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Eldorado Gold Corp (TSE:ELD)
TSX:ELD
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Eldorado Gold (ELD) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ELD

Eldorado Gold

(TSX:ELD)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$35.00
▲(13.49% Upside)
Eldorado Gold's overall score reflects strong financial performance and positive technical indicators, tempered by challenges in cash flow and increased operational costs. Corporate events and strategic initiatives provide additional support, but the lack of a dividend yield and project delays are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Production Estimates
The company noted incremental production potential of 1.5Moz which could extend mine life to 17 years.
Production Performance
Lamaque and Kisladag operations outperformed expectations with significant quarter-over-quarter production increases.
Valuation
ELD represents a compelling opportunity on valuation relative to peers, setting the company up well for significant organic growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Costs and Expenditures
The Lamaque Complex is anticipated to have higher cash costs, AISC, and non-sustaining capital expenditures compared with prior estimates, resulting in an overall negative impact to NPV.
Production Challenges
Q4/24 production at Efemcukuru and Olympias missed expectations, with lower-than-expected production due to lower throughput.
Project Delays
Progress on the Skouries development was slower than planned, with construction and capital spend delays.

Eldorado Gold (ELD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Eldorado Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEldorado Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining, exploration, development, and sale of mineral products primarily in Turkey, Canada, Greece, and Romania. The company primarily produces gold, as well as silver, lead, and zinc. It holds a 100% interest in the Kisladag and Efemcukuru gold mines located in western Turkey; 100% interest in Lamaque gold mines located in Canada; and Olympias, Stratoni, Skouries, Perama Hill, and Sapes gold mines located in Greece, as well as the 80.5% interest in Certej development projects located in Romania. The company was formerly known as Eldorado Corporation Ltd. and changed its name to Eldorado Gold Corporation in April 1996. Eldorado Gold Corporation was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyEldorado Gold generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold and gold-related products. The company's revenue model is driven by its mining operations, which include the extraction of gold from its mines and the subsequent processing of ore into marketable gold products. Key revenue streams come from the direct sale of gold bullion, gold concentrates, and by-products like silver. Additionally, Eldorado may benefit from fluctuating gold prices in the global market, which can significantly affect its revenue. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its mining capabilities and access new resources, further contributing to its earnings. Factors such as operational efficiency, cost management, and regulatory compliance in the regions where it operates also play crucial roles in its overall financial performance.

Eldorado Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.63%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operational and financial performance with significant achievements in gold production and sustainability. However, increased costs, higher injury rates, negative free cash flow, and delays in key projects present challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Gold Production
Achieved safe production of 133,769 gold ounces in Q2 2025, with the Lamaque Complex and Kişladağ exceeding expectations.
Strong Financial Performance
Reported net earnings from continuing operations of $139 million or $0.68 per share, driven by higher average realized gold prices.
Sustainability and Awards
Eldorado Gold recognized as one of Canada's best companies in 2025 by Time, and received multiple awards in Québec and Greece for sustainability and safety.
Successful Capital Investment
Invested $47 million in growth capital at operating mines and made significant progress at Skouries with $117 million investment, keeping the project on track.
Negative Updates
Increased Costs
Total cash costs and all-in sustaining costs increased to $1,064 and $1,520 per ounce sold, respectively, due to higher royalties and labor costs.
Increased Injury Rates
Lost time injury frequency rate increased to 0.95 from 0.40 in the second quarter of 2024.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow for the quarter was negative $62 million, although excluding capital investments in Skouries, it was positive $62 million.
Delayed Mill Expansion at Olympias
Mill expansion to 650,000 tonnes per annum at Olympias delayed with completion now expected by mid-2026.
Company Guidance
During the Eldorado Gold Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the fiscal year, emphasizing their production targets and cost expectations. Eldorado Gold remains on track to achieve their annual guidance of producing between 460,000 and 500,000 ounces of gold, expecting to hit around the midpoint based on first-half performance. The company reported cash costs of $1,064 per ounce sold and all-in sustaining costs of $1,520 per ounce sold, which were higher compared to 2024 due to increased royalties driven by high gold prices and higher labor costs. The company also highlighted a lost time injury frequency rate of 0.95, up from 0.40 in the previous year, and stressed their commitment to improving safety measures. Financially, Eldorado reported Q2 net earnings from continuing operations of $139 million or $0.68 per share, with adjusted net earnings at $90 million or $0.44 per share. Despite negative free cash flow of $62 million, excluding Skouries project investments, free cash flow was positive at $62 million. The balance sheet remains strong with liquidity over $1.1 billion, supporting ongoing investments and the potential for shareholder returns through repurchasing shares.

Eldorado Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eldorado Gold shows robust financial performance with strong profitability metrics, including a high net profit margin of 23.0% and solid revenue growth. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, although the free cash flow generation is a minor challenge.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Eldorado Gold demonstrates strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 44.6% and a net profit margin of 23.0% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 7.6%, indicating positive growth trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 33.3% and 51.1% respectively, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 67.1%, suggesting strong financial stability. Return on equity is 8.2%, showing a moderate level of profitability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Eldorado Gold's free cash flow growth rate is -4.9%, indicating a slight decline. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is impressive at 2.10, suggesting strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.05 indicates limited free cash generation after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.58B1.32B1.01B871.46M943.47M1.03B
Gross Profit690.66M507.93M513.45M171.69M292.77M334.85M
EBITDA813.34M710.50M458.20M289.46M427.12M477.29M
Net Income410.45M289.12M104.63M-49.37M11.10M124.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.30B5.84B4.99B4.46B4.93B4.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.08B995.73M544.44M314.87M481.49M511.19M
Total Debt1.17B937.72M658.81M511.36M511.89M527.09M
Total Liabilities2.22B1.95B1.48B1.26B1.29B1.24B
Stockholders Equity4.10B3.90B3.52B3.20B3.57B3.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-599.00K15.54M-29.34M-108.99M55.83M219.23M
Operating Cash Flow734.28M645.25M383.31M211.00M362.37M425.61M
Investing Cash Flow-571.91M-630.61M-395.68M-370.89M-265.88M-244.23M
Financing Cash Flow307.56M301.27M273.88M-41.34M-67.13M92.84M

Eldorado Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.84
Price Trends
50DMA
28.55
Positive
100DMA
27.03
Positive
200DMA
24.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.84
Negative
RSI
64.55
Neutral
STOCH
85.11
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ELD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.85, above the 50-day MA of 28.55, and above the 200-day MA of 24.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.11 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ELD.

Eldorado Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$6.32B11.1410.82%46.99%144.05%
61
Neutral
$9.92B5.611.58%3.19%3.03%-41.96%
$4.32B5.3126.28%
$4.74B-12.34%3.33%
71
Outperform
C$4.52B40.45-0.28%72.95%97.10%
$5.71B72.496.27%0.63%
$4.52B-3.49%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ELD
Eldorado Gold
30.84
7.57
32.53%
IAG
IAMGOLD
7.55
2.83
59.96%
BTG
B2Gold
3.60
1.14
46.34%
TSE:OLA
Orla Mining
14.18
9.20
184.74%
OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
30.64
13.88
82.82%
ARGTF
Artemis Gold
19.61
11.05
129.09%

Eldorado Gold Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Eldorado Gold to Release Q2 2025 Results and Host Conference Call
Neutral
Jul 14, 2025

Eldorado Gold Corporation has announced that it will release its financial and operational results for the second quarter of 2025 after market close on July 31, 2025. The company will host a conference call on August 1, 2025, to discuss these results, providing stakeholders with insights into its performance and future prospects. This announcement is part of Eldorado’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency and engage with investors and analysts.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELD) stock is a Hold with a C$25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eldorado Gold stock, see the TSE:ELD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Eldorado Gold Elects Directors and Advances Key Projects
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

Eldorado Gold Corporation announced the successful election of all director nominees at its 2025 Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders. The company is optimistic about its future, with the Skouries copper-gold project nearing production and ongoing optimization efforts expected to enhance value. The board welcomed Hussein Barma, bringing extensive mining sector experience, while expressing gratitude to departing member Catharine Farrow. Shareholders also approved several resolutions, including the appointment of auditors and amendments to the company’s share unit and stock option plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELD) stock is a Hold with a C$25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eldorado Gold stock, see the TSE:ELD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Eldorado Gold Releases 2024 Sustainability Report Highlighting ESG Achievements
Positive
May 13, 2025

Eldorado Gold has published its 2024 Sustainability Report, highlighting its achievements in environmental, social, and governance performance. The report details significant improvements in safety metrics, such as a 30% reduction in injury frequency and maintaining zero fatalities for the seventh consecutive year. Eldorado also emphasizes its commitment to local employment and procurement, with 98% of its workforce sourced from the countries of operation and substantial investments in community development. The company continues to enhance its environmental practices, achieving zero major incidents and advancing its Climate Change Strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELD) stock is a Hold with a C$25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eldorado Gold stock, see the TSE:ELD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025