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Haivision Systems, Inc. (TSE:HAI)
TSX:HAI

Haivision Systems (HAI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:HAI

Haivision Systems

(TSX:HAI)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$9.50
▲(9.95% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial resilience (low leverage and strong recent cash generation) but held back by inconsistent profitability and thin latest-year earnings. Technicals are strong but look overheated, adding pullback risk. Valuation is a major negative due to the extremely high P/E, while the earnings call was supportive given reiterated growth/EBITDA guidance and strong Q4 momentum, tempered by expense and seasonality risks.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A conservative capital structure with low leverage provides durable financial flexibility: it enables continued R&D and inventory build for product ramps, supports opportunistic buybacks or M&A, and reduces refinancing risk during cyclical downturns, strengthening long-term resilience.
Cash Generation
Consistently positive operating and free cash flow in recent years underpins liquidity and self-funding capacity. Strong cash conversion supports investment in new products, working capital for scaling production, and preserves optionality versus reliance on external capital—despite historical volatility.
Product Momentum & Recurring Revenue Mix
New product launches shipping in volume and a rising recurring revenue base (maintenance, support, cloud ~21%) improve structural revenue stability and customer stickiness. The Minor League Baseball win signals commercial validation and channel expansion that can sustain durable demand over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Earnings Volatility
Large swings in profitability indicate weak earnings durability; inconsistent margins complicate forecasting and capital allocation. This variability suggests exposure to project timing, product mix shifts, and margin pressure that could re-emerge absent sustained scale or structural margin improvements.
Scale Dependence for Target Margins
The profitability thesis relies on achieving a specific revenue scale; failing to reach or sustain ~ $160M prolongs margin targets and increases execution risk. This structural dependency amplifies sensitivity to market demand, sales execution, and competitive pressure over the medium term.
Rising Expenses & Recent Operating Loss
Higher sales comp, increased R&D, and a litigation charge drove expense growth and an operating loss, pressuring sustainable profitability. If expense growth outpaces revenue scale, margin recovery will be harder and could force trade-offs between investment and near-term cash generation.

Haivision Systems (HAI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Haivision Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHaivision Systems Inc. provides infrastructure solutions worldwide. It offers Makito Series, a range of products designs to encode and decode 4K/UHD HEVC and H.264 video formats, and low latency end-to-end streaming over IP suitable for live and interactive video applications; KB Series, a software encoder and transcoder that delivers high-quality video streaming for resolutions up to 4K/UHD; Kraken, a software-based high-low latency tactical live video encoder and transcoder for video streams to traverse different networks and feed enterprise distribution networks; Haivision Media Platform, a software platform provides low latency and live video distribution; Haivision/CineMassive CineNet, a software platform for situational awareness and real-time decision making in mission-critical command and control environments; Haivision Element Management System, a cloud software-based solution which enables the streamlined management and monitoring of geographically distributed edge devices within a single web-based graphical user interface; Haivision SRT Gateway, a hybrid software-based solution for secure routing of live video streams across different types of IP networks; Haivision Hub, a cloud-based service for live and low latency media routing across the Microsoft Azure network; Haivision Connect, a cloud software as a service platform for delivering live and on-demand content to video portals and web sites; Haivision Connect DVR, a cloud-based service that connects multi-site ministries; and SRT Streaming Protocol that optimizes streaming performance across unpredictable networks. It also provides playing back and displaying solutions; and online streaming services. It serves broadcast, enterprise, government, house of worship, medical, and military and defense industries. The company was formerly known as Hajtek Vision Inc. and changed its name to Haivision Systems Inc. in June 2004. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyHaivision makes money through a combination of hardware sales, software licensing, and cloud services subscriptions. The primary revenue streams include the sale of high-performance video encoding and decoding hardware, which is utilized in live broadcasting and video conferencing. Additionally, the company generates revenue from its software solutions, including video management and streaming software, which can be licensed to customers for ongoing use. Cloud services, such as video streaming and content delivery solutions provided on a subscription basis, also contribute significantly to Haivision's revenue. Strategic partnerships with major technology firms and integration with broadcasting systems enhance the company's market reach and can lead to increased sales opportunities, further bolstering its earnings.

Haivision Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 14, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized a strong, improving business trajectory highlighted by a record Q4 ($40.2M) and robust Q4 YoY growth of 33.3%, meaningful Q4 adjusted EBITDA improvement (up 140% to $7.1M) and product momentum (Falkon X2, Kraken X1) along with a large commercial partnership (Minor League Baseball). Recurring revenues grew and the company built cash while reaffirming fiscal 2026 guidance of >$150M and expecting a >50% increase in adjusted EBITDA. Offsetting these positives were full‑year operating losses and a decline in full‑year adjusted EBITDA, rising expenses from strategic investments, a nonrecurring litigation charge, and seasonal/backlog concentration that may pressure some near‑term quarters. Management framed the results as an inflection point toward sustained double‑digit revenue and EBITDA growth, though realization of the >20% EBITDA target depends on reaching higher scale (around $150–160M+), likely into 2027.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Q4 fiscal 2025 revenue was a company record at $40.2 million, the first quarter to eclipse $40 million.
Strong Q4 Year‑over‑Year Growth
Q4 revenue grew 33.3% year‑over‑year (+$10.0M). Full fiscal year revenue was $137.6M, up 6.2% YoY (+$8.1M), with much of the improvement concentrated in the second half.
Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion in Q4
Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $7.1M, up 140% YoY (+$4.1M). Adjusted EBITDA margin in Q4 was 17.6%, approaching the company target of ~20%.
Gross Margin Stability
Q4 gross margin was 73%, consistent with the prior year. Year‑to‑date gross margin was 72.5%, in line with long‑term expectations.
Recurring Revenue Growth and Mix Improvement
Recurring revenue (maintenance, support, cloud) in Q4 was $7.3M, up 8.6% YoY. Full year recurring revenue was $28.9M, up 10.2% YoY and representing ~21% of full year revenue, contributing to revenue stability and visibility.
Successful Product Launches & Strong Product Demand
Key new products launched in 2025 include the Kraken X1 (AI tactical edge processor) and Falkon X2 (next‑generation transmitter). Falkon X2 is shipping in volume, described as the most successful product launch in company history, and early demand is outstripping original production plans (company increasing inventory/supply to scale).
Major Partnership Win
Haivision was selected as the official video encoder of Minor League Baseball, supporting contribution from stadiums and delivery of over 8,000 games — a notable commercial validation and channel expansion in North America.
Balance Sheet, Cash Flow and Capital Actions
Ended Q4 with $17.2M cash (up $6.3M from prior quarter). Net increase in cash during the quarter was $11.6M after reducing the line of credit by $5.2M. Active buybacks: ~1.1M shares purchased this year (~$4.9M); ~1.8M shares purchased across two NCIBs (~$8.1M). Credit facility capacity $35M with only $2.7M outstanding.
Confidence in 2026 Guidance and Longer‑Term Potential
Management reaffirmed fiscal 2026 guidance of >$150M revenue, expecting double‑digit revenue growth and a 50%+ increase in adjusted EBITDA (leveraging relatively flat OpEx). Company reiterated multi‑year bullish view on mission‑critical markets and private 5G opportunities.
Negative Updates
Full‑Year Adjusted EBITDA Decline and Operating Loss
Full fiscal year adjusted EBITDA was $12.8M versus $17.3M last year (decline). The company reported a full‑year operating loss of $1.2M compared to an operating profit of $5.5M the prior year (a swing of $6.7M).
Increase in Total Expenses
Total expenses rose to $25.4M in Q4 (up $3.6M YoY) and $101M for the full year (up $11.8M YoY). Drivers included higher sales compensation (~$1.2M in Q4), increased R&D (~$1.1M in Q4; $1.9M full year incremental R&D), FX impacts, and noncash share‑based payments.
Nonrecurring Litigation Cost
A $1.7M nonrecurring litigation expense (Vitec case) was recorded during the year; Vitec has appealed and the company has recorded the full liability including damages, interest and trial costs.
Seasonality and Backlog Concentration Risk
Management noted seasonality with Q4 typically the strongest quarter (U.S. government year‑end). Expectation that not every quarter in 2026 will match Q4 levels; Q1 typically lower than Q4 which could impact near‑term quarterly comparatives.
Legacy Third‑Party Components and Margin Impact
Sales of third‑party components declined ~20% for the year, while control room sales (excluding third‑party components) increased over 35%. Legacy systems integration contracts (e.g., Navy) include third‑party components that impact gross margins and mix timing.
Need for Scale to Reach 20%+ EBITDA
Management reiterated a target long‑term adjusted EBITDA margin above 20% but stated scale requirements have increased (now closer to ~$160M revenue) and timing may extend to 2027; full realization depends on achieving and sustaining higher annual revenue at that scale.
Company Guidance
Management reiterated fiscal 2026 guidance of revenues above $150 million (targeting the ~$150–$160M scale where they expect to reach 20%+ adjusted EBITDA), calling for double‑digit revenue growth while keeping operating expenses roughly flat versus FY2025; that operating leverage is expected to drive at least a 50% increase in adjusted EBITDA (i.e., double‑digit EBITDA growth) and move adjusted EBITDA margins up from the Q4 level of 17.6% toward their long‑term target. For context, Q4 FY2025 revenue was $40.2M (up 33.3% YoY) and full‑year revenue was $137.6M, Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $7.1M (17.6% margin) and FY adjusted EBITDA was $12.8M, recurring revenue was $28.9M (~21% of FY revenue), and management noted amortization step‑downs (~$600K and ~$350K per quarter) and a cash/credit position of $17.2M cash and a $35M credit facility with $2.7M drawn.

Haivision Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength (low leverage and stable equity) and strong recent operating/free cash flow support resilience. Offsetting this, profitability has been volatile—moving from profits to multi‑year losses, rebounding in 2024, then slipping to near break‑even in 2025—raising questions about sustainable margins.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Revenue has grown over the long run (2020 to 2025), but the path has been uneven, including a revenue decline in 2024 followed by modest growth in 2025. Profitability is the main swing factor: the company moved from solid profitability in 2020 to losses in 2021–2023, rebounded to meaningful profitability in 2024, and then fell back to near break-even in 2025 (very low net income and EBIT). Gross profit remains large in absolute dollars, but the recent step-down in operating profit suggests margin pressure and less consistent earnings quality than top-tier software peers.
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
The balance sheet looks relatively conservative, with low debt versus equity across the period where it’s provided (debt-to-equity generally in the low-to-mid teens, peaking below 0.30). Equity has remained sizable and stable relative to total assets, which supports financial flexibility. The key weakness is that returns to shareholders have been inconsistent (negative in several years and modestly positive in 2024), indicating the balance sheet strength hasn’t consistently translated into durable profitability.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation is a notable strength overall: operating cash flow and free cash flow were strongly positive in 2023–2025, including a sharp improvement in 2025 versus 2024 on a free-cash-flow basis. The main concern is volatility—2022 showed negative operating and free cash flow—and recent cash flow is meaningfully higher than reported earnings in 2025, which is good for liquidity but also highlights how thin current-period accounting profits are.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue137.64M129.54M139.86M125.70M92.59M
Gross Profit91.97M94.69M98.58M86.33M69.33M
EBITDA7.89M15.30M11.07M3.06M-2.67M
Net Income114.64K4.70M-1.27M-6.19M-8.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets145.04M141.32M144.09M148.60M122.48M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.20M16.47M8.29M5.77M26.84M
Total Debt9.98M10.27M16.18M24.97M8.59M
Total Liabilities47.46M44.52M49.94M58.35M33.56M
Stockholders Equity97.58M96.80M94.15M90.25M88.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.96M17.49M14.20M-6.12M1.44M
Operating Cash Flow8.71M19.49M15.25M-5.08M2.22M
Investing Cash Flow-1.75M-2.20M-3.07M-25.76M-20.32M
Financing Cash Flow-6.69M-9.18M-9.88M8.58M30.23M

Haivision Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.64
Price Trends
50DMA
6.09
Positive
100DMA
5.57
Positive
200DMA
5.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.85
Negative
RSI
76.24
Negative
STOCH
86.76
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:HAI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.23, above the 50-day MA of 6.09, and above the 200-day MA of 5.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.24 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.76 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:HAI.

Haivision Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
C$234.94M1,234.29-1.32%-5.56%-124.69%
65
Neutral
$2.78B191.462.88%-9.05%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
C$217.56M-28.78-2.18%-4.34%31.52%
47
Neutral
C$10.53M-11.19-24.65%-69.94%-281.40%
45
Neutral
C$14.96M-1.5117.18%79.56%
41
Neutral
C$2.92M-0.44-13.42%-126.00%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:HAI
Haivision Systems
8.64
3.51
68.42%
TSE:BB
BlackBerry
4.71
-2.67
-36.18%
TSE:STC
Sangoma Technologies
6.57
-2.61
-28.49%
TSE:NBVA
Nubeva Technologies Ltd
0.15
<0.01
7.14%
TSE:MTLO
Martello Technologies Group Inc
0.01
0.00
0.00%
TSE:PLUR
Plurilock Security Inc
0.19
-0.20
-50.65%

Haivision Systems Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Haivision Delivers Record Q4 Revenue on Private 5G and Defense Demand Despite Full-Year Profit Squeeze
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Haivision reported record fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $40.2 million, up 33.3% year over year, with gross margins steady at 73.0% and operating profit rising to $3.9 million from $0.2 million, driven by strong demand in defense, ISR, control-room, and private 5G networking markets and the successful launch of new products like the KX1 edge processor and Falkon X2 transmitter. For the full fiscal year 2025, revenue grew 6.3% to $137.6 million, but higher spending on sales, marketing, and R&D to support long-term growth led to an operating loss of $1.2 million and lower adjusted EBITDA of $12.8 million; nevertheless, the company’s back-to-back quarters of double-digit revenue and EBITDA margins, multiple industry awards, and participation in high-profile 5G and defense collaborations signal strengthening competitive positioning and expanding opportunities despite short-term margin pressure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HAI) stock is a Buy with a C$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Haivision Systems stock, see the TSE:HAI Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Haivision Systems to Release Q4 and Full Year 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

Haivision Systems Inc. announced plans to release its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ending October 31, 2025, on January 14, 2026. The announcement will be followed by a conference call hosted by the management team to discuss the results. This release is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HAI) stock is a Hold with a C$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Haivision Systems stock, see the TSE:HAI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026