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Xtract One (TSE:XTRA)
TSX:XTRA

Xtract One (XTRA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:XTRA

Xtract One

(TSX:XTRA)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.52
▼(-6.36% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/05/26
The score is held down primarily by heavy ongoing losses and sustained cash burn, despite low leverage. Technicals also remain weak with price below key moving averages and negative MACD. Offsetting these is a more constructive earnings-call outlook driven by rapid revenue growth, sizable backlog/pipeline, and improved liquidity from recent financing, though near-term margin and booking variability remain key risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Momentum & Backlog
Sustained +70% YoY revenue growth together with a near‑record $48.8M backlog and a ~$105M qualified pipeline provide multi‑quarter revenue visibility and conversion optionality. This depth of demand supports scaling production and predictable near‑term top‑line expansion as installs convert.
High Unit Margins
SmartGateway's mid‑to‑high‑60% gross margins demonstrate strong unit economics; management's plan for One Gateway to reach similar levels implies meaningful margin upside as ramp costs normalize. Durable high product margins underpin long‑term profitability once scale is achieved.
Improved Liquidity
The ~$11.5M financing and $15.7M cash balance materially extend runway to fund inventory, production ramps and installations. This reduces near‑term refinancing risk and gives management time to execute margin recovery and backlog conversion without immediate capital stress.
Negative Factors
Persistent Cash Burn
Negative operating and free cash flow on a trailing basis indicate the business consumes cash to run and scale. Unless operational cash generation improves, the company will remain dependent on external financing to fund growth and inventory, raising dilution and execution risk over coming quarters.
Deep Ongoing Losses
Severely negative margins and returns show the company remains far from breakeven and is destroying shareholder capital. Prolonged losses limit ability to self‑fund growth, pressure equity cushions, and mean profitability improvements must be sustained to restore financial health.
Margin Pressure & Booking Lumpiness
Gross margin compression driven by One Gateway start‑up costs and lower YoY bookings create near‑term profitability and cash‑flow volatility. Lumpiness in bookings and backlog timing makes revenue conversion uncertain quarter‑to‑quarter, complicating planning and stressing working capital during ramp.

Xtract One (XTRA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Xtract One Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXtract One Technologies Inc. engages in the research, development, and commercialization of threat detection solutions worldwide. It operates through Patriot and Xtract segments. The Patriot segment develops and commercializes a platform of artificial intelligence (AI) powered threat detection technologies. The Xtract segment develops and commercializes AI solutions. The company's products include PATSCAN VRS Video Recognition Software that combines digital cameras and artificial intelligence to automate the detection of visible weapon threats, fights, and health and safety issues; and PATSCAN Multi-Sensor Gateway, an autonomous detection system that detects threats on individuals carrying concealed guns, knives, or related threat objects into secured private or public spaces, and can be installed at schools, stadiums, concert halls, shopping centers, and other entryways into private, public, or secured buildings. It also develops PATSCAN Cognitive Microwave Radar (CMR), a system to detect concealed guns and knives utilizing microwave radar technology coupled with custom machine learning/AI software. The company was formerly known as Patriot One Technologies Inc. and changed its name to Xtract One Technologies Inc. in December 2022. Xtract One Technologies Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyXtract One generates revenue through a multifaceted business model that includes the sale of its advanced detection systems, subscription services for ongoing software and system updates, and maintenance contracts. The company also partners with various venues and organizations to integrate its technology into their existing security frameworks, creating additional revenue opportunities through long-term contracts. Key revenue streams include initial hardware sales, recurring subscription fees for access to enhanced analytics and reporting features, and service agreements that ensure continuous support and system upgrades. These partnerships, along with increasing demand for safety and security solutions, contribute significantly to Xtract One's earnings.

Xtract One Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a constructive growth narrative: strong revenue momentum (+70% YoY), a larger qualified pipeline (~$105M) and near‑record backlog (~$48.8M), notable international traction (e.g., British Museum), and a strengthened cash position from an $11.5M financing. Key challenges include compressed gross margins from the Xtract One Gateway ramp (Q2 estimated as a trough), higher operating cash usage to build inventory, a YoY decline in new bookings, and some backlog timing variability. Management expects margins for the Xtract One Gateway to improve toward SmartGateway levels over coming quarters and reiterated confidence in record fiscal 2026 revenue, making the outlook positive despite near‑term margin and cash‑flow headwinds.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue of approximately $5.8M in Q2 FY2026, up 70% year-over-year from $3.4M and up 26% quarter-over-quarter from Q1, with management commenting Q2 may represent a trough in gross margin and expecting continued revenue acceleration through fiscal 2026.
Near‑Record Backlog and Contracted Pipeline
Contractual backlog and signed agreements pending installation totaled $48.8M versus $37.2M a year ago (+31%), comprised of $13.9M contractual backlog and $34.9M signed agreements pending installation, with management expecting the majority of pending agreements to deploy within 12 months.
Large Product Orders and Deployments
Approximately 150 Xtract One Gateways ordered (~$21M) with roughly one‑third (~$7M) delivered and installed by end of Q2; deployments now present across almost every U.S. state and multiple school districts.
Expanding Qualified Sales Pipeline
Qualified sales pipeline of about $105M (USD), reported roughly evenly split between SmartGateway and Xtract One Gateway, signaling a deep funnel of future opportunities.
Notable Customer Win — British Museum
Secured a high‑profile international customer (British Museum), which management highlighted as a landmark win that can drive further global opportunities and referenceability.
Production and Supply Improvements
Management reported resolving many initial manufacturing and supply chain constraints for the Xtract One Gateway, increased production throughput, and a phased ramp of manufacturing to match demand while suppliers are on track to expand throughput.
Balanced Product Revenue Mix
Revenue is beginning to split more evenly between SmartGateway and Xtract One Gateway, with SmartGateway gross margins remaining healthy in the mid‑ to high‑60% range and the company expecting One Gateway margins to improve toward similar levels over time.
Strengthened Cash Position
Closed a bought deal raising approximately $11.5M (gross proceeds, including over‑allotment) and ended the quarter with $15.7M in cash and cash equivalents, providing capital to accelerate production and working capital needs.
Negative Updates
Booking Decline Year‑Over‑Year
New bookings in Q2 were $8.7M versus $13.5M in the prior year quarter, a decline of approximately 35.6%, driven in part by timing and some deals slipping and one large pending deal removed from backlog.
Gross Margin Contraction
Consolidated gross margin fell to 54% in Q2 from 70% in the prior year (down 16 percentage points), primarily due to higher initial start‑up costs and ramp‑up expenses associated with the Xtract One Gateway (One Gateway reported in the very low 50s vs SmartGateway in the mid‑to‑high 60s).
Increased Operating Cash Usage
Operating cash usage was $4.2M in the quarter versus $0.2M in the prior year period (a large increase) largely reflecting investments in working capital and inventory to ramp Xtract One Gateway production.
Higher Operating Expenses
Sales & marketing rose to $1.8M from $1.2M YOY (+50%), and G&A increased to roughly $2.0M from $1.6M (+25%); R&D remained flat at $1.6M—resulting in a modest overall increase in operating costs as the company scales commercialization.
Backlog Lumpiness and Deal Timing
Backlog showed quarter‑to‑quarter lumpiness (management noted a decline from prior quarter levels driven by installations and timing), and management removed one large slow‑moving deal from pending backlog, highlighting variability in timing of conversions.
Profitability Not Yet Achieved
Despite strong top‑line growth, comprehensive loss for the quarter was higher year‑over‑year due to margin pressure and near‑term ramp costs; timing for Xtract One Gateway to reach SmartGateway margin parity is uncertain (management estimates could take several quarters up to ~18 months).
Booking Concentration in Upfront Deals
A high proportion of bookings are upfront: 73% of Q2 bookings were upfront contracts, which accelerates revenue conversion but may make future bookings more lumpy depending on timing of new contracts and installations.
Company Guidance
Management guided to a strong fiscal 2026, calling for record revenue as Q2 revenue was ~$5.8M (up 70% YoY and +26% QoQ) and backlog stood at $48.8M ( $13.9M contractual + $34.9M signed pending installation), with ~83% of pending value tied to upfront deals and most expected to deploy within 12 months; Q2 bookings were $8.7M (73% upfront) vs $13.5M a year ago, the company has ~150 Xtract One Gateway orders (~$21M) with ~1/3 delivered, a USD $105M qualified pipeline split roughly evenly between SmartGateway and Xtract One Gateway, and $15.7M cash on hand after an $11.5M bought‑deal. Management said production and supplier throughput are ramping with no major manufacturing bottleneck, expects continued revenue acceleration in H2, and sees margins improving as One Gateway start‑up costs normalize (Q2 gross margin 54% vs 70% LY; SmartGateway mid‑to‑high‑60s; Xtract One Gateway low‑50s today, targeting the 60s over coming quarters), while operating costs remain controlled (S&M $1.8M, R&D $1.6M, G&A ≈$2.0M) and Q2 operating cash use was $4.2M (≈$1.4M ex working capital).

Xtract One Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is positive and gross margin is healthy (~61%), but profitability is still deeply negative (TTM net margin ~-81%) and cash burn remains significant (TTM FCF about -$6.2M). The balance sheet is helped by low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.10), but weak returns (TTM ROE roughly -127%) and ongoing cash outflows keep the financial profile high-risk.
Income Statement
28
Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is growing strongly (+6.99%), and gross margin is healthy (~61%), suggesting the core product can generate solid unit economics. However, profitability remains deeply negative (TTM net margin about -81% and EBIT margin about -79%), indicating operating costs are still far above the current revenue base. While results have improved materially versus earlier years with extreme losses, the company is still far from breakeven.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage is low with modest debt (debt-to-equity ~0.10 in TTM), which reduces near-term balance sheet risk. Total equity remains positive (~$10.3M TTM), providing some cushion. The key weakness is continued heavy losses driving very weak returns on equity (TTM ROE roughly -127%), which can pressure equity over time if profitability does not improve.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation remains a major concern: TTM operating cash flow is negative (~-$5.7M) and free cash flow is also negative (~-$6.2M), meaning the business is still consuming cash to operate and invest. Free cash flow also declined in TTM (about -16.7% growth), pointing to continued funding needs. A modest positive is that free cash flow is broadly in line with net losses (free cash flow to net income ~1.08), suggesting losses are not being materially understated by non-cash accounting, but the cash burn is still significant.
BreakdownTTMJul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.82M13.85M16.36M4.11M3.62M1.08M
Gross Profit9.03M7.55M10.26M2.38M3.34M1.05M
EBITDA-9.27M-9.54M-8.96M-14.24M-13.04M-11.45M
Net Income-11.94M-11.88M-11.06M-16.34M-39.72M-16.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.70M23.41M24.94M19.00M18.06M49.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.14M8.22M8.63M8.33M6.28M9.65M
Total Debt1.06M1.13M380.93K356.84K677.28K985.92K
Total Liabilities13.36M12.73M10.97M4.26M3.51M2.56M
Stockholders Equity10.34M10.69M13.97M14.74M14.55M46.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.22M-6.73M-8.57M-13.57M-9.37M-12.26M
Operating Cash Flow-5.75M-6.54M-8.14M-13.54M-9.27M-11.69M
Investing Cash Flow-305.77K-756.71K-429.75K364.46K-95.76K-544.96K
Financing Cash Flow9.02M6.90M8.87M15.22M5.99M-514.96K

Xtract One Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.55
Price Trends
50DMA
0.60
Negative
100DMA
0.65
Negative
200DMA
0.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
42.08
Neutral
STOCH
55.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:XTRA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.53, below the 50-day MA of 0.60, and below the 200-day MA of 0.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:XTRA.

Xtract One Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
C$165.29M52.1724.43%20.62%21.78%
60
Neutral
C$86.50M-45.82-8.89%0.71%-4.89%-143.94%
51
Neutral
C$213.02M-5.44-31.23%13.16%-1375.61%
48
Neutral
C$131.76M-17.87-108.12%-12.14%4.41%
46
Neutral
C$99.24M-21.23-14.10%48.18%-401.19%
45
Neutral
C$48.74M-111.14-144.12%-10.57%-117.50%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:XTRA
Xtract One
0.52
0.08
18.18%
TSE:URL
NameSilo Technologies Corp
1.90
1.21
175.36%
TSE:IMP
Intermap Technology
1.40
-0.57
-28.93%
TSE:ONE
01 Communique Laboratory Inc.
0.46
0.15
48.39%
TSE:SYZ
Sylogist
3.69
-5.67
-60.56%
TSE:WNDR
WonderFi Technologies Inc
0.33
0.11
47.73%

Xtract One Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Xtract One Boosts Revenue 70% as Weapon Detection Deployments Accelerate
Positive
Mar 4, 2026

Xtract One reported fiscal 2026 second-quarter revenue of $5.8 million, a 70% year-over-year increase driven by higher deployments of its weapon detection solutions, though gross margin fell to 54% due to initial production and deployment costs for its Gateway product. The company posted a comprehensive loss of $2.4 million as operating expenses rose, but strengthened its balance sheet with an $11.5 million equity offering, ended the quarter with $15.7 million in cash, and highlighted a growing installation pipeline and a key SmartGateway win at the British Museum as it accelerates production and targets improved performance and a path toward profitability.

Total contract value of new bookings reached $8.7 million in the quarter, while contractual backlog stood at $13.9 million, excluding a sizable $34.9 million of agreements pending installation that underpin future revenue visibility. Management emphasized that demand for its weapon detection systems is rising, with approximately $5 million of Gateway systems delivered and another $15 million scheduled for installation, positioning Xtract One to leverage its reinforced capital base and manufacturing capacity to expand deployments and pursue higher returns for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Hold with a C$0.55 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Xtract One Wins British Museum Deal for AI Security Screening
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

Xtract One Technologies has been selected by the British Museum to deploy its SmartGateway AI-powered weapons detection system across all venue entrances, following extensive on-site testing. The British Museum, which receives around 6.5 million visitors annually, chose the system to enhance protection while maintaining seamless, high-throughput entry that respects the site’s architectural and operational demands.

Testing showed SmartGateway delivered significantly better detection and up to triple the processing speed of previous methods, with throughput of about 750 people per 15 minutes per lane. Its portable, modular design allows security teams to adjust perimeters based on threat level and visitor volume, highlighting a broader shift among major cultural institutions toward technology-enabled screening that boosts security and visitor experience simultaneously.

Museum leadership said the system will help minimize queues and improve searches in line with regulations ahead of planned new visitor welcome pavilions. Xtract One executives emphasized that the deployment underscores SmartGateway’s flexibility and performance in complex, high-profile environments, reinforcing the company’s positioning as a leading provider of advanced, visitor-friendly security solutions for crowded public venues.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Xtract One Sets Date for Fiscal Q2 2026 Results and Investor Call
Neutral
Feb 17, 2026

Xtract One Technologies Inc., a Toronto-based provider of AI-powered threat detection and security solutions for high-traffic facilities, focuses on unobtrusive weapons detection and smooth patron access. Its systems are used across sectors including education, healthcare, sports and entertainment venues, and industrial sites, where it aims to integrate advanced security with minimal disruption to people’s movement.

The company announced it will release its fiscal 2026 second quarter results after markets close on March 4, 2026, followed by a webcast and conference call on March 5 hosted by CEO Peter Evans and CFO Karen Hersh. Management plans to review financial performance for the quarter ended January 31, 2026 and provide an outlook for the business, giving investors and other stakeholders fresh insight into Xtract One’s operational progress and strategic direction in the security technology market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Hold with a C$0.54 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Xtract One Secures Contract to Enhance Security in Midwest Healthcare Clinics
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

Xtract One Technologies has secured a contract with a major nationwide healthcare provider to implement its SmartGateway solution across clinics in the Midwest, starting with five locations in Minnesota. This deployment addresses heightened safety concerns in healthcare environments, offering a modern, non-invasive security technology that balances protection with a welcoming experience. The SmartGateway system, backed by the U.S. Department of Homeland Security’s SAFETY Act, uses advanced AI technology for discreet and efficient weapons detection, enhancing security without compromising the patient and staff experience.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTRA) stock is a Buy with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xtract One stock, see the TSE:XTRA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 05, 2026