. stock, see the TSE:MRU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025