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CES Energy Solutions Corp (TSE:CEU)
TSX:CEU
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CES Energy Solutions (CEU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CEU

CES Energy Solutions

(TSX:CEU)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$17.00
â–¼(-0.99% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (improved profitability, strong ROE, and solid recent free cash flow), partially offset by still-meaningful debt and some margin/cash-flow quality watch-outs. Technicals are mixed with near-term weakness versus key short-term averages despite a longer-term uptrend, and valuation/income support is only moderate (P/E ~19, ~1% yield).
Positive Factors
Multi-year revenue growth
CES has sustained multi-year revenue expansion and materially improved margins versus 2021–2022, indicating growing market penetration for its chemical and services portfolio. Durable revenue growth supports economies of scale, reinvestment in labs/field support, and stronger bargaining leverage with customers.
Negative Factors
Meaningful absolute debt
Despite improved ratios, a sizeable absolute debt load (~$470M) can constrain flexibility in prolonged downturns. Interest and principal obligations limit free cash available for growth or acquisitions, and higher nominal debt increases refinancing and covenant risks if upstream activity weakens materially.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue growth
CES has sustained multi-year revenue expansion and materially improved margins versus 2021–2022, indicating growing market penetration for its chemical and services portfolio. Durable revenue growth supports economies of scale, reinvestment in labs/field support, and stronger bargaining leverage with customers.
Read all positive factors

CES Energy Solutions (CEU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

CES Energy Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CES Energy Solutions Corp., headquartered in Calgary, Canada, was established in 1986. This company specializes in the development, production, and distribution of advanced consumable fluids and bespoke chemical products tailored for the energy se...
How the Company Makes Money
CES Energy Solutions primarily makes money by selling consumable chemical products and delivering supporting services to upstream oil and gas operators, with revenue generally tied to industry activity levels (e.g., drilling and production volumes...

CES Energy Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance in terms of revenue growth and market share gains, particularly in the U.S. and Canadian markets. However, the company faced margin pressures due to tariff uncertainties and staffing challenges. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment leans positive due to the record-breaking revenue and strategic growth initiatives.
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue
Quarterly revenue reached $574 million, a 3.5% increase over Q2 of 2024, with U.S. revenue setting an all-time record of $405.6 million and Canadian revenue hitting a Q2 record of $168.4 million.
Negative Updates
Margin Pressures
Margins in the first half of 2025 were adversely affected by persistent tariff uncertainties and staffing versus revenue levels, leading to a lower adjusted EBITDAC margin of 15.4%.
Read all updates
Q2-2025 Updates
Negative
Record-Breaking Revenue
Quarterly revenue reached $574 million, a 3.5% increase over Q2 of 2024, with U.S. revenue setting an all-time record of $405.6 million and Canadian revenue hitting a Q2 record of $168.4 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the CES Energy Solutions Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported several key metrics and offered guidance for the remainder of the year. The quarterly revenue reached $574 million, marking a 3.5% increase from Q2 2024, with the U.S. contributing a record $405.6 million and Canada $168.4 million. The EBITDA for the quarter was $88.3 million, representing a 15.4% margin, while the total debt to trailing 12 months EBITDA stood at 1.25x. CES also highlighted a strong North American market share of over 28.2% in the land rig sector, with a record market share of 37.5% in the Permian Basin. The company completed its goal of repurchasing 19.2 million shares under the prior NCIB and renewed this for 18.9 million shares for 2025-2026. Capital allocation plans include an anticipated CapEx of $80 million for 2025 and continued strategic acquisitions. Despite challenges such as tariffs and staffing costs, CES remains optimistic about growth prospects in 2025 and 2026, driven by infrastructure projects and increased natural gas demand.

CES Energy Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and materially improved profitability versus 2021–2022, with solid recent free cash flow and strong ROE (~26% TTM). Offsetting factors include slight TTM margin slippage versus 2025, historically volatile cash flow, and a still-meaningful absolute debt load (~$470M TTM) that can amplify cyclicality risk.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.54B2.49B2.35B2.16B1.92B1.20B
Gross Profit597.19M573.44M581.08M479.35M396.95M261.08M
EBITDA403.05M396.03M355.93M300.59M230.34M141.86M
Net Income210.88M204.72M191.11M154.64M95.22M49.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.69B1.62B1.54B1.38B1.41B1.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Debt469.91M481.54M436.78M463.72M551.13M437.20M
Total Liabilities850.54M816.33M725.10M719.27M801.95M600.92M
Stockholders Equity843.56M801.52M814.23M658.00M609.05M486.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow205.92M199.21M211.55M227.88M-55.91M-101.83M
Operating Cash Flow294.37M285.37M304.66M301.78M-2.74M-74.41M
Investing Cash Flow-100.21M-104.88M-95.22M-71.83M-46.79M-12.76M
Financing Cash Flow-194.16M-180.49M-209.45M-229.95M49.53M68.91M

CES Energy Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.17
Price Trends
50DMA
17.77
Negative
100DMA
17.36
Negative
200DMA
14.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.71
Positive
RSI
30.19
Neutral
STOCH
15.78
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CEU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.87, below the 50-day MA of 17.77, and above the 200-day MA of 14.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CEU.

CES Energy Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$807.82M9.9713.24%2.57%18.21%29.33%
76
Outperform
C$1.47B13.1217.25%3.57%20.60%6.72%
71
Outperform
C$3.25B15.1926.01%1.29%6.08%24.69%
66
Neutral
C$4.29B30.637.72%0.74%11.15%10.92%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
60
Neutral
C$2.65B35.849.99%0.43%65.16%-18.37%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CEU
CES Energy Solutions
15.40
8.92
137.47%
TSE:EFX
Enerflex
36.59
26.02
246.23%
TSE:TOT
Total Energy Services
22.53
11.60
106.15%
TSE:TVK
TerraVest
121.64
-47.20
-27.95%
TSE:TCW
Trican Well Service
7.06
2.74
63.46%

CES Energy Solutions Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CES Energy Solutions Sets Q1 2026 Results Call for May 8
Positive
Apr 13, 2026
CES Energy Solutions Corp. will release its first-quarter 2026 financial results after markets close on May 7, 2026, and hold a conference call the following morning, May 8, at 9:00 a.m. MT, led by President and CEO Ken Zinger. The call, accessibl...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026