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Dundee Precious Mtl (TSE:DPM)
TSX:DPM

Dundee Precious Mtl (DPM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DPM

Dundee Precious Mtl

(TSX:DPM)

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Outperform 85 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:85Outperform
Price Target:
C$50.00
▲(11.21% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by very strong financial quality (high margins, strong cash flow, and a debt-free balance sheet), supported by a clear positive price trend and constructive momentum. Valuation is fair rather than cheap and the dividend yield is modest, while earnings-call risks (regulatory setback at Loma Larga and higher costs) temper an otherwise strong operational outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Health
The company's low leverage and high margins indicate a strong financial position, providing stability and resilience in the competitive gold industry.
Successful Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of Vareš enhances DPM's long-term production profile, supporting growth and diversification in its operations.
Operational Efficiency
Consistent production and cost management at Chelopech demonstrate operational efficiency, contributing to sustained profitability.
Negative Factors
Regulatory Challenges
The revocation poses a significant risk to future project development and may impact long-term growth prospects if unresolved.
Increased Cost Pressures
Rising costs could pressure margins and profitability, challenging the company's ability to maintain its competitive position.
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
A decline in free cash flow growth could limit financial flexibility, affecting the company's ability to invest in future opportunities.

Dundee Precious Mtl (DPM) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Dundee Precious Mtl Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDPM Metals Inc., a gold mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, mining, and processing of precious metals. The company primarily explores for gold, copper, and silver deposits. It holds a portfolio of projects located in Bulgaria, Serbia, Ecuador, and Bosnia. The company was formerly known as Dundee Precious Metals Inc. and changed its name to DPM Metals Inc. in September 2025. The company is based in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyDundee Precious Metals generates revenue primarily through the mining and sale of gold, silver, and copper. The company operates several mines, including the Chelopech mine in Bulgaria and the Tsumeb smelter in Namibia. Revenue streams are derived from the sale of these metals, which are sold to various customers in the precious metals market. Additionally, DPM benefits from by-product credits, particularly from copper and silver, which enhance overall profitability. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures, which can provide additional resources and investment for exploration and operational efficiencies, contributing to its earnings. Market fluctuations in commodity prices and operational efficiency are significant factors affecting its revenue generation.

Dundee Precious Mtl Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call showed strong financial and operational performance with record-breaking metrics and successful strategic acquisitions. However, significant challenges were faced with regulatory issues in Ecuador and increased cost pressures.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Results
DPM delivered record financial results during the third quarter, including revenue of $267 million, adjusted net earnings of $129 million or $0.73 per share, and free cash flow of $148 million.
Successful Acquisition and Integration
DPM successfully closed the Adriatic acquisition, bringing the high-grade Vareš operation into the portfolio, transforming the long-term production profile, and progressing well with integration activities.
Chelopech Operational Success
Chelopech produced 44,000 ounces of gold and 7.8 million pounds of copper, with an all-in sustaining cost of $671 per ounce of gold sold, maintaining a track record of solid efficient operations.
Exploration Success
Positive exploration results at Coka Rakita and other sites, with a large copper-gold system discovered, leading to an increased exploration budget and targeting resource estimates by year-end.
Negative Updates
Revocation of Environmental License at Loma Larga
In October, DPM received notification from the Ministry of Environment and Energy that the environmental license for the Loma Larga project was revoked, causing DPM to evaluate legal avenues and minimize further spending.
Higher All-In Sustaining Costs
All-in sustaining costs per ounce of gold sold for the first 9 months of 2025 were 32% higher than 2024, primarily due to higher share-based compensation expenses and a stronger euro relative to the U.S. dollar.
Company Guidance
During the DPM Metals Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported record financial results with revenue of $267 million, adjusted net earnings of $129 million, and free cash flow of $148 million. The quarter's operational highlights included the production of 64,000 gold ounces and 7.8 million pounds of copper, with an all-in sustaining cost of $1,168 per ounce of gold sold, against an average realized gold price of $3,635 per ounce. The successful integration of the high-grade Vareš operation, expected to ramp up to an 850,000 tonne per annum rate by the end of 2026, was also noted, with anticipated higher production in 2026 due to improved grades. The Chelopech mine maintained strong performance with 44,000 ounces of gold produced and costs of $671 per ounce. Despite a setback with the revocation of the environmental license for the Loma Larga project, the company is exploring legal avenues while focusing on the advancement of the Coka Rakita project, which is targeted for construction by early 2027. DPM remains financially robust, with a strong balance sheet, no debt, and plans to continue capital returns to shareholders.

Dundee Precious Mtl Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM profitability (high gross/EBIT/net margins) and solid revenue growth, backed by excellent cash generation and a very conservative balance sheet (zero debt). Key risk is commodity-driven cyclicality and year-to-year variability in revenue, earnings, and free cash flow.
Income Statement
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show strong profitability with high gross and operating margins (gross profit margin ~54%, EBIT margin ~44%) and a very strong net profit margin (~40%). Revenue is growing (TTM revenue growth ~15%) and earnings remain robust (TTM net income ~$301M). The main weakness is some historical revenue volatility (declines in 2022–2023 before rebounding), which is typical for commodity-linked businesses and can pressure results in weaker pricing/cost environments.
Balance Sheet
Balance sheet is exceptionally conservative: TTM total debt is zero and historical leverage was already minimal, keeping financial risk low. Equity has increased meaningfully (TTM stockholders’ equity ~$2.42B vs. ~$1.29B in 2024), and returns on equity remain strong (TTM ~19%). The primary watch item is that returns can fluctuate year-to-year (e.g., much lower profitability in 2022), reflecting cyclicality rather than balance sheet strain.
Cash Flow
Cash generation is strong in TTM (operating cash flow ~$527M; free cash flow ~$493M) with a sharp improvement versus the prior year (TTM free cash flow growth ~89%). Cash flow quality looks solid, with free cash flow closely matching net income (TTM ~0.94x). A potential weakness is variability across years (notably weaker free cash flow performance in 2024 versus 2023), suggesting sensitivity to working capital, capex timing, and commodity conditions.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue722.95M566.38M513.34M422.82M608.27M635.27M
Gross Profit357.25M254.55M218.10M168.15M226.34M267.90M
EBITDA430.03M350.78M298.37M220.22M325.61M341.64M
Net Income300.66M224.55M196.07M34.85M186.87M205.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.94B1.42B1.29B1.16B1.17B974.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments413.61M634.83M595.28M433.18M334.38M149.53M
Total Debt16.05M13.52M12.53M14.58M15.19M17.08M
Total Liabilities513.34M134.38M169.69M164.16M164.00M169.58M
Stockholders Equity2.42B1.29B1.12B993.09M1.00B798.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow492.56M107.41M246.99M184.47M196.60M168.68M
Operating Cash Flow526.58M136.06M278.67M222.02M246.26M203.84M
Investing Cash Flow-476.34M-22.76M-12.57M-83.26M-31.53M-46.08M
Financing Cash Flow-308.42M-77.39M-99.50M-42.90M-33.56M-24.66M

Dundee Precious Mtl Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.96
Price Trends
50DMA
38.09
Positive
100DMA
33.95
Positive
200DMA
27.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.06
Negative
RSI
79.35
Negative
STOCH
92.73
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DPM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.06, above the 50-day MA of 38.09, and above the 200-day MA of 27.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.35 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.73 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:DPM.

Dundee Precious Mtl Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
C$10.10B18.7016.54%0.51%37.75%59.97%
79
Outperform
$10.69B21.969.54%44.88%38.67%
78
Outperform
C$11.03B33.6422.29%48.70%1718.41%
78
Outperform
C$9.65B17.4221.15%0.42%51.00%532.40%
75
Outperform
C$10.10B49.0811.26%0.55%37.22%
62
Neutral
$8.68B43.4328.16%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DPM
Dundee Precious Mtl
47.55
34.02
251.47%
TSE:ELD
Eldorado Gold
55.70
33.59
151.92%
TSE:NGD
New Gold
14.62
10.84
286.77%
TSE:OGC
OceanaGold
43.54
31.98
276.58%
TSE:OR
OR Royalties
55.69
29.54
112.98%
TSE:ARTG
Artemis Gold
39.07
24.50
168.15%

Dundee Precious Mtl Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
DPM Metals Files NI 43-101 Technical Report for Čoka Rakita Gold Project in Serbia
Neutral
Jan 12, 2026

DPM Metals Inc. has filed a technical report for its Čoka Rakita gold project in Serbia, prepared in accordance with Canada’s National Instrument 43-101 standards. The report supports the project’s mineral resource and reserve estimates and the associated feasibility study, and is now accessible on Canadian regulatory platforms and the company’s website, providing investors and other stakeholders with detailed disclosure on the project’s parameters and underlying risks.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
DPM Metals Extends 11-Year Gold Guidance Streak as Vareš Ramps Up
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

DPM Metals reported preliminary 2025 results showing consolidated gold production of approximately 245,000 ounces and copper production of 30 million pounds from its Chelopech and Ada Tepe mines, meeting its annual gold production guidance for the eleventh consecutive year. The company highlighted strong fourth-quarter output, with Ada Tepe delivering its best quarter of the year and Chelopech maintaining robust gold and copper production, while the Vareš mine remained in ramp-up with minimal output as DPM prioritized the implementation of its safety standards and workforce training; DPM plans to issue a three-year outlook and detailed 2026 guidance in February, noting that Vareš is expected to reach an 850,000 tonne-per-year run-rate by end-2026 and deliver better-than-expected gold and silver production versus its technical report, underscoring the company’s stable operational track record and growth pipeline.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
DPM Metals Unveils Significant Gold-Copper Resource Estimates at Rakita Camp
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

DPM Metals Inc. has announced significant inferred mineral resource estimates at its Rakita Camp in Serbia, highlighting the potential for a district-scale gold-copper system. The estimates include 2.6 million ounces of gold and 1.9 billion pounds of copper, with the Dumitru Potok prospect showing a higher-grade core. The company emphasizes the potential for continued resource growth and high recoveries, supported by its extensive in-country experience and infrastructure designs. This development positions the Rakita Camp as a Tier One asset for DPM, offering substantial scale, grade, and longevity, with further exploration planned to expand the resource base.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
DPM Metals Unveils Promising Feasibility Study for Čoka Rakita Project
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

DPM Metals Inc. has announced the results of a feasibility study for its Čoka Rakita project in Serbia, revealing strong economic potential with a net present value of $782 million and an internal rate of return of 36% at a gold price of $1,900 per ounce. The project is expected to be a high-margin, low-cost operation with significant returns for shareholders, and it marks a pivotal development in the company’s strategic expansion in the Rakita camp, where further exploration is underway to unlock additional resources.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
DPM Metals Unveils High-Grade Mineral Discovery at Chelopech Mine
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

DPM Metals Inc. has announced a significant discovery of high-grade mineralization at the Wedge Zone Deep target within its Chelopech mine. The results from exploration drilling reveal substantial gold equivalent grades, indicating the potential to extend the mine’s life and enhance long-term value for stakeholders. This discovery underscores the exploration potential at Chelopech and strengthens DPM’s position in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
DPM Metals Achieves Record Q3 2025 Results and Advances Strategic Projects
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

DPM Metals Inc. reported record financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with significant free cash flow and adjusted net earnings. The company successfully integrated the Vareš operation, anticipating higher production rates by 2026, and advanced its Čoka Rakita project towards feasibility study completion. With substantial liquidity and robust production, DPM is well-positioned to meet its 2025 guidance, while maintaining strong margins and cost efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$36.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
DPM Metals Declares Fourth Quarter Dividend
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

DPM Metals Inc. announced a fourth quarter dividend of US$0.04 per common share, payable on January 15, 2026, to shareholders of record as of December 31, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to delivering returns to shareholders while maintaining its strategic focus on growth and sustainability in the gold mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$36.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
DPM Metals Updates Vareš Mine Technical Report for Compliance
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

DPM Metals Inc. has amended and refiled the technical report for the Vareš Mine in Bosnia and Herzegovina following a review by the Ontario Securities Commission. The revisions include removing certain inferred mineral resources and changing the responsible author due to qualification requirements. This update ensures compliance with NI 43-101 standards and reflects the company’s commitment to accurate and responsible reporting, potentially impacting its operational transparency and stakeholder trust.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DPM) stock is a Buy with a C$36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dundee Precious Mtl stock, see the TSE:DPM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026