Alamos Gold (AGI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $15.01B
• Dividend Yield: 0.38%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.10M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 31.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.99
• Revenue Growth: 38.30%
• EPS Growth: 68.57%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 2,400
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 56
• Industry: Gold
• EPS (TTM): 0.47
• Shares Outstanding: 420,429,080
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 894,608
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,100,420
• PEG Ratio: 0.82
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.10
• Price to Sales (P/S): 5.58
• P/FCF Ratio: 31.90
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.01
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 10.83
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 24.41
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 20.09
• 1Y Price Target: $50.93
• Price Target Upside: 31.80% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: C$40.00 ▲(3.52% Upside)

Alamos Gold's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, offset by high valuation concerns and neutral technical indicators. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic expansion plans are promising, but increased cost guidance and operational challenges pose risks.

Positive Factors

Asset Quality

Island Gold is highlighted as one of Canada's lowest cost gold mines, showcasing its high asset quality.

Cost Management

Management's commitment to cost reduction through various initiatives is expected to benefit the company financially.

Growth Opportunities

Stable production at Young-Davidson and the acquisition of Magino Mine highlight growth opportunities for Alamos Gold.

Negative Factors

Earnings Performance

Q1’25 earnings miss was largely due to gold sales volume that trailed gold production volume.

Production Costs

Costs were higher than expected with cash costs of $1,193/oz, 17% higher than the $1,016/oz estimate and AISC of $1,805/oz, 10% higher than the $1,644/oz estimate.

Alamos Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) is a Canadian-based intermediate gold producer with operations in North America, primarily focused on the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold resource properties. The company operates several mines, including the Young-Davidson mine in Ontario and the Mulatos mine in Mexico, and is committed to responsible mining practices and sustainable development. Alamos Gold is recognized for its strong operational performance and strategic growth initiatives in the gold mining sector.

How the Company Makes Money

Alamos Gold generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of gold. The company extracts gold from its mining operations, and the revenue is derived from the sale of gold bullion and concentrates to various customers, including refiners and dealers. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold produced from its mines, as well as potential by-products such as silver. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its exploration and development capabilities. Additionally, fluctuations in gold prices directly impact its earnings, making the company sensitive to market conditions in the commodities sector.

Alamos Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Alamos Gold shows strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and robust profitability margins. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with low leverage, though a slight increase in liabilities requires attention. Cash flow is solid, with some pressure on free cash flow due to recent declines.

Income Statement

Alamos Gold has demonstrated robust revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue of $1.4 billion, marking a steady increase from $821 million in 2022. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 44.3%, showcasing efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased slightly to 18.4% from 21.1% in 2024, indicating potential cost pressures or a decrease in pricing power. Despite this, the company maintains strong EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, indicating conservative leverage. The return on equity (ROE) stands at a healthy 7.2%, reflecting effective utilization of shareholder funds. With an equity ratio of 67.1%, the company is well-capitalized with a strong equity base. However, a slight increase in total liabilities signals the need for careful monitoring of debt levels.

Cash Flow

The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.45, indicating robust cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow has declined from 2024, resulting in a negative free cash flow growth rate of -20.0%. Despite this, the company maintains a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.73, suggesting efficient capital expenditure management and the ability to fund operations internally.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.40B	1.35B	1.02B	821.20M	823.60M	748.10M
Gross Profit	621.97M	595.80M	385.60M	212.30M	289.50M	272.60M
EBITDA	755.50M	735.00M	486.40M	321.20M	176.14M	387.90M
Net Income	257.40M	284.30M	210.00M	37.10M	-66.70M	144.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.36B	5.34B	4.00B	3.67B	3.62B	3.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	318.70M	351.20M	237.80M	148.40M	196.40M	264.20M
Total Debt	282.60M	286.60M	994.88K	400.00K	400.00K	500.00K
Total Liabilities	1.77B	1.75B	1.08B	953.10M	885.90M	785.00M
Stockholders Equity	3.60B	3.58B	2.92B	2.72B	2.74B	2.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	188.69M	235.80M	123.80M	-15.20M	-7.80M	67.50M
Operating Cash Flow	631.17M	661.10M	472.70M	298.50M	356.50M	368.40M
Investing Cash Flow	-484.30M	-467.10M	-351.80M	-312.70M	-357.10M	-314.10M
Financing Cash Flow	-95.70M	-89.40M	-26.00M	-28.40M	-47.30M	-15.60M

Alamos Gold Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 38.64
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AGI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.69, above the 50-day MA of 35.98, and above the 200-day MA of 33.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AGI.

Alamos Gold Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
LUG	78 Outperform	C$18.34B	21.30	52.25%	2.80%	63.08%	177.42%
K	76 Outperform	C$31.58B	14.92	22.05%	0.63%	38.34%	218.80%
IMG	73 Outperform	C$6.35B	5.85	26.28%	―	63.67%	466.20%
EDV	73 Outperform	C$10.87B	33.27	8.03%	2.96%	78.26%	―
AGI	72 Outperform	$15.01B	31.20	10.18%	0.38%	38.30%	68.57%
BTO	62 Neutral	$6.91B	―	-12.34%	3.15%	15.08%	-204.35%
Sector *	43 Neutral	C$909.73M	-8.58	0.05%	2.69%	23.40%	-43.48%

Alamos Gold Corporate Events

Alamos Gold Achieves Record Cash Flow in Q2 2025 Amid Strong Production and Lower Costs

Alamos Gold Inc. reported a strong second quarter in 2025, with a 10% increase in production and an 18% reduction in all-in sustaining costs, resulting in record cash flow from operations and substantial free cash flow of $85 million. The company anticipates further production growth and cost reductions in the latter half of the year, driven by improvements in the Island Gold District and other operations, positioning Alamos for significant growth in production and cost efficiency in the coming years.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AGI) stock is a Buy with a C$20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alamos Gold stock, see the TSE:AGI Stock Forecast page.

Mining Companies Unite for Manitoba Wildfire Relief

In a collaborative effort to support communities affected by wildfires in northern Manitoba, Alamos Gold Inc., along with Vale Base Metals and Hudbay Minerals Inc., has donated C$1.25 million to the Canadian Red Cross. This donation aims to assist with evacuation, recovery, and rebuilding efforts, providing essential services such as shelter, food, and mental health support. The initiative underscores the companies’ commitment to the communities they operate in, highlighting their role in aiding long-term recovery and resilience projects. The Canadian Red Cross continues to work with various governmental and Indigenous leaders to ensure effective distribution of aid.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AGI) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alamos Gold stock, see the TSE:AGI Stock Forecast page.

Alamos Gold Unveils High-Grade Discoveries at Island Gold Mine

Alamos Gold Inc. has announced significant findings from its exploration drilling at the Island Gold Mine, revealing high-grade gold mineralization in both the main deposit and surrounding structures. These discoveries not only extend the known mineral reserves but also highlight potential for further expansion, particularly with high-grade intersections at nearby past-producing mines, which could enhance the company’s growth prospects and operational capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AGI) stock is a Buy with a C$29.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alamos Gold stock, see the TSE:AGI Stock Forecast page.

Alamos Gold Unveils Ambitious Plan for Island Gold District

Alamos Gold Inc. has announced its Base Case Life of Mine Plan for the Island Gold District, projecting it to become one of Canada’s largest and most cost-effective gold mines. The plan outlines significant growth in mineral reserves and operational efficiencies, with expectations of further expansion and increased profitability through ongoing resource conversion and exploration. The plan anticipates an average annual gold production of 411,000 ounces starting in 2026, with a low-cost structure and a long-life operation supported by a growing mineral reserve base. An Expansion Study is expected later in 2025, which could further enhance the operation’s scale and profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AGI) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alamos Gold stock, see the TSE:AGI Stock Forecast page.

Alamos Gold Announces Board Changes and Meeting Results

Alamos Gold Inc. announced the results of its Annual General and Special Meeting of Shareholders, highlighting a significant change in its Board of Directors. David Gower retired from the board, and Alexander Christopher, Chana Martineau, and Richard McCreary were appointed as new members. These appointments bring extensive expertise in mineral exploration, Indigenous economic investment, and financial advisory, potentially strengthening Alamos Gold’s strategic direction and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AGI) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alamos Gold stock, see the TSE:AGI Stock Forecast page.

Alamos Gold Declares Quarterly Dividend and Launches Reinvestment Plan

Alamos Gold Inc. has announced a quarterly dividend of US$0.025 per common share, continuing its 16-year streak of dividend payments, with $21 million returned to shareholders in 2025. The company has also introduced a dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP), allowing shareholders to reinvest dividends into common shares at a 1% discount to the market price, enhancing shareholder value and potentially increasing investment in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AGI) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alamos Gold stock, see the TSE:AGI Stock Forecast page.

Alamos Gold Declares Quarterly Dividend and Introduces Reinvestment Plan

Alamos Gold Inc. has announced a quarterly dividend of US$0.025 per common share, continuing its 16-year streak of dividend payments, with $21 million returned to shareholders in 2025. The company has also introduced a dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP), allowing shareholders to reinvest dividends into additional shares at a 1% discount, enhancing shareholder value and investment growth opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AGI) stock is a Buy with a C$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alamos Gold stock, see the TSE:AGI Stock Forecast page.