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Dundee Precious Mtl (TSE:DPM)
TSX:DPM
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Dundee Precious Mtl (DPM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DPM

Dundee Precious Mtl

(TSX:DPM)

Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
C$28.00
▼(-5.25% Downside)
Dundee Precious Metals' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the stock score. The company shows robust revenue growth, profitability, and strategic initiatives that support future growth. Technical analysis indicates bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly valued, with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates a strong market position and effective operational strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Adriatic Metals is poised to enhance production capabilities and cost efficiencies, strengthening competitive advantage and growth prospects.
Balance Sheet Strength
A robust balance sheet with substantial cash reserves and no debt provides financial flexibility to pursue growth opportunities and withstand market fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Higher All-In Sustaining Costs
Rising all-in sustaining costs could pressure margins and profitability, challenging the company's ability to maintain cost competitiveness in the long term.
Decreased Free Cash Flow
A significant reduction in free cash flow may limit the company's capacity to invest in new projects or return capital to shareholders, impacting future growth.
Operational Challenges at Ada Tepe
Operational issues at the Ada Tepe mine, reflected in lower production and higher costs, could affect overall output and profitability if not addressed.

Dundee Precious Mtl (DPM) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Dundee Precious Mtl Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDundee Precious Metals Inc. (DPM) is a Canadian-based, international mining company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, mining, and processing of precious metal properties. The company's core focus is on gold, with operational projects primarily located in Eastern Europe. DPM operates the Chelopech mine in Bulgaria and the Ada Tepe mine, which is part of the Krumovgrad gold project, also in Bulgaria. Additionally, DPM owns a smelter in Namibia, the Tsumeb smelter, which processes complex concentrate materials.
How the Company Makes MoneyDundee Precious Metals generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of gold and other precious metals extracted from its mining operations. The company sells the mined gold in the form of doré bars or concentrates to various international buyers and smelters. Additionally, DPM processes complex concentrate materials at its Tsumeb smelter in Namibia, earning revenue through treatment charges and other associated fees from third-party customers. The company's profitability is influenced by factors such as global market prices for gold and other metals, production costs, and operational efficiencies. Strategic partnerships and off-take agreements may further enhance revenue stability and access to markets.

Dundee Precious Mtl Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial and operational performance with record-breaking results and strategic growth initiatives, such as the acquisition of Adriatic and advancements in key projects like Coka Rakita and Loma Larga. However, there were challenges with increased costs and operational issues at the Ada Tepe mine.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Results
Dundee Precious Metals delivered record financial results in Q2 2025, including record revenue, earnings, and free cash flow. Revenue was $186 million, adjusted net earnings were $88 million, and free cash flow was $95 million.
Strategic Acquisition of Adriatic
The proposed acquisition of Adriatic is expected to create a premier mining business with peer-leading growth. The response from investors and the market has been positive. The transaction is anticipated to close in Q4 2025.
Strong Production Metrics
Solid production reported with 61,000 ounces of gold and 6.4 million pounds of copper. The all-in sustaining cost was $1,011 per ounce of gold sold.
Advancement of Coka Rakita Project
The feasibility study for Coka Rakita is advancing as planned, targeting completion by year-end 2025. The project is expected to move towards a construction decision by mid-2026.
Environmental Milestone for Loma Larga
The Loma Larga project in Ecuador received an environmental license in June 2025, marking a significant milestone for the project.
Negative Updates
Higher All-In Sustaining Costs
All-in sustaining costs for H1 2025 were $1,118 per ounce of gold sold, a 41% increase from the prior year, primarily due to lower volumes of gold sold and higher share-based compensation expenses.
Lower Cash Flow from Operating Activities
Cash flow from operating activities was $100 million, lower than the prior year due to timing of collections from sales and payments to suppliers.
Challenges with Ada Tepe Operations
The Ada Tepe mine produced 14,200 ounces of gold with an all-in sustaining cost of $1,166 per ounce. Production is expected to double in the second half of the year, indicating current performance challenges.
Company Guidance
During the Dundee Precious Metals Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported record revenue of $186 million, adjusted net earnings of $88 million, and free cash flow of $95 million, driven by strong gold production of 61,000 ounces and copper output of 6.4 million pounds. The all-in sustaining cost was $1,011 per ounce of gold sold, compared to an average realized gold price of $3,334. The company is on track to meet its 2025 guidance targets, with Chelopech producing 47,000 ounces of gold at an all-in sustaining cost of $682 per ounce. The Ada Tepe mine is expected to increase production in the second half of the year. Additionally, growth capital expenditures are projected to be between $23 million and $25 million for the Loma Larga project. The proposed acquisition of Adriatic Metals, expected to close in the fourth quarter, is anticipated to enhance future production and cost guidance. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with $332 million in cash and no debt, supporting its growth strategy and ongoing development projects.

Dundee Precious Mtl Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dundee Precious Metals demonstrates strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability metrics. The balance sheet is solid, with low leverage and high equity, indicating financial stability. Although the cash flow statement reveals some challenges with decreased free cash flow, the company efficiently converts income into operating cash flow. Overall, the financial position supports continued growth and stability in the mining industry.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Dundee Precious Metals shows strong financial performance with a significant increase in revenue from $520 million to $606 million, indicating a robust growth trajectory. The company maintains a high gross profit margin of 57.1% and a net profit margin of 38.9%, reflecting effective cost management and profitability. EBITDA margin is also impressive at 60.4%. However, the absence of EBIT data for the latest year limits full analysis.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company exhibits a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. With a strong equity ratio of 90.6%, Dundee Precious Metals boasts a solid financial foundation. The return on equity is 18.3%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The company's balance sheet reflects stability and financial health.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Free cash flow decreased from $220 million to $99 million, reflecting a challenging cash flow environment. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.61 indicates that the company efficiently translates profits into cash flow. The decrease in free cash flow, despite positive operating cash flow, suggests increased capital expenditures impacting cash reserves.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue657.00M606.99M520.09M569.79M641.44M609.56M
Gross Profit394.05M346.29M275.88M188.12M263.50M259.63M
EBITDA370.33M366.95M292.11M226.07M335.57M321.73M
Net Income243.63M235.88M192.94M35.92M210.10M196.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.45B1.42B1.29B1.16B1.17B974.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments331.69M634.83M595.28M433.18M334.38M149.53M
Total Debt0.0013.52M12.53M14.58M15.19M17.08M
Total Liabilities179.52M134.38M169.69M164.16M164.00M169.58M
Stockholders Equity1.27B1.29B1.12B993.09M1.00B798.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow256.17M99.44M220.28M182.98M188.54M159.51M
Operating Cash Flow296.96M144.71M275.68M232.05M252.68M197.07M
Investing Cash Flow-488.98M-23.90M-12.37M-85.81M-32.07M-43.85M
Financing Cash Flow-183.79M-83.09M-99.38M-47.44M-36.35M-26.54M

Dundee Precious Mtl Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.55
Price Trends
50DMA
24.01
Positive
100DMA
22.05
Positive
200DMA
18.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.28
Negative
RSI
76.28
Negative
STOCH
90.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DPM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.85, above the 50-day MA of 24.01, and above the 200-day MA of 18.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.28 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:DPM.

Dundee Precious Mtl Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$4.93B15.0220.48%0.75%19.55%36.19%
61
Neutral
$10.29B7.21-0.05%2.89%2.87%-36.73%
$4.32B27.625.20%0.76%
$4.71B12.6719.95%0.44%
78
Outperform
C$4.05B13.5045.10%131.16%648.58%
73
Outperform
C$2.90B11.9539.89%81.12%514.82%
69
Neutral
20.03%-46.48%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DPM
Dundee Precious Mtl
29.80
16.47
123.56%
SSRM
SSR Mining
21.97
16.04
270.49%
OCANF
OceanaGold
20.35
12.02
144.30%
TSE:CXB
Calibre Mining
2.99
0.45
17.72%
TSE:KNT
K92 Mining
16.72
8.65
107.19%
TSE:WDO
Wesdome Gold Mines
19.18
5.02
35.45%

Dundee Precious Mtl Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Dundee Precious Metals Secures Shareholder Approval for Adriatic Metals Acquisition and Name Change
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

Dundee Precious Metals Inc. announced that its shareholders have overwhelmingly approved the acquisition of Adriatic Metals and a name change to DPM Metals Inc. The acquisition, which involves issuing new shares, received over 99.7% approval from shareholders, and Adriatic Metals has also secured the necessary shareholder approvals. The acquisition is subject to court sanctioning and is expected to be completed by early September 2025, potentially enhancing DPM’s market position and growth opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dundee Precious Metals Clears Key Hurdle in Adriatic Metals Acquisition
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Dundee Precious Metals Inc. has satisfied a key condition for its acquisition of Adriatic Metals, receiving approval from the Bosnian Competition Council. The transaction, deemed financially beneficial by the DPM Board, awaits further approvals and is expected to enhance DPM’s asset portfolio and growth potential, aligning with its strategic objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dundee Precious Metals Reports Record Earnings and Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Dundee Precious Metals Inc. reported record free cash flow and adjusted net earnings for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a robust financial performance. The company announced a strategic acquisition of Adriatic Metals, enhancing its growth profile with the addition of the Vareš silver-lead-zinc-gold operation. Dundee Precious Metals also advanced key projects, including the Čoka Rakita feasibility study and received an environmental license for the Loma Larga project, positioning itself for future growth. The company maintained strong liquidity and returned significant capital to shareholders, demonstrating its commitment to delivering value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dundee Precious Metals Declares Third Quarter Dividend
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Dundee Precious Metals Inc. announced a third quarter dividend of US$0.04 per common share, payable on October 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of September 30, 2025. This dividend declaration reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to delivering returns to shareholders and maintaining a strong financial position, which aligns with its strategic objective of sustainable growth in the precious metals sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dundee Precious Metals Moves Forward with Adriatic Acquisition and Rebranding
Positive
Jul 23, 2025

Dundee Precious Metals has announced the filing of management information circulars for a special shareholder meeting to approve the acquisition of Adriatic Metals and a name change to DPM Metals Inc. The acquisition of Adriatic Metals, which operates a silver-lead-zinc-gold mine in Bosnia and Herzegovina, is expected to enhance DPM’s asset portfolio and production growth. The board recommends shareholders approve the transaction, which promises improved financial strength, optimized capital allocation, and significant free cash flow generation.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dundee Precious Metals Reports Strong Q2 Production and Shareholder Returns
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

Dundee Precious Metals announced its preliminary production results for the second quarter of 2025, showing an increase in gold and copper production as planned. The company remains on track to meet its 2025 guidance, with both Chelopech and Ada Tepe mines performing in line with expectations. Additionally, DPM repurchased a significant number of shares and will pay a quarterly dividend, reflecting its commitment to returning capital to shareholders. The company’s financial results for the second quarter will be released on July 31, 2025, followed by a conference call on August 1, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Dundee Precious Metals Secures Environmental License for Loma Larga Project
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

Dundee Precious Metals has received an environmental license from the Ecuadorian government for its Loma Larga project, marking a significant milestone in its development. The company emphasizes its commitment to high environmental standards and responsible water management, aiming to deliver strong returns and economic benefits to local communities. The updated feasibility study for Loma Larga reflects current gold prices and revised cost estimates, with results to be disclosed later.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dundee Precious Metals Announces Strategic Acquisition of Adriatic Metals
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

Dundee Precious Metals Inc. has announced a recommended acquisition of Adriatic Metals Plc, valuing the entire issued share capital of Adriatic at approximately US$1.251 billion. This transaction, which offers a significant premium to Adriatic’s recent share prices, is expected to create a strong combined entity with enhanced operational and financial profiles, leveraging DPM’s strengths and aligning with its strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dundee Precious Metals to Acquire Adriatic Metals, Enhancing Growth and Regional Presence
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

Dundee Precious Metals Inc. has announced a proposed acquisition of Adriatic Metals plc for approximately $1.3 billion, which will include the Vareš operation in Bosnia and Herzegovina. This acquisition is expected to significantly enhance DPM’s asset portfolio by increasing production, extending mine life, and boosting cash flow generation. The strategic move aims to create a premier mining business with a robust growth profile and strong regional presence, benefiting shareholders and regional stakeholders through enhanced operational capabilities and community relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dundee Precious Metals Announces Possible Offer for Adriatic Metals
Neutral
May 26, 2025

Dundee Precious Metals Inc. has announced a possible offer for Adriatic Metals plc, highlighting the disclosure requirements under the UK City Code on Takeovers and Mergers. This move aligns with DPM’s strategic objective to expand its portfolio and strengthen its position in the precious metals industry, potentially impacting stakeholders involved in the offer.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dundee Precious Metals Considers Potential Acquisition of Adriatic Metals
Neutral
May 20, 2025

Dundee Precious Metals Inc. has confirmed discussions regarding a potential offer for the entire share capital of Adriatic Metals plc, although there is no certainty that an offer will be made or the terms it might include. This move aligns with Dundee’s strategic objective to grow through disciplined strategic transactions, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025