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Calian Group Ltd. (TSE:CGY)
:CGY
Canadian Market

Calian Group (CGY) AI Stock Analysis

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Calian Group

(TSX:CGY)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$50.00
▼(-0.73%Downside)
Calian Group Ltd. exhibits strong growth potential driven by strategic acquisitions and solid performance in the defense sector. However, the high valuation and challenges in the ITCS segment pose risks. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a stable financial position with positive corporate developments supporting future growth.

Calian Group (CGY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Calian Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCalian Group Ltd. is a diversified professional services company headquartered in Canada. It operates in several sectors including Health, Learning, Advanced Technologies, and IT and Cyber Solutions. The company provides a wide range of services such as healthcare solutions, training and education, engineering services, IT and cyber security, and communication systems, catering to both public and private sector clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyCalian Group Ltd. generates revenue through a multi-faceted business model that leverages its diversified services across different industries. Key revenue streams include contracts and service agreements with government bodies, healthcare institutions, and corporate clients. In the Health sector, the company earns from providing clinical services, occupational health solutions, and health technology products. The Learning segment generates income through training programs and educational services. The Advanced Technologies sector contributes by offering engineering services and communication solutions, often involving long-term contracts with industries such as aerospace and defense. The IT and Cyber Solutions sector derives revenue from IT consulting, managed services, and cyber security solutions. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions play a significant role in expanding Calian's capabilities and market reach, further enhancing its revenue potential.

Calian Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.31%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with strong performance in the defense segment and strategic acquisitions, but significant challenges in the ITCS segment and economic uncertainties leading to the withdrawal of FY '25 guidance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Defense Segment Performance
The defense segment, representing close to 50% of revenues, continues to grow with a 10% increase in trailing 12-month revenues to $363 million. The international learning business in defense grew by 395%, health business by 10%, and Advanced Technologies by 19%.
Strategic Acquisition of AMS
Acquisition of AMS, a healthcare service provider in Canada, expands Calian's healthcare solutions and strengthens its competitive position in Northern Canada. AMS has a contract backlog of $250 million and offers cross-selling opportunities.
Successful Share Buyback Program
Calian plans to repurchase up to 6% of shares outstanding in FY '25 through a combination of daily purchases and block trades under the NCIB, with $14 million spent on share buybacks in the last 12 months.
Record International Revenues
42% of total revenues came from international customers in Q2, marking the highest quarter of international revenues both in terms of revenue dollars and as a percentage of overall revenues.
Negative Updates
ITCS Segment Underperformance
The ITCS segment experienced a 25% decline in revenue and was responsible for $8 million of the $10 million decrease in adjusted EBITDA. Revenue and EBITDA declines were attributed to platform transition costs, delayed procurement decisions, and macroeconomic conditions.
Withdrawal of FY '25 Guidance
Calian withdrew its FY '25 guidance due to ongoing economic and geopolitical uncertainty, particularly affecting the ITCS segment, with limited visibility and timing to key opportunities.
Decreased Cash Flow from Operations
Cash flow from operations was $10 million in Q2 compared to $36 million in the same period last year, impacted by lower net profit and working capital usage.
Increased SG&A and Corporate Costs
SG&A increased from $40 million to $45 million, and corporate shared services costs reached $11.6 million, suggesting potential inefficiencies.
Company Guidance
During the Calian Group's Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key metrics and strategic directions. The ITCS segment faced a 15% year-to-date decline in revenue, with a sharper drop in EBITDA, attributed to temporary cost pressures. The company is undergoing a transition to a Microsoft platform for its cybersecurity services, expecting completion by the end of the year. Despite challenges, Calian reported a strong defense business, with trailing 12-month revenues up 10% to $363 million and a defense pipeline exceeding $1 billion. Additionally, the acquisition of AMS, with a $250 million contract backlog, was announced to bolster Calian's health services in Northern Canada. Overall, while withdrawing FY '25 guidance due to uncertainties, Calian emphasized a solid backlog of $1.4 billion and strategic focus on defense, space, and healthcare to drive future growth.

Calian Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Calian Group Ltd. shows strong revenue growth and robust cash flow generation. However, declining net profit margins and return on equity present challenges that need addressing for enhanced profitability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Calian Group Ltd. shows solid revenue growth with a 28.8% increase from 2022 to 2024 TTM, indicating strong business expansion. Gross profit margin for the TTM stands at 31.1%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, net profit margin decreased to 0.6%, indicating increased expenses or other financial pressures. The EBIT margin of 4.4% and EBITDA margin of 7.8% suggest moderate profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49 in TTM indicates a balanced approach to leveraging debt, and an equity ratio of 44.8% suggests a strong equity base. However, return on equity has decreased to 1.4%, reflecting potential challenges in generating returns from equity investments.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust at CAD 74.1 million in TTM, with a healthy free cash flow of CAD 63.5 million. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, highlighting effective cash conversion. While free cash flow growth has been positive, the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates some disparity between cash generation and reported earnings.
BreakdownTTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue752.48M746.61M658.58M582.17M518.40M432.32M
Gross Profit233.69M254.01M204.21M169.23M126.74M89.16M
EBITDA58.47M70.78M59.27M56.06M37.59M38.79M
Net Income4.68M11.18M18.89M13.60M11.15M20.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets726.67M707.92M585.72M547.16M457.97M331.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.80M51.79M33.73M42.65M78.61M24.23M
Total Debt160.73M129.19M74.76M26.54M17.48M19.59M
Total Liabilities401.04M381.17M257.35M241.98M165.61M130.65M
Stockholders Equity325.64M326.75M328.37M305.19M292.36M200.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow63.53M75.42M48.34M35.82M38.69M-8.55M
Operating Cash Flow74.06M87.22M56.77M43.14M46.54M-2.75M
Investing Cash Flow-62.16M-99.67M-79.62M-72.89M-56.61M-35.19M
Financing Cash Flow-3.13M30.50M13.94M-6.21M64.44M45.04M

Calian Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price50.37
Price Trends
50DMA
44.68
Positive
100DMA
43.96
Positive
200DMA
45.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.78
Negative
RSI
75.43
Negative
STOCH
87.08
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CGY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 50.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.03, above the 50-day MA of 44.68, and above the 200-day MA of 45.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.43 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.08 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CGY.

Calian Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$1.72B9.689.65%9.19%-2.58%100.21%
TSGDI
74
Outperform
C$756.80M19.887.93%1.49%152.09%
TSDXT
72
Outperform
C$585.71M18.6415.03%3.72%-10.24%-23.79%
TSKBL
70
Outperform
C$448.86M20.389.69%3.45%16.35%3.98%
TSDCM
69
Neutral
C$107.85M14.9721.19%2.56%-5.30%
TSCGY
67
Neutral
C$572.82M13,613.510.01%2.22%3.03%-99.78%
61
Neutral
C$6.52B9.253.44%2.88%6.99%-11.09%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CGY
Calian Group
50.37
-1.29
-2.50%
TSE:DXT
Dexterra Group
9.40
4.28
83.59%
TSE:TCL.B
Transcontinental Inc. Class B
20.67
7.10
52.32%
TSE:KBL
K-Bro Linen
34.76
2.41
7.45%
TSE:GDI
GDI Integrated
32.12
-0.97
-2.93%
TSE:DCM
Data Commun Management
1.95
-0.45
-18.75%

Calian Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Calian Group Appoints Chris Pogue as President of Defence & Space
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. announced the appointment of Chris Pogue as President of Defence & Space, effective July 7, 2025. This strategic move aims to enhance Calian’s next-generation defence and space capabilities by integrating its Advanced Technologies and Learning business units. Pogue, a seasoned leader with over 20 years of experience, is expected to drive innovation and operational excellence, aligning with Calian’s One Calian 2026 strategy to meet growing global demand. His leadership is anticipated to strengthen Calian’s market position and foster collaboration with defence and space partners, ensuring mission success in an era of complex global challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Buy with a C$75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Calian Group Reports Mixed Second Quarter Results Amid Economic Uncertainty
Neutral
May 14, 2025

Calian Group reported its second-quarter results, highlighting a 13% growth in its defense solutions, driven by increased global security needs. However, the company faced challenges in its ITCS segment due to slower customer demand and strategic investments for long-term growth. Revenue decreased by 4% to $194 million, while adjusted EBITDA fell by 36% to $17 million. Despite withdrawing its guidance due to economic and geopolitical uncertainties, Calian remains optimistic about future growth, supported by strong signings, a robust M&A pipeline, and the recent acquisition of Advanced Medical Solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Buy with a C$80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Calian Group Expands Northern Healthcare Reach with Acquisition of AMS
Positive
May 14, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. has acquired Advanced Medical Solutions (AMS), a leading provider of remote and emergency healthcare services in Northern Canada. This strategic acquisition aims to enhance healthcare access and outcomes in Canada’s northern regions by combining the expertise and resources of both companies. The partnership will support the expansion of healthcare services in underserved communities, aligning with national priorities and upcoming federal investments in the Arctic region. AMS will operate under Calian during the transition, with a focus on maintaining service continuity and strengthening community partnerships.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Buy with a C$80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Calian Expands Mental Health Support for Canada’s Public Safety Agencies
Positive
May 5, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. is addressing the increasing demand for psychological services among Canada’s public safety agencies by expanding its mental health support offerings. The company has experienced significant growth, with a 25% increase in fiscal year 2024 and the addition of 17 new and renewed contracts in the first half of FY25. Calian’s services, which include pre-employment assessments and wellness programs, aim to build resilient public safety workforces and reduce mental health challenges. The company’s efforts are crucial in enhancing team performance and community safety, as public safety personnel face high-stress situations that increase their risk of mental health disorders.

Financial Disclosures
Calian Group to Discuss Q2 FY 2025 Results in Upcoming Conference Call
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. announced it will hold a conference call on May 14, 2025, to discuss its second-quarter results for the fiscal year 2025, which will be released earlier that day. This announcement underscores Calian’s commitment to transparency and engagement with its stakeholders, as it continues to navigate the competitive landscape in its diverse sectors.

Executive/Board Changes
Calian Group Ltd. Expands Board with Appointment of Eric Demirian
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. has announced the appointment of Eric Demirian to its Board of Directors, expanding the board to ten members. Demirian brings extensive financial expertise and experience from his roles in various public and private companies, making him a strategic asset for Calian as it continues its growth journey. His appointment is expected to enhance Calian’s ability to navigate complex financial landscapes and drive long-term value for shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025