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Enerflex (TSE:EFX)
TSX:EFX

Enerflex (EFX) AI Stock Analysis

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Enerflex

(TSX:EFX)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$11.50
▲(12.86%Upside)
Enerflex shows strength in cash flow management and operational efficiency, with a stable balance sheet. The technical indicators are favorable, and valuation metrics suggest the stock is attractively priced. Earnings call insights highlight operational strengths but also reveal revenue challenges and leadership transitions. Recent corporate actions, such as a share buyback, bolster shareholder value.
Positive Factors
Capital allocation
With leverage now at the lower end of its target range, the company holds flexibility around capital allocation.
Financial performance
Enerflex's results exceeded expectations driven by stable EI/AMS work and a strong jump in ES margins.
Negative Factors
Valuation
The price target is decreased to $16 from $20, mostly reflecting some additional macro uncertainty.

Enerflex (EFX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Enerflex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnerflex Ltd. (EFX) is a global leader in the energy sector, specializing in the provision of natural gas compression, oil and gas processing, refrigeration systems, and electric power equipment. The company operates in various segments, including engineered systems, service, and rental sectors, offering a comprehensive range of solutions that cater to the oil and gas production industry. Enerflex's core services extend to engineering, design, manufacturing, construction, and installation, providing its clients with full-cycle energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnerflex generates revenue primarily through the sale and rental of its engineered systems, which include natural gas compression and processing equipment. The company also earns income from its after-market services, which involve maintenance, repair, and overhaul services for energy infrastructure. Additionally, Enerflex's revenue streams are bolstered by long-term service contracts and rental agreements, which provide stable, recurring income. The company often collaborates with oil and gas producers, leveraging its expertise to deliver customized solutions that enhance operational efficiency. Significant partnerships and contracts with major energy companies further contribute to its financial performance, allowing Enerflex to maintain a strong presence in key international markets.

Enerflex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.72%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Enerflex reported strong operational performance and financial discipline, effectively managing costs and reducing leverage. However, they face challenges with declining revenues and bookings, as well as leadership changes and market uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operational Performance
Enerflex's Energy Infrastructure and Aftermarket Services business lines contributed 70% of the gross margin before depreciation and amortization in Q1 2025, demonstrating steady performance and reinforcing the company's ability to generate sustainable returns.
Deleveraging Success
Enerflex successfully reduced its leverage ratio to 1.3 times by the end of Q1 2025 from 1.5 times at the end of Q4 2024, reflecting strong operational performance and a focus on maximizing free cash flow.
Contract Compression Growth
Enerflex added approximately 20,000 horsepower during the quarter, exiting with 448,000 horsepower across its fleet and plans to exceed 475,000 horsepower by the end of 2025. New units are being deployed under multi-year contracts.
Improved Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow increased to $85 million in Q1 2025 compared to $72 million during Q1 2024 and $76 million during Q4 2024, primarily due to lower maintenance capital spend.
Cost Management
SG&A expenses were reduced by $21 million year-over-year and $35 million on a sequential basis, mainly due to decreased share-based compensation and lower depreciation and amortization expense.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consolidated Revenues
Consolidated revenues decreased to $552 million in Q1 2025 compared to $638 million in Q1 2024 and $561 million in Q4 2024.
Engineered Systems Bookings Decline
Bookings for Engineered Systems were $205 million during Q1 2025, which was below expectations due to accelerated customer activity in Q4 2024 and customers pausing decisions on expenditures due to commodity price volatility.
Near-Term Uncertainty in Engineered Systems
Enerflex noted increased near-term uncertainty in the Engineered Systems product line, including the impact of tariffs and lower oil prices, and will adjust its business as appropriate.
Leadership Transition
Enerflex is undergoing a leadership transition with the exit of former President and CEO Marc Rossiter and the appointment of an Interim President and CEO, Preet Dhindsa, while a search for a permanent CEO is underway.
Company Guidance
During the Enerflex First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. Enerflex reported consolidated revenues of $552 million for Q1 2025, with a gross margin before depreciation and amortization of 29%. The Energy Infrastructure and Aftermarket Services business lines contributed 70% of the gross margin, with the company expecting these lines to remain core to its profitability throughout 2025. Enerflex's contract compression business in the US showed mid-90% utilization with revenue per horsepower per month over $29. The company added 20,000 horsepower to its fleet, reaching 448,000 horsepower, and expects to exceed 475,000 horsepower by year-end. Internationally, Enerflex's energy infrastructure business includes approximately 1.2 million horsepower of operated compression and $1.3 billion of contracted revenue with an average contract term of five years. Engineered Systems bookings were $205 million, with a backlog of $1.2 billion expected to convert into revenue over the next 12 months. The company is targeting capital expenditures of $110 million to $130 million in 2025, focusing on expanding the US contract compression fleet. Enerflex also achieved a leverage ratio of 1.3 times, reduced net debt to $564 million, and emphasized priorities such as enhancing profitability, leveraging core positions, and maximizing free cash flow.

Enerflex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Enerflex is navigating a challenging revenue environment with improved operational efficiency and robust cash flow management. The balance sheet remains healthy, albeit with moderate leverage. While profitability metrics show room for improvement, the company's ability to generate cash flows provides a positive outlook.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Enerflex has shown a resilient performance in the TTM with a positive gross profit margin of 19.3% and a net profit margin of 1.0%, indicating a slight profitability. However, there is a decline in total revenue from the previous year, which reflects a negative growth trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, showing efficient operations despite revenue pressures.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The company maintains a stable financial position with an equity ratio of 37.6%, indicating a balanced approach to financing its assets. However, the debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74 suggests moderate leverage. Enerflex's return on equity is relatively low at 2.6%, indicating underutilization of shareholder funds for generating profits.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Enerflex exhibits strong cash flow management with a significant increase in free cash flow, leading to a robust free cash flow to net income ratio. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, supporting liquidity. The company has successfully turned around its cash flow from previous deficits.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.41B3.16B1.78B960.16M1.22B
Gross Profit
504.00M555.50M322.72M219.55M298.18M
EBIT
173.00M162.34M17.48M54.29M116.01M
EBITDA
369.00M269.70M93.24M124.81M204.14M
Net Income Common Stockholders
32.00M-110.92M-100.94M-18.45M69.07M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
92.00M140.51M253.78M172.76M95.68M
Total Assets
2.79B3.91B4.27B2.19B2.18B
Total Debt
777.00M1.32B1.48B388.44M451.64M
Net Debt
685.00M1.19B1.23B215.68M355.96M
Total Liabilities
1.74B2.52B2.73B837.69M782.88M
Stockholders Equity
1.05B1.39B1.54B1.35B1.40B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
306.00M185.00M-96.07M167.81M86.50M
Operating Cash Flow
324.00M273.31M19.77M225.16M220.25M
Investing Cash Flow
-59.00M-158.89M43.25M-63.53M-137.76M
Financing Cash Flow
-263.00M-200.49M11.85M-83.89M-82.05M

Enerflex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.19
Price Trends
50DMA
9.74
Positive
100DMA
11.15
Negative
200DMA
10.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
58.65
Neutral
STOCH
80.05
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EFX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.82, above the 50-day MA of 9.74, and below the 200-day MA of 10.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.05 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:EFX.

Enerflex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSTOT
79
Outperform
C$393.08M6.3011.38%3.53%11.02%102.23%
TSCEU
76
Outperform
C$1.47B8.4423.66%1.96%8.79%31.76%
TSTCW
75
Outperform
C$833.65M8.6319.44%4.08%2.15%-5.97%
TSEFX
71
Outperform
C$1.27B12.357.03%1.34%1.22%
TSNOA
66
Neutral
$712.23M16.779.52%1.79%19.57%-26.98%
TSCFW
62
Neutral
C$307.48M16.063.00%-5.50%-88.55%
57
Neutral
$7.22B3.11-4.49%5.63%0.82%-49.15%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EFX
Enerflex
10.19
3.50
52.32%
TSE:CEU
CES Energy Solutions
6.52
-0.21
-3.18%
TSE:NOA
North American Construction Group
23.94
-3.95
-14.15%
TSE:TCW
Trican Well Service
4.41
-0.02
-0.41%
TSE:TOT
Total Energy Services
10.30
1.17
12.81%
TSE:CFW
Calfrac Well Services
3.40
-0.74
-17.87%

Enerflex Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Enerflex Ltd. Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results with Improved Margins and Reduced Debt
Positive
May 8, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting an adjusted EBITDA of $113 million and a free cash flow of $85 million. The company experienced a reduction in revenue compared to the previous year due to changes in contract accounting, but saw improvements in gross margin and return on capital employed. Enerflex’s contract backlog remains strong, providing operational visibility, and the company continues to benefit from its U.S. contract compression business driven by increased natural gas production. The company also reduced its net debt significantly, improving its financial stability.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Enerflex Ltd. Announces Successful Election of Directors and Approval of Executive Compensation
Positive
May 8, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. announced the successful election of all eight nominee directors at its virtual Annual Meeting of Shareholders, with significant approval rates. Additionally, the company’s non-binding advisory vote on executive compensation was overwhelmingly approved, reflecting strong shareholder support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Enerflex Seeks New Director and Prepares for Q1 Results Release
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. has announced its intention to search for a new independent director as part of its commitment to good corporate governance. The company also aims to achieve at least 30% gender diversity on its Board by the 2026 annual meeting. Additionally, Enerflex plans to release its first-quarter financial results for 2025 on May 8, 2025, which will be followed by a conference call for stakeholders to discuss the results, indicating an ongoing effort to maintain transparency and engage with investors.

Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Enerflex Announces Leadership Change and Reaffirms 2025 Outlook
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. announced a leadership transition with Marc Rossiter stepping down as President, CEO, and Director, and Preet Dhindsa named as Interim CEO. The company reaffirms its 2025 outlook and plans to expand direct shareholder returns, including a 50% increase in quarterly dividends and a new issuer bid. Enerflex continues to focus on enhancing profitability, leveraging its market position, and investing in growth opportunities, while maintaining a disciplined capital program.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Enerflex Announces Share Buyback Program to Boost Shareholder Value
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. has announced its intention to implement a Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) to repurchase up to 5% of its public float over the next twelve months, subject to approval by the Toronto Stock Exchange. This move is part of Enerflex’s strategy to enhance shareholder returns, following a recent 50% increase in its quarterly dividend, and reflects the company’s belief that its current market share price does not fully represent its underlying value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.