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BlackBerry (TSE:BB)
TSX:BB

BlackBerry (BB) AI Stock Analysis

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BlackBerry

(TSX:BB)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.00
▲(7.91%Upside)
BlackBerry's overall stock score of 56 reflects the company's ongoing profitability challenges despite operational improvements and positive earnings call sentiment. The technical analysis points to modest bullish momentum, but valuation concerns due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield weigh on the score. The positive guidance and strategic moves highlighted in the earnings call are significant factors supporting the score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
BlackBerry reported Q4 results slightly ahead of expectations, highlighted by strong IoT/QNX results which continue to be the standout leader within the business.
Stock Performance
BB stock has demonstrated remarkable strength, reaching a 52-week high of $6.24 and up approximately 75% over the past six months.
Strategic Partnerships
Partnerships with major companies like Microsoft and commitments from leading silicon partners such as Nvidia, Qualcomm, and NXP reinforce QNX's long-term growth potential.
Negative Factors
Macro Headwinds
The transaction doesn't immediately alleviate some of the macro headwinds the company is facing across both segments of its business.
Visibility into Growth
There still isn't great visibility into when the QNX backlog will create an inflection in IoT growth, and macro headwinds persist across both segments of the business.

BlackBerry (BB) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

BlackBerry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackBerry Limited is a Canadian multinational company specializing in cybersecurity and Internet of Things (IoT) software solutions. Originally known for its mobile devices, BlackBerry has pivoted to focus on providing end-to-end solutions in communication, security, and connectivity. The company's core products and services include enterprise software, endpoint security, and embedded systems for the automotive industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackBerry makes money primarily through its software and services segment, which includes cybersecurity solutions, endpoint management, and licensing agreements. The company's revenue streams are driven by enterprise clients seeking secure communication and data management solutions. BlackBerry also generates income from its QNX software, used in automotive infotainment and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), as well as from licensing its extensive patent portfolio. Significant partnerships, such as those with automotive manufacturers and technology firms, further bolster its earnings by integrating BlackBerry's secure solutions into various products and services.

BlackBerry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 02, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.93%|
Next Earnings Date:Jun 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook for BlackBerry, with strong financial performance, successful strategic maneuvers like the Cylance transaction, and significant cost reductions. However, challenges in the automotive sector due to tariffs and a slight decline in Secure Communications revenue and retention rates were noted. Overall, the highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Profitability Beat Expectations
Total company revenue beat the top-end of guidance at $141.7 million, with QNX division revenue at $65.8 million, Secure Communications at $67.3 million, and Licensing at $8.6 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $21.1 million, with EPS beating expectations at $0.03 and $0.02 for Q4 and the full fiscal year, respectively.
Strong Cash Position
Total cash and investments increased by $144 million, driven by a significant increase in operating cash flow to $42 million and the collection of the initial tranche of cash from the Cylance deal of approximately $80 million.
QNX's Growth and Strategic Wins
QNX's royalty backlog grew to approximately $865 million, demonstrating the addition of future expected royalty revenue. The division secured design wins with leading OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, particularly in automotive, ADAS, and cockpit domain controllers.
Successful Cylance Transaction
Closed the Cylance transaction with Arctic Wolf, receiving approximately $80 million in cash and 5.5 million common shares, retaining AI/ML endpoint security patents, and expecting a significant tax shield for future profits.
Cost Reduction Achievements
Exceeded the target of removing approximately $150 million of costs from the run rate, significantly transforming profitability with total company adjusted EBITDA at $39.3 million for the year.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Automotive Sector
Uncertainty due to recent automotive tariffs and potential indirect effects on BlackBerry's business due to impacts on customers, including supply chains and macroeconomic demand.
Secure Communications Revenue Decline
Year-over-year revenue for Secure Communications was slightly lower due to a tough compare with the previous year, partially caused by the upfront revenue portion of a large deal with the Malaysian government.
Secure Communications ARR and DBNRR Decline
Annual recurring revenue for Secure Communications decreased by $7 million or 3% sequentially to $208 million, with the dollar-based net retention rate decreasing 2 percentage points sequentially to 93%.
Company Guidance
During the BlackBerry Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance and insights into its financial performance metrics. Total company revenue exceeded expectations, reaching $141.7 million, with the QNX division contributing $65.8 million, Secure Communications $67.3 million, and Licensing $8.6 million. BlackBerry reported adjusted EBITDA of $21.1 million and exceeded EPS guidance with $0.03 for Q4 and $0.02 for the full fiscal year 2025. Cash and investments increased by $144 million, driven by $42 million in operating cash flow and $80 million from the sale of Cylance. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2026, BlackBerry expects QNX revenue to range between $250 million and $270 million, Secure Communications between $230 million and $240 million, and Licensing division revenue to be approximately $6 million per quarter. The company anticipates positive operating cash flow around $35 million for the full fiscal year.

BlackBerry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BlackBerry faces significant revenue and profitability challenges, with declining revenues and negative net income. Despite these issues, operational efficiency showed slight improvements, and the balance sheet remains stable with a conservative financial structure and improved cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
BlackBerry's income statement shows significant revenue decline from $853M to $534.9M over the past year. The company also reported negative net income, which indicates profitability challenges. However, there was a slight improvement in EBIT from negative $125M to $0.8M, suggesting some operational efficiency gains. Gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 73.84% for the latest year, but the net profit margin is deeply negative, highlighting ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable position with a decreasing debt-to-equity ratio, currently at 0.33. The equity ratio is strong at 55.56%, showing that BlackBerry is mainly financed by equity. Despite a decrease in stockholders' equity, total liabilities have decreased, indicating a reduction in leverage. This indicates a more conservative financial structure, but the overall asset base has decreased, pointing to potential constraints in growth capacity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow turned positive at $16.5M from negative $3M, indicating improved cash generation from operations. Free cash flow also improved to $6.4M, showing better cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains challenging due to negative net income, suggesting that while cash flow is stabilizing, profitability needs enhancement. The overall cash position remains a point of strength.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.49B534.90M853.00M656.00M718.00M893.00M
Gross Profit
655.00M394.90M520.00M419.00M467.00M643.00M
EBIT
-1.36B800.00K-125.00M-725.00M-2.00M-1.11B
EBITDA
-145.00M59.20M-13.00M-112.00M-38.00M102.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-1.40B-79.00M-130.00M-734.00M12.00M-1.10B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
426.00M337.80M237.00M426.00M712.00M739.00M
Total Assets
1.68B1.30B1.40B1.68B2.57B2.82B
Total Debt
419.00M239.00M252.00M419.00M573.00M810.00M
Net Debt
124.00M-27.70M77.00M124.00M195.00M596.00M
Total Liabilities
822.00M575.70M619.00M822.00M1.01B1.31B
Stockholders Equity
857.00M719.90M776.00M857.00M1.56B1.50B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-467.00M6.40M-24.00M-304.00M-67.00M38.00M
Operating Cash Flow
-391.00M16.50M-3.00M-263.00M-28.00M82.00M
Investing Cash Flow
706.00M60.70M46.00M176.00M207.00M-65.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-749.00M3.10M-165.00M6.00M10.00M-227.00M

BlackBerry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.56
Price Trends
50DMA
5.04
Positive
100DMA
5.85
Negative
200DMA
4.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Positive
RSI
54.05
Neutral
STOCH
68.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.52, above the 50-day MA of 5.04, and above the 200-day MA of 4.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BB.

BlackBerry Risk Analysis

BlackBerry disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BlackBerry reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BlackBerry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$1.35B35.99-5.70%2.87%-271.63%
TSSTC
63
Neutral
C$266.04M-2.67%-1.72%76.81%
62
Neutral
$11.80B10.08-7.46%2.99%7.37%-8.21%
TSCVO
61
Neutral
C$710.78M-9.00%8.86%56.67%
TSBB
56
Neutral
$3.32B-7.59%-31.15%30.02%
TSDND
52
Neutral
C$657.22M-39.72%0.77%2.47%19.37%
43
Neutral
C$18.45M-1525.80%-7.43%30.13%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BB
BlackBerry
5.56
2.38
74.84%
TSE:STC
Sangoma Technologies
7.94
0.67
9.22%
TSE:DND
Dye & Durham
9.78
-2.11
-17.75%
TSE:PLUR
Plurilock Security Inc
0.24
-0.02
-7.69%
TSE:TIXT
TELUS International (CDA)
4.91
-2.96
-37.61%
TSE:CVO
Coveo Solutions
7.39
-0.31
-4.03%

BlackBerry Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BlackBerry Exceeds Fiscal 2025 Expectations, Strengthens Financial Position
Positive
Apr 2, 2025

BlackBerry reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, surpassing revenue and profitability expectations across its three divisions: QNX, Secure Communications, and Licensing. The company completed the sale of its Cylance business to Arctic Wolf, enhancing its balance sheet and positioning it for future growth. With increased operating cash flow and a solid financial standing, BlackBerry is well-positioned to drive shareholder value in the coming fiscal year.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.