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North American Construction Group Ltd (TSE:NOA)
TSX:NOA
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North American Construction Group (NOA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:NOA

North American Construction Group

(TSX:NOA)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
C$18.00
▼(-6.05% Downside)
The overall stock score of 61 reflects a combination of solid financial performance and reasonable valuation, tempered by technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum. The earnings call highlighted both growth opportunities and operational challenges, contributing to a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Negative Factors

North American Construction Group (NOA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

North American Construction Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNorth American Construction Group Ltd. provides equipment maintenance, and mining and heavy construction services in Canada, the United States, and Australia. The company's Heavy Construction & Mining division offers constructability reviews, budgetary cost estimates, design-build construction, project management, contract mining, pre-stripping/pit pioneering, overburden removal and stockpile, muskeg removal and stockpile, site preparation, air strip construction, site dewatering/perimeter ditching, tailings and process pipelines, haulage and access road construction, tailings dam construction and densification, mechanically stabilized earth walls, dyke construction, and reclamation services. Its Equipment Maintenance Services division provides fuel and lube servicing, portable steaming, equipment inspections, parts and component supply, major overhauls and equipment refurbishment, onsite haul truck brake testing, onsite maintenance support, under carriage rebuild, machining, hose manufacturing, and technical support services, as well as welding, fabrication/repairs, weld certification, and inspection services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated a heavy equipment fleet of 632 units. It serves resource development and industrial construction sectors. The company was formerly known as North American Energy Partners Inc. and changed its name to North American Construction Group Ltd. in April 2018. North American Construction Group Ltd. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Acheson, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyNorth American Construction Group generates revenue primarily through contracts awarded for large-scale construction projects in the oil sands and other industrial sectors. The company's revenue model is based on a combination of fixed-price, cost-plus, and unit price contracts, which allows it to earn income from both direct labor and equipment rental. Key revenue streams include project execution, maintenance services, and equipment leasing. NOA also benefits from significant partnerships with major oil and gas companies, enabling it to secure long-term contracts and work on high-value projects. Additionally, the company's expertise in safety and efficiency enhances its competitive edge, contributing to repeat business and client loyalty.

North American Construction Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong growth and contract wins in Australia and a focus on safety and operational efficiency. However, the quarter faced significant challenges with higher maintenance costs, operational disruptions, and project margin adjustments. Despite these issues, the company remains optimistic about the second half of 2025 and beyond.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth in Australia
Australia posted $168 million in revenue for the quarter, more than double since Q2 2022. The MacKellar Group set a company record with $60 million in June alone, indicating strong demand and growth trajectory.
Strong Safety Performance
The total recordable incident rate of 0.42 remains better than the industry target, showcasing NACG's commitment to safety and operational efficiency.
Major Contract Wins and Renewals
NACG won the biggest contract in company history post-Q2, achieving a record backlog and a 100% renewal rate in Australia. Additionally, the Texas thermal coal mine management contract was renewed until 2028.
Successful Financing
Completion of a $225 million offering of senior unsecured notes provides liquidity for future growth opportunities.
Negative Updates
Higher Maintenance Costs in Australia
Unexpected high maintenance costs were incurred due to reliance on subcontractor labor, impacting EBITDA negatively.
Operational Challenges in Oil Sands
An abrupt stop to work in April led to higher operational and overhead costs, affecting financial performance.
Fargo Project Margin Adjustment
The settlement and updated project plan led to significant margin adjustments, impacting quarterly financials.
Component Issues in Canada
Early failures of certain components in the heavy equipment fleet led to higher depreciation costs.
Company Guidance
In the North American Construction Group's second quarter 2025 conference call, the company reported an EBITDA of $80 million with a margin of 21.6%, influenced by higher-than-expected maintenance costs in Australia, operational disruptions in the oil sands, and margin adjustments at the Fargo project. Excluding these factors, EBITDA would have surpassed $100 million, with a typical margin of 27-28%. Revenue for the quarter reached $371 million, marking a 12% increase from the previous year, driven by a 14% rise in Australian revenue. The company maintained a gross profit margin of 10.7%, impacted by subcontractor costs and operational inefficiencies. Despite these challenges, the firm anticipates a strong second half, targeting a return to historical growth trends in 2026 with annual organic revenue growth of 5-10%. The company also reported net debt of $897 million, with a leverage ratio of 2.2x.

North American Construction Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
North American Construction Group shows robust revenue growth and operational efficiency, with strong EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, challenges exist in net profit margin and free cash flow generation, compounded by high leverage on the balance sheet, which may limit financial flexibility.
Income Statement
72
Positive
North American Construction Group's income statement shows robust growth, with a significant increase in total revenue over recent years. The gross profit margin for TTM is approximately 16.09%, reflecting solid cost management. The net profit margin, however, is relatively low at 3.21% for TTM, indicating pressure on bottom-line profitability. The EBIT margin is strong at 12.04% for TTM, and EBITDA margin is commendable at 24.69%, highlighting efficient operations and strong earnings before non-cash charges. Revenue growth from 2023 to TTM is notable at 26.37%, showcasing a positive growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.79 for TTM, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if earnings fluctuate. The equity ratio stands at 25.74% for TTM, suggesting a reasonable level of equity financing. Return on equity (ROE) is relatively low at 8.42% for TTM, reflecting modest returns on shareholder investments. While the company maintains a stable asset base, the high leverage could impact financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows that the company has a negative free cash flow for TTM, primarily due to substantial capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 6.61 for TTM, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting challenges in converting net income into free cash flow. Although operating cash flow is robust, the negative free cash flow due to high investment spending is a concern.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.17B957.22M769.54M654.14M500.37M
Gross Profit210.05M154.22M101.55M90.42M94.38M
EBITDA283.06M228.69M191.06M149.81M160.35M
Net Income44.09M63.14M67.37M51.41M49.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.69B1.55B979.51M869.28M838.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments77.88M88.61M69.14M16.60M43.91M
Total Debt825.10M717.05M435.39M395.23M446.18M
Total Liabilities1.31B1.19B673.59M590.82M590.49M
Stockholders Equity388.90M356.65M305.92M278.46M248.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-66.74M66.90M53.94M51.39M29.70M
Operating Cash Flow217.61M270.39M169.20M165.18M147.27M
Investing Cash Flow-274.68M-244.88M-97.47M-99.27M-113.57M
Financing Cash Flow45.98M-7.75M-19.49M-92.76M4.67M

North American Construction Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price19.16
Price Trends
50DMA
19.61
Negative
100DMA
21.31
Negative
200DMA
23.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Negative
RSI
51.28
Neutral
STOCH
48.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NOA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 19.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.77, below the 50-day MA of 19.61, and below the 200-day MA of 23.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:NOA.

North American Construction Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
1.24B10.6921.71%3.32%-2.14%-6.88%
76
Outperform
933.38M12.8715.22%4.32%9.33%-36.51%
74
Outperform
1.85B10.4411.45%0.98%-0.41%
61
Neutral
$557.05M14.998.24%2.55%14.58%-37.71%
52
Neutral
286.87M29.181.50%-4.63%-92.13%
42
Neutral
65.38M-9.303456.13%415.42%55.41%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NOA
North American Construction Group
19.16
-5.07
-20.91%
TSE:CFW
Calfrac Well Services
3.43
-0.38
-9.97%
TSE:EFX
Enerflex
15.14
7.34
94.10%
TSE:PSI
Pason Systems
12.25
-0.15
-1.21%
TSE:SFD
NXT Energy Solutn
0.54
0.24
80.00%
TOLWF
Trican Well Service
4.41
0.99
28.95%

North American Construction Group Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
North American Construction Group to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 17, 2025

North American Construction Group Ltd. announced it will release its financial results for the second quarter of 2025 on August 13, with a subsequent conference call and webcast scheduled for August 14. This announcement is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency with stakeholders and provide insights into its financial performance, which could impact its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NOA) stock is a Buy with a C$44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on North American Construction Group stock, see the TSE:NOA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025