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OceanaGold (TSE:OGC)
TSX:OGC
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OceanaGold (OGC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OGC

OceanaGold

(TSX:OGC)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
C$27.00
▲(13.73% Upside)
OceanaGold's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the high score. The company's robust growth metrics, stable financial structure, and strategic initiatives position it well in the gold industry. While technical indicators suggest potential overbought conditions, the overall outlook remains positive.
Positive Factors
Earnings
The company reported adjusted EPS of $0.14 per share, which exceeded both analyst and consensus estimates.
Exploration Budget
OGC looks to build on this success, budgeting $40M for exploration across all four sites, the highest exploration budget in five years.
Financial Performance
Cash Costs and AISC were lower than expected, leading to better financial performance.
Negative Factors
Gold Production Guidance
Updated 2025 and 2026 guidance for gold production were both lower than previously disclosed.
Mid-term Guidance
Updated mid-term guidance was slightly more conservative, featuring both lower gold production and higher AISC.

OceanaGold (OGC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

OceanaGold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOceanaGold Corporation (OGC) is a multinational gold mining company headquartered in Melbourne, Australia, with operations primarily in the Americas and the Asia-Pacific region. The company engages in the exploration, development, and production of gold, alongside the extraction of copper and silver as by-products. OceanaGold operates several mines, including the Haile Gold Mine in the United States, the Didipio Mine in the Philippines, and the Macraes and Waihi operations in New Zealand, positioning itself as a significant player in the global mining sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyOceanaGold generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold, which is its core product. The company produces gold from its mining operations and sells it in the form of bullion to various buyers, including financial institutions and jewelry manufacturers. In addition to gold, OceanaGold also extracts copper and silver, which contribute additional revenue streams. The company benefits from strategic partnerships and supply agreements that help stabilize its income and facilitate market access. Additionally, fluctuating gold prices in the global market directly impact the company's earnings, with higher prices typically leading to increased revenue. Cost management and operational efficiency also play crucial roles in maintaining profitability.

OceanaGold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 20.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial and operational performance with record profits, solid production, and strategic growth initiatives. Despite some operational challenges, especially at Haile and Didipio, the company remains well-positioned to meet its full-year guidance and continues to benefit from high gold prices.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance
Achieved record net profit of $118 million, record EPS of $0.49, and strong free cash flow of $120 million. Ended the quarter with 0 debt and increased cash position by 31% to approximately $300 million.
Production and Cost Performance
Delivered solid production and cost performance in line with full-year guidance. Achieved strong second quarter gold production at Haile of around 48,000 ounces, and Didipio delivered increased gold production of approximately 25,000 ounces.
Strategic Growth and Investment
Progressed on organic growth opportunities, including permitting for the Waihi North project. Continued funding growth and exploration projects, maintaining a strong balance sheet, and executed share repurchases.
Positive Market Environment
Benefited from favorable gold price environment, with a record average realized gold price of just under $3,300 per ounce. Maintained no gold price hedges or prepay agreements, fully capitalizing on the high gold price.
Negative Updates
Operational Challenges at Haile
Expecting a higher proportion of lower-grade stockpile material to be processed in Q3, which may impact production performance.
Didipio Underground Dewatering
Faced challenges related to underground dewatering, with ongoing work to improve pumping capacity and infrastructure.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 earnings call, OceanaGold Corporation provided strong guidance, highlighting record net profit of $118 million and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.49, alongside an adjusted EPS of $0.51. The company reported a robust free cash flow of $120 million, contributing to a free cash flow yield of 18% over the trailing 12 months, and an EBITDA of $217 million. OceanaGold ended the quarter with $300 million in cash and no debt, showcasing a 31% increase in cash position from the previous quarter. The company remains on track to meet its 2025 full-year guidance, with consolidated gold production around the midpoint of the guidance range and all-in sustaining costs (AISC) tracking towards the lower end. They anticipate strong performance, particularly in the fourth quarter, driven by operations at Haile and Macraes. Capital investment is expected to align with guidance, focusing on sustaining and growth capital. OceanaGold also announced ongoing share buybacks and an increased dividend, reflecting their commitment to shareholder returns. The company is advancing towards a New York Stock Exchange listing in the first half of 2026, aiming for enhanced trading liquidity and investor access.

OceanaGold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OceanaGold demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, a strong balance sheet with low leverage, and robust cash generation. The company's financial trajectory shows a positive outlook, with continued profitability and growth potential.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
OceanaGold's income statement shows robust performance with strong growth trends. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue reached $1.38 billion, a significant increase from previous years. Gross profit margin stands at 35.5%, indicating efficient production. Net profit margin improved to 21.2%, reflecting enhanced profitability. The company exhibits a solid revenue growth rate of 27.9% year-over-year from 2023 to 2024, with a notable increase in EBIT and EBITDA margins, highlighting operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with an equity ratio of 73.6%, underscoring a strong capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.03, indicating minimal leverage and reduced financial risk. Return on equity (ROE) is an impressive 15.4%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The company's robust stockholder's equity of $1.90 billion enhances its financial resilience.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reflects a healthy cash generation capacity. Operating cash flow of $690.2 million supports strong operational cash generation relative to net income, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.35. Free cash flow grew by 30.7% year-over-year, indicating improved cash management and reinvestment potential. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.95 shows efficient cash conversion from earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.56B1.29B1.03B984.70M744.70M500.10M
Gross Profit640.90M372.30M298.70M259.80M232.70M45.10M
EBITDA817.30M590.80M369.80M378.90M166.40M144.10M
Net Income377.30M187.40M83.10M132.60M-3.70M-150.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.78B2.49B2.45B2.29B2.26B2.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments298.70M193.50M61.70M83.20M133.00M179.00M
Total Debt61.00M71.60M231.80M253.40M370.90M312.90M
Total Liabilities647.50M562.60M713.20M617.30M710.00M688.40M
Stockholders Equity2.03B1.82B1.73B1.67B1.55B1.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow398.70M213.70M34.30M87.00M-63.30M-54.90M
Operating Cash Flow809.30M593.90M384.20M368.70M261.40M198.80M
Investing Cash Flow-408.20M-348.70M-341.80M-280.80M-315.80M-225.80M
Financing Cash Flow-267.00M-120.50M-57.80M-130.20M25.10M159.50M

OceanaGold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.74
Price Trends
50DMA
20.35
Positive
100DMA
18.34
Positive
200DMA
15.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.04
Negative
RSI
72.30
Negative
STOCH
72.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OGC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.41, above the 50-day MA of 20.35, and above the 200-day MA of 15.40, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.30 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OGC.

OceanaGold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (43)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$3.99B12.1620.48%0.87%19.55%36.19%
81
Outperform
$5.34B10.2919.95%0.41%60.59%34481.54%
78
Outperform
C$3.57B12.1545.10%131.16%648.58%
75
Outperform
$4.41B92.162.41%0.53%17.31%19.28%
73
Outperform
$4.77B22.045.20%0.76%9.52%
69
Neutral
$3.57B12.4512.84%11.46%105.47%
43
Neutral
C$945.77M-8.950.05%2.62%22.54%-44.12%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OGC
OceanaGold
23.74
13.10
123.08%
TSE:SSRM
SSR Mining
23.66
16.23
218.44%
TSE:SSL
Sandstorm Gold
15.16
7.54
99.03%
TSE:TXG
Torex Gold Resources
42.72
16.06
60.24%
TSE:KNT
K92 Mining
15.05
7.64
103.10%
TSE:DPM
Dundee Precious Mtl
25.75
12.63
96.27%

OceanaGold Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
OceanaGold Achieves Record Quarterly Profit Amid Strong Production
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

OceanaGold reported a record quarterly net profit of $118 million for the second quarter of 2025, driven by strong gold production and a high average realized gold price. The company is on track to meet its full-year production and financial guidance, with significant free cash flow and no debt, allowing for strategic investments and shareholder returns through dividends and share buybacks.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGC) stock is a Buy with a C$22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OceanaGold stock, see the TSE:OGC Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
OceanaGold Renews Share Buyback Program with Increased Limit
Positive
Jul 22, 2025

OceanaGold Corporation has received approval from the Toronto Stock Exchange to renew its Normal Course Issuer Bid, allowing it to repurchase up to 23 million common shares over the next 12 months. This move is part of the company’s strategy to return value to shareholders, supported by its strong financial position and robust cash flow, while continuing to invest in growth and exploration projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGC) stock is a Buy with a C$24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OceanaGold stock, see the TSE:OGC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
OceanaGold to Announce Q2 2025 Results and Host Conference Call
Neutral
Jul 8, 2025

OceanaGold Corporation announced it will release its second quarter 2025 operational and financial results on August 6, 2025, with a conference call scheduled for August 7, 2025. This announcement provides stakeholders with an opportunity to gain insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGC) stock is a Buy with a C$24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OceanaGold stock, see the TSE:OGC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
OceanaGold Expands Gold Mineralization at Wharekirauponga
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

OceanaGold Corporation has announced significant results from its exploration and resource conversion program at Wharekirauponga, near its Waihi operation in New Zealand. The company has extended the strike length of gold mineralization to over 1.4 km, with drilling results revealing high-grade gold intersections. This expansion underscores Wharekirauponga’s importance as a key asset in OceanaGold’s portfolio, promising to enhance the company’s future growth and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGC) stock is a Buy with a C$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OceanaGold stock, see the TSE:OGC Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
OceanaGold Initiates Share Consolidation Ahead of U.S. Listing
Positive
Jun 19, 2025

OceanaGold Corporation has announced a share consolidation, effective June 23, 2025, as part of its strategy to pursue a dual listing on a major U.S. exchange, potentially the New York Stock Exchange, by the first half of 2026. This move aims to increase the per share trading price to meet minimum trading price requirements, potentially enhancing marketability and trading liquidity, which could attract a broader range of investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGC) stock is a Buy with a C$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OceanaGold stock, see the TSE:OGC Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock Split
OceanaGold Announces 2025 AGM Results and Plans for U.S. Exchange Listing
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

OceanaGold Corporation reported the results of its 2025 Annual General and Special Meeting, where shareholders voted in favor of all business items, including the election of directors and a share consolidation. The company is considering a dual listing on a major U.S. exchange to increase marketability and trading liquidity, with the consolidation aimed at meeting minimum trading price requirements. The consolidation is expected to be effective around June 23, 2025, pending Toronto Stock Exchange approval.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGC) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OceanaGold stock, see the TSE:OGC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
OceanaGold Reports Strong Sustainability Progress in 2024
Positive
May 21, 2025

OceanaGold has released its 2024 Sustainability Report, highlighting significant progress in its sustainability commitments. The company maintained an MSCI ‘AA’ rating, implemented a new three-year Sustainability Strategy, and achieved an 80% employee engagement score, surpassing industry benchmarks. Key achievements include zero material environmental incidents, extensive land rehabilitation, and substantial community and economic contributions, such as spending over US$193 million with local suppliers and contributing US$11 million to social investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGC) stock is a Buy with a C$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OceanaGold stock, see the TSE:OGC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025