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BlackBerry (TSE:BB)
TSX:BB
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BlackBerry (BB) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BB

BlackBerry

(TSX:BB)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.00
▼(-7.41% Downside)
BlackBerry's overall stock score is driven by a positive earnings call that highlights strong revenue growth and strategic wins, despite ongoing profitability challenges. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, but valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings and lack of dividends. Financial performance reflects stability in cash flow and balance sheet, but significant revenue and profitability issues persist.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth indicates BlackBerry's successful transition to a software-centric model, enhancing its market position in cybersecurity and IoT.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships with industry leaders like BMW and Qualcomm enhance BlackBerry's competitive edge and expand its market reach, supporting long-term growth.
Profitability Improvement
Achieving consecutive profitable quarters reflects improved operational efficiency and financial health, crucial for sustainable business growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A significant revenue decline poses challenges to BlackBerry's growth trajectory, potentially impacting its ability to invest in new technologies and market expansion.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues may limit BlackBerry's capacity to reinvest in its business, hindering long-term competitive positioning and innovation.
Automotive Market Uncertainties
Uncertainties in the automotive sector could delay revenue realization from key projects, affecting BlackBerry's growth in this strategic area.

BlackBerry (BB) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

BlackBerry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackBerry Limited provides intelligent security software and services to enterprises and governments worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Cybersecurity, IoT, and Licensing and Other. The company offers BlackBerry Cyber Suite, which provides Cylance AI and machine learning-based cybersecurity solutions, including BlackBerry Protect, an EPP and available MTD solution; BlackBerry Optics, an EDR solution that provides visibility into and prevention of malicious activity; BlackBerry Guard, a managed detection and response solution; BlackBerry Gateway, an AI-empowered ZTNA solution; and BlackBerry Persona, a UEBA solution that provides authentication by validating user identity in real time. It also provides BlackBerry Spark Unified Endpoint Management Suite, such as BlackBerry UEM, a central software component of its secure communications platform; BlackBerry Dynamics that provides a development platform and secure container for mobile applications; BlackBerry AtHoc and BlackBerry Alert secure and networked critical event management solutions; and SecuSUITE for Government, a multi-OS voice and text messaging solution, as well as BBM Enterprise, an enterprise-grade secure instant messaging solution. In addition, the company offers BlackBerry QNX, which provides Neutrino operating system and BlackBerry QNX CAR platform, and other products; BlackBerry QNX, an embedded system solution; BlackBerry Jarvis, a cloud-based binary static application security testing platform; BlackBerry Certicom cryptography and management products, and BlackBerry Radar asset monitoring solution; and BlackBerry IVY, an intelligent vehicle data platform, as well as enterprise and cybersecurity consulting services. Further, it is involved in the patent licensing and legacy service access fees business. As of February 28, 2022, it owned approximately 38,000 worldwide patents and applications. BlackBerry Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackBerry generates revenue primarily through its software and services segment, which includes cybersecurity solutions, secure communications, and enterprise software. The company offers subscription-based services that provide a steady stream of recurring revenue. Key revenue streams include licensing fees for its software products, sales of cybersecurity solutions, and contracts with governmental and enterprise clients for managed services. Additionally, BlackBerry has established partnerships with various technology and telecommunications companies to integrate its software into their offerings, further enhancing its market reach and driving sales. The company also benefits from a growing demand for security solutions in an increasingly digital world, particularly in sectors such as automotive, healthcare, and finance, where secure communication and data protection are critical.

BlackBerry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 25, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a primarily positive outlook for BlackBerry with strong revenue growth, profitability, and strategic wins, particularly in the QNX and Secure Communications divisions. While there are some challenges related to tax payments and market uncertainties, the overall performance and future guidance indicate solid business momentum.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Stronger Than Expected Revenue Growth
BlackBerry's revenue for Q2 FY2026 grew by 3% year over year to $129.6 million, exceeding expectations.
Positive Profitability Metrics
The company achieved positive GAAP net income for the second consecutive quarter at $13.3 million and non-GAAP EPS beat guidance at positive $0.04.
Remarkable QNX Division Performance
QNX reported 15% year-over-year revenue growth to $63.1 million and a 32% adjusted EBITDA margin, marking the most profitable quarter in the division's history.
Secure Communications Growth
Secure Communications revenue was $59.9 million, with an ARR increase of $4 million to $213 million, and a DVNRR improvement to 93%.
Strategic Wins and Partnerships
Notable design wins included a mid-eight-figure win in China and partnerships with BMW and Qualcomm for the Snapdragon RidePilot platform.
Increased Pipeline and Market Opportunities
BlackBerry secured new deals with the U.S. State Department, U.S. Coast Guard, and German government, expanding its potential market and pipeline.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tax Payments
Despite positive cash flow, significant tax payments of $19 million affected the quarter.
Back-End Loaded Growth
QNX division's growth remains back-end loaded due to the timing of design work and royalty ramp-ups.
Ongoing Automotive Market Uncertainties
Despite improvements, there are still uncertainties in the automotive market affecting program timelines and market conditions.
Company Guidance
In the BlackBerry second quarter fiscal year 2026 results conference call, the company reported a 3% year-over-year revenue growth to $129.6 million, with a positive GAAP net income of $13.3 million, marking the second consecutive profitable quarter. The adjusted EBITDA reached 20% of revenue, and non-GAAP EPS exceeded guidance at $0.04. The QNX division achieved a "rule of 40" quarter with 15% revenue growth and a 32% adjusted EBITDA margin, contributing $63.1 million in revenue. Secure Communications also performed well with $59.9 million in quarterly revenue, driven by reduced customer churn and significant deals, including a five-year agreement with the German government. The company raised its full-year guidance for revenue to between $519 and $541 million and adjusted EBITDA to between $82 and $101 million, anticipating positive cash flow for the remainder of the fiscal year.

BlackBerry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BlackBerry faces revenue and profitability challenges, with a significant revenue decline and negative net income. However, there are improvements in operational efficiency and cash flow, and a stable balance sheet with manageable leverage.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
BlackBerry's income statement shows significant revenue decline from $853M to $534.9M over the past year. The company also reported negative net income, which indicates profitability challenges. However, there was a slight improvement in EBIT from negative $125M to $0.8M, suggesting some operational efficiency gains. Gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 73.84% for the latest year, but the net profit margin is deeply negative, highlighting ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable position with a decreasing debt-to-equity ratio, currently at 0.33. The equity ratio is strong at 55.56%, showing that BlackBerry is mainly financed by equity. Despite a decrease in stockholders' equity, total liabilities have decreased, indicating a reduction in leverage. This indicates a more conservative financial structure, but the overall asset base has decreased, pointing to potential constraints in growth capacity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow turned positive at $16.5M from negative $3M, indicating improved cash generation from operations. Free cash flow also improved to $6.4M, showing better cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains challenging due to negative net income, suggesting that while cash flow is stabilizing, profitability needs enhancement. The overall cash position remains a point of strength.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue553.60M534.90M759.10M526.30M718.00M893.00M
Gross Profit402.20M394.90M490.70M366.60M467.00M643.00M
EBITDA47.50M59.20M93.90M-90.70M-38.00M100.00M
Net Income-35.10M-79.00M-130.20M-734.40M12.00M-1.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets976.30M1.30B1.40B1.68B2.57B2.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments292.50M337.80M237.00M426.00M712.00M739.00M
Total Debt26.30M239.00M252.00M419.00M601.00M810.00M
Total Liabilities485.30M572.96M619.00M822.00M1.01B1.31B
Stockholders Equity0.00716.47M776.00M857.00M1.56B1.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.40M6.40M-23.86M-304.00M-67.00M38.00M
Operating Cash Flow13.50M16.50M-3.00M-263.00M-28.00M82.00M
Investing Cash Flow126.08M60.70M46.00M176.00M207.00M-65.00M
Financing Cash Flow-6.70M3.10M-165.00M6.00M10.00M-227.00M

BlackBerry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.48
Price Trends
50DMA
5.53
Positive
100DMA
5.60
Positive
200DMA
5.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.34
Negative
RSI
59.81
Neutral
STOCH
52.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.09, above the 50-day MA of 5.53, and above the 200-day MA of 5.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BB.

BlackBerry Risk Analysis

BlackBerry disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BlackBerry reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BlackBerry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
C$239.97M-1.99%-1.46%40.89%
58
Neutral
$3.94B2.66%-13.61%89.73%
55
Neutral
C$479.60M-39.72%1.05%2.47%19.37%
55
Neutral
$1.74B35.99-20.44%5.06%-638.59%
55
Neutral
C$836.82M-17.77%10.09%-8.79%
40
Underperform
C$15.71M-1525.80%5.61%72.77%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BB
BlackBerry
6.48
3.17
95.77%
TSE:STC
Sangoma Technologies
7.19
-0.73
-9.22%
TSE:DND
Dye & Durham
7.42
-8.32
-52.86%
TSE:PLUR
Plurilock Security Inc
0.20
-0.40
-66.67%
TSE:TIXT
TELUS International (CDA)
6.24
1.23
24.55%
TSE:CVO
Coveo Solutions
8.98
3.29
57.82%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2025