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Elemental Royalties (TSE:ELE)
:ELE

Elemental Royalties (ELE) AI Stock Analysis

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Elemental Royalties

(ELE)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
C$1.50
▲(5.63%Upside)
Elemental Royalties' stock score is buoyed by strong earnings call performance and positive corporate events, indicating strategic growth positioning. While technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, the high P/E ratio signals potential overvaluation concerns. Continued revenue growth and financial stability are notable strengths, though profitability challenges remain a key risk factor.

Elemental Royalties (ELE) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Elemental Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionElemental Royalties (ELE) is a company operating in the precious metals sector, focusing on the acquisition of royalties and streams related to gold and other metals. The company strategically partners with mining businesses to secure financial interests in mining projects, thus offering investors exposure to precious metal production without the operational risks associated with mine ownership.
How the Company Makes MoneyElemental Royalties makes money primarily through its portfolio of royalty and streaming agreements. These agreements entitle Elemental to receive a percentage of the revenue or metal production from mining operations in which they hold royalty interests. The company generates revenue by receiving payments based on the production of these mines. Significant partnerships with mining companies enable Elemental to secure these advantageous royalty agreements, providing steady income streams as the mines produce gold and other precious metals. The company's financial success is largely tied to the performance of its partnered mining operations and fluctuations in metal prices.

Elemental Royalties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 20, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.71%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted record-breaking revenue and growth, driven by strong contributions from Korali-Sud and robust financial positioning. While there were some challenges with royalty payments from Wahgnion and minor declines in Bonikro sales, these were outweighed by the positive achievements and future potential. The overall sentiment is optimistic with a strong outlook for the rest of the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Q1 2025 was the strongest quarter in the company's history with record adjusted revenue of $13.3 million, up 179% from Q1 2024. Adjusted EBITDA rose 259% to $11.5 million, and operating cash flow increased by 182% to $3.3 million.
Strong Contribution from Korali-Sud
The Korali-Sud royalty generated $6.6 million in revenue, contributing significantly to the quarter's performance with 2,309 gold equivalent ounces.
Robust Financial Position
The company is debt-free with $22.6 million in cash and a $50 million undrawn credit facility, providing excellent flexibility for non-dilutive growth.
Expansion at Karlawinda
Karlawinda gold production exceeded 30,000 ounces, generating $1.8 million in revenue. An expansion targeting 150,000 ounces annually is underway, promising a 30% increase in production.
Positive Outlook on Commodity Prices
Higher gold and copper prices are expected to have a very positive impact on revenue, with the potential to exceed initial guidance.
Significant EBITDA Margin
The company achieved a record EBITDA margin of 87%, demonstrating strong cost discipline and operational leverage.
Negative Updates
Paused Royalties from Wahgnion
Wahgnion has put a temporary pause on royalty payments due to an external audit, leading to no accrued revenue in Q1 2025 from this source.
Delayed Shipments Affecting Cash Flow
Some cash flow from Q1 revenue was delayed to Q2 due to timing issues with royalty payments.
Decline in Bonikro Sales
Bonikro contributed nearly 19,000 ounces in Q1, but this was slightly down year-on-year. However, stronger performance is expected in the future.
Company Guidance
During Elemental Altus' Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported its strongest quarter ever, with record adjusted revenue of $13.3 million, marking a 179% increase from the equivalent period in 2024. This was bolstered by significant contributions from the new Korali-Sud royalty, which generated $6.6 million and 2,309 gold equivalent ounces. The company also highlighted a record Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $11.5 million, up 259% year-over-year, and operating cash flow of $3.3 million, a 182% increase. Elemental Altus remains on track to meet its annual guidance of 11,600 to 13,200 gold equivalent ounces, with a projected adjusted revenue of $30 million to $34 million for 2025. The company is positioned with over $70 million in non-dilutive capital, leveraging strong commodity prices and operational performance from key assets such as Karlawinda and Caserones, and anticipates continued growth and strategic opportunities.

Elemental Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Elemental Royalties demonstrates solid revenue growth and operational efficiency, with strong equity and low leverage enhancing financial stability. However, challenges in net profitability and negative free cash flow highlight the need for improved cost management and cash generation to support sustainable growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Elemental Royalties has shown notable revenue growth with a 25.70% increase from 2023 to the TTM period. The gross profit margin improved to 54.00%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 11.38%, reflecting challenges in converting revenue growth into net profitability. The positive EBIT and EBITDA margins of 30.65% and 48.16%, respectively, suggest operational efficiency, yet the conversion to net income needs enhancement.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 86.66%, indicating a stable financial structure predominantly funded by equity. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.13, reflecting low leverage and minimal risk from debt obligations. Return on equity (ROE) stands at 1.08%, indicating limited returns on shareholder investments, which presents a potential area for improvement.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
While operating cash flow surpasses net income, indicating good cash conversion, free cash flow remains negative, which could impact future investments and growth opportunities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.93 suggests effective cash management, but improving the free cash flow to net income ratio, currently negative, is critical.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
14.76M11.74M9.64M6.61M5.12M2.42M
Gross Profit
7.97M4.84M4.09M3.73M3.43M1.71M
EBIT
4.53M259.00K-3.29M-302.00K-275.87K777.25K
EBITDA
7.11M7.86M-8.41M2.55M2.93M1.48M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.68M-3.90M-18.21M-4.73M-2.63M-81.81K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
206.19K11.29M17.48M6.11M10.92M812.57K
Total Assets
0.00188.92M185.93M76.50M28.04M6.67M
Total Debt
0.0030.00M30.04M24.43M1.000.00
Net Debt
206.19K18.71M12.56M18.32M-10.92M-812.57K
Total Liabilities
0.0033.72M39.50M26.02M1.14M293.42K
Stockholders Equity
4.09M155.20M146.43M50.47M26.91M6.37M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-1.50M-3.58M-13.39M-39.02M-9.03M504.03K
Operating Cash Flow
3.24M1.99M-723.00K1.12M2.09M1.01M
Investing Cash Flow
6.05M-5.55M-3.39M-40.12M-11.01M-503.08K
Financing Cash Flow
-12.15M-2.63M15.76M34.20M19.03M102.23K

Elemental Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.42
Price Trends
50DMA
1.40
Positive
100DMA
1.30
Positive
200DMA
1.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Positive
RSI
48.22
Neutral
STOCH
10.53
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ELE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.43, above the 50-day MA of 1.40, and above the 200-day MA of 1.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.53 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ELE.

Elemental Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSMKO
76
Outperform
C$416.62M11.6639.70%56.13%98.44%
TSELE
74
Outperform
C$348.98M57.962.36%109.11%
TSOGN
70
Outperform
C$394.49M101.305.89%33.96%37.86%
61
Neutral
$2.83B10.910.42%8438.90%5.74%-20.95%
56
Neutral
$171.50M411.862.86%2.75%56.49%
TSFDR
46
Neutral
C$400.85M-14.97%-83.38%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ELE
Elemental Royalties
1.42
0.29
25.66%
TSE:FISH
Sailfish Royalty
2.43
1.30
114.85%
TSE:OGN
Orogen Royalties
1.96
0.78
66.10%
TSE:MKO
Mako Mining Corp
5.18
1.96
60.87%
TSE:FDR
Founders Metals
4.21
2.34
125.13%

Elemental Royalties Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Elemental Altus Expands Australian Royalty Portfolio with Laverton and Hercules Developments
Positive
May 28, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. has announced significant developments in its Australian royalty portfolio, notably with the Laverton Project and the Hercules Discovery. The Laverton Project, acquired by Genesis Minerals for A$250 million, offers substantial growth potential with its existing mining leases and exploration opportunities, enhancing Elemental Altus’s portfolio. Meanwhile, the Hercules Discovery, under Northern Star Resources, has delivered a maiden resource estimate of approximately 900,000 ounces of gold, marking a significant milestone for the project. These developments underscore the embedded value in Elemental Altus’s Australian assets and highlight the company’s strategic positioning for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Elemental Altus Royalties Achieves Record Q1 Financial Performance
Positive
May 20, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. reported record financial performance for Q1 2025, with significant increases in revenue, EBITDA, and cash flow compared to the previous year. The company’s strong financial position, bolstered by substantial cash reserves and a fully repaid credit facility, positions it well for future growth and acquisitions. The Korali-Sud royalty has emerged as a major revenue contributor, and the company anticipates continued momentum with additional revenue from other projects. The positive outlook includes a projected increase in gold equivalent ounces and revenue, supported by favorable market conditions and strategic expansions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Elemental Altus Royalties to Announce Q1 2025 Results
Neutral
May 16, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. announced it will release its Q1 2025 financial results on May 20, 2025, before the market opens. The company will host an investor webcast to discuss the results, which could provide insights into its financial health and future growth prospects, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELE) stock is a Buy with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elemental Royalties stock, see the TSE:ELE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsFinancial Disclosures
Elemental Altus Secures US$9.6M from Ming Stream Claim
Positive
May 1, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. has received a significant payment of US$9.6 million from its secured creditor claim against Rambler Metals and Mining Canada Limited, related to its former Ming gold stream. This payment forms a major part of the anticipated US$15 million in portfolio payments for 2025, which are additional to the company’s projected royalty revenue of US$30.1 million to US$34.3 million for the year. The successful acquisition by FireFly Metals Ltd of Rambler Group has enabled Elemental Altus to realize a total of US$12.8 million from the Ming stream, enhancing the company’s financial health and positioning it strongly in the market.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Elemental Altus Royalties Achieves Record Financial Results in 2024
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. reported record financial results for 2024, with significant increases in revenue, operating cash flow, and EBITDA. The company achieved a 39% increase in annual revenue, reaching $16.3 million, and a 53% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $15.1 million. The company also made $33.5 million in accretive royalty acquisitions and repaid $27 million of debt. Looking ahead to 2025, Elemental Altus expects record gold equivalent ounces and adjusted revenue, driven by new royalties and high gold prices, positioning the company for exceptional growth and long-term value for shareholders.

Financial Disclosures
Elemental Altus Royalties to Announce Q4 2024 Results
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. announced it will release its Q4 2024 financial results on April 16, 2025, followed by an investor webcast on April 17, 2025. This announcement underscores the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and investor engagement, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations as it continues to expand its global presence in the precious metals royalty sector.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.