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Calian Group Ltd. (TSE:CGY)
TSX:CGY

Calian Group (CGY) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CGY

Calian Group

(TSX:CGY)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$67.00
▲(13.12% Upside)
Calian Group's strong earnings call and positive growth outlook are the most significant factors driving the score. However, financial performance challenges and technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Record revenue growth, driven by strong performance in the defense sector, indicates robust demand and effective market positioning, supporting long-term expansion.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisitions enhance Calian's market position and capabilities, particularly in defense and healthcare, supporting sustained growth and competitive advantage.
Cash Generation
Strong cash flow generation and efficient working capital management provide financial flexibility for investments and shareholder returns, underpinning long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt Levels
Increased leverage could strain financial flexibility and elevate risk if not managed properly, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
ITCS Segment Underperformance
Underperformance in the ITCS segment affects profitability and highlights operational challenges that could impede growth if not addressed.
Challenges in Organic Growth
Negative organic growth reflects challenges in adapting to market changes, which could hinder long-term revenue expansion if persistent.

Calian Group (CGY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Calian Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCalian Group Ltd. provides business services and solutions in the areas of health, defense, security, aerospace, engineering, AgTech, and information technology (IT) in Canada, the United States, and Europe. The company's Advanced Technologies segment offers developed products and engineering solutions for the space, communications, nuclear, agriculture, defense, automotive, and government sectors; software and product development, custom manufacturing, full life-cycle support, studies, requirements analysis, project management, multi-discipline engineered system solutions, and training services; communication systems and products for terrestrial and satellite networks; satellite gateways comprising aperture radio frequency antennas, and telemetry tracking and control, as well as software solutions for managing and monitoring networks; engineering and technical services for propulsion, electrical and electronic systems, computer and nuclear systems, naval architecture, and aerospace; and nuclear services to develop waste management and decommissioning solutions. Its Health segment offers primary care and occupational health services; and clinic management, healthcare practitioner support, and psychological assessment services. The company's Learning segment provides training services and solutions; and consulting services in emergency management, training, and advanced training technologies, as well as Calian MaestroEDE, a tool for collective training exercises for military customers; and Calian ResponseReady, an online platform and simulation tool for emergency management training exercise delivery and evaluation. Its IT segment provides cloud migration, IT development, SAP consulting, and cyber security solutions, as well as IT support services. The company was formerly known as Calian Technologies Ltd. and changed its name to Calian Group Ltd. in April 2016. The company was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCalian generates revenue through a diverse array of streams. Primarily, the company earns income from its professional services divisions, which include healthcare staffing and IT support services. The healthcare division provides personnel to hospitals and clinics, while the IT sector offers cybersecurity and technology solutions to both public and private entities. Additionally, Calian's engineering and training services contribute significantly to its revenue, with contracts often awarded by government agencies and large corporations. Strategic partnerships with both public sector clients and private industry players also enhance its market reach and profitability. The company's ability to secure long-term contracts and maintain a robust pipeline of projects is crucial for sustaining its earnings.

Calian Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 26, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Calian Group's earnings call highlighted record revenue and growth, driven by strong performance in the defense sector and strategic acquisitions. However, challenges in the ITCS segment and uncertainties regarding defense investment timing were noted. Despite these challenges, the overall outlook remains positive with expectations of double-digit growth in FY 2026.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Growth
Calian Group delivered record results with the highest revenue quarter in its 43-year history and the second highest adjusted EBITDA. Revenues increased by 12% to $203 million in Q4, with a return to positive organic growth. The fiscal year 2025 revenues were up 4% to $774 million, a new record for the company.
Defense Solutions Expansion
Defense Solutions continues to lead with double-digit growth and now represents 50% of consolidated revenues. Revenues grew 17% year-over-year, driven by increased demand across Canada, the U.K., and Europe. Significant contract wins include agreements with NATO and Allied countries, and a $250 million expansion to the health services contract with Canadian Armed Forces.
Global Presence and Strategic Acquisitions
48% of Q4 revenues were generated outside Canada, marking the highest quarter in terms of international revenue. Strategic acquisitions like AMS and InField Scientific have strengthened Calian's capabilities, particularly in defense and health care.
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Calian generated $45 million in cash flow from operations and maintained working capital efficiency below 10%. The company returned value to shareholders with $13 million in dividends and $26 million in share buybacks, representing approximately 5% of shares outstanding.
Positive Outlook and Strategic Direction
For fiscal year 2026, Calian expects double-digit growth in both revenue and adjusted EBITDA. The company plans to focus on high-growth vertical markets like defense and space, streamline operations, and invest with discipline.
Negative Updates
ITCS Segment Underperformance
The ITCS segment saw revenues decline by 4%, impacting the overall adjusted EBITDA margin, which stood at 11.9%, down from 13.1% last year. Material actions were taken in Q4 to restore performance, but their impact was limited this period.
Challenges in Organic Growth
Organic growth for the fiscal year was negative 2%, primarily due to defense cuts in the first half, delays in major space programs, and uncertainty surrounding tariffs at the beginning of the year.
Uncertain Timing of Defense Investments
While the Canadian federal budget is seen as positive for Calian, the timing of contract awards remains uncertain, which could impact future revenue and growth projections.
Company Guidance
During the Calian Group's Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance for future growth were discussed. The company reported its highest revenue quarter in its 43-year history, with Q4 revenues increasing by 12% to $203 million. The Defense Solutions segment was highlighted as a major growth driver, achieving double-digit growth and representing 50% of consolidated revenues. Year-end signings totaled $1 billion, a 48% increase over the previous year. The backlog reached $1.4 billion, with $1 billion attributed to the defense sector. For fiscal year 2026, Calian anticipates double-digit revenue growth, driven by strategic acquisitions and organic growth, with an aim to expand adjusted EBITDA as the company focuses on high-growth verticals, particularly in defense and space. The company's financial flexibility is supported by a $350 million revolving credit facility, enabling continued investment in M&A and strategic initiatives.

Calian Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Calian Group shows solid revenue growth and improved gross profit margins, but faces challenges in net profitability and cash flow management. The balance sheet indicates increased leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed properly.
Income Statement
Calian Group has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a 2.93% increase in the latest period. The gross profit margin has improved from 24.45% in 2021 to 33.50% in 2025, indicating better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains relatively low at 2.66% in 2025, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen fluctuations, reflecting some operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio increased to 0.54 in 2025, indicating higher leverage compared to previous years. Despite this, the return on equity has improved to 6.40%, showing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the rising debt levels could pose a risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
Calian Group's free cash flow has decreased by 28.43% in the latest period, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.21, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has declined, reflecting challenges in maintaining cash flow growth. The company needs to focus on improving its cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue774.11M774.11M746.61M658.58M582.17M518.40M
Gross Profit259.29M259.29M254.01M204.21M169.23M126.74M
EBITDA80.79M80.79M70.78M59.27M56.06M37.59M
Net Income20.56M20.56M11.18M18.89M13.60M11.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets721.50M721.50M707.92M585.72M547.16M457.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments46.10M46.10M51.79M33.73M42.65M78.61M
Total Debt174.20M174.20M129.19M74.76M26.54M17.48M
Total Liabilities400.22M400.22M381.17M257.35M241.98M165.61M
Stockholders Equity321.28M321.28M326.75M328.37M305.19M292.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow34.84M34.84M75.42M48.34M35.82M38.69M
Operating Cash Flow45.43M45.43M87.22M56.77M43.14M46.54M
Investing Cash Flow-49.69M-49.69M-99.67M-79.62M-72.89M-56.61M
Financing Cash Flow-1.43M-1.43M30.50M13.94M-6.21M64.44M

Calian Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price59.23
Price Trends
50DMA
54.10
Positive
100DMA
52.26
Positive
200DMA
49.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.06
Negative
RSI
63.28
Neutral
STOCH
86.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CGY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 59.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.28, above the 50-day MA of 54.10, and above the 200-day MA of 49.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CGY.

Calian Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$1.93B11.288.95%8.32%-2.45%44.20%
73
Outperform
C$778.16M19.5214.38%3.02%-0.73%221.74%
71
Outperform
C$442.66M20.708.30%3.43%26.29%-6.47%
71
Outperform
C$668.39M33.026.36%1.98%3.69%92.38%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
C$853.41M20.378.55%-2.83%179.03%
54
Neutral
C$103.84M9.8726.87%5.99%-7.01%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CGY
Calian Group
59.39
11.98
25.27%
TSE:DCM
Data Commun Management
1.88
0.04
2.17%
TSE:GDI
GDI Integrated
36.35
1.01
2.86%
TSE:DXT
Dexterra Group
12.67
5.42
74.76%
TSE:KBL
K-Bro Linen
34.95
0.37
1.07%
TSE:TCL.A
Transcontinental
22.68
6.52
40.35%

Calian Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Calian Group Reports Strong Q4 Growth, Positions for Future Success
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. reported a 12% increase in fourth-quarter revenues, driven by a balanced mix of organic growth and acquisitions. The company saw a significant 15% growth in its defence solutions, contributing to a 4% revenue increase for the full year 2025. Despite challenges in the ITCS segment, Calian maintained a double-digit adjusted EBITDA margin and took decisive actions to improve this segment’s performance. With a robust backlog and strong acquisition pipeline, Calian is well-positioned for a successful fiscal year 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Hold with a C$53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Calian Secures Contract for Advanced Satellite Ground Stations
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. has secured a contract to design and manufacture four Ka/Q/V-band RF gateway ground stations for two geostationary satellites. This project will enhance secure, high-capacity government communications across Africa, Europe, and Asia, reinforcing Calian’s position as a leader in advanced ground satellite solutions and highlighting the strength of Canadian engineering in meeting demanding technical requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Hold with a C$53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Calian Group to Discuss Q4 and FY 2025 Results in Upcoming Conference Call
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. announced it will hold a conference call on November 26, 2025, to discuss its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results, which will be released earlier that day. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and strategic positioning in its critical sectors, potentially impacting investor confidence and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Hold with a C$53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Calian Group Partners with TACTIQL to Enhance Canadian Defence Capabilities
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Calian Group has announced its first partnership under Calian VENTURES with TACTIQL Inc. to develop next-generation intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) capabilities for the Canadian Armed Forces and allied partners. This collaboration aims to enhance interoperability, situational awareness, and decision-making speed in military operations, leveraging TACTIQL’s innovative FULCRUM platform and Calian’s extensive defence integration experience. The partnership is expected to strengthen Canada’s defence industrial base and contribute to the country’s economic prosperity by creating exportable solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Hold with a C$53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Calian Group Accelerates Board Renewal and Strategic Focus Following Plantro Agreement
Positive
Nov 11, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. has entered into a cooperation agreement with Plantro Ltd., one of its largest shareholders, to accelerate its board renewal process and enhance focus on non-core asset divestitures. This strategic move aims to position the company for future growth, particularly in the defense sector, by forming a special committee to oversee non-core asset actions and engaging a professional search firm to identify new board candidates. The changes reflect Calian’s commitment to constructive engagement with shareholders and are expected to unlock value for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Hold with a C$53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Calian Group Enhances Ottawa Airport’s Cybersecurity with New SOC Contract
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. has secured a three-year contract with the Ottawa International Airport Authority to implement and manage a cyber-focused Security Operations Centre (SOC). This initiative is part of the airport’s strategy to enhance its cybersecurity capabilities, reflecting a forward-thinking approach to protecting both physical and virtual environments. The partnership builds on a successful IT modernization project and represents a shift towards leveraging advanced systems to support future growth. Calian’s tailored, expert-driven SOC solutions are designed to provide seamless protection, enabling clients to focus on their core operations with confidence in their security posture.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Hold with a C$56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025