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Blackberry (TSE:BB)
NYSE:BB

BlackBerry (BB) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BB

BlackBerry

(NYSE:BB)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
C$5.50
▲(3.77% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/10/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (return to profitability, lower debt, and positive free cash flow) and a supportive earnings outlook with solid FY2027 guidance and strong QNX backlog. This is tempered by a rich valuation (P/E ~43) and technicals that are improving but not yet in a clear long-term uptrend (below the 200D, near-overbought momentum).
Positive Factors
QNX margins & profitability
QNX's very high gross margins and strong adjusted EBITDA demonstrate a structurally scalable, high‑ASP embedded software franchise. Durable margin profile supports operating leverage, recurrent cash conversion and reinvestment capacity, making future growth more value‑accretive even if top‑line swings.
Negative Factors
Modest consolidated revenue growth
Company‑level growth remains modest and concentrated in parts of the business, limiting the durability of the turnaround. Slow consolidated revenue traction constrains free cash flow expansion and makes margin gains contingent on continued execution in select segments rather than broad‑based demand.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
QNX margins & profitability
QNX's very high gross margins and strong adjusted EBITDA demonstrate a structurally scalable, high‑ASP embedded software franchise. Durable margin profile supports operating leverage, recurrent cash conversion and reinvestment capacity, making future growth more value‑accretive even if top‑line swings.
Read all positive factors

BlackBerry (BB) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

BlackBerry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
BlackBerry Limited provides intelligent security software and services to enterprises and governments worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Cybersecurity, IoT, and Licensing and Other. The company offers BlackBerry Cyber Suite, w...
How the Company Makes Money
BlackBerry makes money primarily by licensing software and selling subscription-based cybersecurity services. 1) Cybersecurity software and services (subscription and recurring revenue): A significant portion of BlackBerry’s revenue comes from it...

BlackBerry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 09, 2026
(Q4-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple strong operating and financial wins — record QNX revenue with high margins and EBITDA, a growing ~$950M backlog, accelerating Secure Communications momentum and healthy cash generation. Management provided constructive FY2027 guidance and articulated sizable growth levers (Alloy Core, non-auto/physical AI, gov't digital sovereignty). The main negatives were concentrated: modest full-year consolidated revenue growth (3%), UEM remains challenged with DBNRR under 100%, some licensing variability, and planned near-term investments that will temper margin expansion. On balance, the positive operational momentum, backlog strength, improving margins and cash generation materially outweigh the contained challenges.
Positive Updates
QNX Record Quarter and Strong Profitability
QNX delivered a record quarter with revenue of $78.7M (up 20% YoY), Q4 gross margin of 84% (up 1 pp), and adjusted EBITDA of $21.4M (27% of revenue). For the full fiscal year QNX grew 14% and generated $71M of adjusted EBITDA, making QNX a Rule of 40 business for both the quarter and the year.
Negative Updates
Modest Full-Year Revenue Growth
Total company revenue grew only 3% year-over-year for fiscal 2026 despite a strong Q4, indicating the recovery is concentrated in parts of the business and seasonality is significant.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Negative
QNX Record Quarter and Strong Profitability
QNX delivered a record quarter with revenue of $78.7M (up 20% YoY), Q4 gross margin of 84% (up 1 pp), and adjusted EBITDA of $21.4M (27% of revenue). For the full fiscal year QNX grew 14% and generated $71M of adjusted EBITDA, making QNX a Rule of 40 business for both the quarter and the year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to a Q1 cadence that reflects QNX seasonality and an overall acceleration for fiscal 2027: QNX Q1 revenue $60–64M and full‑year revenue $290–307M (top of range ≈15% growth) with QNX adjusted EBITDA $69–81M and the business expected to remain a Rule‑of‑40 company; Secure Communications Q1 revenue $66–70M and full‑year revenue $270–280M (≈4–8% growth) with adjusted EBITDA $57–65M; Licensing run rate roughly $6M revenue and ~$5M adjusted EBITDA per quarter; consolidated guidance of $584–611M total revenue (+6–11%), $110–130M adjusted EBITDA and non‑GAAP EPS $0.15–0.19 (excludes impact of any future buybacks); cash flow guidance shows Q1 operating cash flow breakeven to $10M and full‑year operating cash flow of ~ $100M (nearly double year‑over‑year).

BlackBerry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a clear near-term recovery: profitability has returned (positive EBIT and net income), debt has been reduced materially, and operating/free cash flow turned solidly positive in the latest year. The main constraint is durability risk from historically volatile revenue and uneven multi-year cash flow consistency.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue558.13M534.90M759.10M526.30M718.00M
Gross Profit413.49M394.90M490.70M366.60M467.00M
EBITDA67.19M59.20M93.90M-90.70M-38.00M
Net Income54.07M-79.00M-130.20M-734.40M12.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.24B1.30B1.40B1.68B2.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments359.58M337.80M237.00M426.00M712.00M
Total Debt18.78M239.00M252.00M419.00M601.00M
Total Liabilities498.76M572.96M619.00M822.00M1.01B
Stockholders Equity745.34M716.47M776.00M857.00M1.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow47.26M6.40M-23.86M-304.00M-67.00M
Operating Cash Flow51.13M16.50M-3.00M-263.00M-28.00M
Investing Cash Flow15.86M60.70M46.00M176.00M207.00M
Financing Cash Flow-59.16M3.10M-165.00M6.00M10.00M

BlackBerry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.30
Price Trends
50DMA
4.69
Positive
100DMA
5.14
Positive
200DMA
5.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
70.45
Negative
STOCH
75.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.66, above the 50-day MA of 4.69, and below the 200-day MA of 5.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.45 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BB.

BlackBerry Risk Analysis

BlackBerry disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BlackBerry reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BlackBerry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
C$3.12B37.149.75%-9.05%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
C$171.73M-28.58-2.82%-4.34%31.52%
53
Neutral
C$393.84M-16.02-28.39%12.20%-8.46%
45
Neutral
C$8.42M-16.31-21.69%-69.94%-281.40%
45
Neutral
C$10.23M-3.84286.87%17.18%79.56%
43
Neutral
C$43.07M-10.77247.94%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BB
BlackBerry
5.30
0.84
18.83%
TSE:STC
Sangoma Technologies
5.17
-1.31
-20.22%
TSE:NBVA
Nubeva Technologies Ltd
0.12
-0.01
-7.69%
TSE:PLUR
Plurilock Security Inc
0.13
-0.10
-43.48%
TSE:CVO
Coveo Solutions
4.20
-1.30
-23.64%
TSE:ICS
Integrated Cyber Solutions, Inc.
0.58
0.27
87.10%

BlackBerry Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
BlackBerry Returns to Growth on Record QNX Results and Strong Secure Communications Demand
Positive
Apr 9, 2026
BlackBerry reported a return to top-line growth in its fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2026, with quarterly revenue up 10% year over year to $156 million and full-year revenue rising 3% to $549.1 million. The company has now logged eight conse...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Roots Returns to Profit and Lifts Margins as Strategic Review Advances
Positive
Apr 9, 2026
Roots reported a solid finish to fiscal 2025, with fourth-quarter sales up 4.2% to $115.5 million and direct-to-consumer revenue rising 5.7%, supported by higher gross margins and a sharp swing to net income from a loss a year earlier. For the ful...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 10, 2026