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Galiano Gold Inc (TSE:GAU)
TSX:GAU

Galiano Gold (GAU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GAU

Galiano Gold

(TSX:GAU)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
C$4.00
▲(0.25% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: improving revenue and stronger operating cash flow, but a swing to TTM losses and negative ROE. Technicals are modestly supportive with the price above key moving averages but neutral momentum. Valuation is pressured by the negative P/E, while the latest earnings call was moderately positive on operations and liquidity but tempered by lowered guidance and high sustaining costs.
Positive Factors
Revenue and gross margin improvement
Sustained top-line growth with a ~34% gross margin indicates the core mining operations are delivering improving production and unit profitability. This supports durable cash generation capacity and operational resilience across the medium term, helping fund capex and exploration.
Improved operating cash generation
A material rebound in operating cash flow and a return to positive free cash flow show the business can generate internally funded liquidity. That strength enhances balance sheet flexibility, reduces reliance on external financing, and supports sustained investment in operations and exploration.
Exploration success expanding resource base
Discovery of high-grade zones and an expanded drilling program can meaningfully increase mine life and reserve quality. Material resource growth underpins longer-term production profiles, potential lower unit costs over time, and enhances optionality for development decisions.
Negative Factors
Swing to net loss and negative ROE
A material swing to a TTM net loss and negative return on equity signals the company is not currently generating adequate returns on invested capital. Persisting losses can constrain reinvestment, slow balance-sheet repair, and limit ability to scale production or pursue growth without external funding.
High all-in sustaining costs
Elevated AISC structurally compresses per-ounce margins and reduces sensitivity to gold price weakness. Persistently high sustaining costs impair free cash generation per ounce, constrain margin improvement even with higher production, and complicate capital allocation decisions.
Joint-venture governance and operational dependence
Reliance on a joint-venture structure limits unilateral control over operations, capital plans and timing. Partner governance decisions can delay projects or affect cost management, creating a structural risk to realizing full economic value and predictable production outcomes over the medium term.

Galiano Gold (GAU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Galiano Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGaliano Gold Inc. engages in the exploration, development, and production of gold properties. The company's primary asset is the Asanko Gold Mine located in Ghana, West Africa. The company was formerly known as Asanko Gold Inc. and changed its name to Galiano Gold Inc. in May 2020. Galiano Gold Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyGaliano Gold generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold produced from its mining operations. The company's key revenue stream comes from its 50% interest in the Asanko Gold Mine, where gold is mined, processed, and sold in the global market. Additionally, Galiano benefits from its partnership with Gold Fields Limited, which provides operational efficiencies, shared resources, and technical expertise, contributing to the profitability and sustainability of the mining operations. The company also explores opportunities to expand its resource base and optimize production, thereby enhancing future earnings potential.

Galiano Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operational and financial improvements, including increased gold production and record revenue. However, the incident at Esaase and high sustaining costs posed challenges. The company demonstrated resilience with continued exploration successes and a strong cash position.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Gold Production
Gold production increased to over 32,000 ounces in Q3, a 7% increase from Q2, driven by higher grades and increased throughput following the commissioning of the secondary crusher.
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue reached $114 million in Q3, up 17% from the previous quarter, driven by increased production and higher gold prices.
Strong Safety Record
The company reported no lost time injuries in Q3, maintaining a strong safety record with over 4.2 million man-hours worked since the last lost time injury.
Exploration Success at Abore
Drilling at Abore identified new high-grade ore zones with significant intercepts, leading to an expansion of the drilling program by an additional 10,000 meters.
Negative Updates
Incident at Esaase
An incident involving illegal miners resulted in a temporary halt of mining operations at Esaase, impacting production plans for 2025.
Increased All-In Sustaining Costs
All-in sustaining costs remain high at $2,283 per ounce, with an increase in full-year guidance to between $2,200 and $2,300 per ounce.
Net Loss Before Taxes
The company recorded a net loss before taxes of $5 million due to fair value adjustments to the hedge book, despite a strong revenue performance.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Galiano Gold, Inc. reported significant improvements in operational metrics and financial performance. The company produced over 32,000 ounces of gold, marking a 7% increase from the previous quarter, driven by higher grades and increased throughput following the commissioning of a secondary crusher. Financially, the company achieved a revenue of $114 million, a 17% rise from the second quarter, with a solid cash balance of $116 million despite increased stripping at Nkran. The all-in sustaining costs remained consistent at $2,283 per ounce, with expectations of a decrease in the fourth quarter. Exploration efforts at Abore saw 11,000 meters drilled, focusing on infill and step-out drilling, which led to the discovery of high-grade zones. The company adjusted its annual production guidance to 120,000-125,000 ounces due to a temporary pause in mining at Esaase after an incident with illegal miners. Despite challenges, the company maintains a robust financial position and sees promising exploration results, positioning itself well for the future.

Galiano Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Galiano Gold's financial performance shows stability with some growth potential. The income statement reflects recent revenue generation and efficient cost management, but profitability is under pressure. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage and high equity, providing stability. However, cash flow challenges persist, with negative free cash flow indicating pressures from capital expenditures.
Income Statement
Galiano Gold's income statement shows a challenging revenue history, with the recent year being the first with significant total revenue. The TTM data reflects a gross profit margin of 33.66%, indicating efficient cost management for the revenue generated. However, the net profit margin stands at 2.64%, highlighting pressure on profitability despite positive net income. The absence of EBIT suggests operational challenges, while a positive EBITDA margin of 16.14% implies some operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet is relatively strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16, indicating prudent leverage management. The equity ratio is solid at 48.66%, reflecting a strong equity base. Return on equity is modest at 2.51%, suggesting moderate profit generation from equity. Galiano Gold's stability is supported by substantial cash reserves, mitigating financial risk.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow has improved significantly, showing a positive change from previous periods. However, free cash flow remains negative, signaling challenges in generating surplus cash after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 9.11 indicates that cash flow generation is strong relative to net income, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, pointing to capital expenditure pressures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue352.64M231.34M0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit122.39M77.88M0.000.000.000.00
EBITDA46.93M37.35M-17.15M40.60M-60.19M57.80M
Net Income-45.17M6.12M26.09M40.81M-22.46M-6.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets585.22M500.35M213.30M179.89M136.20M203.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments120.87M105.78M55.27M56.11M53.52M62.15M
Total Debt41.10M38.87M203.00K314.00K419.00K515.00K
Total Liabilities383.26M252.58M12.38M6.20M3.43M4.71M
Stockholders Equity201.38M243.46M200.92M173.69M132.76M198.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.94M-11.15M-3.67M1.78M-14.44M-6.48M
Operating Cash Flow115.96M55.75M-3.63M1.78M-12.94M-6.40M
Investing Cash Flow-106.32M5.79M2.86M1.03M3.91M37.93M
Financing Cash Flow-16.62M-10.60M-108.00K-130.00K441.00K-520.00K

Galiano Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.99
Price Trends
50DMA
3.36
Positive
100DMA
3.39
Positive
200DMA
2.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
66.98
Neutral
STOCH
88.49
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GAU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.59, above the 50-day MA of 3.36, and above the 200-day MA of 2.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.49 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GAU.

Galiano Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$906.54M4.0568.37%2.78%92.67%207.16%
65
Neutral
C$744.60M-29.39-81.62%18.96%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
$1.03B-16.20-20.37%114.30%-2606.59%
56
Neutral
C$1.22B-13.75-458.89%-66.50%
53
Neutral
C$1.11B-42.66-10.64%54.00%
48
Neutral
C$1.00B-58.91-76.61%-111.48%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GAU
Galiano Gold
3.99
2.34
141.82%
TSE:OMG
Omai Gold Mines
1.52
1.28
533.33%
TSE:ATX
ATEX Resources Inc
3.58
2.06
135.53%
TSE:PRB
Probe Gold
3.63
1.76
94.12%
TSE:THX
Thor Explorations
1.39
1.07
329.01%
TSE:AMRQ
AEX Gold
2.21
0.09
4.25%

Galiano Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Galiano Gold Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results Amid Operational Adjustments
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Galiano Gold reported its third-quarter 2025 results, highlighting a strong financial position with $116.4 million in cash and cash equivalents and generating $40.4 million in cash flow from operations. The company produced 32,533 ounces of gold, a 7% increase from the previous quarter, but revised its full-year production guidance downward due to operational challenges at the Esaase site. Despite these challenges, Galiano continues to focus on mine and plant enhancements and has made significant discoveries in its exploration efforts at the Abore site, indicating potential for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GAU) stock is a Hold with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Galiano Gold stock, see the TSE:GAU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025