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Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd (TSE:OR)
TSX:OR
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Osisko Gold Royalties (OR) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OR

Osisko Gold Royalties

(TSX:OR)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$44.00
▲(4.22% Upside)
Osisko Gold Royalties' overall stock score is driven by strong corporate events and positive earnings call outcomes, indicating strategic progress and financial improvements. However, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, and financial performance shows mixed results with challenges in revenue stability. Technical analysis supports a bullish trend, but caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
The quarterly dividend was increased by 20%, signaling confidence in the company's financial stability.
Liquidity
Osisko ended the quarter with $63.1M in cash, reflecting strong liquidity and financial management.
Negative Factors
Development Risk
Development risk exposure remains a concern for Osisko.
Earnings
Osisko reported Q1/25 GEO results that were a bit below expectations.

Osisko Gold Royalties (OR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Osisko Gold Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOsisko Gold Royalties (OR) is a Canadian precious metals royalty and streaming company based in Montreal, Quebec. Established in 2014, the company primarily focuses on acquiring and managing royalties, streams, and other interests in mining projects, particularly in the gold sector. Osisko's portfolio includes a diverse range of assets across North America, allowing it to capitalize on the growth and profitability of mining operations without the direct costs associated with mining production.
How the Company Makes MoneyOsisko Gold Royalties generates revenue primarily through its royalty and streaming agreements. The company earns a percentage of the revenue or production from the mines in which it holds interests, allowing it to benefit from the upside of metal prices without the associated costs of mining operations. Key revenue streams include gold and silver royalties, as well as streaming agreements that provide upfront payments in exchange for future metal deliveries at predetermined prices. Additionally, Osisko has established significant partnerships with various mining companies, enhancing its portfolio and providing a stable income through its diversified asset base. The company's strategic focus on acquiring quality assets in established mining regions further contributes to its earnings potential.

Osisko Gold Royalties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and strategic progress with new revenue streams and debt reduction. However, there were challenges with certain assets and delayed projects. Despite these challenges, the positive aspects, especially financial improvements and new royalties, outweigh the negatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong GEOs Earned and Cash Flows
OR Royalties earned 19,700 GEOs in Q2, on track for full-year guidance of 80,000 to 88,000 GEOs. Record cash flows from operating activities were achieved due to higher gold prices.
Positive Financial Performance
Q2 2025 revenues increased to $60.4 million, with net earnings of $0.17 per share, a significant improvement from the previous year's loss. Cash flow per share rose to $0.27 from $0.21 year-over-year.
Debt Reduction and Net Cash Position
The company ended Q2 with $49.6 million in cash and achieved a net cash position for the first time in several years by continuing to pay down its revolving credit facility.
Successful Royalty Payments from New Assets
OR Royalties received its first payments from the Namdini mine in Ghana and Talisker Resources' Bralorne in Canada, marking new revenue streams.
Canadian Malartic and Tocantinzinho Contributions
Canadian Malartic had a strong quarter with significant production increases. Tocantinzinho's ramp-up in Brazil is progressing well.
Negative Updates
Reduced Cash Margin
Cash margin saw a slight dip from Q1 due to residual GEO contribution from the closed Renard diamond mine.
Mantos Blancos Delays and Silver Grade Issues
Production at Mantos Blancos was flat year-over-year due to lower silver grades, and the Phase 2 feasibility study was delayed to 2026.
Eagle Mine Sale Process
The Eagle mine in the Yukon is up for sale after a technical failure and suspension of operations last year, with uncertainty surrounding its future.
Company Guidance
During the OR Royalties Q2 2025 Results Conference Call, significant guidance was provided regarding the company's performance and future outlook. OR Royalties achieved 19,700 gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) in Q2 2025, placing it on track to meet its annual GEO delivery guidance of 80,000 to 88,000 ounces. The company anticipates a stronger second half, with expectations of achieving 55% of its GEOs during this period. Although 1,200 GEOs were not realized due to a higher gold/silver ratio than anticipated, record cash flows from operations were reported due to higher gold prices. OR Royalties ended the quarter with $49.6 million in cash, achieved a net cash position by reducing debt, and completed a notable transaction acquiring a 100% silver stream on Orla Mining's South Railroad project for $13 million. The company declared a $0.055 per share dividend, marking its 43rd consecutive payment. Revenues for the quarter were $60.4 million, with net earnings of $0.17 per share, showing marked improvement from the previous year. The call highlighted an increase in cash flow per share to $0.27 and adjusted earnings of $0.18 per share, compared to $0.21 and $0.13, respectively, in the prior year. The company maintained a strong cash margin despite a slight dip and noted ongoing positive developments in key assets, including the Canadian Malartic and Mantos Blancos operations. The company emphasized its robust financial position, with over $900 million in potential available liquidity, and a disciplined approach to capital allocation and potential transactions.

Osisko Gold Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Osisko Gold Royalties shows mixed financial performance. The income statement indicates volatility in revenue and profitability challenges, but the balance sheet is strong with low leverage. Cash flow improvements are noted, though past inconsistencies remain a concern.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company's revenue has shown volatility, with a noticeable decline in 2024 compared to previous years. This has impacted the gross profit margin, which remains relatively high at 96.47% for 2024. However, the net profit margin improved to 8.51% from a significant loss in the previous year, indicating better cost management. Despite these improvements, the revenue growth rate is negative, and EBIT margin has decreased, signaling challenges in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08 and a high equity ratio of 86.32%, indicating financial stability and low leverage. The return on equity has improved to 1.37%, reflecting slight profitability improvements. Overall, the company maintains strong equity positions, but low ROE could be a concern for future growth prospects.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company has a strong operating cash flow, significantly higher than net income, which is a positive indicator of cash generation capability. The free cash flow turned positive in 2024 from a negative position in the previous year, showing improved financial health. However, the free cash flow growth rate is not favorable due to previous negative values, and this could signal inconsistent cash management.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue191.16M247.32M217.81M224.88M213.63M
Gross Profit181.47M173.06M150.38M138.87M104.33M
EBITDA139.33M33.55M189.74M178.06M107.83M
Net Income16.27M-48.34M85.28M-56.67M16.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.38B2.01B2.00B2.37B2.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments84.96M75.92M90.55M115.70M306.02M
Total Debt98.68M199.88M155.57M428.80M411.80M
Total Liabilities188.68M356.94M259.09M590.56M556.07M
Stockholders Equity1.19B1.65B1.74B1.63B1.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow86.48M-104.08M-14.26M-170.14M-29.91M
Operating Cash Flow159.93M187.03M109.95M106.09M107.98M
Investing Cash Flow-75.64M-219.84M-381.86M-272.04M-223.10M
Financing Cash Flow-74.87M14.31M219.24M-19.60M316.86M

Osisko Gold Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.22
Price Trends
50DMA
36.99
Positive
100DMA
34.32
Positive
200DMA
30.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.39
Negative
RSI
76.78
Negative
STOCH
95.24
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.93, above the 50-day MA of 36.99, and above the 200-day MA of 30.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.78 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OR.

Osisko Gold Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$105.66M23.065.89%33.96%38.35%
78
Outperform
C$3.59B12.0245.10%131.16%648.58%
77
Outperform
$4.20B87.812.41%0.55%17.31%19.28%
71
Outperform
C$491.53M81.632.36%109.11%
68
Neutral
$7.85B71.386.27%0.64%18.24%
60
Neutral
C$173.55M389.832.86%3.04%56.49%
56
Neutral
£2.50B6.13-0.23%47.33%9.88%5.42%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
42.22
18.99
81.75%
TSE:SSL
Sandstorm Gold
14.55
7.31
100.97%
TSE:FISH
Sailfish Royalty
2.30
1.11
93.12%
TSE:OGN
Orogen Royalties
1.78
0.92
106.98%
TSE:KNT
K92 Mining
14.89
7.45
100.13%
TSE:ELE
Elemental Royalties
2.00
0.99
98.02%

Osisko Gold Royalties Corporate Events

Dividends
OR Royalties Announces Q3 2025 Dividend and Reinvestment Plan Details
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

OR Royalties Inc. has declared a third quarter 2025 dividend of US$0.055 per common share, payable on October 15, 2025, to shareholders recorded by September 30, 2025. The company has also reminded shareholders about its dividend reinvestment plan, which allows Canadian and U.S. residents to reinvest dividends into common shares. The recent corporate name change necessitates re-registration for some non-registered beneficial shareholders to continue participating in the plan, highlighting the importance of consulting financial advisors for tax implications and enrollment procedures.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Gold Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
OR Royalties Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Acquisitions
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

OR Royalties Inc. reported a significant 34% increase in cash flows from operating activities in Q2 2025, reaching $51.4 million. The company also achieved revenues of $60.4 million from royalties and streams, and net earnings of $32.4 million. Notable developments include the acquisition of a 100% silver stream on Orla Mining Ltd.’s South Railroad project and the receipt of first royalty payments from Cardinal Namdini Mining and Talisker Resources. The company increased its revolving credit facility to $650 million and extended its maturity date, signaling strong financial positioning. Additionally, OR Royalties declared a 20% increase in its quarterly dividend, reflecting confidence in its future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Gold Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
OR Royalties Reports Record Q2 2025 Revenue and Cash Margin
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

OR Royalties Inc. announced its preliminary results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting record quarterly revenue of $60.4 million and a cash margin of $57.8 million, representing 95.8% of revenues. The company reported a cash position of $49.6 million after significant repayments on its revolving credit facility, with further reductions in debt subsequent to the quarter-end. These results indicate strong financial performance and improved liquidity, reinforcing OR Royalties’ position in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Gold Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
OR Royalties Expands Portfolio with New Silver Stream Acquisition and Positive Asset Updates
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

OR Royalties announced positive updates on select development assets outside its current five-year growth outlook, highlighting the potential inclusion of these assets in future growth plans. The company has acquired a 100% silver stream on Orla Mining’s South Railroad project in Nevada, which is expected to start production by 2027. Additionally, OR Royalties holds a significant net smelter return royalty on the Spring Valley gold project, which is progressing towards construction with potential financing from the Export-Import Bank of the United States. These developments enhance OR Royalties’ asset portfolio and strengthen its position in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Osisko Gold Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025