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Endeavour Mining Ord (TSE:EDV)
TSX:EDV

Endeavour Mining (EDV) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:EDV

Endeavour Mining

(TSX:EDV)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$87.00
▲(13.10% Upside)
Endeavour Mining's overall stock score is driven by its solid financial performance and strong earnings call highlights, including record free cash flow and increased shareholder returns. Technical indicators support a positive outlook, while valuation metrics suggest moderate pricing. Challenges such as higher costs and specific operational issues are balanced by strong growth prospects and ESG leadership.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Sustained, large free cash flow (record $680m YTD; ~ $1bn over 12 months) provides durable financial flexibility to fund growth projects, pay down debt, and sustain shareholder returns. This reduces reliance on external financing and helps the company weather commodity cycles.
Low Leverage and Solid Equity Base
A moderate debt-to-equity (0.40), strong equity ratio (~55.7%) and very low net-debt/EBITDA (~0.21x) create a resilient capital structure. This supports funding for the Assafou development, cushions commodity volatility, and preserves capacity for strategic M&A or shareholder returns.
Assafou Tier-1 Project Progress
Environmental permit approval and a planned DFS signal meaningful de-risking of a Tier‑1 project. If delivered, Assafou materially expands production capacity and reserves, diversifies country exposure in Côte d'Ivoire and strengthens long-term growth and cash generation potential.
Negative Factors
High All-in Sustaining Costs
AISC at $1,362/oz is relatively elevated and sensitivity to higher royalties increased unit costs. Persistently higher AISC compresses margins and free cash flow at lower gold prices, reducing the company's competitive cushion versus lower-cost peers over the medium term.
Mana Mine Cost Pressures
Structural cost drivers at Mana—self-generated power and elevated sustaining capex—raise unit costs and capex intensity. This can limit margin improvement and divert cash from growth or returns until operational or power solutions reduce long-run operating costs.
Delayed VAT Refunds in Burkina Faso
Prolonged VAT refund delays create recurring working capital strain and add financing or factoring costs. Country-specific fiscal and regulatory friction increases operational cash-flow variability and creates ongoing execution risk for West African operations.

Endeavour Mining (EDV) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Endeavour Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEndeavour Mining plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a gold mining company in West Africa. Its project portfolio includes 90% owned Houndé, Mana, Boungou, and Wahgnion mines in Burkina Faso; 85% owned Ity mine located in Côte d'Ivoire; 90% owned Sabodala-Massawa mine situated in Senegal; and Fetekro, Kalana, Bantou, Nabanga, and Afema development projects. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyEndeavour Mining generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold produced from its mining operations. The company's revenue model relies on extracting gold ore from its mines, processing it into gold bullion, and selling it in the global market. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of gold bars, which are sold to various customers, including bullion banks and gold traders. Additionally, Endeavour benefits from hedging strategies that can stabilize cash flows by locking in gold prices. The company also engages in partnerships and joint ventures that can enhance its exploration capabilities and operational efficiencies, further contributing to its earnings. The overall profitability is influenced by factors such as gold market prices, production costs, and operational efficiency.

Endeavour Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Endeavour Mining presented a strong financial and operational performance with significant free cash flow generation and shareholder returns. However, higher costs and specific challenges, particularly regarding VAT refunds in Burkina Faso and cost management at the Mana mine, balanced out the positive aspects. The outlook for the Assafou project and sector-leading ESG performance were notable highlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Year-to-date free cash flow generation reached a record $680 million, with nearly $1 billion generated over the past 12 months, resulting in a 19% free cash flow yield from the start of Q4 last year.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Endeavour returned $233 million to shareholders so far this year, already exceeding the minimum commitment, with expectations to return a minimum of $346 million for the complete year.
Improved Operational Performance
Year-to-date production of 911,000 ounces, with strong Q4 outlook positioning Endeavour to achieve the top half of its production guidance.
Environmental Permit Approval for Assafou Project
Significant progress made with the Assafou project in Côte d'Ivoire, including receiving the environmental permit approval, marking a significant milestone towards full project approval.
Sector-Leading ESG Performance
Sustainalytics improved the company's score, reiterating Endeavour as the best-rated gold producer in the sector for ESG.
Negative Updates
Higher All-In Sustaining Costs
Year-to-date all-in sustaining costs of $1,362 per ounce, impacted by $103 per ounce due to higher gold prices affecting royalty costs.
Challenges in Burkina Faso VAT Refunds
Delayed VAT refunds in Burkina Faso, with opportunities being explored to resolve this through factoring solutions in 2026.
Mana Mine Cost Challenges
Mana mine costs expected to be above the top end of guidance due to reliance on self-generated power and higher sustaining capital.
Company Guidance
During Endeavour Mining's Third Quarter 2025 Results Webcast, the company provided guidance indicating strong operational and financial performance, with year-to-date production of 911,000 ounces and an all-in sustaining cost of $1,362 per ounce, on track to meet their guidance. The company achieved 82% of the low end of its production range, maintaining a low lost time injury frequency rate and expecting improved operational performance in Q4. The year-to-date free cash flow was a record $680 million, with nearly $1 billion generated over the past 12 months, supporting balance sheet strength and reducing net debt to 0.21x net debt to adjusted EBITDA. Endeavour Mining returned $233 million to shareholders so far in 2025, exceeding their minimum commitment, and plans to announce an updated shareholder returns program in January 2026. The company is also advancing its growth projects, including the Tier 1 Assafou project in Côte d'Ivoire, with the environmental permit approved and a definitive feasibility study expected in early 2026, aiming for first gold in H2 2028.

Endeavour Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Endeavour Mining demonstrates robust revenue growth and solid profitability margins, particularly in gross profit and EBIT. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and cash flow generation is strong, though there is room for improvement in net profit margins and cash conversion efficiency. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the gold industry with a sound financial foundation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Endeavour Mining has shown strong revenue growth with a 13.91% increase in the TTM period. The gross profit margin is solid at 43.40%, and the EBIT margin is healthy at 24.69%. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 6.22%, indicating room for improvement in cost management or operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is modest at 8.06%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 50.34%, reflecting a stable financial structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, with a coverage ratio of 1.41, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow growth is positive at 2.01%, but the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.56 suggests potential for better cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.90B2.68B2.11B2.07B2.64B1.42B
Gross Profit1.79B868.70M745.30M759.70M1.50B750.60M
EBITDA1.99B857.90M864.70M1.20B1.14B522.70M
Net Income492.30M-300.20M-208.90M-57.30M215.50M73.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.56B5.51B5.86B6.41B6.77B3.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments292.00M418.60M517.20M962.30M906.20M644.97M
Total Debt803.40M1.17B1.11B871.80M893.00M725.47M
Total Liabilities2.13B2.52B2.31B2.33B2.39B1.64B
Stockholders Equity3.10B2.71B3.23B3.66B3.92B2.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow902.60M257.60M-116.10M503.70M643.60M507.64M
Operating Cash Flow1.44B943.30M646.50M1.02B1.17B748.93M
Investing Cash Flow-488.30M-630.00M-820.80M-521.40M-511.70M-160.11M
Financing Cash Flow-1.03B-439.10M-276.60M-385.00M-431.10M-70.71M

Endeavour Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price76.92
Price Trends
50DMA
65.12
Positive
100DMA
60.08
Positive
200DMA
50.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.05
Negative
RSI
64.49
Neutral
STOCH
79.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EDV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 76.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.88, above the 50-day MA of 65.12, and above the 200-day MA of 50.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:EDV.

Endeavour Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$10.26B18.5321.15%0.42%51.00%532.40%
77
Outperform
C$25.06B33.6614.27%0.25%34.64%115.75%
76
Outperform
C$18.56B27.1216.65%2.31%73.23%
73
Outperform
C$14.70B29.0410.09%56.17%-51.73%
73
Outperform
C$15.99B298.241.41%90.17%-91.76%
67
Neutral
$8.66B27.966.90%1.71%34.31%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EDV
Endeavour Mining
76.92
50.99
196.64%
TSE:IMG
IAMGOLD
24.74
16.90
215.56%
TSE:BTO
B2Gold
6.48
3.13
93.14%
TSE:AGI
Alamos Gold
59.68
31.79
113.95%
TSE:OGC
OceanaGold
44.92
33.12
280.68%
TSE:EQX
Equinox Gold
20.37
11.95
141.92%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025