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Genesis Land Dev (TSE:GDC)
TSX:GDC
Canadian Market

Genesis Land Dev (GDC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GDC

Genesis Land Dev

(TSX:GDC)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
C$3.50
▼(-0.28% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/04/26
The score is driven by solid profitability and a low P/E, offset by weak and volatile recent cash generation and a multi-year rise in leverage. Technicals are broadly neutral and do not materially change the outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective execution of projects, positioning the company well for future expansion.
Profitability Margins
Improved profitability margins reflect efficient cost management and operational excellence, supporting sustainable financial performance.
Balance Sheet Health
A stable balance sheet with moderate leverage indicates financial resilience, providing flexibility for future investments and growth.
Negative Factors
Cash Conversion Challenges
Challenges in converting operating income into cash may affect liquidity and limit the ability to reinvest in growth opportunities.
Debt Levels
Rising debt levels, despite being balanced by equity growth, could increase financial risk if not managed carefully over time.
Competitive Market
Operating in a competitive market requires constant innovation and strategic planning to maintain growth and market position.

Genesis Land Dev (GDC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Genesis Land Dev Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGenesis Land Dev (GDC) is a prominent real estate development company specializing in residential and commercial properties. Operating primarily in urban and suburban markets, GDC focuses on creating high-quality, sustainable living and working environments. The company engages in land acquisition, planning, and development, delivering a diverse portfolio of properties that cater to the evolving needs of communities. With a commitment to innovation and environmental stewardship, GDC integrates modern design principles and sustainable practices into its projects, enhancing both aesthetic value and functionality.
How the Company Makes MoneyGenesis Land Dev generates revenue through multiple streams primarily centered around real estate development. Key revenue sources include the sale of developed residential and commercial properties, leasing income from rental properties, and gains from land sales. The company also engages in joint ventures and partnerships with other developers and investors, which can provide additional capital and reduce risk. Strategic collaborations with local governments and community organizations may lead to incentives like tax breaks or grants, further enhancing profitability. By maintaining a focus on market trends and customer preferences, GDC is able to maximize its revenue potential through effective project planning and execution.

Genesis Land Dev Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability improved materially with solid 2024 and TTM margins (operating ~16–17%, net ~10%) and higher revenue scale versus earlier years. Balance sheet leverage is still moderate (~0.58 debt-to-equity) but has risen sharply over several years, reducing flexibility. The biggest drag is cash flow: TTM operating/free cash flow is very low versus earnings and dropped sharply from 2024, increasing funding and execution risk.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability has improved meaningfully versus earlier years, with solid operating profitability in 2024 and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (operating margin ~16–17% and net margin ~10%). Revenue scaled sharply from 2022 to 2024, supporting higher earnings power. Offsetting this, TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue and net margin are modestly lower than 2024, suggesting some normalization after a strong year.
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
The balance sheet remains reasonably supported by equity, with debt-to-equity still moderate (~0.58 TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)) and positive returns on equity (about 12% TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)). However, leverage has stepped up steadily over the last several years (debt rising from ~22M in 2020 to ~163M TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), which reduces flexibility if the development cycle weakens.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash generation has become a key weak spot recently: operating cash flow and free cash flow in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) are very low relative to earnings, and free cash flow fell sharply versus 2024. While 2024 showed strong cash conversion (healthy operating and free cash flow relative to net income), the sharp TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) drop highlights volatility in working-capital/cash timing typical in development businesses and increases reliance on balance-sheet funding.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue351.20M361.06M203.31M140.36M109.76M103.93M
Gross Profit95.90M96.52M46.53M27.16M31.84M15.71M
EBITDA59.35M60.13M19.50M7.29M15.33M2.01M
Net Income33.93M39.60M14.51M4.52M10.88M-205.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets627.94M577.72M440.08M364.14M324.93M266.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.45M21.41M37.55M36.60M63.98M29.74M
Total Debt163.48M134.45M104.30M65.90M33.51M22.26M
Total Liabilities325.81M290.52M198.94M136.80M88.99M66.73M
Stockholders Equity281.43M266.48M231.14M224.63M228.62M187.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.02M26.07M-8.46M3.91M-358.00K45.83M
Operating Cash Flow5.00M27.55M-7.80M4.52M517.00K46.65M
Investing Cash Flow-6.35M-14.06M1.34M-2.10M-885.00K-1.07M
Financing Cash Flow8.09M-29.63M7.41M18.48M32.73M-33.42M

Genesis Land Dev Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.51
Price Trends
50DMA
3.30
Positive
100DMA
3.30
Positive
200DMA
3.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
50.87
Neutral
STOCH
56.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GDC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.36, above the 50-day MA of 3.30, and above the 200-day MA of 3.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GDC.

Genesis Land Dev Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$346.90M16.248.60%7.37%0.92%92.93%
75
Outperform
C$525.68M8.214.72%3.14%29.55%425.60%
68
Neutral
C$225.25M12.736.20%8.65%2.69%-45.80%
66
Neutral
C$542.97M10.5617.19%-4.02%34.29%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
C$197.04M6.2512.71%7.07%-3.06%
49
Neutral
C$438.24M-25.11-4.91%3.85%-5.37%13.86%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GDC
Genesis Land Dev
3.50
0.52
17.45%
TSE:BTB.UN
BTB REIT
3.93
0.79
25.16%
TSE:FCD.UN
Firm Capital Property
6.10
0.54
9.73%
TSE:MRT.UN
Morguard Real Estate ate
6.58
1.27
23.94%
TSE:WFC
Wall Financial
17.75
5.62
46.38%
TSE:MRD
Melcor Developments
17.48
5.74
48.83%

Genesis Land Dev Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Genesis Land Sells 40% Stake in Calgary’s Hazel Development for $19.1M
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

Genesis Land Development Corp. has finalized an agreement to sell a combined 40% ownership stake in its Hazel residential project in Calgary to two Alberta-based home builders for $19.1 million. The Hazel development spans 160 acres and is projected to deliver approximately 1,200 homes upon completion. This move strengthens Genesis’ collaboration with local builders while facilitating timely residential lot development in a growing community, reflecting commitment to creating vibrant neighborhoods.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GDC) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genesis Land Dev stock, see the TSE:GDC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Genesis Land Development Reports Q3 2025 Results and Declares Special Dividend
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

Genesis Land Development Corp. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a special dividend declaration of $0.11 per share. The company experienced a decrease in year-to-date revenues and net earnings compared to the previous year, with revenues at $246.6 million and net earnings at $21.3 million. However, Q3 2025 saw an increase in revenues and lot sales compared to Q3 2024. Despite a decrease in new home orders due to economic uncertainty, Genesis continues to execute its business plan and manage its financial resources strategically.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GDC) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genesis Land Dev stock, see the TSE:GDC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026