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Sandstorm Gold (TSE:SSL)
TSX:SSL
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Sandstorm Gold (SSL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:SSL

Sandstorm Gold

(TSX:SSL)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$16.00
▲(4.30% Upside)
Sandstorm Gold's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors contributing to its overall score. The company's robust revenue growth, profitability, and strategic initiatives support a positive outlook. Technical analysis also indicates bullish momentum. However, the high P/E ratio suggests caution in terms of valuation.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Sandstorm Gold recognized record total revenue of $50.1M, driven by a significant increase in the average realized gold price per ounce.
Market Demand
Current spot prices for gold, silver, and copper significantly exceed even the revised commodity price deck, indicating robust demand and growth potential.
Shareholder Value
The transaction offers immediate and significant value to Sandstorm shareholders while maintaining their exposure to SAND's asset base through their ownership in Royal Gold.
Negative Factors
Debt Management
Sandstorm Gold has continued to deleverage its bank debt, paying off $15.0M in net debt repayments.
Valuation Concerns
The implied $3.5B valuation of the transaction appears to provide fair value for Sandstorm’s portfolio.

Sandstorm Gold (SSL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Sandstorm Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSandstorm Gold Ltd. is a gold-focused resource company that provides financing to mining companies through the purchase of gold and other precious metals produced by those companies. The company primarily operates in the mining sector, focusing on acquiring and managing a portfolio of gold royalties, which entitles it to receive a percentage of the production or revenue generated from various mines worldwide. Sandstorm's core product offerings include streaming agreements and royalty agreements, which serve as alternative financing solutions for mining operators while allowing Sandstorm to gain exposure to precious metal prices.
How the Company Makes MoneySandstorm Gold generates revenue primarily through its streaming and royalty agreements with mining companies. Under these agreements, Sandstorm pays an upfront cash payment to mining operators in exchange for the right to purchase a portion of the gold produced at a predetermined price, or to receive a percentage of the revenue from the sale of gold and other metals. This model allows Sandstorm to benefit from rising metal prices while limiting its exposure to the operational risks associated with mining. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold and metals acquired through its agreements, as well as income from long-term contracts with various mining partners. The company's strategic partnerships and investments in various operating mines globally further enhance its revenue potential, allowing it to capitalize on diverse mining operations.

Sandstorm Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights a strong financial quarter for Sandstorm, with record revenue, significant net income growth, and positive progress on key projects and transactions. However, there were challenges such as a decrease in gold equivalent ounces and lower recoveries at Chapada. Overall, the positive elements significantly outweigh the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Cash Flow
Sandstorm Gold recognized very strong cash flow with over $38 million of operating cash flow in Q2.
Positive Transaction Outlook
The acquisition of Sandstorm by Royal Gold has received a positive response from shareholders, anticipating no challenges in securing required votes.
Record Revenue and Operating Margin
Sandstorm delivered a record quarter in terms of revenue and operating margin with total revenue of $51.4 million, a 24% increase compared to the same period last year.
Significant Net Income Growth
The company ended the quarter with a net income of $16.9 million, a 61% increase year-over-year.
Successful Debt Reduction
The company made net debt repayments of $25 million during the quarter, supporting their deleveraging efforts.
Improved Production Forecast
Full-year production is forecasted to be between 65,000 and 80,000 gold equivalent ounces, with expectations of increased production in the second half of the year.
Exploration and Development Success
Projects like Equinox's Greenstone and Lundin Gold's Fruta del Norte showed strong exploration and ramp-up progress, indicating future growth.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Attributable Gold Equivalent Ounces
Sandstorm sold approximately 15,100 attributable gold equivalent ounces in Q2, a decrease year-over-year, due to outperformance of gold reducing conversion of copper and silver streams.
Lower Recoveries at Chapada
Production in the second quarter was impacted by lower recoveries due to increased processing of lower-grade stockpiles.
Processing Performance Below Ideal
Equinox acknowledged that year-to-date processing performance at Greenstone is still below the ideal plan, despite positive trends.
Company Guidance
During the Sandstorm Gold 2025 Second Quarter Results Conference Call, the company provided extensive guidance on its recent performance and strategic initiatives. Sandstorm reported a record quarterly revenue of $51.4 million, a 24% increase year-over-year, driven by strong realized gold prices averaging over $3,300 per ounce. Although the company sold approximately 15,100 attributable gold equivalent ounces, a decrease from the previous year due to the relative outperformance of gold, robust gold prices compensated for the lower volumes, resulting in record cash operating margins of $2,981 per ounce. Sandstorm's operating cash flow was $37.7 million, supporting a net debt repayment of $25 million, and net income rose by 61% to $16.9 million. The company reiterated its full-year production forecast of 65,000 to 80,000 gold equivalent ounces. The proposed acquisition by Royal Gold was discussed, highlighting increased diversification, with the top 10 assets now representing only 61% of net asset value post-acquisition. The transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025. Additionally, Sandstorm provided updates on various projects, including Greenstone, which showed a 15% increase in gold production quarter-over-quarter, and the Platreef project, scheduled to commence ore processing in Q4 2025.

Sandstorm Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sandstorm Gold demonstrates a solid financial position with strong revenue growth and profitability metrics. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with manageable leverage and a robust cash flow profile. While net profit margins could improve, the overall financial health is positive, positioning the company well for future growth in the gold industry.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Sandstorm Gold has shown a consistent revenue growth trajectory, with a 5.48% increase in the TTM period. The company maintains strong profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 57.03% and an EBIT margin of 43.28%. However, the net profit margin is relatively lower at 15.80%, indicating some pressure on net earnings. Overall, the income statement reflects a solid performance with room for improvement in net profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Sandstorm Gold is stable, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, indicating prudent leverage management. The return on equity is modest at 2.03%, suggesting potential for improved efficiency in generating returns on shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, reflecting a strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals robust cash generation capabilities, with a free cash flow growth rate of 6.68% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 7.72, highlighting efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.93 indicates effective cash management, supporting future growth and stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue193.59M176.28M179.64M148.73M114.86M93.03M
Gross Profit115.58M95.98M82.62M65.59M62.31M45.85M
EBITDA145.32M126.87M162.35M102.19M83.17M59.99M
Net Income34.42M14.29M41.72M78.36M27.62M13.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.83B1.85B1.93B1.97B620.86M649.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.77M11.29M33.40M10.80M21.17M115.63M
Total Debt315.00M355.00M435.00M499.55M2.58M2.87M
Total Liabilities376.30M400.84M477.44M533.37M28.22M11.78M
Stockholders Equity1.43B1.43B1.43B1.41B592.64M638.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow143.00M122.38M131.81M-513.87M-71.56M62.14M
Operating Cash Flow147.85M135.38M152.75M106.92M81.14M65.62M
Investing Cash Flow8.00M10.94M-22.18M-612.67M-143.91M33.68M
Financing Cash Flow-153.88M-146.74M-131.93M497.56M-34.22M7.69M

Sandstorm Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.34
Price Trends
50DMA
13.65
Positive
100DMA
12.76
Positive
200DMA
10.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.50
Negative
RSI
68.39
Neutral
STOCH
78.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SSL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.57, above the 50-day MA of 13.65, and above the 200-day MA of 10.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SSL.

Sandstorm Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$102.10M22.285.89%33.96%38.35%
76
Outperform
C$681.49M5.8227.51%41.20%77.86%
75
Outperform
$4.50B93.942.41%0.52%17.31%19.28%
72
Outperform
C$498.90M77.482.53%131.19%
61
Neutral
$10.24B6.180.71%2.90%3.45%-36.02%
$6.04B76.666.27%0.60%
41
Neutral
C$522.22M-14.43%12.46%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SSL
Sandstorm Gold
15.65
8.24
111.26%
TSE:ELE
Elemental Royalties
2.08
1.04
100.00%
TSE:OGN
Orogen Royalties
1.76
0.89
102.30%
TSE:ORE
Orezone Gold
1.16
0.46
65.71%
OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
32.50
16.14
98.66%
TSE:AMRQ
AEX Gold
1.25
0.21
20.19%

Sandstorm Gold Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Sandstorm Gold Royalties Backs Royal Gold’s Kansanshi Acquisition
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

Sandstorm Gold Royalties supports Royal Gold Inc.’s acquisition of a gold stream on the Kansanshi copper-gold mine in Zambia for $1 billion. This acquisition is expected to enhance Sandstorm’s portfolio by adding 35,000 to 40,000 ounces of gold per year over the next decade, benefiting shareholders through exposure to larger acquisitions and cash-flowing streams from long-life mines.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SSL) stock is a Hold with a C$13.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandstorm Gold stock, see the TSE:SSL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sandstorm Gold Royalties Achieves Record Revenue in Q2 2025
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

Sandstorm Gold Royalties reported record preliminary revenue of $51.4 million for the second quarter of 2025, selling approximately 15,100 attributable gold equivalent ounces. This marks a significant increase from the previous year, highlighting the company’s strong operational performance and improved cash operating margins. The company’s financial results will be released on August 7, 2025, with a conference call scheduled for the following day to discuss the details. This announcement underscores Sandstorm’s robust position in the precious metals market and its ability to generate substantial cash flow, which is crucial for stakeholders and investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SSL) stock is a Buy with a C$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandstorm Gold stock, see the TSE:SSL Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Sandstorm Gold Royalties Announces 2025 Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

Sandstorm Gold Royalties has announced a quarterly cash dividend of C$0.02 per common share for 2025, to be paid on July 25, 2025, to shareholders of record as of July 15, 2025. The dividend is classified as an ‘eligible dividend’ under Canadian tax law. While the company plans to review its dividend program regularly, future dividends will depend on various factors, including financial position and market conditions. This announcement reflects Sandstorm’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders while maintaining flexibility in its financial strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SSL) stock is a Buy with a C$10.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandstorm Gold stock, see the TSE:SSL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Sandstorm Gold Royalties Reports Major Exploration Advances
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

Sandstorm Gold Royalties announced significant exploration developments within its portfolio, highlighting a new gold-silver discovery by First Majestic Silver Corp. at the Santa Elena property in Mexico. This discovery, known as the Santo Niño vein, adds substantial potential to the Santa Elena district, where Sandstorm holds a gold stream. Additionally, Lundin Gold Ltd. has expanded its drilling program at the Fruta del Norte mine in Ecuador, aiming to enhance the mine’s long-term plan with promising high-grade results. These developments underscore Sandstorm’s strategic positioning in the mining sector, enhancing its growth prospects and potential returns for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SSL) stock is a Buy with a C$10.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandstorm Gold stock, see the TSE:SSL Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Sandstorm Gold Receives Favorable Proxy Advisor Recommendations for Shareholder Meeting
Positive
May 16, 2025

Sandstorm Gold Royalties announced that Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. (ISS) and Glass, Lewis & Co. LLC have recommended that shareholders vote in favor of all management proposals at the upcoming Annual General and Special Meeting. This includes proposals related to amendments to the company’s share-based compensation program. The favorable recommendations from these leading proxy advisors are expected to positively impact the company’s governance and shareholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SSL) stock is a Buy with a C$10.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandstorm Gold stock, see the TSE:SSL Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sandstorm Gold Clarifies Shareholder Meeting Amendments Amid ISS Misinterpretation
Neutral
May 13, 2025

Sandstorm Gold Royalties has issued clarifying amendments to its 2025 shareholder meeting materials following a misinterpretation by Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. (ISS) regarding the company’s share-based compensation program. The amendments aim to ensure accurate interpretation of the proposed changes and align executive compensation with shareholder interests. The Toronto Stock Exchange and the company’s Board of Directors have approved these amendments, which set a fixed maximum limit of 6.0% for share issuances under the Share Plans, countering ISS’s recommendation against the proposals.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SSL) stock is a Buy with a C$10.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandstorm Gold stock, see the TSE:SSL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025