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Goodfellow Inc. (TSE:GDL)
TSX:GDL
Canadian Market

Goodfellow (GDL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GDL

Goodfellow

(TSX:GDL)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
C$12.50
▲(6.93% Upside)
Goodfellow's overall stock score reflects a balance between strong revenue growth and attractive valuation against the backdrop of declining profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical indicators suggest a cautious outlook, reinforcing the need for improved operational efficiency.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates a significant recovery and potential for market expansion, enhancing Goodfellow's competitive position.
Market Position
Being a leading supplier in specialty materials, Goodfellow benefits from established market presence and customer trust, supporting long-term growth.
Balance Sheet Health
A manageable debt-to-equity ratio indicates a solid capital structure, providing financial stability and flexibility for future investments.
Negative Factors
Profitability Margins
Declining profit margins suggest challenges in cost management and pricing power, potentially impacting long-term profitability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow relative to net income indicates difficulties in converting earnings into cash, which may affect operational liquidity.
Profitability for Shareholders
Decreased return on equity reflects reduced profitability for shareholders, which could impact investor confidence and long-term investment appeal.

Goodfellow (GDL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Goodfellow Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGoodfellow (GDL) is a leading supplier of specialty materials and products, primarily serving the aerospace, automotive, and manufacturing sectors. The company offers a diverse range of high-performance materials, including metals, plastics, and composites, as well as custom manufacturing solutions tailored to meet the specific needs of its clients. With a commitment to quality and innovation, Goodfellow plays a pivotal role in enabling its customers to achieve their project goals through reliable supply and expert technical support.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoodfellow generates revenue through the sale of specialty materials and custom manufacturing services. Its key revenue streams include direct sales of raw materials such as metals, plastics, and composites to various industries, as well as value-added services like machining and fabrication. The company also benefits from long-term partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, which provide a steady flow of materials and enhance its product offerings. Additionally, Goodfellow's focus on niche markets allows it to command premium pricing for its specialized products, further contributing to its profitability.

Goodfellow Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Goodfellow demonstrates moderate financial health with stable revenue growth and a strong balance sheet. However, declining margins and cash flow challenges pose risks. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and cash flow management to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Goodfellow's income statement shows moderate performance with a gross profit margin of 23.3% and a net profit margin of 1.6% for TTM, indicating some profitability but room for improvement. Revenue growth is positive at 2.4% TTM, showing a recovery from previous declines. However, margins have decreased compared to previous years, suggesting pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39 TTM, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is modest at 4.1% TTM, reflecting moderate efficiency in using equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 58.3%, highlighting a solid equity base.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative free cash flow growth of -41.3% TTM and a free cash flow to net income ratio of -4.73, indicating cash flow issues. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.02, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue530.24M509.54M512.82M631.18M615.95M454.10M
Gross Profit121.46M121.75M112.36M136.06M136.54M91.75M
EBITDA23.42M29.48M31.37M55.63M60.53M28.36M
Net Income6.36M13.37M14.69M32.68M37.84M13.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets310.43M291.86M252.75M246.92M237.59M218.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.10M5.31M28.38M3.42M4.25M3.47M
Total Debt44.01M27.39M13.23M17.51M24.43M46.23M
Total Liabilities103.35M85.65M57.75M60.14M76.64M97.09M
Stockholders Equity207.08M206.21M195.00M186.78M160.95M121.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.18M-16.56M39.13M21.13M31.91M9.97M
Operating Cash Flow13.41M-868.00K42.97M26.01M33.28M11.44M
Investing Cash Flow-4.62M-15.67M-3.66M-4.85M-1.34M-1.42M
Financing Cash Flow-4.33M-12.44M-14.35M-14.75M-33.83M-12.28M

Goodfellow Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.69
Price Trends
50DMA
11.84
Positive
100DMA
11.47
Positive
200DMA
11.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
53.85
Neutral
STOCH
77.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GDL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.89, below the 50-day MA of 11.84, and above the 200-day MA of 11.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GDL.

Goodfellow Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
C$288.02M18.984.46%7.35%-28.86%-48.20%
62
Neutral
C$99.89M15.813.12%5.01%3.81%-50.79%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
50
Neutral
C$32.29M-3.16-6.02%-15.38%94.27%
47
Neutral
C$112.76M-1.76-12.20%2.06%-46.23%
42
Neutral
C$40.21M-0.42-73.85%-17.95%-97.06%
37
Underperform
C$2.45M-0.07-45.26%10.33%-52.20%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GDL
Goodfellow
11.97
-0.50
-4.01%
TSE:GFP
GreenFirst Forest Products
1.84
-3.60
-66.18%
TSE:ADN
Acadian Timber
15.79
-1.04
-6.18%
TSE:CFF
Conifex Timber
0.06
-0.29
-82.86%
TSE:CFX
Canfor Pulp Products
0.50
-0.27
-35.06%
TSE:WEF
Western Forest Prod
10.67
-1.03
-8.80%

Goodfellow Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Goodfellow Inc. Renews Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

Goodfellow Inc. has announced the renewal of its normal course issuer bid (NCIB) approved by the Toronto Stock Exchange, allowing the company to repurchase up to 481,002 of its common shares over a 12-month period. This strategic move is seen as a prudent use of funds, aiming to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital allocation. The company has also renewed its automatic share purchase plan to facilitate share repurchases during periods when it cannot actively participate in the market. The impact of this decision is expected to strengthen Goodfellow’s market positioning and potentially improve its financial metrics.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Goodfellow Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 15, 2025

Goodfellow Inc. reported its financial results for the third quarter ending August 31, 2025, with net earnings of $3.7 million, a decrease from $5.8 million the previous year, despite an increase in sales to $142 million from $140 million. The company focused on cost management and growth in value-added products, which helped maintain sales momentum amid challenging economic conditions. The Board declared a dividend of $0.35 per share, reflecting ongoing shareholder returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025