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Sandstorm Gold (TSE:SSL)
TSX:SSL

Sandstorm Gold (SSL) AI Stock Analysis

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Sandstorm Gold

(TSX:SSL)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$13.50
▲( 11.29% Upside)
Sandstorm Gold's overall score reflects strong financial performance, supported by robust profitability and cash flow management. Technical indicators show positive momentum, although high valuation points to potential overvaluation. Recent earnings call and corporate events provide a positive outlook with record revenue and strategic initiatives. However, challenges in production and high P/E ratio warrant cautious optimism.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
The company has repurchased 3.1M common shares, which has increased its NAV per share and improved its valuation.
Growth Potential
Sandstorm increased its long-term production forecast to ~150koz GEOs in 2030, indicating strong future growth potential.
Revenue
Sandstorm Gold recognized record total revenue of $50.1M, driven by a significant increase in the average realized gold price per ounce.
Negative Factors
Earnings
Sandstorm reported Q4/24 adjusted EPS that was a bit below consensus and estimate.
Leverage
For some investors, Sandstorm’s near-term elevated leverage and recent announcements potentially impacting its growth profile.
Production
The slight revenue decline is primarily due to lower attributable Gold Equivalent Ounces (GEOs) sold, though this effect was partially offset by a 23% YoY increase in the average gold price.

Sandstorm Gold (SSL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Sandstorm Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSandstorm Gold Ltd. is a gold streaming and royalty company headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. Operating within the mining sector, Sandstorm Gold focuses on acquiring gold and other precious metal purchase agreements, known as streams, as well as royalty agreements from companies that have advanced stage development projects or operating mines. These agreements provide Sandstorm Gold with the right to purchase a percentage of gold production or revenue from these mines at a fixed price, offering a diversified and less risky exposure to the gold market.
How the Company Makes MoneySandstorm Gold generates revenue primarily through its streaming and royalty agreements. In a streaming agreement, Sandstorm pays upfront to mining companies for the right to purchase a certain percentage of the gold or other metals produced by the mine at a predetermined price, which is typically below the market rate. This allows Sandstorm to benefit from the difference between the market price and the purchase price. Royalties, on the other hand, provide Sandstorm with a percentage of revenue or production from a mine, without the need to purchase the physical product. These revenue streams are typically long-term and provide Sandstorm with consistent cash flow. The company's earnings are also influenced by the price of gold and other precious metals, the production levels of the mines they have agreements with, and any new streaming and royalty agreements they enter into. Strategic partnerships with mining companies and a diverse portfolio of agreements are significant factors that contribute to Sandstorm's earnings.

Sandstorm Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sandstorm Gold's financial statements exhibit strong profitability, stability, and cash flow management. The company is efficiently managing operations with high margins and consistent revenue growth. While the balance sheet is stable, there is potential for improving asset utilization and enhancing returns on equity. The cash flow statements highlight solid free cash flow growth and efficient cash conversion, underpinning the company's financial health. Overall, Sandstorm Gold is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities within the gold industry.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Sandstorm Gold demonstrates strong profitability with a solid gross profit margin of 57.04% and a net profit margin of 15.80% in the TTM. The company has shown a consistent revenue growth trajectory, with a revenue increase of 4.11% in the TTM compared to the previous year. The EBIT margin of 51.65% and EBITDA margin of 72.00% further underscore the company's operational efficiency. However, the slight deceleration in revenue growth compared to prior years indicates potential market challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a healthy equity ratio of 77.21%, reflecting a strong equity position. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.24, indicating manageable leverage. ROE stands at 2.06% in the TTM, which could be improved to enhance shareholder returns. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability but highlights room for optimization in asset utilization.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Sandstorm Gold showcases a robust cash flow position with a significant operating cash flow to net income ratio of 4.96, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 4.62, suggesting effective free cash flow management. The company has achieved a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 9.56% in the TTM, reflecting strong cash flow generation capabilities. The overall cash flow performance is commendable with sustainable growth.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
183.54M176.28M179.64M148.73M114.86M93.03M
Gross Profit
104.68M95.98M150.81M65.59M62.31M45.85M
EBIT
94.79M71.03M136.43M41.95M43.81M31.77M
EBITDA
132.16M126.87M162.35M102.19M83.17M59.99M
Net Income Common Stockholders
28.99M14.29M41.72M78.36M27.62M13.82M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
11.70M11.29M33.40M10.80M21.17M115.63M
Total Assets
1.82B1.85B1.93B1.97B620.86M649.92M
Total Debt
340.00M355.00M435.00M499.55M2.58M2.87M
Net Debt
336.48M350.61M430.00M492.52M-13.59M-110.91M
Total Liabilities
391.82M400.84M477.44M533.37M28.22M11.78M
Stockholders Equity
1.41B1.43B1.43B1.41B592.64M638.14M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
134.04M122.38M131.81M-513.87M-71.56M62.14M
Operating Cash Flow
143.71M135.38M152.75M106.92M81.14M65.62M
Investing Cash Flow
14.63M10.94M-22.18M-612.67M-143.91M33.68M
Financing Cash Flow
-157.78M-146.74M-131.93M497.56M-34.22M7.69M

Sandstorm Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.13
Price Trends
50DMA
10.91
Positive
100DMA
9.74
Positive
200DMA
8.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Positive
RSI
60.94
Neutral
STOCH
59.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SSL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.72, above the 50-day MA of 10.91, and above the 200-day MA of 8.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SSL.

Sandstorm Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSOGN
79
Outperform
C$365.23M122.484.61%19.40%-6.88%
TSOR
74
Outperform
$6.12B139.032.50%0.79%12.78%
TSSSL
73
Outperform
$3.37B84.092.05%0.68%6.23%36.40%
TSORE
73
Outperform
C$567.86M5.7625.43%22.51%56.77%
TSELE
72
Outperform
C$346.53M116.102.36%109.11%
50
Neutral
$2.00B-1.02-21.34%3.70%2.00%-30.65%
41
Neutral
C$1.16B-11.37%-2270.97%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SSL
Sandstorm Gold
12.13
4.30
54.98%
TSE:OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
34.61
12.76
58.37%
TSE:ORE
Orezone Gold
1.08
0.34
45.95%
TSE:OGN
Orogen Royalties
1.82
0.50
37.88%
TSE:ELE
Elemental Royalties
1.38
0.18
15.00%
TSE:AMRQ
AEX Gold
1.70
0.47
38.21%

Sandstorm Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.66%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a record-breaking quarter in terms of revenue and strong operational performance, including strategic capital allocation and successful exploration initiatives. However, there were challenges related to decreased gold equivalent ounces and certain production setbacks.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Sandstorm Gold reported a record quarterly revenue of US$50 million, with operating cash flow over US$40 million.
Significant Capital Allocation to Key Projects
SSR announced up to $100 million in 2025 for Hod Maden CapEx, and Glencore CEO anticipated RIGI applications for the MARA project to be submitted shortly.
Share Repurchase and Debt Reduction
Purchased over 3 million shares at an average price of US$6.21 per share and canceled them. Debt reduced to $328 million with ongoing repayments.
Strong Cash Operating Margins
Achieved average cash margins of over $2,500 per gold equivalent ounce for approximately 87% cash margins.
Exploration and Expansion Success
Sandstorm's partners have replaced mined gold equivalent ounces every year, with a 30% surplus on average over the last seven years.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Gold Equivalent Ounces Sold
Production was just shy of 18,500 attributable gold equivalent ounces, below the 20,300 ounces sold in the first quarter of last year.
Challenges with Attributable Gold Sales
Attributable Gold sales at Bonikro were lower year-over-year due to atypical inventories at the end of 2023.
Company Guidance
During Sandstorm Gold's 2025 Q1 earnings call, the company reported record quarterly revenue of US$50.1 million and operating cash flow of over US$40 million, driven by a strong gold market. The company also highlighted a payment of $4 million from the Vatukoula Gold Stream, resulting in total sales royalties and income from other interests of $54.1 million. Production was just shy of 18,500 attributable gold equivalent ounces, a decrease from the previous year's 20,300 ounces. Sandstorm's portfolio generated average cash margins of over $2,500 per gold equivalent ounce, leading to approximately 87% cash margins. The company repurchased over 3 million shares at an average price of US$6.21 each, returning over US$23 million to shareholders, equating to 57% of operating cash flows. Additionally, Sandstorm reduced its debt by $27 million, ending the quarter with $328 million drawn from its revolving credit facility. The guidance for 2025 remains at 65,000 to 80,000 attributable gold equivalent ounces, with long-term expectations to reach 150,000 ounces by 2030.

Sandstorm Gold Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Sandstorm Gold Receives Favorable Proxy Advisor Recommendations for Shareholder Meeting
Positive
May 16, 2025

Sandstorm Gold Royalties announced that Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. (ISS) and Glass, Lewis & Co. LLC have recommended that shareholders vote in favor of all management proposals at the upcoming Annual General and Special Meeting. This includes proposals related to amendments to the company’s share-based compensation program. The favorable recommendations from these leading proxy advisors are expected to positively impact the company’s governance and shareholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SSL) stock is a Buy with a C$10.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandstorm Gold stock, see the TSE:SSL Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sandstorm Gold Clarifies Shareholder Meeting Amendments Amid ISS Misinterpretation
Neutral
May 13, 2025

Sandstorm Gold Royalties has issued clarifying amendments to its 2025 shareholder meeting materials following a misinterpretation by Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. (ISS) regarding the company’s share-based compensation program. The amendments aim to ensure accurate interpretation of the proposed changes and align executive compensation with shareholder interests. The Toronto Stock Exchange and the company’s Board of Directors have approved these amendments, which set a fixed maximum limit of 6.0% for share issuances under the Share Plans, countering ISS’s recommendation against the proposals.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SSL) stock is a Buy with a C$10.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sandstorm Gold stock, see the TSE:SSL Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sandstorm Gold Achieves Record Revenue and Strategic Share Buybacks in Q1 2025
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

Sandstorm Gold Royalties reported a strong first quarter in 2025, with record preliminary revenue of $50.1 million and total sales, royalties, and income from other interests reaching $54.1 million. The company also executed $19 million in share buybacks, reflecting its strategic capital allocation approach to enhance shareholder value. The company plans to continue assessing its capital allocation strategy, focusing on further share purchases and debt repayment depending on market conditions. This financial performance underscores Sandstorm’s robust positioning in the precious metals industry and its commitment to maximizing shareholder returns.

Business Operations and Strategy
Sandstorm Gold Royalties Announces Key Developments in Mining Portfolio
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

Sandstorm Gold Royalties has announced significant developments in its portfolio, highlighting Erdene Resource Development Corp.’s progress in the Bayan Khundii gold project in Mongolia, which is expected to commence gold production by mid-2025. Additionally, Lundin Gold Ltd. reported high-grade gold intercepts and new copper-gold mineralization at the Fruta del Norte mine in Ecuador, indicating potential for expanded resource estimates and increased production capabilities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sandstorm Gold Royalties Reports Significant Portfolio Growth
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

Sandstorm Gold Royalties has announced significant updates to its portfolio, particularly highlighting the growth in Mineral Reserves and Resources at the Fruta del Norte mine in Ecuador. The mine, operated by Lundin Gold, has achieved its largest reserve and resource estimate to date, with a 59% increase in Inferred Resources. This expansion is expected to positively impact Sandstorm’s financials, as the company holds a 0.9% net smelter returns royalty on the precious metals produced at the site.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.