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Torex Gold Resources (TSE:TXG)
TSX:TXG
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Torex Gold Resources (TXG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TXG

Torex Gold Resources

(TSX:TXG)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$63.00
▲(4.56% Upside)
Torex Gold Resources' overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and solid financial health, despite challenges in cash flow and valuation concerns. The technical indicators suggest potential short-term weakness, but the company's strategic advancements and debt reduction efforts provide a positive long-term outlook.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt enhances financial flexibility and reduces interest expenses, strengthening the company's balance sheet and long-term financial health.
Operational Efficiency
Exceeding processing capacity indicates strong operational efficiency, which can lead to higher production and lower per-unit costs, improving profitability.
Free Cash Flow Generation
Strong free cash flow generation allows for reinvestment in growth opportunities, debt reduction, and shareholder returns, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth suggests potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact future profitability and market position.
Increased Costs
Rising costs can compress margins and reduce profitability, especially if the company cannot pass these costs onto customers or offset them with higher efficiency.
Sustaining Capital Increase
Increased capital expenditure for sustaining operations can strain cash flow and limit funds available for growth initiatives or shareholder returns.

Torex Gold Resources (TXG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Torex Gold Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTorex Gold Resources Inc. operates as an intermediate gold producer in Mexico. It primarily holds a 100% interest in the Morelos Gold property that covers an area of 29,000 hectares located southwest of Mexico City. The company's principal assets include the El Limón Guajes mining complex comprising the El Limón Guajes open pits, the El Limón Guajes underground mine, and the processing plant and related infrastructure, and the Media Luna deposit, which is an advanced stage development project. It also mines for silver, copper, and carbon deposits. The company was formerly known as Gleichen Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Torex Gold Resources Inc. in April 2010. Torex Gold Resources Inc. was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTorex Gold Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold and gold-related products. The company mines gold from its Morelos Gold Property and sells the extracted gold to gold bullion dealers and refiners. The revenue model is heavily dependent on the prevailing market price of gold, which can fluctuate based on various factors including global economic conditions and supply-demand dynamics. Additionally, the company may also generate income from by-products, such as silver and copper, which can provide supplementary revenue. Significant partnerships with local suppliers and service providers contribute to operational efficiency and cost management, further enhancing profitability.

Torex Gold Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong operational performance, significant free cash flow generation, and successful debt reduction. However, increased costs due to higher gold prices and upcoming significant payments slightly dampen the otherwise positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Media Luna Ramp-Up Success
The Media Luna underground project is advancing ahead of plan, with a significant ramp-up in production reaching nearly 6,150 tonnes per day, exceeding expectations.
Record Free Cash Flow Generation
The company generated $113 million of free cash flow, marking a significant milestone as the first quarter of substantial free cash flow since the start of the Media Luna build.
Debt Reduction and Capital Return
Torex Gold used free cash flow to repay $75 million of debt and announced an inaugural return of capital policy, including a dividend and a share buyback program.
Processing Plant Performance
The processing plant exceeded nameplate capacity, achieving over 11,000 tonnes per day, and recorded high recoveries of 94% for gold and 95% for copper.
Safety Achievements
The company reported no lost-time injuries during the quarter, with a lost-time injury frequency rate of 0.42 per million hours worked, an industry-leading figure.
Negative Updates
Gold Price Impact on Guidance
The higher gold price has pressured production and cost guidance, affecting reported gold equivalent production and increasing costs due to higher royalties and profit-sharing payments.
Sustaining Capital Guidance Adjustment
Sustaining capital guidance was increased by $15 million due to additional underground development required to support the Media Luna ramp-up.
Seasonal Free Cash Flow Constraints
The company expects significant outflows in Q1 2026, including annual payments of about $90 million for taxes and royalties, and $35-40 million for profit sharing.
Company Guidance
During Torex Gold's Q3 2025 conference call, the company highlighted its robust financial performance and strategic advancements. The Media Luna underground ramp-up is ahead of schedule, while the ELG underground operations continue to surpass expectations. The processing plant exceeded its nameplate capacity, achieving significant throughput and recovery rates, with September seeing recoveries of 94% for gold and 95% for copper. Torex generated $113 million in free cash flow, marking a pivotal inflection point, and used these funds to reduce debt by $75 million, with an additional $20 million repaid post-quarter. The company launched its inaugural return of capital policy, including a $7 million share buyback and a quarterly dividend of CAD 0.15 per share. Torex is on track to meet the lower end of its production guidance and the upper end of its cost guidance, despite a year-to-date production of 262,000 ounces being impacted by higher gold prices. The company also increased its sustaining capital guidance by $15 million due to additional underground development to support the Media Luna ramp-up. Overall, Torex is preparing for sustained growth and stability, with a solid liquidity position and strategic focus on expansion through recent acquisitions.

Torex Gold Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Torex Gold Resources demonstrates strong profitability and a stable balance sheet, with low leverage and efficient equity utilization. However, negative revenue growth and free cash flow highlight areas of concern, indicating potential challenges in maintaining financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Torex Gold Resources shows strong profitability with a consistent EBIT margin of over 31% and a net profit margin of 20.5% in TTM. However, the revenue growth rate has turned negative at -1.56%, indicating a potential slowdown in sales. Despite this, the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 44.8%.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company has a solid balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19, reflecting low leverage. Return on equity is strong at 12.8%, indicating efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 74.8%, showcasing a stable financial structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow is robust, with a coverage ratio of 1.41, but free cash flow is negative, indicating potential challenges in generating cash after capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting that the company is not converting its net income into free cash flow effectively.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.03B1.12B882.60M868.50M855.80M789.20M
Gross Profit619.20M659.80M484.60M505.20M524.80M488.40M
EBITDA526.90M548.30M421.40M481.50M500.10M432.00M
Net Income211.80M134.60M204.40M188.80M151.70M109.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.35B2.14B1.84B1.59B1.36B1.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments103.00M110.20M172.80M376.00M255.70M206.20M
Total Debt326.10M141.20M32.00M3.90M3.30M44.80M
Total Liabilities590.80M508.90M340.70M303.20M258.50M306.30M
Stockholders Equity1.76B1.63B1.50B1.29B1.10B946.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-173.10M-112.20M-178.70M130.50M99.50M199.70M
Operating Cash Flow330.20M449.50M300.80M408.10M330.00M342.10M
Investing Cash Flow-483.90M-562.70M-498.30M-280.50M-203.70M-177.60M
Financing Cash Flow150.20M53.60M-7.90M-7.70M-44.90M-150.00M

Torex Gold Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price60.25
Price Trends
50DMA
56.64
Positive
100DMA
49.75
Positive
200DMA
44.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
54.21
Neutral
STOCH
45.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TXG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 60.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.12, above the 50-day MA of 56.64, and above the 200-day MA of 44.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TXG.

Torex Gold Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$6.46B14.8120.48%0.75%19.55%36.19%
79
Outperform
$6.82B13.2421.15%0.31%51.00%532.40%
71
Outperform
$5.48B12.5617.29%5.33%143.67%
65
Neutral
$11.39B1.41%90.17%-91.76%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$5.58B19.716.84%33.74%
56
Neutral
C$4.38B138.064.89%123.03%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TXG
Torex Gold Resources
60.25
30.51
102.59%
TSE:SSRM
SSR Mining
27.92
20.00
252.53%
TSE:OGC
OceanaGold
31.73
20.01
170.62%
TSE:DPM
Dundee Precious Mtl
29.68
16.79
130.26%
TSE:OLA
Orla Mining
13.53
6.94
105.31%
TSE:EQX
Equinox Gold
16.10
8.00
98.77%

Torex Gold Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Torex Gold Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results, Returns to Positive Cash Flow
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Torex Gold Resources reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, marking a pivotal point with a return to positive free cash flow and robust operational performance. The company generated $113 million in free cash flow and announced an inaugural quarterly dividend, reflecting its operational stability and growth potential. Torex is on track to meet its annual production guidance, with significant contributions from the Media Luna project, and is poised for a strong close to 2025 and an exceptional 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TXG) stock is a Buy with a C$70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Torex Gold Resources stock, see the TSE:TXG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividends
Torex Gold Launches Initial Return of Capital Program with Dividends and Share Repurchases
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Torex Gold Resources Inc. has announced its initial return of capital program, which includes a quarterly dividend and share repurchases, reflecting strong cash flow following the successful completion of the Media Luna project. This program is part of Torex’s capital allocation strategy to maximize shareholder returns and is expected to evolve through 2026 as the company’s financial position strengthens. The initiative aims to balance shareholder preferences while maintaining the ability to fund other strategic priorities, such as extending mine life, enhancing margins, and advancing new projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TXG) stock is a Buy with a C$70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Torex Gold Resources stock, see the TSE:TXG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Torex Gold Completes Acquisition of Prime Mining, Expands Portfolio with Los Reyes Project
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

Torex Gold Resources has completed its acquisition of Prime Mining Corp., adding the Los Reyes development project in Sinaloa, Mexico, to its portfolio. This acquisition aligns with Torex’s strategy to become a diversified precious metals producer in the Americas, enhancing its asset base with significant gold and silver resources and supporting its long-term value delivery to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TXG) stock is a Buy with a C$86.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Torex Gold Resources stock, see the TSE:TXG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Torex Gold Achieves Strong Q3 2025 Production, Eyes Continued Growth
Positive
Oct 9, 2025

Torex Gold Resources reported strong third-quarter production results for 2025, with 119,034 ounces of gold equivalent produced and 118,082 ounces sold. The successful ramp-up of the Media Luna project has exceeded expectations, contributing to the company’s operational momentum and positioning it well for continued growth into 2026. The company’s performance is bolstered by improving cost profiles and record metal prices, which are expected to generate significant free cash flow.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TXG) stock is a Buy with a C$77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Torex Gold Resources stock, see the TSE:TXG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Torex Gold’s Drilling Success at ELG Underground Signals Extended Mine Life
Positive
Oct 6, 2025

Torex Gold Resources Inc. has announced promising results from its 2025 drilling program at the ELG Underground, particularly around the El Limón Sur and Sub-Sill trends. The discovery of new high-grade mineralized structures supports the company’s goal of extending the mine life beyond 2029 and maintaining annual gold production above 450,000 ounces beyond 2030. These results indicate potential for resource expansion and underscore the deposit’s untapped geological potential, which is crucial for the company’s strategic objectives and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TXG) stock is a Buy with a C$78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Torex Gold Resources stock, see the TSE:TXG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Torex Gold Recognized as Top Performer on TSX30 for 2025
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

Torex Gold Resources Inc. has been recognized as a top performer on the Toronto Stock Exchange’s TSX30 list for 2025, ranking 14th with a total return of 347% over three years. This achievement highlights Torex’s successful execution of its strategic goals, including the commercial production of the Media Luna Project and the expansion of its exploration portfolio. The recognition underscores the company’s commitment to becoming a diversified, Americas-focused precious metals producer, while maintaining strong community relationships and delivering value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TXG) stock is a Buy with a C$58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Torex Gold Resources stock, see the TSE:TXG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Torex Gold Completes Acquisition of Reyna Silver, Expands Exploration Portfolio
Positive
Aug 20, 2025

Torex Gold Resources Inc. has completed the acquisition of Reyna Silver, adding four promising exploration properties in Mexico and Nevada to its portfolio. This strategic move is expected to enhance Torex’s exploration capabilities and long-term value creation, with significant investments planned for exploration programs in 2025 and 2026 to unlock the potential of these assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TXG) stock is a Hold with a C$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Torex Gold Resources stock, see the TSE:TXG Stock Forecast page.

Torex Gold’s Earnings Call: Milestones Amid Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

Torex Gold’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture, balancing significant achievements with notable challenges. The company celebrated milestones in safety and production, alongside strategic acquisitions. However, these positives were countered by operational hurdles, increased costs, and a reliance on debt to sustain liquidity. Despite these challenges, Torex remains optimistic about future cash flow and production targets.

Torex Gold Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance
Aug 8, 2025

Torex Gold Resources Inc. is a Canadian intermediate gold producer focused on the exploration, development, and operation of its Morelos Property in Mexico’s Guerrero Gold Belt, featuring the Media Luna Underground, ELG Underground, and ELG Open Pit mines.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Torex Gold Resources Achieves Strong Q2 2025 Performance and Expands Portfolio
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Torex Gold Resources reported strong operational momentum in Q2 2025, with the declaration of commercial production at Media Luna and a return to positive free cash flow. The company anticipates improved production and reduced costs for the remainder of the year, aiming to meet its annual production and cost guidance. Torex is also expanding its portfolio with acquisitions in Mexico and Nevada, setting the stage for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TXG) stock is a Buy with a C$37.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Torex Gold Resources stock, see the TSE:TXG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025