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Aura Minerals (TSE:ORA)
:ORA
Canadian Market
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Aura Minerals (ORA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ORA

Aura Minerals

(ORA)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$42.00
Aura Minerals' stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including negative profitability and high leverage. While technical analysis shows bullish momentum, overbought conditions suggest caution. The valuation is unattractive due to negative earnings, despite a reasonable dividend yield.

Aura Minerals (ORA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Aura Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
How the Company Makes MoneyAura Minerals makes money through the extraction, production, and sale of gold and copper from its mining operations. The company generates revenue primarily by mining these metals and selling them at market prices. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold and copper concentrate to refineries and other buyers in the metals market. Aura Minerals may also engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to optimize mining operations and expand its resource base, contributing to its financial performance. Additionally, the company focuses on operational efficiencies and cost management to enhance profitability.

Aura Minerals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted the company's strong financial performance with record-high EBITDA and a substantial dividend yield. Successful project completions and ongoing expansions indicate positive growth prospects. However, these positives were tempered by a net loss driven by market-to-market losses, increased leverage, and some production challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High EBITDA
Achieved a record high EBITDA for the quarter at $81 million, aided by increasing gold prices.
Successful Borborema Project Completion
Completed construction of Borborema on time and on budget, with commercial production projected for Q3.
Strong Dividend Yield
Announced a dividend distribution of $30 million, resulting in an 11% yield over the last 12 months.
Expansion of Production Capabilities
Ongoing ramp-up of Borborema and future growth projects planned, aiming for significant production increase.
Positive Adjusted Net Income
Adjusted net income, excluding market-to-market losses, was a positive $27 million for the quarter.
Safety Achievements
Maintained a high safety standard with only one lost time incident over two years.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Due to Market-to-Market Liabilities
Reported a net loss of $73 million due to non-cash market-to-market liabilities on gold derivatives.
Lower Production and Revenue
Net revenues decreased by 6% compared to the previous quarter due to lower production from mine sequencing.
Increased Leverage
Net debt increased to $272 million, attributed to final phase of Borborema construction and Bluestone acquisition.
Fluctuating All-In Sustaining Costs
All-in sustaining cash costs increased due to investment phase at Apoena, impacting cost stability.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025 earnings call, Aura Minerals provided robust guidance highlighting their continued growth trajectory. The company achieved a gold equivalent production of 60,000 ounces, albeit 9% below the previous quarter and 7% below Q1 of the previous year. Despite this, Aura recorded a record-high EBITDA of $81 million, driven by favorable gold prices, which stood at $2,786, and have since approached $3,400. The company reported a net loss of $72 million, attributed to mark-to-market losses on gold hedges, yet maintained a positive adjusted net income of $27 million. Aura successfully completed the construction of the Borborema project, aligning with time and budget projections, and anticipates commercial production in Q3. The company also announced a $30 million dividend for the quarter, reflecting an 11% dividend yield over the last 12 months. Furthermore, Aura highlighted strategic growth through M&A activities, including the acquisition of Bluestone, and emphasized plans to enhance liquidity through a U.S. public offering. The guidance underscores Aura's commitment to delivering shareholder value while maintaining high safety standards across its operations.

Aura Minerals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Aura Minerals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
38.88
Positive
100DMA
35.70
Positive
200DMA
28.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.18
Negative
RSI
61.72
Neutral
STOCH
75.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ORA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.96, equal to the 50-day MA of 38.88, and equal to the 200-day MA of 28.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ORA.

Aura Minerals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025