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OR Royalties (TSE:OR)
TSX:OR

OR Royalties (OR) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OR

OR Royalties

(TSX:OR)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$65.00
▲(8.01% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/20/26
The score is driven primarily by strong 2025 financial performance (high margins, improved earnings and cash generation, near-zero leverage) and a constructive longer-term technical trend. This is tempered by a rich valuation (high P/E and low yield) and earnings-call risks around GEO shortfalls, project timing uncertainty, and challenges securing new deals.
Positive Factors
High margins and profitability
Osisko's 2025 margin profile reflects the structural advantage of royalty/streaming economics: low operating and capital intensity convert metal receipts into outsized cash margins. This durability supports sustained cash flows and shareholder returns across several quarters absent major operational disruptions.
Strong balance sheet and minimal leverage
Near-zero leverage gives Osisko long-term optionality: it can fund accretive streams/royalties, withstand commodity cycles, and maintain dividends or buybacks without leaning on equity markets. Financial flexibility materially lowers refinancing and liquidity risk over the medium term.
Robust operating and free cash generation
Significant operating and free cash flow in 2025 demonstrates the model's ability to convert royalties into distributable cash. Reliable FCF enables sustained dividends, buybacks and selective funding of new streams, reducing reliance on external capital over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Historic earnings volatility
Prior multi-year losses show Osisko's earnings can swing materially with commodity cycles, asset revaluations and timing of deliveries. This history implies the 2025 rebound may not be fully persistent and investors should expect potential earnings reversals or variability over the next 2–6 months.
Difficulty closing new transactions
A constrained ability to transact limits portfolio replenishment and organic growth. Over the medium term this pressure can slow revenue expansion as existing royalty streams deplete or face production timing risks, forcing the company to be more conservative or pay higher premiums for deals.
GEO shortfalls and commodity-mix exposure
Revenue and cash receipts depend on delivered GEOs and commodity mixes; lost GEOs from price-driven mix shifts create durable uncertainty in near-term cash flows. Even with high realized prices, volume/mix volatility can reduce predictability of royalties and complicate planning.

OR Royalties (OR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

OR Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOR Royalties, Inc. engages in the acquisition, mining, and exploration of precious metals, streams, and other royalties. It holds interests in the Canadian Malartic mine. The company was founded on April 29, 2014 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyOsisko Gold Royalties generates revenue primarily through its royalty and streaming agreements with mining companies. In a royalty agreement, Osisko receives a percentage of the revenue generated from the sale of metals produced by the mines it is partnered with, while in streaming agreements, the company provides upfront capital to mining operations in exchange for the right to purchase a portion of the mine's production at a predetermined price. This model allows Osisko to benefit from the upside of rising metal prices without the operational risks and costs associated with mining. Key revenue streams include payments from established mines as well as from projects under development. Additionally, strategic partnerships with various mining companies enhance its portfolio and potential revenue sources, contributing to its overall financial stability and growth prospects.

OR Royalties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with record revenues, high cash margins, and a debt-free status. However, challenges such as lost GEOs, potential delays in future production, and difficulties in securing new transactions were noted. The sentiment is balanced with a slight positive tilt due to significant achievements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Cash Flows
OR Royalties achieved record revenues of $71.6 million in Q3 2025, up 71% compared to the same period last year, largely due to increased commodity prices and deliveries.
Debt-Free Status Achieved
For the first time in over 10 years, OR Royalties is in a debt-free position, having paid down the outstanding balance of its revolving credit facility.
High Cash Margins
The company reported cash margins of just under 97%, in line with its annual budget.
Strong GEOs and Precious Metals Revenue
OR Royalties earned 20,326 gold equivalent ounces in Q3, a 3% improvement over Q2, with 95% of GEOs derived from precious metals. 65% of revenues were directly from gold.
Significant Non-Cash Gain
A non-cash gain of $54 million was generated in Q3 due to the revaluation of Osisko Development equity investment.
Negative Updates
Lost Gold Equivalent Ounces
Due to higher-than-budgeted gold prices versus silver and copper, OR Royalties is tracking approximately 2,000 to 2,100 GEOs lower than its original budget.
Potential Delays in Future Production
The Eagle Mine's future production plans are uncertain, with decisions on inclusion in the 5-year outlook pending until 2026.
Commodity Price Volatility
The company noted significant commodity price volatility, which could affect the number of 'lost' GEOs by year-end.
Challenges in Securing New Transactions
Despite a busy corporate development team, OR Royalties has not concluded new transactions due to valuation and structural concerns, impacting potential growth.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 results conference call, OR Royalties provided detailed guidance on several key metrics and their performance outlook. The company reported earning 20,326 gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) in the third quarter, reflecting a 3% increase from the second quarter. OR Royalties is on track to achieve the midpoint of its 2025 GEO delivery guidance range of 80,000 to 88,000 GEOs. The company noted the impact of higher-than-budgeted commodity prices, which has resulted in a shortfall of approximately 2,000 to 2,100 GEOs, though overall revenues and cash flows have reached record levels due to these elevated prices. The average realized gold price for the first nine months was $3,188 per ounce, significantly higher than the prior year. OR Royalties maintained a cash margin of just under 97% and ended the quarter with $57 million in cash, achieving a debt-free status. The company reiterated its disciplined approach to capital allocation and commitment to shareholder returns, highlighted by its 44th consecutive quarterly dividend of $0.055 per share. The call also emphasized the anticipated stronger performance in Q4 2025, bolstered by improved silver grades at Mantos Blancos and ongoing production ramp-ups at key assets like Namdini.

OR Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very strong 2025 profitability and margins, sharp rebound in net income, robust operating/free cash flow, and minimal leverage. The main constraint is historical volatility with multiple loss years and uneven/negative free cash flow in prior periods, raising sustainability risk.
Income Statement
83
Very Positive
Profitability is a clear strength: 2025 shows very strong margins (gross margin ~83%, operating margin ~73%, net margin ~74%) and net income rebounded sharply to ~288M after losses in 2021–2023 and a low-profit year in 2024. Growth also accelerated materially in 2025 (revenue up ~54% year over year) after a relatively flat 2024. Key watch-out: earnings have been volatile over the cycle, with multiple loss years prior to 2025, which lowers confidence in the durability of the current run-rate.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Balance sheet strength is high, driven by very low leverage and a sizable equity base. Debt is down dramatically in 2025 (to ~12M) and debt-to-equity is near-zero (~0.006), improving from already moderate levels in prior years. Returns improved meaningfully in 2025 (return on equity ~14.7%) after weak/negative returns in 2021–2024, but the historical volatility in returns is the main constraint on an even higher score.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Cash generation improved significantly in 2025 with operating cash flow of ~343M and free cash flow of ~292M, alongside strong free-cash-flow growth (~157%). Free cash flow covers a large portion of net income in 2025 (~0.85), suggesting earnings are largely cash-backed. However, free cash flow was negative in 2022–2023 and uneven in 2020–2024, indicating variability that investors should factor into expectations.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue387.57M190.98M182.79M162.33M176.35M
Gross Profit323.14M184.24M170.48M150.35M146.83M
EBITDA334.30M161.30M142.54M132.06M129.02M
Net Income287.96M16.25M-37.34M-88.50M-18.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.16B1.39B1.51B1.52B1.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments194.83M59.06M57.16M67.48M90.73M
Total Debt12.06M98.62M150.49M115.94M336.27M
Total Liabilities195.73M202.43M268.75M228.49M497.72M
Stockholders Equity1.96B1.19B1.24B1.29B1.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow291.64M82.32M-78.37M-10.63M11.85M
Operating Cash Flow343.17M152.25M140.82M81.94M83.20M
Investing Cash Flow1.89M-72.01M-165.52M-284.59M-213.34M
Financing Cash Flow-228.24M-71.27M10.77M163.39M-15.37M

OR Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price60.18
Price Trends
50DMA
56.65
Positive
100DMA
52.22
Positive
200DMA
46.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.90
Negative
RSI
51.71
Neutral
STOCH
75.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 60.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.10, above the 50-day MA of 56.65, and above the 200-day MA of 46.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OR.

OR Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$11.27B31.7015.73%0.55%37.22%
69
Neutral
C$204.20M50.829.02%39.37%
68
Neutral
C$1.99B80.562.92%131.18%150.47%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
C$308.83M23.763.44%2.07%5.24%-17.24%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OR
OR Royalties
60.09
33.52
126.11%
TSE:TRX
Tanzanian Royalty Exploration
2.43
1.99
452.27%
TSE:ELE
Elemental Royalties
31.23
18.93
153.90%
TSE:OGN
Orogen Royalties
3.57
2.68
301.12%
TSE:FISH
Sailfish Royalty
4.05
2.47
156.17%

OR Royalties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
OR Royalties Posts Record 2025 Results and Expands Global Royalty Portfolio
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

OR Royalties reported record 2025 results, including revenues of $277.4 million, operating cash flow of $245.6 million, and net earnings of $206.1 million, while remaining debt-free with $142.1 million in cash and expanding its credit facility to $650 million plus an accordion. The company executed several strategic royalty and stream acquisitions in North America, Japan, Ghana, and Peru, initiated first payments from key assets such as Namdini and Bralorne, adjusted its board composition, maintained a steady dividend, and issued 2026 guidance of 80,000–90,000 GEOs at a ~97% cash margin, underpinned by ramp-ups at Dalgaranga and San Gabriel that strengthen its long‑term growth outlook.

OR Royalties’ aggressive portfolio expansion, including a 100% silver stream on Orla’s South Railroad project and additional NSR exposure to Namdini and San Gabriel, positions the company for increased cash generation and greater geographic diversification. The acquisition of eight royalties from Gold Fields, continued share buybacks, and rising dividend levels underscore a capital allocation strategy aimed at enhancing shareholder returns while consolidating its role as a leading precious metals royalty player amid favorable gold market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OR Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
OR Royalties Buys $115 Million Precious Metals Royalty Portfolio Anchored by San Gabriel Mine
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

OR Royalties has agreed to buy a portfolio of eight precious metals royalties from Gold Fields affiliates for $115 million, led by a 1.5% net smelter return royalty on Buenaventura’s newly producing San Gabriel gold and silver mine in Peru. The deal immediately boosts expected gold-equivalent deliveries in 2026 and supports a projected 50% increase in GEO output by 2030, with no contingent capital required.

The acquired package also includes a 1.0% NSR on Galiano’s Nkran pushback in Ghana and a 2.0% NSR on Torque Metals’ Paris project in Western Australia, plus a 2.5% net profits interest over Freeport and Amarc’s JOY exploration district in British Columbia. By adding producing, development and exploration assets in Tier-1 jurisdictions while maintaining a strong gold and silver focus, OR Royalties enhances its long-term growth profile and diversifies its cash‑flow pipeline for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OR Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
OR Royalties Declares Q1 2026 Dividend and Highlights DRIP Requirements
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

OR Royalties Inc. has declared a first-quarter 2026 dividend of US$0.055 per common share, payable on April 15, 2026 to shareholders of record as of March 31, with the Canadian-dollar equivalent to be set using the Bank of Canada’s exchange rate on the record date. The company also reminded non-registered beneficial shareholders that, following its 2025 name change and new CUSIP, they may need to re-enroll to keep participating in its dividend reinvestment plan, which offers a 3% discount and may have tax implications depending on individual circumstances.

The dividend decision underlines OR Royalties’ ongoing capital-return strategy as it continues to leverage a large portfolio of royalties and streams anchored by its cornerstone interest in the Canadian Malartic Complex. By highlighting the mechanics and potential tax considerations of its dividend reinvestment plan, the company is seeking to maintain and potentially deepen shareholder engagement while ensuring investors understand the administrative steps required to benefit from discounted share reinvestment.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OR) stock is a Buy with a C$70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OR Royalties stock, see the TSE:OR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026