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Calibre Mining Corp (TSE:CXB)
TSX:CXB

Calibre Mining (CXB) AI Stock Analysis

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Calibre Mining

(TSX:CXB)

67Neutral
Calibre Mining's overall score reflects a mix of strengths and challenges. The company benefits from revenue growth, positive technical indicators, and strategic corporate actions like the merger with Equinox Gold. However, high valuation metrics and cash flow challenges temper the positive outlook. Investors should consider these factors when evaluating the stock's potential.
Positive Factors
Production Expansion
CXB is advancing plans to accelerate the timeline for scaling up production at Valentine to as much as 5.4 million tpa.
Production Performance
Q4 gold production beat revised annual guidance, driven by strong Nicaragua operations.
Stock Performance
The stock has outperformed peers with a return of 48%.
Negative Factors
Cost Management
Costs were higher than expected with cash costs and AISC slightly higher than estimates.
Financial Valuation
Analyst downgrades the stock to Hold, viewing it as fairly valued with insufficient return to target.
Growth Capital Expenditure
Growth Capital guidance of $70-80M was higher than expectations, which could impact financial flexibility.

Calibre Mining (CXB) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Calibre Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCalibre Mining Corp. (CXB) is a Canadian-based gold mining and exploration company with a focus on projects in Nicaragua. The company is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold projects, leveraging its operational expertise and strategic partnerships to optimize asset value. Calibre Mining manages several mining sites and is committed to sustainable mining practices, contributing to economic and social development in the regions where it operates.
How the Company Makes MoneyCalibre Mining makes money primarily through the extraction, production, and sale of gold. The company's revenue model is centered around its operational gold mines, where it extracts gold ore and processes it into refined gold, which is then sold in the global market. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold bullion and, to a lesser extent, by-products such as silver. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as gold market prices, production costs, and operational efficiency. Strategic partnerships with local and international entities enhance its operational capabilities and access to advanced mining technologies, contributing to its revenue generation.

Calibre Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Calibre Mining shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency but faces challenges with profitability margins and cash flow generation. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage, although free cash flow deficits need addressing for sustainable financial health.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Calibre Mining has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from $57.76 million in 2019 to $585.86 million in 2024. The gross profit margin for 2024 is approximately 26.02%, and the net profit margin stands at 5.93%. Both margins indicate moderate profitability. However, the decline in gross profit from the previous year suggests some cost pressures. EBIT and EBITDA margins for 2024 were 14.34% and 30.76% respectively, reflecting solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a healthy equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39, indicating low financial leverage. The return on equity for 2024 is 3.62%, which is relatively modest and suggests that the company could improve its efficiency in generating profits from shareholder equity. The equity ratio of 54.16% highlights a balanced approach to financing through equity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Calibre Mining's cash flow statement reveals a challenging free cash flow situation, with a negative free cash flow of $-228.32 million in 2024, primarily due to substantial capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 5.21, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting the strain of capital investments on cash reserves.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
585.86M561.70M403.07M328.13M242.75M
Gross Profit
152.50M170.40M103.60M104.25M109.61M
EBIT
84.03M135.77M79.88M91.90M86.65M
EBITDA
180.26M211.85M165.67M131.15M137.70M
Net Income Common Stockholders
34.74M85.03M43.34M58.20M63.41M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
131.09M86.16M56.49M78.45M53.17M
Total Assets
1.77B819.57M664.26M437.53M351.18M
Total Debt
378.42M11.14M13.08M43.00K150.00K
Net Debt
247.33M-75.02M-43.41M-78.41M-53.02M
Total Liabilities
811.75M262.36M213.51M148.08M121.03M
Stockholders Equity
959.39M557.21M450.74M289.45M230.15M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-228.32M43.19M-49.52M18.73M34.71M
Operating Cash Flow
181.05M201.11M96.66M105.60M81.26M
Investing Cash Flow
-400.55M-187.06M-133.72M-83.39M-46.36M
Financing Cash Flow
265.29M15.56M15.12M3.03M-14.48M

Calibre Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.23
Price Trends
50DMA
3.05
Positive
100DMA
2.75
Positive
200DMA
2.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
54.86
Neutral
STOCH
69.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CXB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.09, above the 50-day MA of 3.05, and above the 200-day MA of 2.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CXB.

Calibre Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSIMG
80
Outperform
$5.81B5.0029.57%71.21%667.30%
TSELD
79
Outperform
C$5.33B13.338.12%33.06%177.69%
TSWDO
78
Outperform
C$2.54B18.7427.15%67.54%
TSOR
70
Outperform
$6.09B273.331.33%0.79%6.02%
TSCXB
67
Neutral
C$2.79B55.904.55%6.13%-76.71%
TSBTO
66
Neutral
$5.90B-18.54%4.53%-0.18%-2195.85%
49
Neutral
$1.95B-1.49-20.76%3.74%1.00%-28.87%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CXB
Calibre Mining
3.23
1.17
56.80%
TSE:OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
33.04
11.95
56.65%
TSE:IMG
IAMGOLD
9.77
4.78
95.79%
TSE:BTO
B2Gold
4.31
0.98
29.27%
TSE:ELD
Eldorado Gold
25.94
6.10
30.75%
TSE:WDO
Wesdome Gold Mines
16.96
6.54
62.76%

Calibre Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 20, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 6.25%|
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was generally positive, with record production and strong financials being highlighted. Significant progress was reported on the Valentine project, and exploration results were promising. However, concerns about debt management and dependency on exploration success were noted.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Production Exceeds Guidance
Caliber Mining Corp. delivered record production of 76,000 ounces in Q4 and 242,000 ounces for the full year, exceeding the upper end of their production guidance.
Cash Position Strengthened
Cash increased by 23% to $161 million as of mid-February, indicating strong financial health.
Valentine Project Progress
Valentine construction is on track with significant progress, including the primary crusher ahead of schedule and key installations nearing completion.
Exploration Success and Expansion Potential
A 200,000 meter drilling program is underway, the largest in Caliber's history, with discoveries at the Frank Zone and other areas indicating potential for increased resources.
Higher Gold Grades
Ore control drilling at Leprechaun Pit resulted in a 30% increase in gold, and Marathon Pit yielded a 47% higher gold grade.
Negative Updates
Debt Management Concerns
The Sprott loan facility is almost fully drawn, with interest capitalizing until mid-year and payments starting in the second half of the year.
Dependency on Future Exploration
Phase 2 expansion and increased throughput are contingent on exploration success and ramp-up of mining rates.
Company Guidance
During the Caliber Mining Corp. 2024 Q4 and full-year conference call, the company reported a strong performance with record production of 76,000 ounces in Q4 and 242,000 ounces for the full year, surpassing their production guidance. The lost time injury frequency rate decreased by 20% year-over-year, highlighting their commitment to safety. The company also noted a 15% increase in consolidated production compared to the budget and a 23% rise in cash to $161 million by mid-February 2025. Looking ahead, the Valentine Gold Mine is on track to deliver between 50,000 to 100,000 ounces in 2025, complementing the pre-existing production guidance of 230,000 to 280,000 ounces. Additionally, a significant 200,000-meter drilling program is planned for 2025, aiming to enhance mineral resources, particularly at the Valentine and El Limon sites. The company is also advancing plans to increase Valentine's throughput from 2.5 million tons to over 5 million tons per year, anticipating long-term growth and value creation.

Calibre Mining Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Calibre Mining’s Merger with Equinox Gold Gains Key Endorsements
Positive
Apr 25, 2025

Calibre Mining Corp. has received recommendations from leading proxy advisory firms ISS and Glass Lewis for its securityholders to vote in favor of a proposed business combination with Equinox Gold Corp. The updated recommendation from Glass Lewis follows amended merger terms that align with market expectations, providing greater downside protection while maintaining long-term potential. This endorsement is significant for Calibre as it seeks to strengthen its market position and enhance value for stakeholders through the merger.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CXB Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CXB is a Neutral.

Calibre Mining’s overall score reflects a mix of strengths and challenges. The company benefits from consistent revenue growth, strong technical indicators, and positive strategic corporate actions like the merger with Equinox Gold. However, high valuation metrics and cash flow challenges temper the positive outlook. Investors should consider these factors when evaluating the stock’s potential.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CXB stock, click here.

M&A Transactions
Equinox Gold and Calibre Mining Amend Merger Agreement to Form Major Gold Producer
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

Equinox Gold Corp. and Calibre Mining Corp. have amended their arrangement agreement for a proposed business combination, with Calibre shareholders set to receive 0.35 Equinox Gold shares for each Calibre share, representing a 10% premium. This merger aims to create a major gold producer capable of producing over 1.2 million ounces of gold annually, positioning the combined entity as the second-largest gold producer in Canada and among the top 15 globally.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CXB Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CXB is a Outperform.

Calibre Mining receives a strong overall score driven by consistent revenue growth, robust technical indicators, and positive earnings call outcomes. The strategic merger with Equinox Gold further enhances its growth prospects. However, high valuation metrics and cash flow challenges are key risks that temper the positive outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CXB stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Calibre Mining Corp. Seeks Approval for Strategic Merger with Equinox Gold
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

Calibre Mining Corp. has announced a proposed business combination with Equinox Gold Corp., which has received a recommendation from Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. (ISS) for securityholders to vote in favor. The merger is expected to deliver strategic benefits such as increased scale, diversification, and synergies, along with strong production growth and potential market re-rating. The combined company aims to become the second largest gold producer in Canada and a major player in the Americas, with significant free cash flow and growth potential.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CXB Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CXB is a Outperform.

Calibre Mining’s strong technical indicators and strategic corporate actions, such as the merger with Equinox Gold, are significant positives. However, challenges remain with high valuation metrics and free cash flow deficits. The stock shows potential for growth, but investors should be cautious of its current high valuation.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CXB stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Calibre Mining Achieves Record Q1 Gold Production and Announces Strategic Merger
Positive
Apr 14, 2025

Calibre Mining Corp. reported a record first-quarter production of 71,539 ounces of gold in Q1 2025, with significant contributions from its operations in Nicaragua and Nevada. The company also provided an update on the Valentine Gold Mine in Canada, which is expected to begin ore processing in early Q3 2025. Additionally, Calibre announced a merger with Equinox Gold, aiming to form a leading Americas-focused gold producer. This merger is set to create a diversified portfolio of operating mines, enhance production capacity, and strengthen the company’s market position, potentially making it Canada’s second-largest gold producer.

Spark’s Take on TSE:CXB Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:CXB is a Outperform.

Calibre Mining’s stock is rated positively due to strong production growth, strategic initiatives like the Equinox Gold merger, and robust technical indicators. Challenges in cash flow and high valuation are notable risks, but the company’s strategic positioning and growth prospects provide a strong outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:CXB stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Calibre Mining Moves Forward with Equinox Gold Merger Plans
Positive
Mar 28, 2025

Calibre Mining Corp. has announced the receipt of an interim order from the Supreme Court of British Columbia, allowing it to proceed with a special meeting of securityholders regarding its business combination with Equinox Gold Corp. This merger aims to create a major diversified gold producer in the Americas, with the potential for over 1.2 million ounces of annual gold production. The combined entity is expected to become the second-largest gold producer in Canada, benefiting from substantial free cash flow and an exceptional growth profile. The arrangement is anticipated to close by the end of Q2 2025, subject to necessary approvals.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Calibre Mining Secures $75 Million in Private Placement to Fuel Growth
Positive
Mar 4, 2025

Calibre Mining Corp. has successfully closed a US$75 million private placement of unsecured convertible notes, which bear an interest rate of 5.5% per annum. This financial move is expected to bolster Calibre’s operational capabilities and support its growth strategy, enhancing its position in the gold production industry and potentially benefiting its stakeholders.

M&A Transactions
Equinox Gold and Calibre Mining Merge to Form Major Gold Producer
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

Equinox Gold Corp. and Calibre Mining Corp. have announced a definitive agreement to merge, creating a major gold producer focused on the Americas. The new entity, New Equinox Gold, will become the second largest gold producer in Canada, with significant production capacity and a strong pipeline of development projects, positioning it for sustainable growth and increased shareholder value.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Calibre Mining’s Record 2024 Results and Transformative Prospects for 2025
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

Calibre Mining Corp. reported record gold production for Q4 and FY 2024, surpassing revised annual production guidance. The company is set for a transformative 2025 with the Valentine Gold Mine expected to commence gold production in Q2, bolstered by strong exploration results and strategic preparations. The progress at Valentine, along with high-grade discoveries in Nicaragua, positions Calibre for continued growth and diversification, enhancing shareholder value.

Business Operations and Strategy
Calibre Mining Expands Gold Discoveries at Valentine Mine
Positive
Feb 11, 2025

Calibre Mining has announced significant gold mineralization discoveries at the Frank Zone, part of their Valentine Gold Mine project in Newfoundland & Labrador, Canada. The new drilling results reveal broad zones of high-grade gold mineralization at surface, suggesting potential for a new open pit and enhancing the project’s prospects. With mineralization now traced over a kilometer along strike and 500 meters deep, the findings highlight the area’s untapped potential, positioning Calibre to achieve its target of becoming a mid-tier gold producer with annual production of 450,000 to 500,000 ounces.

Business Operations and Strategy
Calibre Mining Announces 30% Increase in Gold at Valentine Mine
Positive
Feb 5, 2025

Calibre Mining, operating in the gold mining industry, has reported significant results from its ore control drilling at the Leprechaun open pit within the Valentine Gold Mine in Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. The drilling, covering 21,500 meters, has revealed 30% more contained gold compared to the 2022 Mineral Reserve model, with a 29% increase in ore tonnes and a 1% higher grade. This development enhances the confidence in the resource estimates, potentially leading to increased metal production and extended mine life, with Valentine construction progressing well and first gold production expected in Q2 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.