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Enerflex (TSE:EFX)
TSX:EFX
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Enerflex (EFX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:EFX

Enerflex

(TSX:EFX)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
C$30.00
â–¼(-6.75% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/10/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (profitability recovery, healthier cash flow, and reduced leverage) and a supportive earnings outlook (record backlog and strong bookings), partially offset by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages, negative MACD) and a relatively high P/E with a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring contract & aftermarket revenues
Enerflex's fee-based contract compression model and aftermarket parts/services create recurring cash flows tied to installed assets. This durable revenue base lessens exposure to lumpy project cycles, supports steady utilization, and underpins long-term cash generation and service margin resilience.
Negative Factors
Revenue sequencing and volatility
Revenue is sensitive to project timing and resource allocation, causing quarter-to-quarter swings. Such sequencing risk makes revenue and margin predictability weaker, complicates capacity planning and can pressure working capital and short-term profitability during slower recognition periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring contract & aftermarket revenues
Enerflex's fee-based contract compression model and aftermarket parts/services create recurring cash flows tied to installed assets. This durable revenue base lessens exposure to lumpy project cycles, supports steady utilization, and underpins long-term cash generation and service margin resilience.
Read all positive factors

Enerflex (EFX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Enerflex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Enerflex Ltd. provides a diverse range of infrastructure and technology solutions for the global energy sector, specializing in natural gas compression, oil and gas processing, refrigeration, energy transition technologies, and electrical power ge...
How the Company Makes Money
Enerflex makes money through a mix of service-style recurring revenues and equipment- and project-based revenues tied to natural gas infrastructure. A major source of earnings is contract compression and related services, where Enerflex supplies c...

Enerflex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong commercial momentum in Engineered Systems (record backlog, robust bookings and a large Distributed Power pipeline), improved cash generation and materially stronger leverage/liquidity metrics. These positives are tempered by near-term revenue sequencing pressure, a significant decline in reported net earnings versus the prior year (partly due to one-time prior-period items), modest EBITDA/ROCE compression, higher SG&A, and ongoing supply-chain lead-time risk. Overall the company appears to be executing strategic initiatives (operational excellence, digitalization, fleet growth) and strengthening the balance sheet while navigating execution and timing headwinds.
Positive Updates
Record Engineered Systems Bookings and Backlog
Engineered Systems bookings were $488M in Q2; ES book-to-bill was 1.6x in Q2 and 1.5x in H1 2026. First-half bookings approached ~$1B (~75% of prior full-year bookings) and ES forward revenue visibility increased to a record $1.5B, with backlog at a record $1.5B at quarter-end.
Negative Updates
Year-over-Year Revenue Decline
Revenue was $582M in Q2 2026, down from $615M in Q2 2025 (a decline of ~5.4%), driven primarily by project sequencing and resource allocation related to expansion of the U.S. contract compression fleet within Engineered Systems.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Engineered Systems Bookings and Backlog
Engineered Systems bookings were $488M in Q2; ES book-to-bill was 1.6x in Q2 and 1.5x in H1 2026. First-half bookings approached ~$1B (~75% of prior full-year bookings) and ES forward revenue visibility increased to a record $1.5B, with backlog at a record $1.5B at quarter-end.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated disciplined, growth-focused guidance anchored by a record Engineered Systems backlog/forward visibility of $1.5B (Q2 ES bookings $488M; H1 bookings ~ $1B) and ES book-to-bill of 1.6x in Q2 (1.5x H1), a pipeline >7 GW for distributed power, and an Engineered Systems gross margin ~18%; Energy Infrastructure and AMS contributed 69% of consolidated gross margin before D&A. Operational targets include U.S. contract compression utilization at 93% across ~496k HP with targeted fleet growth of 10–15% in 2026 (mostly H2), international installed fleet ~350k HP across 17 projects, and ~ $1.2B of contracted EI revenue remaining with a ~5-year weighted average term. Financial and capital guidance was updated to organic growth capex $185–195M (Q2 spend $53M: $35M growth, $18M maintenance), maintenance capex $70–80M, PP&E/infrastructure ~$15M, and an intent to improve adjusted EBITDA margin, cash conversion ratio and ROCE each by 200+ bps; current Q2 metrics include revenue $582M, adjusted EBITDA $128M, gross margin before D&A $173M (30%), ROCE 15.4%, free cash flow $32M, cash from operations before WC $87M, CFO $89M, net debt $455M with $74M cash, bank-adjusted net debt/EBITDA ~0.8x, an $800M RCF extended to June 30, 2029 (expandable up to +$200M) and a $70M unsecured LC facility.

Enerflex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials indicate a recovery: profitability turned positive in 2024–2025/TTM with solid operating and EBITDA margins, and cash generation is strong with positive free cash flow and improving quality. Balance sheet leverage has improved meaningfully, though leverage remains notable for a cyclical oilfield services business and revenue has been volatile with slight TTM softness.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.61B2.62B2.41B3.16B1.78B960.16M
Gross Profit579.44M567.77M504.00M555.50M322.72M219.55M
EBITDA435.56M479.25M369.00M266.04M93.24M141.91M
Net Income65.90M65.12M32.00M-110.92M-100.94M-18.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.80B2.69B2.79B3.91B4.27B2.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments74.00M80.85M132.27M140.51M253.78M172.76M
Total Debt597.00M654.00M777.00M1.32B1.48B388.44M
Total Liabilities1.63B1.60B2.50B2.52B2.73B837.69M
Stockholders Equity1.17B1.09B1.05B1.39B1.54B1.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow266.19M234.03M247.00M130.33M-96.07M167.81M
Operating Cash Flow373.93M351.04M324.00M273.31M19.77M225.16M
Investing Cash Flow-110.61M-104.80M-59.00M-158.89M43.25M-63.53M
Financing Cash Flow-242.70M-254.38M-263.00M-200.49M11.85M-83.89M

Enerflex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price32.17
Price Trends
50DMA
33.31
Negative
100DMA
33.31
Negative
200DMA
27.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.31
Positive
RSI
33.81
Neutral
STOCH
13.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EFX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.73, below the 50-day MA of 33.31, and above the 200-day MA of 27.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:EFX.

Enerflex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$882.52M11.6213.24%1.77%18.21%29.33%
72
Outperform
C$3.87B20.1926.01%1.13%10.96%13.96%
70
Outperform
C$1.26B14.6012.81%3.31%20.43%-20.30%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
C$3.40B37.987.72%0.51%9.33%-59.43%
60
Neutral
C$2.61B36.049.99%0.65%65.16%-18.37%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EFX
Enerflex
28.57
15.49
118.44%
TSE:CEU
CES Energy Solutions
18.78
10.99
141.17%
TSE:TOT
Total Energy Services
24.98
12.66
102.68%
TSE:TVK
TerraVest
122.17
-42.30
-25.72%
TSE:TCW
Trican Well Service
6.28
0.53
9.24%

Enerflex Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Enerflex Boosts Backlog and Cash Flow as It Targets U.S. Compression Growth
Positive
Aug 6, 2026
Enerflex reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $128 million, free cash flow of $32 million and a return on capital employed of 15.4%, with gross margins improving even as revenue declined modestly year over year. The company highlighted ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 10, 2026