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BlackBerry (TSE:BB)
TSX:BB

BlackBerry (BB) AI Stock Analysis

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BlackBerry

(TSX:BB)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.00
▲(1.69%Upside)
BlackBerry's overall stock score is driven by its financial performance challenges, despite positive earnings call results. The company's profitability issues weigh heavily on its valuation, but improvements in operational efficiency and cash flow provide some optimism. Technical indicators suggest mixed momentum, further contributing to a moderate overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
BlackBerry reported Q1 results meaningfully ahead of expectations, highlighted by strong IoT/QNX results, with revenue growing 8.1% year-over-year to $57.5M at an 81% gross margin, generating $12.7M in adjusted EBITDA.
Partnerships
Partnerships with major companies like Microsoft and commitments from leading silicon partners such as Nvidia, Qualcomm, and NXP reinforce QNX's long-term growth potential.
Strategic Initiatives
The outlook for the business has improved with strategic initiatives being streamlined and meaningfully positive adjusted EBITDA creating new organic and inorganic investment opportunities.
Negative Factors
Macro Headwinds
The transaction doesn't immediately alleviate some of the macro headwinds the company is facing across both segments of its business.
Uncertainty in QNX Backlog
There still isn't great visibility into when the QNX backlog will create an inflection in IoT growth, and macro headwinds persist across both segments of the business.

BlackBerry (BB) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

BlackBerry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackBerry Limited provides intelligent security software and services to enterprises and governments worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Cybersecurity, IoT, and Licensing and Other. The company offers BlackBerry Cyber Suite, which provides Cylance AI and machine learning-based cybersecurity solutions, including BlackBerry Protect, an EPP and available MTD solution; BlackBerry Optics, an EDR solution that provides visibility into and prevention of malicious activity; BlackBerry Guard, a managed detection and response solution; BlackBerry Gateway, an AI-empowered ZTNA solution; and BlackBerry Persona, a UEBA solution that provides authentication by validating user identity in real time. It also provides BlackBerry Spark Unified Endpoint Management Suite, such as BlackBerry UEM, a central software component of its secure communications platform; BlackBerry Dynamics that provides a development platform and secure container for mobile applications; BlackBerry AtHoc and BlackBerry Alert secure and networked critical event management solutions; and SecuSUITE for Government, a multi-OS voice and text messaging solution, as well as BBM Enterprise, an enterprise-grade secure instant messaging solution. In addition, the company offers BlackBerry QNX, which provides Neutrino operating system and BlackBerry QNX CAR platform, and other products; BlackBerry QNX, an embedded system solution; BlackBerry Jarvis, a cloud-based binary static application security testing platform; BlackBerry Certicom cryptography and management products, and BlackBerry Radar asset monitoring solution; and BlackBerry IVY, an intelligent vehicle data platform, as well as enterprise and cybersecurity consulting services. Further, it is involved in the patent licensing and legacy service access fees business. As of February 28, 2022, it owned approximately 38,000 worldwide patents and applications. BlackBerry Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackBerry makes money primarily through its software and services segment, which includes cybersecurity solutions, endpoint management, and licensing agreements. The company's revenue streams are driven by enterprise clients seeking secure communication and data management solutions. BlackBerry also generates income from its QNX software, used in automotive infotainment and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), as well as from licensing its extensive patent portfolio. Significant partnerships, such as those with automotive manufacturers and technology firms, further bolster its earnings by integrating BlackBerry's secure solutions into various products and services.

BlackBerry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 24, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -0.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was generally positive, with the majority of segments performing better than expected and strong growth reported in both revenue and adjusted EBITDA. While some challenges remain due to macroeconomic uncertainties and slight declines in certain areas, the company's overall performance and positive outlook for the fiscal year were emphasized.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Stronger Than Expected Total Revenue
Total company revenue for the quarter was stronger than expected, beating guidance at $121.7 million.
Significant Growth in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA grew over 55% year over year, beating the top end of the guidance range at $16.4 million.
QNX Revenue Growth
QNX revenue for Q1 beat the upper end of the guidance range at $57.5 million, representing 8% year over year growth.
Successful Share Buyback Program
A $100 million share buyback program was announced, with $10 million worth of shares repurchased during the quarter.
Strong Secure Communications Division Performance
Secure communications division exceeded the top end of guidance with quarterly revenue of $59.5 million.
Positive Developments in UEM
Secured deals for UEM with several high-profile customers, including US Special Operations Command and US Air Force.
Negative Updates
Impact of Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Uncertainty in the market with some delays in customer buying decisions due to macro uncertainty and potential impacts on production volumes.
QNX Gross Margin Decline
QNX gross margins were slightly down at 81%, primarily due to unfavorable exchange rates.
Lower Licensing Division Revenue
Licensing division delivered revenue of $4.7 million, slightly below expectations due to lower revenue from existing licensing arrangements.
Company Guidance
During BlackBerry's first quarter fiscal year 2026 results conference call, the company reported strong financial performance, exceeding the top end of its guidance. Total revenue for the quarter was $121.7 million, with adjusted EBITDA growing over 55% year over year to $16.4 million. Non-GAAP earnings per share were positive at 2¢, and operating cash usage was better than expected at $18 million. BlackBerry announced a $100 million share buyback program, repurchasing $10 million worth of shares during the quarter. QNX division revenue was $57.5 million, representing 8% year-over-year growth, driven by a 923% increase in royalties and development seat licenses. The secure communications division also performed well, with revenue of $59.5 million and annual recurring revenue stable at $209 million. For the full fiscal year, BlackBerry raised its total company revenue guidance to $508-$538 million and adjusted EBITDA to $72-$87 million, with non-GAAP EPS expected to be between 8-10¢.

BlackBerry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BlackBerry is experiencing significant revenue and profitability challenges, with a notable revenue decline and negative net income. However, there are improvements in operational efficiency and cash flow stability. The balance sheet remains stable with a conservative financial structure.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
BlackBerry's income statement shows significant revenue decline from $853M to $534.9M over the past year. The company also reported negative net income, which indicates profitability challenges. However, there was a slight improvement in EBIT from negative $125M to $0.8M, suggesting some operational efficiency gains. Gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 73.84% for the latest year, but the net profit margin is deeply negative, highlighting ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable position with a decreasing debt-to-equity ratio, currently at 0.33. The equity ratio is strong at 55.56%, showing that BlackBerry is mainly financed by equity. Despite a decrease in stockholders' equity, total liabilities have decreased, indicating a reduction in leverage. This indicates a more conservative financial structure, but the overall asset base has decreased, pointing to potential constraints in growth capacity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow turned positive at $16.5M from negative $3M, indicating improved cash generation from operations. Free cash flow also improved to $6.4M, showing better cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains challenging due to negative net income, suggesting that while cash flow is stabilizing, profitability needs enhancement. The overall cash position remains a point of strength.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue553.60M534.90M853.00M656.00M718.00M893.00M
Gross Profit402.20M394.90M520.00M419.00M467.00M643.00M
EBITDA47.70M59.20M-13.00M-112.00M-38.00M102.00M
Net Income-35.10M-79.00M-130.00M-734.00M12.00M-1.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.21B1.30B1.40B1.68B2.57B2.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments306.60M337.80M237.00M426.00M712.00M739.00M
Total Debt235.70M239.00M252.00M419.00M573.00M810.00M
Total Liabilities485.30M575.70M619.00M822.00M1.01B1.31B
Stockholders Equity725.10M719.90M776.00M857.00M1.56B1.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.30M6.40M-24.00M-304.00M-67.00M38.00M
Operating Cash Flow13.50M16.50M-3.00M-263.00M-28.00M82.00M
Investing Cash Flow125.20M60.70M46.00M176.00M207.00M-65.00M
Financing Cash Flow-6.70M3.10M-165.00M6.00M10.00M-227.00M

BlackBerry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.90
Price Trends
50DMA
5.52
Positive
100DMA
5.76
Positive
200DMA
5.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
51.81
Neutral
STOCH
13.02
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.93, above the 50-day MA of 5.52, and above the 200-day MA of 5.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.02 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BB.

BlackBerry Risk Analysis

BlackBerry disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BlackBerry reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BlackBerry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSCVO
73
Outperform
C$758.57M-9.00%9.08%37.74%
68
Neutral
¥229.66B14.237.50%2.72%9.14%8.34%
TSSTC
63
Neutral
C$292.84M-2.67%-1.72%76.81%
TSBB
56
Neutral
$3.51B-1.76%-8.84%70.97%
TSDND
54
Neutral
C$737.18M-39.72%0.75%2.47%19.37%
44
Neutral
C$17.67M-1525.80%0.55%69.82%
$1.05B30.46-5.70%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BB
BlackBerry
5.79
2.49
75.45%
TSE:STC
Sangoma Technologies
8.61
2.14
33.08%
TSE:DND
Dye & Durham
10.23
-2.17
-17.50%
TSE:PLUR
Plurilock Security Inc
0.23
-0.33
-58.93%
TIXT
TELUS International (CDA)
3.88
-2.11
-35.23%
TSE:CVO
Coveo Solutions
7.91
-0.05
-0.63%

BlackBerry Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BlackBerry Exceeds Q1 Fiscal 2026 Expectations, Achieves Profitability
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

BlackBerry reported strong financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, surpassing guidance in revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and operating cash flow. The QNX and Secure Communications divisions both exceeded expectations, contributing to a net income of $1.9 million, marking the company’s first GAAP profitability since Q4 FY22. BlackBerry also returned $10 million to shareholders through a share buyback program. Strategic announcements included the launch of QNX Hypervisor 8.0 and partnerships with companies like WeRide and Leapmotor, enhancing BlackBerry’s position in the autonomous driving and digital cockpit markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BB) stock is a Hold with a C$4.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BlackBerry stock, see the TSE:BB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025