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Equinox Gold (TSE:EQX)
TSX:EQX

Equinox Gold (EQX) AI Stock Analysis

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Equinox Gold

(TSX:EQX)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$9.50
▲(19.80%Upside)
Equinox Gold's overall score reflects a mix of strong financial health and attractive valuation, tempered by bearish technical indicators and operational challenges. The strategic merger with Calibre Mining offers growth potential, but current operational setbacks and a negative technical outlook weigh on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Impact
Equinox has closed its acquisition of Calibre Mining, resulting in the formation of a major gold producer anchored by the Greenstone and Valentine mines in Canada.
Exploration Opportunities
The company has approved a 60,000m diamond drill program for 2025, providing further exploration upside.
Production Performance
Equinox Gold reported Q4 production of 214koz beating BMO/consensus estimates of 205koz/199koz.
Negative Factors
Cost Increase
Management increased AISC from $1,455-$1,550/oz to $1,970-$2,070/oz.
Guidance Adjustment
Following a slower-than-planned ramp-up at Greenstone to start 2025, management reset expectations last week, adjusting 2025 guidance (ex-CXB) from 635-750koz to 555-625koz and increasing AISC from $1,455-$1,550/oz to $1,970-$2,070/oz.
Production Challenges
Production at Greenstone and Santa Luz was below expectations by 10% and 36%, respectively.

Equinox Gold (EQX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Equinox Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEquinox Gold Corp. engages in the operation, acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. Its properties include the Aurizona gold mine located in Maranhão State; the RDM gold mine located in Minas Gerais State; and Fazenda gold mine and the Santa Luz gold mine located in Bahia State, Brazil. The company also hold interests in the Mesquite gold mine and the Castle Mountain property situated in California, the United States; and the Los Filos Gold Mine located in Guerrero State, Mexico. In addition, it holds a 60% interest in the Greenstone project located in Ontario, Canada. The company was formerly known as Trek Mining Inc. and changed its name to Equinox Gold Corp. in December 2017. Equinox Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyEquinox Gold makes money primarily through the extraction and sale of gold from its mining operations. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of gold bullion and gold concentrates. Equinox Gold's earnings are significantly influenced by the market price of gold, as well as its ability to manage operational costs and maximize production efficiency. The company may also generate additional revenue through joint ventures or partnerships with other mining companies, as well as from the occasional sale of non-core assets or royalties. Strategic acquisitions and the development of new mining projects contribute to the company's growth and revenue potential.

Equinox Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -8.85%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive achievements, such as record production levels and successful strategic moves like the merger with Caliber, alongside significant challenges, particularly the suspension of operations at Los Filos and associated financial impacts. The company is optimistic about future growth and cost improvements but is currently navigating through a period with notable operational and financial hurdles.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Gold Production
Produced over 145,000 ounces of gold and sold approximately 148,000 ounces, marking the highest first quarter production in the company's history.
Improved Safety Performance
The twelve-month rolling total recordable injury frequency rate improved to 1.95 per million hours worked, with a quarterly rate of 1.07 and no significant environmental incidents.
Successful Merger with Caliber Mining
Equinox shareholders and Caliber security holders voted in favor of the merger, with court approval received and closure expected in the second quarter.
Strong Revenue Performance
Achieved more than $400 million in revenue for the third consecutive quarter.
Progressive Ramp-Up at Greenstone
Despite challenges, the Greenstone ramp-up saw improvements with mining rates increasing to 165,000 tonnes per day by May.
Negative Updates
Los Filos Mine Suspension
Operations at Los Filos were suspended due to failure to conclude a new long-term agreement with one of the three local communities, leading to significant non-recurring charges and expected care and maintenance costs.
Higher Unit Costs at Greenstone
Greenstone unit costs were higher than expected in Q1 due to fleet expansion and plant maintenance, though improvements are anticipated throughout the year.
Nonrecurring Financial Charges
The quarter included $65 million of nonrecurring charges, including a $25 million depreciation adjustment and a $29 million inventory value adjustment at Los Filos.
Net Loss Despite Record Production
Despite record production and high gold prices, the company booked a net loss for the quarter due to aforementioned nonrecurring costs and finance charges.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Equinox Gold reported a record production of over 145,000 ounces of gold and sales of approximately 148,000 ounces, marking the highest first-quarter production in the company's history. The total recordable injury frequency rate improved to 1.07 per million hours worked, with no significant environmental incidents reported, maintaining a frequency rate of zero. The cash cost was reported at $17.69 per ounce, with an all-in sustaining cost of $2,065 per ounce, including contributions from the Los Filos mine. However, due to suspension of operations at Los Filos, excluding its production and costs, the cash cost was $16.37 per ounce, and the all-in sustaining cost was $19.79 per ounce. The company announced a proposed merger with Caliber Mining, with the merger expected to close in the second quarter. Equinox Gold aims to achieve a combined production of 950,000 ounces in 2025, anticipating annual production to exceed 1.2 million ounces once fully ramped up, thereby capitalizing on high gold prices to generate cash flow and reduce debt. The first quarter also saw nonrecurring charges totaling $65 million, including a $25 million depreciation adjustment and a $29 million inventory adjustment at Los Filos. The company reported $173 million in unrestricted cash, with plans to reduce deferred revenue obligations by 39,000 ounces and $74 million in 2025, and to retire a $140 million convertible note maturing in September.

Equinox Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Equinox Gold shows strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability, a stable balance sheet, and improved cash flow management. While challenges such as declining gross profit and fluctuating net income exist, the company's financial structure remains sound, providing a solid foundation for future growth and stability in the gold industry.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Equinox Gold's income statement shows strong financial performance with a healthy TTM gross profit margin of 26.7% and a robust net profit margin of 18.1%. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 12.0%, indicating positive revenue trajectory, although the gross profit has decreased compared to 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins stand at 14.6% and 27.8% respectively, reflecting effective operational efficiency. However, the net income has decreased compared to 2024, suggesting some volatility in profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with an improving debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 in TTM, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is a strong 9.2%, showing efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 49.8%, demonstrating a balanced capital structure. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity from 2024 points towards potential risks in maintaining equity levels.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Equinox Gold's cash flow statement shows resilience with TTM free cash flow turning positive at $7.66 million, compared to negative in 2024, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.33, suggesting strong cash-generating efficiency relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio also indicates solid performance. Despite previous years of negative free cash flow, the positive shift in TTM highlights enhanced cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.70B1.51B1.09B952.20M1.08B842.51M
Gross Profit453.10M523.95M108.98M84.97M215.32M223.62M
EBITDA471.94M948.08M291.09M183.52M338.01M232.51M
Net Income306.56M339.29M28.88M-106.03M554.89M22.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.67B6.71B4.35B3.86B3.97B2.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments178.26M245.47M284.66M237.64M546.03M344.93M
Total Debt1.39B1.41B945.37M842.10M567.63M555.19M
Total Liabilities3.35B3.32B1.91B1.50B1.38B1.22B
Stockholders Equity3.32B3.40B2.44B2.35B2.59B1.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.66M-39.89M-164.84M-500.60M-23.45M43.61M
Operating Cash Flow408.76M372.18M358.46M56.47M320.78M216.51M
Investing Cash Flow-1.14B-1.11B-462.67M-419.00M-347.57M-129.32M
Financing Cash Flow778.00M792.48M92.50M254.31M-1.59M190.08M

Equinox Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.93
Price Trends
50DMA
8.91
Negative
100DMA
9.22
Negative
200DMA
8.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.34
Positive
RSI
34.00
Neutral
STOCH
16.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EQX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.69, below the 50-day MA of 8.91, and below the 200-day MA of 8.64, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:EQX.

Equinox Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (70)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Neutral
¥173.39B11.066.37%3.55%3.93%6.03%
TSEQX
67
Neutral
$6.02B9.448.27%60.05%
NGNGD
$3.88B29.1014.62%
TSWDO
78
Outperform
C$2.79B14.7934.73%80.44%3757.72%
TSCXB
69
Neutral
$2.56B28.696.74%20.03%-46.48%
$2.74B21.088.12%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EQX
Equinox Gold
7.92
<0.01
0.13%
NGD
New Gold
4.99
2.85
133.18%
OCAND
OceanaGold
TSE:CXB
Calibre Mining
2.99
0.94
45.85%
TSE:WDO
Wesdome Gold Mines
18.34
6.08
49.59%
TORXF
Torex Gold Resources
32.07
15.90
98.33%

Equinox Gold Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Equinox Gold Completes Acquisition of Calibre Mining, Strengthening Position in Gold Production
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

Equinox Gold Corp. has completed its acquisition of Calibre Mining Corp., forming a diversified gold producer with operations across the Americas, anchored by two major Canadian mines. This merger enhances Equinox Gold’s position as the second largest gold producer in Canada, providing a robust platform for increased production and long-term value creation, backed by a strong leadership team.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EQX) stock is a Hold with a C$9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equinox Gold stock, see the TSE:EQX Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Equinox Gold Updates 2025 Guidance Amid Calibre Integration and Greenstone Challenges
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

Equinox Gold has updated its 2025 production and cost guidance following its business combination with Calibre Mining Corp. and slower-than-expected ramp-up at its Greenstone Gold Mine in Ontario. The company anticipates producing 785,000 to 915,000 ounces of gold in 2025, with total cash costs ranging from $1,400 to $1,500 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs between $1,800 and $1,900 per ounce. The integration with Calibre and operational challenges at Greenstone are key focuses, with efforts underway to improve mining rates and access higher-grade ore zones. The company is also progressing well with its Valentine project in Newfoundland, expecting first gold by the end of Q3 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:EQX) stock is a Hold with a C$9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equinox Gold stock, see the TSE:EQX Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Equinox Gold Reports Record Q1 Production and Strategic Merger Plans
Positive
May 8, 2025

Equinox Gold reported a record first-quarter production of over 145,000 ounces of gold, with expectations for increased production throughout the year. The company is advancing its operations at the Greenstone mine and is on track to complete a merger with Calibre Mining, which will create a diversified gold producer with enhanced cash flow and growth potential. Despite a net loss of $75.5 million, the company maintains a strong operational cash flow and is strategically positioned for long-term value creation.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Equinox Gold Shareholders Approve Merger with Calibre Mining
Positive
May 2, 2025

Equinox Gold Corp. announced that its shareholders have approved a business combination with Calibre Mining Corp., along with other resolutions at their annual and special meeting. This transaction, pending regulatory and court approvals, is expected to close by the end of Q2 2025, potentially enhancing Equinox Gold’s market position and operational scale in the gold mining sector.

Financial Disclosures
Equinox Gold to Release Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

Equinox Gold Corp. is set to release its unaudited financial and operating results for the first quarter of 2025 on May 7, 2025, after market close. The announcement will be followed by a conference call and webcast on May 8, 2025, to discuss the results, which could provide insights into the company’s operational performance and market positioning.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Equinox Gold and Calibre Mining Amend Merger Agreement, Set New Shareholder Meeting Dates
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

Equinox Gold and Calibre Mining have amended their arrangement agreement for a proposed business combination, offering Calibre shareholders 0.35 Equinox shares per Calibre share. This merger aims to create a major gold producer capable of producing over 1.2 million ounces of gold annually, positioning the combined entity as the second largest gold producer in Canada and among the top 15 globally. The shareholder meetings for both companies have been adjourned to May 1, 2025, to allow more time for voting on the transaction, which has received strong preliminary support from Equinox shareholders.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Equinox Gold Receives Positive Recommendations for Calibre Mining Merger
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

Equinox Gold has announced that independent proxy advisory firms ISS and Glass Lewis have recommended shareholders to vote in favor of its business combination with Calibre Mining. This merger aims to create a leading gold producer in the Americas with an annual production potential of over 1.2 million ounces and substantial free cash flow. The combined entity is expected to benefit from increased production, a strong growth profile, and significant revaluation potential, enhancing shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 18, 2025