Osisko Development (ODV) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$1.33B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 214.50K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 2.02
• Revenue Growth: -1.73%
• EPS Growth: 37.26%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 100
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Gold
• EPS (TTM): -0.80
• Shares Outstanding: 255,041,700
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 310,953
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 214,504
• PEG Ratio: 0.05
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.53
• Price to Sales (P/S): 66.26
• P/FCF Ratio: -3.40
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$9.12
• Price Target Upside: 75.43% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 49 Neutral
• Price Target: C$5.00 ▼(-3.85% Downside)

The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance—large losses, negative gross profit, and sustained negative operating/free cash flow—despite a comparatively resilient balance sheet with low leverage. Technical indicators are mixed but slightly supportive (neutral RSI, mildly positive MACD, oversold stochastic), while valuation is difficult to assess because profitability is negative and no dividend yield is available.

Positive Factors

Cash Position

A strong cash position provides Osisko Development with the financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and manage operational challenges, supporting long-term stability.

Strategic Leadership

The addition of experienced leadership in exploration enhances Osisko's ability to identify and develop new mining opportunities, potentially driving future growth.

Project Advancement

Progress in the Cariboo Gold Project indicates a commitment to expanding production capacity, which could lead to increased revenues and market share over time.

Negative Factors

Negative Profitability

Persistent negative profitability suggests challenges in cost management and revenue generation, potentially impacting long-term financial health and investment appeal.

Reliance on External Financing

Dependence on external financing for operations indicates potential liquidity risks, which could constrain future growth and operational flexibility if not managed effectively.

Declining Revenues

A decline in revenues reflects challenges in maintaining sales performance, which could hinder the company's ability to invest in growth and improve profitability.

Osisko Development Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Osisko Development Corp., a gold mining company, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mining projects. The company's flagship project is the Cariboo Gold project covering an area of 2,071 square kilometers of mineral rights located in British Columbia, Canada. It also holds interest in James Bay Properties located in Québec, Canada; and San Antonio Gold Project and Guerrero Properties located in Guerrero, Mexico. The company is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Osisko Development generates revenue primarily through the mining and sale of gold and other precious metals. The company's revenue model centers on the development of its mining projects, where it invests in exploration, resource development, and production. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold produced from its mining operations, along with potential streams from joint ventures and partnerships with other mining companies. Additionally, Osisko Development may benefit from strategic alliances and partnerships that enhance its operational capabilities and market access, contributing to its overall earnings. The company also engages in the potential monetization of its mineral rights and royalties associated with its properties, adding further dimensions to its revenue generation strategy.

Osisko Development Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue rebounded strongly (+60.5% TTM), but fundamentals remain weak with negative gross profit, very large losses (TTM net margin about -19.1%), and ongoing cash burn (TTM operating cash flow -$54.7M; free cash flow -$106.1M). The balance sheet is a relative positive (sizable equity and low leverage), but negative ROE (~-25%) highlights continuing profitability risk.

Income Statement

TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue rebounded sharply (+60.5% growth), but profitability remains very weak: gross profit is negative and losses are extremely large versus sales (TTM net margin about -19.1%, with deeply negative operating margins). Results have also been volatile over time, with revenue swinging meaningfully year to year and no clear path yet to sustained positive margins.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is a relative strength, with sizable equity ($546.7M in TTM period) and low leverage (debt-to-equity is very low in TTM). However, returns to shareholders are materially negative (TTM return on equity around -25%), reflecting heavy losses that, if sustained, could pressure the capital base over time despite currently modest debt levels.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is weak: operating cash flow is consistently negative (TTM -$54.7M) and free cash flow is deeply negative (TTM -$106.1M). Free cash flow also deteriorated versus the prior period (TTM free cash flow growth -6.1%). While free cash flow is larger than net loss (TTM free cash flow to net income ~1.79x), the core issue is ongoing cash burn that likely requires continued funding.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	11.27M	4.56M	31.63M	64.05M	7.66M	0.00
Gross Profit	-6.37M	-518.00K	-887.00K	7.24M	-121.00K	-1.02M
EBITDA	-240.93M	-57.21M	-176.33M	-172.78M	-143.01M	1.73M
Net Income	-250.83M	-86.34M	-181.87M	-192.46M	-133.30M	-8.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.16B	856.90M	763.88M	968.20M	703.12M	802.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	401.35M	106.65M	43.45M	105.94M	33.41M	197.43M
Total Debt	139.42M	46.64M	18.60M	19.09M	13.63M	2.04M
Total Liabilities	616.83M	286.27M	178.69M	237.76M	118.92M	102.58M
Stockholders Equity	546.67M	570.63M	585.19M	730.43M	584.20M	699.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-106.05M	-88.93M	-98.94M	-127.62M	-88.95M	-72.71M
Operating Cash Flow	-54.67M	-52.30M	-43.78M	-50.26M	-41.41M	-5.98M
Investing Cash Flow	-42.73M	-35.23M	-66.06M	-145.92M	-156.98M	-61.97M
Financing Cash Flow	452.63M	145.47M	47.79M	254.53M	34.74M	257.62M

Osisko Development Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5.20
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ODV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.04, above the 50-day MA of 4.96, and above the 200-day MA of 3.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ODV.

Osisko Development Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
RUP	60 Neutral	C$1.78B	―	―	―	―	―
GAU	59 Neutral	$1.11B	-17.09	-20.37%	―	114.30%	-2606.59%
RIO	59 Neutral	C$1.72B	390.72	3.01%	―	―	―
IAU	56 Neutral	C$2.06B	-7.68	-37.59%	―	70.93%	37.37%
ODV	49 Neutral	C$1.33B	-3.35	-46.07%	―	-1.73%	37.26%
ASE	43 Neutral	C$1.59B	-3.09	-1186.80%	―	8.01%	-816.99%

Osisko Development Corporate Events

Osisko Development Sells San Antonio Gold Project to Axo Copper

Osisko Development Corp. has entered into an agreement to sell its San Antonio Gold Project in Mexico to Axo Copper Corp. The transaction involves Osisko receiving a 9.99% stake in Axo and contingent payments based on future project milestones. This move aligns with Osisko’s strategy to focus on priority development assets, while Axo is expected to advance the San Antonio Project. The project has been in care and maintenance since 2023 and is not considered a material property for Osisko.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ODV) stock is a Buy with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Development stock, see the TSE:ODV Stock Forecast page.