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Xtract One (TSE:XTRA)
:XTRA

Xtract One (XTRA) AI Stock Analysis

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Xtract One

(TSX:XTRA)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.50
▼(-9.09%Downside)
Xtract One's stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive corporate events, indicating future growth potential. However, significant profitability and cash flow challenges weigh heavily, along with valuation concerns due to negative earnings. The earnings call provided a positive outlook, but risks related to revenue timing and tariffs are notable.
Positive Factors
Contract Value
The total contract value of new bookings signed in the quarter was a record C$13.5M, compared to just C$5.1M in the year-ago period.
Market Expansion
Demand is no longer limited to the sports and entertainment space, but now includes other verticals such as manufacturing, healthcare, and education.
Negative Factors
Revenue Estimate
The company has adjusted its FY25 revenue estimate downwards, resulting in a reduced price target from C$1.50 to C$1.00.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth was lower than expected due to a lighter pace of new bookings and timing issues.

Xtract One (XTRA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Xtract One Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXtract One Technologies Inc. engages in the research, development, and commercialization of threat detection solutions worldwide. It operates through Patriot and Xtract segments. The Patriot segment develops and commercializes a platform of artificial intelligence (AI) powered threat detection technologies. The Xtract segment develops and commercializes AI solutions. The company's products include PATSCAN VRS Video Recognition Software that combines digital cameras and artificial intelligence to automate the detection of visible weapon threats, fights, and health and safety issues; and PATSCAN Multi-Sensor Gateway, an autonomous detection system that detects threats on individuals carrying concealed guns, knives, or related threat objects into secured private or public spaces, and can be installed at schools, stadiums, concert halls, shopping centers, and other entryways into private, public, or secured buildings. It also develops PATSCAN Cognitive Microwave Radar (CMR), a system to detect concealed guns and knives utilizing microwave radar technology coupled with custom machine learning/AI software. The company was formerly known as Patriot One Technologies Inc. and changed its name to Xtract One Technologies Inc. in December 2022. Xtract One Technologies Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyXtract One makes money primarily through the sale and licensing of its proprietary security technologies and solutions. The company's revenue model includes direct sales of hardware and software products, subscription fees for ongoing access to its cloud-based security management platforms, and service fees for system maintenance and support. Additionally, Xtract One may form strategic partnerships with other technology providers and security firms to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. These partnerships can lead to joint ventures or revenue-sharing agreements that further contribute to the company's earnings.

Xtract One Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.79%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong positive outlook with record-breaking bookings, improved gross margins, and a diverse customer base driving future growth. While the revenue was slightly impacted by deployment timing, the company expressed confidence in overcoming potential tariff challenges and achieving profitability.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Bookings
Reported bookings of $13.5 million in Q2, surpassing the prior record of $9.6 million and representing 250% growth year-over-year.
Increased Gross Margins
Gross margins reached 70% in Q2, improved from 61% last year, due to a scalable operational model and effective pricing strategies.
Diverse Customer Base and Market Expansion
Significant growth in healthcare sector, representing 30% of Q2 bookings, and expansion into international markets driven by legislative changes.
Strong Backlog and Pipeline
Contractual backlog increased to $37.2 million, up from $26.9 million in Q1, with a qualified pipeline of $100 million, including $40 million in late stages.
Successful Channel Partner Program
Channel partners accounted for about 50% of total systems deployed and nearly half of revenue recognized, enhancing growth potential.
Positive Financial Outlook
Operating cash usage reduced significantly, with a focus on achieving profitability and cash flow breakeven.
Negative Updates
Revenue Impacted by Deployment Timing
Q2 revenue was affected by phased deployment schedules, resulting in a revenue of $3.4 million versus expectations based on backlog.
Potential Tariff Concerns
Uncertain impacts of tariffs on pricing and supply chain dynamics, with ongoing monitoring required to assess potential scenarios.
Company Guidance
During the Xtract One Technologies Fiscal 2025 Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call, the company reported several key financial metrics and achievements. They announced record bookings of $13.5 million for the quarter, a 250% increase year-over-year, and a total bookings backlog of $37 million, up from $22 million the previous year. Revenue for the quarter was $3.4 million, compared to $2.9 million in the same period of fiscal 2024. Their gross margins improved to 70% from 61% the previous year. The company's customer base is diversifying, with education and healthcare markets becoming significant contributors to revenue. Additionally, channel partners accounted for approximately 50% of total systems deployed, highlighting the successful expansion of their partner program. The company is optimistic about future growth, with a qualified pipeline of opportunities valued at approximately $100 million, including $40 million in late-stage development.

Xtract One Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Xtract One demonstrates strong revenue growth, but profitability and cash flow remain significant challenges, with negative net income and EBIT margins. Despite a solid equity position, increasing debt levels and negative cash flows highlight potential financial stability issues.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Xtract One has shown a consistent increase in revenue over the years, with a notable growth from 2023 to TTM 2025. However, the company continues to operate at a loss, with negative EBIT and net income margins indicating challenges in profitability. The gross profit margin remains relatively healthy, but the inability to convert this into net profits is a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a strong equity position relative to its total assets, indicating a solid capital structure. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased, pointing to a rising reliance on debt. The ROE is negative due to ongoing losses, suggesting that despite the equity strength, profitability remains a significant issue.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Xtract One's cash flow situation is challenging, with negative operating and free cash flows indicating that the company is consuming more cash than it's generating. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable due to persistent losses. The company relies heavily on financing activities to cover its cash shortfall.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
17.36M16.36M4.11M3.62M1.08M2.07M
Gross Profit
10.77M10.26M2.38M3.34M1.05M1.88M
EBIT
-10.56M-11.35M-16.50M-39.92M12.78M23.39M
EBITDA
-7.92M-8.96M-14.24M-13.04M-11.45M-20.62M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-10.33M-11.06M-16.34M-39.72M-16.56M-25.13M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.12M8.63M8.33M6.28M9.65M26.43M
Total Assets
23.70M24.94M19.00M18.06M49.40M66.01M
Total Debt
1.19M380.93K356.84K677.28K985.92K1.01M
Net Debt
-4.93M-8.25M-7.97M-5.60M-8.67M-21.39M
Total Liabilities
11.95M10.97M4.26M3.51M2.56M3.79M
Stockholders Equity
11.74M13.97M14.74M14.55M46.84M62.22M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-7.16M-8.57M-13.57M-9.37M-12.26M-18.70M
Operating Cash Flow
-6.31M-8.14M-13.54M-9.27M-11.69M-17.57M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.27M-429.75K364.46K-95.76K-544.96K-10.96M
Financing Cash Flow
8.84M8.87M15.22M5.99M-514.96K301.40K

Xtract One Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.55
Price Trends
50DMA
0.43
Positive
100DMA
0.45
Positive
200DMA
0.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
77.67
Negative
STOCH
83.94
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:XTRA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.45, above the 50-day MA of 0.43, and above the 200-day MA of 0.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.67 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.94 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:XTRA.

Xtract One Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSNCI
81
Outperform
C$106.83M10.91135.14%92.08%100.09%
TSQIS
70
Outperform
C$64.78M44.005.09%-0.92%-23.37%
62
Neutral
$11.75B10.58-7.10%2.91%7.47%-7.95%
60
Neutral
C$120.13M-107.94%99.88%28.72%
57
Neutral
C$37.28M-244.21%51.52%50.73%
TSIMP
55
Neutral
C$139.72M37.0059.35%253.50%
49
Neutral
C$61.56M-90.88%349.56%-928.83%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:XTRA
Xtract One
0.56
-0.03
-5.08%
TSE:IMP
Intermap Technology
2.20
1.60
266.67%
TSE:NCI
NTG Clarity Networks
2.50
1.66
197.62%
TSE:ABXX
Abaxx Technologies Inc
4.08
0.00
0.00%
TSE:QIS
Quorum Information Technologies
0.88
0.11
14.29%
TSE:MHUB
Minehub Technologies
0.47
0.21
80.77%

Xtract One Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Xtract One Technologies Prepares to Launch Innovative Security Platform
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

Xtract One Technologies announced that its new security platform, Xtract One Gateway, is set to begin shipping in July, with orders valued at approximately $6.7 million. The system, which has been certified in the U.S. and Canada, is designed to streamline security checks by unobtrusively scanning individuals and their belongings for potential threats while distinguishing harmless items. The strong market response and rising demand indicate a positive impact on the company’s operations and industry positioning, as it continues to engage with customers across various sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Xtract One Technologies to Announce Q3 Fiscal 2025 Results
Neutral
May 29, 2025

Xtract One Technologies announced the release of its fiscal 2025 third quarter results, scheduled for June 5, 2025. The company will host a webcast and conference call on June 6, 2025, led by CEO Peter Evans and CFO Karen Hersh, to discuss the financial results and provide a business outlook. This announcement highlights Xtract One’s commitment to transparency and its strategic focus on leveraging AI for security solutions, potentially reinforcing its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Xtract One Partners with Colorado Rockies to Enhance Stadium Security
Positive
May 27, 2025

Xtract One Technologies has partnered with the Colorado Rockies to implement its SmartGateway system at Coors Field, aiming to enhance fan safety and streamline entry processes. This deployment replaces traditional metal detectors, allowing faster and more efficient security checks, and aligns with the Rockies’ mission to improve game-day experiences. The SmartGateway system uses AI-powered sensors to unobtrusively scan patrons, reducing wait times and providing proactive security insights, thus positioning Xtract One as a leader in modern stadium security solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Xtract One Partners with Colorado Rockies to Enhance Stadium Security with SmartGateway
Positive
May 27, 2025

Xtract One Technologies has partnered with Major League Baseball’s Colorado Rockies to deploy its SmartGateway system at Coors Field. This collaboration aims to enhance stadium security by introducing a frictionless, AI-powered screening process that significantly reduces wait times and improves the overall game-day experience for fans. The deployment of SmartGateway aligns with the Rockies’ commitment to integrity and quality, offering a proactive security solution that unobtrusively scans patrons and detects threats without compromising privacy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Xtract One Secures Global Agreement for AI-Powered Security Solutions
Positive
May 15, 2025

Xtract One Technologies has entered a Master Supply Agreement with a global media and entertainment organization to deploy its SmartGateway security screening solution. This agreement marks a significant step for Xtract One, as its AI-powered technology will be used to enhance security across the entertainment company’s venues worldwide, starting with a location in Asia. The SmartGateway’s ability to provide fast, reliable, and accurate patron screening sets a new standard in the industry, offering a proactive approach to security that maintains guest privacy and reduces wait times.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Xtract One Achieves Record Backlog and Strong Growth in Q2 Fiscal 2025
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

Xtract One Technologies reported strong fiscal second quarter results, with a record total backlog of $37.2 million and a gross margin of 70%. The company achieved its highest-ever quarterly bookings of $13.5 million, reflecting significant revenue growth and strategic market diversification. Despite deployment timing challenges, Xtract One is optimistic about its outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2025, driven by new contract wins and growing interest in its Gateway solution.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.