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Orogen Royalties (TSE:OGN)
:OGN

Orogen Royalties (OGN) AI Stock Analysis

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Orogen Royalties

(OGN)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$2.00
▼(-3.85%Downside)
Orogen Royalties' strong financial performance and positive corporate events are major strengths, enhancing its market position and investor appeal. However, a high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, which dampens the stock's attractiveness. Technical indicators show mixed signals, with a slight upward trend but potential oversold conditions, adding uncertainty to short-term movements.

Orogen Royalties (OGN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Orogen Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrogen Royalties Inc. is a royalty company operating in the natural resources sector, primarily focusing on the acquisition, creation, and management of precious and base metal royalties. The company is headquartered in Canada and is engaged in the discovery and development of mineral resources, providing a portfolio of royalty interests that offer exposure to gold, copper, and other valuable metals across various geographic regions.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrogen Royalties generates revenue primarily through its portfolio of royalty interests. The company acquires and creates royalties on mineral properties, which entitle it to a percentage of the revenue or profits generated from the production of minerals on those properties. This provides Orogen with a steady stream of income without the need for direct involvement in the costly and risky business of mining operations. Key revenue streams include royalties from the production of gold and copper, among other metals, on properties where Orogen holds interests. Partnerships with mining companies and strategic acquisitions of new royalty interests are significant factors contributing to Orogen's earnings, as they expand the company's portfolio and enhance its income potential.

Orogen Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orogen Royalties exhibits strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and improving profitability. The company benefits from effective cost management and a prudent approach to leverage. Cash flow generation has improved significantly, enhancing overall financial health. Historical fluctuations in profitability and cash flow warrant attention, but the current trajectory is positive.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Orogen Royalties has shown strong revenue growth with a consistent increase in total revenue over the years, reaching approximately 9.3 million in the latest annual report. The gross profit margin is healthy, reflecting efficient cost management. Net profit margin has improved significantly, indicating enhanced profitability, although historical volatility is noted. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, signaling strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity base with a high equity ratio, indicative of strong capitalization. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, demonstrating prudent leverage management. Return on Equity (ROE) has seen improvements, though past periods showed variability. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability, with a strong asset base supporting growth.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement highlights a positive trend in operating cash flow, aligning with improved profitability. Free cash flow has transitioned from negative to positive, underscoring better cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests healthy cash generation relative to earnings, although fluctuations in prior years suggest a need to monitor consistency.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.35M7.83M3.78M2.08M240.20K
Gross Profit9.27M7.74M3.65M1.89M72.15K
EBITDA4.40M3.14M841.03K-1.19M-3.68M
Net Income2.59M3.04M840.18K-2.83M-87.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets69.76M62.59M53.11M51.67M11.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.23M16.93M11.37M9.12M10.84M
Total Debt256.67K191.23K235.03K229.30K333.13K
Total Liabilities1.65M1.01M833.21K974.57K1.05M
Stockholders Equity68.11M61.58M52.28M50.69M10.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.05M-498.60K671.42K-3.56M-3.87M
Operating Cash Flow3.05M1.36M687.12K-3.53M-3.79M
Investing Cash Flow1.02M-3.80M-349.41K2.05M-1.16M
Financing Cash Flow2.92M5.29M251.49K718.10K4.97M

Orogen Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.08
Price Trends
50DMA
1.88
Positive
100DMA
1.69
Positive
200DMA
1.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
75.31
Negative
STOCH
83.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OGN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.94, above the 50-day MA of 1.88, and above the 200-day MA of 1.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.31 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OGN.

Orogen Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSELE
75
Outperform
C$523.47M86.942.36%109.11%
TSOGN
73
Outperform
C$419.71M107.775.89%33.96%37.86%
59
Neutral
C$1.26B0.88-8.20%5.02%9.89%-25.14%
58
Neutral
C$178.73M403.392.86%2.86%56.49%
TSPRB
47
Neutral
C$446.76M-177.01%10.27%
TSFDR
46
Neutral
C$371.33M-14.97%-83.38%
TSMFG
36
Underperform
C$186.87M-49.68%17.11%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OGN
Orogen Royalties
2.08
0.98
89.09%
TSE:FISH
Sailfish Royalty
2.38
1.20
102.38%
TSE:PRB
Probe Metals
2.19
1.05
92.11%
TSE:ELE
Elemental Royalties
2.13
1.04
95.41%
TSE:FDR
Founders Metals
3.90
1.84
89.32%
TSE:MFG
Mayfair Gold
1.71
-0.29
-14.50%

Orogen Royalties Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Orogen Shareholders Approve Strategic Arrangement with Triple Flag
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

Orogen Royalties Inc. announced that its shareholders have overwhelmingly approved a plan of arrangement with Triple Flag Precious Metals at their Annual General and Special Meeting. The arrangement involves shareholders receiving cash or shares in Triple Flag and SpinCo, with the transaction valued at approximately $421 million. This strategic move is expected to enhance Orogen’s market positioning by delisting from the TSX Venture Exchange and initiating a generative exploration alliance with Triple Flag in the western United States, which will focus on identifying new exploration opportunities.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Orogen Royalties Receives Proxy Advisory Support for Triple Flag Arrangement
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

Orogen Royalties Inc. has announced that leading independent proxy advisory firms, including Institutional Shareholder Services Inc., recommend shareholders vote in favor of an arrangement resolution with Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. This resolution, to be decided at the upcoming Annual General and Special Meeting, involves Triple Flag acquiring all outstanding shares of Orogen for approximately $421 million. The transaction includes cash, Triple Flag shares, and shares of a new company, Orogen Spinco. This strategic move is expected to provide immediate value and potential upside for shareholders, while also establishing a generative exploration alliance in the western United States.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Orogen Royalties Announces Shareholder Meeting and Proposed Arrangement
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

Orogen Royalties Inc. has announced the availability of its management information circular and notice for the upcoming annual general and special meeting of shareholders. The meeting will address a proposed arrangement with Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., offering significant benefits such as immediate liquidity and enhanced exposure to royalty assets. The board recommends shareholders vote in favor of the arrangement, which promises to unlock significant value and provide excellent value for the Expanded Silicon Project.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orogen Royalties Reports Strong Q1-2025 Results and Expands Mineralization at Navidad
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

Orogen Royalties Inc. reported a profitable first quarter in 2025, driven by strong royalty revenue from its Ermitaño mine and increased mineralization at the Navidad discovery. The company’s net income rose significantly, supported by a 500% increase in net income from operations compared to the previous year. The expansion of the Navidad discovery, facilitated by First Majestic Silver Corp., has enhanced the mineralized area, potentially extending the mine life and cash flow from the Ermitaño royalty, which Orogen will retain post-transaction with Triple Flag Precious Metals.

Financial Disclosures
Orogen Royalties Inc. Releases Audited Financial Statements for 2024 and 2023
Neutral
Apr 29, 2025

Orogen Royalties Inc. has released its consolidated financial statements for the years ending December 31, 2024, and 2023, which have been audited by Smythe LLP. The financial statements show a fair representation of the company’s financial position, performance, and cash flows in accordance with IFRS standards. This release provides stakeholders with a transparent view of the company’s financial health, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Triple Flag to Acquire Orogen Royalties for C$421 Million
Positive
Apr 22, 2025

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. has entered into an agreement to acquire Orogen Royalties Inc. for approximately C$421 million. This acquisition includes a 1.0% NSR royalty on the Expanded Silicon Gold Project, a promising asset located in Nevada, operated by AngloGold Ashanti plc. The deal will see Orogen shareholders receiving a combination of cash, Triple Flag shares, and shares in a new company, Orogen Spinco, which will continue to pursue royalty creation and acquisition. This transaction is expected to enhance Triple Flag’s portfolio and strengthen its strategic partnership with Orogen Spinco, potentially leading to new opportunities in the mining sector.

Business Operations and Strategy
Orogen Royalties Reports Significant Resource Update at Ermitaño Mine
Positive
Apr 7, 2025

Orogen Royalties has announced an update to the mineral reserves and resources at the Ermitaño gold mine, highlighting a significant increase in the inferred resource category due to the discovery of the Navidad vein. This update includes an initial inferred resource of 2.3 million tonnes, with 5.9 million ounces of silver and 249,000 ounces of gold, indicating substantial growth potential. The Navidad vein system, along with other areas within the Ermitaño mine complex, remains open for further exploration, with plans for extensive drilling in 2025. This development enhances Orogen’s royalty revenue prospects and strengthens its position in the mining industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 28, 2025