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Elemental Royalties (TSE:ELE)
:ELE

Elemental Royalties (ELE) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ELE

Elemental Royalties

(ELE)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$35.00
▲(14.98% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial strength (debt-free balance sheet and improving profitability) and a strong upward technical trend. These positives are meaningfully offset by a very high P/E valuation and some near-term overbought momentum signals.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
Zero reported debt provides durable financial flexibility, lowering default risk and allowing capital deployment into new royalty acquisitions or buffering commodity cycles. This capital structure supports long-term strategic optionality without interest burden.
Royalty business model
A royalty model delivers recurring, asset-backed cash flows while operators fund mine capex and operations. This asset-light approach sustainably limits operating costs and scales via portfolio additions, preserving margin structure over the medium term.
Operating cash generation exceeds net income
Robust operating cash relative to reported earnings indicates high earnings quality and real cash conversion. This supports reinvestment in new royalties and reduces reliance on external financing, strengthening long-term cash-based resilience.
Negative Factors
Thin and declining free cash flow
Persistently thin and falling free cash flow constrains the firm's ability to fund acquisitions, return capital, or absorb operational shocks without raising equity. Over months this limits strategic optionality and can pressure liquidity planning.
Uneven earnings history
Volatile past profitability and recent losses indicate earnings sensitivity to portfolio timing and commodity cycles. This uneven track record complicates forecasting and weakens the predictability of royalty cash flows for capital allocation decisions.
Exposure to commodity and operator risk
Royalty receipts depend directly on commodity prices and third-party mine performance; operator disruptions or prolonged price weakness can materially reduce cash flow. This structural dependence raises revenue volatility and counterparty operational risk.

Elemental Royalties (ELE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Elemental Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionElemental Royalties Corp., a gold-focused royalty company, engages in the evaluation and acquisition of royalties. It has a portfolio of nine royalties in Chile, Western Australia, Kenya, Canada, Mexico, and Burkina Faso. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyElemental Royalties generates revenue primarily through its portfolio of royalty agreements, which are financial arrangements where the company receives a percentage of the revenue or production from mines operated by other companies. These royalties are typically tied to gold and silver production, allowing Elemental to benefit from increases in metal prices without incurring the costs and risks associated with mining operations. The company may also receive upfront payments or milestone payments as part of these agreements. Key revenue streams include the cash flow from existing royalties, potential new royalties from acquisitions, and strategic partnerships with mining companies that enhance their portfolio. The company's growth strategy often involves identifying and securing royalties on high-quality mining assets, leveraging its industry relationships to expand its income-generating opportunities.

Elemental Royalties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Elemental Altus reported strong financial results with record revenue, significant growth in EBITDA and cash flow, driven by key assets like Korali-Sud and Karlawinda. The company is in a strong financial position with substantial liquidity and new investor support from Tether Investments. However, there are challenges, including paused revenue from Wahgnion and higher tax costs. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Strong Financial Position
Elemental Altus achieved record revenue for Q1 and Q2 of fiscal year 2025, with adjusted revenue doubling year-on-year to $10.5 million. The company has a strong financial position with $30 million in the bank and an undrawn $50 million credit facility.
Significant EBITDA and Cash Flow Growth
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 150% year-on-year to $8.8 million, and operating cash flows rose to $14.4 million, up from $1.5 million the previous year. Free cash flow reached $9.7 million.
Growth Driven by Key Assets
Korali-Sud generated $9.1 million year-to-date in royalty revenue, driving much of the growth. Karlawinda and Caserones also performed well, with Karlawinda achieving 117,000 ounces and expansion plans approved for further growth.
Increased Revenue and GEO Guidance
Revenue guidance increased to USD 35 million to USD 40 million for 2025, with GEO guidance of 11,600 to 13,200, up nearly 40% year-on-year at the midpoint.
New Investor Support
Tether Investments joined as a new investor, supporting Elemental Altus's future growth plans and providing strong backing for capital deployment.
Negative Updates
Paused Revenue at Wahgnion
Revenue accrual at Wahgnion is paused while the government conducts an external audit. Payment is expected in 2025, but the delay affects current cash flow.
Higher Tax and Depletion Costs
Higher tax accruals and depletion costs were booked in Q2, which impacted profitability despite the overall strong financial performance.
Noncash Impairment on Investment
A noncash impairment of $1.46 million was recorded due to reclassification of the investment in Aterian plc, affecting financial reporting.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 call for Elemental Altus, CEO Fred Bell and CFO David Baker highlighted several key financial metrics showcasing the company's robust performance. Adjusted revenue reached $10.5 million, doubling year-on-year, while adjusted EBITDA surged by 150% to $8.8 million. Operating cash flows also increased to $14.4 million, reflecting a solid production base with nearly 3,200 GEOs in Q2, a 44% increase, and a record 7,800 GEOs for H1. The company's financial strength is further demonstrated by $30 million in cash and an undrawn $50 million credit facility, providing $80 million of liquidity. Revenue guidance was upgraded to $35-40 million for 2025, supported by strong performances from key assets like Korali-Sud, which generated $9.1 million in royalty revenue year-to-date. Additionally, new investor Tether Investments provides strong backing, enabling Elemental Altus to capitalize on acquisition opportunities and enhance its portfolio.

Elemental Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet is the standout (zero debt and substantial equity cushion). Profitability has improved with TTM revenue up ~10% and a shift to positive net income, but the earnings record is still uneven (losses as recently as 2024). Operating cash flow is strong and exceeds net income, though free cash flow is thin and down sharply versus the prior period.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Profitability and growth have improved meaningfully. Revenue in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is up about 10% with strong gross profitability, and the company has moved from losses in prior years to positive net income in TTM. The main offset is a still-uneven earnings track record (losses as recently as 2024 and sizable losses in 2022–2023), which suggests results can be volatile.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Balance sheet strength is a key positive: total debt is zero in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and was already very low in 2024, leaving the company lightly levered versus assets and equity. Equity is substantial relative to total assets, providing a solid cushion. The trade-off is that returns on equity are modest in TTM and were negative in the recent past, indicating the capital base has not consistently translated into strong bottom-line returns.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Operating cash generation is strong in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and comfortably exceeds net income, which supports earnings quality. However, free cash flow is thin relative to operating cash flow and declined sharply versus the prior period, indicating higher reinvestment or working-capital demands and reducing near-term financial flexibility compared with the operating cash profile.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.12M16.32M11.74M9.64M6.61M5.12M
Gross Profit19.27M9.11M4.84M4.09M3.73M3.43M
EBITDA22.65M10.26M7.80M-8.41M2.55M2.93M
Net Income5.12M-364.00K-3.90M-18.21M-4.73M-2.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets209.57M204.17M188.92M185.93M76.50M28.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.54M4.45M11.29M17.48M6.11M10.92M
Total Debt0.002.69M30.00M30.04M24.43M0.00
Total Liabilities4.04M7.78M33.72M39.50M26.02M1.14M
Stockholders Equity205.53M196.38M155.20M146.43M50.47M26.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.76M1.57M-3.58M-13.39M-39.02M-9.03M
Operating Cash Flow22.16M4.82M1.99M-723.00K1.12M2.09M
Investing Cash Flow-8.38M4.51M-5.55M-3.39M-40.12M-11.01M
Financing Cash Flow-5.31M-16.11M-2.63M15.76M34.20M19.03M

Elemental Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.44
Price Trends
50DMA
23.34
Positive
100DMA
22.92
Positive
200DMA
20.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.84
Negative
RSI
67.18
Neutral
STOCH
57.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ELE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.17, above the 50-day MA of 23.34, and above the 200-day MA of 20.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ELE.

Elemental Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
C$1.94B103.262.92%131.18%150.47%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
C$1.56B
56
Neutral
C$1.26B-17.17-50.06%28.06%
54
Neutral
C$1.71B-132.93-11.22%23.81%-139.39%
49
Neutral
C$1.17B-2.96-46.07%-1.73%37.26%
43
Neutral
C$1.47B-2.81-1186.80%8.01%-816.99%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ELE
Elemental Royalties
30.44
18.74
160.17%
TSE:ASE
Asante Gold
1.88
0.83
79.05%
TSE:RUP
Rupert Resources
6.63
2.08
45.71%
TSE:GTWO
G2 Goldfields Inc
6.62
4.11
163.75%
TSE:ODV
Osisko Development
4.59
2.39
108.64%
TSE:NFG
New Found Gold
3.73
1.29
52.87%

Elemental Royalties Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Elemental Royalty to Showcase Growth Strategy in Virtual Non-Deal Roadshow
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

Elemental Royalty Corporation will participate in Renmark Financial Communications’ live Virtual Non-Deal Roadshow Series on January 26, 2026, where CEO David M. Cole and President & COO Frederick Bell will present the company’s latest investor materials and host a live Q&A session. The event, aimed at engaging current and prospective investors as well as other stakeholders, underscores Elemental’s efforts to increase market visibility and communicate its growth strategy following its merger-driven expansion into a larger, diversified gold-focused royalty and streaming platform, with a replay to be made available on the company’s investor website.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Hold with a C$30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Elemental Royalty Grants BHP Option on Serbian Copper-Gold Exploration Licenses, Retains Royalties
Positive
Jan 16, 2026

Elemental Royalty Corporation has signed a definitive option and earn-in agreement granting a BHP subsidiary the right to acquire its Serbian unit, Magma Resources, which holds three exploration-stage licenses in the Bor Mining District. Under the deal, BHP can earn a 100% interest in the projects through staged cash payments and US$5 million in exploration spending over five years, while Elemental retains a 2% net smelter return royalty on each project, with limited buyback rights for BHP and ongoing advance royalty payments until commercial production. The licenses, including the Lenovac North and South projects that extend the trend hosting Zijin’s Čukaru Peki and Malka Golaja copper-gold deposits, expand Elemental’s royalty exposure over more than 150 square kilometres in one of Europe’s most prolific copper districts. By pairing its land position with BHP’s deep exploration capabilities, Elemental aims to unlock additional copper-gold discoveries at depth, reinforcing its strategic presence in the region and potentially enhancing long-term cash flow for shareholders through future royalty income.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Hold with a C$30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Elemental Royalty Grants Equity Awards to Align Management and Board with Growth Strategy
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

Elemental Royalty Corporation has granted a package of security-based compensation under its equity incentive plan, issuing 663,339 stock options, 155,133 restricted share units and 14,919 cash-settled deferred share units to officers, directors, employees and consultants. The options are exercisable at C$23.48 for seven years with a one-year vesting period, the RSUs vest in three equal annual tranches over three years, and the DSUs will be redeemable when independent directors leave the board, moves that further align management and board incentives with shareholders as the company pursues growth in its gold-focused royalty and streaming portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Hold with a C$23.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Elemental Royalty Enters Agreement with First Quantum for Hachita Project Exploration
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

Elemental Royalty Corporation has entered into an option agreement with First Quantum Minerals Limited to explore the Hachita porphyry copper-gold project in New Mexico. This agreement allows Elemental to receive execution and staged option payments, along with a net smelter return royalty and milestone payments upon project advancement, reinforcing its strategy of expanding its royalty portfolio through strategic partnerships and exploration expertise.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Hold with a C$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Elemental Royalty Expands Portfolio with Laverton Acquisition
Positive
Nov 27, 2025

Elemental Royalty Corporation has completed the acquisition of a 2% Gross Revenue Royalty over Genesis Minerals’ Focus Laverton Project and Brightstar Resources’ Jasper Hills Project, solidifying its position in the Laverton district, a top-tier gold region in Western Australia. This acquisition enhances Elemental’s portfolio by adding a cornerstone royalty in a proven jurisdiction, expected to contribute significantly to the company’s revenue and strengthen its market position with a world-class operator.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Hold with a C$20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Elemental Royalty to Begin Trading on Nasdaq, Enhancing Market Presence
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

Elemental Royalty Corporation announced that its common shares will begin trading on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the ticker symbol ‘ELE’, marking a significant milestone for the recently merged company. This move is expected to enhance trading liquidity, broaden exposure to institutional and retail investors, and increase coverage from U.S. investment banks, potentially benefiting shareholders and positioning the company more prominently in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Hold with a C$20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Elemental Royalty Enters Strategic Agreements with Ivanhoe Electric for Arizona Projects
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

Elemental Royalty Corporation has entered into four option agreements with Ivanhoe Electric for projects in Arizona’s Laramide porphyry copper belt. These agreements allow Ivanhoe Electric to explore and potentially earn a 100% interest in the projects over eight years, while Elemental retains a 2.5% net smelter return royalty and receives various payments. This strategic move reinforces Elemental’s royalty generation model and provides potential near-term cash flow and long-term benefits, enhancing its position in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Buy with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Elemental Altus and EMX Complete Merger, Forming Elemental Royalty Corporation
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. and EMX Royalty Corporation have completed their merger, forming Elemental Royalty Corporation. This merger enhances the company’s scale and diversification, positioning it as a leading royalty company with a strong growth profile. The merger also included a significant private placement financing with Tether Investments, raising approximately US$100 million. The leadership team has been restructured, with David Cole as CEO and Frederick Bell as President and COO. The merger is expected to provide shareholders with access to a robust portfolio of revenue-generating assets, while EMX shares will be delisted from exchanges.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Hold with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Elemental Altus Shareholders Approve Key Resolutions Amid Strategic Merger with EMX
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. announced that its shareholders have overwhelmingly approved key resolutions at a special meeting, including the approval of Tether Investments as a control person, a significant private placement financing, and a company name change to Elemental Royalty Corp. These resolutions are part of a strategic merger with EMX Royalty Corporation, which aims to create a mid-tier gold-focused streaming and royalty company. The merger will result in a diversified portfolio of 16 producing assets and over 200 royalties globally, combining Elemental Altus’s focus on royalty acquisition with EMX’s strengths in royalty generation, providing immediate cash flow and long-term value creation.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Hold with a C$23.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026