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IAMGOLD Corp (TSE:IMG)
TSX:IMG

IAMGOLD (IMG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:IMG

IAMGOLD

(TSX:IMG)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$33.00
▲(11.68% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/19/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (profitability rebound, deleveraging, and 2025 positive free cash flow) and strong technical uptrend (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). The latest earnings call supports the outlook via record cash generation and shareholder returns, while valuation is only moderate and the key risk remains cost pressure and historically volatile cash flows.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation & deleveraging
IAMGOLD's record operating and mine-site free cash flow in 2025 and large reduction in net debt materially improve financial flexibility. Sustained cash generation and strong liquidity support disciplined capital allocation (capex, buybacks, debt paydown), increasing resilience across commodity cycles and funding growth without urgent external financing.
Côté Gold ramp-up and high production
Côté's successful ramp to nameplate throughput and near-400koz output establishes a durable, large-scale production pillar. Once throughput and processing stability normalize, Côté should be a steady low-cost contributor to consolidated free cash flow and margins, reducing reliance on smaller, more volatile assets.
Expanding resource base & strategic consolidation
The sizeable measured & indicated resources and strategic asset consolidation create meaningful reserve upside and development optionality. A deeper resource pipeline supports future reserve conversion, mine-life extension, and organic production growth, enhancing long-term optionality and strategic value beyond near-term cycles.
Negative Factors
Elevated per-ounce costs & royalty pressure
Material royalty burdens and relatively high AISC compress margins and permanently reduce the share of gold-price gains converted to cash. Persistent royalty and cost structures at major assets make margin recovery more sensitive to operational gains and limit the long-run upside to free cash flow, especially if royalty rates or input costs remain elevated.
Historical earnings and cash-flow volatility
IAMGOLD's track record shows large swings in earnings and cash flow across years, reflecting commodity cyclicality and operational variability. This inconsistent conversion from earnings to cash reduces predictability for funding capex, dividends, or buybacks over a multi-year horizon and raises execution risk in downturns.
Essakane reserve decline
A meaningful reserve reduction at Essakane lowers near‑term mine life and attributable production visibility. Even with higher measured and indicated resources elsewhere, the reserve decline creates a durable headwind to long-term output unless replacement drilling or acquisitions convert resources to reserves, potentially increasing future sustaining or development capital needs.

IAMGOLD (IMG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

IAMGOLD Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, explores, develops, and operates gold mining properties in North America, South America, and West Africa. The company owns interests in the Rosebel mine located in Suriname, South America; the Essakane mine situated in Burkina Faso and Boto gold project located in Senegal, West Africa; and Westwood mine, covers an area of 1,925 hectare and located in Quebec and the Côté gold project, which covers an area of 586 square kilometer located in Ontario, Canada. Its exploration and development projects include the Pitangui project in Brazil; the Karita project located in Guinea; the Diakha-Siribaya project situated in Mali; and the Nelligan and Monster Lake projects located in Quebec, Canada. IAMGOLD Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyIAMGOLD generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of gold. The company operates several gold mines, which contribute significantly to its earnings by extracting gold ore and processing it into refined gold. Key revenue streams include the sale of gold bullion, which is influenced by market prices, and the production of gold from its mining operations. Additionally, IAMGOLD may engage in hedging strategies to manage price volatility and secure future revenues. The company also explores joint ventures and partnerships to enhance its operational capabilities and may receive royalties from various mining projects. Factors contributing to its earnings include operational efficiency, gold market dynamics, and cost management initiatives.

IAMGOLD Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 17, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was decisively positive on financial and operational performance: record revenue, EBITDA, mine-site free cash flow and substantial deleveraging coupled with production records, resource growth and strategic asset consolidation. Key near-term challenges are elevated per-ounce costs driven by higher royalties, temporary processing costs at Côté and a reserve decline at Essakane; management has clear mitigation plans (operational optimizations, removal of temporary crusher, staged expansion, use of free cash flow for buybacks) and substantial liquidity to execute them. On balance, highlights (strong cash generation, balance sheet repair, shareholder returns, resource upside) materially outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record revenue, margins and cash flow
Reported near $3.0 billion revenue in 2025 with gross margin >40% and generated operating cash flow of over $1.0 billion (including $702 million in Q4). Adjusted EBITDA ~ $1.6 billion in 2025 versus $780.6 million in 2024 (~+105% YoY).
Strong free cash flow and balance sheet improvement
Generated record mine-site free cash flow of $626.6 million in Q4 and $1.2 billion for the year; reduced net debt by $468.8 million to $344.4 million; repaid $400 million term loan; year-end cash $422 million and total liquidity ~ $868 million.
Production records and guidance achievement
All mines delivered record quarterly production. Q4 attributable consolidated production 242,400 oz (+28% QoQ) and full-year attributable production 765,900 oz, achieving the midpoint of 2025 guidance.
Côté Gold strong ramp-up and high production
Côté first full year produced 399,800 oz (100% basis) reaching the top end of guidance; Q4 attributable production 87,200 oz (124,600 oz 100% basis); achieved nameplate throughput of 36,000 tpd for 30 consecutive days; Q4 head grade record 1.44 g/t.
Material returns to shareholders (NCIB and repurchases)
Established NCIB and repurchased ~3.0 million shares for ~$43 million in December plus an additional ~2.6 million shares for $50 million post quarter; management expects to continue buybacks funded by repatriated cash flows (potential $400–$500 million at $4,000/oz gold price).
Significant resource base growth and strategic acquisition
Côté + Gosselin M&I resources (100% basis) ~18.2 million oz M&I and 2.2 million oz inferred; announced acquisition consolidating assets to form the Nelligan complex with >4.3 million M&I oz and 7.5 million inferred oz, creating one of Canada’s largest preproduction projects.
Asset-level free cash flow contributors
In Q4, Essakane contributed $340.4 million and Côté contributed $197.0 million of attributable mine-site free cash flow, demonstrating strong operating cash generation by major assets.
Earnings per share and shareholder returns improved
Adjusted EPS for 2025 was $1.23, up from $0.55 in 2024 (~+124% YoY); used strong cash flows to start returning capital to shareholders (dividend repatriations and NCIB).
Negative Updates
Elevated costs and royalty pressure
Company-wide AISC was $1,900 for the year and Q4 AISC $1,750. Royalties materially pressured cash costs as gold prices rose: royalties averaged ~ $330/oz (~24% of cash cost company-wide in Q4) and at Essakane royalties in Q4 were ~$460/oz (~36% of that asset's cash cost).
Côté short-term unit cost challenges from temporary crusher
Côté reported Q4 cash cost $1,265/oz and AISC $1,688/oz but noted elevated mining and processing unit costs driven by a temporary aggregate crushing circuit installed to accelerate nameplate achievement; removal of that contractor circuit expected to reduce processing costs by ~$4–$5/tonne and improve unit costs over 2026.
Higher sustaining and expansion capital this year
2026 guidance includes ~$50 million of non-recurring sustaining capital (~$185/oz impact) and expansion capital estimated at $85 million, contributing to higher AISC guidance ranges.
Essakane reserve decline despite resource growth
Essakane mineral reserves decreased by 640,000 oz (to 1.7 million oz) due to depletion and model adjustments, though measured & indicated resources rose ~50% to 4.4 million oz; reserve reduction is a near-term negative for life-of-mine metrics.
Higher AISC guidance for some assets in 2026
Guidance for Essakane AISC is $2,000–$2,150/oz (including royalties) and Westwood AISC guidance is $1,950–$2,100/oz, indicating some assets will carry relatively high per-ounce costs in 2026.
Seasonality and near-term operational interruptions at Côté
Côté expects Q1–Q2 2026 production to be lower due to winter seasonality and a planned HPGR maintenance shutdown (5 days) in March/April, concentrating stronger production in H2 (management cited ~55% of annual production in H2).
Company Guidance
IAMGOLD’s 2026 guidance and priorities emphasize asset-level production, cost improvement, disciplined capital deployment and shareholder returns: Essakane attributable production is guided to 340–380 koz (400–440 koz on a 100% basis) with cash costs excluding royalties $1,150–1,300/oz, including royalties (at $4,000/oz gold) $1,600–1,750/oz and AISC $2,000–2,150/oz; Westwood is guided to 107–113 koz with ~1.2 Mt mill throughput, blended head grade ~3.44 g/t, cash costs $1,500–1,650/oz, AISC $1,950–2,100/oz, sustaining capex ~$55M and expansion capital ~$30M; Côté will focus on stabilizing 36 ktpd with Côté AISC guidance of $1,725–1,925/oz (including ~$50M of non‑recurring sustaining capital, ~ $185/oz impact) and IAMGOLD-wide expansion capital ~$85M; corporately the company aims to continue deleveraging and buybacks after repaying the $400M term loan (net debt fell $468.8M to $344.4M at YE25), with year‑end liquidity of ~ $868M (cash $422M + ~$446M available credit), Q4 mine‑site free cash flow $626.6M (FY25 $1.2B; Q4 Essakane $340.4M, Côté $197.0M), and an NCIB share buyback underway (≈5.6M shares repurchased to date for ~ $93M) with potential repurchases of ~$400–500M in 2026 at $4,000/oz.

IAMGOLD Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong rebound in 2024–2025 with sharp profitability improvement, better leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.20), and meaningful 2025 operating cash flow (~$1.07B) with positive free cash flow (~$0.77B). The main drag is cyclicality/volatility: earnings and free cash flow were uneven across prior years, with negative FCF in 2022–2024, making durability less proven.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability has improved sharply over the period, with 2025 showing strong revenue growth (+29.9%) and solid margins (gross margin ~41%, net margin ~23%). Results were much weaker in 2021–2022 (losses and very low/negative margins), followed by a strong recovery in 2023 and a step-change higher in 2024–2025. The main offset is volatility: earnings and margins have swung meaningfully across years, which is typical in gold but still raises sustainability risk.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage appears manageable and improving, with debt-to-equity declining from ~0.47 (2022) to ~0.20 (2025) while equity and total assets expanded. Returns on equity are strong in the last two years (~24.6% in 2024 and ~16.2% in 2025) after being negative/low earlier, signaling a healthier balance sheet and better capital productivity. The key weakness is the historical variability in profitability, which can quickly change balance-sheet strength in a cyclical commodity environment.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation strengthened materially in 2025, with operating cash flow of ~$1.07B and positive free cash flow of ~$0.77B (strongly higher versus prior years), and operating cash flow more than covering net income (~2.07x). However, cash flow quality has been uneven: free cash flow was deeply negative in 2022–2024 (including a large outflow in 2023 and still negative in 2024), and 2025 free cash flow covers only ~72% of net income, suggesting earnings-to-cash conversion is better but not consistently strong yet.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.90B1.63B987.10M958.80M1.15B
Gross Profit1.20B549.90M124.10M147.90M2.70M
EBITDA1.56B1.25B315.40M273.60M219.00M
Net Income676.03M819.60M94.30M-36.40M-255.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.34B5.37B4.54B4.43B3.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments422.13M348.50M367.10M407.80M552.50M
Total Debt839.97M1.15B952.10M992.50M530.00M
Total Liabilities2.10B1.97B2.27B2.22B1.65B
Stockholders Equity4.18B3.34B2.21B2.13B2.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow771.37M-151.40M-817.30M-371.80M-370.20M
Operating Cash Flow1.07B486.00M159.40M408.70M285.00M
Investing Cash Flow-358.06M-582.40M-402.30M-891.90M-630.70M
Financing Cash Flow-656.09M83.30M201.70M404.00M-41.20M

IAMGOLD Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.55
Price Trends
50DMA
27.23
Positive
100DMA
23.34
Positive
200DMA
17.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.11
Positive
RSI
50.38
Neutral
STOCH
24.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IMG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.24, above the 50-day MA of 27.23, and above the 200-day MA of 17.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:IMG.

IAMGOLD Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$11.73B10.2230.76%0.42%51.00%532.40%
75
Outperform
C$17.40B14.0317.65%56.17%-51.73%
74
Outperform
C$20.82B18.0516.65%2.31%73.23%
73
Outperform
$12.03B10.0722.29%48.70%1718.41%
66
Neutral
C$9.64B14.5812.22%1.71%34.31%
62
Neutral
$17.79B39.292.53%90.17%-91.76%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IMG
IAMGOLD
29.55
22.19
301.49%
TSE:NGD
New Gold
15.20
11.19
279.05%
TSE:BTO
B2Gold
7.21
3.52
95.34%
TSE:OGC
OceanaGold
52.11
41.25
379.61%
TSE:EDV
Endeavour Mining
85.77
56.77
195.81%
TSE:EQX
Equinox Gold
22.57
13.57
150.78%

IAMGOLD Corporate Events

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
IAMGOLD Files 2025 Annual Disclosure with U.S. and Canadian Regulators
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

IAMGOLD Corporation has filed its 2025 annual audited financial statements, management discussion and analysis, and annual information form with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Form 40-F, making these disclosures available to investors through the EDGAR system. The company has also submitted its annual information form and related financial disclosures to Canadian securities regulators via SEDAR+ and its own website, enhancing transparency and regulatory compliance for shareholders in both markets.

These dual U.S. and Canadian filings provide stakeholders with detailed insight into IAMGOLD’s financial performance and operations for the year ended December 31, 2025, supporting informed investment decisions across its cross-listed shares. By ensuring broad access to its annual disclosure package, IAMGOLD reinforces its reporting standards and governance practices, which are key to maintaining investor confidence in a sector where regulatory oversight and ESG performance are increasingly scrutinized.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IMG) stock is a Hold with a C$23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IAMGOLD stock, see the TSE:IMG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
IAMGOLD Delivers Record 2025 Results and Targets Growth, Buybacks in 2026
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

IAMGOLD reported strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, with attributable gold production of 242,400 ounces in the quarter and 765,900 ounces for the year, hitting the midpoint of guidance despite Westwood underperforming. Côté and Essakane delivered record output, helping drive annual revenues to $2.85 billion and adjusted EBITDA to $1.5 billion, alongside robust margins and cash flows that supported balance-sheet deleveraging and roughly $100 million of share repurchases.

Fourth-quarter revenue reached $1.09 billion on sales of 259,000 ounces at a high realized gold price, while full-year AISC of $1,900 per ounce came in within guidance, underscoring disciplined cost control in a favourable gold price environment. Management flagged 2026 as a pivotal year, tying further buybacks to Essakane cash generation, targeting unit cost improvements at Côté ahead of a planned expansion, and advancing a major drill program at the Nelligan Complex that could strengthen IAMGOLD’s longer-term production base and competitive position in the Canadian gold sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IMG) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IAMGOLD stock, see the TSE:IMG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
IAMGOLD Boosts Gold Resource Base and Highlights Mine Life Upside
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

IAMGOLD reported updated mineral resources and reserves for year-end 2025, disclosing proven and probable reserves of 9.9 million ounces of gold and a 16% rise in measured and indicated resources to 31.0 million ounces, largely driven by conversions at the Gosselin and Nelligan deposits and the addition of Philibert and Chevrier. The company highlighted resource growth at its Côté Gold, Essakane and Westwood assets, underscoring potential mine life extensions and an expanded production base, while emphasizing that roughly 80% of measured and indicated ounces and 90% of inferred ounces are now in Canada, reinforcing IAMGOLD’s strategic positioning as a growth-focused Canadian mid-tier producer.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IMG) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IAMGOLD stock, see the TSE:IMG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
IAMGOLD Hits Record Operational Milestones in 2025 and Sets Growth-Focused 2026 Plan
Positive
Jan 19, 2026

IAMGOLD reported preliminary 2025 results showing attributable gold production of 765,900 ounces, in line with guidance, with record quarterly output at all three operating mines and particularly strong performance from the new Côté Gold mine, alongside expected record revenues driven by high realized gold prices. For 2026, the company is guiding attributable production of 720,000 to 820,000 ounces with tighter cost targets, higher sustaining and expansion capital at Côté to optimize operations and de‑risk a planned expansion, and a materially higher exploration budget at its Nelligan Mining Complex, underscoring a strategy to solidify its position as a high‑cash‑flow mid‑tier producer with significant long‑term growth potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IMG) stock is a Buy with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IAMGOLD stock, see the TSE:IMG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
IAMGOLD Closes Northern Superior Deal, Expands Quebec Gold Footprint
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

IAMGOLD Corporation has completed its acquisition of Northern Superior Resources, making Northern Superior a wholly owned subsidiary and consolidating ownership of key exploration assets in Quebec’s Chibougamau-Chapais region. The all-share-and-cash transaction, which will see Northern Superior delisted and cease to be a reporting issuer, folds the Nelligan, Philibert and Monster Lake properties into IAMGOLD’s Nelligan Mining Complex, elevating it to one of Canada’s largest pre-production gold projects. This bolsters IAMGOLD’s growth pipeline alongside its Côté Gold mine, aligning project scale and timelines and potentially strengthening the company’s long-term production profile and strategic position in the Canadian gold sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:IMG) stock is a Buy with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IAMGOLD stock, see the TSE:IMG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026