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Eldorado Gold Corp (TSE:ELD)
TSX:ELD
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Eldorado Gold (ELD) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ELD

Eldorado Gold

(TSX:ELD)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$39.00
▲(5.23% Upside)
Eldorado Gold's strong financial performance and strategic advancements are offset by challenges in free cash flow and increased operational costs. The technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while the valuation is moderate. The earnings call provided mixed signals with both positive strategic moves and cost-related concerns.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Eldorado Gold's revenue growth surpassing estimates indicates strong operational performance and effective market positioning, supporting long-term financial stability.
Strategic Advancements
Progress in the Skouries Project reflects Eldorado Gold's commitment to expanding production capacity, which is crucial for future revenue and market share growth.
Balance Sheet Health
A stable balance sheet with low leverage enhances financial flexibility, allowing Eldorado Gold to invest in growth opportunities and weather market fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Operational Challenges
Persistent operational issues at Olympias could hinder production efficiency and increase costs, impacting profitability and operational stability.
Increased Costs
Rising production costs can pressure margins and reduce profitability, challenging Eldorado Gold's ability to maintain competitive pricing and financial performance.
Free Cash Flow Challenges
Declining free cash flow limits Eldorado Gold's ability to fund new projects and return capital to shareholders, potentially affecting long-term growth prospects.

Eldorado Gold (ELD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Eldorado Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEldorado Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining, exploration, development, and sale of mineral products primarily in Turkey, Canada, Greece, and Romania. The company primarily produces gold, as well as silver, lead, and zinc. It holds a 100% interest in the Kisladag and Efemcukuru gold mines located in western Turkey; 100% interest in Lamaque gold mines located in Canada; and Olympias, Stratoni, Skouries, Perama Hill, and Sapes gold mines located in Greece, as well as the 80.5% interest in Certej development projects located in Romania. The company was formerly known as Eldorado Corporation Ltd. and changed its name to Eldorado Gold Corporation in April 1996. Eldorado Gold Corporation was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyEldorado Gold generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold and gold-related products. The company's revenue model is driven by its mining operations, which include the extraction of gold from its mines and the subsequent processing of ore into marketable gold products. Key revenue streams come from the direct sale of gold bullion, gold concentrates, and by-products like silver. Additionally, Eldorado may benefit from fluctuating gold prices in the global market, which can significantly affect its revenue. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to enhance its mining capabilities and access new resources, further contributing to its earnings. Factors such as operational efficiency, cost management, and regulatory compliance in the regions where it operates also play crucial roles in its overall financial performance.

Eldorado Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of strong operational performance and strategic advancements alongside challenges with increased costs and operational issues at Olympias. The successful share repurchase program and progress on the Skouries project were positive, but the increased cost guidance and operational challenges at Olympias were significant concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Gold Production and Cash Flow Generation
Eldorado Gold produced 115,190 gold ounces and generated approximately $77 million of free cash flow, excluding capital investments in the Skouries project.
Successful Share Repurchase Program
Eldorado repurchased and canceled approximately 3 million shares for a total of $79 million during the quarter, reflecting the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Advancement in Skouries Project
Phase 2 construction reached 73% completion with first copper-gold concentrate production on track for Q1 2026. Overall project capital remains unchanged at $1.06 billion.
Whole Ore Agglomeration Project at Kisladag
Decision to proceed with whole ore agglomeration at Kisladag with a capital cost of approximately $35 million to enhance permeability and improve leach kinetics.
Negative Updates
Increased Costs and Revised 2025 Guidance
Total cash costs were revised upwards to between $1,175 and $1,250 per ounce sold. All-in sustaining costs are expected to be between $1,600 and $1,675 per ounce sold, driven by high gold prices, higher royalty rates in Turkiye, and lower-than-expected performance at Olympias.
Operational Challenges at Olympias
Olympias faced challenges with stockpiled ore impacting process water chemistry, leading to lower metal recovery. The negative impacts are expected to persist into Q2 2026.
Increased Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate
The lost time injury frequency rate increased to 1.21 from 1.10 in the third quarter of 2024, indicating room for improvement in safety performance.
Company Guidance
During the Eldorado Gold Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided detailed financial and operational guidance for the remainder of the year. Eldorado Gold reported third quarter production of 115,190 gold ounces and approximately $77 million in free cash flow. The company revised its 2025 gold production guidance to between 470,000 and 490,000 ounces, while increasing its total cash cost guidance to $1,175–$1,250 per ounce sold and all-in sustaining costs to $1,600–$1,675 per ounce, primarily due to high gold prices and increased royalty rates in Turkiye. Sustaining capital costs for 2025 are expected at the upper end of $145 million to $170 million, while operations growth capital remains between $245 million and $270 million. Skouries project capital investment was revised upward to $440 million–$470 million, with the overall project capital estimate unchanged at $1.06 billion. Eldorado also highlighted a lost time injury frequency rate increase to 1.21 from 1.10, reflecting a continued commitment to safety improvements.

Eldorado Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eldorado Gold shows robust financial performance with strong profitability metrics, including a high net profit margin of 23.0% and solid revenue growth. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, although the free cash flow generation is a minor challenge.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Eldorado Gold demonstrates strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 44.6% and a net profit margin of 23.0% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is 7.6%, indicating positive growth trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 33.3% and 51.1% respectively, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 67.1%, suggesting strong financial stability. Return on equity is 8.2%, showing a moderate level of profitability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Eldorado Gold's free cash flow growth rate is -4.9%, indicating a slight decline. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is impressive at 2.10, suggesting strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.05 indicates limited free cash generation after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.58B1.32B1.01B871.46M943.47M1.03B
Gross Profit690.66M507.93M513.45M171.69M292.77M334.85M
EBITDA813.34M710.50M458.20M289.46M427.12M477.29M
Net Income410.45M289.12M104.63M-49.37M11.10M124.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.30B5.84B4.99B4.46B4.93B4.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.08B995.73M544.44M314.87M481.49M511.19M
Total Debt1.17B937.72M658.81M511.36M511.89M527.09M
Total Liabilities2.22B1.95B1.48B1.26B1.29B1.24B
Stockholders Equity4.10B3.90B3.52B3.20B3.57B3.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-599.00K15.54M-29.34M-108.99M55.83M219.23M
Operating Cash Flow734.28M645.25M383.31M211.00M362.37M425.61M
Investing Cash Flow-571.91M-630.61M-395.68M-370.89M-265.88M-244.23M
Financing Cash Flow307.56M301.27M273.88M-41.34M-67.13M92.84M

Eldorado Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.06
Price Trends
50DMA
37.75
Negative
100DMA
33.46
Positive
200DMA
28.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.68
Positive
RSI
50.45
Neutral
STOCH
57.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ELD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.65, below the 50-day MA of 37.75, and above the 200-day MA of 28.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ELD.

Eldorado Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$7.14B14.739.54%44.88%38.67%
66
Neutral
$8.89B19.7510.09%56.17%-51.73%
66
Neutral
$8.19B74.166.27%0.64%37.22%
62
Neutral
$7.54B87.3228.16%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
C$4.40B137.144.89%123.03%
51
Neutral
$7.42B-12.34%2.46%34.31%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ELD
Eldorado Gold
37.06
13.91
60.09%
TSE:IMG
IAMGOLD
16.82
8.93
113.18%
TSE:BTO
B2Gold
5.70
1.72
43.14%
TSE:OLA
Orla Mining
13.53
6.94
105.31%
TSE:OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
44.16
16.25
58.24%
TSE:ARTG
Artemis Gold
33.71
19.68
140.27%

Eldorado Gold Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Eldorado Gold Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Updates Guidance
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Eldorado Gold reported strong financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, with gold production reaching 115,190 ounces and revenue totaling $434.7 million. The company is on track with its Skouries Project, expected to commence in Q1 2026, and has adjusted its annual gold production guidance to 470,000-490,000 ounces due to record high gold prices and increased royalty rates in Turkiye. Despite challenges at the Olympias mine, Eldorado’s financial position remains robust with significant cash reserves, though free cash flow was negative due to substantial growth capital investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELD) stock is a Hold with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eldorado Gold stock, see the TSE:ELD Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Eldorado Gold to Announce Q3 2025 Results
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

Eldorado Gold has announced the release of its Third Quarter 2025 Financial and Operational Results, scheduled for October 30, 2025, with a subsequent conference call on October 31, 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELD) stock is a Sell with a C$25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eldorado Gold stock, see the TSE:ELD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Eldorado Gold Recognized as Top Performer in 2025 TSX30 Ranking
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

Eldorado Gold has been recognized as a top performer in the 2025 TSX30 ranking by the Toronto Stock Exchange, highlighting its significant share price appreciation of 238% over three years. This achievement reflects the company’s strong operational performance, disciplined capital allocation, and focus on sustainable growth, positioning it favorably in the global market and underscoring its commitment to creating long-term value for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELD) stock is a Buy with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eldorado Gold stock, see the TSE:ELD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Eldorado Gold Appoints Christian Milau as President to Drive Next Growth Phase
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

Eldorado Gold has announced the appointment of Christian Milau as President, effective September 12, 2025. With extensive experience in finance, capital markets, and mining, Milau is expected to drive the company’s next phase of growth and strategy. His leadership is seen as crucial as Eldorado prepares to bring its new copper-gold mine, Skouries, into production. The appointment reflects Eldorado’s commitment to leadership and long-term value creation, positioning the company for future growth and strengthening its executive team.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ELD) stock is a Hold with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eldorado Gold stock, see the TSE:ELD Stock Forecast page.

Eldorado Gold Shines Despite Challenges in Q2 2025
Aug 6, 2025

Eldorado Gold’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust operational and financial performance, with notable achievements in gold production and sustainability. However, the company also faces challenges such as increased costs, higher injury rates, negative free cash flow, and project delays.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025