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Blackline Safety (TSE:BLN)
TSX:BLN

Blackline Safety (BLN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BLN

Blackline Safety

(TSX:BLN)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.50
▲(4.84% Upside)
The score is supported most by improving operating trajectory and a constructive earnings-call outlook (record ARR growth, strong retention, and positive adjusted EBITDA) plus a manageable balance sheet. Offsetting this are weak cash generation (negative operating and free cash flow in 2025) and a bearish technical setup with the stock below major moving averages; valuation is also constrained by ongoing net losses (negative P/E).
Positive Factors
Recurring revenue / ARR growth
A larger ARR base increases revenue visibility and recurring cash flows, improving predictability and margin leverage over time. Combined with sustained expansion in existing accounts, strong ARR growth supports durable customer stickiness and scalable SaaS economics across industries.
Margin expansion & positive EBITDA
Transition to positive adjusted EBITDA and expanding gross margins (full-year ~63%, service margins 82%) indicate improving unit economics. Higher service mix and operational scale make margins more sustainable, enabling reinvestment for growth while reducing reliance on equity or debt funding.
Manageable leverage & liquidity
Low leverage and rising equity provide balance-sheet flexibility to fund product launches and international rollouts. With meaningful available liquidity and a conservative capital structure, the company can absorb ramp-related working capital needs without immediate refinancing pressure.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow increases reliance on existing liquidity or external capital to fund operations and capex. Until cash conversion stabilizes, the company faces execution risk and limited ability to self-fund growth initiatives or absorb prolonged sales-cycle volatility.
Persistent net losses / negative ROE
Despite margin progress and adjusted EBITDA, ongoing net losses and negative ROE imply the equity base is not yet generating positive returns. This constrains long-term capital efficiency and shareholder value creation until sustained net profitability is achieved.
Hardware revenue cyclicality & ramp risk
Dependence on device refresh cycles and major hardware transitions creates timing risk: product revenue declines, elongated sales cycles, and initial manufacturing scale-up can depress margins and cash flow. Structural reliance on hardware refreshes heightens revenue volatility during transitions.

Blackline Safety (BLN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Blackline Safety Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlackline Safety Corp., develops, manufactures, and markets worker safety monitoring products and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. It offers connected safety devices, including G7c, a safety wearable for indoor and outdoor locations covered by 3G wireless; G7x, a safety wearable for remote locations; G7 EXO, a cloud-connected area monitor; G7 Dock, an accessory product used to calibrate G7c and G7x devices; G7 Bridge, a portable satellite base station; G7 lone worker monitoring solutions; and field-replaceable cartridges in G7c, G7x, and G7 EXO connected devices. The company also provides Blackline Live, a cloud-hosted live safety monitoring portal for safety alert management; Blackline Live's real-time compliance and reporting dashboard; Blackline Analytics, a data analytics package; Blackline Vision, a data science consulting and software services; Blackline monitoring; and Blackline Location Beacon, an indoor/outdoor location technology. In addition, it offers Loner Mobile, a safety monitoring application for smartphones; Loner Duo, a Bluetooth accessory paired with loner mobile for medium to high-risk work-alone scenarios; gas sensors, which include single- and multi-gas diffusion cartridges and multi-gas pump cartridges; and industrial contact tracing for COVID-19. Further, the company provides portable tracking solutions for package tracking, loss prevention, surveillance, asset security, and vehicle tracking applications. It serves municipalities and utilities, oil and gas, renewable energy, hazmat and fire response, petrochemical, rail transportation, steel manufacturing, biotech and pharma manufacturing, agriculture, construction, mining, pulp and paper, and wood products manufacturing industries. The company was formerly known as Blackline GPS Corp. and changed its name to Blackline Safety Corp. in July 2015. Blackline Safety Corp. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlackline Safety generates revenue primarily through the sale of its safety devices and subscription services associated with its monitoring platform. Key revenue streams include direct sales of hardware, recurring subscription fees for software services, and data analytics offerings. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with industry leaders and safety organizations, which can enhance product visibility and expand its customer base. Additionally, Blackline Safety may engage in service contracts and provide training and support services, further contributing to its earnings.

Blackline Safety Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 15, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly positive outlook: the company reported record annual revenue, a large ARR increase (~30%), sustained strong net dollar retention (128%), and a meaningful shift to profitability with positive adjusted EBITDA for the year. Service revenue growth (30%) and record service margins (82%) underscore the strength of the recurring SaaS model. Management also announced a strategically important G8 product and highlighted a large, validated ADNOC opportunity (up to 28,000 devices) that should drive future scale. Near-term challenges include a Q4 decline in product revenue (-14%), delayed hardware refreshes, U.S. government funding-related delays (low single-digit millions), and modest margin/ramp variability associated with G8 manufacturing; however, these headwinds are described as timing-related and expected to abate as G8 shipments scale and funding/pipelines normalize. Overall, positive operational momentum and financial improvements outweigh the near-term tactical headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Annual Revenue and Continued Top-Line Growth
Total revenue for fiscal 2025 reached a record $150.5M, up 18% year-over-year, and Q4 revenue was $39.3M, up 10% YoY. The company reported 35 consecutive quarters of year-over-year top-line growth.
Strong Recurring Revenue and ARR Expansion
Annual recurring revenue (ARR) hit a record $84.5M at year-end, up almost 30% from the prior year, providing increased revenue visibility and foundation for future growth.
Robust Service Revenue Growth and Mix Shift
Service revenue grew 30% to $90.5M for the year and reached $25.5M in Q4 (up 30% YoY). Within services, software services rose 26% to $21.5M and rental revenue increased 55% to $4.0M, reflecting strong demand for SaaS and rental offerings.
Improved Profitability and Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA turned positive for fiscal 2025 at $6.1M versus a loss of $2.4M in fiscal 2024. Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $2.2M (EBITDA $1.4M), marking the sixth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA.
Margin Expansion and Strong Service Margins
Gross margin improved to 63% for the full year (from 58% prior year) and 67% in Q4 (versus 61% in the prior-year quarter). Service gross margin reached a record 82% in Q4 driven by scale efficiencies and optimized connectivity/infrastructure costs.
Very Strong Customer Retention and Expansion
Net dollar retention was 128% in Q4 and has remained above 125% for 10 consecutive quarters, indicating strong expansion within the installed base (customers adding devices, services and functionality).
Large Strategic Win and International Traction (ADNOC)
ADNOC multiyear purchase agreement could see up to 28,000 devices deployed. Blackline shipped almost 2,500 devices in Q4 (surpassing the initial 1,000 disclosed earlier), with follow-on deployment expected to roll out over the next ~2 years and driving interest across the Middle East.
G8 Product Launch as a Platform Opportunity
Announced the G8 next-generation connected wearable — orders being taken with first commercial shipments expected in February 2026. G8 is positioned as a platform (apps, improved PTT, accessories) expected to increase per-device service revenue and long-term stickiness; modeled transition from G7 to G8 over ~2–3 quarters.
Healthy Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Ended the year with $46.6M in cash and short-term investments and total available liquidity of $76.4M (including $29.8M available on the senior secured operating facility), up from $60.4M at the end of fiscal 2024.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Product Revenue Decline
Product revenue in Q4 was $13.8M, down 14% year-over-year due to macro uncertainty, global trade concerns and customers exercising caution on capital purchases.
Near-Term Hardware Refresh Delays
Customers are extending device refresh cycles (lower refresh rates), delaying some hardware purchases — a key headwind that pressured product sales despite new customer adoption and ARR growth.
U.S. Government Shutdown Impact
U.S. government funding disruption slowed purchase activity among fire and hazmat customers; management characterized the affected orders as delayed (single-digit millions) and expects funding to resume and orders to return.
Short-Term Margin and Ramp Risks with G8
Management warned of potential short-term downward pressure on hardware/product margins during the G8 manufacturing ramp (a modest few-point decline for a couple of quarters) and variability as production scales and a new surface-mount line is added.
Macro and Energy Market Weakness Extending Sales Cycles
Lower energy prices and macro uncertainty have stretched sales cycles (e.g., upstream energy), moving some deals from ~6 months to 8–9 months and requiring pipeline expansion to offset slower closures; similar patterns observed in Canada and the U.S.
Operating Expense Intensity in Quarter
Total operating expenses represented 68% of revenue in Q4 (excluding a one-time G&A charge and FX), with sales & marketing at 32% and R&D at 16%, indicating continued investment and near-term expense leverage sensitivity.
Company Guidance
Guidance on the call focused on the G8 launch and near‑term timing and financial implications: G8 commercial shipments are expected to begin in late February 2026 with management modeling a roughly 2–3 quarter transition from G7 to G8 (a full shift over the next ~3 quarters), modestly higher hardware pricing, and a materially higher PTT attach rate versus the G7’s ~11%; they expect some Q1 product revenue to be pushed into Q2 (with delayed U.S. fire/hazmat orders described as low single‑digit millions expected to flow in Q2–Q3). Management warned product gross margin could dip a few points during the ramp but sees hardware margin upside longer term (north of ~40% into late‑2026/2027), is adding a second SMT line late this fiscal year with single‑digit‑million capex and prebuilding inventory, and reiterated confidence in growth given record ARR of $84.5M (up ~30%), FY revenue $150.5M (up 18%), Q4 revenue $39.3M (up 10%), Q4 adjusted EBITDA $2.2M and FY adjusted EBITDA $6.1M (vs. a $2.4M loss prior year), net dollar retention 128% (10 quarters >125%), $46.6M cash and $76.4M total liquidity, and a scaling ADNOC opportunity (2,500 devices shipped in Q4 toward a potential ~28,000‑device program rolling out over ~2 years).

Blackline Safety Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue scaling and improving unit economics (gross margin ~62% in 2025 with narrower losses) support the score. Balance sheet leverage is modest (debt-to-equity ~0.17) and equity rose, but the company remains unprofitable with negative ROE and cash flow is a key weakness (2025 operating cash flow -$8.0M and free cash flow -$14.5M).
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Revenue has scaled meaningfully over the last several years (from ~38.4M in 2020 to 150.5M in 2025), with 2025 still showing solid growth (+2.43). Profitability is improving but not yet durable: gross margin expanded to ~62% in 2025 (vs ~58% in 2024 and ~44% in 2022), and losses have narrowed substantially (net margin about -5.8% in 2025 vs -9.9% in 2024 and far worse in 2022). However, the company remains unprofitable with negative operating profit and negative net income in 2025, indicating the business is not yet consistently generating bottom-line earnings despite stronger unit economics.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Leverage appears manageable with low debt relative to equity (debt-to-equity ~0.17 in 2025, improved from ~0.24 in 2024 and ~0.33 in 2023), giving the company balance-sheet flexibility. Equity has also increased (to ~78.1M in 2025 from ~57.6M in 2024), which supports financial stability. The key weakness is ongoing negative returns on equity (about -11% in 2025), reflecting continued net losses and limiting the quality of the capital base until profitability turns positive.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash generation remains a clear pressure point: operating cash flow was negative in 2025 (-8.0M) and free cash flow was also negative (-14.5M), implying the company is still funding operations and investment with external capital or existing liquidity. While 2024 showed positive operating cash flow (+1.9M), the reversal in 2025 highlights volatility in cash conversion. Free cash flow has been negative across the periods shown, which increases execution risk until the business can consistently produce positive cash from operations.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue150.47M127.29M100.01M72.93M54.31M
Gross Profit93.65M74.25M52.78M32.24M26.39M
EBITDA4.95M-1.40M-15.92M-46.49M-27.96M
Net Income-8.67M-12.60M-25.55M-53.65M-33.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets166.39M146.88M109.12M108.05M109.30M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments46.63M43.11M15.99M30.94M54.52M
Total Debt12.90M13.59M11.10M11.25M2.37M
Total Liabilities88.33M89.27M75.92M55.69M35.96M
Stockholders Equity78.06M57.61M33.20M52.36M73.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.47M-6.46M-29.42M-59.22M-34.43M
Operating Cash Flow-8.01M1.91M-22.07M-50.56M-28.97M
Investing Cash Flow6.61M-30.46M-3.46M249.00K-3.05M
Financing Cash Flow19.82M32.59M9.23M32.23M38.72M

Blackline Safety Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.20
Price Trends
50DMA
6.72
Negative
100DMA
6.93
Negative
200DMA
6.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Positive
RSI
39.99
Neutral
STOCH
21.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BLN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.53, below the 50-day MA of 6.72, and below the 200-day MA of 6.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:BLN.

Blackline Safety Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
C$399.59M19.6425.64%2.32%3.19%-1.07%
69
Neutral
C$1.02B13.8512.20%5.69%-0.72%-9.27%
65
Neutral
C$383.12M72.098.14%1.07%7.00%110.62%
63
Neutral
$765.21M25.1749.99%16.25%31.71%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
C$525.74M-60.78-11.83%20.78%58.71%
52
Neutral
C$146.67M-11.35-108.12%-12.14%4.41%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BLN
Blackline Safety
6.20
-0.55
-8.15%
TSE:CMG
Computer Modelling
4.83
-5.31
-52.34%
TSE:XTRA
Xtract One
0.59
0.08
15.69%
TSE:TCS
TECSYS Inc. J
26.10
-17.98
-40.79%
TSE:ENGH
Enghouse Systems
18.71
-7.60
-28.88%
TSE:DCBO
Docebo
26.63
-33.37
-55.62%

Blackline Safety Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related Announcements
Blackline Safety Hits Record 2025 Revenue and Turns First Full Year of Positive EBITDA
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Blackline Safety reported record fiscal 2025 revenue of $150.5 million, up 18% year over year, driven by a 30% increase in higher-margin service revenue to $90.5 million and annual recurring revenue rising 27% to $84.5 million. Net dollar retention reached 128% in the fourth quarter as customers expanded deployments, helping the company deliver its first full year of positive adjusted EBITDA at $6.1 million and extend its streaks to 35 consecutive quarters of year-over-year revenue growth and six consecutive quarters of positive adjusted EBITDA. The company also unveiled its next-generation G8 connected safety wearable, which integrates advanced gas detection, lone worker protection and real-time communications with cloud connectivity and a future-ready architecture designed to support ongoing software updates and digital worksite integrations, reinforcing Blackline’s technology leadership in the connected safety market and positioning it for continued growth as initial commercial shipments begin in early 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLN) stock is a Buy with a C$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackline Safety stock, see the TSE:BLN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related Announcements
Blackline Safety Hits Record 2025 Revenue and Unveils Next-Generation G8 Wearable
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Blackline Safety reported record fiscal 2025 revenue of $150.5 million, up 18% year over year, driven by a 30% increase in service revenue and annual recurring revenue of $84.5 million, a 27% rise from the prior year. Net dollar retention of 128% in the fourth quarter highlighted strong customer expansion, while the company delivered its sixth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA and its first full year of positive adjusted EBITDA at $6.1 million, despite still posting a net loss of $8.7 million. The company also introduced its next-generation G8 connected safety wearable, which integrates advanced gas detection, lone worker protection and real-time communications in a single intrinsically safe device, positioning Blackline to strengthen its leadership in the connected safety market as initial commercial shipments are expected to start in February 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLN) stock is a Buy with a C$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackline Safety stock, see the TSE:BLN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Blackline Safety Launches G8, a Fully Connected Next-Generation Safety Wearable
Positive
Jan 13, 2026

Blackline Safety has unveiled G8, an all-in-one connected safety wearable that combines advanced gas detection, lone worker protection, and radio-quality communication in a single rugged, intrinsically safe device designed for harsh industrial worksites. The G8 streams real-time data to the company’s Blackline Live cloud platform, giving safety and operations leaders live visibility into worker status, gas readings, and site conditions, while its enhanced location accuracy, multi-mode communication tools, and usability features aim to reduce device clutter, speed response times, and improve productivity. Built as a platform rather than a standalone detector, G8 is architected to integrate with broader digital worksite systems and receive over-the-air firmware updates, positioning Blackline to deepen its role in connected industrial operations and to capitalize on growing demand for data-driven safety and future AI-enabled capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLN) stock is a Buy with a C$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackline Safety stock, see the TSE:BLN Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Blackline Safety Sets Date for Fiscal Q4 and Year-End 2025 Results Call
Neutral
Dec 18, 2025

Blackline Safety Corp. announced it will release its fiscal fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results before markets open on January 15, 2026, followed by a management-hosted conference call and webcast at 11:00 a.m. ET the same day. The scheduled release and investor call underscore the company’s efforts to maintain transparency with shareholders and analysts as it continues to expand its connected safety and IoT footprint globally, with the upcoming results expected to provide insight into its operational performance, growth trajectory and positioning within the industrial safety technology market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLN) stock is a Buy with a C$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackline Safety stock, see the TSE:BLN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Blackline Safety Earns Spot on 2025 Deloitte Technology Fast 500 List
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

Blackline Safety has been named to the 2025 Deloitte Technology Fast 500 list, marking its fourth appearance as one of the fastest-growing companies in North America. This recognition underscores Blackline’s commitment to delivering innovative connected safety solutions that meet rising global demand, as evidenced by its award-winning EXO 8 area monitor and sustained growth acknowledged by the Globe and Mail’s Top Growing Companies list.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLN) stock is a Hold with a C$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackline Safety stock, see the TSE:BLN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Blackline Safety Expands EMEA Operations with New Offices
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

Blackline Safety is expanding its global presence by opening new offices in Cologne, Germany, and Abu Dhabi, UAE, to strengthen its operations in the EMEA region. This expansion aims to enhance customer engagement and service in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, particularly in the energy, utilities, and petrochemical sectors. The new offices coincide with Blackline’s participation in major trade events, where the company will showcase updates to its safety platform, further solidifying its position as a leader in connected safety technology.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLN) stock is a Hold with a C$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blackline Safety stock, see the TSE:BLN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 17, 2026