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Elemental Royalties (TSE:ELE)
:ELE

Elemental Royalties (ELE) AI Stock Analysis

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Elemental Royalties

(ELE)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.00
▲(5.82%Upside)
Elemental Royalties shows strong financial momentum, driven by record earnings and strategic expansions. However, the high P/E ratio and overbought technical indicators suggest caution. The company's solid financial position, combined with strategic growth initiatives, supports a positive outlook, offsetting some valuation concerns.

Elemental Royalties (ELE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Elemental Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionElemental Royalties (ELE) is a company operating in the precious metals sector, focusing on the acquisition of royalties and streams related to gold and other metals. The company strategically partners with mining businesses to secure financial interests in mining projects, thus offering investors exposure to precious metal production without the operational risks associated with mine ownership.
How the Company Makes MoneyElemental Royalties makes money primarily through its portfolio of royalty and streaming agreements. These agreements entitle Elemental to receive a percentage of the revenue or metal production from mining operations in which they hold royalty interests. The company generates revenue by receiving payments based on the production of these mines. Significant partnerships with mining companies enable Elemental to secure these advantageous royalty agreements, providing steady income streams as the mines produce gold and other precious metals. The company's financial success is largely tied to the performance of its partnered mining operations and fluctuations in metal prices.

Elemental Royalties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 20, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 34.04%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted record-breaking revenue and growth, driven by strong contributions from Korali-Sud and robust financial positioning. While there were some challenges with royalty payments from Wahgnion and minor declines in Bonikro sales, these were outweighed by the positive achievements and future potential. The overall sentiment is optimistic with a strong outlook for the rest of the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Q1 2025 was the strongest quarter in the company's history with record adjusted revenue of $13.3 million, up 179% from Q1 2024. Adjusted EBITDA rose 259% to $11.5 million, and operating cash flow increased by 182% to $3.3 million.
Strong Contribution from Korali-Sud
The Korali-Sud royalty generated $6.6 million in revenue, contributing significantly to the quarter's performance with 2,309 gold equivalent ounces.
Robust Financial Position
The company is debt-free with $22.6 million in cash and a $50 million undrawn credit facility, providing excellent flexibility for non-dilutive growth.
Expansion at Karlawinda
Karlawinda gold production exceeded 30,000 ounces, generating $1.8 million in revenue. An expansion targeting 150,000 ounces annually is underway, promising a 30% increase in production.
Positive Outlook on Commodity Prices
Higher gold and copper prices are expected to have a very positive impact on revenue, with the potential to exceed initial guidance.
Significant EBITDA Margin
The company achieved a record EBITDA margin of 87%, demonstrating strong cost discipline and operational leverage.
Negative Updates
Paused Royalties from Wahgnion
Wahgnion has put a temporary pause on royalty payments due to an external audit, leading to no accrued revenue in Q1 2025 from this source.
Delayed Shipments Affecting Cash Flow
Some cash flow from Q1 revenue was delayed to Q2 due to timing issues with royalty payments.
Decline in Bonikro Sales
Bonikro contributed nearly 19,000 ounces in Q1, but this was slightly down year-on-year. However, stronger performance is expected in the future.
Company Guidance
During Elemental Altus' Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported its strongest quarter ever, with record adjusted revenue of $13.3 million, marking a 179% increase from the equivalent period in 2024. This was bolstered by significant contributions from the new Korali-Sud royalty, which generated $6.6 million and 2,309 gold equivalent ounces. The company also highlighted a record Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $11.5 million, up 259% year-over-year, and operating cash flow of $3.3 million, a 182% increase. Elemental Altus remains on track to meet its annual guidance of 11,600 to 13,200 gold equivalent ounces, with a projected adjusted revenue of $30 million to $34 million for 2025. The company is positioned with over $70 million in non-dilutive capital, leveraging strong commodity prices and operational performance from key assets such as Karlawinda and Caserones, and anticipates continued growth and strategic opportunities.

Elemental Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Elemental Royalties exhibits solid revenue growth and strong balance sheet stability with low leverage. Despite improvements in cash flow management, profitability challenges persist, as indicated by negative net income margins and low return on equity.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Elemental Royalties has shown a strong revenue growth trajectory, with total revenue increasing from $6,611,000 in 2021 to $16,323,000 in 2024. The company improved its gross profit margin significantly, reaching 55.8% in 2024. However, the net profit margin remained negative at -2.23%, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, but the company still faces net losses.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet demonstrates stability with a strong equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.01, and the equity ratio is high at 96.19% for 2024. These metrics suggest financial stability and low leverage risk. However, the company has faced challenges in retaining net income, as reflected in a negative ROE of -0.19%.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Elemental Royalties has shown improvement in operating cash flow, which reached $4,816,000 in 2024, and positive free cash flow of $1,575,000. The company also improved its free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating better cash management. Despite improvements, the company needs to address the fluctuations in free cash flow growth, which remains a concern.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.32M11.74M9.64M6.61M5.12M
Gross Profit9.11M4.84M4.09M3.73M3.43M
EBITDA10.26M7.80M-8.41M2.55M2.93M
Net Income-364.00K-3.90M-18.21M-4.73M-2.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets204.17M188.92M185.93M76.50M28.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.45M11.29M17.48M6.11M10.92M
Total Debt2.69M30.00M30.04M24.43M0.00
Total Liabilities7.78M33.72M39.50M26.02M1.14M
Stockholders Equity196.38M155.20M146.43M50.47M26.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.57M-3.58M-13.39M-39.02M-9.03M
Operating Cash Flow4.82M1.99M-723.00K1.12M2.09M
Investing Cash Flow4.51M-5.55M-3.39M-40.12M-11.01M
Financing Cash Flow-16.11M-2.63M15.76M34.20M19.03M

Elemental Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.89
Price Trends
50DMA
1.52
Positive
100DMA
1.39
Positive
200DMA
1.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
68.69
Neutral
STOCH
64.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ELE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.64, above the 50-day MA of 1.52, and above the 200-day MA of 1.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ELE.

Elemental Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSMKO
79
Outperform
C$404.73M11.3939.70%56.13%98.44%
TSOGN
73
Outperform
C$387.43M99.485.89%33.96%37.86%
TSELE
68
Neutral
C$464.49M77.142.36%109.11%
58
Neutral
$176.48M398.312.86%3.06%56.49%
53
Neutral
$1.19B3.25-0.13%7.83%-1.86%-126.37%
TSFDR
46
Neutral
C$366.57M-14.97%-83.38%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ELE
Elemental Royalties
1.89
0.83
78.30%
TSE:FISH
Sailfish Royalty
2.35
1.14
93.57%
TSE:OGN
Orogen Royalties
1.92
0.84
77.78%
TSE:MKO
Mako Mining Corp
5.06
1.79
54.74%
TSE:FDR
Founders Metals
3.85
1.90
97.44%

Elemental Royalties Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Elemental Altus Announces Board Changes Following Tether Investment
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. has announced significant changes to its board following a major investment by Tether Investments, which now holds a 37.8% stake and has the option to increase this to 51.8%. This strategic move is part of Tether’s broader strategy to increase exposure to gold, leveraging synergies between real and digital assets. The new appointments to the board, including Executive Chairman Juan Sartori, are expected to drive the company’s next phase of growth, building on a solid financial foundation laid by the outgoing directors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Elemental Altus Welcomes Tether Investments as Major Shareholder
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. has announced Tether Investments as its new cornerstone shareholder after Tether acquired a significant stake from La Mancha Investments. This acquisition positions Tether as a major shareholder, holding approximately 33.7% of Elemental Altus’s common shares, with the potential to increase its stake to 47.7% through an option agreement with AlphaStream Limited. The move is seen as a strategic alignment for both companies, with Tether’s investment reflecting its commitment to real-world assets that offer stability and long-term value, while Elemental Altus benefits from Tether’s support in its growth phase, enhancing its position in the gold royalty sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Elemental Altus Expands Australian Royalty Portfolio with Laverton and Hercules Developments
Positive
May 28, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. has announced significant developments in its Australian royalty portfolio, notably with the Laverton Project and the Hercules Discovery. The Laverton Project, acquired by Genesis Minerals for A$250 million, offers substantial growth potential with its existing mining leases and exploration opportunities, enhancing Elemental Altus’s portfolio. Meanwhile, the Hercules Discovery, under Northern Star Resources, has delivered a maiden resource estimate of approximately 900,000 ounces of gold, marking a significant milestone for the project. These developments underscore the embedded value in Elemental Altus’s Australian assets and highlight the company’s strategic positioning for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Elemental Altus Royalties Achieves Record Q1 Financial Performance
Positive
May 20, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. reported record financial performance for Q1 2025, with significant increases in revenue, EBITDA, and cash flow compared to the previous year. The company’s strong financial position, bolstered by substantial cash reserves and a fully repaid credit facility, positions it well for future growth and acquisitions. The Korali-Sud royalty has emerged as a major revenue contributor, and the company anticipates continued momentum with additional revenue from other projects. The positive outlook includes a projected increase in gold equivalent ounces and revenue, supported by favorable market conditions and strategic expansions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Elemental Altus Royalties to Announce Q1 2025 Results
Neutral
May 16, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. announced it will release its Q1 2025 financial results on May 20, 2025, before the market opens. The company will host an investor webcast to discuss the results, which could provide insights into its financial health and future growth prospects, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsFinancial Disclosures
Elemental Altus Secures US$9.6M from Ming Stream Claim
Positive
May 1, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. has received a significant payment of US$9.6 million from its secured creditor claim against Rambler Metals and Mining Canada Limited, related to its former Ming gold stream. This payment forms a major part of the anticipated US$15 million in portfolio payments for 2025, which are additional to the company’s projected royalty revenue of US$30.1 million to US$34.3 million for the year. The successful acquisition by FireFly Metals Ltd of Rambler Group has enabled Elemental Altus to realize a total of US$12.8 million from the Ming stream, enhancing the company’s financial health and positioning it strongly in the market.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Elemental Altus Royalties Achieves Record Financial Results in 2024
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. reported record financial results for 2024, with significant increases in revenue, operating cash flow, and EBITDA. The company achieved a 39% increase in annual revenue, reaching $16.3 million, and a 53% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $15.1 million. The company also made $33.5 million in accretive royalty acquisitions and repaid $27 million of debt. Looking ahead to 2025, Elemental Altus expects record gold equivalent ounces and adjusted revenue, driven by new royalties and high gold prices, positioning the company for exceptional growth and long-term value for shareholders.

Financial Disclosures
Elemental Altus Royalties to Announce Q4 2024 Results
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. announced it will release its Q4 2024 financial results on April 16, 2025, followed by an investor webcast on April 17, 2025. This announcement underscores the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and investor engagement, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations as it continues to expand its global presence in the precious metals royalty sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 18, 2025