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Orogen Royalties (TSE:OGN)
:OGN

Orogen Royalties (OGN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OGN

Orogen Royalties

(OGN)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$2.50
▲(6.84% Upside)
Orogen Royalties scores well due to strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, and declining free cash flow and equity raise concerns about future growth potential. The absence of a dividend yield further impacts its valuation attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Business Model Strength
The royalty-based business model allows Orogen to earn income without incurring direct mining costs, providing a stable revenue stream and reducing operational risks.
High Profit Margins
High profit margins indicate efficient operations and strong pricing power, contributing to sustained profitability and competitive advantage in the mining sector.
Minimal Debt
Minimal leverage reduces financial risk and enhances financial flexibility, allowing the company to navigate economic fluctuations and invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Declining Free Cash Flow
A decline in free cash flow may limit the company's ability to fund new investments or return capital to shareholders, potentially impacting long-term growth prospects.
Declining Stockholders' Equity
A decrease in stockholders' equity suggests potential challenges in maintaining financial stability and could affect the company's ability to raise capital in the future.
Declining EBIT
A decline in EBIT indicates potential issues in maintaining operational efficiency, which could affect profitability and the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives.

Orogen Royalties (OGN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Orogen Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrogen Royalties Inc. operates as a mineral exploration company in Canada, the United States, and Mexico. The company operates through two segments, Mineral Royalties and Mineral Exploration Project Generation. It has a portfolio of gold, copper, silver, and precious and base metal royalty projects. The company holds interest in the La Verdad epithermal gold-silver project in Durango, Mexico. It has an option to acquire the Lemon Lake property; the Ecru project; the Manhattan Gap; the South Gilbert; the Kalium Canyon project; and the Ghost Ranch project. The company was formerly known as Evrim Resources Corp. and changed its name to Orogen Royalties Inc. in August 2020. Orogen Royalties Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrogen Royalties generates revenue primarily through its portfolio of mineral royalties, which entitles the company to a percentage of the revenue or profit generated from the extraction of minerals from specific properties. This revenue model allows Orogen to earn income without the direct costs of mining operations, such as exploration, development, or operational expenses. Key revenue streams include upfront payments from mining companies for acquiring royalties, ongoing royalty payments based on production levels, and potential milestone payments as projects progress. Orogen also benefits from strategic partnerships with various mining companies, which can enhance its royalty portfolio and provide additional avenues for revenue generation through joint ventures or collaborative exploration initiatives.

Orogen Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orogen Royalties shows strong financial performance with high profitability and low leverage. The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth and efficient operations, as reflected in its margins. However, the decline in free cash flow and stockholders' equity warrants attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Orogen Royalties demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase of 16% and consistent high gross profit margins above 99%. The net profit margin has improved to 30.85% in TTM, indicating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting efficient operations. However, the company has experienced fluctuations in revenue growth rates historically, which could pose a risk.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0066, indicating minimal leverage and strong financial stability. Return on equity is moderate at 5.30% in TTM, showing reasonable returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the decline in stockholders' equity over recent periods could be a concern if it continues.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, with a coverage ratio of 2.11, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow has declined by 17.44% in TTM, which could impact future investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.82, but the negative growth in free cash flow is a potential risk.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.45M9.35M7.83M3.78M2.08M240.20K
Gross Profit10.37M9.27M7.74M3.65M1.89M72.15K
EBITDA5.54M4.40M3.14M841.03K-1.19M-3.68M
Net Income4.14M2.59M3.04M840.18K-2.83M-87.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.55M69.76M62.59M53.11M51.67M11.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.33M24.23M16.93M11.37M9.12M10.84M
Total Debt205.30K256.67K191.23K235.03K229.30K333.13K
Total Liabilities1.99M1.65M1.01M833.21K974.57K1.05M
Stockholders Equity26.56M68.11M61.58M52.28M50.69M10.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.08M3.05M-498.60K671.42K-3.56M-3.87M
Operating Cash Flow2.64M3.05M1.36M687.12K-3.53M-3.79M
Investing Cash Flow-983.27K1.02M-3.80M-349.41K2.05M-1.16M
Financing Cash Flow-7.32M2.92M5.29M251.49K718.10K4.97M

Orogen Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.34
Price Trends
50DMA
2.30
Positive
100DMA
2.15
Positive
200DMA
1.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
48.82
Neutral
STOCH
16.92
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OGN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.39, above the 50-day MA of 2.30, and above the 200-day MA of 1.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.92 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OGN.

Orogen Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
C$138.90M30.319.02%39.37%
69
Neutral
$246.67M150.933.44%2.20%5.24%-17.24%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
C$1.43B75.982.92%131.18%150.47%
47
Neutral
C$742.56M-29.47-81.62%18.96%
46
Neutral
C$498.93M-62.1646.54%
36
Underperform
C$300.59M-29.57-22.27%50.13%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OGN
Orogen Royalties
2.34
1.55
196.20%
TSE:ELE
Elemental Royalties
22.40
11.10
98.23%
TSE:PRB
Probe Gold
3.64
1.94
114.12%
TSE:FISH
Sailfish Royalty
3.26
2.05
168.53%
TSE:MFG
Mayfair Gold
4.50
1.02
29.31%
TSE:FDR
Founders Metals
4.37
-0.08
-1.80%

Orogen Royalties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orogen Royalties Reports Strong Q3-2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

Orogen Royalties Inc. reported strong financial results for Q3-2025, with net income before tax rising significantly to $1.32 million from $0.25 million in the previous year. The company’s royalty revenue increased by 9% to $2.3 million, despite a decrease in gold equivalent ounces sold. Orogen’s cash flow from operating activities remained robust, and the company maintained a strong working capital position of $21.64 million, allowing it to continue expanding its royalty portfolio. These results underscore the resilience and scalability of Orogen’s business model, positioning it well for future growth and value creation.

Business Operations and Strategy
Orogen Royalties Grants 2 Million Stock Options Under Equity Plan
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

Orogen Royalties Inc. has announced the grant of 2,000,000 incentive stock options to its directors, officers, employees, and consultants as part of its Omnibus Equity Incentive Compensation Plan. These stock options, which have a five-year life and an exercise price of $2.20, will vest over three years and are subject to regulatory acceptance by the TSX Venture Exchange. This move reflects Orogen’s commitment to incentivizing its team and aligning their interests with the company’s growth objectives.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Orogen Royalties Secures Royalty on Firenze Gold Project
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

Orogen Royalties Inc. has entered into an agreement with Altitude Minerals Ltd., allowing Altitude to acquire the Firenze gold project in Nevada. The deal involves a payment of US$430,000 and a 3% net smelter return royalty, with proceeds from the sale being split between Orogen and its partner, Altius Minerals Corporation. This transaction marks the third royalty generated under Orogen’s alliance with Altius, highlighting the company’s strategic focus on creating value through exploration-stage projects. The Firenze project, with its promising epithermal veins and historical high-grade samples, represents a significant opportunity for future exploration and development.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Orogen Royalties Announces Significant Exploration Updates and New Alliances
Positive
Sep 24, 2025

Orogen Royalties has announced updates on its exploration projects and royalties, highlighting significant drilling activities across various regions including Nevada, British Columbia, Colombia, and Western Kenya. The company has successfully created new royalties through project sales, formed exploration alliances with major industry partners, and is set to host its second annual Project Generator Day to showcase new exploration opportunities. These developments signify a busy year for Orogen, enhancing its market position and offering potential growth opportunities for stakeholders.

Delistings and Listing Changes
Orogen Royalties Commences Trading on OTCQB Market
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

Orogen Royalties Inc. has announced that its shares have begun trading on the OTCQB Venture Market under the symbol ‘OGNNF’, marking a significant milestone for the company. This move is expected to enhance liquidity and ease of trading for U.S. shareholders, with future plans to upgrade to the OTCQX market, potentially improving its market positioning and stakeholder engagement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025