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BlackBerry (BB) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BB

BlackBerry

(NYSE:BB)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.00
▲(1.01% Upside)
BlackBerry's overall stock score is driven by significant improvements in earnings and strategic wins, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, ongoing profitability challenges and valuation concerns weigh on the score. Technical indicators suggest weak momentum, adding to the cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
These strategic partnerships enhance BlackBerry's market reach and reinforce its position in secure communications, driving long-term revenue growth.
Cybersecurity Capacity Building
This initiative strengthens BlackBerry's role in regional cybersecurity, potentially increasing demand for its solutions and enhancing its reputation in the industry.
QNX Division Performance
The strong performance of the QNX division underscores BlackBerry's competitive advantage in the automotive and embedded systems markets, supporting future growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The substantial revenue decline highlights ongoing challenges in maintaining market share and competitive positioning, potentially impacting long-term growth.
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues could limit BlackBerry's ability to reinvest in growth initiatives and maintain competitive advantages over time.
Automotive Market Uncertainties
Uncertainties in the automotive sector could hinder BlackBerry's growth prospects in this key market, affecting future revenue and strategic positioning.

BlackBerry (BB) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

BlackBerry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackBerry Limited is a Canadian multinational company specializing in cybersecurity software and services, as well as the Internet of Things (IoT). Originally known for its mobile devices, BlackBerry has shifted its focus towards providing enterprise-level security solutions, software development, and licensing. The company operates primarily in the sectors of cybersecurity, IoT, and enterprise software, with core products including BlackBerry Cybersecurity solutions, BlackBerry QNX (a real-time operating system for embedded systems), and various secure communication and productivity tools.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackBerry generates revenue through several key streams, primarily focused on software and services. The company earns money from its cybersecurity solutions, which include endpoint security, threat detection, and incident response services. Additionally, BlackBerry's QNX operating system is widely used in automotive and industrial applications, contributing to licensing revenue. The company also engages in subscription-based models for its software products, providing recurring revenue. Strategic partnerships with organizations in the automotive and IoT sectors enhance its market reach and revenue potential. Furthermore, BlackBerry has been involved in joint ventures and collaborations, particularly in secure communications, which also aid in boosting its earnings.

BlackBerry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 25, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a primarily positive outlook for BlackBerry with strong revenue growth, profitability, and strategic wins, particularly in the QNX and Secure Communications divisions. While there are some challenges related to tax payments and market uncertainties, the overall performance and future guidance indicate solid business momentum.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Stronger Than Expected Revenue Growth
BlackBerry's revenue for Q2 FY2026 grew by 3% year over year to $129.6 million, exceeding expectations.
Positive Profitability Metrics
The company achieved positive GAAP net income for the second consecutive quarter at $13.3 million and non-GAAP EPS beat guidance at positive $0.04.
Remarkable QNX Division Performance
QNX reported 15% year-over-year revenue growth to $63.1 million and a 32% adjusted EBITDA margin, marking the most profitable quarter in the division's history.
Secure Communications Growth
Secure Communications revenue was $59.9 million, with an ARR increase of $4 million to $213 million, and a DVNRR improvement to 93%.
Strategic Wins and Partnerships
Notable design wins included a mid-eight-figure win in China and partnerships with BMW and Qualcomm for the Snapdragon RidePilot platform.
Increased Pipeline and Market Opportunities
BlackBerry secured new deals with the U.S. State Department, U.S. Coast Guard, and German government, expanding its potential market and pipeline.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tax Payments
Despite positive cash flow, significant tax payments of $19 million affected the quarter.
Back-End Loaded Growth
QNX division's growth remains back-end loaded due to the timing of design work and royalty ramp-ups.
Ongoing Automotive Market Uncertainties
Despite improvements, there are still uncertainties in the automotive market affecting program timelines and market conditions.
Company Guidance
In the BlackBerry second quarter fiscal year 2026 results conference call, the company reported a 3% year-over-year revenue growth to $129.6 million, with a positive GAAP net income of $13.3 million, marking the second consecutive profitable quarter. The adjusted EBITDA reached 20% of revenue, and non-GAAP EPS exceeded guidance at $0.04. The QNX division achieved a "rule of 40" quarter with 15% revenue growth and a 32% adjusted EBITDA margin, contributing $63.1 million in revenue. Secure Communications also performed well with $59.9 million in quarterly revenue, driven by reduced customer churn and significant deals, including a five-year agreement with the German government. The company raised its full-year guidance for revenue to between $519 and $541 million and adjusted EBITDA to between $82 and $101 million, anticipating positive cash flow for the remainder of the fiscal year.

BlackBerry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BlackBerry faces significant revenue and profitability challenges, with a notable revenue decline and negative net income. However, operational efficiencies have improved slightly, and the balance sheet shows a stable financial position with manageable leverage. Cash flow improvements are notable, but persistent profitability issues require attention.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
BlackBerry's income statement shows significant revenue decline from $853M to $534.9M over the past year. The company also reported negative net income, which indicates profitability challenges. However, there was a slight improvement in EBIT from negative $125M to $0.8M, suggesting some operational efficiency gains. Gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 73.84% for the latest year, but the net profit margin is deeply negative, highlighting ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable position with a decreasing debt-to-equity ratio, currently at 0.33. The equity ratio is strong at 55.56%, showing that BlackBerry is mainly financed by equity. Despite a decrease in stockholders' equity, total liabilities have decreased, indicating a reduction in leverage. This indicates a more conservative financial structure, but the overall asset base has decreased, pointing to potential constraints in growth capacity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow turned positive at $16.5M from negative $3M, indicating improved cash generation from operations. Free cash flow also improved to $6.4M, showing better cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains challenging due to negative net income, suggesting that while cash flow is stabilizing, profitability needs enhancement. The overall cash position remains a point of strength.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue553.60M534.90M759.10M526.30M718.00M893.00M
Gross Profit402.20M394.90M490.70M366.60M467.00M643.00M
EBITDA47.50M59.20M93.90M-90.70M-38.00M100.00M
Net Income-35.10M-79.00M-130.20M-734.40M12.00M-1.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets976.30M1.30B1.40B1.68B2.57B2.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments292.50M337.80M237.00M426.00M712.00M739.00M
Total Debt26.30M239.00M252.00M419.00M601.00M843.00M
Total Liabilities485.30M572.96M619.00M822.00M1.01B1.31B
Stockholders Equity0.00716.47M776.00M857.00M1.56B1.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.40M6.40M-23.86M-304.00M-67.00M38.00M
Operating Cash Flow13.50M16.50M-3.00M-263.00M-28.00M82.00M
Investing Cash Flow126.08M60.70M46.00M176.00M207.00M-65.00M
Financing Cash Flow-6.70M3.10M-165.00M6.00M10.00M-227.00M

BlackBerry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.94
Price Trends
50DMA
6.30
Negative
100DMA
5.82
Positive
200DMA
5.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
39.03
Neutral
STOCH
18.40
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.44, below the 50-day MA of 6.30, and above the 200-day MA of 5.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.40 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:BB.

BlackBerry Risk Analysis

BlackBerry disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BlackBerry reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BlackBerry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
C$558.40M-18.49-18.09%12.20%-8.46%
60
Neutral
C$232.64M-33.35-2.18%-4.34%31.52%
55
Neutral
C$357.35M-2.312.63%2.47%19.37%
55
Neutral
-20.44%5.06%-638.59%
53
Neutral
C$3.51B2.66%-13.61%89.73%
44
Neutral
C$15.71M-1.025.61%72.77%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BB
BlackBerry
5.94
2.70
83.33%
TSE:STC
Sangoma Technologies
7.42
-1.34
-15.30%
TSE:DND
Dye & Durham
2.85
-15.51
-84.48%
TSE:PLUR
Plurilock Security Inc
0.19
-0.27
-58.70%
TSE:TIXT
TELUS International (CDA)
6.07
1.19
24.39%
TSE:CVO
Coveo Solutions
5.72
-1.04
-15.38%

BlackBerry Corporate Events

BlackBerry Reports Strong Q2 Fiscal 2026 Results
Sep 26, 2025

BlackBerry Limited, a leader in providing intelligent software and services for enterprises and governments, has reported its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, showcasing a solid performance across its divisions. The company is renowned for its high-performance foundational software that powers transformative applications in the automotive and industrial sectors.

BlackBerry’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth and Strategic Wins
Sep 26, 2025

BlackBerry’s recent earnings call conveyed a predominantly positive sentiment, highlighting robust revenue growth, profitability, and strategic achievements, especially within the QNX and Secure Communications sectors. Despite some challenges related to tax payments and market uncertainties, the company’s overall performance and future guidance suggest a strong business trajectory.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
BlackBerry Reports Strong Q2 Fiscal 2026 Results with Revenue Growth and Strategic Advancements
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

BlackBerry Limited reported strong financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, showcasing year-over-year revenue growth and expanded adjusted EBITDA margins. The company achieved GAAP profitability and positive operating cash flow, with both its QNX and Secure Communications divisions exceeding revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance. The QNX division achieved significant growth and raised its full-year guidance, while the Secure Communications division also improved its key metrics. Additionally, BlackBerry returned $20 million to shareholders through a share buyback program, and made strategic advancements such as launching new safety-certified software and expanding cybersecurity training.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BB) stock is a Hold with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BlackBerry stock, see the TSE:BB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
BlackBerry Appoints Barry Mainz to Board of Directors
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

On August 23, 2025, BlackBerry appointed Barry Mainz, a seasoned technology executive, to its Board of Directors, increasing the board to eight members. Mainz’s extensive experience in the security software industry is expected to enhance BlackBerry’s strategic and operational capabilities, particularly in the growing field of high-performance, safety-critical software for non-traditional connected devices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BB) stock is a Hold with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BlackBerry stock, see the TSE:BB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025