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i-80 Gold Corp (TSE:IAU)
TSX:IAU
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i-80 Gold Corp (IAU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:IAU

i-80 Gold Corp

(TSX:IAU)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.00
▼(-15.25% Downside)
The overall stock score of 53 reflects a mixed outlook. The company's strong revenue growth and ambitious production plans are offset by significant profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical indicators show positive momentum, but valuation metrics highlight financial instability. The earnings call provided a cautiously optimistic view, but operational challenges persist.
Positive Factors
Leadership Expertise
Richard Young brings extensive financial, development, and operational expertise to i-80.
Recapitalization Plan
Management has initiated a two-phase recapitalization plan to generate free cash flow and reschedule or refinance existing debt obligations.
Negative Factors
Asset Value
The company's NAV has decreased by 30% to $2.16/sh, indicating a significant drop in asset value.
Equity Dilution
The company is expected to face significant equity dilution given the share price level.
Funding Requirements
The biggest risk to this new plan is the outside capital required over the next 12 months, with $300m needed to support ongoing and planned development activities as well as service debt obligations through 2027.

i-80 Gold Corp (IAU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

i-80 Gold Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptioni-80 Gold Corp (IAU) is a mining company focused on the exploration, development, and production of precious metals, primarily gold. Operating within the mining sector, i-80 Gold Corp is engaged in advancing its portfolio of mining projects located in Nevada, USA, which is one of the most prolific gold-producing regions in the world. The company's core activities include acquiring, exploring, and developing mineral properties to establish profitable mining operations.
How the Company Makes Moneyi-80 Gold Corp generates revenue through the extraction and sale of gold and other precious metals from its mining operations. The company's primary revenue stream comes from selling the gold it produces to various buyers, including refineries and other entities in the precious metals market. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to optimize its mining operations and expand its resource base, which can contribute to its earnings. The ability to effectively manage production costs and increase mineral reserves are significant factors influencing the company's profitability.

i-80 Gold Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in terms of financial strengthening through an equity raise and increased gold production plans. However, challenges remain, particularly with net losses and dewatering issues at Granite Creek. Overall, the sentiment was cautiously optimistic with a strong focus on future growth and development.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Equity Raise
Completed an equity raise in May, strengthening the balance sheet and improving liquidity, with gross proceeds of $186 million through a bought deal offering and private placement.
Gold Production Plans
Average annual gold production is expected to increase from less than 50,000 ounces per year to a target of 150,000 to 200,000 ounces by 2028 and 300,000 to 400,000 ounces by 2030, ultimately reaching over 600,000 ounces by 2032.
Granite Creek Underground Production
Mining volumes during the second quarter were ahead of the prior year period, with approximately 24,000 tons of oxide mineralized material and 11,200 tons of sulfide material mined.
Increased Gold Sales
Gold sales increased to approximately 8,400 ounces for the quarter, with total revenue from gold sales rising to about $28 million.
Strong Cash Position
Ended the quarter with a cash position of approximately $134 million, due in part to the equity raise.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Position
Concluded the quarter in a net loss position of $0.05 per share, primarily due to the ramp-up and development stage of operations.
Dewatering Challenges at Granite Creek
Encountering higher-than-expected levels of oxide mineralized material and the need for additional dewatering infrastructure, impacting development timelines.
Company Guidance
During the i-80 Gold's 2025 Second Quarter Conference Call, the company outlined its ambitious growth strategy, emphasizing a three-phase plan to boost annual gold production to over 600,000 ounces by the early 2030s. In the first phase, they aim to increase production from less than 50,000 ounces to between 150,000 and 200,000 ounces by 2028, focusing on high-grade underground projects like Granite Creek and Archimedes. By 2030, the second phase is expected to lift production to 300,000-400,000 ounces with the introduction of Cove underground and Granite Creek open pit. The final phase, marked by the Mineral Point open-pit, targets over 600,000 ounces annually by 2032. Supporting this growth, i-80 Gold has secured a significant equity raise, bolstering their balance sheet and liquidity, enabling advancements in feasibility and engineering studies, and permitting work across their five gold projects. The company projects gold sales in 2025 to range between 30,000 and 40,000 ounces, with a revenue increase driven by a higher average realized gold price of $3,301 per ounce. They are also planning for a recapitalization strategy involving a new senior debt facility of $350-$400 million by mid-2026 to advance their development plans.

i-80 Gold Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
i-80 Gold Corp demonstrates modest revenue growth but faces substantial operational challenges with negative profitability metrics. The balance sheet shows a reasonable equity position but is burdened by moderate leverage. Cash flow metrics highlight significant cash burn, underscoring the need for improved operational efficiency and financial management.
Income Statement
30
Negative
The company's income statement shows consistent revenue generation in the recent period with a TTM revenue of $55.97 million, slightly higher compared to the previous annual figures. However, profitability remains a significant concern with negative gross profit margins and worsening net profit margins, indicating high operational costs and inefficiencies. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are significantly negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges. Overall, weak profitability metrics overshadow modest revenue growth, resulting in a low score.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a stable asset base with total assets at $658.97 million, but there is notable financial leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62, which is moderate for the industry. The equity ratio stands at 48.23%, indicating a decent proportion of assets financed by equity. However, the return on equity is negative due to net losses, which is concerning for investors. The company maintains a moderate level of cash reserves, but high debt levels pose potential risks. Overall, the balance sheet reflects medium stability with moderate leverage.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates ongoing cash flow challenges, with negative operating cash flow of $82.48 million and a negative free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting significant cash burn relative to net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also unfavorable. While financing activities have provided some cash inflow, these are not sustainable long-term solutions. Overall, the cash flow position is weak, with insufficient cash generation to cover operational and capital requirements.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue76.62M50.34M54.91M36.96M0.000.00
Gross Profit-2.09M-15.72M-5.14M3.57M-662.00K-296.00K
EBITDA-105.35M-85.27M-57.82M-61.82M97.65M-6.33M
Net Income-140.41M-121.53M-89.65M-79.20M88.22M-2.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets782.88M655.63M723.69M641.96M656.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments133.69M19.00M16.28M48.28M87.66M
Total Debt175.81M191.40M180.27M115.88M41.44M70.60M
Total Liabilities319.34M314.96M297.43M308.55M249.37M159.77M
Stockholders Equity463.54M340.66M426.26M333.41M406.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-68.94M-84.52M-94.13M-96.06M-19.02M-3.13M
Operating Cash Flow-62.26M-82.50M-54.62M-45.84M-13.01M4.87M
Investing Cash Flow-7.13M-1.59M-42.51M-54.73M-137.59M-9.87M
Financing Cash Flow156.92M82.67M65.16M61.43M222.90M-6.55M

i-80 Gold Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.18
Price Trends
50DMA
0.91
Positive
100DMA
0.87
Positive
200DMA
0.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
70.80
Negative
STOCH
78.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IAU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.99, above the 50-day MA of 0.91, and above the 200-day MA of 0.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.80 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:IAU.

i-80 Gold Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$514.26M15.5436.44%39.98%-10.55%
72
Outperform
C$503.81M78.242.53%131.19%
62
Neutral
$10.28B6.210.76%2.84%3.10%-36.03%
53
Neutral
C$880.00M-32.13%44.23%-6.22%
$247.77M-143.63%
$656.62M-25.37%
$434.49M-54.44%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IAU
i-80 Gold Corp
1.18
-0.15
-11.28%
TSE:ELE
Elemental Royalties
2.15
1.08
100.93%
TSE:MKO
Mako Mining Corp
6.62
3.84
138.13%
WRLGF
West Red Lake Gold Mines
0.73
0.23
46.00%
ODV
Osisko Development
2.96
0.93
45.81%
NFGC
New Found Gold
1.80
-0.63
-25.93%

i-80 Gold Corp Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
i-80 Gold Corp Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Project Developments
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp reported its second-quarter 2025 results, highlighting significant financial and operational improvements. The company achieved a substantial increase in revenue and gold sales, driven by higher gold prices and increased production at its Granite Creek and Lone Tree projects. The completion of equity financing has enabled the advancement of key development initiatives, including the Lone Tree autoclave refurbishment study and underground development at Archimedes. The company is actively working on feasibility studies and permitting efforts to support its goal of producing over 600,000 ounces of gold annually by the early 2030s.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IAU) stock is a Buy with a C$1.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on i-80 Gold Corp stock, see the TSE:IAU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Corp Advances Nevada Projects with New Development Plan
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp has provided an update on its new development plan, which includes advancing Nevada gold projects and creating a mid-tier gold producer. The company is making progress on several fronts, including drilling, feasibility studies, and permitting efforts for its projects. The Granite Creek Underground operation is ramping up, with a predictive hydrogeological model aiding dewatering efforts. The Lone Tree autoclave processing facility is undergoing feasibility optimization, and the Archimedes Underground mine is nearing the final stages of permitting. These developments are expected to enhance i-80’s operational capabilities and strategic positioning in the gold mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IAU) stock is a Buy with a C$1.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on i-80 Gold Corp stock, see the TSE:IAU Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Corp. Reports 2025 Shareholder Meeting Results
Neutral
Jun 18, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. announced the results of its 2025 annual and special meeting of shareholders, where 53.1% of the company’s outstanding shares were voted. Shareholders approved setting the number of directors at seven, elected all director nominees, reappointed Grant Thornton LLP as auditors, and approved an Advance Notice Policy for director nominations. These decisions are expected to support i-80 Gold’s strategic goals and operational efficiency as it continues to develop its asset portfolio in Nevada.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IAU) stock is a Buy with a C$1.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on i-80 Gold Corp stock, see the TSE:IAU Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Corp. Secures US$11 Million in Private Placement to Fuel Nevada Expansion
Positive
May 26, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has successfully closed a private placement, raising US$11.12 million through the sale of 22,240,000 units. The funds, part of a larger US$184 million financing effort, will support the company’s development plans in Nevada. The participation of company insiders in this placement underscores confidence in i-80 Gold’s strategic direction and growth potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IAU) stock is a Buy with a C$1.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on i-80 Gold Corp stock, see the TSE:IAU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025