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Calian Group Ltd. (TSE:CGY)
TSX:CGY
Canadian Market
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Calian Group (CGY) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CGY

Calian Group

(TSX:CGY)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
C$53.00
▲(8.27% Upside)
Calian Group's strong revenue growth and cash flow generation are significant positives, supported by a robust backlog and strategic investments in the defense sector. However, declining profitability, increased leverage, and challenges in the ITCS segment weigh on the overall score. The negative P/E ratio and neutral technical indicators further temper the outlook.

Calian Group (CGY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Calian Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCalian Group Ltd. provides business services and solutions in the areas of health, defense, security, aerospace, engineering, AgTech, and information technology (IT) in Canada, the United States, and Europe. The company's Advanced Technologies segment offers developed products and engineering solutions for the space, communications, nuclear, agriculture, defense, automotive, and government sectors; software and product development, custom manufacturing, full life-cycle support, studies, requirements analysis, project management, multi-discipline engineered system solutions, and training services; communication systems and products for terrestrial and satellite networks; satellite gateways comprising aperture radio frequency antennas, and telemetry tracking and control, as well as software solutions for managing and monitoring networks; engineering and technical services for propulsion, electrical and electronic systems, computer and nuclear systems, naval architecture, and aerospace; and nuclear services to develop waste management and decommissioning solutions. Its Health segment offers primary care and occupational health services; and clinic management, healthcare practitioner support, and psychological assessment services. The company's Learning segment provides training services and solutions; and consulting services in emergency management, training, and advanced training technologies, as well as Calian MaestroEDE, a tool for collective training exercises for military customers; and Calian ResponseReady, an online platform and simulation tool for emergency management training exercise delivery and evaluation. Its IT segment provides cloud migration, IT development, SAP consulting, and cyber security solutions, as well as IT support services. The company was formerly known as Calian Technologies Ltd. and changed its name to Calian Group Ltd. in April 2016. The company was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCalian generates revenue through a diverse array of streams. Primarily, the company earns income from its professional services divisions, which include healthcare staffing and IT support services. The healthcare division provides personnel to hospitals and clinics, while the IT sector offers cybersecurity and technology solutions to both public and private entities. Additionally, Calian's engineering and training services contribute significantly to its revenue, with contracts often awarded by government agencies and large corporations. Strategic partnerships with both public sector clients and private industry players also enhance its market reach and profitability. The company's ability to secure long-term contracts and maintain a robust pipeline of projects is crucial for sustaining its earnings.

Calian Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments and challenges. The defense and international segments showed strong growth and increased backlog, contributing positively to the company's outlook. However, the ITCS segment faced significant declines, affecting overall profitability. Despite these challenges, strategic measures and a robust backlog indicate potential for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Defense Business Growth
Defense revenues reached $373 million, up from $330 million in fiscal '24, marking a 19% increase on a trailing 12-month basis with 12% organic growth.
Significant Backlog Increase
Signed backlog grew by $640 million during the quarter, with a year-to-date contract signing surpassing $1 billion, resulting in a total backlog of $1.5 billion.
International Revenue Growth
44% of total revenues came from international customers in Q3, the highest quarter for international revenues in terms of both revenue dollars and percentage.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margin increased to 35% from 33% for the same period last year, marking the 13th consecutive quarter above 30%.
Cash Flow and Capital Efficiency
Cash flow from operations was $25 million, up from $14 million last year, with operating free cash flow at $12 million, representing a 63% conversion from adjusted EBITDA.
Negative Updates
ITCS Segment Decline
ITCS segment revenues decreased by 10%, impacting overall consolidated revenues, with adjusted EBITDA down 5% due to significant downturn in ITCS profitability.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Decline
Adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 9.9% from 10.7% for the same period last year.
Management Changes in ITCS
Mike Tremblay, President of the ITCS segment, announced his resignation, indicating organizational challenges in this segment.
Company Guidance
In the Calian Group's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a mixed performance, with significant growth in its defense sector, which now constitutes 50% of total revenues, up 19% over the trailing 12 months. The defense sector's organic growth was 12%, driven by increased demand in Canada and Europe. During the quarter, Calian's signed backlog increased by $640 million, with year-to-date contract signings exceeding $1 billion, contributing to a total backlog of $1.5 billion. Despite a 10% revenue decline in the ITCS segment, the company's consolidated revenues rose 4% to $192 million, with an adjusted EBITDA decrease of 5% to $19 million. The call highlighted the arrival of Chris Pogue to lead the newly merged Defense and Space business unit and emphasized strategic investments and M&A activities to leverage market opportunities and drive future growth.

Calian Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Calian Group shows stability with strong gross margins and effective cash management. However, challenges include low net profitability and declining revenue growth. The balance sheet is strong, but returns on equity are limited.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Calian Group's income statement shows moderate performance. The TTM Gross Profit Margin is healthy at 32.0%, indicating effective cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin is quite low at 0.007%, suggesting limited profitability after expenses. The TTM EBIT Margin stands at 3.7%, and the EBITDA Margin at 7.1%, both indicating moderate operational efficiency. Revenue growth is stable, with a 13.1% growth from 2023 to 2024, but recent TTM data shows a slight decline. Overall, while the company maintains decent margins, the low net profit margin highlights profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position for Calian Group. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.51, showing a balanced approach to leveraging debt. The Return on Equity (ROE) is low at 0.015%, indicating limited returns generated from shareholders' equity. The Equity Ratio is robust at 41.5%, suggesting strong capital structure and asset management. Overall, the company maintains a solid equity base, though profitability on equity could improve.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Calian Group's cash flow statement reveals strong cash management. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate shows a decline of 49.6% in the latest period, but the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is high at 982.4, indicating effective cash generation relative to net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also robust at 775.5, underscoring strong cash conversion. Overall, while free cash flow has decreased, the company remains efficient in converting income to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue752.10M746.61M658.58M582.17M518.40M432.32M
Gross Profit254.22M254.01M204.21M169.23M126.74M89.16M
EBITDA50.42M70.78M59.27M56.06M37.59M38.79M
Net Income-659.00K11.18M18.89M13.60M11.15M20.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets723.59M707.92M585.72M547.16M457.97M331.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.83M51.79M33.73M42.65M78.61M24.23M
Total Debt184.68M129.19M74.76M26.54M17.48M19.59M
Total Liabilities422.33M381.17M257.35M241.98M165.61M130.65M
Stockholders Equity301.25M326.75M328.37M305.19M292.36M200.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow48.67M75.42M48.34M35.82M38.69M-8.55M
Operating Cash Flow58.45M87.22M56.77M43.14M46.54M-2.75M
Investing Cash Flow-48.86M-99.67M-79.62M-72.89M-56.61M-35.19M
Financing Cash Flow2.43M30.50M13.94M-6.21M64.44M45.04M

Calian Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price48.95
Price Trends
50DMA
50.89
Negative
100DMA
50.11
Negative
200DMA
46.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.29
Positive
RSI
42.32
Neutral
STOCH
36.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CGY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 48.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.31, below the 50-day MA of 50.89, and above the 200-day MA of 46.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CGY.

Calian Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
C$640.22M18.6414.38%3.47%-0.73%221.74%
68
Neutral
C$1.61B9.309.36%9.72%-2.90%57.43%
67
Neutral
C$700.56M20.018.55%-2.83%179.03%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
C$470.40M20.888.27%3.31%17.75%7.68%
61
Neutral
C$575.68M-934.07-0.21%2.29%1.44%-103.80%
52
Neutral
C$73.01M10.6517.74%5.81%-8.92%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CGY
Calian Group
48.95
1.00
2.09%
TSE:DCM
Data Commun Management
1.29
-1.19
-47.98%
TSE:GDI
GDI Integrated
29.00
-7.82
-21.24%
TSE:DXT
Dexterra Group
10.46
4.29
69.53%
TSE:KBL
K-Bro Linen
36.30
3.00
9.01%
TSE:TCL.B
Transcontinental Inc. Class B
19.47
5.23
36.73%

Calian Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Calian Group Enhances Ottawa Airport’s Cybersecurity with New SOC Contract
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. has secured a three-year contract with the Ottawa International Airport Authority to implement and manage a cyber-focused Security Operations Centre (SOC). This initiative is part of the airport’s strategy to enhance its cybersecurity capabilities, reflecting a forward-thinking approach to protecting both physical and virtual environments. The partnership builds on a successful IT modernization project and represents a shift towards leveraging advanced systems to support future growth. Calian’s tailored, expert-driven SOC solutions are designed to provide seamless protection, enabling clients to focus on their core operations with confidence in their security posture.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Hold with a C$56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Calian Group Announces CEO Transition Amidst Record Growth
Positive
Oct 7, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. announced the retirement of Kevin Ford as CEO after a decade of record growth, with Patrick Houston set to succeed him on January 1, 2026. Under Ford’s leadership, Calian expanded into new markets and diversified its capabilities, establishing itself as a global provider of mission-critical solutions. Houston, who has been instrumental in driving growth through strategic acquisitions and development, aims to continue this momentum by focusing on strategic plans that enhance shareholder value and position Calian for sustained growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Hold with a C$56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Calian Group Expands Defence Capabilities with InField Scientific Acquisition
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. has acquired InField Scientific Inc., a Quebec-based engineering company known for its expertise in electromagnetic environmental effects (E3). This acquisition enhances Calian’s defence portfolio, enabling it to offer comprehensive electromagnetic solutions and expand into new markets. The collaboration with InField Scientific will support projects like Canada’s next-generation destroyers, strengthening relationships with key partners such as Lockheed Martin and the Royal Canadian Navy. The acquisition is expected to generate operational synergies and broaden service offerings, positioning Calian for future opportunities in defence markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Hold with a C$56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Calian Group Expands Debt Facility to Support Growth Strategy
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. has announced the renewal and expansion of its debt agreement, securing a CDN$200 million facility with a syndicate led by Royal Bank of Canada and including other major financial institutions. The new three-year revolving credit facility totals $350 million, marking a 37% increase over the previous facility, and includes an uncommitted accordion feature for additional financial flexibility. This agreement reflects confidence in Calian’s business fundamentals and long-term strategy, positioning the company to pursue consistent growth and value creation in its core markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Hold with a C$56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Calian Group Launches Canada’s First Defence Innovation Orchestrator
Positive
Sep 23, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. has launched Calian Ventures, Canada’s first defence innovation orchestrator, aimed at scaling small to mid-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the defence sector. This initiative will help SMEs test, validate, and scale their technologies into operational capabilities for the Canadian Armed Forces and allied markets, addressing a critical gap in Canada’s defence industrial ecosystem and supporting the country’s surge in defence spending.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Hold with a C$56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Calian Group’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Calian Group Ltd.’s recent earnings call presented a nuanced picture of the company’s current standing, highlighting both promising growth areas and notable challenges. The sentiment conveyed was a blend of optimism and caution, with significant achievements in the defense and international sectors counterbalanced by struggles within the ITCS segment. Despite these hurdles, the company remains optimistic about future growth, supported by a strong backlog and strategic initiatives.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Calian Group Renews Share Repurchase Program to Enhance Shareholder Value
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. announced the renewal of its normal course issuer bid (NCIB), allowing the company to repurchase up to 796,283 of its common shares over a 12-month period. This move reflects the company’s belief that its current share price does not fully capture its intrinsic value and long-term potential. With a $1.5 billion backlog and over a decade of record revenue, Calian aims to enhance shareholder value and maintain flexibility in its capital management strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Hold with a C$51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Calian Group Reaffirms Strategic Direction Amidst Stakeholder Scrutiny
Neutral
Aug 27, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. has reaffirmed its strategic direction and commitment to long-term shareholder value amidst recent scrutiny from Plantro Ltd. The company is enhancing its operations by consolidating key business units, refreshing its Board of Directors, and exploring options for non-core assets, aiming to capitalize on market opportunities and deliver sustained value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Hold with a C$51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Calian Group Reports Strong Q3 Growth in Defense Sector
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

Calian Group Ltd. reported a 12% increase in defense solutions revenue for the third quarter, driven by strong momentum in Europe and the U.K. and growing investments in Canada. The company announced a $250 million increase in its health contract with the Department of National Defence, contributing to a robust 9% revenue growth excluding the ITCS segment, which faced demand challenges. The quarter also saw new contract signings totaling $642 million, bringing the backlog to a record $1.5 billion. Despite a decline in adjusted EBITDA due to lower ITCS profitability, Calian remains confident in its growth trajectory, supported by strategic acquisitions and a strong cash flow position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CGY) stock is a Buy with a C$75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Calian Group stock, see the TSE:CGY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 02, 2025