tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Loblaw Companies (TSE:L)
TSX:L
Advertisement

Loblaw Companies (L) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
906 Followers

Top Page

TSE:L

Loblaw Companies

(TSX:L)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$62.00
▲(8.30% Upside)
Loblaw Companies' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the primary drivers of the stock score. The company's consistent revenue growth, profitability, and strategic initiatives provide a solid foundation for future growth. However, technical indicators suggest caution, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. Despite these concerns, the overall outlook remains positive due to effective management and market share gains.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion and profitability.
AI Integration in Supply Chain
AI integration enhances operational efficiency and cost management, providing a competitive edge and supporting sustainable growth.
Store Expansion
Strategic store expansion increases market presence and customer base, driving future revenue growth and strengthening competitive position.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt Levels
Increasing debt levels could strain financial flexibility and cash flow, posing risks to long-term financial health if not managed effectively.
Cost Increase Requests
Persistent cost pressures from suppliers may impact margins and profitability, challenging Loblaw's ability to maintain cost efficiency.
Tariff Impact
Tariffs negatively affect sales volumes, potentially reducing revenue and profitability, and creating uncertainty in pricing strategies.

Loblaw Companies (L) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Loblaw Companies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLoblaw Companies Limited is one of Canada's largest food retailers, operating a diverse portfolio of grocery and pharmacy businesses. The company manages various banners, including Loblaws, No Frills, Real Canadian Superstore, and Shoppers Drug Mart, among others. Loblaw focuses on providing a wide range of products, including fresh food, groceries, health and beauty items, and household goods. The company also emphasizes private label products under the President's Choice brand, catering to various consumer needs across multiple segments.
How the Company Makes MoneyLoblaw generates revenue primarily through the sale of food and pharmacy products across its extensive network of retail locations. The company operates a multi-channel revenue model, including brick-and-mortar stores and e-commerce platforms, which allows it to capture a broad customer base. Key revenue streams include the sale of grocery items, pharmacy prescriptions, and health and beauty products. Additionally, Loblaw benefits from its private label offerings, which typically have higher margins compared to national brands. The company also earns revenue from loyalty programs, such as PC Optimum, which drives customer engagement and repeat purchases. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers further enhance its product offerings and pricing competitiveness, contributing to overall earnings.

Loblaw Companies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance and growth, particularly in revenue and store expansion. Despite some challenges with vendor cost increases and tariffs, the overall outlook remains positive with strategic investments and successful market share gains.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue growth of 5.2% reaching $14.5 billion, an increase of $725 million over last year. Excluding divestitures, revenue growth would have been 5.4%.
Increased Earnings
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 7.4% to $1.8 billion, and adjusted diluted earnings per share grew by 11.6% to $2.40. GAAP net earnings per share increased by 60%.
Food Retail Tonnage Growth
Sales tonnage and basket growth led to significant market share gains, with food same-store sales increasing by 3.5%.
Expansion and New Store Openings
Opened 10 new stores this quarter, with 20 out of the planned 80 new stores for the year already operational.
Successful U.S. Store Performance
The Seattle TNT store significantly exceeded sales expectations, contributing positively to overall performance.
Digital Sales Growth
Online sales increased by 17.5%, driven by strength in the PCX delivery channel.
AI Integration in Supply Chain
AI-driven initiatives are improving supply chain operations, including inventory management and transport scheduling.
4-for-1 Stock Split
Announced a stock split effective August 18, 2025, with shareholders of record receiving three additional shares for each common share held.
Negative Updates
Higher-than-Normal Cost Increase Requests
Concerns over cost increase requests from global vendors, with only 1/3 of supplier cost submissions being tariff-related.
Tariff Impact on Sales
Sales volume on tariff-impacted items declined by more than 15% in some weeks, indicating a negative impact from ongoing tariffs.
Uncertain Economic Environment
Acknowledged macroeconomic uncertainties and a conservative position on guidance, reflecting caution in a challenging economic environment.
Company Guidance
During the Loblaw Companies Limited Second Quarter 2025 Results Call, the company reported strong financial performance driven by strategic initiatives and market share gains. Revenue grew by 5.2% to $14.5 billion, a $725 million increase from the previous year, with adjusted EBITDA rising 7.4% to $1.8 billion. The company achieved a remarkable 11.6% increase in adjusted diluted EPS to $2.40, while GAAP net earnings per share surged by 60%, partly due to completed amortization of the Shoppers Drug Mart acquisition. Food retail saw a 5.8% growth in absolute sales, outpacing same-store sales by 230 basis points, while drug retail posted a 4.8% increase in absolute sales. Loblaw's internal CPI-like food inflation was lower than Canada's grocery CPI, and online sales jumped 17.5%. The company also announced a 4-for-1 stock split, with new stores and AI-driven operational improvements contributing to positive outlooks for future growth.

Loblaw Companies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Loblaw Companies demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, solid profitability, and efficient cash flow generation. The company maintains healthy margins and returns on equity, though moderate leverage requires careful management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Loblaw Companies has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.18%. The company maintains strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 32.29% and a net profit margin of 3.96%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 6.97% and 11.63%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. The steady improvement in margins over the years reflects effective cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.77, indicating a moderate level of leverage. Return on equity is robust at 22.23%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced capital structure. However, the increasing debt levels over the years could pose potential risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Loblaw Companies exhibits strong cash flow generation with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of 3.82%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.54 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.66 indicate solid cash conversion efficiency. The consistent growth in free cash flow over the years highlights the company's ability to generate cash to support operations and growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue62.29B61.01B59.53B56.50B53.17B52.71B
Gross Profit20.11B19.73B19.04B17.98B16.73B15.99B
EBITDA7.25B6.90B6.64B6.17B5.79B4.96B
Net Income2.47B2.17B2.10B1.92B1.88B1.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.45B40.88B38.98B38.15B36.61B35.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.90B2.11B1.95B1.93B2.44B1.94B
Total Debt19.52B19.18B18.17B17.61B16.55B16.61B
Total Liabilities29.25B29.61B27.36B26.69B24.88B24.75B
Stockholders Equity11.03B11.09B11.46B11.30B11.57B10.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.89B3.60B3.58B3.18B3.65B4.03B
Operating Cash Flow5.86B5.80B5.65B4.75B4.83B5.19B
Investing Cash Flow-2.04B-2.02B-1.84B-2.37B-1.27B-1.38B
Financing Cash Flow-4.15B-3.82B-3.93B-2.75B-3.25B-3.28B

Loblaw Companies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price57.25
Price Trends
50DMA
56.03
Positive
100DMA
55.89
Positive
200DMA
52.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.83
Negative
RSI
54.43
Neutral
STOCH
45.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:L, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 57.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.34, above the 50-day MA of 56.03, and above the 200-day MA of 52.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:L.

Loblaw Companies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
C$20.32B20.4414.60%1.56%2.26%12.56%
$68.80B28.4221.77%1.61%3.26%22.10%
C$11.14B16.1612.97%1.73%1.96%9.26%
C$34.21B34.0517.72%1.30%3.21%-12.20%
C$13.96B42.30-2.20%2.24%7.58%-155.93%
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
C$2.21B16.0918.55%3.49%3.04%4.17%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:L
Loblaw Companies
57.25
13.67
31.36%
TSE:EMP.A
Empire Co Cl A NV
48.55
9.05
22.91%
TSE:MRU
Metro Inc.
95.07
14.28
17.68%
TSE:NWC
North West
46.08
-4.39
-8.70%
TSE:SAP
Saputo Inc.
34.34
8.31
31.92%
TSE:WN
George Weston
88.05
15.07
20.65%

Loblaw Companies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Split
Loblaw Completes Four-For-One Stock Split
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

Loblaw Companies Limited has completed a four-for-one stock split of its common shares, effective as of August 19, 2025. This move, executed through a stock dividend, is expected to enhance the liquidity of Loblaw’s shares and potentially broaden its investor base, reflecting the company’s strategic efforts to strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:L) stock is a Buy with a C$261.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Loblaw Companies stock, see the TSE:L Stock Forecast page.

Loblaw Companies Reports Strong Q2 Revenue Growth
Jul 25, 2025

Loblaw Companies Limited, a prominent Canadian retailer, operates in the food and drug retail sectors, offering a wide range of products and services across its extensive network of stores and digital platforms.

Loblaw Companies’ Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Jul 25, 2025

Loblaw Companies’ recent earnings call painted a largely positive picture, highlighting robust revenue and earnings growth alongside successful store expansions and technological advancements. Despite facing challenges such as supplier cost increases and inflationary pressures, the overall sentiment was optimistic, with significant achievements overshadowing these hurdles.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Split
Loblaw Announces Four-for-One Stock Split to Enhance Accessibility
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

Loblaw Companies Limited announced a four-for-one stock split of its common shares, effective August 18, 2025, to enhance accessibility for retail investors and employees, and improve share liquidity. This strategic move is designed to maintain shareholder equity without incurring Canadian income tax liabilities, reflecting Loblaw’s commitment to its stakeholders and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:L) stock is a Buy with a C$189.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Loblaw Companies stock, see the TSE:L Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresStock Split
Loblaw Reports Strong Q2 Revenue Growth and Announces Stock Split
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

Loblaw Companies reported a 5.2% revenue growth in the second quarter of 2025, driven by increased customer traffic, larger basket sizes, and higher unit sales. The company saw strong performance in both its food and drug retail segments, with notable growth in pharmacy and healthcare services. Loblaw’s expansion strategy includes opening new stores and pharmacy clinics across Canada, enhancing its market presence. Additionally, the company announced a 4-for-1 stock split to maintain share accessibility for retail investors and employees, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:L) stock is a Buy with a C$189.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Loblaw Companies stock, see the TSE:L Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 10, 2025