tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
B2Gold Corp (TSE:BTO)
TSX:BTO

B2Gold (BTO) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
886 Followers

Top Page

TS

B2Gold

(TSX:BTO)

68Neutral
B2Gold's overall score reflects a balanced outlook. The company's strong cash flow and balance sheet are key strengths, providing resilience despite declining revenue and profitability. Technical analysis shows mixed trends, and a high dividend yield offers income potential. Positive earnings guidance and strategic corporate events further support the stock's potential, although operational challenges remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow
The company plans to see elevated cash flow generation due to increased production of above 330kozpa, accompanied by a decrease in costs.
Exploration Potential
The company's historic success of converting in excess of 75% of Inferred Mineral Resources to Indicated Mineral Resources and the exploration potential at the Back River District suggest upside potential.
Operational Efficiency
The company is evaluating multiple strategies to increase gold recovery, reduce costs, and potentially increase throughput, indicating significant upside potential.
Negative Factors
Cost Increase
Unit costs increased substantially from the prior LoM plan and were materially higher vs. BofAe.
Production Delays
Production from Fekola Regional has been delayed to late 2025 from mid-2025.
Resource Decline
Updated mineral resource estimate saw a 19% decrease in Reserves and a 10% decrease in M&I Resource.

B2Gold (BTO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

B2Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionB2Gold Corp. is a Canadian-based gold producer with a global portfolio of mining operations. The company operates primarily in the gold mining sector, with core operations in diverse geographic locations including Mali, the Philippines, and Namibia. B2Gold is recognized for its commitment to responsible mining practices and its efforts in sustainable development, ensuring that its operations benefit local communities and minimize environmental impact.
How the Company Makes MoneyB2Gold makes money through the exploration, development, and mining of gold resources. The company's primary revenue stream comes from the sale of gold produced at its mining operations. B2Gold benefits from economies of scale by operating multiple mines, which helps to reduce costs and increase profitability. Significant partnerships with local governments and adherence to international mining standards also contribute to its earnings by facilitating stable and efficient operations. Additionally, B2Gold engages in strategic acquisitions and exploration activities to expand its resource base and increase future production capacity.

B2Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
B2Gold's financials reflect mixed performance. While the company maintains a strong balance sheet with low leverage, profitability has been challenging, as seen in the negative net income and EBIT in the TTM. The cash flow situation is improving, but operational and revenue growth pressures remain areas of concern.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a challenging period, particularly in the TTM, with a significant net loss driven by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The gross profit margin is relatively healthy at 38.54%, but revenue has decreased slightly compared to the previous year, resulting in a revenue growth rate of -1.04%. This reflects the downturn in profitability and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 63.44%, suggesting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.08, which shows conservative financial leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to the net loss, highlighting potential profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating effective cash generation despite the net loss. The free cash flow has turned positive in the TTM, showing improvement, though the free cash flow growth rate is not available due to previous negative values. This suggests a cautious but improving cash flow situation.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.91B1.93B1.73B1.76B1.79B1.16B
Gross Profit
737.78M1.18B604.24M768.55M958.29M450.46M
EBIT
-411.93M327.40M162.95M714.63M606.79M121.09M
EBITDA
-47.11M736.63M925.31M1.08B1.35B760.25M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-731.23M10.10M252.87M420.06M628.06M293.38M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
102.75M306.89M651.95M673.00M479.69M140.60M
Total Assets
2.55B4.87B3.68B3.56B3.36B2.68B
Total Debt
479.54M180.81M57.23M75.13M110.02M261.85M
Net Debt
376.78M-126.09M-594.72M-597.87M-369.66M121.25M
Total Liabilities
894.95M964.64M569.44M600.29M701.79M631.42M
Stockholders Equity
1.61B3.81B3.01B2.86B2.57B1.99B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
156.46M-116.78M205.47M421.79M598.07M230.81M
Operating Cash Flow
962.50M714.45M595.80M724.11M950.64M491.97M
Investing Cash Flow
-798.75M-845.34M-388.78M-286.28M-337.96M-262.79M
Financing Cash Flow
-35.07M-192.51M-211.28M-234.23M-278.87M-192.06M

B2Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.47
Price Trends
50DMA
4.28
Positive
100DMA
3.96
Positive
200DMA
3.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
57.49
Neutral
STOCH
52.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BTO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.25, above the 50-day MA of 4.28, and above the 200-day MA of 3.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BTO.

B2Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSOR
74
Outperform
$6.12B139.032.50%0.79%12.78%
TSELD
74
Outperform
$5.13B12.058.91%41.46%187.54%
TSOLA
71
Outperform
C$4.10B40.45-0.28%72.95%97.10%
TSBTO
68
Neutral
$5.44B-17.61%4.61%5.97%-1677.31%
TSIMG
63
Neutral
$5.07B4.4828.42%69.19%417.02%
62
Neutral
C$4.54B-3.49%-154.04%
50
Neutral
$1.98B-1.08-21.29%3.61%1.96%-30.59%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BTO
B2Gold
4.48
0.84
23.14%
TSE:OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
34.01
12.13
55.42%
TSE:IMG
IAMGOLD
9.21
3.71
67.45%
TSE:ELD
Eldorado Gold
26.86
5.37
24.99%
TSE:OLA
Orla Mining
13.29
7.50
129.53%
TSE:ARTG
Artemis Gold
21.28
10.85
104.03%

B2Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.44%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with strong financial performance and significant progress in key projects such as Goose and Fekola. Despite previous operational challenges and capital expenditure issues, the company is on a solid growth path, supported by favorable market conditions and strategic developments.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
The company generated $0.09 per share of adjusted earnings, with basic earnings per share at $0.04, highlighting the cash generation potential of operating assets. Operating cash flow before working capital adjustments was $244 million.
Positive Developments at Goose Project
Construction at Goose is tracking to plan with significant progress. The project is set to transition into operations, with first gold expected in Q2 and ramp-up to commercial production in Q3.
Fekola Regional Permit Progress
The council ministers approved a decree for a consolidated land package, allowing the submission of an exploitation permit application with a potential turnaround time of 30 to 60 days.
Strong Start in Mali
Mali had a strong quarter, exceeding gold production expectations with lower all-in-sustaining costs and an increase in mill feed grade over the year.
Improved Operations at Masbate and Otjikoto
Masbate operations continue to perform well, nearing 2,300 days without an LTI, while Otjikoto is advancing the Antelope deposit towards a development decision in Q3.
Negative Updates
Previous Year Challenges
The company faced a challenging 2024, primarily due to operational issues at Fekola, which necessitated a re-guidance for the first time in eight years.
Capital Expenditure Challenges
The Goose project required an accelerated $60 million in plant and equipment purchases, impacting the capital expenditure budget.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, B2Gold Corporation reported strong operational and financial performance, highlighted by adjusted earnings of $0.09 per share and operating cash flow of $244 million. The Goose construction project progressed as planned, with $136 million spent in the quarter out of a CAD1.54 billion budget, and the project is on track for a first gold pour in Q3 2025. The Fekola mine resumed normal operations after previous equipment issues, and the company received positive news from the Malian government regarding the consolidation of permits for the Fekola regional project, which could add 180,000 ounces annually. Additionally, B2Gold continues to advance other strategic projects, including the Gramalote feasibility study, expected by June, and anticipates a potential annual production increase to 720,000 ounces with contributions from Goose, Fekola, and Gramalote. The company maintains a robust balance sheet with $330 million in cash and a fully undrawn $800 million revolving credit facility, providing significant financial flexibility.

B2Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
B2Gold Corp. Exceeds Q1 2025 Expectations and Advances Goose Project
Positive
May 7, 2025

B2Gold Corp. reported strong operational and financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with gold production exceeding expectations and lower than anticipated all-in sustaining costs. The Goose Project is on track for its first gold production next month, with the total construction and mine development budget remaining at C$1,540 million, indicating positive progress and financial stability for the company.

Spark’s Take on TSE:BTO Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:BTO is a Neutral.

B2Gold has a moderately positive outlook due to its strong cash flow and balance sheet, despite declining revenue and profitability. Technical analysis indicates mixed signals, while valuation benefits from a high dividend yield. The earnings call provides optimism with growth prospects and financial robustness, but past operational challenges remain a concern.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:BTO stock, click here.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
B2Gold Receives TSX Approval for Share Repurchase Plan
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

B2Gold Corp. has received approval from the Toronto Stock Exchange to implement a normal course issuer bid, allowing the company to repurchase up to 5% of its outstanding shares over the next year. This move is part of B2Gold’s amended shareholder return strategy, reflecting the company’s belief that its shares may be undervalued and that repurchasing shares is a desirable use of capital, potentially impacting its market valuation and shareholder value.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
B2Gold Updates Goose Project Plan with Enhanced Gold Production Outlook
Positive
Mar 27, 2025

B2Gold Corp. has announced an updated mineral reserve life of mine plan for its Goose Project in the Back River Gold District, highlighting a significant improvement in both indicated and inferred mineral resources. The company is on track with construction and development, aiming for first gold pour in the second quarter of 2025 and commercial production by the third quarter. The Goose Project is expected to enhance B2Gold’s production profile with an average annual gold production of approximately 300,000 ounces over the first six years, supported by improved gold grades and recovery rates. This development positions B2Gold to strengthen its market presence and offers potential benefits for stakeholders through increased production and resource conversion.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
B2Gold Completes Major Solar Expansion at Fekola Mine
Positive
Mar 18, 2025

B2Gold has completed the Phase 2 expansion of the Fekola Solar Plant in Mali, which is now operational. This expansion added 46,200 solar panels, increasing the plant’s capacity to 52 MW of solar power and 27.7 MWh of battery storage. The project, which generated local employment and training opportunities, is expected to significantly reduce carbon emissions and heavy fuel oil consumption, supplying approximately 30% of the site’s electricity demand. This initiative aligns with B2Gold’s commitment to renewable energy and its goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 30% by 2030.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.