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B2Gold Corp. (TSE:BTO)
:BTO

B2Gold (BTO) AI Stock Analysis

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B2Gold

(NYSE MKT:BTO)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
C$5.50
▲(11.79%Upside)
B2Gold's overall score is driven by its strong financial resilience and positive strategic developments, such as the Goose project and share repurchase plan. While technical indicators show modest momentum, valuation remains a concern due to net losses. The earnings call highlights a positive future outlook, contributing significantly to the score.
Positive Factors
Company Operations
The company's historic success of converting in excess of 75% of Inferred Mineral Resources to Indicated Mineral Resources and the exploration potential at the Back River District suggest upside potential.
Financial Performance
Cash Costs of $832/oz were lower than expectations, while AISC of $1,533/oz was slightly below expectations.
Future Production
The Back River District is expected to produce increased cash flow due to elevated production and decreased costs.
Negative Factors
Cost Estimates
Goose’s new LoM average all-in sustaining cost (AISC) is $1,547/oz, up 28% vs. BofAe and a 100% from the prior LoM plan.
Permitting and Production Delays
Production from Fekola Regional has been delayed to late 2025 from mid-2025.
Resource Estimates
Updated mineral resource estimate saw a 19% decrease in Reserves and a 10% decrease in M&I Resource.

B2Gold (BTO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

B2Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionB2Gold Corp. is a Canadian-based gold producer with a global portfolio of mining operations. The company operates primarily in the gold mining sector, with core operations in diverse geographic locations including Mali, the Philippines, and Namibia. B2Gold is recognized for its commitment to responsible mining practices and its efforts in sustainable development, ensuring that its operations benefit local communities and minimize environmental impact.
How the Company Makes MoneyB2Gold makes money through the exploration, development, and mining of gold resources. The company's primary revenue stream comes from the sale of gold produced at its mining operations. B2Gold benefits from economies of scale by operating multiple mines, which helps to reduce costs and increase profitability. Significant partnerships with local governments and adherence to international mining standards also contribute to its earnings by facilitating stable and efficient operations. Additionally, B2Gold engages in strategic acquisitions and exploration activities to expand its resource base and increase future production capacity.

B2Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 15.60%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with strong financial performance and significant progress in key projects such as Goose and Fekola. Despite previous operational challenges and capital expenditure issues, the company is on a solid growth path, supported by favorable market conditions and strategic developments.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
The company generated $0.09 per share of adjusted earnings, with basic earnings per share at $0.04, highlighting the cash generation potential of operating assets. Operating cash flow before working capital adjustments was $244 million.
Positive Developments at Goose Project
Construction at Goose is tracking to plan with significant progress. The project is set to transition into operations, with first gold expected in Q2 and ramp-up to commercial production in Q3.
Fekola Regional Permit Progress
The council ministers approved a decree for a consolidated land package, allowing the submission of an exploitation permit application with a potential turnaround time of 30 to 60 days.
Strong Start in Mali
Mali had a strong quarter, exceeding gold production expectations with lower all-in-sustaining costs and an increase in mill feed grade over the year.
Improved Operations at Masbate and Otjikoto
Masbate operations continue to perform well, nearing 2,300 days without an LTI, while Otjikoto is advancing the Antelope deposit towards a development decision in Q3.
Negative Updates
Previous Year Challenges
The company faced a challenging 2024, primarily due to operational issues at Fekola, which necessitated a re-guidance for the first time in eight years.
Capital Expenditure Challenges
The Goose project required an accelerated $60 million in plant and equipment purchases, impacting the capital expenditure budget.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, B2Gold Corporation reported strong operational and financial performance, highlighted by adjusted earnings of $0.09 per share and operating cash flow of $244 million. The Goose construction project progressed as planned, with $136 million spent in the quarter out of a CAD1.54 billion budget, and the project is on track for a first gold pour in Q3 2025. The Fekola mine resumed normal operations after previous equipment issues, and the company received positive news from the Malian government regarding the consolidation of permits for the Fekola regional project, which could add 180,000 ounces annually. Additionally, B2Gold continues to advance other strategic projects, including the Gramalote feasibility study, expected by June, and anticipates a potential annual production increase to 720,000 ounces with contributions from Goose, Fekola, and Gramalote. The company maintains a robust balance sheet with $330 million in cash and a fully undrawn $800 million revolving credit facility, providing significant financial flexibility.

B2Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
B2Gold exhibits operational challenges with declining revenue and profitability. However, it maintains a solid balance sheet and strong cash flow generation, showcasing financial resilience. The company should focus on reversing revenue and profitability declines to improve its financial health further.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
The income statement shows declining revenue and profitability. The gross profit margin and net profit margin have decreased significantly from previous years, showing a negative trend in profitability with a net loss in the latest year. Revenue growth is negative, indicating challenges in maintaining revenue levels. The EBIT margin is also negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet displays a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio that remains manageable. However, there is a decline in stockholders' equity over the past year. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a stable financial structure, but the decrease in equity suggests some risk in maintaining this stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Despite the income statement's negative results, the cash flow statement is strong with substantial operating cash flow and positive free cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates effective cash generation despite net losses.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.90B1.93B1.73B1.76B1.79B
Gross Profit706.20M1.18B604.24M768.55M958.29M
EBITDA93.03M736.63M925.31M1.08B1.35B
Net Income-629.89M10.10M252.87M420.06M628.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.81B4.87B3.68B3.56B3.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments348.54M306.89M651.95M673.00M479.69M
Total Debt427.86M220.96M90.48M75.13M110.02M
Total Liabilities1.78B964.64M569.44M600.29M701.79M
Stockholders Equity2.98B3.81B3.01B2.86B2.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow860.74M638.09M205.47M421.79M598.07M
Operating Cash Flow877.60M714.45M595.80M724.11M950.64M
Investing Cash Flow-763.30M-845.34M-388.78M-286.28M-337.96M
Financing Cash Flow-69.07M-192.51M-211.28M-234.23M-278.87M

B2Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.92
Price Trends
50DMA
4.61
Positive
100DMA
4.34
Positive
200DMA
4.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Positive
RSI
53.67
Neutral
STOCH
41.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BTO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.98, above the 50-day MA of 4.61, and above the 200-day MA of 4.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BTO.

B2Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSELD
78
Outperform
$5.60B12.438.91%41.46%187.54%
TSBTO
74
Outperform
C$6.38B-17.61%3.06%5.97%-1677.31%
TSIMG
74
Outperform
$5.58B4.9328.42%69.19%417.02%
TSOR
69
Neutral
$6.43B146.142.50%0.76%12.78%
TSOLA
69
Neutral
C$4.27B40.45-0.28%72.95%97.10%
62
Neutral
$5.53B-3.49%-154.04%
44
Neutral
C$956.42M-6.69-13.35%2.79%17.55%-32.18%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BTO
B2Gold
4.92
1.38
39.06%
TSE:OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
35.00
13.86
65.57%
TSE:IMG
IAMGOLD
10.03
4.99
99.01%
TSE:ELD
Eldorado Gold
27.72
7.46
36.82%
TSE:OLA
Orla Mining
13.68
8.53
165.63%
TSE:ARTG
Artemis Gold
24.77
15.12
156.68%

B2Gold Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
B2Gold Achieves First Gold Pour at Goose Mine, Expands Canadian Operations
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

B2Gold Corp. has successfully poured its first gold at the Goose Mine, marking its first Canadian operating asset and the fourth in its global portfolio. This milestone signifies a significant step in diversifying and enhancing the company’s production capabilities. The Goose Mine, part of the Back River Gold District in Nunavut, Canada, is expected to ramp up to commercial production by the third quarter of 2025, with an estimated annual production of 300,000 ounces over the next six years. The company emphasizes collaboration with the Kitikmeot Inuit Association to ensure socio-economic benefits for the region. B2Gold’s exploration efforts continue to show promise, with significant potential across the Back River Gold District.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BTO) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B2Gold stock, see the TSE:BTO Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
B2Gold Announces 2025 Annual Meeting Details and Proxy Support
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

B2Gold Corp. has announced details for its 2025 Annual General and Special Meeting of Shareholders, scheduled for June 19, 2025, in Vancouver and online. The company has received support from leading proxy advisory firms, Glass Lewis and Institutional Shareholder Services, recommending shareholders vote in favor of all proposed items, including setting the number of directors, electing directors, appointing an auditor, and a non-binding advisory vote on executive compensation. The meeting will also feature a presentation on B2Gold’s 2024 performance and a corporate update for the first half of 2025, followed by a Q&A session.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BTO) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B2Gold stock, see the TSE:BTO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
B2Gold’s 2024 ESG and Climate Strategy: A Commitment to Responsible Mining
Positive
May 28, 2025

B2Gold Corp. has released its ninth annual Responsible Mining Report and its fourth annual Climate Strategy Update, highlighting its commitment to ESG practices and climate risk management. In 2024, B2Gold achieved a total consolidated gold production of 804,778 ounces, generated $1.9 billion in revenue, and invested significantly in local communities and national employment. The company’s focus on local procurement and diversity initiatives underscores its dedication to sustainable and inclusive growth, aiming to create long-term value for stakeholders while maintaining high standards of operational excellence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BTO) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B2Gold stock, see the TSE:BTO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
B2Gold Corp. Exceeds Q1 2025 Expectations and Advances Goose Project
Positive
May 7, 2025

B2Gold Corp. reported strong operational and financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with gold production exceeding expectations and lower than anticipated all-in sustaining costs. The Goose Project is on track for its first gold production next month, with the total construction and mine development budget remaining at C$1,540 million, indicating positive progress and financial stability for the company.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
B2Gold Receives TSX Approval for Share Repurchase Plan
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

B2Gold Corp. has received approval from the Toronto Stock Exchange to implement a normal course issuer bid, allowing the company to repurchase up to 5% of its outstanding shares over the next year. This move is part of B2Gold’s amended shareholder return strategy, reflecting the company’s belief that its shares may be undervalued and that repurchasing shares is a desirable use of capital, potentially impacting its market valuation and shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 01, 2025