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Eldorado Gold Corp (TSE:ELD)
TSX:ELD
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Eldorado Gold (ELD) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ELD

Eldorado Gold

(TSX:ELD)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$45.00
▲(10.97% Upside)
Eldorado Gold's strong financial performance and positive technical indicators are the primary drivers of its score. However, challenges with free cash flow and increased operational costs present risks. The stock is reasonably valued, but the absence of a dividend yield and operational challenges at Olympias are notable concerns.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market presence and efficiently manage its mining operations, supporting long-term financial health.
Balance Sheet Stability
A stable balance sheet with low leverage enhances financial flexibility, enabling the company to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic fluctuations.
Operational Efficiency
High profitability margins indicate efficient operations and cost management, which can sustain long-term profitability and competitive advantage in the mining industry.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Challenges
Declining free cash flow can limit the company's ability to fund new projects and return capital to shareholders, potentially impacting future growth and financial flexibility.
Increased Operational Costs
Rising operational costs can pressure margins and profitability, reducing the company's ability to invest in growth and maintain competitive pricing.
Operational Challenges at Olympias
Ongoing operational issues at Olympias could affect production efficiency and recovery rates, potentially impacting overall output and profitability.

Eldorado Gold (ELD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Eldorado Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEldorado Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining, exploration, development, and sale of mineral products primarily in Turkey, Canada, Greece, and Romania. The company primarily produces gold, as well as silver, lead, and zinc. It holds a 100% interest in the Kisladag and Efemcukuru gold mines located in western Turkey; 100% interest in Lamaque gold mines located in Canada; and Olympias, Stratoni, Skouries, Perama Hill, and Sapes gold mines located in Greece, as well as the 80.5% interest in Certej development projects located in Romania. The company was formerly known as Eldorado Corporation Ltd. and changed its name to Eldorado Gold Corporation in April 1996. Eldorado Gold Corporation was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyEldorado Gold generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of gold. The company operates several mines, where it extracts gold ore and processes it to produce gold bars, which are then sold on the open market. Key revenue streams include the sales of gold bullion and, to a lesser extent, silver and other by-products from its mining operations. Eldorado also benefits from the global demand for gold, which tends to rise in times of economic uncertainty, thus impacting its sales prices positively. Additionally, the company may enter into strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its market reach, which can contribute to its overall earnings. Factors such as gold prices, production costs, and operational efficiency play significant roles in determining the company's profitability.

Eldorado Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of strong operational performance and strategic advancements alongside challenges with increased costs and operational issues at Olympias. The successful share repurchase program and progress on the Skouries project were positive, but the increased cost guidance and operational challenges at Olympias were significant concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Gold Production and Cash Flow Generation
Eldorado Gold produced 115,190 gold ounces and generated approximately $77 million of free cash flow, excluding capital investments in the Skouries project.
Successful Share Repurchase Program
Eldorado repurchased and canceled approximately 3 million shares for a total of $79 million during the quarter, reflecting the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Advancement in Skouries Project
Phase 2 construction reached 73% completion with first copper-gold concentrate production on track for Q1 2026. Overall project capital remains unchanged at $1.06 billion.
Whole Ore Agglomeration Project at Kisladag
Decision to proceed with whole ore agglomeration at Kisladag with a capital cost of approximately $35 million to enhance permeability and improve leach kinetics.
Negative Updates
Increased Costs and Revised 2025 Guidance
Total cash costs were revised upwards to between $1,175 and $1,250 per ounce sold. All-in sustaining costs are expected to be between $1,600 and $1,675 per ounce sold, driven by high gold prices, higher royalty rates in Turkiye, and lower-than-expected performance at Olympias.
Operational Challenges at Olympias
Olympias faced challenges with stockpiled ore impacting process water chemistry, leading to lower metal recovery. The negative impacts are expected to persist into Q2 2026.
Increased Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate
The lost time injury frequency rate increased to 1.21 from 1.10 in the third quarter of 2024, indicating room for improvement in safety performance.
Company Guidance
During the Eldorado Gold Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided detailed financial and operational guidance for the remainder of the year. Eldorado Gold reported third quarter production of 115,190 gold ounces and approximately $77 million in free cash flow. The company revised its 2025 gold production guidance to between 470,000 and 490,000 ounces, while increasing its total cash cost guidance to $1,175–$1,250 per ounce sold and all-in sustaining costs to $1,600–$1,675 per ounce, primarily due to high gold prices and increased royalty rates in Turkiye. Sustaining capital costs for 2025 are expected at the upper end of $145 million to $170 million, while operations growth capital remains between $245 million and $270 million. Skouries project capital investment was revised upward to $440 million–$470 million, with the overall project capital estimate unchanged at $1.06 billion. Eldorado also highlighted a lost time injury frequency rate increase to 1.21 from 1.10, reflecting a continued commitment to safety improvements.

Eldorado Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eldorado Gold demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability with a stable balance sheet. However, challenges in free cash flow generation present a risk that needs addressing.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Eldorado Gold has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 10.86% increase in TTM, alongside robust profitability metrics such as a gross profit margin of 47.09% and a net profit margin of 26.07%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 33.67% and 50.55%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. The company has shown consistent revenue growth over the past years, reflecting a positive trajectory in its income statement.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Eldorado Gold is stable with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28, indicating a conservative leverage position. The return on equity is 10.42%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 64.97%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability with moderate leverage.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
While operating cash flow is strong with a coverage ratio of 1.15, the free cash flow has declined significantly, resulting in negative growth. The free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 6.24%, indicating challenges in converting income to free cash flow. Despite strong operating cash flows, the negative free cash flow growth presents a risk that needs to be addressed.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.58B1.32B1.01B871.46M943.47M1.03B
Gross Profit690.66M507.93M513.45M171.69M292.77M334.85M
EBITDA813.34M710.50M458.20M289.46M427.12M477.29M
Net Income410.45M289.12M104.63M-49.37M11.10M124.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.30B5.84B4.99B4.46B4.93B4.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.08B995.73M544.44M314.87M481.49M511.19M
Total Debt1.17B937.72M658.81M511.36M511.89M527.09M
Total Liabilities2.22B1.95B1.48B1.26B1.29B1.24B
Stockholders Equity4.10B3.90B3.52B3.20B3.57B3.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-599.00K15.54M-29.34M-108.99M55.83M219.23M
Operating Cash Flow734.28M645.25M383.31M211.00M362.37M425.61M
Investing Cash Flow-571.91M-630.61M-395.68M-370.89M-265.88M-244.23M
Financing Cash Flow307.56M301.27M273.88M-41.34M-67.13M92.84M

Eldorado Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.55
Price Trends
50DMA
38.63
Positive
100DMA
34.84
Positive
200DMA
29.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.44
Negative
RSI
58.60
Neutral
STOCH
42.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ELD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.85, above the 50-day MA of 38.63, and above the 200-day MA of 29.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ELD.

Eldorado Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$8.16B15.989.54%44.88%38.67%
72
Outperform
$11.33B23.1210.09%56.17%-51.73%
66
Neutral
$8.94B43.3911.26%0.62%37.22%
62
Neutral
$7.54B87.3228.16%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
C$4.38B138.069.79%151.45%1224.07%
51
Neutral
$7.84B25.326.90%2.51%34.31%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ELD
Eldorado Gold
40.99
18.91
85.64%
TSE:IMG
IAMGOLD
19.69
12.15
161.14%
TSE:BTO
B2Gold
5.87
2.01
52.23%
TSE:OLA
Orla Mining
18.04
11.75
186.80%
TSE:OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
47.49
20.39
75.22%
TSE:ARTG
Artemis Gold
35.87
22.00
158.62%

Eldorado Gold Corporate Events

Eldorado Gold’s Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Strategic Progress
Nov 4, 2025

Eldorado Gold’s recent earnings call painted a picture of mixed sentiments, showcasing both robust operational achievements and strategic progress, while also highlighting significant challenges. The company celebrated a successful share repurchase program and advancements in the Skouries project, yet faced concerns over increased cost guidance and operational hurdles at Olympias.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Eldorado Gold Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Updates Guidance
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Eldorado Gold reported strong financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, with gold production reaching 115,190 ounces and revenue totaling $434.7 million. The company is on track with its Skouries Project, expected to commence in Q1 2026, and has adjusted its annual gold production guidance to 470,000-490,000 ounces due to record high gold prices and increased royalty rates in Turkiye. Despite challenges at the Olympias mine, Eldorado’s financial position remains robust with significant cash reserves, though free cash flow was negative due to substantial growth capital investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELD) stock is a Hold with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eldorado Gold stock, see the TSE:ELD Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Eldorado Gold to Announce Q3 2025 Results
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

Eldorado Gold has announced the release of its Third Quarter 2025 Financial and Operational Results, scheduled for October 30, 2025, with a subsequent conference call on October 31, 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELD) stock is a Sell with a C$25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eldorado Gold stock, see the TSE:ELD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Eldorado Gold Recognized as Top Performer in 2025 TSX30 Ranking
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

Eldorado Gold has been recognized as a top performer in the 2025 TSX30 ranking by the Toronto Stock Exchange, highlighting its significant share price appreciation of 238% over three years. This achievement reflects the company’s strong operational performance, disciplined capital allocation, and focus on sustainable growth, positioning it favorably in the global market and underscoring its commitment to creating long-term value for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELD) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eldorado Gold stock, see the TSE:ELD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Eldorado Gold Appoints Christian Milau as President to Drive Next Growth Phase
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

Eldorado Gold has announced the appointment of Christian Milau as President, effective September 12, 2025. With extensive experience in finance, capital markets, and mining, Milau is expected to drive the company’s next phase of growth and strategy. His leadership is seen as crucial as Eldorado prepares to bring its new copper-gold mine, Skouries, into production. The appointment reflects Eldorado’s commitment to leadership and long-term value creation, positioning the company for future growth and strengthening its executive team.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELD) stock is a Hold with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eldorado Gold stock, see the TSE:ELD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025