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Genesis Land Dev (TSE:GDC)
TSX:GDC
Canadian Market
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Genesis Land Dev (GDC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GDC

Genesis Land Dev

(TSX:GDC)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$4.00
▲(11.42% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/31/26
The score is driven mainly by solid financial performance (strong TTM growth and profitability with improved free cash flow) and an attractive valuation (low P/E). Technicals are supportive with the stock trading above key moving averages, though limited by missing momentum indicators; recent margin/earnings softening and historically lumpy cash flows temper the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth and Profitability
The sharp TTM revenue increase, alongside solid gross and net margins, indicates strong land and homebuilding activity. Sustained demand and the company’s ability to convert development inventory into sales can support earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Recent Earnings and Margin Normalization
The decline in net income and operating profit despite comparable revenue suggests normalization in pricing, product mix or costs. If this persists, it could limit profit growth and reduce the benefit of strong top-line activity across upcoming reporting periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Revenue Growth and Profitability
The sharp TTM revenue increase, alongside solid gross and net margins, indicates strong land and homebuilding activity. Sustained demand and the company’s ability to convert development inventory into sales can support earnings over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Genesis Land Dev (GDC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Genesis Land Dev Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Headquartered in Calgary, Canada, Genesis Land Development Corp. functions as a comprehensive real estate enterprise, specializing in both land development and residential construction. The company maintains an extensive portfolio of residential p...
How the Company Makes Money
GDC generates revenue primarily through real estate development and homebuilding activities. Key revenue streams include: (1) Land/lot sales: the company buys and holds land, advances it through planning/entitlement and servicing (e.g., roads and ...

Genesis Land Dev Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM revenue growth (+91.1%) with solid profitability (gross margin ~25.3%, net margin ~9.1%) and improved positive free cash flow. Offsets include softer recent earnings/margins versus 2024–2025, rising debt versus earlier years, and historically volatile cash flows typical of development cycles.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
69
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue377.81M381.16M361.06M203.31M140.36M109.76M
Gross Profit93.09M100.99M96.52M46.53M27.16M31.84M
EBITDA52.61M63.36M60.13M22.46M7.29M15.33M
Net Income31.57M39.24M39.60M14.51M4.52M10.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets627.52M629.91M577.72M440.08M364.14M324.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.55M17.51M21.41M37.55M36.60M63.98M
Total Debt136.65M137.18M134.45M104.30M65.90M33.51M
Total Liabilities307.31M302.55M290.52M198.94M136.80M88.99M
Stockholders Equity295.58M298.49M266.48M231.14M224.63M228.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow35.21M16.16M26.07M-8.46M3.91M-358.00K
Operating Cash Flow36.29M17.74M27.55M-7.80M4.52M517.00K
Investing Cash Flow-3.48M-1.58M-14.06M1.34M-2.10M-885.00K
Financing Cash Flow-26.20M-20.06M-29.63M7.41M18.48M32.73M

Genesis Land Dev Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.59
Price Trends
50DMA
3.41
Negative
100DMA
3.36
Negative
200DMA
3.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
38.07
Neutral
STOCH
1.39
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GDC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.45, above the 50-day MA of 3.41, and above the 200-day MA of 3.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.39 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:GDC.

Genesis Land Dev Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$184.01M5.8411.83%15.40%-15.19%
72
Outperform
C$261.80M9.099.27%8.65%1.31%20.47%
72
Outperform
C$664.47M21.1615.90%5.26%-18.04%7.87%
69
Neutral
C$555.92M6.166.06%4.83%-3.65%840.07%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
59
Neutral
C$472.23M98.870.56%3.43%-4.01%
55
Neutral
C$341.44M13.224.68%7.75%-0.81%-32.86%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GDC
Genesis Land Dev
3.27
0.34
11.49%
TSE:BTB.UN
BTB REIT
3.86
0.42
12.37%
TSE:FCD.UN
Firm Capital Property
7.09
1.48
26.45%
TSE:MRT.UN
Morguard Real Estate ate
7.02
1.46
26.19%
TSE:WFC
Wall Financial
20.85
6.69
47.21%
TSE:MRD
Melcor Developments
18.55
4.32
30.36%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2026