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Medicenna Therapeutics Corp (TSE:MDNA)
TSX:MDNA

Medicenna Therapeutics Corp (MDNA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MDNA

Medicenna Therapeutics Corp

(TSX:MDNA)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.91
▼(-1.94% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (pre-revenue, ongoing losses, and significant cash burn) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages with negative momentum). Positive clinical and development-related corporate updates provide some offset, but valuation support is limited given negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Promising Clinical Trial Results
The positive results from the ABILITY-1 trial for MDNA11, especially in combination with KEYTRUDA, highlight its potential to transform cancer treatment paradigms, enhancing Medicenna's strategic positioning in the immunotherapy market.
Innovative Product Pipeline
MDNA113's preclinical success in targeting 'immunologically cold' tumors showcases Medicenna's innovative approach, potentially offering superior alternatives in cancer therapy and strengthening its competitive edge in the biotechnology sector.
Strong Financial Position
Medicenna's strong financial backing, securing operations through mid-2026, provides stability and supports continued R&D efforts, crucial for advancing its clinical programs and achieving long-term growth objectives.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash Flow
Ongoing negative cash flow and reliance on external financing highlight sustainability concerns, potentially limiting Medicenna's ability to independently fund its operations and R&D initiatives in the long term.
Declining Stockholder Equity
The decline in stockholder equity may affect Medicenna's financial flexibility, posing challenges in securing favorable terms for future financing, which is critical for sustaining its clinical development and growth.
Ongoing Financial Struggles
Persistent financial struggles, marked by negative EBIT and net income, underscore the challenges faced by Medicenna in achieving profitability, which could impact its ability to sustain long-term operations without external support.

Medicenna Therapeutics Corp (MDNA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Medicenna Therapeutics Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMedicenna Therapeutics Corp., an immunotherapy company, engages in the development and commercialization of Superkines and empowered Superkines for the treatment of cancer and other diseases. Its lead product is MDNA55, an interleukin- 4 (IL-4) EC that has completed Phase IIb clinical trial for the treatment of recurrent glioblastoma, as well as preclinical and clinical development stages for the treatment of other brain and non-brain tumors. The company also develops MDNA11, an enhanced version of IL-2 to activate and proliferate the immune cells needed to fight cancer; MDNA209, an IL-2 antagonist for autoimmune diseases, such as multiple sclerosis and graft versus host disease; MDNA413, a dual IL-4/IL-13 antagonist to treat cancer immunotherapies; and MDNA132, an IL-13 Superkine for solid tumors. In addition, it provides BiSKITs platform to develop designer Superkines by fusing them to other proteins, antibodies, cytokines, or other Superkines. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMedicenna Therapeutics Corp generates revenue primarily through strategic partnerships, collaborations, and licensing agreements with other biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships often involve upfront payments, milestone payments based on clinical development progress, and royalties on potential future sales of any successfully commercialized products. Additionally, the company may receive funding through grants and government incentives aimed at supporting innovative cancer therapies. As a clinical-stage company, Medicenna does not yet have products on the market, so its revenue is primarily derived from these collaborative arrangements rather than direct product sales.

Medicenna Therapeutics Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Medicenna Therapeutics Corp. struggles with financial performance typical of early-stage biotech firms, marked by negative EBIT and net income. The balance sheet shows moderate stability with low debt but declining stockholder equity. Cash flow remains negative, reliant on financing activities, highlighting sustainability concerns.
Income Statement
14
Very Negative
Medicenna Therapeutics Corp. shows a challenging income statement with negative EBIT and net income over the TTM period, reflecting ongoing financial struggles. Revenue generation remains minimal, with a recent TTM revenue of $5,000. However, there is a notable improvement in gross profit margin for the TTM, suggesting potential for efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet indicates moderate stability with a favorable equity ratio due to relatively high stockholder equity compared to total assets. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low, reflecting prudent debt management. However, there is a reduction in stockholder equity over time, which could affect financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative free cash flow, a significant concern for sustainability. The firm relies heavily on financing activities to support operations, which is not sustainable in the long term. There is a lack of positive operating cash flow, indicating ongoing cash management challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-42.00K-55.00K-5.00K-5.00K-38.00K-40.00K
EBITDA-21.15M-12.97M-16.30M-18.67M-22.54M-17.25M
Net Income-13.81M-11.80M1.55M-25.47M-22.65M-17.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.04M28.38M36.45M19.13M23.46M42.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.75M24.84M33.60M16.98M20.54M40.38M
Total Debt149.00K168.00K0.000.000.0034.00K
Total Liabilities7.80M9.29M6.96M13.94M2.62M4.11M
Stockholders Equity10.24M19.09M29.49M5.19M20.84M38.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.03M-16.52M-12.66M-16.26M-23.58M-15.31M
Operating Cash Flow-17.03M-16.49M-12.66M-16.26M-23.58M-15.31M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-33.00K-13.05M0.0010.05M5.01M
Financing Cash Flow1.91M23.49M24.76M0.003.88M18.26M

Medicenna Therapeutics Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.93
Price Trends
50DMA
1.26
Negative
100DMA
1.17
Negative
200DMA
1.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Negative
RSI
32.98
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MDNA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.97, below the 50-day MA of 1.26, and below the 200-day MA of 1.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 32.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:MDNA.

Medicenna Therapeutics Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
C$47.71M23.177.07%5.29%-29.02%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$176.23M-4.80-89.10%27.53%
44
Neutral
C$64.60M-5.48-91.21%54.74%
26
Underperform
C$90.57M-37.3310.49%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MDNA
Medicenna Therapeutics Corp
0.93
-0.43
-31.62%
TSE:MSCL
Satellos Bioscience
0.88
0.05
6.02%
TSE:ARCH
Arch Biopartners
1.37
-0.55
-28.65%
TSE:COV
Covalon Technologies
1.74
-1.36
-43.87%
TSE:METX
ME Therapeutics Holdings, Inc.
3.00
-3.29
-52.31%
TSE:ONCO
Onco-Innovations Ltd.
1.47
0.02
1.38%

Medicenna Therapeutics Corp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Medicenna Maps 2026 Milestones as IL-2 Superkine MDNA11 Delivers Promising Cancer Responses
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Medicenna reported updated clinical data for its lead IL-2 super agonist MDNA11 from the ongoing Phase 1/2 ABILITY-1 trial, showing encouraging objective response rates in heavily pretreated cancer patients, particularly in the second- and third-line setting and following failure of immune checkpoint inhibitors. Based on these results, the company plans to complete ABILITY-1 enrollment and prepare a registrational trial in second-/third-line melanoma and other selected tumors post-checkpoint failure, while also supporting the NEO-CYT investigator-sponsored study that will test MDNA11 as front-line therapy in resectable advanced cutaneous melanoma starting in the first half of 2026. Medicenna also highlighted preclinical safety data for MDNA113, a conditionally activated bifunctional anti-PD-1–IL-2 superkine that could allow dosing comparable to current anti-PD-1 drugs, with an investigational new drug filing and first-in-human trial targeted for the second half of 2026. The company intends to showcase additional data on its bizaxofusp program at an upcoming glioblastoma conference and stated that its cash runway now extends into the third quarter of 2026, supporting continued advancement of its superkine platform and reinforcing its bid to establish a leadership position in next-generation immunotherapies for difficult-to-treat cancers.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDNA) stock is a Hold with a C$0.91 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicenna Therapeutics Corp stock, see the TSE:MDNA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Medicenna Targets Pivotal 2026 as IL-2 Superkine Programs Advance Toward Registrational Trials
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Medicenna Therapeutics outlined a potentially pivotal 2026 as it advances its Superkine immunotherapy pipeline, led by IL-2 super agonist MDNA11 and conditionally activated bifunctional anti-PD1–IL-2 candidate MDNA113. Updated data from the Phase 1/2 ABILITY-1 trial show strong monotherapy activity for MDNA11 in heavily pretreated patients, with overall response rates of 50% in second- and third-line (2L/3L) settings and 42% when used immediately after checkpoint inhibitor failure in select expansion cohorts, and meaningful response rates across 18 cancer types; similar efficacy trends were observed in combination with pembrolizumab. On the back of these results, the company plans to complete ABILITY-1 enrollment and prepare a registrational trial in 2L/3L melanoma and other tumors post-ICI failure, while an externally sponsored NEO-CYT study will move MDNA11 into front-line therapy for resectable advanced cutaneous melanoma starting in the first half of 2026. Meanwhile, preclinical data for MDNA113 in non-human primates support dosing comparable to approved anti-PD-1 therapies, with an IND filing and first-in-human trial targeted for the second half of 2026, bolstering Medicenna’s strategy to position its IL-2-based platform as best-in-class in a competitive immuno-oncology landscape. The company also plans multiple bizaxofusp data presentations at a major glioblastoma meeting and reports a cash runway extending into the third quarter of 2026, providing financial visibility to support these clinical milestones.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDNA) stock is a Hold with a C$0.91 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicenna Therapeutics Corp stock, see the TSE:MDNA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Medicenna’s MDNA11 Shows Promising Results in Advanced Tumor Trials
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

Medicenna Therapeutics Corp announced updated clinical trial results for MDNA11 at the ESMO-IO Congress 2025, highlighting its durable anti-tumor activity in advanced solid tumors, particularly in immune checkpoint-resistant cancers. The trial demonstrated promising objective response rates and disease control rates in various cancer types, indicating MDNA11’s potential efficacy in earlier lines of treatment. The results suggest meaningful therapeutic potential, with a manageable safety profile, reinforcing MDNA11’s positioning as a promising candidate in the oncology market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDNA) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicenna Therapeutics Corp stock, see the TSE:MDNA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Medicenna Therapeutics to Host Webinar on MDNA11 Clinical Data
Neutral
Dec 9, 2025

Medicenna Therapeutics announced a live webinar to discuss updated clinical data from their ABILITY-1 Phase 1/2 Study on MDNA11, both as a monotherapy and in combination with pembrolizumab. The webinar, featuring presentations from the company’s executive and scientific advisory team, aims to provide insights into the study’s findings and implications for Medicenna’s operations and industry positioning. This event underscores the company’s commitment to advancing its pipeline and engaging with stakeholders through transparent communication.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDNA) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicenna Therapeutics Corp stock, see the TSE:MDNA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related Announcements
Medicenna Therapeutics Reports Q2 2026 Results and Announces Key Developments in Superkine Programs
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Medicenna Therapeutics Corp announced its second quarter fiscal 2026 financial results and provided a corporate update, highlighting significant advancements in its Superkine programs. The company is set to present updated clinical data for MDNA11 at the ESMO Immuno-Oncology Congress and is launching a new clinical trial in Italy to evaluate MDNA11 in combination with checkpoint inhibitors for melanoma. Additionally, Medicenna is advancing its MDNA113 bispecific program and has strengthened its patent portfolio, which underscores its commitment to pioneering innovative therapies in oncology.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDNA) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicenna Therapeutics Corp stock, see the TSE:MDNA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Medicenna Partners with Fondazione Melanoma Onlus for Pioneering Melanoma Trial
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Medicenna Therapeutics Corp has announced a collaboration with Fondazione Melanoma Onlus to conduct the NEO-CYT trial, which will evaluate MDNA11, a next-generation IL-2 Superkine, as a neoadjuvant immunotherapy for high-risk, surgically resectable Stage III melanoma. This trial aims to assess the potential of MDNA11 in combination with checkpoint inhibitors to improve pathologic responses and potentially enhance curative outcomes after surgery. The study represents a significant step in the clinical development of MDNA11, potentially expanding its use in earlier-stage melanoma and broadening its market reach.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDNA) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicenna Therapeutics Corp stock, see the TSE:MDNA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Medicenna to Present Updated MDNA11 Data at ESMO Congress 2025
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Medicenna Therapeutics Corp announced that updated clinical data from their Phase 1/2 ABILITY-1 Study on MDNA11 will be presented at the European Society for Medical Oncology Immuno-Oncology Congress 2025. This presentation will highlight the potential of MDNA11 as a monotherapy and in combination with pembrolizumab for treating advanced solid tumors, potentially enhancing Medicenna’s position in the immunotherapy market and offering new hope for stakeholders in cancer treatment.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDNA) stock is a Buy with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicenna Therapeutics Corp stock, see the TSE:MDNA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Medicenna Therapeutics to Showcase Innovations at Upcoming Conferences
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

Medicenna Therapeutics Corp announced its participation in several upcoming conferences, including the Planet MicroCap Showcase, BIO-Europe 2025, and the Oppenheimer Miami Oncology Summit. These events will allow the company to present its innovative therapies and engage with potential partners and investors, highlighting its pipeline of Superkines and ongoing clinical trials. This participation is expected to enhance Medicenna’s industry positioning and provide opportunities for strategic partnerships.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MDNA) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medicenna Therapeutics Corp stock, see the TSE:MDNA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025