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North American Construction Group Ltd (TSE:NOA)
TSX:NOA
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North American Construction Group (NOA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:NOA

North American Construction Group

(TSX:NOA)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
C$21.50
▲(6.70% Upside)
North American Construction Group's overall stock score reflects steady revenue growth and operational efficiency, tempered by declining profit margins and high leverage. The earnings call provided optimism with strong contract wins, but technical indicators suggest limited upward momentum. Valuation remains reasonable, offering moderate attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective execution of contracts, supporting long-term business expansion.
Contract Wins
Securing major contracts and a high renewal rate enhances revenue visibility and strengthens competitive positioning.
Safety Performance
Strong safety performance underscores operational efficiency and can lead to cost savings and client trust, benefiting long-term operations.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow suggests challenges in covering operational expenses and funding growth, which could strain financial resources.
Operational Challenges
Operational disruptions can lead to increased costs and impact profitability, posing risks to sustained financial performance.

North American Construction Group (NOA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

North American Construction Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNorth American Construction Group Ltd. provides equipment maintenance, and mining and heavy construction services in Canada, the United States, and Australia. The company's Heavy Construction & Mining division offers constructability reviews, budgetary cost estimates, design-build construction, project management, contract mining, pre-stripping/pit pioneering, overburden removal and stockpile, muskeg removal and stockpile, site preparation, air strip construction, site dewatering/perimeter ditching, tailings and process pipelines, haulage and access road construction, tailings dam construction and densification, mechanically stabilized earth walls, dyke construction, and reclamation services. Its Equipment Maintenance Services division provides fuel and lube servicing, portable steaming, equipment inspections, parts and component supply, major overhauls and equipment refurbishment, onsite haul truck brake testing, onsite maintenance support, under carriage rebuild, machining, hose manufacturing, and technical support services, as well as welding, fabrication/repairs, weld certification, and inspection services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated a heavy equipment fleet of 632 units. It serves resource development and industrial construction sectors. The company was formerly known as North American Energy Partners Inc. and changed its name to North American Construction Group Ltd. in April 2018. North American Construction Group Ltd. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Acheson, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyNorth American Construction Group generates revenue through several key streams, primarily by securing contracts for large-scale construction and mining projects. The company earns money by providing comprehensive services that encompass project management, equipment leasing, and labor services to clients in the oil sands industry. Additionally, NOA often engages in long-term contracts, which provide a stable revenue base. Significant partnerships with major oil and gas companies enhance its market position and lead to consistent project opportunities. Furthermore, the company's focus on efficiency and cost management helps optimize profit margins on its contracts.

North American Construction Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong growth and contract wins in Australia and a focus on safety and operational efficiency. However, the quarter faced significant challenges with higher maintenance costs, operational disruptions, and project margin adjustments. Despite these issues, the company remains optimistic about the second half of 2025 and beyond.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth in Australia
Australia posted $168 million in revenue for the quarter, more than double since Q2 2022. The MacKellar Group set a company record with $60 million in June alone, indicating strong demand and growth trajectory.
Strong Safety Performance
The total recordable incident rate of 0.42 remains better than the industry target, showcasing NACG's commitment to safety and operational efficiency.
Major Contract Wins and Renewals
NACG won the biggest contract in company history post-Q2, achieving a record backlog and a 100% renewal rate in Australia. Additionally, the Texas thermal coal mine management contract was renewed until 2028.
Successful Financing
Completion of a $225 million offering of senior unsecured notes provides liquidity for future growth opportunities.
Negative Updates
Higher Maintenance Costs in Australia
Unexpected high maintenance costs were incurred due to reliance on subcontractor labor, impacting EBITDA negatively.
Operational Challenges in Oil Sands
An abrupt stop to work in April led to higher operational and overhead costs, affecting financial performance.
Fargo Project Margin Adjustment
The settlement and updated project plan led to significant margin adjustments, impacting quarterly financials.
Component Issues in Canada
Early failures of certain components in the heavy equipment fleet led to higher depreciation costs.
Company Guidance
In the North American Construction Group's second quarter 2025 conference call, the company reported an EBITDA of $80 million with a margin of 21.6%, influenced by higher-than-expected maintenance costs in Australia, operational disruptions in the oil sands, and margin adjustments at the Fargo project. Excluding these factors, EBITDA would have surpassed $100 million, with a typical margin of 27-28%. Revenue for the quarter reached $371 million, marking a 12% increase from the previous year, driven by a 14% rise in Australian revenue. The company maintained a gross profit margin of 10.7%, impacted by subcontractor costs and operational inefficiencies. Despite these challenges, the firm anticipates a strong second half, targeting a return to historical growth trends in 2026 with annual organic revenue growth of 5-10%. The company also reported net debt of $897 million, with a leverage ratio of 2.2x.

North American Construction Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
North American Construction Group demonstrates solid revenue growth and operational efficiency. However, high leverage and negative free cash flow pose potential risks. The company should focus on improving cash flow management and reducing debt to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company has shown consistent revenue growth with a TTM increase of 3.66%. However, the gross profit margin has slightly decreased to 16.09% from 18.02% in the previous year. Net profit margin is stable at 3.21%, but lower than historical figures. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 9.02% and 24.68% respectively, indicating efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.79 from 2.12, reflecting better leverage management. However, it remains relatively high, indicating potential risk. Return on equity is moderate at 9.59%, showing decent profitability. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains strong, but free cash flow is negative, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.65, suggesting adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, the negative free cash flow growth rate of -12.13% is concerning.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.28B1.17B957.22M769.54M654.14M500.37M
Gross Profit165.44M210.05M154.22M101.55M90.42M94.38M
EBITDA318.43M283.06M252.59M227.18M186.74M160.35M
Net Income38.52M44.09M63.14M67.37M51.41M49.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.34B1.69B1.55B979.51M869.28M838.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments72.98M77.88M88.61M69.14M16.60M43.91M
Total Debt653.98M825.10M717.05M435.39M395.23M446.18M
Total Liabilities1.01B1.31B1.19B673.59M590.82M590.49M
Stockholders Equity338.24M388.90M356.65M305.92M278.46M248.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.04M-66.74M66.90M53.94M51.39M29.70M
Operating Cash Flow306.46M217.61M270.39M169.20M165.18M147.27M
Investing Cash Flow-307.23M-274.68M-244.88M-97.47M-99.27M-113.57M
Financing Cash Flow22.77M45.98M-7.75M-19.49M-92.76M4.67M

North American Construction Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.15
Price Trends
50DMA
19.93
Positive
100DMA
19.80
Positive
200DMA
21.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
54.62
Neutral
STOCH
84.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NOA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.42, above the 50-day MA of 19.93, and below the 200-day MA of 21.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:NOA.

North American Construction Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
C$2.17B12.2512.48%0.79%5.92%
80
Outperform
$1.22B10.0618.06%3.80%9.24%6.35%
77
Outperform
C$925.34M12.7612.74%4.26%4.60%-44.63%
66
Neutral
$575.81M15.018.81%2.38%8.24%-36.88%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
C$269.69M27.353.20%-8.13%-28.00%
39
Underperform
C$43.70M-6.64-51.99%418.77%56.71%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:NOA
North American Construction Group
19.86
-7.97
-28.65%
TSE:CFW
Calfrac Well Services
3.51
-0.26
-6.90%
TSE:EFX
Enerflex
19.54
6.68
51.94%
TSE:PSI
Pason Systems
12.20
-1.27
-9.43%
TSE:SFD
NXT Energy Solutn
0.30
0.08
36.36%
TSE:TCW
Trican Well Service
6.16
1.48
31.51%

North American Construction Group Corporate Events

North American Construction Group Reports Mixed Q3 2025 Results
Nov 14, 2025

North American Construction Group Ltd. is a leading provider of heavy civil construction and mining services across Australia, Canada, and the U.S., known for its extensive experience in the mining, resource, and infrastructure construction sectors.

North American Construction Group Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 12, 2025

North American Construction Group Ltd. announced its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, reporting a 6% increase in combined revenue to $390.8 million, driven by contract wins and growth in its Heavy Equipment – Australia segment. Despite a decrease in gross profit and adjusted EPS compared to the previous year, the company saw improvements in free cash flow and maintained strong operational performance, particularly in Australia. The company is strategically reallocating assets to meet demand in Australia and exploring new opportunities in Canada and the US, while also focusing on cost reductions and fleet optimization in its Canadian operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NOA) stock is a Hold with a C$22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on North American Construction Group stock, see the TSE:NOA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
North American Construction Group Secures $125 Million in Additional Notes
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

North American Construction Group Ltd. has closed a private placement offering of an additional $125 million in Senior Unsecured Notes, bringing the total to $350 million. The proceeds will be used to repay existing debt and for general corporate purposes, potentially enhancing the company’s financial flexibility and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NOA) stock is a Hold with a C$22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on North American Construction Group stock, see the TSE:NOA Stock Forecast page.

North American Construction Group Announces Q3 2025 Financial Results Release and Conference Call
Oct 17, 2025

North American Construction Group Ltd. announced that it will release its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, on November 12, 2025, after markets close. Following the release, a conference call and webcast will be held on November 13, 2025, to discuss the results, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NOA) stock is a Hold with a C$22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on North American Construction Group stock, see the TSE:NOA Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
North American Construction Group to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

North American Construction Group Ltd. announced it will release its third-quarter financial results for 2025 on November 12, followed by a conference call and webcast on November 13. This announcement may impact stakeholders by providing insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance, potentially influencing market perceptions and investment decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NOA) stock is a Hold with a C$22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on North American Construction Group stock, see the TSE:NOA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
North American Construction Group Expands Debt Offering with $125 Million Notes
Positive
Oct 7, 2025

North American Construction Group Ltd. announced a private placement offering of an additional $125 million in senior unsecured notes, adding to the $225 million issued earlier this year. The proceeds will be used to repay existing debt and for general corporate purposes, potentially strengthening the company’s financial position and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:NOA) stock is a Hold with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on North American Construction Group stock, see the TSE:NOA Stock Forecast page.

North American Construction’s Mixed Q2: Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for North American Construction presented a mixed sentiment, highlighting both achievements and challenges. The company reported strong growth and significant contract wins in Australia, alongside a steadfast commitment to safety and operational efficiency. However, the quarter was marred by increased maintenance costs, operational disruptions, and project margin adjustments. Despite these hurdles, the company remains optimistic about its prospects for the latter half of 2025 and beyond.

North American Construction Reports Mixed Q2 2025 Results
Aug 15, 2025

North American Construction Group Ltd. is a leading provider of heavy civil construction and mining services across Australia, Canada, and the U.S., known for its extensive experience in the mining, resource, and infrastructure construction markets. In its latest earnings report for the second quarter of 2025, NACG reported a 12% increase in combined revenue to $370.6 million, although gross profit declined by 37% to $39.8 million. The company faced challenges that impacted its adjusted EPS, which dropped by 98% to $0.02, and adjusted EBITDA, which decreased by 12% to $80.1 million. Key operational highlights include a 14% revenue increase in the Heavy Equipment – Australia segment and a 20% rise in the Heavy Equipment – Canada segment, driven by expanded fleet and project ramp-ups. However, the company faced cost pressures due to subcontractor reliance and project disruptions. Despite these challenges, NACG remains optimistic about the second half of 2025, expecting consistent revenue in the oil sands sector and projecting long-term growth through ongoing Australian expansion and new infrastructure projects.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025