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Orla Mining (TSE:OLA)
TSX:OLA

Orla Mining (OLA) AI Stock Analysis

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Orla Mining

(TSX:OLA)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$17.00
▲(14.56%Upside)
Orla Mining's strong financial performance and strategic corporate actions are the primary drivers of its score. However, the negative P/E ratio and lack of a dividend yield present valuation concerns. The positive market momentum and strategic expansions, including the Musselwhite acquisition, support a generally favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Health
The company had a cash balance of $161M with zero debt, having paid off the outstanding balance of its revolver.
Growth Strategy
Orla accelerates its production growth profile to over 300,000oz/year while still maintaining further leverage from its portfolio of development assets.
Production Results
Camino Rojo extended its run of strong production results with 29,973oz gold produced as tonnes stacked was above nameplate once again.
Negative Factors
Market Valuation
This entry into the Canadian jurisdiction is an accretive transaction that creates value, will allow the market to continue to revalue the company as it builds an operations track record at Musselwhite, pays down debt and delivers future growth from its deep portfolio.
Operational Expectations
With the acquisition of Musselwhite, the market will be watching for Orla to repeat its operational success.

Orla Mining (OLA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Orla Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrla Mining Ltd. acquires, explores for, and develops mineral properties. The company explores for gold, silver, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. It owns 100% interests in the Camino Rojo project that consists of seven concessions covering an area of 163,129 hectares located in Zacatecas, Mexico; and Cerro Quema project totaling an area of 14,800 hectares located in the Azuero Peninsula, Panama. The company was formerly known as Red Mile Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Orla Mining Ltd. in June 2015. Orla Mining Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrla Mining makes money primarily through the exploration, development, and eventual production of gold and other precious metals from its mining assets. The company generates revenue by extracting and selling these metals to various buyers, including industrial companies, metal traders, and financial institutions. Orla's key revenue streams include the sale of gold and potentially other by-products extracted during mining operations. Additionally, the company may enter into strategic partnerships or joint ventures to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its resource base, contributing to its earnings. Factors such as mineral prices, operational efficiency, and successful exploration and development initiatives significantly influence Orla Mining's profitability.

Orla Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.13%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong operational achievements, notably a record quarter of gold production due to the Musselwhite acquisition and solid performance at Camino Rojo. However, the complex financial reporting period and net loss due to acquisition-related financial instruments presented challenges. Despite these issues, the overall sentiment leans towards positive with strong guidance and strategic exploration investments.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarter of Gold Production
Orla Mining recorded its first month of production from the newly acquired Musselwhite Mine, contributing to a record quarter of gold production.
Updated 2025 Production Guidance
The company updated its 2025 production guidance to 280,000 to 300,000 ounces of gold, at cash costs of $850 to $1,050 per ounce, and all-in sustaining costs of $1,300 to $1,500 per ounce.
Strong Operating Performance at Camino Rojo
Camino Rojo mined nearly 1.9 million tonnes of ore and produced nearly 30,000 ounces of gold in the quarter, on track to meet annual production guidance.
Exploration Investment
Total exploration spending planned for 2025 is approximately $55 million, demonstrating commitment to growth through discovery and resource addition.
Financial Performance
Cash flow from operating activities was $401 million, or $1.24 per share for the quarter.
Negative Updates
Complex Reporting Period
The mid-quarter closing of the Musselwhite acquisition resulted in a transitional and complex financial reporting period.
Net Loss for the Quarter
Orla Mining recorded a net loss of $70 million, or $0.22 per share, mainly due to the impact of financial instruments related to the Musselwhite acquisition.
Financial Instrument Volatility
Significant charges related to changes in the fair value of financial instruments were recorded, impacting net earnings.
Company Guidance
During Orla Mining's first-quarter 2025 conference call, the company updated its 2025 guidance to reflect the integration of the newly acquired Musselwhite Mine. The updated production guidance is 280,000 to 300,000 ounces of gold, with consolidated cash costs ranging from $850 to $1,050 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs of $1,300 to $1,500 per ounce of gold sold. Specifically, Musselwhite is expected to contribute 170,000 to 180,000 ounces of gold from March to December, with cash costs of $1,000 to $1,200 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs of $1,550 to $1,750 per ounce. Camino Rojo's production guidance remains unchanged at 110,000 to 120,000 ounces, with cash costs between $625 and $725 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs between $700 and $800 per ounce. The company also outlined a $175 million investment for 2025, including $115 million for Musselwhite, to enhance mining rates and extend mine life. Total exploration spending for 2025 is projected at approximately $55 million, focusing on growth through discovery and resource addition.

Orla Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orla Mining exhibits strong financial performance with substantial revenue growth, improved profitability, and strong cash flows. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage and high equity ratios, indicating robust financial health and stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Orla Mining has shown impressive revenue growth, with a 47.17% increase from the previous year. The gross profit margin stands at a healthy 63.32%, and the net profit margin has turned positive at 25.88%, reflecting improved profitability. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins have significantly improved due to increased revenues and cost efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.004, indicating strong financial stability with minimal leverage. Return on Equity has increased to 17.54%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is high at 84.81%, reflecting a strong equity position relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
92
Very Positive
Orla Mining's cash flow is robust, with a significant increase in free cash flow, growing by 226.71% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.96, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is commendable at 1.63, reflecting effective capital management and profitability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
343.92M233.64M193.23M4.09M0.00
Gross Profit
217.64M141.53M127.86M3.46M-106.00K
EBIT
217.64M141.53M127.86M-21.95M-29.28M
EBITDA
223.74M48.05M133.46M-24.71M-29.33M
Net Income Common Stockholders
88.98M-27.01M45.77M-27.68M-32.91M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
160.85M96.63M96.28M20.52M72.18M
Total Assets
598.35M535.78M613.82M364.89M239.19M
Total Debt
2.18M91.26M148.97M162.75M70.41M
Net Debt
-158.67M-5.37M52.69M142.24M-1.77M
Total Liabilities
90.90M135.24M216.83M180.48M78.61M
Stockholders Equity
507.44M400.54M396.98M184.42M160.58M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
145.19M44.44M77.33M-120.98M-49.43M
Operating Cash Flow
174.62M65.30M95.31M-24.74M-18.13M
Investing Cash Flow
-21.94M-41.73M-13.36M-113.27M-36.90M
Financing Cash Flow
-86.56M-23.13M-5.38M85.95M100.59M

Orla Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.84
Price Trends
50DMA
14.41
Positive
100DMA
12.55
Positive
200DMA
9.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Negative
RSI
53.01
Neutral
STOCH
25.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OLA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.50, above the 50-day MA of 14.41, and above the 200-day MA of 9.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OLA.

Orla Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSOLA
76
Outperform
C$4.82B40.45-0.28%72.95%97.10%
51
Neutral
$2.04B-1.21-21.10%3.95%2.90%-30.45%
EGEGO
$4.28B13.128.91%
NGNGD
$3.78B28.5614.62%
$2.82B22.128.12%
EQEQX
$3.15B11.208.27%
$4.34B-3.49%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OLA
Orla Mining
15.00
9.55
175.23%
EGO
Eldorado Gold
21.22
6.53
44.45%
NGD
New Gold
4.88
2.93
150.26%
TORXF
Torex Gold Resources
35.52
20.61
138.23%
EQX
Equinox Gold
6.54
1.43
27.98%
ARGTF
Artemis Gold
19.24
12.11
169.85%

Orla Mining Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Orla Mining Unveils Initial Underground Resource Estimate for Camino Rojo
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

Orla Mining has announced the first underground Mineral Resource estimate for its Camino Rojo deposit in Mexico, marking a significant milestone in the project’s development. The estimate includes 3.95 million ounces of measured and indicated gold resources and 0.40 million ounces of inferred gold resources. This development paves the way for future exploration and potential construction, with ongoing drilling and metallurgical work supporting the project’s advancement. The announcement underscores Orla Mining’s strategic focus on expanding its resource base and enhancing its long-term production potential at Camino Rojo.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OLA) stock is a Buy with a C$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orla Mining stock, see the TSE:OLA Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orla Mining Boosts 2025 Production with Musselwhite Acquisition
Positive
May 12, 2025

Orla Mining reported record gold production for the first quarter of 2025, with 47,759 ounces produced and 46,356 ounces sold. The acquisition of the Musselwhite Mine has increased Orla’s production guidance to 280,000 to 300,000 ounces of gold for the year, with an all-in sustaining cost of $1,300 to $1,500 per ounce. Despite a net loss of $69.8 million due to fair value adjustments from the acquisition, the company achieved adjusted earnings of $38.6 million. Orla plans to invest $115 million in Musselwhite to enhance growth and is focusing on integrating the new acquisition while advancing the South Railroad Project in Nevada.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OLA) stock is a Buy with a C$15.5000 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orla Mining stock, see the TSE:OLA Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orla Mining Achieves Record Gold Production in Q1 2025
Positive
Apr 14, 2025

Orla Mining Ltd. reported record quarterly gold production, with significant contributions from its Camino Rojo and recently acquired Musselwhite mines. The company produced a total of 47,759 ounces of gold in the first quarter of 2025, positioning it well to meet its annual production guidance. The acquisition of Musselwhite is expected to strengthen Orla’s industry positioning and enhance its operational capabilities.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Orla Mining Launches $25M Drilling Program to Extend Musselwhite Mine Life
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

Orla Mining has announced a $25 million exploration drilling program at its recently acquired Musselwhite Mine in Northwestern Ontario. The program aims to expand reserves and resources, with a focus on the down-plunge extension of the mine trend. This initiative is expected to significantly extend the mine’s life beyond 2030 by proving additional mineralized strike potential. The exploration includes both underground and surface drilling to replace depleted reserves and identify new mill feed material, potentially enhancing the company’s operational capacity and market positioning.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orla Mining’s Q4 2024 Results and Musselwhite Acquisition Boost Future Prospects
Positive
Mar 18, 2025

Orla Mining reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, with gold production reaching 136,748 ounces for the year, meeting its guidance range. The acquisition of the Musselwhite Mine is set to more than double Orla’s gold production, enhancing its North American presence and providing significant growth momentum for 2025. The company ended the year with a solid financial position, having repaid its revolving credit facility and holding a cash balance of $161 million.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.