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CES Energy Solutions Corp (TSE:CEU)
TSX:CEU

CES Energy Solutions (CEU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CEU

CES Energy Solutions

(TSX:CEU)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$20.50
▲(16.02% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/12/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong profitability and positive free cash flow) and supportive trend strength. The main offsets are recent margin softening, slightly higher leverage and weaker cash conversion, plus technically overextended momentum that can increase pullback risk. Valuation appears reasonable with a moderate P/E and a small dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Profitability & FCF
Consistent mid-teens EBITDA and positive free cash flow show CES converts operating performance into cash. Durable cash generation supports reinvestment in blending/manufacturing, field service coverage, and disciplined debt reduction across energy cycles, strengthening long-term resilience.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
Reported margin compression versus 2024 suggests structural cost or pricing headwinds. Persistent erosion of gross and operating margins reduces free cash flow and weakens the company’s cushion against cyclical downturns, constraining reinvestment and shareholder returns over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability & FCF
Consistent mid-teens EBITDA and positive free cash flow show CES converts operating performance into cash. Durable cash generation supports reinvestment in blending/manufacturing, field service coverage, and disciplined debt reduction across energy cycles, strengthening long-term resilience.
Read all positive factors

CES Energy Solutions (CEU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

CES Energy Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CES Energy Solutions Corp., together with its subsidiaries, designs, implements, and manufactures advanced consumable fluids and specialty chemicals. It provides solutions for drill-bit, point of completion and stimulation, wellhead and pump-jack,...
How the Company Makes Money
CES Energy Solutions makes money primarily by selling and delivering consumable chemical products and associated services to oil and gas producers and drilling contractors. Its core revenue stream is the supply of specialty oilfield chemistries (f...

CES Energy Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance in terms of revenue growth and market share gains, particularly in the U.S. and Canadian markets. However, the company faced margin pressures due to tariff uncertainties and staffing challenges. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment leans positive due to the record-breaking revenue and strategic growth initiatives.
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue
Quarterly revenue reached $574 million, a 3.5% increase over Q2 of 2024, with U.S. revenue setting an all-time record of $405.6 million and Canadian revenue hitting a Q2 record of $168.4 million.
Negative Updates
Margin Pressures
Margins in the first half of 2025 were adversely affected by persistent tariff uncertainties and staffing versus revenue levels, leading to a lower adjusted EBITDAC margin of 15.4%.
Read all updates
Q2-2025 Updates
Negative
Record-Breaking Revenue
Quarterly revenue reached $574 million, a 3.5% increase over Q2 of 2024, with U.S. revenue setting an all-time record of $405.6 million and Canadian revenue hitting a Q2 record of $168.4 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the CES Energy Solutions Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported several key metrics and offered guidance for the remainder of the year. The quarterly revenue reached $574 million, marking a 3.5% increase from Q2 2024, with the U.S. contributing a record $405.6 million and Canada $168.4 million. The EBITDA for the quarter was $88.3 million, representing a 15.4% margin, while the total debt to trailing 12 months EBITDA stood at 1.25x. CES also highlighted a strong North American market share of over 28.2% in the land rig sector, with a record market share of 37.5% in the Permian Basin. The company completed its goal of repurchasing 19.2 million shares under the prior NCIB and renewed this for 18.9 million shares for 2025-2026. Capital allocation plans include an anticipated CapEx of $80 million for 2025 and continued strategic acquisitions. Despite challenges such as tariffs and staffing costs, CES remains optimistic about growth prospects in 2025 and 2026, driven by infrastructure projects and increased natural gas demand.

CES Energy Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year recovery with solid profitability (2025 net margin ~8%, EBIT ~11%, EBITDA ~15%) and consistently positive free cash flow. Offsetting this, margins compressed versus 2024, leverage ticked up year over year (debt-to-equity ~0.60 vs ~0.54), and cash conversion weakened (operating cash flow coverage below 1.0; FCF ~70% of net income).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
73
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.49B2.35B2.16B1.92B1.20B
Gross Profit573.44M581.08M479.35M396.95M261.08M
EBITDA373.77M355.93M300.59M230.34M141.86M
Net Income204.72M191.11M154.64M95.22M49.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.62B1.54B1.38B1.41B1.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Debt481.54M436.78M463.72M551.13M437.20M
Total Liabilities816.33M725.10M719.27M801.95M600.92M
Stockholders Equity801.52M814.23M658.00M609.05M486.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow199.21M211.55M227.88M-55.91M-101.83M
Operating Cash Flow285.37M304.66M301.78M-2.74M-74.41M
Investing Cash Flow-104.88M-95.22M-71.83M-46.79M-12.76M
Financing Cash Flow-180.49M-209.45M-229.95M49.53M68.91M

CES Energy Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price17.67
Price Trends
50DMA
16.56
Positive
100DMA
14.34
Positive
200DMA
11.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Positive
RSI
50.54
Neutral
STOCH
12.84
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CEU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.13, above the 50-day MA of 16.56, and above the 200-day MA of 11.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.84 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:CEU.

CES Energy Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$800.53M7.4912.57%2.57%15.58%47.55%
76
Outperform
C$1.55B10.2318.06%3.57%9.24%6.35%
75
Outperform
C$3.71B13.1525.37%1.29%5.79%-5.08%
75
Outperform
C$3.41B-9.246.74%0.74%5.92%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
C$2.82B26.8614.09%0.43%50.38%25.63%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CEU
CES Energy Solutions
17.67
11.70
195.78%
TSE:EFX
Enerflex
27.99
18.62
198.66%
TSE:TOT
Total Energy Services
21.97
13.34
154.46%
TSE:TVK
TerraVest
130.16
2.13
1.66%
TSE:TCW
Trican Well Service
7.36
3.47
89.20%

CES Energy Solutions Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
CES Energy Solutions Posts Record 2025 Results and Lifts Dividend 29%
Positive
Mar 10, 2026
CES Energy Solutions reported record fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $664.5 million, up 10% year over year, and record annual revenue of $2.5 billion, driven by strong market share gains, higher service intensity, and contributions from recent acqu...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CES Energy Solutions Sets Date for Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results Call
Positive
Feb 12, 2026
CES Energy Solutions Corp. will release its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, after markets close on March 10, 2026, and will host a conference call the following morning, March 11, 2026, at 9:00 a.m. ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026