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Xtract One (TSE:XTRA)
TSX:XTRA

Xtract One (XTRA) AI Stock Analysis

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Xtract One

(TSX:XTRA)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.50
▲(35.14%Upside)
The overall stock score reflects significant profitability and cash flow challenges despite revenue growth. Bearish technical indicators and a poor valuation further weigh on the score, while positive corporate events provide some optimism.
Positive Factors
Contractual Backlog
A growing contractual backlog, now C$15.4M versus C$13.8M in the year ago period, should drive longer-term optimism.
Product Certification
The company's new Xtract One Gateway has been certified in the U.S. and Canada and is expected to begin shipping soon, which is anticipated to have an immediate impact on revenue.
Negative Factors
Operational Loss
The company reported a loss from operations of C$3.1M versus an estimated C$2.2M loss, suggesting weaker than modeled adj. EBITDA.
Revenue Performance
Lower than expected revenue during the quarter was largely driven by deployment delays, resulting in a revenue miss.

Xtract One (XTRA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Xtract One Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXtract One Technologies Inc. engages in the research, development, and commercialization of threat detection solutions worldwide. It operates through Patriot and Xtract segments. The Patriot segment develops and commercializes a platform of artificial intelligence (AI) powered threat detection technologies. The Xtract segment develops and commercializes AI solutions. The company's products include PATSCAN VRS Video Recognition Software that combines digital cameras and artificial intelligence to automate the detection of visible weapon threats, fights, and health and safety issues; and PATSCAN Multi-Sensor Gateway, an autonomous detection system that detects threats on individuals carrying concealed guns, knives, or related threat objects into secured private or public spaces, and can be installed at schools, stadiums, concert halls, shopping centers, and other entryways into private, public, or secured buildings. It also develops PATSCAN Cognitive Microwave Radar (CMR), a system to detect concealed guns and knives utilizing microwave radar technology coupled with custom machine learning/AI software. The company was formerly known as Patriot One Technologies Inc. and changed its name to Xtract One Technologies Inc. in December 2022. Xtract One Technologies Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyXtract One makes money primarily through the sale and licensing of its proprietary security technologies and solutions. The company's revenue model includes direct sales of hardware and software products, subscription fees for ongoing access to its cloud-based security management platforms, and service fees for system maintenance and support. Additionally, Xtract One may form strategic partnerships with other technology providers and security firms to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. These partnerships can lead to joint ventures or revenue-sharing agreements that further contribute to the company's earnings.

Xtract One Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -33.93%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted some significant achievements such as a strong backlog and expanding market opportunities, particularly with the new One Gateway product. However, the call also revealed challenges, including weaker than expected third quarter results, delays in customer decision-making, and increased cash burn. While there is optimism about future growth, the current challenges balance the positive aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Backlog and Pipeline
The total backlog remains strong at $36.5 million, near record levels. The pipeline of opportunities is approximately CAD 100 million, with about $40 million in late stages of development.
Expanding Market Opportunities
The One Gateway product is gaining traction, with the first 5 customers having aggregate order values of approximately $6.7 million. The company is bidding on roughly $46 million of RFP opportunities.
Key Contracts and Customer Satisfaction
Recent major contracts include a global media and entertainment organization and the Colorado Rockies Major League Baseball team. Feedback from these customers has been outstanding.
Negative Updates
Weaker Than Expected Third Quarter Results
Q3 results were below expectations due to one-time events and shifts in customer dynamics. Total revenue was approximately $3.5 million versus $4.7 million in the prior year period.
Delays in Customer Decision-Making
The mix of business has shifted to larger organizations, delaying bookings and revenue recognition due to extended pilot periods and customer evaluations.
Increased Cash Burn
Operating cash usage increased to $3.4 million compared to $2.4 million in the prior year period, largely due to one-time investments in the rollout of the Xtract One Gateway.
Company Guidance
During the Xtract One Technologies Fiscal 2025 Third Quarter Earnings Call, CEO Peter Evans provided detailed guidance and metrics, highlighting several key aspects. The company's total backlog for the quarter stood strong at $36.5 million, approaching record levels. However, quarterly revenue was impacted by installation timing, resulting in total revenue of approximately $3.5 million, down from $4.7 million in the same period last year. The mix of upfront versus subscription sales was 65% upfront, a decrease from 80% in the prior year. Bookings for the quarter were $4.6 million, with 30% being subscription contracts. Gross profit margin was reported at 57%, slightly down from 58% the previous year, influenced by initial start-up costs for the new Xtract One Gateway. Operating cash usage for the quarter was $3.4 million, an increase from $2.4 million the previous year, largely due to investments in manufacturing and rollout of the new product. The company anticipates a solid fiscal year with a robust pipeline of opportunities totaling approximately CAD 100 million, and they are on track to start shipping the new One Gateway in July.

Xtract One Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Xtract One shows revenue growth but faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The company operates at a loss with negative EBIT and net income margins, and relies on financing to cover cash shortfalls.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Xtract One has shown a consistent increase in revenue over the years, with a notable growth from 2023 to TTM 2025. However, the company continues to operate at a loss, with negative EBIT and net income margins indicating challenges in profitability. The gross profit margin remains relatively healthy, but the inability to convert this into net profits is a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a strong equity position relative to its total assets, indicating a solid capital structure. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased, pointing to a rising reliance on debt. The ROE is negative due to ongoing losses, suggesting that despite the equity strength, profitability remains a significant issue.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Xtract One's cash flow situation is challenging, with negative operating and free cash flows indicating that the company is consuming more cash than it's generating. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable due to persistent losses. The company relies heavily on financing activities to cover its cash shortfall.
BreakdownTTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.36M16.36M4.11M3.62M1.08M2.07M
Gross Profit10.77M10.26M2.38M3.34M1.05M1.88M
EBITDA-7.92M-8.96M-14.24M-13.04M-11.45M-20.62M
Net Income-10.33M-11.06M-16.34M-39.72M-16.56M-25.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.29M24.94M19.00M18.06M49.40M66.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.43M8.63M8.33M6.28M9.65M26.43M
Total Debt1.12M380.93K356.84K677.28K985.92K1.01M
Total Liabilities11.41M10.97M4.26M3.51M2.56M3.79M
Stockholders Equity9.88M13.97M14.74M14.55M46.84M62.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.16M-8.57M-13.57M-9.37M-12.26M-18.70M
Operating Cash Flow-6.31M-8.14M-13.54M-9.27M-11.69M-17.57M
Investing Cash Flow-1.27M-429.75K364.46K-95.76K-544.96K-10.96M
Financing Cash Flow8.84M8.87M15.22M5.99M-514.96K301.40K

Xtract One Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.37
Price Trends
50DMA
0.41
Negative
100DMA
0.43
Negative
200DMA
0.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
44.57
Neutral
STOCH
40.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:XTRA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.41, below the 50-day MA of 0.41, and below the 200-day MA of 0.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:XTRA.

Xtract One Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSNCI
76
Outperform
C$97.79M9.84135.14%92.08%100.09%
TSQIS
64
Neutral
C$55.97M37.005.09%-0.92%-23.37%
63
Neutral
$32.90B6.03-11.70%1.95%5.55%-19.87%
57
Neutral
C$37.72M-244.21%51.52%50.73%
TSIMP
55
Neutral
C$131.49M35.8659.35%253.50%
49
Neutral
C$61.56M-90.88%349.56%-928.83%
47
Neutral
C$72.08M-99.03%29.22%18.54%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:XTRA
Xtract One
0.37
-0.31
-45.59%
TSE:IMP
Intermap Technology
2.34
1.85
377.55%
TSE:NCI
NTG Clarity Networks
2.30
1.37
147.31%
TSE:ABXX
Abaxx Technologies Inc
4.08
0.00
0.00%
TSE:QIS
Quorum Information Technologies
0.74
-0.03
-3.90%
TSE:MHUB
Minehub Technologies
0.44
0.13
41.94%

Xtract One Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Xtract One’s SmartGateway Enhances Security at San Mateo Medical Center
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

Xtract One Technologies has been chosen by San Mateo Medical Center in California to deploy its SmartGateway system, enhancing security with AI-powered weapon detection. This initiative aligns with California’s new mandate for hospital weapons detection, aiming to improve safety and reduce disruptions, thereby positioning San Mateo Medical Center as a proactive leader in healthcare security.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Xtract One Secures $8M in Public Offering to Enhance Operations
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

Xtract One Technologies has successfully closed an $8 million bought deal public offering, with full exercise of the over-allotment option. The proceeds from this offering will be used for working capital and general corporate purposes, potentially strengthening the company’s operational capabilities and market position in the security solutions industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Xtract One Announces $7 Million Public Offering to Boost AI Security Solutions
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

Xtract One Technologies Inc. has announced a $7 million ‘bought deal’ public offering, with Ventum Capital Markets agreeing to purchase 18 million units at $0.39 per unit. The proceeds will be used for working capital and general corporate purposes, and the offering is expected to close around June 18, 2025, subject to regulatory approvals. This move is poised to bolster Xtract One’s financial position, allowing further investment in their AI-driven security solutions, potentially enhancing their market leadership in threat detection.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Xtract One Technologies Reports Q3 Fiscal 2025 Results, Prepares for Growth
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

Xtract One Technologies reported its fiscal third quarter results, highlighting a decrease in revenue to $3.5 million compared to the previous year, attributed to delayed deployments. Despite this, the company maintains a strong contractual backlog and is optimistic about future growth, especially with the upcoming shipment of its newly certified Xtract One Gateway platform. The company has secured significant orders and partnerships, including with the Colorado Rockies, positioning it well for the remainder of the fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Xtract One Technologies Prepares to Launch Innovative Security Platform
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

Xtract One Technologies announced that its new security platform, Xtract One Gateway, is set to begin shipping in July, with orders valued at approximately $6.7 million. The system, which has been certified in the U.S. and Canada, is designed to streamline security checks by unobtrusively scanning individuals and their belongings for potential threats while distinguishing harmless items. The strong market response and rising demand indicate a positive impact on the company’s operations and industry positioning, as it continues to engage with customers across various sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Xtract One Technologies to Announce Q3 Fiscal 2025 Results
Neutral
May 29, 2025

Xtract One Technologies announced the release of its fiscal 2025 third quarter results, scheduled for June 5, 2025. The company will host a webcast and conference call on June 6, 2025, led by CEO Peter Evans and CFO Karen Hersh, to discuss the financial results and provide a business outlook. This announcement highlights Xtract One’s commitment to transparency and its strategic focus on leveraging AI for security solutions, potentially reinforcing its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Xtract One Partners with Colorado Rockies to Enhance Stadium Security
Positive
May 27, 2025

Xtract One Technologies has partnered with the Colorado Rockies to implement its SmartGateway system at Coors Field, aiming to enhance fan safety and streamline entry processes. This deployment replaces traditional metal detectors, allowing faster and more efficient security checks, and aligns with the Rockies’ mission to improve game-day experiences. The SmartGateway system uses AI-powered sensors to unobtrusively scan patrons, reducing wait times and providing proactive security insights, thus positioning Xtract One as a leader in modern stadium security solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Xtract One Partners with Colorado Rockies to Enhance Stadium Security with SmartGateway
Positive
May 27, 2025

Xtract One Technologies has partnered with Major League Baseball’s Colorado Rockies to deploy its SmartGateway system at Coors Field. This collaboration aims to enhance stadium security by introducing a frictionless, AI-powered screening process that significantly reduces wait times and improves the overall game-day experience for fans. The deployment of SmartGateway aligns with the Rockies’ commitment to integrity and quality, offering a proactive security solution that unobtrusively scans patrons and detects threats without compromising privacy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Xtract One Secures Global Agreement for AI-Powered Security Solutions
Positive
May 15, 2025

Xtract One Technologies has entered a Master Supply Agreement with a global media and entertainment organization to deploy its SmartGateway security screening solution. This agreement marks a significant step for Xtract One, as its AI-powered technology will be used to enhance security across the entertainment company’s venues worldwide, starting with a location in Asia. The SmartGateway’s ability to provide fast, reliable, and accurate patron screening sets a new standard in the industry, offering a proactive approach to security that maintains guest privacy and reduces wait times.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025