tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd (TSE:OR)
TSX:OR
Advertisement

Osisko Gold Royalties (OR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
80 Followers

Top Page

TSE:OR

Osisko Gold Royalties

(TSX:OR)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
C$52.00
▲(6.75% Upside)
Osisko Gold Royalties' strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are significant strengths. However, bearish technical indicators and a high P/E ratio suggest caution. The company's ability to address revenue growth and production challenges will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Debt-Free Status
Achieving a debt-free status enhances financial flexibility and reduces interest expenses, allowing for potential reinvestment in growth opportunities.
High Cash Margins
Sustaining high cash margins indicates strong operational efficiency and profitability, providing a robust buffer against market fluctuations.
Record Revenue Growth
Significant revenue growth reflects successful strategic positioning and the ability to capitalize on favorable commodity prices.
Negative Factors
Decline in Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth can signal potential difficulties in maintaining market position and could impact future earnings potential.
Challenges in Securing New Transactions
Inability to secure new transactions may limit future growth opportunities and diversification of revenue streams.
Potential Delays in Future Production
Uncertainty in future production plans could affect long-term supply and revenue stability, impacting strategic planning.

Osisko Gold Royalties (OR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Osisko Gold Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOR Royalties, Inc. engages in the acquisition, mining, and exploration of precious metals, streams, and other royalties. It holds interests in the Canadian Malartic mine. The company was founded on April 29, 2014 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyOsisko Gold Royalties generates revenue primarily through its royalty and streaming agreements with mining companies. In a royalty agreement, Osisko receives a percentage of the revenue generated from the sale of metals produced by the mines it is partnered with, while in streaming agreements, the company provides upfront capital to mining operations in exchange for the right to purchase a portion of the mine's production at a predetermined price. This model allows Osisko to benefit from the upside of rising metal prices without the operational risks and costs associated with mining. Key revenue streams include payments from established mines as well as from projects under development. Additionally, strategic partnerships with various mining companies enhance its portfolio and potential revenue sources, contributing to its overall financial stability and growth prospects.

Osisko Gold Royalties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with record revenues, high cash margins, and a debt-free status. However, challenges such as lost GEOs, potential delays in future production, and difficulties in securing new transactions were noted. The sentiment is balanced with a slight positive tilt due to significant achievements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Cash Flows
OR Royalties achieved record revenues of $71.6 million in Q3 2025, up 71% compared to the same period last year, largely due to increased commodity prices and deliveries.
Debt-Free Status Achieved
For the first time in over 10 years, OR Royalties is in a debt-free position, having paid down the outstanding balance of its revolving credit facility.
High Cash Margins
The company reported cash margins of just under 97%, in line with its annual budget.
Strong GEOs and Precious Metals Revenue
OR Royalties earned 20,326 gold equivalent ounces in Q3, a 3% improvement over Q2, with 95% of GEOs derived from precious metals. 65% of revenues were directly from gold.
Significant Non-Cash Gain
A non-cash gain of $54 million was generated in Q3 due to the revaluation of Osisko Development equity investment.
Negative Updates
Lost Gold Equivalent Ounces
Due to higher-than-budgeted gold prices versus silver and copper, OR Royalties is tracking approximately 2,000 to 2,100 GEOs lower than its original budget.
Potential Delays in Future Production
The Eagle Mine's future production plans are uncertain, with decisions on inclusion in the 5-year outlook pending until 2026.
Commodity Price Volatility
The company noted significant commodity price volatility, which could affect the number of 'lost' GEOs by year-end.
Challenges in Securing New Transactions
Despite a busy corporate development team, OR Royalties has not concluded new transactions due to valuation and structural concerns, impacting potential growth.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 results conference call, OR Royalties provided detailed guidance on several key metrics and their performance outlook. The company reported earning 20,326 gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) in the third quarter, reflecting a 3% increase from the second quarter. OR Royalties is on track to achieve the midpoint of its 2025 GEO delivery guidance range of 80,000 to 88,000 GEOs. The company noted the impact of higher-than-budgeted commodity prices, which has resulted in a shortfall of approximately 2,000 to 2,100 GEOs, though overall revenues and cash flows have reached record levels due to these elevated prices. The average realized gold price for the first nine months was $3,188 per ounce, significantly higher than the prior year. OR Royalties maintained a cash margin of just under 97% and ended the quarter with $57 million in cash, achieving a debt-free status. The company reiterated its disciplined approach to capital allocation and commitment to shareholder returns, highlighted by its 44th consecutive quarterly dividend of $0.055 per share. The call also emphasized the anticipated stronger performance in Q4 2025, bolstered by improved silver grades at Mantos Blancos and ongoing production ramp-ups at key assets like Namdini.

Osisko Gold Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Osisko Gold Royalties shows strong profitability and a solid balance sheet with low leverage. However, challenges include a decline in revenue growth and free cash flow growth, which pose potential risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Osisko Gold Royalties demonstrates strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 86.10% and a solid EBIT margin of 60.81% for TTM. However, the company faces challenges with a negative revenue growth rate of -1.75% in the TTM period, indicating a decline in sales. Despite this, the net profit margin has improved significantly to 33.15% from previous periods, showcasing enhanced cost management and profitability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.032, indicating minimal leverage and strong financial stability. The return on equity is moderate at 6.78%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, suggesting a strong capital structure with significant equity backing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow growth by -14.92% in the TTM period, which could be a concern for future investments. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 8.98, indicating robust cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 0.56, suggesting good cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue251.47M190.98M182.79M162.33M176.35M167.35M
Gross Profit232.32M184.24M170.48M150.35M146.83M117.45M
EBITDA254.53M161.30M142.54M132.06M129.02M90.01M
Net Income148.85M16.25M-37.34M-88.50M-18.47M13.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.11B1.39B1.51B1.52B1.89B1.92B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments147.33M59.06M57.16M67.48M90.73M239.72M
Total Debt7.34M98.62M150.49M115.94M336.27M322.58M
Total Liabilities167.76M202.43M268.75M228.49M497.72M475.58M
Stockholders Equity1.94B1.19B1.24B1.29B1.28B1.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow113.33M82.32M-78.37M-10.63M11.85M-23.43M
Operating Cash Flow210.47M152.25M140.82M81.94M83.20M84.58M
Investing Cash Flow-107.83M-72.01M-165.52M-284.59M-213.34M-174.76M
Financing Cash Flow-89.27M-71.27M10.77M163.39M-15.37M248.21M

Osisko Gold Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price48.71
Price Trends
50DMA
49.29
Negative
100DMA
45.75
Positive
200DMA
38.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
58.38
Neutral
STOCH
92.94
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 48.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.85, below the 50-day MA of 49.29, and above the 200-day MA of 38.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.94 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OR.

Osisko Gold Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$4.22B14.0846.21%81.13%234.33%
76
Outperform
C$128.81M28.119.02%39.37%
69
Neutral
2.41%0.50%17.31%19.28%
66
Neutral
$9.17B44.5111.26%0.58%37.22%
64
Neutral
$208.84M-214.293.44%2.38%5.24%-17.24%
63
Neutral
C$486.67M74.972.92%131.18%150.47%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
48.71
22.04
82.66%
TSE:SSL
Sandstorm Gold
16.15
8.31
106.13%
TSE:ELE
Elemental Royalties
20.07
8.67
76.05%
TSE:OGN
Orogen Royalties
2.44
1.57
180.46%
TSE:KNT
K92 Mining
21.09
12.27
139.12%
TSE:FISH
Sailfish Royalty
3.02
1.69
127.24%

Osisko Gold Royalties Corporate Events

OR Royalties Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

OR Royalties Inc. is a precious metals royalty and streaming company that operates primarily in Tier-1 mining jurisdictions such as Canada, the United States, and Australia. The company holds a diverse portfolio of over 195 royalties and streams, with a significant interest in the Canadian Malartic Complex, one of the world’s largest gold mines.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
OR Royalties Reports Record Q3 2025 Financial Results and Achieves Debt-Free Status
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

OR Royalties Inc. reported record quarterly revenues and a significant increase in cash flows from operating activities in Q3 2025, highlighting a robust financial performance. The company achieved debt-free status for the first time in over a decade, reflecting strong cash management and strategic growth initiatives. The announcement underscores OR Royalties’ strengthened position in the market, with key developments in its portfolio, including new partnerships and upcoming projects, expected to drive future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Gold Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
OR Royalties Declares Q4 2025 Dividend and Updates Dividend Reinvestment Plan
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

OR Royalties Inc. has announced a fourth quarter 2025 dividend of US$0.055 per common share, payable on January 15, 2026, to shareholders of record as of December 31, 2025. This move underscores the company’s commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may enhance investor confidence. Additionally, non-registered beneficial shareholders are reminded to update their enrolment in the company’s dividend reinvestment plan due to a recent name change and new CUSIP number, which offers a 3% discount. This announcement reflects OR Royalties’ strategic focus on maintaining shareholder value and adapting to operational changes.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Gold Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

OR Royalties Reports Record Q3 2025 Revenues and Repays Credit Facility
Oct 7, 2025

On October 7, 2025, OR Royalties Inc. announced its preliminary results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting record quarterly revenues of $71.6 million from royalties and streams, and a cash margin of approximately $69.3 million. The company reported earning 20,326 attributable gold equivalent ounces during this period. Additionally, OR Royalties successfully repaid its outstanding revolving credit facility balance, leaving the $650 million facility undrawn by the end of the quarter. This financial performance underscores OR Royalties’ strong operational capabilities and enhances its financial flexibility, potentially benefiting stakeholders through improved cash flow and reduced debt obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Hold with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Gold Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
OR Royalties Reports Positive Developments in Key Mining Assets
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

OR Royalties Inc. announced positive developments across several key assets, including Cascabel, Cariboo, Marimaca MOD, Spring Valley, Dalgaranga, and Windfall, which are expected to boost confidence in their development timelines. The company highlighted significant exploration results at TDG Gold’s AuWEST project, reinforcing a recent royalty acquisition. At the Cascabel project in Ecuador, operated by SolGold plc, an updated execution plan and development pathway have been outlined, with first production anticipated by 2028. OR Royalties holds a 0.6% net smelter return royalty over Cascabel and a 6% stream of the contained gold produced, with financial commitments to support its development. These advancements are expected to serve as catalysts for portfolio growth throughout 2025, underscoring the company’s strategic positioning in the mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Gold Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

OR Royalties Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 7, 2025

OR Royalties Inc. is a precious metals royalty and streaming company operating primarily in Canada, the United States, and Australia, with a diverse portfolio of over 195 royalties and streams, including a significant interest in the Canadian Malartic Complex, one of the world’s largest gold mines.

Osisko Gold’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Financial Gains
Aug 7, 2025

The recent earnings call for Osisko Gold highlighted a robust financial performance and strategic advancements, despite some challenges with certain assets and project delays. The overall sentiment was positive, with financial improvements and new revenue streams taking center stage.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025