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B2Gold Corp. (TSE:BTO)
:BTO
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B2Gold (BTO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BTO

B2Gold

(NYSE MKT:BTO)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
C$5.50
▲(10.89% Upside)
B2Gold's overall score reflects strong cash flow and a solid balance sheet, despite operational challenges and negative earnings. Positive earnings call sentiment and strategic milestones, particularly at the Goose Mine, contribute significantly to the score. The valuation is a concern due to negative earnings, but the dividend yield provides some investor value.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow
The company plans to see elevated cash flow generation due to increased production of above 330kozpa, accompanied by a decrease in costs.
Operator Competence
The company is considered a proven, competent operator with a well-regarded track record.
Project Development
The project has been significantly de-risked for future development due to robust drilling programs and engineering studies.
Negative Factors
Feasibility Study
The Feasibility Study highlighted slightly lower annual production and slightly higher costs compared to last year's PEA.
Mineral Reserves
Updated mineral resource estimate saw a 19% decrease in Reserves and a 10% decrease in M&I Resource.
Valuation
The project's NPV is now US$556M, significantly lower than the US$941M disclosed in the Feasibility Study due to the use of a different price deck and timing of first gold.

B2Gold (BTO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

B2Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionB2Gold Corp. operates as a gold producer with three operating mines in Mali, the Philippines, and Namibia. It operates the Fekola Mine in Mali, the Masbate Mine in the Philippines, and the Otjikoto Mine in Namibia. The company also has an 25% interest in the Calibre Mining Corp.; and approximately 19% interest in BeMetals Corp. In addition, it has a portfolio of other evaluation and exploration assets in Mali, Uzbekistan, and Finland. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyB2Gold generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold. The company mines gold at its operational sites and sells it in the form of bullion or refined gold. Key revenue streams include gold production from its three major mines, with the Fekola Mine being a significant contributor owing to its high production output and low operating costs. Additionally, B2Gold benefits from a diversified portfolio of mining operations and exploration projects, which can lead to increased production in the future. The company also engages in hedging strategies to manage gold price volatility and optimize its revenue. Strategic partnerships and contracts with local governments and stakeholders in the regions where it operates further contribute to its earnings stability and growth potential.

B2Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.98%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive, with operational successes, financial stability, and strategic milestones achieved, particularly in the Mali region and at Goose Mine. Despite minor challenges with gold shipment timing and Goose Mine CapEx overruns, the company's outlook remains strong.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Operational Success Across Mines
Fekola, Masbate, and Otjikoto mines exceeded production expectations, resulting in lower-than-expected cash operating costs per ounce. The operations are on track to meet annual guidance.
Goose Mine Milestone
The newly constructed Goose Mine celebrated its inaugural gold ore. The ramp-up to commercial production is expected by September 2025.
Mali Underground Operations Approval
State of Mali granted approval for underground operations at Fekola. The company expects to receive an exploitation license for the Fekola region in Q3 2025.
Strong Financial Position
Operating cash flow before working capital adjustments was $301 million in Q2. The company maintained $308 million in cash and equivalents and had full access to an $800 million revolving credit facility.
Improved Cash Cost Guidance
Consolidated cash cost guidance range for Fekola, Masbate, and Otjikoto reduced to $740-$800 per ounce, down from $835-$895.
Negative Updates
Timing of Gold Shipments
Sales ounces were slightly behind budget due to timing of shipments, though this was resolved in early July.
Goose Mine CapEx Overruns
Goose Mine experienced approximately 5% overall cost increases against the budget and accelerated some CapEx into the first half of 2025.
Company Guidance
During the B2Gold Corporation's Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call held on August 8, 2025, the company provided a robust operational and financial update. They reported strong performance across their Fekola, Masbate, and Otjikoto mines, which exceeded production expectations and resulted in lower-than-anticipated cash operating costs per ounce. The newly constructed Goose Mine marked a significant milestone with its inaugural gold ore production, and commercial production is anticipated by September 2025. Financially, B2Gold reported adjusted earnings of $0.12 per share, with operating cash flow for the quarter at $301 million. The company maintained a solid balance sheet with $308 million in cash and cash equivalents and an undrawn $800 million revolving credit facility. B2Gold reiterated its production guidance for 2025, expecting between 970,000 and 1,075,000 ounces, with Goose contributing 120,000 to 150,000 ounces. The consolidated cash cost guidance was revised to $795-$855 per ounce, reflecting operational efficiencies. The call highlighted B2Gold's strategic focus on growth and shareholder value, with continued exploration programs aimed at extending mine life.

B2Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
B2Gold shows operational challenges with declining revenue and profitability. However, it maintains a solid balance sheet and strong cash flow generation, indicating financial resilience. The company should focus on reversing revenue and profitability declines to improve its financial health further.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
The income statement shows declining revenue and profitability. The gross profit margin and net profit margin have decreased significantly from previous years, showing a negative trend in profitability with a net loss in the latest year. Revenue growth is negative, indicating challenges in maintaining revenue levels. The EBIT margin is also negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet displays a solid equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio that remains manageable. However, there is a decline in stockholders' equity over the past year. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a stable financial structure, but the decrease in equity suggests some risk in maintaining this stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Despite the income statement's negative results, the cash flow statement is strong with substantial operating cash flow and positive free cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates effective cash generation despite net losses.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.90B1.93B1.73B1.76B1.79B
Gross Profit706.20M1.18B604.24M768.55M958.29M
EBITDA93.03M736.63M925.31M1.08B1.35B
Net Income-629.89M10.10M252.87M420.06M628.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.81B4.87B3.68B3.56B3.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments348.54M306.89M651.95M673.00M479.69M
Total Debt427.86M220.96M90.48M75.13M110.02M
Total Liabilities1.78B964.64M569.44M600.29M701.79M
Stockholders Equity2.98B3.81B3.01B2.86B2.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow860.74M638.09M205.47M421.79M598.07M
Operating Cash Flow877.60M714.45M595.80M724.11M950.64M
Investing Cash Flow-763.30M-845.34M-388.78M-286.28M-337.96M
Financing Cash Flow-69.07M-192.51M-211.28M-234.23M-278.87M

B2Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.96
Price Trends
50DMA
4.89
Positive
100DMA
4.60
Positive
200DMA
4.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
54.06
Neutral
STOCH
66.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BTO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.81, above the 50-day MA of 4.89, and above the 200-day MA of 4.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BTO.

B2Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
C$6.86B-12.34%3.36%15.08%-204.35%
44
Neutral
C$923.76M-8.73-0.23%2.68%20.48%-40.65%
$4.55B11.1610.82%
$4.34B5.3526.28%
73
Outperform
C$4.61B40.454.89%123.03%
$5.75B73.046.27%0.63%
$4.52B-3.49%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BTO
B2Gold
5.19
1.77
51.62%
EGO
Eldorado Gold
22.47
5.35
31.25%
IAG
IAMGOLD
8.05
3.18
65.30%
TSE:OLA
Orla Mining
13.49
8.35
162.45%
OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
30.72
13.79
81.45%
ARGTF
Artemis Gold
19.89
11.28
131.01%

B2Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
B2Gold Exceeds Q2 2025 Gold Production Expectations and Advances Key Projects
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

B2Gold Corp. reported strong operational and financial results for Q2 2025, with gold production exceeding expectations at 229,454 ounces and lower cash operating costs of $745 per ounce. The company achieved its inaugural gold pour at the Goose Mine and received approval for underground mining at Fekola, positioning itself for continued growth. The positive feasibility study for the Gramalote Project in Colombia indicates promising future production, enhancing B2Gold’s industry positioning and potential stakeholder benefits.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BTO) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B2Gold stock, see the TSE:BTO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
B2Gold Receives Mali’s Approval for Underground Mining at Fekola
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

B2Gold Corp. has received approval from the State of Mali to commence underground mining operations at the Fekola Mine, a significant step for the company’s production growth in the region. The Fekola Complex, partially owned by the State of Mali, is expected to see a substantial increase in gold production, with the underground operations contributing 25,000 to 35,000 ounces in 2025 and ramping up in subsequent years. Additionally, the development of the Fekola Regional area is anticipated to further enhance production, contributing approximately 180,000 ounces annually from 2026 to 2029, and extending the mine’s life well into the 2030s. This strategic development underscores B2Gold’s commitment to expanding its operations and strengthening its position in the gold mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BTO) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B2Gold stock, see the TSE:BTO Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
B2Gold to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 15, 2025

B2Gold Corp. is set to release its second quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025, after the North American markets close. The company will host a conference call on August 8, 2025, to discuss these results, providing stakeholders with insights into its financial performance and operational strategies. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it offers an opportunity to assess B2Gold’s market positioning and future prospects in the gold production industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BTO) stock is a Buy with a C$8.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B2Gold stock, see the TSE:BTO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
B2Gold Reports Positive Feasibility Study for Gramalote Project
Positive
Jul 14, 2025

B2Gold announced positive feasibility study results for its Gramalote Project in Colombia, projecting significant gold production and strong economic returns. The study highlights an after-tax NPV of $941 million at a $2,500/oz gold price, with a 22.4% IRR, and emphasizes the project’s robust drilling and engineering studies, which reduce development risks. The project benefits from local community and government support, with necessary permits in place, though modifications are needed for the medium-scale project.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BTO) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B2Gold stock, see the TSE:BTO Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
B2Gold Achieves First Gold Pour at Goose Mine, Expands Canadian Operations
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

B2Gold Corp. has successfully poured its first gold at the Goose Mine, marking its first Canadian operating asset and the fourth in its global portfolio. This milestone signifies a significant step in diversifying and enhancing the company’s production capabilities. The Goose Mine, part of the Back River Gold District in Nunavut, Canada, is expected to ramp up to commercial production by the third quarter of 2025, with an estimated annual production of 300,000 ounces over the next six years. The company emphasizes collaboration with the Kitikmeot Inuit Association to ensure socio-economic benefits for the region. B2Gold’s exploration efforts continue to show promise, with significant potential across the Back River Gold District.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BTO) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B2Gold stock, see the TSE:BTO Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
B2Gold Announces 2025 Annual Meeting Details and Proxy Support
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

B2Gold Corp. has announced details for its 2025 Annual General and Special Meeting of Shareholders, scheduled for June 19, 2025, in Vancouver and online. The company has received support from leading proxy advisory firms, Glass Lewis and Institutional Shareholder Services, recommending shareholders vote in favor of all proposed items, including setting the number of directors, electing directors, appointing an auditor, and a non-binding advisory vote on executive compensation. The meeting will also feature a presentation on B2Gold’s 2024 performance and a corporate update for the first half of 2025, followed by a Q&A session.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BTO) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B2Gold stock, see the TSE:BTO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
B2Gold’s 2024 ESG and Climate Strategy: A Commitment to Responsible Mining
Positive
May 28, 2025

B2Gold Corp. has released its ninth annual Responsible Mining Report and its fourth annual Climate Strategy Update, highlighting its commitment to ESG practices and climate risk management. In 2024, B2Gold achieved a total consolidated gold production of 804,778 ounces, generated $1.9 billion in revenue, and invested significantly in local communities and national employment. The company’s focus on local procurement and diversity initiatives underscores its dedication to sustainable and inclusive growth, aiming to create long-term value for stakeholders while maintaining high standards of operational excellence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BTO) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on B2Gold stock, see the TSE:BTO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025