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Osisko Gold (TSE:OR)
:OR
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Osisko Gold Royalties (OR) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OR

Osisko Gold Royalties

(NYSE:OR)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$47.00
▼(-1.24% Downside)
Osisko Gold Royalties is bolstered by strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with record cash flows and strategic growth initiatives. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, and there are operational challenges that need addressing.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
The quarterly dividend was increased by 20%, signaling confidence in the company's financial stability.
Growth Potential
Near-term production growth is targeted for Osisko, indicating potential for increased future revenues.
Liquidity
Osisko ended the quarter with $63.1M in cash, reflecting strong liquidity and financial management.
Negative Factors
Development Risks
Development risk exposure remains a concern for Osisko.
Earnings Performance
Osisko reported Q1/25 GEO results that were a bit below expectations.
Performance Expectations
Certain royalties were a bit weaker relative to expectations.

Osisko Gold Royalties (OR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Osisko Gold Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOR Royalties, Inc. engages in the acquisition, mining, and exploration of precious metals, streams, and other royalties. It holds interests in the Canadian Malartic mine. The company was founded on April 29, 2014 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyOsisko Gold Royalties generates revenue primarily through its royalty and streaming agreements. The company earns a percentage of the revenue or production from the mines in which it holds interests, allowing it to benefit from the upside of metal prices without the associated costs of mining operations. Key revenue streams include gold and silver royalties, as well as streaming agreements that provide upfront payments in exchange for future metal deliveries at predetermined prices. Additionally, Osisko has established significant partnerships with various mining companies, enhancing its portfolio and providing a stable income through its diversified asset base. The company's strategic focus on acquiring quality assets in established mining regions further contributes to its earnings potential.

Osisko Gold Royalties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call revealed a strong financial performance with record cash flows and strategic asset acquisitions, alongside challenges such as lower silver grades at Mantos Blancos and a slight dip in cash margin due to the shuttered Renard diamond mine.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Cash Flows and Net Cash Position
Higher gold prices translated to record cash flows from operating activities for OR Royalties for both the second quarter and the first 6 months of the year. The company ended the second quarter with $49.6 million in cash and achieved a net cash position for the first time in several years.
Strong Dividend History
The company declared and paid its quarterly dividend of $0.055 per share in the second quarter, marking its 43rd consecutive dividend.
Significant Revenue and Earnings Growth
Quarterly revenues of $60.4 million tracked higher versus the same period last year, largely thanks to increased commodity prices. Net earnings of $0.17 per basic common share for the period was a significant year-over-year improvement.
Successful Asset Ramp-ups
The ramp-up at G Mining Ventures’ Tocantinzinho mine in Brazil has gone very well, and OR Royalties received its first payment from the Namdini mine in Ghana.
Strategic Acquisition and Development
OR Royalties acquired a 100% silver stream on Orla Mining's South Railroad project in Nevada for $13 million, and the project is expected to have positive momentum in permitting.
Negative Updates
Impact of Shuttered Renard Diamond Mine
A slight dip in the cash margin from the first quarter was noted due to some final residual GEO contribution from the shuttered Renard diamond mine.
Lower Silver Grades at Mantos Blancos
Despite improved plant throughput at Capstone Copper's Mantos Blancos operation, Q2 production was flat year-over-year due to lower silver grades.
Delayed Feasibility Study at Mantos Blancos
The Phase 2 feasibility study for Mantos Blancos is now scheduled for 2026, later than the previous expectation of Q4 of 2025.
Technical Challenges at Eagle Mine
A technical failure and subsequent suspension of operations at the Eagle Mine in the Yukon resulted in a previous asset write-down to zero, though it is now up for sale.
Company Guidance
During the OR Royalties Q2 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on various metrics. OR Royalties earned 19,700 GEOs in Q2, indicating a modest increase from Q1 and aligning with its full-year 2025 guidance of 80,000 to 88,000 GEOs. The first half of the year accounted for approximately 45% of the midpoint of their annual GEO guidance, as planned, with expectations for a stronger second half. The company reported record cash flows from operating activities due to higher gold prices, despite a slight dip in cash margin linked to the closure of the Renard diamond mine. Revenues for Q2 were $60.4 million, marking a year-over-year increase driven by rising commodity prices. Net earnings were $0.17 per basic common share, a significant improvement from a loss in the previous year, and cash flow per share was $0.27 compared to $0.21 last year. The company ended the quarter with $49.6 million in cash and achieved a net cash position for the first time in several years, continuing to pay down its revolving credit facility. Additionally, OR Royalties completed the acquisition of a 100% silver stream on Orla Mining's South Railroad project for $13 million and maintained a quarterly dividend of $0.055 per share.

Osisko Gold Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Osisko Gold Royalties shows a mixed financial performance. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage and high equity, but the income statement reveals challenges in revenue stability and profitability margins. Cash flow has improved, but past inconsistencies suggest potential volatility. The company's financial health is stable, but there are areas for improvement, especially in revenue growth and cash management.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company's revenue has shown volatility, with a noticeable decline in 2024 compared to previous years. This has impacted the gross profit margin, which remains relatively high at 96.47% for 2024. However, the net profit margin improved to 8.51% from a significant loss in the previous year, indicating better cost management. Despite these improvements, the revenue growth rate is negative, and EBIT margin has decreased, signaling challenges in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08 and a high equity ratio of 86.32%, indicating financial stability and low leverage. The return on equity has improved to 1.37%, reflecting slight profitability improvements. Overall, the company maintains strong equity positions, but low ROE could be a concern for future growth prospects.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company has a strong operating cash flow, significantly higher than net income, which is a positive indicator of cash generation capability. The free cash flow turned positive in 2024 from a negative position in the previous year, showing improved financial health. However, the free cash flow growth rate is not favorable due to previous negative values, and this could signal inconsistent cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue251.89M274.82M247.32M217.81M224.88M213.63M
Gross Profit216.87M206.65M173.06M150.38M138.87M104.33M
EBITDA192.21M232.12M33.55M189.74M178.06M107.83M
Net Income83.49M16.27M-48.34M85.28M-56.67M16.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.44B1.38B2.01B2.00B2.37B2.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments49.63M84.96M75.92M90.55M115.70M306.02M
Total Debt41.30M98.68M199.88M155.57M428.80M411.80M
Total Liabilities151.83M188.68M356.94M259.09M590.56M556.07M
Stockholders Equity1.29B1.19B1.65B1.74B1.63B1.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow107.61M86.48M-104.08M-14.26M-170.14M-29.91M
Operating Cash Flow193.63M159.93M187.03M109.95M106.09M107.98M
Investing Cash Flow-115.18M-75.64M-219.84M-381.86M-272.04M-223.10M
Financing Cash Flow-68.97M-74.87M14.31M219.24M-19.60M316.86M

Osisko Gold Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price47.59
Price Trends
50DMA
39.75
Positive
100DMA
36.84
Positive
200DMA
32.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.79
Negative
RSI
86.46
Negative
STOCH
95.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 47.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.24, above the 50-day MA of 39.75, and above the 200-day MA of 32.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 86.46 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OR.

Osisko Gold Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$8.96B81.136.27%0.57%18.24%
62
Neutral
$10.36B6.350.80%2.84%3.10%-36.03%
$3.37B98.292.41%0.54%
78
Outperform
C$3.93B13.0845.10%131.16%648.58%
75
Outperform
C$111.00M24.226.34%22.53%
72
Outperform
C$528.39M82.062.53%131.19%
$158.52M370.650.25%2.36%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
47.59
24.97
110.43%
SAND
Sandstorm Gold
11.48
6.04
111.03%
TSE:ELE
Elemental Royalties
2.15
1.08
100.93%
TSE:OGN
Orogen Royalties
1.87
0.99
112.50%
TSE:KNT
K92 Mining
16.21
8.96
123.59%
SROYF
Sailfish Royalty
2.13
1.27
147.67%

Osisko Gold Royalties Corporate Events

Dividends
OR Royalties Announces Q3 2025 Dividend and Reinvestment Plan Details
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

OR Royalties Inc. has declared a third quarter 2025 dividend of US$0.055 per common share, payable on October 15, 2025, to shareholders recorded by September 30, 2025. The company has also reminded shareholders about its dividend reinvestment plan, which allows Canadian and U.S. residents to reinvest dividends into common shares. The recent corporate name change necessitates re-registration for some non-registered beneficial shareholders to continue participating in the plan, highlighting the importance of consulting financial advisors for tax implications and enrollment procedures.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Gold Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
OR Royalties Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Acquisitions
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

OR Royalties Inc. reported a significant 34% increase in cash flows from operating activities in Q2 2025, reaching $51.4 million. The company also achieved revenues of $60.4 million from royalties and streams, and net earnings of $32.4 million. Notable developments include the acquisition of a 100% silver stream on Orla Mining Ltd.’s South Railroad project and the receipt of first royalty payments from Cardinal Namdini Mining and Talisker Resources. The company increased its revolving credit facility to $650 million and extended its maturity date, signaling strong financial positioning. Additionally, OR Royalties declared a 20% increase in its quarterly dividend, reflecting confidence in its future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Gold Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
OR Royalties Reports Record Q2 2025 Revenue and Cash Margin
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

OR Royalties Inc. announced its preliminary results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting record quarterly revenue of $60.4 million and a cash margin of $57.8 million, representing 95.8% of revenues. The company reported a cash position of $49.6 million after significant repayments on its revolving credit facility, with further reductions in debt subsequent to the quarter-end. These results indicate strong financial performance and improved liquidity, reinforcing OR Royalties’ position in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Gold Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
OR Royalties Expands Portfolio with New Silver Stream Acquisition and Positive Asset Updates
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

OR Royalties announced positive updates on select development assets outside its current five-year growth outlook, highlighting the potential inclusion of these assets in future growth plans. The company has acquired a 100% silver stream on Orla Mining’s South Railroad project in Nevada, which is expected to start production by 2027. Additionally, OR Royalties holds a significant net smelter return royalty on the Spring Valley gold project, which is progressing towards construction with potential financing from the Export-Import Bank of the United States. These developments enhance OR Royalties’ asset portfolio and strengthen its position in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Gold Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2025