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Eldorado Gold (TSE:ELD)
:ELD

Eldorado Gold (ELD) AI Stock Analysis

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Eldorado Gold

(NYSE:ELD)

74Outperform
Eldorado Gold is well-positioned in the gold industry, with strong financial performance and strategic corporate actions. Despite minor challenges in free cash flow and operational issues at Olympias, the company's robust margins, stable balance sheet, and fair valuation support a positive outlook. Technical indicators show moderate upward momentum, while recent corporate events reflect strategic focus and enhance shareholder value.
Positive Factors
Mine Life Extension
The company noted incremental production potential of 1.5Moz which could extend mine life to 17 years.
Production Performance
ELD reported Q4/24 production of 155.7koz, beating our estimate (146.5koz) and consensus (148koz).
Valuation
ELD represents a compelling opportunity on valuation relative to peers, setting the company up well for significant organic growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Construction Delays
Progress on the Skouries development was slower than planned, with construction and capital spend delays.
Mineral Resource Decline
The Measured and Indicated Gold Resource dropped by 3% and the Inferred Resource dropped by approximately 10%.
Production Costs
The Lamaque Complex is anticipated to have higher cash costs, AISC, and non-sustaining capital expenditures compared with prior estimates, resulting in an overall negative impact to NPV.

Eldorado Gold (ELD) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Eldorado Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEldorado Gold Corporation is a Canadian mid-tier gold and base metals producer with mining, development, and exploration operations in Turkey, Canada, Greece, and Romania. The company is committed to responsible mining and sustainable development, focusing on delivering value for its stakeholders through safe and environmentally sound operations. Eldorado Gold is primarily involved in the extraction, processing, and sale of gold, with additional interests in silver, lead, and zinc production.
How the Company Makes MoneyEldorado Gold makes money primarily through the extraction and sale of gold, which is its main product. The company operates several mines where it extracts gold ore, which is then processed and refined into pure gold for sale to various buyers, including refineries and financial institutions. In addition to gold, Eldorado generates revenue from the production and sale of by-products such as silver, lead, and zinc, which are also extracted during the gold mining process. The company's revenues are influenced by gold prices, production levels, and operational efficiency. Eldorado Gold also engages in exploration activities to discover new reserves and extend the life of existing mines, which contributes to its long-term revenue potential. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures can also play a role in expanding its operational capabilities and market reach.

Eldorado Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eldorado Gold is performing well across key financial metrics with strong profitability and a stable balance sheet. Despite minor challenges in free cash flow generation, its robust margins and low financial leverage position it favorably in the gold industry.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Eldorado Gold demonstrates strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 44.6% and a net profit margin of 23.0% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 7.6%, indicating positive growth trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 33.3% and 51.1% respectively, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 67.1%, suggesting strong financial stability. Return on equity is 8.2%, showing a moderate level of profitability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Eldorado Gold's free cash flow growth rate is -4.9%, indicating a slight decline. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is impressive at 2.10, suggesting strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.05 indicates limited free cash generation after capital expenditures.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.42B1.32B1.01B871.46M943.47M1.03B
Gross Profit
634.45M507.93M513.45M171.69M292.77M334.85M
EBIT
473.53M419.39M182.01M70.81M212.93M228.72M
EBITDA
728.29M710.50M458.20M289.46M427.12M477.29M
Net Income Common Stockholders
327.92M289.12M104.63M-49.37M11.10M124.80M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
517.60M995.73M544.44M314.87M481.49M511.19M
Total Assets
5.07B5.84B4.99B4.46B4.93B4.90B
Total Debt
667.10M937.72M658.81M511.36M511.89M527.09M
Net Debt
152.36M80.93M118.33M231.62M30.56M75.13M
Total Liabilities
1.49B1.95B1.48B1.26B1.29B1.24B
Stockholders Equity
3.59B3.90B3.52B3.20B3.57B3.62B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
14.79M15.54M-29.34M-108.99M55.83M219.23M
Operating Cash Flow
687.91M645.25M383.31M211.00M362.37M425.61M
Investing Cash Flow
-498.98M-630.61M-395.68M-370.89M-265.88M-244.23M
Financing Cash Flow
274.13M301.27M273.88M-41.34M-67.13M92.84M

Eldorado Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.86
Price Trends
50DMA
24.80
Positive
100DMA
23.03
Positive
200DMA
23.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Positive
RSI
56.40
Neutral
STOCH
39.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ELD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.17, above the 50-day MA of 24.80, and above the 200-day MA of 23.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ELD.

Eldorado Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSELD
74
Outperform
C$5.13B12.058.91%41.46%187.54%
TSOR
74
Outperform
$6.12B139.032.50%0.79%12.78%
TSOLA
71
Outperform
C$4.10B40.45-0.28%72.95%97.10%
TSBTO
68
Neutral
$5.44B-17.61%4.61%5.97%-1677.31%
TSIMG
63
Neutral
$5.07B4.4828.42%69.19%417.02%
62
Neutral
$4.54B-3.49%-154.04%
50
Neutral
$1.98B-1.08-21.29%3.61%1.96%-30.59%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ELD
Eldorado Gold
26.86
4.31
19.11%
TSE:OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
34.01
11.58
51.64%
TSE:IMG
IAMGOLD
9.21
3.08
50.24%
TSE:BTO
B2Gold
4.47
0.73
19.45%
TSE:OLA
Orla Mining
13.29
7.30
121.87%
TSE:ARTG
Artemis Gold
21.28
10.74
101.90%

Eldorado Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.15%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong gold production and safety improvements, an expanded share buyback program, and solid financial results. However, these positives were offset by increased production costs, operational challenges at Olympias, and negative free cash flow, reflecting a balanced view of achievements and challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Gold Production and Safety Improvement
Eldorado Gold produced 115,893 gold ounces in Q1 2025, with notable safety improvements, as the lost time injury frequency rate decreased to 0.7 from 1.63 in Q1 2024.
Expanding Share Buyback Program
Eldorado Gold expanded its normal course issuer bid to repurchase up to 5% of its share capital, demonstrating confidence in long-term prospects and enhancing shareholder value.
Strong Financial Performance
Eldorado generated net earnings of $72 million, or $0.35 per share, driven by higher average realized gold prices, offsetting increased production costs.
Progress at Skouries Project
The Skouries project reached 66% completion for Phase 2 construction, with expectations for first gold production in Q1 2026 and commercial production by mid-2026.
Negative Updates
Higher Production Costs
Total cash costs and all-in-sustaining costs were $1,153 and $1,559 per ounce sold, respectively, above guidance due to higher royalties and labor costs.
Operational Challenges at Olympias
Olympias produced only 11,829 ounces of gold due to unplanned maintenance and flotation circuit stability issues, leading to high total cash costs of $2,398 per ounce sold.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative $22 million, largely due to capital investments in the Skouries project.
Company Guidance
In the Eldorado Gold First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported a solid operational performance with safe production of 115,893 gold ounces, coming from Lamaque, Kisladag, and Efemçukuru, while production at Olympias faced challenges but is expected to recover in Q2. The guidance for 2025 is to produce between 460,000 and 500,000 ounces of gold. Total cash costs were reported at $1,153 per ounce sold, and all-in sustaining costs at $1,559 per ounce, both higher compared to 2024 due to increased royalties and labor costs. The company achieved a lost time injury frequency rate of 0.7, a significant improvement from 1.63 in Q1 2024. Financially, Eldorado generated net earnings of $72 million or $0.35 per share, with adjusted net earnings at $56 million or $0.28 per share, despite a realized derivative loss of $11 million from gold collars. The company ended the quarter with total liquidity of $1.2 billion. Additionally, Eldorado expanded its normal course issuer bid as part of its strategy to enhance shareholder value, supported by a strong financial position and expected free cash flow generation.

Eldorado Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Eldorado Gold Releases 2024 Sustainability Report Highlighting ESG Achievements
Positive
May 13, 2025

Eldorado Gold has published its 2024 Sustainability Report, highlighting its achievements in environmental, social, and governance performance. The report details significant improvements in safety metrics, such as a 30% reduction in injury frequency and maintaining zero fatalities for the seventh consecutive year. Eldorado also emphasizes its commitment to local employment and procurement, with 98% of its workforce sourced from the countries of operation and substantial investments in community development. The company continues to enhance its environmental practices, achieving zero major incidents and advancing its Climate Change Strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELD) stock is a Hold with a C$25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eldorado Gold stock, see the TSE:ELD Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on TSE:ELD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:ELD is a Outperform.

Eldorado Gold’s strong financial performance, characterized by robust profitability and a stable balance sheet, is a key driver of its stock score. Technical indicators suggest moderate positive momentum, aiding the stock’s attractiveness. Valuation metrics indicate fair pricing with potential for growth. The latest earnings call and corporate events underscore strategic advancements and shareholder value enhancement, balancing operational challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:ELD stock, click here.

Stock Buyback
Eldorado Gold Expands Share Repurchase Program to Boost Shareholder Value
Positive
May 1, 2025

Eldorado Gold has announced an amendment to its normal course issuer bid, increasing the maximum number of shares it may repurchase from 350,000 to 10,245,474, representing about 5% of its total shares. This move reflects the company’s belief that its shares are undervalued and aims to enhance shareholder returns by utilizing available funds effectively, supported by a strong balance sheet and ongoing cash generation in a favorable gold price environment.

Spark’s Take on TSE:ELD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:ELD is a Outperform.

Eldorado Gold’s strong financial performance, characterized by impressive revenue and profit growth, robust balance sheet, and efficient operations, is a key factor in its high score. Technical analysis indicates some positive momentum, despite limited indicator data. The company is fairly valued with potential for growth, as emphasized in the earnings call and recent corporate events, despite challenges with increased costs and injury rates.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:ELD stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Eldorado Gold Achieves Strong Q1 2025 Results Amid Strategic Developments
Positive
May 1, 2025

Eldorado Gold reported solid financial and operational results for the first quarter of 2025, with a total gold production of 115,893 ounces and gold sales of 116,263 ounces at an average price of $2,933 per ounce. Despite challenges at the Olympias site, the company maintained its annual production guidance and reported a revenue of $355.2 million. The Skouries project in Greece showed significant progress, with construction activities advancing as planned. Eldorado’s operations generated strong cash flow, bolstered by high gold prices, although free cash flow was negative due to continued investment in growth capital. The company’s strategic focus on operational efficiency and workforce management at Skouries underscores its commitment to meeting production targets and maintaining financial stability.

Spark’s Take on TSE:ELD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:ELD is a Outperform.

Eldorado Gold’s strong financial performance, characterized by impressive revenue and profit growth, robust balance sheet, and efficient operations, is a key factor in its high score. Technical analysis indicates some positive momentum, despite limited indicator data. The company is fairly valued with potential for growth, as emphasized in the earnings call and recent corporate events, despite challenges with increased costs and injury rates.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:ELD stock, click here.

Financial Disclosures
Eldorado Gold to Release Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 8, 2025

Eldorado Gold has announced that it will release its financial and operational results for the first quarter of 2025 after market close on May 1, 2025. A conference call to discuss these results will be held on May 2, 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s performance and future outlook, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Spark’s Take on TSE:ELD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:ELD is a Outperform.

Eldorado Gold’s strong financial performance, characterized by impressive revenue and profit growth, robust balance sheet, and efficient operations, is a key factor in its high score. Technical analysis indicates some positive momentum, despite limited indicator data. The company is fairly valued with potential for growth, as emphasized in the earnings call and recent corporate events, despite challenges with increased costs and injury rates.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:ELD stock, click here.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Eldorado Gold Revises Lamaque Complex Technical Report
Neutral
Feb 21, 2025

Eldorado Gold has filed an amended technical report for its Lamaque Complex following a review by the British Columbia Securities Commission. The updated report reflects the removal of a preliminary economic assessment while retaining the reserve case and mineral estimates, ensuring compliance with NI 43-101F1 requirements. The changes include updated qualified persons’ details and alignment of dates and professional designations.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Eldorado Gold Achieves Strong 2024 Financial and Operational Performance
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

Eldorado Gold reported robust financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, achieving positive free cash flow. The company produced 520,293 ounces of gold in 2024, a 7% increase over the prior year, driven by improvements at Kisladag and Lamaque. Despite rising production and sales costs, Eldorado maintained its total cash costs and all-in sustaining costs within guidance ranges, highlighting operational efficiency amidst higher royalties and labor costs. Capital expenditures were significant, with notable investments in the Skouries Project and other operational enhancements, underscoring Eldorado’s commitment to long-term growth and operational sustainability.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.