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Enerflex (TSE:EFX)
TSX:EFX

Enerflex (EFX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:EFX

Enerflex

(TSX:EFX)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
C$22.50
▲(6.58% Upside)
Enerflex's strong financial performance and technical indicators are the primary drivers of its solid stock score. The company's strategic initiatives and leadership changes are promising, though cash flow challenges and potential margin compression warrant attention. The stock's valuation is fair, supporting its growth trajectory in the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services industry.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue increase indicates strong demand for Enerflex's products and services, driven by successful project execution, enhancing long-term growth prospects.
Record Adjusted EBITDA
Record adjusted EBITDA reflects improved operational efficiency and profitability, supporting sustained financial health and competitive positioning.
Strategic Contract Wins
Securing major contracts strengthens Enerflex's market position and ensures a steady revenue stream, contributing to long-term business stability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue growth poses challenges in maintaining market share and could impact future profitability if not addressed.
Free Cash Flow Decline
Decreasing free cash flow limits Enerflex's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations, affecting long-term financial flexibility.
Supply Chain Constraints
Supply chain issues could delay project execution and impact revenue realization, posing risks to operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.

Enerflex (EFX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Enerflex Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnerflex Ltd. supplies natural gas compression, oil and gas processing, refrigeration systems, energy transition solutions, and electric power generation equipment to the oil and natural gas industry. The company provides custom and standard compression packages for reciprocating and screw compressor applications; and designs, engineers, manufactures, constructs, and installs modular natural gas processing equipment, refrigeration systems, and electric power solutions, as well as engages in re-engineering, re-configuration, and re-packaging of compressors for various field applications; and modular processing equipment and waste gas systems for natural gas facilities. It also offers after-market services, parts distribution, operations and maintenance solutions, equipment optimization and maintenance programs, manufacturer warranties, exchange components, long-term service agreements, and technical services. In addition, the company rents natural gas compressors totaling approximately 800,000 horsepower. It serves small to large independent producers, integrated oil and natural gas companies, midstream and petrochemical companies, power generation companies, users of natural gas-fired electric power, and carbon capture players in Canada, the United States, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, the United Kingdom, Bahrain Kuwait, Oman, the United Arab Emirates, Australia, New Zealand, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand. Enerflex Ltd. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnerflex generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from the design, manufacture, and installation of natural gas processing and compression equipment. The company also earns money through service contracts related to the operation and maintenance of its systems, which provide ongoing support to clients. Additionally, Enerflex engages in project development and engineering services that contribute to its revenue. Significant partnerships with major energy companies and a focus on long-term contracts help stabilize its income. The demand for cleaner energy solutions and the growing natural gas sector further enhance its financial performance.

Enerflex Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Enerflex reported strong financial results with significant revenue growth and record adjusted EBITDA, driven by successful project execution and strategic contract wins. However, challenges remain with working capital management, potential margin compression in the Engineered Systems business, and supply chain constraints affecting project timelines.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance in Q3 2025
Enerflex generated revenue of $777 million in Q3 2025 compared to $601 million in Q3 2024, a significant increase driven by the Bisat-C Expansion project and strong execution of Engineered Systems projects.
Record Adjusted EBITDA
Enerflex achieved a new quarterly record for adjusted EBITDA at $145 million, up from $120 million in Q3 2024 and $130 million in Q2 2025.
Completion of Oman Project
Enerflex successfully completed the construction and start-up of the Block 60 Bisat-C Expansion Facility in Oman ahead of schedule, achieving first crude oil in less than 18 months.
Dividend Increase
Enerflex's Board of Directors increased the company's quarterly dividend by 13% to CAD 0.0425 per common share, marking the second consecutive year of dividend increases.
Significant Contract Wins
Enerflex was awarded a contract to construct a 200 million cubic standard feet per day cryogenic gas processing facility in the Permian Basin, and secured multiple orders for large compression equipment in the U.S.
Recognition for Guyana Project
Enerflex received the Export-Import Bank of the U.S. Deal of the Year Award for a gas-to-energy project in Guyana, which will generate 300 megawatts of power and reduce the country's dependence on imported fuels.
Negative Updates
Working Capital Challenges
Free cash flow decreased to $43 million in Q3 2025 compared to $78 million during Q3 2024 due to working capital investments related to the execution of projects and higher growth capital spend.
Potential Margin Compression in Engineered Systems
Despite strong margins in Q3, Enerflex continues to guide towards historical average margins for the Engineered Systems business line due to anticipated shifts in project mix.
Supply Chain Constraints
Enerflex is experiencing increased lead times for certain engine configurations, with deliveries extending into 2027 and 2028, impacting project execution timelines.
Company Guidance
During the Enerflex Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics were highlighted regarding the company's financial performance and strategic outlook. Enerflex reported a revenue of $777 million for the third quarter, up from $601 million in Q3 2024, largely driven by the Bisat-C Expansion project, which added $116 million to the Engineered Systems (ES) product line. The company's gross margin before depreciation and amortization was $206 million, representing 27% of revenue. Operational highlights included a stable 94% utilization rate in the U.S. contract compression business and a strategic plan to expand the North American fleet to approximately 485,000 horsepower by the end of 2025. Enerflex's Engineered Systems backlog stood at $1.1 billion as of September 30, with a book-to-bill ratio of 0.9x during Q3. The company also achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $145 million, a new quarterly record, and a return on capital employed of 16.9%. Looking ahead, Enerflex plans to maintain disciplined capital expenditures of approximately $120 million for 2025, with an increased focus on shareholder returns, reflected in a 13% dividend increase to CAD 0.0425 per share.

Enerflex Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Enerflex demonstrates a stable financial position with improved profitability metrics and manageable debt levels. However, challenges in revenue growth and cash flow generation persist, as indicated by a 10.7% revenue decline and a 13.3% drop in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Enerflex's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is stable at 20.9%, but the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.7%. Revenue has declined by 10.7% in the TTM, indicating challenges in maintaining growth. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved compared to previous years, suggesting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity has improved to 6.2% in the TTM, showing better profitability. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a stable capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 13.3% in the TTM, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.40, indicating decent cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.87 suggests that the company is generating sufficient cash relative to its earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.81B2.41B3.16B1.78B960.16M1.22B
Gross Profit646.33M504.00M555.50M322.72M219.55M298.18M
EBITDA480.93M369.00M266.04M93.24M141.91M204.14M
Net Income150.48M32.00M-110.92M-100.94M-18.45M69.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.97B4.01B3.91B4.27B2.19B2.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments89.05M132.27M140.51M253.78M172.76M95.68M
Total Debt1.00B1.12B1.32B1.48B388.44M451.64M
Total Liabilities2.37B2.50B2.52B2.73B837.69M782.88M
Stockholders Equity1.61B1.51B1.39B1.54B1.35B1.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow219.00M341.12M185.00M-96.07M167.81M86.50M
Operating Cash Flow279.00M324.00M273.31M19.77M225.16M220.25M
Investing Cash Flow-86.00M-59.00M-158.89M43.25M-63.53M-137.76M
Financing Cash Flow-220.00M-263.00M-200.49M11.85M-83.89M-82.05M

Enerflex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.11
Price Trends
50DMA
18.85
Positive
100DMA
16.50
Positive
200DMA
13.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.69
Positive
RSI
58.01
Neutral
STOCH
43.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EFX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.49, above the 50-day MA of 18.85, and above the 200-day MA of 13.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:EFX.

Enerflex Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
C$2.57B13.5512.48%0.73%5.92%
78
Outperform
C$1.23B10.2918.06%3.57%9.24%6.35%
78
Outperform
C$560.76M9.4210.51%2.59%15.58%47.55%
76
Outperform
C$2.58B15.3122.50%1.29%5.79%-5.08%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
C$3.54B38.4715.90%0.43%50.38%25.63%
56
Neutral
C$400.15M-49.68-1.94%-9.19%-119.27%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EFX
Enerflex
20.82
6.79
48.40%
TSE:CEU
CES Energy Solutions
12.25
2.70
28.30%
TSE:TOT
Total Energy Services
15.19
4.18
37.97%
TSE:TVK
TerraVest
164.36
49.74
43.40%
TSE:TCW
Trican Well Service
5.89
1.18
24.97%
TSE:STEP
STEP Energy Services
5.49
1.23
28.87%

Enerflex Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Enerflex Announces $400 Million Senior Notes Offering to Optimize Financial Structure
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. has announced the pricing of a $400 million senior unsecured notes offering, with the notes due in 2031. This financial move is aimed at redeeming the company’s outstanding 9.000% Senior Secured Notes due 2027, which will be replaced by the new 6.875% notes. The offering is expected to close on December 11, 2025, and is part of Enerflex’s strategy to optimize its financial structure, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests by reducing interest expenses and extending debt maturity.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Enerflex Announces $400 Million Senior Notes Offering to Optimize Debt Structure
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. has announced a $400 million private offering of senior unsecured notes due 2031, which will be used to redeem its existing 9.000% Senior Secured Notes due 2027. This strategic financial move aims to optimize the company’s debt structure, potentially enhancing its financial flexibility and market positioning.

Executive/Board Changes
Enerflex Appoints Céline Gerson as Independent Director to Strengthen Board Expertise
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. has appointed Céline Gerson as a new independent director to its Board of Directors. Gerson brings 25 years of experience with Fortune 500 companies, enhancing the Board’s skillset as Enerflex continues to execute its strategy. Her appointment is expected to contribute to the company’s focus on creating sustainable shareholder value and strengthening its position as a global leader in energy infrastructure solutions.

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Enerflex Reports Record Q3 2025 Results and Leadership Change
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with record adjusted EBITDA and return on capital employed. The company generated $777 million in revenue, driven by the commencement of the Bisat-C Expansion Facility, and increased its quarterly dividend to CAD$0.0425 per share. Despite a decrease in free cash flow due to working capital investments, Enerflex achieved a new record ROCE of 16.9%, reflecting improved operational efficiencies and cost-saving initiatives. The appointment of Paul E. Mahoney as President and CEO marks a strategic leadership change aimed at enhancing the company’s global operations.

Financial Disclosures
Enerflex to Announce Q3 Financial Results on November 6, 2025
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. announced it will release its financial results and operating highlights for the third quarter on November 6, 2025. The release will be followed by a conference call and webcast where senior management will discuss the results, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Enerflex Ltd. Appoints Paul Mahoney as New CEO to Drive Strategic Growth
Positive
Sep 16, 2025

Enerflex Ltd. has appointed Paul E. Mahoney as its new President, CEO, and Director, effective September 29, 2025, following a comprehensive global search. Mahoney, with over 30 years of experience in the industrial and energy sectors, is expected to drive Enerflex’s strategic priorities, including enhancing core operations’ profitability and capitalizing on natural gas demand. His leadership is anticipated to bring fresh insights and energy to the company, benefiting shareholders, clients, and employees.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025