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Aura Minerals Inc. J (TSE:ORA)
TSX:ORA

Aura Minerals (ORA) AI Stock Analysis

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Aura Minerals

(TSX:ORA)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
C$37.00
▲(9.63%Upside)
Aura Minerals demonstrates strong market momentum and cash flow generation. However, profitability challenges and high leverage present risks. The company has promising growth prospects, but focus on improving financial stability and managing risks will be crucial for future performance.

Aura Minerals (ORA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Aura Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAura Minerals Inc. (ORA) is a mid-tier gold and copper production company based in the Americas. The company is primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and operation of gold and base metal projects. Aura Minerals operates several mines across Brazil, Honduras, and Mexico, focusing on the production of gold and copper, and is committed to sustainable practices and creating value for its shareholders.
How the Company Makes MoneyAura Minerals makes money by extracting and selling gold and copper from its mining operations. The company's revenue model is primarily based on the sale of these metals, which are extracted from its various mines. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of gold and copper to global markets. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with local governments and other mining companies to optimize production and distribution. Aura Minerals' earnings are significantly influenced by global commodity prices, production efficiency, and operational costs.

Aura Minerals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 22.24%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, record EBITDA, and successful project completions, contrasted by a net loss due to hedging and production decline. The company maintains strong growth prospects with ongoing projects and a commitment to high dividends.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High EBITDA
Achieved a record high EBITDA of $81 million for the quarter, despite production challenges, aided by increased gold prices.
Strong Dividend Yield
Announced a $30 million dividend for the quarter, resulting in an 11% dividend yield over the last 12 months.
Successful Project Completion
Completed the construction of Borborema on time and on budget, with commercial production expected in Q3.
Growth in Net Revenues
Net revenues reached a record high of $624 million over the last 12 months.
Safety Milestone
Achieved a significant safety milestone with only one lost time incident over two years during major project completions.
Continued Growth Prospects
Progress on Bluestone and Matupa projects, with potential for significant production increases.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Due to Hedging
Reported a net loss of $72 million for the quarter, primarily due to market-to-market losses on gold hedges.
Production Decline
Gold equivalent production for Q1 was 60,000 ounces, 9% below the last quarter and 7% below the same quarter last year.
Increased All-In Sustaining Cash Costs
Sustaining cash costs increased due to investment phase at Apoena, affecting overall cost stability.
Higher Leverage
Net debt increased to $272 million, attributed to Borborema construction and Bluestone acquisition.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025 earnings call, Aura Minerals announced several key financial metrics and future projections, emphasizing their strong performance and growth strategies. The company reported a gold equivalent production of 60,000 ounces, which, although 9% below the previous quarter, aligns with their internal projections amid ongoing investment phases at certain sites. They achieved a record high EBITDA of $81 million, driven by rising gold prices, which reached $2,786 per ounce during the quarter. Despite a net loss of $72 million, primarily due to market-to-market hedging impacts from volatile gold prices, Aura maintained a recurring free cash flow of $27 million. The company highlighted successful construction of the Borborema project, which is expected to boost production significantly in the second half of the year. Additionally, Aura announced a $30 million dividend for the quarter, reflecting an 11% dividend yield over the last 12 months, and continued its share buyback program, underscoring its commitment to shareholder returns. The company also updated its 43-101 report, extending the life of its mines and increasing production, while emphasizing its focus on increasing daily trading volume and preparing for a potential U.S. public offering to enhance liquidity.

Aura Minerals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aura Minerals demonstrates resilience in revenue growth and cash flow generation, but faces significant challenges with profitability and leverage. The negative net income and high debt levels are critical areas of concern that could impact future financial stability. Focus on improving profitability and managing leverage is essential to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Aura Minerals shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) stands at 45.37%, which is strong. However, the Net Profit Margin is negative at -15.11%, indicating significant challenges in profitability. Revenue growth appears positive with a 6.31% increase from the previous year, but the negative net income impacts overall performance.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reflects a high Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 2.79 for TTM, indicating a leveraged position that could pose risks. Return on Equity is negative at -67.43%, which is concerning, while the Equity Ratio has decreased to 12.27%, suggesting a lower cushion against liabilities.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating Cash Flow is robust, with a positive Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.52 for TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. However, Free Cash Flow has decreased, and Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.37, showing reliance on cash flow management amidst negative net income.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
623.89M594.16M416.89M392.70M444.56M299.87M
Gross Profit
283.02M251.27M126.02M125.69M183.01M121.88M
EBIT
236.32M205.37M87.03M88.23M123.05M96.46M
EBITDA
91.45M149.80M106.42M127.68M192.13M117.52M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-94.30M-30.27M31.88M66.50M43.50M68.48M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
198.07M270.19M237.29M127.90M161.49M117.78M
Total Assets
1.14B1.08B923.82M727.31M592.48M536.19M
Total Debt
390.58M385.35M372.24M253.29M159.14M73.37M
Net Debt
192.51M115.16M134.95M125.39M-2.35M-44.41M
Total Liabilities
999.13M857.31M609.02M417.18M320.20M223.48M
Stockholders Equity
139.87M222.96M314.80M310.13M272.27M312.71M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
35.01M41.66M28.85M-7.00M51.72M38.39M
Operating Cash Flow
237.61M222.24M124.95M96.36M131.19M90.36M
Investing Cash Flow
-215.65M-176.40M-97.66M-157.50M-78.16M-51.06M
Financing Cash Flow
-24.69M5.20M79.43M21.88M-8.63M41.30M

Aura Minerals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.75
Price Trends
50DMA
27.52
Positive
100DMA
24.25
Positive
200DMA
19.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.16
Negative
RSI
68.76
Neutral
STOCH
77.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ORA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.62, above the 50-day MA of 27.52, and above the 200-day MA of 19.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ORA.

Aura Minerals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSWDO
78
Outperform
C$2.95B15.7134.73%80.44%3757.72%
TSCXB
76
Outperform
C$2.84B31.776.74%20.03%-46.48%
TSCG
74
Outperform
C$2.02B33.752.63%2.81%1.58%-21.40%
65
Neutral
C$2.36B-28.89%38.21%50.26%
TSORA
64
Neutral
C$2.52B-43.50%5.13%42.46%-2626.56%
51
Neutral
$2.02B-1.14-21.37%3.64%2.88%-30.57%
TSSEA
46
Neutral
$2.00B-1.46%1.89%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ORA
Aura Minerals
33.75
22.40
197.36%
TSE:SEA
Seabridge Gold
19.90
-0.28
-1.39%
TSE:CG
Centerra Gold
9.72
0.62
6.84%
TSE:CXB
Calibre Mining
3.31
1.49
81.87%
TSE:WDO
Wesdome Gold Mines
19.64
8.65
78.71%
TSE:AAUC
Allied Gold Corporation
20.42
11.24
122.44%

Aura Minerals Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aura Minerals Announces U.S. Public Offering Plans
Neutral
Jun 7, 2025

Aura Minerals Inc. has filed a registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for a proposed public offering of its securities in the United States. This move is part of Aura’s strategy to list its common shares on the Nasdaq Global Select Market, aiming to improve stock liquidity and consolidate its presence in the U.S. equity market, with BofA Securities and Goldman Sachs as global coordinators.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORA) stock is a Buy with a C$20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aura Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aura Minerals Unveils 2024 Sustainability Achievements
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

Aura Minerals has released its 2024 Sustainability Report, highlighting significant progress in safety, responsibility, sustainability, and innovation. The report details achievements across eight ESG pillars, including digital transformation, community empowerment, and environmental management. Aura has strengthened its ESG leadership by complying with global mining standards and has been recognized for its efforts in diversity and workplace culture. The company has also increased its production and maintained a strong safety record, reflecting its commitment to sustainable growth and responsible mining.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORA) stock is a Buy with a C$25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aura Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORA Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aura Minerals to Acquire Serra Grande Gold Mine in Brazil
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

Aura Minerals has entered into an agreement to acquire the Mineração Serra Grande gold mine in Goiás, Brazil, from AngloGold Ashanti. The acquisition involves an upfront payment of $76 million and deferred payments based on net smelter returns. The transaction is expected to close by the end of 2025, pending regulatory approvals and other conditions. This acquisition aligns with Aura’s strategy to enhance its portfolio and improve the performance of its mining operations, potentially making Serra Grande a key asset in its portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ORA) stock is a Buy with a C$16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aura Minerals stock, see the TSE:ORA Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aura Minerals Announces US$30 Million Dividend, Reinforcing Shareholder Commitment
Positive
May 6, 2025

Aura Minerals has declared a dividend of US$0.40 per share, totaling approximately US$30 million, which exceeds the minimum outlined in its Dividend Policy. This decision is supported by proceeds from the Serrote project sale and reflects the company’s commitment to its strategic vision of delivering shareholder value through dividends and share buybacks. The dividend, yielding 11% over the past 12 months, underscores Aura’s position as a top-yielding company in the global gold mining sector.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aura Minerals Plans U.S. Public Offering to Boost Market Presence
Neutral
May 6, 2025

Aura Minerals has confidentially submitted a draft registration statement to the SEC for a proposed public offering of its common shares in the U.S. This move is part of Aura’s strategy to enhance shareholder value, improve stock liquidity, and consolidate its presence in the U.S. equity market. The offering’s timing will depend on the SEC’s review process and market conditions, with details on the number of shares and price range yet to be determined.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aura Minerals Achieves Record EBITDA Amidst Production Challenges
Positive
May 6, 2025

Aura Minerals reported its Q1 2025 financial and operational results, highlighting a record high Adjusted EBITDA of $295 million, despite a decrease in production and sales volumes compared to previous quarters. The company successfully completed the Borborema project on time and within budget, which is expected to significantly boost production in the upcoming quarters, reinforcing Aura’s strong operational momentum and strategic positioning in the mining sector.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aura Minerals Reports Q1 2025 Production Results and New Mine Commencement
Neutral
Apr 10, 2025

Aura Minerals reported a 9% decrease in Q1 2025 production compared to the previous quarter, with a total output of 60,087 gold equivalent ounces. Despite the decline, Aura remains on track to meet its annual production guidance, bolstered by the commencement of operations at the Borborema mine, which is expected to significantly contribute to the company’s output by the end of the year. The new mine, completed on schedule and within budget, is anticipated to enhance Aura’s production capabilities and cost efficiency, positioning it as a key asset in the company’s portfolio.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aura Minerals Reports Strong Growth in Mineral Reserves and Resources for 2024
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

Aura Minerals has reported updated Mineral Reserves and Resources for 2024, highlighting significant exploration activities and a strong growth trajectory. The company drilled over 100,000 meters, investing $21.8 million in exploration, and maintained its Proven and Probable Reserves at 3.4 million GEO despite natural depletion. Notable reserve growth at the Apoena mine extended its life-of-mine, while Measured and Indicated Resources grew by 1% and Inferred Resources by 4%. The updates reflect new data, revised geological interpretations, and changes in mining methods, positioning Aura for long-term growth and enhancing its industry standing.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aura Minerals Updates Technical Reports for Key Mines
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

Aura Minerals has updated its technical reports for the Aranzazu, Almas, and Minosa mines, adhering to Canadian regulatory standards. The Aranzazu mine, located in Mexico, has significant mineral resources and reserves, with a planned life of mine of 10 years and an average annual production of 61.2 thousand ounces of gold. The Almas project in Brazil, which began commercial production in 2023, produced 54,003 ounces of gold in 2024, highlighting Aura’s ongoing expansion and operational progress.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aura Minerals Begins Production Ramp-Up at Borborema Mine, Setting New ESG Standards
Positive
Mar 28, 2025

Aura Minerals has successfully commenced the production ramp-up at its Borborema Mine in Brazil, with expectations to reach commercial production by Q3 2025. The Borborema Mine is anticipated to become a key asset for Aura, showcasing strong economic fundamentals with a high internal rate of return and significant potential for reserve growth. The project highlights Aura’s commitment to efficient and responsible mining, setting an ESG benchmark with innovations like using grey water and renewable energy. The mine is expected to contribute significantly to regional development, employing a large workforce from the local community.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aura Minerals Renews Share Buyback Programs to Enhance Shareholder Value
Positive
Mar 24, 2025

Aura Minerals has announced the renewal of its normal course issuer bid (NCIB) for common shares on the Toronto Stock Exchange and its buyback program for Brazilian depositary receipts (BDRs) on the B3 exchange. This move highlights the company’s commitment to enhancing shareholder value and optimizing its capital structure. The NCIB allows Aura to repurchase up to 2,694,168 common shares, while the BDR buyback program permits the purchase of up to 8,082,504 BDRs, representing 10% of the public float. These initiatives are seen as a strategic use of funds, reinforcing Aura’s market position and potentially benefiting stakeholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.