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Dexterra Group (TSE:DXT)
TSX:DXT

Dexterra Group (DXT) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DXT

Dexterra Group

(TSX:DXT)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$14.50
▲(12.14% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance and strong free cash flow, supported by a constructive technical trend and a positive earnings update centered on acquisitions and margin progress. Offsetting factors include the recent increase in net debt and only mid-range valuation (P/E ~18.8), which limit upside without continued execution.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Sustained high free cash flow provides durable financial flexibility: it funds reinvestment, supports debt reduction plans, and enables shareholder returns. Strong cash generation also cushions the business against contract timing swings and underpins strategic M&A integration over the medium term.
Improving Profitability and Returns
Marked improvement in profitability and ROE signals stronger underlying operational performance and better cost management. Higher returns imply the core services and recent integrations are becoming more efficient, supporting sustainable earnings power and reinvestment capacity over coming quarters.
Strategic Acquisitions Expand U.S. Footprint
Targeted acquisitions broaden the addressable market in U.S. integrated facility management and remote accommodations, creating cross-sell opportunities and scale economies. If integrated well, these deals can raise long-term organic growth and diversify revenue away from cyclic asset-based work.
Negative Factors
Higher Net Debt Reduces Financial Flexibility
A sharp rise in net debt from acquisitions weakens balance-sheet flexibility and increases interest and refinancing exposure. Elevated leverage limits the company's ability to absorb project delays or pursue opportunistic investments without executing planned deleveraging, a medium-term execution risk.
Asset-Based Services Volume Sensitivity
Reliance on project-start timing in asset-heavy client sectors creates durable revenue volatility risk. Delays at major clients can depress utilization and utilization-dependent margins for extended periods, making overall top-line growth and forecasting more uncertain over the medium term.
Margin Pressure in Asset-Based Services
Declining segment margins indicate pricing or cost absorption challenges in asset-based operations. Sustained margin erosion would materially hit consolidated cash flow and returns, reducing headroom for debt paydown and reinvestment unless operational or pricing improvements are implemented.

Dexterra Group (DXT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Dexterra Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDexterra Group Inc. provides support services for the creation, management, and operation of infrastructure in Canada. It operates through three segments: Integrated Facilities Management; Modular Solutions; and Workforce Accommodations, Forestry and Energy Services (WAFES). The Integrated Facilities Management segment delivers operation and maintenance solutions for built assets and infrastructure in the public and private sectors, including aviation, defense, retail, healthcare, business and industry, education, rail, hotels and leisure, and government. The Modular Solutions segment designs, manufactures, transports, and installs multi-unit residential, retail, and commercial modular buildings for housing, commercial, residential, and industrial clients. The WAFES segment provides workforce accommodation, camp management, and catering services; offers tree planting and thinning services; and rents and sells office units, lavatory units, mine dry units, wellsite units, and associated equipment, as well as provides access mat rentals. The company was formerly known as Horizon North Logistics Inc. and changed its name to Dexterra Group Inc. in November 2020. Dexterra Group Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyDexterra Group generates revenue through multiple streams aligned with its diverse service offerings. Its facilities management division provides ongoing operations and maintenance services for commercial and industrial clients, earning steady income through long-term contracts. The workforce accommodations sector supplies and manages remote workforce housing, generating revenue from rental and service fees. The modular solutions division earns income by designing, manufacturing, and installing modular buildings for various applications, including educational institutions and healthcare facilities. Additionally, Dexterra's environmental services contribute to earnings through consulting and project management fees. Strategic partnerships and contracts with public and private sector clients, notably in resource-rich regions, also significantly bolster Dexterra's revenue.

Dexterra Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, successful strategic acquisitions, and effective cost management. However, challenges such as a decline in Asset-Based Services revenue and increased net debt were noted. Overall, the positive aspects, particularly the strategic growth initiatives and financial results, outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Two Strategic Acquisitions Closed
Dexterra successfully closed two strategic acquisitions in Q3 2025, including a partnership with Pleasant Valley Corporation and the acquisition of Right Choice, positioning the company for growth in the U.S. and enhancing its facilities management capabilities.
Strong Financial Performance
Dexterra reported $35 million in adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025, driven by strong market activity and contributions from recent acquisitions. The return on equity target of 15% was achieved.
Support Services Revenue Growth
Support Services revenue increased by 7% from Q3 2024 and 14% over Q2 2025, with adjusted EBITDA rising from $20 million in Q3 2024 to $25 million in Q3 2025.
Positive Market Response
The company's share price improved over 30% year-to-date and over 10% since announcing the two investments in early August.
Effective Cost Management
Efforts to manage costs and supply chain initiatives allowed Dexterra to enhance margins despite challenging business environments.
Increased Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow for Q3 2025 was $38 million compared to $12 million for Q3 2024, driven by strong operational results and working capital improvements.
Negative Updates
Asset-Based Services Revenue Decline
Revenue from the Asset-Based Services segment was lower in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, primarily due to delays on certain oil and gas project starts by clients.
Increased Net Debt
Net debt increased to $206 million at the end of Q3 2025 from $93 million at Q2 2025 due to the investment in PVC and the acquisition of Right Choice.
Decline in Asset-Based Services Margins
Adjusted EBITDA margin for the Asset-Based Services segment was lower at 34% in Q3 2025 compared to 35% in Q3 2024 and 38% in Q2 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Dexterra Group's Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, significant guidance and metrics were discussed. The company successfully closed two strategic acquisitions, positioning them for continued growth in their U.S. Integrated Facility Management (IFM) and remote workforce accommodation segments. The company achieved a return on equity of 15%, driven by $35 million in adjusted EBITDA for Q3, with recent acquisitions contributing nearly $2 million to this figure. Revenues from Support Services increased by 7% year-over-year to $234 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.5%. Despite lower activity in asset-based services due to project delays, revenue in this segment rose by 8% from the previous quarter. Dexterra’s financial position showed net debt of $206 million at the end of Q3, with plans to reduce debt by over $20 million by year-end. The company's share price improved by over 30% year-to-date, reflecting positive market response to strategic initiatives.

Dexterra Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are improving: profitability and margins strengthened meaningfully versus the prior annual period, and cash generation is a clear strength (TTM operating cash flow ~$109M; free cash flow ~$91M). The main constraint is balance-sheet flexibility, as debt has stepped up versus recent periods despite leverage remaining moderate.
Income Statement
74
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is essentially flat versus the most recent annual period (about +1%), but profitability has improved meaningfully: net income rose to $40M from $19.9M, and margins expanded (gross margin ~17.3% vs ~16.0%; net margin ~3.5% vs ~2.0%). Longer-term, results show a clear rebound from 2022’s very low profitability, though current margins remain well below 2020 highs, indicating the business is still operating in a more normalized/competitive cost environment than the peak period.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage remains moderate with debt at ~$228.5M against equity of ~$284.1M (debt-to-equity ~0.40), and equity has been broadly stable over time. Returns have improved, with return on equity at ~12.5% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) versus ~7.1% in 2024, reflecting better earnings power. The main weakness is the step-up in absolute debt versus recent annual periods, which reduces balance-sheet flexibility if operating conditions soften.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash generation is a key strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is ~$109.2M and free cash flow is ~$91.0M, with free cash flow up sharply versus the prior annual period. Free cash flow is solid relative to earnings (about 0.73x net income), supporting reinvestment, debt service, and shareholder returns. A watch item is that operating cash flow is still meaningfully below revenue in scale (as reflected in the provided coverage ratio), suggesting working-capital and timing effects can create volatility even when earnings improve.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.02B1.00B1.12B971.52M733.38M477.81M
Gross Profit168.03M160.03M141.02M90.55M110.54M98.31M
EBITDA107.61M101.90M93.96M63.44M74.02M105.70M
Net Income40.00M19.87M26.62M3.43M24.36M64.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets752.30M524.89M607.09M611.40M531.55M513.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.000.000.00-28.09M-25.07M-26.08M
Total Debt228.54M85.13M117.30M122.14M90.39M111.45M
Total Liabilities467.63M245.94M320.07M324.42M227.20M212.55M
Stockholders Equity284.06M278.55M286.83M286.79M304.38M299.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow90.96M40.49M59.89M56.86M56.70M67.82M
Operating Cash Flow109.21M66.92M80.55M63.99M64.49M72.81M
Investing Cash Flow-168.00M6.82M-24.05M-49.84M-7.99M-2.36M
Financing Cash Flow58.78M-73.74M-56.50M-14.15M-56.49M-73.03M

Dexterra Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.93
Price Trends
50DMA
12.23
Positive
100DMA
11.09
Positive
200DMA
10.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Positive
RSI
57.78
Neutral
STOCH
22.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DXT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.81, above the 50-day MA of 12.23, and above the 200-day MA of 10.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:DXT.

Dexterra Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
C$806.21M20.2314.38%3.02%-0.73%221.74%
71
Outperform
C$436.14M20.408.30%3.43%26.29%-6.47%
71
Outperform
C$769.43M37.986.36%1.98%3.69%92.38%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
C$856.28M20.388.55%-2.83%179.03%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DXT
Dexterra Group
12.93
5.34
70.42%
TSE:CGY
Calian Group
67.41
20.43
43.48%
TSE:GDI
GDI Integrated
36.37
2.15
6.28%
TSE:KBL
K-Bro Linen
34.12
-0.94
-2.68%

Dexterra Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Dexterra Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Acquisitions
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Dexterra Group Inc. reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, with consolidated revenue of $281.2 million, up from $269.7 million in the same period of 2024. The growth was driven by new sales, strong market activity, and acquisitions, including Right Choice Camps and Catering Ltd. and a 40% stake in Pleasant Valley Corporation. The company’s adjusted EBITDA increased by 9.4% to $35.0 million, and net earnings rose to $12.9 million. These strategic acquisitions enhance Dexterra’s facilities management capabilities and expand its U.S. business platform, positioning the company for further growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DXT) stock is a Buy with a C$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dexterra Group stock, see the TSE:DXT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Dexterra Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Strategic Acquisitions
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Dexterra Group Inc. reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, with consolidated revenue reaching $281.2 million, driven by new sales, strong market activity, and strategic acquisitions. The company’s adjusted EBITDA increased by 9.4% to $35.0 million, and free cash flow rose significantly to $38.0 million. Dexterra’s acquisition of a 40% stake in Pleasant Valley Corporation and the full acquisition of Right Choice Camps and Catering Ltd. are expected to enhance its market position and operational scale, particularly in the U.S. and Western Canada.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DXT) stock is a Buy with a C$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dexterra Group stock, see the TSE:DXT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025