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Covalon Technologies Ltd (TSE:COV)
:COV
Canadian Market

Covalon Technologies (COV) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:COV

Covalon Technologies

(COV)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.00
▲(14.29% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: a strong, low-debt balance sheet is offset by steep revenue and free-cash-flow declines. Technicals add caution with a price below key moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation is only middling with a P/E around 24 and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Low Financial Leverage
Extremely low leverage and a high equity ratio provide durable financial flexibility. With minimal debt service the company can invest in R&D, support commercialization, or endure reimbursement cycles without refinancing pressure, lowering long‑term solvency risk.
Strong Gross Margin
A 53% gross margin signals product-level pricing power and differentiated technology in wound care. Sustained high gross margins allow the firm to cover fixed costs and fund innovation as volumes recover, underpinning longer-term profitability potential despite revenue volatility.
Structural Market Tailwinds
Covalon operates in advanced wound care and infection management—areas with secular growth from aging populations and tighter infection-control standards. These structural trends support persistent product demand and partner/distributor uptake over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Steep Revenue Decline
A >50% revenue drop is a durable operational concern: it erodes scale economics, reduces ability to fund commercialization, and suggests lost market share or demand shifts. Recovering top-line traction may take many quarters, constraining strategic execution and growth.
Weak Cash Generation
A sharp FCF decline and sub‑unity cash conversion ratio limit self‑funding of R&D, manufacturing scale-up, or distribution expansion. Even with low debt, persistent cash weakness forces reliance on external funding, increasing dilution risk or hindering long‑term investments.
Modest Returns and Margins
Relatively low EBITDA margin and modest ROE indicate limited return on invested capital versus peers. This constrains the company’s ability to generate attractive shareholder returns and may limit resources available for scaling commercial efforts or absorbing competitive pricing pressure.

Covalon Technologies (COV) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Covalon Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCovalon Technologies Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, commercializes, and licenses medical technologies and products in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, and internationally. The company has 3 proprietary platform technologies, including collagen matrix platform that is used to manufacture a family of products to treat chronic and infected wounds, including diabetic ulcers, pressure ulcers, venous ulcers, donor and graft sites, traumatic wounds healing by secondary intention, dehisced surgical wounds, and first and second degree burns; antimicrobial silicone adhesive platform that is used for family of pre and post-surgical, and vascular access products that are designed to kill bacteria or yeast that comes into contact with the antimicrobial silicone providing broad-spectrum antimicrobial activity; and medical coating platform, a proprietary process that utilizes photo-polymerization to create active grafting sites where new polymer chains are initiated and propagated from the surface of an existing medical device. Its products include wound care dressings; surgical and peri-operative products; and infection management products. The company offers its products under the Covalon brand name through third-party distribution networks and company's direct sales force. It serves hospitals, wound care centers, burn centers, extended/alternate care and acute care facilities, home health care agencies, and physicians' offices. The company is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCovalon generates revenue through the sale of its medical products and technologies, primarily targeting hospitals, clinics, and healthcare providers. Its revenue model is based on the direct sale of products, as well as licensing agreements and partnerships with other medical organizations. Key revenue streams include sales of antimicrobial dressings and other wound care products, which are in high demand due to the growing emphasis on infection control in healthcare settings. Significant partnerships with healthcare institutions and distributors also contribute to its earnings, as these collaborations often lead to increased adoption of Covalon's products in various medical environments.

Covalon Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 21, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong sequential revenue growth, successful international expansion, and a robust cash position, indicating positive forward momentum. However, year-over-year revenue decline and decreased adjusted EBITDA present concerns, although these may be offset by promising innovations and clinical study results.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Revenue Growth
Revenue at $8.4 million was up more than 10% sequentially between Q3 and Q2, led by more than 40% sequential quarterly growth in the U.S. advanced wound care sales channel.
International Expansion
Successfully registered VALGuard product in Canada, Brazil, and Panama, along with a new distribution agreement in Israel and a tender for IV Clear in India.
Strong Cash Position
Cash position at over $18 million, up almost $9 million from a year ago, with cash on hand growing each of the past 5 quarters.
Innovation and New Use Cases
Introduction of new use case for CovaClear IV, generating interest and offering cost savings, with potential for significant market expansion.
Positive Clinical Study Results
Study on VALGuard product showed significant reduction in bloodstream infection rates, published in the Journal of the Association for Vascular Access.
Negative Updates
Decline in Year-Over-Year Revenue
Q3 revenue came in 9% below last year's Q3, which was their highest revenue quarter of 2024.
Decreased Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was just under $1 million, a $1.5 million decrease from Q3 of last year.
Gross Profit and Margin Decline
Gross profit and margin decreased due to $800,000 of charges related to obsolete or slow-moving inventory.
Company Guidance
During Covalon's Q3 Fiscal 2025 conference call, CEO Brent Ashton provided optimistic guidance, emphasizing key financial and operational metrics. The company reported $8.4 million in revenue for Q3, marking a sequential increase of over 10% from Q2, driven by more than 40% growth in its U.S. advanced wound care sales. Despite a year-over-year revenue decline of 9% for Q3, the company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of nearly $1 million, reflecting a 50% increase from the previous quarter. Ashton highlighted a robust 13% growth in trailing 12-month revenue and a 27% compounded annual growth rate over three years, illustrating Covalon's market success. Additionally, the company maintained a strong cash position of over $18 million, up almost $9 million from the previous year. Operationally, Covalon achieved 100% retention of its top 50 U.S. hospital customers and added 15 new hospital accounts in Q3, with a total of 65 new accounts for the year. Ashton also shared promising updates on the company's innovation pipeline and international market expansion, including new product registrations and distribution agreements.

Covalon Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Covalon Technologies has demonstrated strong financial health with robust revenue growth, improved profitability, and solid cash flow management. The company's low debt levels and strong equity base provide financial stability and flexibility.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Covalon Technologies has shown strong financial performance in its income statement. The company achieved a Gross Profit Margin of 60.24% and Net Profit Margin of 13.63% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period. There was a significant Revenue Growth Rate of 32.11% from 2023 to 2024, indicating robust top-line growth. The EBIT Margin improved markedly to 8.53% from a negative margin in previous periods, demonstrating better operational efficiency. EBITDA Margin also showed a healthy increase to 17.25%, reflecting improved profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet of Covalon Technologies is stable with a strong Equity Ratio of 88.05% in the TTM period, indicating a solid equity base compared to total assets. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is low at 0.03, suggesting minimal leverage and reduced financial risk. The Return on Equity (ROE) stood at 15.42%, which reflects decent profitability for equity holders. The company's low debt levels provide financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Covalon Technologies' cash flow statement shows considerable improvement. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate from 2023 to 2024 was substantial, and the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio was 0.74, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio was 0.63, demonstrating adequate cash available after capital expenditures. These metrics suggest solid cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue32.82M32.82M31.17M26.60M18.15M19.56M
Gross Profit17.47M17.47M18.93M14.36M7.49M9.70M
EBITDA3.01M3.01M3.14M-3.56M-8.11M1.54M
Net Income2.06M2.06M2.67M-4.46M-9.66M23.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.12M36.12M31.81M24.90M30.38M40.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.37M17.37M16.75M8.79M14.06M22.95M
Total Debt2.25M2.25M901.67K1.56M2.17M2.59M
Total Liabilities5.40M5.40M4.30M6.11M6.15M7.21M
Stockholders Equity30.73M30.73M27.50M18.79M24.23M33.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.51M1.65M3.06M-4.50M-9.08M443.71K
Operating Cash Flow2.29M2.29M3.47M-3.18M-7.99M621.37K
Investing Cash Flow-847.02K-847.02K-281.63K-81.02K-843.02K-278.53K
Financing Cash Flow-529.35K-529.35K4.97M-2.16M-2.19M-8.25M

Covalon Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.75
Price Trends
50DMA
1.88
Negative
100DMA
1.97
Negative
200DMA
2.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
42.57
Neutral
STOCH
41.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:COV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.76, below the 50-day MA of 1.88, and below the 200-day MA of 2.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:COV.

Covalon Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
C$47.71M23.177.07%5.29%-29.02%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
45
Neutral
C$32.84M-8.4772.92%
44
Neutral
C$64.60M-5.54-91.21%54.74%
44
Neutral
C$48.82M-3.0354.38%
42
Neutral
C$48.84M-12.07-41.70%-35.42%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:COV
Covalon Technologies
1.74
-1.36
-43.87%
TSE:MDNA
Medicenna Therapeutics Corp
0.94
-0.42
-30.88%
TSE:MIR
Medmira
0.07
-0.06
-46.15%
TSE:SVA
Sernova
0.12
-0.10
-45.45%
TSE:NRX
NurExone Biologic
0.62
-0.03
-4.62%
TSE:DTC
Defence Therapeutics
0.60
-0.07
-10.45%

Covalon Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Covalon Technologies Achieves Record Revenue and Pays First-Ever Dividend
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

Covalon Technologies reported its highest revenue quarter for fiscal year 2025, marking its third consecutive year of revenue growth. Despite challenges in the market, the company achieved a 5% increase in global revenue to $32.8 million and maintained a strong financial position with $17 million in cash and no debt. Covalon paid its first-ever special dividend, reflecting its robust financial performance. The company also announced the appointment of Katie Martinovich as Chief Financial Officer and secured a new strategic partner for its US Advanced Wound Care sales channel. A recent clinical study on Covalon’s VALGuard® technology demonstrated significant reductions in bloodstream infections, further supporting the adoption of its products.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:COV) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Covalon Technologies stock, see the TSE:COV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Covalon Technologies Achieves Record Revenue and Strategic Milestones in 2025
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

Covalon Technologies Ltd. reported its highest revenue quarter of fiscal year 2025, marking its third consecutive year of revenue growth despite global economic challenges. The company achieved a 5% increase in global revenue, totaling $32.8 million, and maintained a strong financial position with $17 million in cash and no debt. Covalon’s strategic advancements include the appointment of a new CFO, securing a significant partnership in the US market, and paying its first-ever dividend, reflecting its robust financial health. Additionally, a peer-reviewed study highlighted the efficacy of Covalon’s VALGuard® technology, contributing to increased adoption and revenue growth in its US sales channels.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:COV) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Covalon Technologies stock, see the TSE:COV Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Covalon Technologies to Announce Fiscal 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

Covalon Technologies Ltd. has announced that it will release its fourth quarter and year-end fiscal 2025 financial results on December 11, 2025, before the market opens. The company will host a conference call and webcast on the same day to discuss these results, allowing stakeholders to engage with management through a Q&A session. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides an opportunity to gain insights into the company’s financial performance and future outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:COV) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Covalon Technologies stock, see the TSE:COV Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Covalon Technologies Declares First-Ever Dividend Amid Financial Growth
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

Covalon Technologies Ltd. has announced the payment of its first-ever dividend, a special cash dividend of C$0.15 per common share, marking a milestone in the company’s financial strength and commitment to shareholder value. This achievement reflects Covalon’s strong financial performance, with significant revenue growth and improved profitability, driven by the successful adoption of its patented medical technologies in healthcare facilities worldwide.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:COV) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Covalon Technologies stock, see the TSE:COV Stock Forecast page.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Covalon Technologies Declares First-Ever Special Cash Dividend
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

Covalon Technologies Ltd. has announced its first-ever special cash dividend of $0.15 CAD per common share, totaling $4,112,711.55 CAD, to be paid to shareholders on November 18, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s strong financial performance, having been profitable for the last six quarters, and its robust cash position of $18.9 million CAD with no debt. The dividend is intended to reward shareholders and underscores Covalon’s financial health and commitment to shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:COV) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Covalon Technologies stock, see the TSE:COV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Covalon Technologies to Showcase at Planet MicroCap Event in Toronto
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

Covalon Technologies Ltd. announced its participation in the Planet MicroCap Showcase: TORONTO 2025, highlighting its position as a profitable, debt-free, and undervalued healthcare company. CEO Brent Ashton will discuss the company’s ability to outperform larger medical device companies, recent clinical evidence supporting its products, and strategies for leveraging its strong financial position to drive shareholder value and future business success.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:COV) stock is a Buy with a C$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Covalon Technologies stock, see the TSE:COV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026