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BlackBerry (TSE:BB)
TSX:BB

BlackBerry (BB) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BB

BlackBerry

(TSX:BB)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
C$5.50
▲(0.36% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects a mixed outlook. The positive earnings call, with record revenues and increased guidance, is a significant strength. However, financial performance challenges, bearish technical indicators, and high valuation concerns weigh on the score. The company's ability to sustain profitability and improve market sentiment will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
QNX Revenue Growth
The strong growth in QNX revenue underscores BlackBerry's solid position in the automotive and industrial sectors, indicating robust demand for its embedded systems. This growth trend is likely to continue as the market for connected devices expands.
Cash Flow Improvement
Positive operating cash flow reflects better cash management and operational efficiency, providing BlackBerry with more resources to invest in growth opportunities and strengthen its financial stability.
FedRAMP High Certification
Achieving FedRAMP high certification positions BlackBerry to expand its secure communications services within the U.S. government, enhancing its competitive edge and opening new revenue streams in a critical market segment.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The substantial revenue decline highlights ongoing challenges in maintaining market share and competitiveness, which could hinder long-term growth if not addressed through strategic initiatives.
Profitability Challenges
Negative net income suggests that BlackBerry is struggling to convert revenue into profit, which could impact its ability to reinvest in business development and innovation, crucial for sustaining competitive advantage.
Asset Base Decrease
A shrinking asset base may limit BlackBerry's capacity to leverage its resources for expansion and innovation, potentially affecting its ability to capitalize on new market opportunities and sustain long-term growth.

BlackBerry (BB) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

BlackBerry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackBerry Limited provides intelligent security software and services to enterprises and governments worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Cybersecurity, IoT, and Licensing and Other. The company offers BlackBerry Cyber Suite, which provides Cylance AI and machine learning-based cybersecurity solutions, including BlackBerry Protect, an EPP and available MTD solution; BlackBerry Optics, an EDR solution that provides visibility into and prevention of malicious activity; BlackBerry Guard, a managed detection and response solution; BlackBerry Gateway, an AI-empowered ZTNA solution; and BlackBerry Persona, a UEBA solution that provides authentication by validating user identity in real time. It also provides BlackBerry Spark Unified Endpoint Management Suite, such as BlackBerry UEM, a central software component of its secure communications platform; BlackBerry Dynamics that provides a development platform and secure container for mobile applications; BlackBerry AtHoc and BlackBerry Alert secure and networked critical event management solutions; and SecuSUITE for Government, a multi-OS voice and text messaging solution, as well as BBM Enterprise, an enterprise-grade secure instant messaging solution. In addition, the company offers BlackBerry QNX, which provides Neutrino operating system and BlackBerry QNX CAR platform, and other products; BlackBerry QNX, an embedded system solution; BlackBerry Jarvis, a cloud-based binary static application security testing platform; BlackBerry Certicom cryptography and management products, and BlackBerry Radar asset monitoring solution; and BlackBerry IVY, an intelligent vehicle data platform, as well as enterprise and cybersecurity consulting services. Further, it is involved in the patent licensing and legacy service access fees business. As of February 28, 2022, it owned approximately 38,000 worldwide patents and applications. BlackBerry Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackBerry generates revenue through several key streams, primarily focused on software and services. The company earns money from its cybersecurity solutions, which include endpoint security, threat detection, and incident response services. Additionally, BlackBerry's QNX operating system is widely used in automotive and industrial applications, contributing to licensing revenue. The company also engages in subscription-based models for its software products, providing recurring revenue. Strategic partnerships with organizations in the automotive and IoT sectors enhance its market reach and revenue potential. Furthermore, BlackBerry has been involved in joint ventures and collaborations, particularly in secure communications, which also aid in boosting its earnings.

BlackBerry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 18, 2025
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive, with BlackBerry delivering strong financial results, including record revenue for QNX and exceeding revenue expectations for Secure Communications. The company also achieved significant milestones such as FedRAMP high certification and positive GAAP net income. Despite some year-over-year declines in specific segments, the overall performance was robust, leading to increased full-year guidance.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record QNX Revenue
QNX delivered an all-time record for quarterly revenue at $68.7 million, representing 10% year-over-year growth and beating expectations.
Strong Profitability and Cash Flow
Adjusted EBITDA for the total company was $28.7 million, representing a 20% margin. Operating cash flow was $17.9 million, up three times year over year.
Secure Communications Revenue Beat
Secure Communications delivered revenue of $67 million, exceeding the top end of guidance despite the U.S. government shutdown.
FedRAMP High Certification
Ad hoc achieved FedRAMP high certification, enabling significant U.S. government expansions this quarter.
Positive GAAP Net Income
GAAP net income improved by $24.2 million year over year to $13.7 million in Q3, marking the third consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability.
Increased Full-Year Guidance
The company raised the guidance midpoint for total company revenue by $6 million to a range of $531 to $541 million and adjusted EBITDA by $7.5 million to a range of $94 to $104 million.
Negative Updates
Secure Communications Year-over-Year Decline
SecuSmart revenue grew sequentially but was lower year over year due to a tough compare with the previous year's strong upgrade cycle from the German government.
QNX Gross Margin Decline
QNX gross margins were down two percentage points year over year to 84% due to the lack of P&L benefit from Canada's Strategic Innovation Fund.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings call, BlackBerry reported strong financial performance, surpassing its guidance across key metrics, including revenue, profitability, and cash flow. The company achieved a total revenue of $141.8 million, exceeding the high end of its guidance range. The QNX division recorded an all-time high quarterly revenue of $68.7 million, representing a 10% year-over-year growth, primarily driven by increased royalties. The secure communications segment also performed well, with revenue reaching $67 million, overcoming challenges like the U.S. government shutdown. BlackBerry's adjusted EBITDA was $28.7 million, reflecting a 20% margin, and the company achieved its third consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability with a net income of $13.7 million. Additionally, BlackBerry projected a robust financial outlook for Q4, with expected total company revenue ranging from $138 to $148 million and adjusted EBITDA between $22 million and $32 million.

BlackBerry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BlackBerry faces significant revenue and profitability challenges, with a notable decline in revenue and negative net income. However, operational efficiencies have slightly improved, and the balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with manageable leverage. Cash flow improvements are notable, but persistent profitability issues require attention.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
BlackBerry's income statement shows significant revenue decline from $853M to $534.9M over the past year. The company also reported negative net income, which indicates profitability challenges. However, there was a slight improvement in EBIT from negative $125M to $0.8M, suggesting some operational efficiency gains. Gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 73.84% for the latest year, but the net profit margin is deeply negative, highlighting ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable position with a decreasing debt-to-equity ratio, currently at 0.33. The equity ratio is strong at 55.56%, showing that BlackBerry is mainly financed by equity. Despite a decrease in stockholders' equity, total liabilities have decreased, indicating a reduction in leverage. This indicates a more conservative financial structure, but the overall asset base has decreased, pointing to potential constraints in growth capacity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow turned positive at $16.5M from negative $3M, indicating improved cash generation from operations. Free cash flow also improved to $6.4M, showing better cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains challenging due to negative net income, suggesting that while cash flow is stabilizing, profitability needs enhancement. The overall cash position remains a point of strength.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue534.90M759.10M526.30M718.00M893.00M
Gross Profit394.90M490.70M366.60M467.00M643.00M
EBITDA59.20M93.90M-90.70M-38.00M100.00M
Net Income-79.00M-130.20M-734.40M12.00M-1.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.30B1.40B1.68B2.57B2.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments337.80M237.00M426.00M712.00M739.00M
Total Debt239.00M252.00M419.00M601.00M843.00M
Total Liabilities572.96M619.00M822.00M1.01B1.31B
Stockholders Equity716.47M776.00M857.00M1.56B1.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.40M-23.86M-304.00M-67.00M38.00M
Operating Cash Flow16.50M-3.00M-263.00M-28.00M82.00M
Investing Cash Flow60.70M46.00M176.00M207.00M-65.00M
Financing Cash Flow3.10M-165.00M6.00M10.00M-227.00M

BlackBerry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.48
Price Trends
50DMA
6.13
Negative
100DMA
5.88
Negative
200DMA
5.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Positive
RSI
40.35
Neutral
STOCH
24.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.81, below the 50-day MA of 6.13, and below the 200-day MA of 5.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:BB.

BlackBerry Risk Analysis

BlackBerry disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BlackBerry reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BlackBerry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
C$227.00M-30.03-2.18%-4.34%31.52%
54
Neutral
$3.23B222.762.88%-9.05%
54
Neutral
C$646.23M-21.50-18.09%12.20%-8.46%
50
Neutral
C$16.53M-1.6717.18%79.56%
46
Neutral
C$13.33M-11.59-24.65%-69.94%-281.40%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BB
BlackBerry
5.48
-0.16
-2.84%
TSE:STC
Sangoma Technologies
6.85
-3.35
-32.84%
TSE:NBVA
Nubeva Technologies Ltd
0.16
-0.03
-15.79%
TSE:PLUR
Plurilock Security Inc
0.21
-0.23
-52.27%
TSE:CVO
Coveo Solutions
6.78
0.16
2.42%
TSE:ICS
Integrated Cyber Solutions, Inc.
0.97
0.91
1516.67%

BlackBerry Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BlackBerry Reports Strong Q2 Fiscal 2026 Results with Revenue Growth and Strategic Advancements
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

BlackBerry Limited reported strong financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, showcasing year-over-year revenue growth and expanded adjusted EBITDA margins. The company achieved GAAP profitability and positive operating cash flow, with both its QNX and Secure Communications divisions exceeding revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance. The QNX division achieved significant growth and raised its full-year guidance, while the Secure Communications division also improved its key metrics. Additionally, BlackBerry returned $20 million to shareholders through a share buyback program, and made strategic advancements such as launching new safety-certified software and expanding cybersecurity training.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025