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Eldorado Gold Corp (TSE:ELD)
TSX:ELD

Eldorado Gold (ELD) AI Stock Analysis

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Eldorado Gold

(TSX:ELD)

79Outperform
Eldorado Gold's strong financial performance, characterized by impressive revenue and profit growth, robust balance sheet, and efficient operations, is a key factor in its high score. Technical analysis indicates some positive momentum, despite limited indicator data. The company is fairly valued with potential for growth, as emphasized in the earnings call and recent corporate events, despite challenges with increased costs and injury rates.
Positive Factors
Exploration Potential
There is significant exploration potential since both deposits remain open at depth, while Ormaque remains open laterally.
Production Performance
ELD reported Q4/24 production of 155.7koz, beating analyst estimates and consensus.
Valuation
ELD represents a compelling opportunity on valuation relative to peers.
Negative Factors
Development Delays
Progress on the Skouries development was slower than planned, with construction and capital spend delays.
Mine Life and Costs
The technical report saw the Lamaque complex having a shorter mine life, lower production, and increased costs compared with prior estimates.
Resource Depletion
The Measured and Indicated Gold Resource dropped by 3% and the Inferred Resource dropped by approximately 10%.

Eldorado Gold (ELD) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Eldorado Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEldorado Gold Corporation is a Canadian mid-tier gold and base metals producer with mining, development, and exploration operations in Turkey, Canada, Greece, and Romania. The company is committed to responsible mining and sustainable development, focusing on delivering value for its stakeholders through safe and environmentally sound operations. Eldorado Gold is primarily involved in the extraction, processing, and sale of gold, with additional interests in silver, lead, and zinc production.
How the Company Makes MoneyEldorado Gold makes money primarily through the extraction and sale of gold, which is its main product. The company operates several mines where it extracts gold ore, which is then processed and refined into pure gold for sale to various buyers, including refineries and financial institutions. In addition to gold, Eldorado generates revenue from the production and sale of by-products such as silver, lead, and zinc, which are also extracted during the gold mining process. The company's revenues are influenced by gold prices, production levels, and operational efficiency. Eldorado Gold also engages in exploration activities to discover new reserves and extend the life of existing mines, which contributes to its long-term revenue potential. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures can also play a role in expanding its operational capabilities and market reach.

Eldorado Gold Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eldorado Gold showcases strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability, reflecting efficient cost management. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but significant capital expenditures have led to negative free cash flow, indicating potential short-term liquidity challenges.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Eldorado Gold demonstrates strong financial performance in the TTM with significant improvements across key metrics. The gross profit margin stands at 39.37%, and the net profit margin is 23.32%, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. The company has seen a robust revenue growth rate of 17.57% from the previous year, and the EBIT margin at 26.84% and EBITDA margin at 51.82% highlight operational efficiency. However, a slight decrease in gross profit margin compared to the previous year suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Eldorado Gold reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23, indicating low leverage and financial flexibility. The return on equity is impressive at 7.33%, showcasing effective utilization of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 67.77%, reflecting strong equity financing and asset stability. However, the overall debt level has increased, which could imply future interest obligations.
Cash Flow
73
Positive
Eldorado Gold's cash flow statements present mixed results. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.98, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow remains negative, reflecting significant capital expenditures potentially aimed at growth. The free cash flow to net income ratio is -0.05, which may raise concerns about short-term liquidity management.
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.01B871.46M943.47M1.03B615.92M
Gross Profit
513.45M171.69M292.77M334.85M127.96M
EBIT
182.01M70.81M212.93M228.72M58.83M
EBITDA
458.20M289.46M427.12M477.29M214.16M
Net Income Common Stockholders
104.63M-49.37M11.10M124.80M80.59M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
544.44M314.87M481.49M511.19M184.84M
Total Assets
4.99B4.46B4.93B4.90B4.65B
Total Debt
658.81M511.36M511.89M527.09M504.79M
Net Debt
118.33M231.62M30.56M75.13M327.05M
Total Liabilities
1.48B1.26B1.29B1.24B1.18B
Stockholders Equity
3.52B3.20B3.57B3.62B3.41B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-29.34M-108.99M55.83M219.23M-54.12M
Operating Cash Flow
383.31M211.00M362.37M425.61M165.83M
Investing Cash Flow
-395.68M-370.89M-265.88M-244.23M-188.87M
Financing Cash Flow
273.88M-41.34M-67.13M92.84M-85.45M

Eldorado Gold Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.39
Price Trends
50DMA
22.83
Positive
100DMA
22.46
Positive
200DMA
22.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.25
Negative
RSI
62.96
Neutral
STOCH
57.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ELD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.42, above the 50-day MA of 22.83, and above the 200-day MA of 22.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ELD.

Eldorado Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSK
80
Outperform
$24.71B18.9814.66%0.84%23.38%131.87%
TSELD
79
Outperform
$5.42B13.568.12%33.06%177.69%
TSAEM
77
Outperform
$83.15B24.9811.45%1.35%32.68%419.46%
TSNGD
73
Outperform
$3.72B26.7211.14%18.32%
TSABX
68
Neutral
$45.42B15.749.00%2.13%15.40%72.49%
TSBTO
66
Neutral
$5.90B-18.54%4.56%-0.18%-2195.85%
49
Neutral
$1.95B-1.61-21.88%3.78%0.55%-26.94%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ELD
Eldorado Gold
26.39
5.58
26.81%
TSE:K
Kinross Gold
20.08
10.85
117.53%
TSE:NGD
New Gold
4.70
2.17
85.77%
TSE:BTO
B2Gold
4.27
0.85
24.89%
TSE:ABX
Barrick Gold
26.41
3.24
13.97%
TSE:AEM
Agnico Eagle
164.47
76.28
86.50%

Eldorado Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 20, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 26.94%|
Next Earnings Date:May 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Eldorado Gold had a strong operational and financial year with record gold production, significant strategic milestones, and a robust financial position. However, the company faced challenges with increased costs, higher injury rates, labor market issues at Skouries, and regulatory adjustments to its technical reports.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operational Year
Eldorado Gold Corporation had a strong operational and financial year, with Q4 being the strongest quarter, producing 155,668 ounces of gold. The full year saw gold production of 520,293 ounces, a 7% increase over 2023.
Record Production at Lamaque Complex
The Lamaque Complex achieved record production of 196,538 ounces, demonstrating efficiency and capability in operations. The declaration of an inaugural mineral reserve at Ormaque marks a significant milestone in strategic growth.
Financial Performance and Net Earnings
Eldorado Gold Corporation reported net earnings attributable to shareholders of $108 million in Q4 and $301 million for the full year. Adjusted net earnings were $128 million for the quarter and $321 million for the year.
Increase in Cash Flow and Revenue
Cash flow generated by operating activities was $636 million for the full year, with revenue increasing by $314 million due to higher gold prices and sales volumes.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
The company ended the year with total liquidity of $1.1 billion, including $857 million in cash and cash equivalents, ensuring financial flexibility.
Successful Olympias Labor Negotiations
Successful labor negotiations at Olympias support the 650,000 ton per annum plant expansion, enhancing long-term profitability.
Efemcukuru Mine Life Extension
Efemcukuru mine in Turkey announced a two-year mine life extension with a 23% increase in mineral reserves.
Negative Updates
Increased Costs and Royalties
Costs were higher compared to 2023 due to increased royalties driven by higher gold prices, labor cost, and sustaining capital.
Higher Injury Frequency Rate
The lost time injury frequency rate increased to 1.02 in Q4 from 0.42 in the same quarter of 2023.
Challenges in Skouries Project
The Skouries copper-gold project faced slower-than-expected ramp-up due to a tight labor market, resulting in a revised project capital cost increase of $143 million.
Removal of Preliminary Economic Assessment
The British Columbia Securities Commission required removal of the PEA from the Lamaque Complex technical report, impacting inferred resource economics.
Company Guidance
In the Eldorado Gold Fourth Quarter and Year End 2024 Results Conference Call, robust metrics highlighted the company's strong operational and financial performance. The fourth quarter marked the year's strongest production, with 155,668 ounces of gold, contributing to an annual total of 520,293 ounces—a 7% increase over 2023. The Lamaque Complex achieved record production of 196,538 ounces. Eldorado's cash cost was $944 per ounce sold in the fourth quarter, with an annual figure of $940, while the all-in sustaining cost (AISC) was $1,226 per ounce for the quarter and $1,285 annually. The company's financial health was underscored by a $108 million net earnings attributable to shareholders in Q4 2024 and a full-year net earnings of $301 million, driven by higher gold prices and sales volumes. Eldorado ended the year with a total liquidity of $1.1 billion, including $857 million in cash. Safety metrics showed an increased lost time injury frequency rate (LTIFR) of 0.99 in 2024, up from 0.65 in 2023. The company also noted significant advancements at various projects, with Skouries achieving 60% completion of Phase two construction, aiming for first gold production in early 2026.

Eldorado Gold Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Eldorado Gold to Release Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 8, 2025

Eldorado Gold has announced that it will release its financial and operational results for the first quarter of 2025 after market close on May 1, 2025. A conference call to discuss these results will be held on May 2, 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s performance and future outlook, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Spark’s Take on TSE:ELD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:ELD is a Outperform.

Eldorado Gold’s strong financial performance, characterized by impressive revenue and profit growth, robust balance sheet, and efficient operations, is a key factor in its high score. Technical analysis indicates some positive momentum, despite limited indicator data. The company is fairly valued with potential for growth, as emphasized in the earnings call and recent corporate events, despite challenges with increased costs and injury rates.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:ELD stock, click here.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Eldorado Gold Revises Lamaque Complex Technical Report
Neutral
Feb 21, 2025

Eldorado Gold has filed an amended technical report for its Lamaque Complex following a review by the British Columbia Securities Commission. The updated report reflects the removal of a preliminary economic assessment while retaining the reserve case and mineral estimates, ensuring compliance with NI 43-101F1 requirements. The changes include updated qualified persons’ details and alignment of dates and professional designations.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Eldorado Gold Achieves Strong 2024 Financial and Operational Performance
Positive
Feb 20, 2025

Eldorado Gold reported robust financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, achieving positive free cash flow. The company produced 520,293 ounces of gold in 2024, a 7% increase over the prior year, driven by improvements at Kisladag and Lamaque. Despite rising production and sales costs, Eldorado maintained its total cash costs and all-in sustaining costs within guidance ranges, highlighting operational efficiency amidst higher royalties and labor costs. Capital expenditures were significant, with notable investments in the Skouries Project and other operational enhancements, underscoring Eldorado’s commitment to long-term growth and operational sustainability.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Eldorado Gold Adjusts Skouries Project Timeline and Budget Amid Labor Constraints
Neutral
Feb 5, 2025

Eldorado Gold Corporation has provided an update on its Skouries Project, revealing a delay in the project’s timeline due to labor market challenges in Greece. As a result, the first production is now anticipated in early 2026, with commercial production expected mid-year. The project cost has increased by $143 million, reaching a total of $1.06 billion. Despite these hurdles, Eldorado remains financially robust, with substantial liquidity and a fully funded project through its balance sheet and finance facility. The company has also accelerated capital expenditure to enhance early mining capabilities, reflecting its commitment to mitigating schedule impacts and ensuring project completion.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.