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OceanaGold (TSE:OGC)
TSX:OGC
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OceanaGold (OGC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OGC

OceanaGold

(TSX:OGC)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
C$36.00
▲(13.71% Upside)
OceanaGold's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's robust revenue growth, profitability, and strategic initiatives position it well for future growth. Technical indicators suggest a positive trend, while the valuation reflects a reasonable market position. Despite some operational challenges, the overall outlook remains positive.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth indicates effective market positioning and product demand, supporting long-term business expansion and profitability.
Balance Sheet Health
A strong balance sheet with low leverage enhances financial stability, providing resilience against market fluctuations and capacity for strategic investments.
Strategic Growth Initiatives
Strategic growth initiatives, such as new project developments, position OceanaGold for future expansion and increased production capacity.
Negative Factors
Operational Challenges
Processing lower-grade materials can reduce production efficiency and profitability, potentially impacting short-term financial performance.
Dewatering Issues
Dewatering challenges can disrupt operations and increase costs, affecting overall production efficiency and operational reliability.
Regulatory and Environmental Risks
Permitting processes can introduce regulatory and environmental risks, potentially delaying projects and impacting future growth timelines.

OceanaGold (OGC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

OceanaGold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOceanaGold Corporation, a gold producer, engages in the exploration, development, and operation of mineral properties. It explores for gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company operates the Didipio gold-copper mine located in the Nueva Vizcaya and Quirino provinces on the island of Luzon in the Philippines; the Macraes goldfield mine on the South Island of New Zealand and the Waihi gold mine on the North Island of New Zealand; and the Haile gold mine located in South Carolina, the United States. OceanaGold Corporation was founded in 2003 and is based in South Brisbane, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyOceanaGold generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold, which is its core product. The company produces gold from its mining operations and sells it in the form of bullion to various buyers, including financial institutions and jewelry manufacturers. In addition to gold, OceanaGold also extracts copper and silver, which contribute additional revenue streams. The company benefits from strategic partnerships and supply agreements that help stabilize its income and facilitate market access. Additionally, fluctuating gold prices in the global market directly impact the company's earnings, with higher prices typically leading to increased revenue. Cost management and operational efficiency also play crucial roles in maintaining profitability.

OceanaGold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial and operational performance with record profits, solid production, and strategic growth initiatives. Despite some operational challenges, especially at Haile and Didipio, the company remains well-positioned to meet its full-year guidance and continues to benefit from high gold prices.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance
Achieved record net profit of $118 million, record EPS of $0.49, and strong free cash flow of $120 million. Ended the quarter with 0 debt and increased cash position by 31% to approximately $300 million.
Production and Cost Performance
Delivered solid production and cost performance in line with full-year guidance. Achieved strong second quarter gold production at Haile of around 48,000 ounces, and Didipio delivered increased gold production of approximately 25,000 ounces.
Strategic Growth and Investment
Progressed on organic growth opportunities, including permitting for the Waihi North project. Continued funding growth and exploration projects, maintaining a strong balance sheet, and executed share repurchases.
Positive Market Environment
Benefited from favorable gold price environment, with a record average realized gold price of just under $3,300 per ounce. Maintained no gold price hedges or prepay agreements, fully capitalizing on the high gold price.
Negative Updates
Operational Challenges at Haile
Expecting a higher proportion of lower-grade stockpile material to be processed in Q3, which may impact production performance.
Didipio Underground Dewatering
Faced challenges related to underground dewatering, with ongoing work to improve pumping capacity and infrastructure.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 earnings call, OceanaGold Corporation provided strong guidance, highlighting record net profit of $118 million and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.49, alongside an adjusted EPS of $0.51. The company reported a robust free cash flow of $120 million, contributing to a free cash flow yield of 18% over the trailing 12 months, and an EBITDA of $217 million. OceanaGold ended the quarter with $300 million in cash and no debt, showcasing a 31% increase in cash position from the previous quarter. The company remains on track to meet its 2025 full-year guidance, with consolidated gold production around the midpoint of the guidance range and all-in sustaining costs (AISC) tracking towards the lower end. They anticipate strong performance, particularly in the fourth quarter, driven by operations at Haile and Macraes. Capital investment is expected to align with guidance, focusing on sustaining and growth capital. OceanaGold also announced ongoing share buybacks and an increased dividend, reflecting their commitment to shareholder returns. The company is advancing towards a New York Stock Exchange listing in the first half of 2026, aiming for enhanced trading liquidity and investor access.

OceanaGold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OceanaGold exhibits strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth, robust profit margins, and efficient cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with minimal leverage, enhancing financial stability and positioning the company well for continued growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
OceanaGold has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 13.1% increase in the TTM period, supported by robust gross and net profit margins of 40.96% and 24.11%, respectively. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also impressive at 33.37% and 52.23%, indicating efficient operational management. The company has shown consistent improvement in profitability metrics over the past few years, reflecting a solid upward trajectory.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. Return on equity has improved to 20.01% in the TTM period, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 72.98%, highlighting a stable financial structure. The company has successfully reduced its debt levels over time, enhancing financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
OceanaGold's cash flow performance is robust, with a significant 42.65% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.15, indicating healthy cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.49 suggests efficient cash management. The company has consistently improved its cash flow metrics, supporting future growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.56B1.29B1.03B967.40M744.70M500.10M
Gross Profit936.00M693.50M527.50M461.00M420.50M226.50M
EBITDA825.00M577.00M408.40M361.20M308.10M115.90M
Net Income375.80M187.40M83.10M132.60M-3.70M-150.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.78B2.61B2.55B2.38B2.31B2.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments298.06M193.38M61.26M84.02M131.75M178.64M
Total Debt60.87M71.56M230.13M255.89M367.41M312.27M
Total Liabilities646.12M681.59M829.19M688.59M774.35M803.98M
Stockholders Equity2.03B1.82B1.72B1.69B1.53B1.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow398.70M213.70M34.30M87.00M-63.30M-54.90M
Operating Cash Flow809.30M593.90M384.20M368.70M261.40M198.80M
Investing Cash Flow-408.20M-348.70M-341.80M-280.80M-315.80M-225.80M
Financing Cash Flow-267.00M-120.50M-57.80M-130.20M25.10M159.50M

OceanaGold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price31.66
Price Trends
50DMA
28.12
Positive
100DMA
23.91
Positive
200DMA
18.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.60
Positive
RSI
52.09
Neutral
STOCH
31.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OGC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 31.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.93, above the 50-day MA of 28.12, and above the 200-day MA of 18.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:OGC.

OceanaGold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$7.36B16.8720.48%0.70%19.55%36.19%
79
Outperform
$7.79B15.1119.95%0.30%60.59%34481.54%
77
Outperform
C$4.75B15.8345.10%131.16%648.58%
69
Neutral
$4.73B98.902.41%0.50%17.31%19.28%
69
Neutral
$5.03B17.0012.84%11.46%105.47%
66
Neutral
$6.36B30.005.20%9.52%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OGC
OceanaGold
32.25
20.02
163.67%
TSE:SSRM
SSR Mining
32.20
23.29
261.39%
TSE:SSL
Sandstorm Gold
16.15
7.49
86.51%
TSE:DPM
Dundee Precious Mtl
31.83
17.88
128.17%
TSE:KNT
K92 Mining
18.19
8.79
93.51%
TSE:TXG
Torex Gold Resources
60.24
29.29
94.64%

OceanaGold Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
OceanaGold Reports Promising Exploration Results at Haile Gold Mine
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

OceanaGold has announced successful exploration results from its Haile Gold Mine in the United States, highlighting significant high-grade mineralization at several deposits, including Ledbetter Phase 4 and Horseshoe Underground. The drilling results support the potential for low-risk organic growth and improved site economics, enhancing resource confidence and indicating opportunities for future underground development, which could positively impact the company’s operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGC) stock is a Buy with a C$34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OceanaGold stock, see the TSE:OGC Stock Forecast page.

OceanaGold Q2 2025: Record Profits and Strategic Growth
Aug 13, 2025

OceanaGold Corporation’s Q2 2025 earnings call revealed a strong financial and operational performance, marked by record profits and a solid cash position. Despite some anticipated short-term operational risks and increased costs, the company’s strategic initiatives and favorable market conditions contribute to a positive outlook for the future.

OceanaGold Reports Record Profit and Strong Cash Flow
Aug 8, 2025

OceanaGold Corporation is a growing intermediate gold and copper producer with a commitment to safely and responsibly maximize free cash flow generation from its operations, boasting a portfolio of four operating mines across the United States, the Philippines, and New Zealand.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
OceanaGold Achieves Record Quarterly Profit Amid Strong Production
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

OceanaGold reported a record quarterly net profit of $118 million for the second quarter of 2025, driven by strong gold production and a high average realized gold price. The company is on track to meet its full-year production and financial guidance, with significant free cash flow and no debt, allowing for strategic investments and shareholder returns through dividends and share buybacks.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGC) stock is a Buy with a C$22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OceanaGold stock, see the TSE:OGC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025