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Sandstorm Gold (TSE:SSL)
TSX:SSL

Sandstorm Gold (SSL) AI Stock Analysis

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Sandstorm Gold

(TSX:SSL)

68Neutral
Sandstorm Gold exhibits strong operational efficiency and promising growth prospects, balanced by stagnant revenue and high leverage. Technical indicators point to upward momentum, but the high valuation requires cautious optimism. Recent corporate developments, including share buybacks and portfolio growth, add a positive outlook for future performance.
Positive Factors
Diversification
Sandstorm stands out as a significantly diversified mid-cap royalty/streaming company with an organic growth profile, and trading at a discount.
Growth Potential
Sandstorm increased its long-term production forecast to ~150koz GEOs, indicating strong future growth potential.
Share Repurchases
Sandstorm remains active on its NCIB, and with the company signaling an increasing rate of share repurchases.
Negative Factors
Earnings Performance
Sandstorm reported Q4/24 adjusted EPS that was a bit below consensus and estimate.
Near-Term Leverage
For some investors, Sandstorm’s near-term elevated leverage and recent announcements potentially impact its growth profile.
Operational Costs
SAND's average cash cost grew 39% YoY to $305/GEO, indicating rising operational costs.

Sandstorm Gold (SSL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Sandstorm Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSandstorm Gold Ltd. operates as a gold royalty company. The company focuses on acquiring royalties and gold and other metals purchase agreements (streams) from companies that have advanced stage development projects or operating mines. It offers upfront payments for companies to acquire a stream or royalty and receives the right to purchase a percentage of a mine's production for the life of the mine at a fixed price per unit or at a fixed percentage of the spot price. The company has a portfolio of 230 streams and royalties. It primarily has operations in Canada, Mexico, the United States, Mongolia, Burkina Faso, Ecuador, South Africa, Ghana, Botswana, Cote D'Ivoire, Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Peru, Egypt, Ethiopia, Guyana, Paraguay, French Guiana, Turkey, Sweden, Fiji, and Australia. The company was formerly known as Sandstorm Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Sandstorm Gold Ltd. in February 2011. Sandstorm Gold Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneySandstorm Gold generates revenue primarily through its streaming and royalty agreements. In a streaming agreement, Sandstorm pays upfront to mining companies for the right to purchase a certain percentage of the gold or other metals produced by the mine at a predetermined price, which is typically below the market rate. This allows Sandstorm to benefit from the difference between the market price and the purchase price. Royalties, on the other hand, provide Sandstorm with a percentage of revenue or production from a mine, without the need to purchase the physical product. These revenue streams are typically long-term and provide Sandstorm with consistent cash flow. The company's earnings are also influenced by the price of gold and other precious metals, the production levels of the mines they have agreements with, and any new streaming and royalty agreements they enter into. Strategic partnerships with mining companies and a diverse portfolio of agreements are significant factors that contribute to Sandstorm's earnings.

Sandstorm Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sandstorm Gold exhibits strong profitability and cash flow metrics, underpinned by a solid balance sheet structure. The company maintains a high equity ratio and a healthy debt profile, ensuring stability. Despite a slight decline in revenue, the overall financial health remains robust, with excellent cash flow conversion and profitability margins.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company shows strong profitability with a substantial Gross Profit Margin of 51% and an EBIT Margin of 45.8% for TTM. However, there is a slight decrease in Total Revenue from last year's annual report, indicating a negative revenue growth rate. The Net Profit Margin is healthy at 20.4%, enhancing its profitability outlook.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Sandstorm Gold has a strong Equity Ratio of 76.2%, indicating high financial stability. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is manageable at 0.26, reflecting a conservative capital structure. Return on Equity stands at 2.5%, which is relatively low, suggesting limited efficiency in generating returns on shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company demonstrates robust cash flow generation with a Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 3.44, highlighting substantial cash conversion. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is impressive at 3.89, indicating strong cash flow relative to earnings. However, Free Cash Flow Growth is slightly negative, requiring attention.
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
179.64M148.73M114.86M93.03M89.43M
Gross Profit
150.81M65.59M62.31M45.85M33.30M
EBIT
136.43M41.95M43.81M31.77M19.80M
EBITDA
162.35M102.19M83.17M59.99M56.31M
Net Income Common Stockholders
41.72M78.36M27.62M13.82M16.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
33.40M10.80M21.17M115.63M17.77M
Total Assets
1.93B1.97B620.86M649.92M623.17M
Total Debt
435.00M499.55M2.58M2.87M48.41M
Net Debt
430.00M492.52M-13.59M-110.91M41.44M
Total Liabilities
477.44M533.37M28.22M11.78M52.28M
Stockholders Equity
1.43B1.41B592.64M638.14M570.90M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
131.81M-513.87M-71.56M62.14M-3.95M
Operating Cash Flow
152.75M106.92M81.14M65.62M57.34M
Investing Cash Flow
-22.18M-612.67M-143.91M33.68M-65.03M
Financing Cash Flow
-131.93M497.56M-34.22M7.69M8.75M

Sandstorm Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.78
Price Trends
50DMA
9.96
Positive
100DMA
9.09
Positive
200DMA
8.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.52
Negative
RSI
68.12
Neutral
STOCH
68.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SSL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.97, above the 50-day MA of 9.96, and above the 200-day MA of 8.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SSL.

Sandstorm Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSWDO
78
Outperform
C$2.53B18.6227.15%67.54%
TSSSL
68
Neutral
$3.23B167.171.00%0.68%-0.35%-65.11%
49
Neutral
$1.96B-1.54-21.88%3.78%0.55%-26.98%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SSL
Sandstorm Gold
11.78
4.33
58.12%
AEM
Agnico Eagle
119.02
56.91
91.63%
FNV
Franco-Nevada
170.85
51.83
43.55%
TSE:WDO
Wesdome Gold Mines
16.97
6.67
64.76%
OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
23.64
8.41
55.22%

Sandstorm Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 28.84%|
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call for Sandstorm Gold Royalties presented a mixed picture. The company showcased strong revenue and cash flow, strategic debt reduction, and promising long-term growth prospects. However, challenges such as missing internal production targets, declining gold equivalent ounces, and stream-related issues were also highlighted. Despite these challenges, the company demonstrated a strategic approach to managing its balance sheet and capital allocation, including a focus on share buybacks.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Revenue and Operating Cash Flow
Sandstorm Gold Royalties reported strong Q4 revenue of $47 million and operating cash flow of $36 million, driven by gold equivalent production of 17,721 ounces.
Strategic Guidance and Long-Term Outlook
The company provided conservative guidance for 2025 of 65,000 to 80,000 ounces to maintain credibility and anticipate potential market fluctuations. Long-term production is expected to increase to over 150,000 gold equivalent ounces per year over the next five years.
Debt Reduction and Balance Sheet Improvement
Sandstorm reduced its debt from $640 million to $340 million, with expectations to drop below $300 million by the end of Q3 2025. The company has a strong balance sheet and plans to prioritize share buybacks.
Record Margins and Cash Flows
Cash operating margins were approximately $2,100 per ounce, with cash flows from operating activities totaling $139 million in 2024.
Positive Progress on Growth Projects
Greenstone mine began production, contributing approximately 2,000 gold ounces in 2024. Production is expected to increase to 8,000 to 10,000 ounces per year. Other growth projects like MARA and Gualcamayo are on track for future contributions.
Negative Updates
Missed Internal GEO Production Targets
Sandstorm missed its internal gold equivalent ounce production targets by 10,700 ounces in 2024, primarily due to soaring gold prices affecting silver and copper revenue conversions.
Decline in Attributable Gold Equivalent Ounces
There was a drop in attributable gold equivalent ounces sold from 97,000 ounces in 2023 to approximately 73,000 ounces in 2024.
Challenges with Vatukoula Stream
The Vatukoula stream faced non-performance issues, leading to a $14 million buyout option being pursued. The situation indicated operational insolvency at the mining level.
Bear Creek and America's Gold and Silver Issues
Bear Creek remains a concern due to potential financial instability, whereas America's Gold and Silver has recently stabilized with new management and capital.
Company Guidance
In the Sandstorm Gold Royalties' Annual 2024 Fourth Quarter Results Conference call, Nolan Watson, the CEO, provided guidance for 2025, highlighting several key metrics and strategic decisions. The company reported a strong Q4 with revenue of $47 million and operating cash flow of $36 million, driven by gold equivalent production of 17,721 ounces. Despite missing the 2024 internal gold equivalent ounces (GEO) production target by 10,700 ounces due to soaring gold prices, the company emphasized its conservative 2025 guidance of 65,000 to 80,000 ounces to avoid similar misses. With a strong balance sheet and reduced debt expected to fall below $300 million by mid-2025, Sandstorm plans to prioritize share buybacks, leveraging its cash flow and undervalued shares. The long-term outlook includes production growth to over 150,000 GEOs per year within the next five years, driven by projects like Greenstone, Platreef, and the MARA mine. This growth is expected to significantly increase cash flows, potentially reaching $260 million annually by 2030 at $2,600 gold prices.

Sandstorm Gold Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sandstorm Gold Achieves Record Revenue and Strategic Share Buybacks in Q1 2025
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

Sandstorm Gold Royalties reported a strong first quarter in 2025, with record preliminary revenue of $50.1 million and total sales, royalties, and income from other interests reaching $54.1 million. The company also executed $19 million in share buybacks, reflecting its strategic capital allocation approach to enhance shareholder value. The company plans to continue assessing its capital allocation strategy, focusing on further share purchases and debt repayment depending on market conditions. This financial performance underscores Sandstorm’s robust positioning in the precious metals industry and its commitment to maximizing shareholder returns.

Spark’s Take on TSE:SSL Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:SSL is a Outperform.

Sandstorm Gold’s strong operational efficiency and promising long-term growth prospects are balanced by concerns over stagnant revenue growth and high leverage. The stock’s upward trend provides some optimism, but its high valuation necessitates cautious optimism. Recent corporate developments add a positive outlook for future growth.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:SSL stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
Sandstorm Gold Royalties Announces Key Developments in Mining Portfolio
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

Sandstorm Gold Royalties has announced significant developments in its portfolio, highlighting Erdene Resource Development Corp.’s progress in the Bayan Khundii gold project in Mongolia, which is expected to commence gold production by mid-2025. Additionally, Lundin Gold Ltd. reported high-grade gold intercepts and new copper-gold mineralization at the Fruta del Norte mine in Ecuador, indicating potential for expanded resource estimates and increased production capabilities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sandstorm Gold Royalties Reports Significant Portfolio Growth
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

Sandstorm Gold Royalties has announced significant updates to its portfolio, particularly highlighting the growth in Mineral Reserves and Resources at the Fruta del Norte mine in Ecuador. The mine, operated by Lundin Gold, has achieved its largest reserve and resource estimate to date, with a 59% increase in Inferred Resources. This expansion is expected to positively impact Sandstorm’s financials, as the company holds a 0.9% net smelter returns royalty on the precious metals produced at the site.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.