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Probe Metals (TSE:PRB)
:PRB

Probe Metals (PRB) AI Stock Analysis

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Probe Metals

(TSX:PRB)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
Probe Metals faces significant financial risks due to a lack of revenue and consistent losses, which are the primary drivers of the low score. However, positive corporate events, such as promising exploration results and successful financing, provide a potential growth outlook. Technical analysis indicates mixed momentum, while the valuation remains unattractive. Overall, the score reflects the current financial challenges but acknowledges future growth opportunities in exploration.
Positive Factors
Development Potential
Doubling of resource re-affirms the thesis that Val-d'Or East is a unique project in a top tier jurisdiction with significant exploration and development potential.
Project Advancement
Probe Gold is advancing its Novador project within the world-class Abitibi Gold Belt and has steadily grown its resource inventory.
Resource Expansion
The resource now stands at 6.7Moz Measured & Indicated and 3.3Moz Inferred, nearly doubling the previous resource.
Negative Factors

Probe Metals (PRB) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Probe Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProbe Gold Inc., a precious metal exploration company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties in Canada. Its flagship asset is its 100%-owned Novador property comprising 436 square kilometers, which includes the Monique, Pascalis, and Courvan trends and their deposits located in the city of Val-d'Or, Quebec. The company was formerly known as Probe Metals Inc. and changed its name to Probe Gold Inc. in January 2023. Probe Gold Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyProbe Metals makes money through the exploration and development of its mineral properties, primarily gold. The company generates revenue by discovering and developing gold resources, which are then either sold to larger mining companies or developed into producing mines. Key revenue streams include the sale of exploration properties, joint ventures, and partnerships with other mining firms that provide funding in exchange for a stake in the projects. Probe Metals may also raise capital through stock offerings to fund its exploration activities. The company's earnings are largely dependent on the successful identification and development of economically viable gold deposits and favorable market conditions for gold.

Probe Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Probe Metals is facing significant financial challenges, with no revenue generation and consistent losses across its income statement. While the balance sheet shows low leverage, the lack of profitability and negative cash flows highlight risks to financial sustainability. The company's reliance on external financing raises concerns about long-term viability without revenue growth.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
Probe Metals has consistently reported zero revenue, leading to negative gross and net profit margins. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating ongoing operational losses. The company has been unable to achieve revenue growth, posing a significant challenge to financial stability and profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate level of stability with a low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting low leverage risk. However, the return on equity is negative due to ongoing net losses. The equity ratio indicates that a decent portion of the assets is financed by equity. The company's ability to maintain a solid equity base amidst losses is a positive sign.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Operating and free cash flows are negative, reflecting cash outflows in operations. However, financing activities have been positive, suggesting reliance on external funding. The cash flow ratios to net income are unfavorable due to negative cash flows, indicating potential liquidity concerns.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
-222.35K-231.57K-215.99K-805.98K-154.31K
EBIT
-30.49M-30.66M-32.67M-17.98M-20.23M
EBITDA
-24.37M-25.09M-29.61M-11.86M-14.34M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-24.70M-25.40M-29.92M-12.77M-14.62M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
22.91M26.00M26.84M32.71M34.56M
Total Assets
34.32M34.32M34.26M34.88M37.55M
Total Debt
417.35K513.43K578.67K397.10K263.75K
Net Debt
-21.40M-24.72M-22.98M-28.47M-30.48M
Total Liabilities
14.86M8.64M4.36M3.90M6.09M
Stockholders Equity
19.45M25.68M29.90M30.98M31.46M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-18.78M-24.44M-34.53M-12.97M-14.66M
Operating Cash Flow
-18.77M-24.42M-34.38M-12.94M-14.51M
Investing Cash Flow
-851.37K3.11M-150.13K1.12M468.57K
Financing Cash Flow
16.21M22.98M29.22M9.95M10.08M

Probe Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.47
Price Trends
50DMA
2.15
Positive
100DMA
2.03
Positive
200DMA
1.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
59.50
Neutral
STOCH
27.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PRB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.38, above the 50-day MA of 2.15, and above the 200-day MA of 1.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PRB.

Probe Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSTHX
79
Outperform
C$484.96M3.0462.25%6.85%72.71%514.32%
TSRBX
65
Neutral
C$617.49M-5.78%19.84%84.50%
51
Neutral
$2.04B-1.15-21.24%3.95%2.91%-30.44%
TSRIO
50
Neutral
C$522.74M-0.28%83.41%
TSPRB
47
Neutral
C$505.82M-177.01%10.27%
TSFDR
46
Neutral
C$420.84M-14.97%-83.38%
TSRML
25
Underperform
C$554.61M21.44%-49.49%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PRB
Probe Metals
2.47
1.19
92.97%
TSE:RBX
Robex Resources
3.11
0.61
24.40%
TSE:RML
Rusoro Mining
0.90
-0.48
-34.78%
TSE:THX
Thor Explorations
0.73
0.47
180.77%
TSE:RIO
Rio2
1.28
0.80
166.67%
TSE:FDR
Founders Metals
4.35
2.31
113.24%

Probe Metals Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Probe Gold Reports High-Grade Drilling Results at Novador Project
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

Probe Gold Inc. announced significant results from its 50,000-metre infill drilling program at the Monique deposit within its Novador project in Quebec. The drilling results, which include high-grade gold intercepts, will support the 2025 pre-feasibility study, aiding in resource conversion and project development. These findings confirm the continuity and potential expansion of gold zones at Monique, enhancing the project’s value and positioning it as a premier gold development project.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PRB Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PRB is a Neutral.

Probe Metals is facing major financial hurdles due to its lack of revenue and consistent losses. However, the company’s exploration results and successful financing efforts in Quebec provide a positive outlook. The technical analysis suggests mixed momentum, while the valuation remains unattractive. Overall, these factors lead to a cautious stock score, reflecting the significant financial risks but acknowledging the potential for future growth through exploration.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PRB stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
Probe Gold’s Novador Project Yields High-Grade Gold Intercepts
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

Probe Gold Inc. has completed a 50,000-metre infill drilling program at its Novador project in Quebec, yielding high-grade gold intercepts at the Monique deposit. These results confirm the continuity and potential expansion of gold zones, supporting the upcoming pre-feasibility study and advancing the project towards development. The company is focused on consolidating the project into larger open pits, de-risking the project, and enhancing its value, backed by a robust treasury of over $50 million.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PRB Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PRB is a Neutral.

Probe Metals is facing major financial hurdles due to its lack of revenue and consistent losses. However, the company’s exploration results and successful financing efforts in Quebec provide a positive outlook. The technical analysis suggests mixed momentum, while the valuation remains unattractive. Overall, these factors lead to a cautious stock score, reflecting the significant financial risks but acknowledging the potential for future growth through exploration.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PRB stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Probe Gold Secures $45 Million for Québec Gold Exploration
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

Probe Gold Inc. has successfully closed a $45 million bought-deal private placement to fund its exploration and development activities. The proceeds will be used to advance the Novador Gold project and explore other properties in Québec, enhancing the company’s operational capabilities and strengthening its position in the gold mining industry.

Spark’s Take on TSE:PRB Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:PRB is a Neutral.

Probe Metals exhibits substantial financial challenges and negative cash flows, impacting its financial performance score. However, the successful financing rounds and positive exploration results in Quebec provide a positive outlook, balancing some of the financial risks. The technical analysis suggests mixed momentum, while valuation remains unattractive due to a lack of earnings and dividends.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:PRB stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Probe Gold Upsizes Private Placement to $45 Million Amid Strong Demand
Positive
Mar 19, 2025

Probe Gold Inc. has announced an increase in its bought deal private placement to $45.275 million due to strong investor demand. The proceeds will be used to advance the Novador Gold project and explore other properties in Québec, with the offering expected to close by April 9, 2025, pending regulatory approvals. This move highlights Probe’s strategic focus on expanding its gold exploration and development activities in Québec, potentially enhancing its market position and offering growth opportunities for stakeholders.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Probe Gold Secures $30 Million for Expansion and Exploration
Positive
Mar 18, 2025

Probe Gold Inc. has announced a $30 million bought deal private placement agreement with a syndicate of underwriters, including Canaccord Genuity Corp., Beacon Securities Limited, and Scotiabank. The proceeds from this offering will be used to advance the Novador Gold project and explore other properties in Québec, with the expectation of closing the deal by April 9, 2025, subject to regulatory approvals. This strategic move is poised to enhance Probe Gold’s exploration capabilities and strengthen its position in the Canadian gold mining industry.

Business Operations and Strategy
Probe Gold Reports Promising Infill Drilling Results at Novador Project
Positive
Mar 4, 2025

Probe Gold Inc. has announced significant results from its infill drilling program at the Novador project in Quebec, with notable gold intercepts at both the Bussiere and Monique deposits. These results support the ongoing pre-feasibility study and demonstrate the project’s potential for development, reinforcing Probe’s confidence in advancing Novador as a leading gold development project.

Business Operations and Strategy
Probe Gold Announces Positive Geochemical Results for Novador Mine
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

Probe Gold Inc. has announced promising results from geochemical studies at its Novador mine project, indicating that the waste rock and tailings are non-acid-generating and non-leachable. This classification is expected to lower infrastructure costs and simplify permitting processes, while also minimizing environmental contamination risks. The results support the company’s commitment to sustainable mining and add significant value to the Novador project.

Business Operations and Strategy
Probe Gold Identifies Strong Gold Trends in Detour Quebec Project
Positive
Feb 11, 2025

Probe Gold Inc. has reported promising results from its 2024 MMI soil sampling program on its Detour Quebec Project, which is 100% owned by the company. The sampling identified strong gold and gold-copper trends, suggesting the potential for mineralized systems akin to Agnico Eagle’s Zone 58N-style high-grade gold deposits. The results have prompted plans for ground geophysical surveys and follow-up drilling in 2025, emphasizing the Detour project’s importance in Probe Gold’s exploration strategy.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.