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Or Royalties Inc. (TSE:OR)
NYSE:OR

OR Royalties (OR) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OR

OR Royalties

(NYSE:OR)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$72.00
▲(16.79% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (exceptionally low leverage and very high current profitability) and a supportive earnings update (record results and debt-free status). This is tempered by a stretched technical setup (overbought signals) and expensive valuation (high P/E with a modest yield).
Positive Factors
Extremely conservative balance sheet / debt-free
An exceptionally low leverage profile and recent elimination of revolver debt give durable financial flexibility. Being debt-free lowers interest expense risk, preserves capacity to fund dividends and opportunistic royalty purchases, and improves resilience across commodity cycles.
High cash margins and positive FCF
Very strong cash generation and near-97% cash margins create reliable internal funding for shareholder returns and selective acquisitions. Consistent FCF supports capital allocation without heavy reliance on external financing, strengthening medium-term operational autonomy.
Asset-light royalty/streaming business model
The royalty/streaming model structurally reduces operational and capex risk while capturing metal-price upside. Asset-light exposure across producing and development projects enables diversified, long-lived revenue streams and steady cash yield independent of mine operation execution.
Negative Factors
Historical earnings and cashflow volatility
Multi-year swings in earnings and free cash flow undermine predictability of distributable cash. Periodic negative FCF years highlight cyclicality from price and asset performance, complicating long-term dividend visibility and capital allocation for acquisitions or buybacks.
Difficulty closing new transactions
Management notes a stalled deal pipeline because of valuation and structural issues. For a royalty company that relies on acquisitions to grow GEO exposure, persistent difficulty sourcing or closing transactions limits sustainable production growth and long-term revenue expansion.
GEO volumes sensitive to commodity price mix
Reported 'lost' GEOs driven by metal price mix show volume volatility that is decoupled from revenue. Sensitivity of delivered ounces to price differentials and grade shifts makes GEO guidance and production growth less predictable, complicating medium-term operational planning.

OR Royalties (OR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

OR Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOR Royalties, Inc. engages in the acquisition, mining, and exploration of precious metals, streams, and other royalties. It holds interests in the Canadian Malartic mine. The company was founded on April 29, 2014 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyOsisko Gold Royalties generates revenue primarily through its royalty and streaming agreements with mining companies. In a royalty agreement, Osisko receives a percentage of the revenue generated from the sale of metals produced by the mines it is partnered with, while in streaming agreements, the company provides upfront capital to mining operations in exchange for the right to purchase a portion of the mine's production at a predetermined price. This model allows Osisko to benefit from the upside of rising metal prices without the operational risks and costs associated with mining. Key revenue streams include payments from established mines as well as from projects under development. Additionally, strategic partnerships with various mining companies enhance its portfolio and potential revenue sources, contributing to its overall financial stability and growth prospects.

OR Royalties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with record revenues, high cash margins, and a debt-free status. However, challenges such as lost GEOs, potential delays in future production, and difficulties in securing new transactions were noted. The sentiment is balanced with a slight positive tilt due to significant achievements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Cash Flows
OR Royalties achieved record revenues of $71.6 million in Q3 2025, up 71% compared to the same period last year, largely due to increased commodity prices and deliveries.
Debt-Free Status Achieved
For the first time in over 10 years, OR Royalties is in a debt-free position, having paid down the outstanding balance of its revolving credit facility.
High Cash Margins
The company reported cash margins of just under 97%, in line with its annual budget.
Strong GEOs and Precious Metals Revenue
OR Royalties earned 20,326 gold equivalent ounces in Q3, a 3% improvement over Q2, with 95% of GEOs derived from precious metals. 65% of revenues were directly from gold.
Significant Non-Cash Gain
A non-cash gain of $54 million was generated in Q3 due to the revaluation of Osisko Development equity investment.
Negative Updates
Lost Gold Equivalent Ounces
Due to higher-than-budgeted gold prices versus silver and copper, OR Royalties is tracking approximately 2,000 to 2,100 GEOs lower than its original budget.
Potential Delays in Future Production
The Eagle Mine's future production plans are uncertain, with decisions on inclusion in the 5-year outlook pending until 2026.
Commodity Price Volatility
The company noted significant commodity price volatility, which could affect the number of 'lost' GEOs by year-end.
Challenges in Securing New Transactions
Despite a busy corporate development team, OR Royalties has not concluded new transactions due to valuation and structural concerns, impacting potential growth.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 results conference call, OR Royalties provided detailed guidance on several key metrics and their performance outlook. The company reported earning 20,326 gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) in the third quarter, reflecting a 3% increase from the second quarter. OR Royalties is on track to achieve the midpoint of its 2025 GEO delivery guidance range of 80,000 to 88,000 GEOs. The company noted the impact of higher-than-budgeted commodity prices, which has resulted in a shortfall of approximately 2,000 to 2,100 GEOs, though overall revenues and cash flows have reached record levels due to these elevated prices. The average realized gold price for the first nine months was $3,188 per ounce, significantly higher than the prior year. OR Royalties maintained a cash margin of just under 97% and ended the quarter with $57 million in cash, achieving a debt-free status. The company reiterated its disciplined approach to capital allocation and commitment to shareholder returns, highlighted by its 44th consecutive quarterly dividend of $0.055 per share. The call also emphasized the anticipated stronger performance in Q4 2025, bolstered by improved silver grades at Mantos Blancos and ongoing production ramp-ups at key assets like Namdini.

OR Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong current fundamentals: very high TTM profitability (net margin ~59%) and improving revenue (~13%), backed by an exceptionally conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.004). Cash flow is positive with solid free cash flow, but multi-year earnings and FCF volatility lowers confidence in durability.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Profitability is very strong in the latest period, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) showing high net profitability (net margin ~59%) and solid revenue growth (~13%). The annual trend is improving versus 2023, which was loss-making, and 2024 returned to profitability. Key weakness is volatility across years (losses in multiple prior years and sharp margin swings), which reduces confidence in the durability of current earnings power.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a standout: leverage is extremely low in TTM (debt-to-equity ~0.004) with a very large equity base, and debt has fallen dramatically versus prior years (e.g., 2021–2024). Returns on equity also improved meaningfully in TTM (~10.6%) versus very low levels in 2024, though historical ROE has been uneven (including negative periods), highlighting some cyclicality in profitability.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is solid in TTM, with positive operating cash flow (~$210M) and positive free cash flow (~$113M) alongside strong free cash flow growth (~30%). Cash conversion is decent (free cash flow is ~54% of net income in TTM), but free cash flow has been inconsistent historically (negative in 2020, 2022, and 2023), and operating cash flow relative to net income varies meaningfully across periods—pointing to volatility in cash realization.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue251.47M190.98M182.79M162.33M176.35M167.35M
Gross Profit232.32M184.24M170.48M150.35M146.83M117.45M
EBITDA254.53M161.30M142.54M132.06M129.02M90.01M
Net Income148.85M16.25M-37.34M-88.50M-18.47M13.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.11B1.39B1.51B1.52B1.89B1.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments147.33M59.06M57.16M67.48M90.73M239.72M
Total Debt7.34M98.62M150.49M115.94M336.27M322.58M
Total Liabilities167.76M202.43M268.75M228.49M497.72M475.58M
Stockholders Equity1.94B1.19B1.24B1.29B1.28B1.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow113.33M82.32M-78.37M-10.63M11.85M-23.43M
Operating Cash Flow210.47M152.25M140.82M81.94M83.20M84.58M
Investing Cash Flow-107.83M-72.01M-165.52M-284.59M-213.34M-174.76M
Financing Cash Flow-89.27M-71.27M10.77M163.39M-15.37M248.21M

OR Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price61.65
Price Trends
50DMA
51.85
Positive
100DMA
50.77
Positive
200DMA
43.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.35
Negative
RSI
69.68
Neutral
STOCH
70.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 61.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.22, above the 50-day MA of 51.85, and above the 200-day MA of 43.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OR.

OR Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$10.09B56.3311.26%0.55%37.22%
69
Neutral
C$190.55M41.589.02%39.37%
68
Neutral
C$1.94B103.262.92%131.18%150.47%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$327.13M190.743.44%2.07%5.24%-17.24%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OR
OR Royalties
53.69
26.64
98.47%
TSE:TRX
Tanzanian Royalty Exploration
2.18
1.70
349.48%
TSE:ELE
Elemental Royalties
30.44
18.74
160.17%
TSE:OGN
Orogen Royalties
3.21
2.30
252.75%
TSE:FISH
Sailfish Royalty
4.29
2.90
209.52%

OR Royalties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
OR Royalties Reports Record Q3 2025 Financial Results and Achieves Debt-Free Status
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

OR Royalties Inc. reported record quarterly revenues and a significant increase in cash flows from operating activities in Q3 2025, highlighting a robust financial performance. The company achieved debt-free status for the first time in over a decade, reflecting strong cash management and strategic growth initiatives. The announcement underscores OR Royalties’ strengthened position in the market, with key developments in its portfolio, including new partnerships and upcoming projects, expected to drive future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Gold Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
OR Royalties Declares Q4 2025 Dividend and Updates Dividend Reinvestment Plan
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

OR Royalties Inc. has announced a fourth quarter 2025 dividend of US$0.055 per common share, payable on January 15, 2026, to shareholders of record as of December 31, 2025. This move underscores the company’s commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may enhance investor confidence. Additionally, non-registered beneficial shareholders are reminded to update their enrolment in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan due to a recent name change and new CUSIP number, which offers a 3% discount. This announcement reflects OR Royalties’ strategic focus on maintaining shareholder value and adapting to operational changes.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Gold Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026