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Equinox Gold (TSE:EQX)
TSX:EQX

Equinox Gold (EQX) AI Stock Analysis

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Equinox Gold

(TSX:EQX)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$11.00
▲(15.79%Upside)
Equinox Gold scores well due to its strong financial performance and positive technical indicators, indicating a solid foundation and potential for growth. The strategic merger and record production levels contribute positively, though challenges like the Los Filos suspension and nonrecurring financial charges pose risks.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
The company ended the year with $240M in cash, and debt was reduced by $180M in Q4.
Financial Performance
Equinox Gold reported Q4 production of 214koz beating BMO/consensus estimates of 205koz/199koz.
Resource Expansion
The updated reserve and resource estimate for the Fazenda mine in Brazil increased reserves by 142%, successfully extending its reserve life through 2033.
Negative Factors
Operational Challenges
Production at Santa Luz and, to a lesser extent, Greenstone, was below forecast, but was more than offset by a strong quarter at other operations.
Production Shortfall
Production at Greenstone and Santa Luz was below expectations by 10% and 36%, respectively.

Equinox Gold (EQX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Equinox Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEquinox Gold Corp. engages in the operation, acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. Its properties include the Aurizona gold mine located in Maranhão State; the RDM gold mine located in Minas Gerais State; and Fazenda gold mine and the Santa Luz gold mine located in Bahia State, Brazil. The company also hold interests in the Mesquite gold mine and the Castle Mountain property situated in California, the United States; and the Los Filos Gold Mine located in Guerrero State, Mexico. In addition, it holds a 60% interest in the Greenstone project located in Ontario, Canada. The company was formerly known as Trek Mining Inc. and changed its name to Equinox Gold Corp. in December 2017. Equinox Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyEquinox Gold makes money primarily through the extraction and sale of gold from its mining operations. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of gold bullion and gold concentrates. Equinox Gold's earnings are significantly influenced by the market price of gold, as well as its ability to manage operational costs and maximize production efficiency. The company may also generate additional revenue through joint ventures or partnerships with other mining companies, as well as from the occasional sale of non-core assets or royalties. Strategic acquisitions and the development of new mining projects contribute to the company's growth and revenue potential.

Equinox Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.20%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive achievements, such as record production levels and successful strategic moves like the merger with Caliber, alongside significant challenges, particularly the suspension of operations at Los Filos and associated financial impacts. The company is optimistic about future growth and cost improvements but is currently navigating through a period with notable operational and financial hurdles.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Gold Production
Produced over 145,000 ounces of gold and sold approximately 148,000 ounces, marking the highest first quarter production in the company's history.
Improved Safety Performance
The twelve-month rolling total recordable injury frequency rate improved to 1.95 per million hours worked, with a quarterly rate of 1.07 and no significant environmental incidents.
Successful Merger with Caliber Mining
Equinox shareholders and Caliber security holders voted in favor of the merger, with court approval received and closure expected in the second quarter.
Strong Revenue Performance
Achieved more than $400 million in revenue for the third consecutive quarter.
Progressive Ramp-Up at Greenstone
Despite challenges, the Greenstone ramp-up saw improvements with mining rates increasing to 165,000 tonnes per day by May.
Negative Updates
Los Filos Mine Suspension
Operations at Los Filos were suspended due to failure to conclude a new long-term agreement with one of the three local communities, leading to significant non-recurring charges and expected care and maintenance costs.
Higher Unit Costs at Greenstone
Greenstone unit costs were higher than expected in Q1 due to fleet expansion and plant maintenance, though improvements are anticipated throughout the year.
Nonrecurring Financial Charges
The quarter included $65 million of nonrecurring charges, including a $25 million depreciation adjustment and a $29 million inventory value adjustment at Los Filos.
Net Loss Despite Record Production
Despite record production and high gold prices, the company booked a net loss for the quarter due to aforementioned nonrecurring costs and finance charges.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Equinox Gold reported a record production of over 145,000 ounces of gold and sales of approximately 148,000 ounces, marking the highest first-quarter production in the company's history. The total recordable injury frequency rate improved to 1.07 per million hours worked, with no significant environmental incidents reported, maintaining a frequency rate of zero. The cash cost was reported at $17.69 per ounce, with an all-in sustaining cost of $2,065 per ounce, including contributions from the Los Filos mine. However, due to suspension of operations at Los Filos, excluding its production and costs, the cash cost was $16.37 per ounce, and the all-in sustaining cost was $19.79 per ounce. The company announced a proposed merger with Caliber Mining, with the merger expected to close in the second quarter. Equinox Gold aims to achieve a combined production of 950,000 ounces in 2025, anticipating annual production to exceed 1.2 million ounces once fully ramped up, thereby capitalizing on high gold prices to generate cash flow and reduce debt. The first quarter also saw nonrecurring charges totaling $65 million, including a $25 million depreciation adjustment and a $29 million inventory adjustment at Los Filos. The company reported $173 million in unrestricted cash, with plans to reduce deferred revenue obligations by 39,000 ounces and $74 million in 2025, and to retire a $140 million convertible note maturing in September.

Equinox Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Equinox Gold demonstrates robust financial health with strong revenue growth and profitability. However, challenges such as declining gross profit and fluctuating net income exist. The company has a stable balance sheet with manageable leverage and a positive shift in cash flow management.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Equinox Gold's income statement shows strong financial performance with a healthy TTM gross profit margin of 26.7% and a robust net profit margin of 18.1%. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 12.0%, indicating positive revenue trajectory, although the gross profit has decreased compared to 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins stand at 14.6% and 27.8% respectively, reflecting effective operational efficiency. However, the net income has decreased compared to 2024, suggesting some volatility in profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with an improving debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 in TTM, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is a strong 9.2%, showing efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 49.8%, demonstrating a balanced capital structure. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity from 2024 points towards potential risks in maintaining equity levels.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Equinox Gold's cash flow statement shows resilience with TTM free cash flow turning positive at $7.66 million, compared to negative in 2024, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.33, suggesting strong cash-generating efficiency relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio also indicates solid performance. Despite previous years of negative free cash flow, the positive shift in TTM highlights enhanced cash flow management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.70B1.51B1.09B952.20M1.08B842.51M
Gross Profit
453.10M523.95M108.98M75.50M215.32M223.62M
EBIT
247.47M237.96M49.62M10.39M146.47M171.39M
EBITDA
471.94M948.08M291.09M131.53M338.01M232.51M
Net Income Common Stockholders
306.56M339.29M28.88M-106.03M554.89M22.29M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
178.26M245.47M284.66M237.64M546.03M344.93M
Total Assets
6.67B6.71B4.35B3.86B3.97B2.67B
Total Debt
1.39B1.41B945.37M842.10M567.63M555.19M
Net Debt
1.22B1.17B753.37M641.33M262.13M210.26M
Total Liabilities
3.35B3.32B1.91B1.50B1.38B1.22B
Stockholders Equity
3.32B3.40B2.44B2.35B2.59B1.45B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
7.66M-39.89M-164.84M-500.60M-23.45M43.61M
Operating Cash Flow
408.76M372.18M358.46M56.47M320.78M216.51M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.14B-1.11B-462.67M-419.00M-347.57M-129.32M
Financing Cash Flow
778.00M792.48M92.50M254.31M-1.59M190.08M

Equinox Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.50
Price Trends
50DMA
9.20
Positive
100DMA
9.26
Positive
200DMA
8.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
54.51
Neutral
STOCH
75.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EQX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.07, above the 50-day MA of 9.20, and above the 200-day MA of 8.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:EQX.

Equinox Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSEQX
73
Outperform
$4.33B11.318.27%60.05%
51
Neutral
$2.02B-1.14-21.36%3.64%2.88%-30.57%
NGNGD
$3.81B28.5014.62%
$3.39B11.7116.21%0.62%
TSWDO
78
Outperform
C$2.95B15.7134.73%80.44%3757.72%
TSCXB
76
Outperform
C$2.84B31.776.74%20.03%-46.48%
$2.92B22.298.12%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EQX
Equinox Gold
9.50
2.28
31.58%
NGD
New Gold
4.80
2.85
146.15%
OCANF
OceanaGold
4.77
2.55
114.86%
TSE:CXB
Calibre Mining
3.31
1.49
81.87%
TSE:WDO
Wesdome Gold Mines
19.64
8.65
78.71%
TORXF
Torex Gold Resources
33.81
18.16
116.04%

Equinox Gold Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Equinox Gold Reports Record Q1 Production and Strategic Merger Plans
Positive
May 8, 2025

Equinox Gold reported a record first-quarter production of over 145,000 ounces of gold, with expectations for increased production throughout the year. The company is advancing its operations at the Greenstone mine and is on track to complete a merger with Calibre Mining, which will create a diversified gold producer with enhanced cash flow and growth potential. Despite a net loss of $75.5 million, the company maintains a strong operational cash flow and is strategically positioned for long-term value creation.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Equinox Gold Shareholders Approve Merger with Calibre Mining
Positive
May 2, 2025

Equinox Gold Corp. announced that its shareholders have approved a business combination with Calibre Mining Corp., along with other resolutions at their annual and special meeting. This transaction, pending regulatory and court approvals, is expected to close by the end of Q2 2025, potentially enhancing Equinox Gold’s market position and operational scale in the gold mining sector.

Financial Disclosures
Equinox Gold to Release Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

Equinox Gold Corp. is set to release its unaudited financial and operating results for the first quarter of 2025 on May 7, 2025, after market close. The announcement will be followed by a conference call and webcast on May 8, 2025, to discuss the results, which could provide insights into the company’s operational performance and market positioning.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Equinox Gold and Calibre Mining Amend Merger Agreement, Set New Shareholder Meeting Dates
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

Equinox Gold and Calibre Mining have amended their arrangement agreement for a proposed business combination, offering Calibre shareholders 0.35 Equinox shares per Calibre share. This merger aims to create a major gold producer capable of producing over 1.2 million ounces of gold annually, positioning the combined entity as the second largest gold producer in Canada and among the top 15 globally. The shareholder meetings for both companies have been adjourned to May 1, 2025, to allow more time for voting on the transaction, which has received strong preliminary support from Equinox shareholders.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Equinox Gold Receives Positive Recommendations for Calibre Mining Merger
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

Equinox Gold has announced that independent proxy advisory firms ISS and Glass Lewis have recommended shareholders to vote in favor of its business combination with Calibre Mining. This merger aims to create a leading gold producer in the Americas with an annual production potential of over 1.2 million ounces and substantial free cash flow. The combined entity is expected to benefit from increased production, a strong growth profile, and significant revaluation potential, enhancing shareholder value.

Business Operations and Strategy
Equinox Gold Suspends Los Filos Mine Operations Amid Land Access Dispute
Negative
Apr 1, 2025

Equinox Gold has indefinitely suspended operations at its Los Filos Mine in Guerrero, Mexico, due to the expiration of its land access agreement with the Carrizalillo community. Despite reaching agreements with two other local communities, the lack of consensus with Carrizalillo has led to the exclusion of Los Filos production from the company’s 2025 guidance, impacting its operational strategy and stakeholder expectations.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.