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Orezone Gold (TSE:ORE)
TSX:ORE

Orezone Gold (ORE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ORE

Orezone Gold

(TSX:ORE)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$2.00
▲(22.70% Upside)
Orezone Gold's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and technical indicators, suggesting a positive outlook. The company's valuation is attractive, and despite some operational challenges, the future production increase and reduced volatility are promising. Attention to cash flow management is crucial for sustained growth.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a strong market position and effective execution of business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Production Expansion
Completion of Stage 1 expansion sets the stage for increased production capacity, enhancing revenue potential and operational efficiency.
Strong Financial Position
A robust financial position with significant cash reserves provides flexibility for future investments and cushions against market volatility.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow growth can constrain the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and may impact long-term financial stability.
Increased Costs
Rising costs can pressure profit margins and reduce competitiveness, potentially impacting the company's long-term profitability.
Operational Delays
Weather-related operational delays can disrupt production schedules, affecting revenue and increasing operational risk over time.

Orezone Gold (ORE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Orezone Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrezone Gold Corporation engages in the exploration and development of gold properties. Its flagship property is the 90%-owned Bomboré gold project comprising a block of contiguous permits covering an area of 15,029 ha located in Burkina Faso, West Africa. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrezone Gold generates revenue primarily through the exploration, development, and potential production of gold from its mining projects. The key revenue stream is anticipated to come from the sale of gold once the Bomboré Gold Project reaches commercial production. This will involve extracting gold ore, processing it at their facilities, and selling the refined gold on the open market. The company may also engage in partnerships with other mining firms or enter joint ventures to enhance its operational capabilities and reduce financial risk. Additionally, Orezone may benefit from favorable gold prices, which can significantly impact its earnings. The company's strategic focus on optimizing production efficiency and managing costs will also contribute to its profitability.

Orezone Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted strong financial performance and confidence in meeting production targets, with successful project expansions and a positive outlook for future growth. However, there were challenges with increased costs and operational delays due to weather, as well as uncertainties around the Stage 2 schedule.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
On Track to Meet 2025 Gold Production Guidance
Gold production for Q3 was 23,371 ounces, on track to meet the 2025 guidance of 115,000 to 130,000 ounces.
Strong Financial Position
The company reported a very strong financial position with cash and bullion at the end of the quarter at $104.2 million and undrawn senior debt of $11.1 million.
Hard Rock Expansion on Schedule and Under Budget
The hard rock expansion is on schedule and slightly under budget, with first gold expected in early December.
Improved Grid Utilization
Grid utilization improved to 88% in Q3, a significant improvement from 50% in Q2, helping to reduce processing costs.
Positive Outlook for 2026
Q1 2026 is expected to be a major free cash flow inflection point with production expected to increase approximately 45% with the start-up of Phase 1 hard rock.
Stage 1 Hard Rock Expansion Complete
Stage 1 major CapEx is now essentially complete, with production anticipated to reach 170,000 to 185,000 ounces by 2026.
Negative Updates
Lower-than-Planned Gold Production
Q3 gold production was lower than planned due to a delayed export and sale of a quarter-end gold shipment into early October.
Increased All-In Sustaining Costs
All-in sustaining costs guidance revised to $1,700 to $1,800 per ounce from the original $1,400 to $1,500, impacted by higher government royalties and a stronger XOF currency.
Operational Delays Due to Weather
Longer-than-average rainfall delayed access to higher-grade zones, impacting feed grades to the mill.
Potential Schedule Impact for Stage 2
Ongoing WAF negotiations may affect the schedule for Stage 2, with no resolution yet in sight.
Company Guidance
During the Orezone Third Quarter 2025 Results Webcast and Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance and performance metrics. Orezone reported gold production of 23,371 ounces for the third quarter, despite challenges posed by weather events impacting operations. The company is on track to meet its 2025 guidance of 115,000 to 130,000 ounces of gold production. Gold sales for the quarter were 20,350 ounces at an average realized price of $3,375 per ounce, generating $68.9 million in revenue. All-in sustaining costs were higher than anticipated at $1,958 per ounce, influenced by external factors such as government royalties and foreign exchange impacts. Orezone's financial position remains robust, with cash and bullion totaling $104.2 million and undrawn senior debt of $11.1 million at the end of Q3. The company has revised its all-in sustaining cost guidance to $1,700 to $1,800, up from the previous $1,400 to $1,500 range. Looking forward, Orezone anticipates a significant increase in production in 2026, with expectations of 170,000 to 185,000 ounces due to the transition to hard rock mining, which will also reduce production volatility caused by seasonal weather patterns.

Orezone Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orezone Gold demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient operations and improved financial stability. However, challenges remain in cash flow management, particularly in generating free cash flow. Continued focus on optimizing cash flow and maintaining leverage will be crucial for sustaining growth and financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Orezone Gold has shown strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 11.99%. The company maintains healthy margins with a gross profit margin of 42.91% and a net profit margin of 19.90% in the TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 33.47% and 45.56%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. The consistent improvement in revenue and profitability metrics over the years highlights a positive growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company has improved its financial stability with a reduced debt-to-equity ratio of 0.31 in the TTM period, down from 1.55 in 2022. Return on equity is strong at 29.23%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 60.77%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets. However, the company should continue to monitor its leverage to maintain financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Orezone Gold's cash flow performance shows mixed results. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable at 0.69, but free cash flow growth has been negative, with a significant decline of 87.26% in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.19, suggesting limited free cash flow generation relative to net income. The company needs to focus on improving its free cash flow to support future investments and debt repayments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue338.01M283.52M271.49M43.43M0.000.00
Gross Profit150.28M117.71M126.85M16.66M-258.00K0.00
EBITDA156.69M126.53M111.50M6.40M-8.50M-18.57M
Net Income67.41M55.71M43.15M930.00K-18.60M-17.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets598.50M448.58M320.08M252.28M140.50M12.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments85.33M74.02M19.48M9.16M36.08M8.87M
Total Debt77.38M81.06M93.40M122.87M46.41M167.63K
Total Liabilities221.49M184.57M173.72M181.95M86.62M3.30M
Stockholders Equity372.26M257.78M148.87M79.12M63.98M19.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-44.40M10.69M35.40M-99.47M-82.87M-17.79M
Operating Cash Flow74.90M57.70M79.95M6.58M-5.94M-17.33M
Investing Cash Flow-117.74M-45.97M-43.78M-105.98M-76.75M-286.97K
Financing Cash Flow60.27M45.07M-25.38M74.03M108.49M14.89M

Orezone Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.63
Price Trends
50DMA
1.49
Positive
100DMA
1.36
Positive
200DMA
1.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
58.40
Neutral
STOCH
73.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ORE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.53, above the 50-day MA of 1.49, and above the 200-day MA of 1.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ORE.

Orezone Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
41.30%340.97%
77
Outperform
C$801.17M6.8422.92%34.05%80.47%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$859.91M-13.44-20.37%114.30%-2606.59%
61
Neutral
C$1.02B-6.57-1186.80%8.01%-816.99%
48
Neutral
-97.12%
41
Neutral
C$649.37M-17.25-10.64%54.00%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ORE
Orezone Gold
1.63
0.99
154.69%
TSE:GAU
Galiano Gold
3.53
1.62
84.82%
TSE:ASE
Asante Gold
1.99
0.83
71.55%
TSE:LUM
Lumina Gold
1.26
0.78
162.50%
TSE:MND
Mandalay Resources
5.40
0.64
13.45%
TSE:AMRQ
AEX Gold
1.80
0.00
0.00%

Orezone Gold Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Orezone Gold Advances Bomboré Mine with High-Grade Drill Results and New Plant Commissioning
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

Orezone Gold Corporation has reported successful high-grade drill results from the P17 Zone at its Bomboré Gold Mine, indicating strong mineralization continuity. The company is advancing the commissioning of its new hard rock plant, with first gold production expected soon, marking a significant production increase and cash flow milestone.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orezone Gold Reports Robust Q3 2025 Results and Promising Outlook
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

Orezone Gold Corporation reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a gold production of 23,371 ounces and revenue of $68.9 million. The company maintained strong liquidity with $115.3 million available, and its Stage 1 hard rock expansion is on track to increase production significantly in 2026. The commencement of hard rock processing is expected to enhance production in the fourth quarter, positioning Orezone for a promising year ahead amid favorable gold prices.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orezone Gold to Announce Q3 2025 Results Amid Expansion Progress
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Orezone Gold Corporation announced it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 12, 2025, followed by a conference call and webcast. The completion of stage 1 hard rock expansion at the Bomboré Gold Mine is expected to significantly boost production levels, with further expansion plans underway to enhance output.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orezone Gold Reports Q3-2025 Production and Expansion Progress
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

Orezone Gold Corporation announced its Q3-2025 gold production results and provided an update on its stage 1 hard rock expansion at the Bomboré Gold Mine. The company produced 23,371 ounces of gold and reported a cash balance of $85.3 million. Despite weather-related challenges affecting Q3 production, Orezone anticipates a strong Q4 and remains on track to meet its 2025 production guidance. The hard rock expansion is nearing completion, with commissioning expected in November, which is projected to increase gold production by approximately 45% in 2026. This expansion is expected to significantly enhance cash flows and position the company favorably in a rising gold price environment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025