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i-80 Gold Corp (TSE:IAU)
TSX:IAU

i-80 Gold Corp (IAU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:IAU

i-80 Gold Corp

(TSX:IAU)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.50
▲(15.74% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (loss-making margins and negative operating/free cash flow) despite strong revenue growth. Technicals are a key positive with a strong uptrend and supportive momentum. Earnings call commentary is cautiously constructive on execution and guidance, but financing and cost pressures remain meaningful risks, and valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Rising gold sales and revenue
Sustained increases in ounces sold and revenue reflect operational progress toward production scale. Higher physical gold output supports future cash generation potential, reduces per-ounce fixed costs over time, and strengthens the company’s ability to fund development and repay project financing.
High-grade drilling and project advancement
High-grade intercepts and active development at Granite Creek materially enhance resource quality and reserve conversion prospects. Robust drill results de-risk long-term mine plans, improve expected mine economics, and justify investment in infrastructure and sequencing toward sustained production.
Recapitalization funding secured
Committed financing for near-term construction and technical work materially reduces execution risk for key projects. Access to targeted capital preserves development timelines, enables milestone delivery, and lowers immediate dilution risk versus relying solely on equity markets for funding.
Negative Factors
Persistent net losses
Ongoing net losses indicate the company remains in a capital-intensive development phase and cannot yet self-fund growth. Persisting losses constrain retained earnings, limit balance sheet resilience, and increase dependence on external financing to complete project builds and transition to positive cash flow.
Weak operating cash generation
Negative operating and free cash flow are structural challenges for a developer moving toward production. Poor cash generation increases refinancing and liquidity risk, forces reliance on debt or asset sales, and can delay project milestones if incremental funding cannot be secured on favorable terms.
Groundwater and higher operating costs
Ongoing dewatering and water management issues drive capital and operating expenditures and can disrupt schedules. Persistent hydrogeological constraints raise unit costs, complicate mining sequencing, and may require sustained investment to maintain production reliability and protect long-term margin sustainability.

i-80 Gold Corp (IAU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

i-80 Gold Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptioni-80 Gold Corp., a mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of gold and silver mineral deposits in the United States. It holds a 100% interest in the Lone Tree property covering an area of approximately 12,000 acres located in Battle Mountain-Eureka, Northern Nevada; Ruby Hill property located in Battle Mountain Trend, Northern Nevada; McCoy-Cove project covering 31,000 acres located in Battle Mountain Trend, Nevada; and Buffalo Mountain property located in Battle Mountain Trend, Northern Nevada as well as controls Granite Creek Project located in Getchell Trend, Northern Nevada. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Reno, Nevada.
How the Company Makes Moneyi-80 Gold Corp generates revenue primarily through the exploration and development of gold mining projects, with a focus on advancing its properties to production. The company benefits from various key revenue streams, including potential future gold production, joint ventures, and partnerships with other mining companies that may provide funding, technical expertise, or shared resources. Significant partnerships with established industry players can enhance i-80 Gold's operational capabilities and reduce exploration risks, ultimately contributing to its earnings as projects move closer to production and begin generating cash flow from gold sales.

i-80 Gold Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in project development and drilling results, improved gross profit, and increased gold sales, indicating positive momentum. However, the company continues to report a net loss and faces challenges with increased costs and groundwater management. Overall, the positive aspects slightly outweigh the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Project Advancements
The third quarter marked solid progress with milestones within the development plan, including the ramp-up of Granite Creek Underground and the commencement of construction at Archimedes as planned.
Improved Gross Profit
Gross profit improved, moving from a loss a year ago to a small profit, with a roughly $24 million increase year-to-date.
Strong Drilling Results
Notable drilling results from the South Pacific Zone at Granite Creek with high-grade intercepts, including 33.6 grams per ton over 2.9 meters.
Increased Gold Sales and Revenue
Gold sales nearly doubled to 9,400 ounces, and total revenue increased to approximately $32 million due to higher ounces sold and a higher average realized gold price of $3,412 per ounce.
Recapitalization Strategy Progress
Secured capital to fund over $90 million in construction activities, drilling, permitting, and technical studies, reinforcing the strength of assets.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Persisting
Reported a net loss of approximately $42 million or $0.05 per share, similar to the prior year period, reflecting the development stage and strategic investment period.
Higher Cost of Sales
Cost of sales increased due to higher processing fees from increased toll milling of sulfide material.
Challenges with Dewatering
Although progress is being made, groundwater management remains a challenge requiring ongoing infrastructure improvements.
Company Guidance
During i-80 Gold's 2025 Third Quarter Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and milestones. The company expects to meet its 2025 consolidated guidance of 30,000 to 40,000 ounces of gold production, noting significant progress at both Granite Creek and Archimedes underground projects. A notable achievement was turning a previous loss into a small gross profit at Granite Creek. The company also reported gold sales of approximately 9,400 ounces for the quarter, contributing to a total revenue of $32 million, with an average realized gold price of $3,412 per ounce. The recapitalization strategy involves securing a financing package by mid-2026 to support the development plan, which includes a potential new senior debt facility of $350 million to $400 million. The company is also considering a royalty sale and the potential sale of its non-core FAD project to support this strategy. Looking ahead, significant milestones include the completion of feasibility studies for several projects and the commencement of refurbishment at the Lone Tree plant, with an anticipated construction decision in the second quarter of 2026.

i-80 Gold Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite strong TTM revenue growth (26.77%), profitability is weak with negative gross, EBIT/EBITDA, and net margins. Cash flow is also a concern with negative operating and free cash flow, while leverage appears manageable (debt-to-equity 0.42) but ROE is negative.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The company has shown a significant revenue growth rate of 26.77% in the TTM period, indicating a positive trajectory in sales. However, profitability remains a concern with negative gross profit, net profit, EBIT, and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational challenges and high costs relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 in the TTM period suggests moderate leverage, which is manageable. However, the negative return on equity indicates that the company is not generating profits from its equity base, highlighting inefficiencies in utilizing shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The company faces cash flow challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.49 suggests that despite losses, cash flow management is relatively better, but overall cash generation remains weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue97.13M50.34M54.91M36.96M0.000.00
Gross Profit5.52M-15.72M-5.14M3.57M-662.00K-296.00K
EBITDA-110.53M-85.27M-57.82M-67.71M97.65M-5.99M
Net Income-144.21M-121.53M-89.65M-79.20M88.22M-2.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets756.22M655.63M723.69M641.96M656.35M0.00
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments102.87M19.00M16.28M48.28M87.66M0.00
Total Debt175.91M191.40M180.27M115.88M41.44M70.60M
Total Liabilities333.22M314.96M297.43M308.55M249.37M159.77M
Stockholders Equity423.00M340.66M426.26M333.41M406.98M0.00
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-47.75M-84.52M-94.13M-96.06M-19.02M-3.13M
Operating Cash Flow-43.88M-82.50M-54.62M-45.84M-13.01M4.87M
Investing Cash Flow-3.87M-1.59M-42.51M-54.73M-137.59M-9.87M
Financing Cash Flow106.98M82.67M65.16M61.43M222.90M-6.55M

i-80 Gold Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.16
Price Trends
50DMA
2.00
Positive
100DMA
1.67
Positive
200DMA
1.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
46.31
Neutral
STOCH
46.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IAU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.28, above the 50-day MA of 2.00, and above the 200-day MA of 1.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:IAU.

i-80 Gold Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
C$1.50B12.9522.92%34.05%80.47%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
C$1.40B335.053.01%
56
Neutral
$1.26B-17.17-50.06%28.06%
56
Neutral
C$1.73B-6.80-37.59%70.93%37.37%
49
Neutral
C$1.17B-2.96-46.07%-1.73%37.26%
43
Neutral
C$1.47B-2.81-1186.80%8.01%-816.99%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IAU
i-80 Gold Corp
2.16
1.33
160.24%
TSE:ASE
Asante Gold
1.88
0.81
75.70%
TSE:ORE
Orezone Gold
2.50
1.77
242.47%
TSE:RIO
Rio2
3.25
2.56
371.01%
TSE:ODV
Osisko Development
4.59
2.29
99.57%
TSE:NFG
New Found Gold
3.73
1.30
53.50%

i-80 Gold Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
i-80 Gold Bolsters Board with Three Independent Directors to Support Nevada Growth Strategy
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

i-80 Gold Corp. has strengthened its board of directors with the appointment of three new independent directors – Ronald Butler Jr., Michael Jalonen and Steven Yopps – effective 1 February 2026, expanding the board to nine members. The additions bring deep expertise in mining operations, finance, mineral processing and capital markets, directly aligned with the company’s strategy to develop five gold projects and refurbish its Lone Tree autoclave facility in Nevada. Management highlighted that Butler’s long-standing financial and governance experience, Jalonen’s decades as a top-ranked precious metals analyst and Yopps’ extensive metallurgical and Nevada operational background are expected to enhance governance, technical oversight and strategic execution as i-80 Gold advances its plan to become a leading mid-tier gold producer in the state.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IAU) stock is a Hold with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on i-80 Gold Corp stock, see the TSE:IAU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Drilling at Granite Creek Underscores High-Grade Growth and Resource Upside
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

i-80 Gold reported new high-grade assay results from its 2025 drilling campaign at the Granite Creek Underground Project in northern Nevada, with 40 new holes in the South Pacific Zone confirming robust mineralization and supporting the potential to expand resources to the north and at depth. The 16,000-metre program, largely focused on infill drilling, delivered several standout intercepts and is intended to convert inferred resources to the indicated category, feed an updated resource estimate, and underpin a feasibility study expected in early 2026, reinforcing the mine’s potential beyond the roughly eight-year life outlined in the prior economic study and supporting the company’s broader growth plans at its other Nevada projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IAU) stock is a Hold with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on i-80 Gold Corp stock, see the TSE:IAU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold’s Lone Tree Study Points to Higher Margins and Fast Payback on US$430 Million Plant Refurbishment
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

i-80 Gold has released an engineering study outlining plans to refurbish and upgrade its Lone Tree processing plant in Northern Nevada into a modern pressure oxidation and carbon‑in‑leach facility with nameplate capacity of roughly 2,268 tonnes per day. The project carries an AACE Class 3 capital cost estimate of about US$430 million including spares, higher than earlier expectations due to inflation, design refinements and expanded tailings capacity, but is projected to materially improve economics by shifting the company from toll‑milling to an owner‑operated model that could boost margins by an estimated US$1,000–US$1,500 per ounce and deliver a payback in 12 to 24 months once in operation. Early works have started under a limited notice to proceed, with full construction contingent on completing a recapitalization that management aims to finish by mid‑2026, and the plant is targeted for construction start in the second half of 2026 and commissioning by the end of 2027, positioning i‑80 Gold to centralize processing of ore from its three underground mines and strengthen its competitive standing alongside Nevada Gold Mines as one of the only autoclave operators in the state.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IAU) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on i-80 Gold Corp stock, see the TSE:IAU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
i-80 Gold Corp Unveils High-Grade Resource Estimate for FAD Project
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp announced a high-grade mineral resource estimate for its FAD Project, highlighting significant gold, silver, lead, and zinc mineralization. The project, located in Nevada, presents a substantial opportunity due to its high-grade nature and growth potential. Despite its potential, the FAD Project is considered non-core, and the company is contemplating its sale to support recapitalization objectives. The company remains focused on its core projects and aims to leverage the near-surface gold mineralization at the Gold Hill deposit through heap leaching at nearby facilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IAU) stock is a Hold with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on i-80 Gold Corp stock, see the TSE:IAU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 21, 2026