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Robex Resources Inc (TSE:RBX)
:RBX

Robex Resources (RBX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RBX

Robex Resources

(RBX)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
C$5.50
▲(13.87% Upside)
Robex Resources' overall stock score is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance and technical analysis. The company faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges, which are critical concerns. However, the technical indicators suggest some positive short-term momentum. The valuation is a concern due to the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield, which lowers its attractiveness. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data means these factors did not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong capital structure
A very low debt-to-equity ratio and strong equity base give Robex structural financial flexibility. This conservatism reduces default and refinancing risk during commodity cycles, supports funding for sustaining capex or project development, and improves resilience over the medium term.
High gross profit margin
A gross margin near 47% indicates efficient extraction and processing economics at the mine level. Structural cost efficiency at production provides a durable buffer against lower gold prices, allowing management to focus on improving overheads and recovering operating margins over multiple quarters.
Improving free cash flow metrics
Although total FCF is negative, strong FCF growth and FCF covering net losses show improving cash conversion. If this trend continues, it indicates a credible pathway to positive cash generation, reducing dependency on external financing and supporting medium-term operational stability.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability and ROE
Sustained negative margins and a materially negative ROE indicate the company is not generating shareholder returns. Persistent unprofitability will erode equity, increase need for capital raises or cost restructuring, and limit the firm's ability to reinvest in projects or deliver long-term value.
Large negative free cash flow & cash conversion issues
A very large trailing negative FCF and negative operating cash flow to net income ratio signal liquidity and cash conversion problems. Over months, this constrains capital allocation, raises refinancing risk, and could force asset sales, project delays, or equity issuance to sustain operations.
Operational and geopolitical concentration risk (Nampala, Mali)
Revenue concentration in a single asset and a single country exposes Robex to operational, permitting and security shocks. Geopolitical or local disruptions in Mali would materially affect production and cash flows, limiting diversification and increasing systemic business risk over the medium term.

Robex Resources (RBX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Robex Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRobex Resources (RBX) is a Canadian mining company focused on the exploration and production of gold in Mali, West Africa. The company primarily operates the Nampala gold mine and is engaged in the development of additional mining projects within the region. With a commitment to sustainable mining practices, Robex Resources aims to enhance its operational efficiency while contributing positively to the local economy and environment.
How the Company Makes MoneyRobex Resources generates revenue through the extraction and sale of gold from its mining operations, particularly from the Nampala gold mine, which is a significant contributor to its earnings. The company's revenue model is primarily based on the volume of gold produced and sold in the global market, with prices influenced by international gold prices. Additionally, Robex may engage in strategic partnerships with other mining firms or investors to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its resource base, further contributing to potential earnings. Factors such as operational efficiency, cost management, and market demand for gold play crucial roles in the company's revenue generation.

Robex Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Robex Resources shows positive revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, but negative return on equity and cash flow issues are significant risks.
Income Statement
Robex Resources has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 12.33% in the TTM period, indicating a potential upward trajectory in sales. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -7.13% and a declining EBIT margin. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable, but the negative net income highlights ongoing challenges in cost management and profitability.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15, suggesting a conservative approach to leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the balance sheet shows a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
Robex Resources faces significant challenges in cash flow management, with a negative free cash flow and a high free cash flow growth rate due to worsening cash outflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating difficulties in converting earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, highlighting cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue197.71M158.39M134.67M112.24M103.89M120.83M
Gross Profit94.92M72.88M68.88M62.41M54.54M65.45M
EBITDA-9.24M88.05M65.32M53.97M49.23M69.64M
Net Income-85.90M-11.58M-6.64M30.78M15.89M44.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets784.92M399.86M266.99M251.76M142.67M116.77M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments192.65M41.44M12.22M3.61M20.72M8.90M
Total Debt27.77M35.66M58.85M25.28M11.44M7.89M
Total Liabilities351.24M147.42M82.92M55.21M44.02M25.53M
Stockholders Equity433.25M254.74M183.69M193.19M97.42M90.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-251.94M-34.30M-7.37M-5.28M8.71M34.38M
Operating Cash Flow37.88M46.89M53.27M29.82M43.92M63.47M
Investing Cash Flow-289.42M-112.27M-76.73M-47.69M-34.87M-30.20M
Financing Cash Flow276.63M92.22M35.20M733.51K4.18M-39.74M

Robex Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.83
Price Trends
50DMA
4.68
Positive
100DMA
4.28
Positive
200DMA
3.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
68.83
Neutral
STOCH
76.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RBX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.03, above the 50-day MA of 4.68, and above the 200-day MA of 3.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RBX.

Robex Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$1.21B10.5122.92%34.05%80.47%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
C$1.45B347.423.01%
56
Neutral
C$1.21B-13.36-458.89%-66.50%
56
Neutral
$1.41B-19.24-50.06%28.06%
51
Neutral
C$1.42B-12.15-25.39%29.47%1.53%
49
Neutral
$1.25B-3.17-46.07%-1.73%37.26%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RBX
Robex Resources
5.62
3.28
139.96%
TSE:ATX
ATEX Resources Inc
3.48
1.92
123.08%
TSE:ORE
Orezone Gold
2.03
1.36
202.99%
TSE:RIO
Rio2
3.37
2.75
443.55%
TSE:ODV
Osisko Development
4.91
2.71
123.18%
TSE:NFG
New Found Gold
4.18
1.60
62.02%

Robex Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Robex Shareholders Back Predictive Discovery Merger to Forge West African Gold Producer
Positive
Dec 30, 2025

Robex Resources’ shareholders have overwhelmingly approved the company’s merger with Predictive Discovery Limited, with 94.54% of votes cast in favour of a statutory plan of arrangement under which Predictive will acquire all Robex shares. Subject to court, TSX Venture Exchange and regulatory approvals, the deal is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, with Robex shareholders to receive 7.862 Predictive shares for each Robex share and hold about 46.5% of the enlarged group. The combined company will unite Robex’s Kiniero project and existing Nampala cash flow with Predictive’s Bankan project in Guinea, targeting more than 400,000 ounces of annual gold production by 2029, operational synergies from a clustered asset base, a stronger market profile potentially supporting index inclusion, and an experienced management team, positioning the group as a leading West African gold producer.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RBX) stock is a Hold with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Robex Resources stock, see the TSE:RBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Robex Pours First Gold at Kiniéro as It Builds West African Gold Hub
Positive
Dec 21, 2025

Robex Resources has poured first gold on schedule and within budget at its Kiniéro Gold Project in Guinea, marking the completion of a 17‑month construction phase that logged nearly 5 million work hours without a lost time injury and confirming plant recoveries in line with feasibility expectations. The mine’s ramp-up is progressing smoothly, with open‑pit mining underway at the South Sabali starter pit, commercial production targeted for early 2026, and Kiniéro becoming Robex’s second producing asset alongside Nampala; combined with an exclusive option to buy back the Mansounia royalties and the planned merger with Predictive Discovery, the company is positioning itself as a leading West African gold producer with the potential to build a 400,000‑ounce‑per‑year regional mining hub in Guinea.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RBX) stock is a Hold with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Robex Resources stock, see the TSE:RBX Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Robex Resources Amends Acquisition Agreement with Predictive Discovery
Neutral
Dec 13, 2025

Robex Resources Inc. has filed an addendum to its management information circular to provide details about an amended arrangement agreement with Predictive Discovery Limited. This agreement involves the acquisition of all Robex’s common shares by a wholly-owned subsidiary of Predictive. The board of Robex has recommended shareholders vote in favor of the arrangement, considering it financially fair and in the company’s best interests. The special meeting for shareholders to vote on this transaction has been postponed to December 30, 2025, allowing additional time for proxy submissions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RBX) stock is a Hold with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Robex Resources stock, see the TSE:RBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Robex Resources Advances Kiniéro Gold Project with First Ore Delivery
Positive
Dec 12, 2025

Robex Resources Inc. has successfully delivered the first ore to its Kiniéro mill in Guinea, marking a significant milestone in the commissioning of its processing plant. The project is progressing as planned, with the first gold pour expected in December 2025 and a ramp-up to commercial production targeted for the first quarter of 2026. This advancement is a crucial step towards Robex’s goal of becoming a mid-tier gold producer in West Africa, enhancing its industry positioning and offering promising implications for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RBX) stock is a Hold with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Robex Resources stock, see the TSE:RBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Robex Resources Amends Merger Agreement with Predictive Discovery to Form Leading West African Gold Producer
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

Robex Resources Inc. has announced an amendment to its arrangement agreement with Predictive Discovery Limited, resulting in Robex shareholders receiving 7.862 Predictive shares for each Robex share. This merger aims to create one of West Africa’s leading gold producers by combining two large, low-cost, and advanced projects with significant growth potential. The transaction is expected to be accretive to shareholders, offering increased scale, asset diversification, and potential index inclusion. The merger has received strong support from major shareholders, and the combined company is poised to deliver substantial returns and establish a tier-1 gold mining hub in Guinea.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RBX) stock is a Hold with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Robex Resources stock, see the TSE:RBX Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Robex Resources Evaluates Superior Proposal from Perseus Mining
Neutral
Dec 3, 2025

Robex Resources Inc., a company involved in the mining industry, has received a superior proposal from Perseus Mining Limited through Predictive Discovery Limited, which affects the existing arrangement agreement between Robex and PDI. Robex now has a five-day period to consider matching or surpassing this proposal. The board is evaluating its options and remains focused on the best interests of its shareholders, with no immediate action required from them.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RBX) stock is a Hold with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Robex Resources stock, see the TSE:RBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Robex Resources Proposes Strategic Arrangement with Predictive Discovery
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

Robex Resources Inc. has filed a management information circular for a special meeting of shareholders to consider a plan of arrangement with Predictive Discovery Limited. The arrangement will result in Robex becoming an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Predictive, with shareholders receiving Predictive shares in exchange for their Robex shares. The board of directors recommends voting in favor of the arrangement, which is seen as a strategic move to enhance the company’s position as a leading gold producer in West Africa.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RBX) stock is a Hold with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Robex Resources stock, see the TSE:RBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Robex Resources Advances Kiniero Project and Announces Merger
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

Robex Resources Inc. reported significant progress in the September 2025 quarter, including a merger with Predictive Discovery to form a stronger mid-tier West African gold producer. The company accelerated the expiry of its 2024 warrants, raising C$148.2M, and amended its senior facility with Sprott to unlock US$90 million for the Kiniero Gold Project. Mining operations have commenced at Kiniero, with construction on track for the first gold pour in Q4 2025. The Nampala Gold Mine in Mali continues to operate efficiently, producing 9,774 ounces of gold in the quarter.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RBX) stock is a Hold with a C$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Robex Resources stock, see the TSE:RBX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Robex Resources’ Kiniero Gold Project on Track for First Gold by Q4 2025
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Robex Resources Inc announced that its Kiniero Gold Project in Guinea is on track and within budget to achieve its first gold pour by the fourth quarter of 2025. The project has maintained a strong safety record with no lost time injuries and has progressed significantly in construction and development activities, including the commencement of mining operations and nearing completion of major components of the process plant. The company is poised for a successful commissioning phase and subsequent ramp-up to full production, which is expected to enhance its market position and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RBX) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Robex Resources stock, see the TSE:RBX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025