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Genesis Land Dev (TSE:GDC)
TSX:GDC
Canadian Market
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Genesis Land Dev (GDC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GDC

Genesis Land Dev

(TSX:GDC)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$4.00
▲(13.96% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven by improved profitability with moderate leverage, supported by constructive trend indicators. The strongest positive is the very low P/E valuation, while the main constraint is cash-flow variability and a modest TTM revenue pullback typical of a cyclical development business.
Positive Factors
Improved Profitability
Net margins near 10% reflect materially improved operational profitability after recent scaling. Sustained mid‑to‑high single‑digit margins provide durable cash cushion through project cycles, enabling reinvestment into entitlements and lowering break‑even on new lot sales over time.
Negative Factors
Cash-Flow Volatility
Operating and free cash flow volatility, including negative flows in 2023, signals timing and working‑capital sensitivity. In development, concentrated lot closings or permit delays can produce large intra‑year swings that stress liquidity and raise execution risk during downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved Profitability
Net margins near 10% reflect materially improved operational profitability after recent scaling. Sustained mid‑to‑high single‑digit margins provide durable cash cushion through project cycles, enabling reinvestment into entitlements and lowering break‑even on new lot sales over time.
Read all positive factors

Genesis Land Dev (GDC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Genesis Land Dev Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Genesis Land Dev (GDC) is a prominent real estate development company specializing in residential and commercial properties. Operating primarily in urban and suburban markets, GDC focuses on creating high-quality, sustainable living and working en...
How the Company Makes Money
GDC makes money primarily by creating value in land and realizing that value through sales. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Sale of developed lots/serviced parcels: after obtaining zoning/approvals (entitlements) and installing infrastr...

Genesis Land Dev Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue expansion and meaningfully improved profitability (net margin ~10% recently) support the score. Offsetting factors are modest TTM revenue softening and development-driven cash-flow volatility, including historically inconsistent operating cash flow despite recent positive free cash flow.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue374.40M381.16M361.06M203.31M140.36M109.76M
Gross Profit94.82M100.99M96.52M46.53M27.16M31.84M
EBITDA55.39M63.36M60.13M19.50M7.29M15.33M
Net Income34.03M39.24M39.60M14.51M4.52M10.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets621.50M629.91M577.72M440.08M364.14M324.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.52M17.51M21.41M37.55M36.60M63.98M
Total Debt140.86M137.18M134.45M104.30M65.90M33.51M
Total Liabilities297.77M302.55M290.52M198.94M136.80M88.99M
Stockholders Equity298.15M298.49M266.48M231.14M224.63M228.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.70M16.16M26.07M-8.46M3.91M-358.00K
Operating Cash Flow27.25M17.74M27.55M-7.80M4.52M517.00K
Investing Cash Flow-447.00K-1.58M-14.06M1.34M-2.10M-885.00K
Financing Cash Flow-28.39M-20.06M-29.63M7.41M18.48M32.73M

Genesis Land Dev Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.51
Price Trends
50DMA
3.39
Positive
100DMA
3.35
Positive
200DMA
3.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
55.09
Neutral
STOCH
73.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GDC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.37, above the 50-day MA of 3.39, and above the 200-day MA of 3.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GDC.

Genesis Land Dev Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$194.78M56.4813.95%6.68%-11.83%
76
Outperform
C$539.22M5.904.65%3.14%15.60%198.76%
71
Outperform
C$258.11M13.588.24%8.65%0.44%-10.34%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
C$520.77M41.8417.19%-12.68%22.30%
59
Neutral
C$324.83M10.114.68%7.37%-3.12%-41.32%
54
Neutral
C$437.38M18.25-1.91%3.85%-6.31%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GDC
Genesis Land Dev
3.46
0.50
16.89%
TSE:BTB.UN
BTB REIT
3.65
0.39
12.10%
TSE:FCD.UN
Firm Capital Property
6.68
1.04
18.50%
TSE:MRT.UN
Morguard Real Estate ate
6.50
0.78
13.68%
TSE:WFC
Wall Financial
16.90
3.43
25.45%
TSE:MRD
Melcor Developments
17.49
5.10
41.21%

Genesis Land Dev Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Genesis Land boosts revenue, ups dividend and secures new credit line in 2025
Positive
Mar 6, 2026
Genesis Land Development Corp., a Calgary-focused land developer and home builder, reported higher full-year 2025 revenue of $381.2 million, up from $361.1 million in 2024, while net earnings were essentially flat at $39.2 million. The company sol...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026